EMA20 in MTFThe "EMA20 in MTF" indicator on TradingView is a versatile tool designed to display the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as a horizontal line across various time frames. This indicator provides traders with a comprehensive view of the EMA's behavior by plotting it on multiple time frames (MTF), including Quarterly, Monthly, Weekly, Daily, and 125 Minutes.
By incorporating EMA data from different time frames, traders can gain insights into both short-term and long-term trends. The Quarterly and Monthly time frames offer a broader perspective on market movements, while the Weekly and Daily time frames provide intermediate-term trends. The inclusion of the 125 Minutes time frame further enhances precision, catering to intraday trading strategies.
Overall, the "EMA20 in MTF" indicator serves as a valuable tool for traders seeking to analyze EMA dynamics across various time frames, aiding in trend identification and decision-making processes.
ค่าเฉลี่ยเคลื่อนที่แบบเอกซ์โพเนนเชียล (EMA)
QTE Scalper ModifiedA modified version of the QTE scalper indicator. Produces a buy/sell signal based on a 2 candle pattern. For long signals it produces a signal when the high and low of the second candle are below the high and low of the first candle and both candles close above the 10 period EMA. The reverse is true for short signals.
Added functionality so that signals will trigger an alert: Add the indicator to the chart on the instrument and timeframe you wish to use it on. Add an alert and in the 'condition' section choose the indicator and set the trigger as 'once per bar close'. You will have to set individual alerts for both long and short signals and if you change the time period on the chart.
MBAND 200 4H BTC/USDT - By MGS-TradingMBAND 200 4H BTC/USDT with RSI and Volume by MGS-Trading: A Neural Network-Inspired Indicator
Introduction:
The MBAND 200 4H BTC/USDT with RSI and Volume represents a groundbreaking achievement in the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into cryptocurrency market analysis. Developed by MGS-Trading, this indicator is the culmination of extensive research and development efforts aimed at leveraging AI's power to enhance trading strategies. By synthesizing neural network concepts with traditional technical analysis, the MBAND indicator offers a dynamic, multi-dimensional view of the market, providing traders with unparalleled insights and actionable signals.
Innovative Approach:
Our journey to create the MBAND indicator began with a simple question: How can we mimic the decision-making prowess of a neural network in a trading indicator? The answer lay in the weighted aggregation of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) from multiple timeframes, each serving as a unique input akin to a neuron in a neural network. These weights are not arbitrary; they were painstakingly optimized through backtesting across various market conditions to ensure they reflect the significance of each timeframe’s contribution to overall market dynamics.
Core Features:
Neural Network-Inspired Weights: The heart of the MBAND indicator lies in its AI-inspired weighting system, which treats each timeframe’s EMA as an input node in a neural network. This allows the indicator to process complex market data in a nuanced and sophisticated manner, leading to more refined and informed trading signals.
Multi-Timeframe EMA Analysis: By analyzing EMAs from 15 minutes to 3 days, the MBAND indicator captures a comprehensive snapshot of market trends, enabling traders to make informed decisions based on a broad spectrum of data.
RSI and Volume Integration: The inclusion of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and volume data adds layers of confirmation to the signals generated by the EMA bands. This multi-indicator approach helps in identifying high-probability setups, reinforcing the neural network’s concept of leveraging multiple data points for decision-making.
Usage Guidelines:
Signal Interpretation: The MBAND bands provide a visual representation of the market’s momentum and direction. A price moving above the upper band signals strength and potential continuation of an uptrend, while a move below the lower band suggests weakness and a possible downtrend.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: The RSI component identifies when the asset is potentially overbought (>70) or oversold (<30). Traders should watch for these conditions near the MBAND levels for potential reversal opportunities.
Volume Confirmation: An increase in volume accompanying a price move towards or beyond an MBAND level serves as confirmation of the strength behind the move. This can indicate whether a breakout is likely to sustain or if a reversal has substantial backing.
Strategic Entry and Exit Points: Combine the MBAND readings with RSI and volume indicators to pinpoint strategic entry and exit points. For example, consider entering a long position when the price is near the lower MBAND, RSI indicates oversold conditions, and there is a notable volume increase.
About MGS-Trading:
At MGS-Trading, we are passionate about harnessing the transformative power of AI to revolutionize cryptocurrency trading. Our indicators and tools are designed to provide traders with advanced analytics and insights, drawing on the latest AI techniques and methodologies. The MBAND 200 4H BTC/USDT with RSI and Volume indicator is a prime example of our commitment to innovation, offering traders a sophisticated, AI-enhanced tool for navigating the complexities of the cryptocurrency markets.
Disclaimer:
The MBAND indicator is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk and can result in the loss of your investment. We recommend conducting your own research and consulting with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Cauchy Distribution Trend AnalysisThis custom Pine Script indicator is designed to analyze assets, including cryptocurrencies, through a lens inspired by the Cauchy distribution's characteristics. It focuses on identifying potential long and short opportunities by evaluating the asset's price position relative to a dynamically calculated median price and a scale parameter. Here's a breakdown of its components and how to use it:
Components
Median Length: The period over which the median price is calculated. The median price acts as a proxy for the Cauchy distribution's location parameter, representing a central value around which the market price fluctuates.
MA Length: The length for calculating the moving average, which is used to determine the scale parameter. The scale parameter estimates the average volatility around the median price, adjusted for the selected averaging method.
Moving Average Type: Offers a choice between HMA (Hull Moving Average), SMA (Simple Moving Average), and EMA (Exponential Moving Average) to calculate the scale parameter. This flexibility allows users to tailor the sensitivity of the scale parameter to the asset's price volatility.
Median Price Calculation: Uses the close price (by default) to calculate the median price over the specified period.
Scale Parameter Calculation: A function that calculates the scale parameter based on the chosen average source. This parameter is used to identify the threshold for long and short conditions.
Strategy Logic
Long Condition: Triggered when the asset's close price is greater than the sum of the median price and the scale parameter. This indicates that the asset's price has moved significantly above the median price, suggesting bullish momentum.
Short Condition: Triggered when the asset's close price is less than the difference between the median price and the scale parameter. This indicates that the asset's price has moved significantly below the median price, suggesting bearish momentum.
EHRHART Algo Premium (V.2)EHRHART Algo Premium is a indicator designed to help traders analyze market flow. It work with multiple EMA for identifying the sentiment of market. It's very simple calculation but it's a good help for people who use price action. I think the visual of the chart is very important and and I wanted to create an indicator very visual. I'm price action lover like lots of people and I personally think it's very important to identify the flow of market because buying when the flow of market is up give you better chance to win your trade. It's not BUY and SELL signal, this indicator don't tell u when u need buy or when u need sell, it's principally here for helping the visual of trading chart (have a good clear chart). I decided to post this indicator because people were asking me how it worked and were curious about these colors, so here we go !
This indicator show:
The main flow ( green candle=buy pressure /red candle=seller pressure ), it's based on two EMA cross over, this two EMA are editable so u can take the combination you want depending on your trading strategy. When the first EMA is above the second EMA candle becoming green and when the second EMA is above the first EMA candle becoming red.
The trend of two EMA crossover (blue=bullish and violet=bearish), it's based on two EMA (two different than main flow) cross over, this two EMA are editable so u can take the combination you want depending on your trading strategy. When the first EMA is above the second EMA the trend becoming blue and when the second EMA is above the first EMA the trend becoming violet.
Potential trend reversals (violet candle), it's calculate with the two EMA of the main flow, when these two EMA becoming closer, the candle becoming violet. It meaning that the trend may reversals. I added sensitivity parameter, so u can adjust it depending on your trading strategy, the more sensitive it is, the more candle will be colored violet.
A system of RSI print on the chart, when the RSI becoming overbought (more than 75) a red triangle will pop up on the chart, and when the RSI becoming oversold (less than 25) a green triangle will pop up on the chart. U can show or hidden these setting.
Bullish candles are represented by hollow candles.
Bearish candles are represented by full candles.
You can use this indicator with multiple strategy, I personally use it with price action (support/resistance) and I made it for that (but it's your choice).
This is an example of how I'll use it:
Here we can see that the price is coming testing our weakly support, however the main flow is bullish (red candle), so I'm waiting my first signal (violet candle). When the first candle passed violet I decided to enter the trade because violet candle after red candle means that the two EMA start closed to themselves meaning that's the flow may turn green. My second signal will be candle passed green, because it meaning the two EMA start deviate from themselves, buyer are taking advantage. In this situation a green triangle on the support will be my third signal.
Bitcoin Momentum StrategyThis is a very simple long-only strategy I've used since December 2022 to manage my Bitcoin position.
I'm sharing it as an open-source script for other traders to learn from the code and adapt it to their liking if they find the system concept interesting.
General Overview
Always do your own research and backtesting - this script is not intended to be traded blindly (no script should be) and I've done limited testing on other markets beyond Ethereum and BTC, it's just a template to tweak and play with and make into one's own.
The results shown in the strategy tester are from Bitcoin's inception so as to get a large sample size of trades, and potential returns have diminished significantly as BTC has grown to become a mega cap asset, but the script includes a date filter for backtesting and it has still performed solidly in recent years (speaking from personal experience using it myself - DYOR with the date filter).
The main advantage of this system in my opinion is in limiting the max drawdown significantly versus buy & hodl. Theoretically much better returns can be made by just holding, but that's also a good way to lose 70%+ of your capital in the inevitable bear markets (also speaking from experience).
In saying all of that, the future is fundamentally unknowable and past results in no way guarantee future performance.
System Concept:
Capture as much Bitcoin upside volatility as possible while side-stepping downside volatility as quickly as possible.
The system uses a simple but clever momentum-style trailing stop technique I learned from one of my trading mentors who uses this approach on momentum/trend-following stock market systems.
Basically, the system "ratchets" up the stop-loss to be much tighter during high bearish volatility to protect open profits from downside moves, but loosens the stop loss during sustained bullish momentum to let the position ride.
It is invested most of the time, unless BTC is trading below its 20-week EMA in which case it stays in cash/USDT to avoid holding through bear markets. It only trades one position (no pyramiding) and does not trade short, but can easily be tweaked to do whatever you like if you know what you're doing in Pine.
Default parameters:
HTF: Weekly Chart
EMA: 20-Period
ATR: 5-period
Bar Lookback: 7
Entry Rule #1:
Bitcoin's current price must be trading above its higher-timeframe EMA (Weekly 20 EMA).
Entry Rule #2:
Bitcoin must not be in 'caution' condition (no large bearish volatility swings recently).
Enter at next bar's open if conditions are met and we are not already involved in a trade.
"Caution" Condition:
Defined as true if BTC's recent 7-bar swing high minus current bar's low is > 1.5x ATR, or Daily close < Daily 20-EMA.
Trailing Stop:
Stop is trailed 1 ATR from recent swing high, or 20% of ATR if in caution condition (ie. 0.2 ATR).
Exit on next bar open upon a close below stop loss.
I typically use a limit order to open & exit trades as close to the open price as possible to reduce slippage, but the strategy script uses market orders.
I've never had any issues getting filled on limit orders close to the market price with BTC on the Daily timeframe, but if the exchange has relatively low slippage I've found market orders work fine too without much impact on the results particularly since BTC has consistently remained above $20k and highly liquid.
Cost of Trading:
The script uses no leverage and a default total round-trip commission of 0.3% which is what I pay on my exchange based on their tier structure, but this can vary widely from exchange to exchange and higher commission fees will have a significantly negative impact on realized gains so make sure to always input the correct theoretical commission cost when backtesting any script.
Static slippage is difficult to estimate in the strategy tester given the wide range of prices & liquidity BTC has experienced over the years and it largely depends on position size, I set it to 150 points per buy or sell as BTC is currently very liquid on the exchange I trade and I use limit orders where possible to enter/exit positions as close as possible to the market's open price as it significantly limits my slippage.
But again, this can vary a lot from exchange to exchange (for better or worse) and if BTC volatility is high at the time of execution this can have a negative impact on slippage and therefore real performance, so make sure to adjust it according to your exchange's tendencies.
Tax considerations should also be made based on short-term trade frequency if crypto profits are treated as a CGT event in your region.
Summary:
A simple, but effective and fairly robust system that achieves the goals I set for it.
From my preliminary testing it appears it may also work on altcoins but it might need a bit of tweaking/loosening with the trailing stop distance as the default parameters are designed to work with Bitcoin which obviously behaves very differently to smaller cap assets.
Good luck out there!
INFINITY ALGO🆕Meet the updated version of our flagship indicator, now it's INFINITY ALGO!
🏃🏻 QUICK START
In very simple terms, our indicator generates complex trading signals on your chart (buy/sell), including Entry Point, Take Profit levels, Stop Loss level
To start, you need to add our indicator to your chart , choose a timeframe (we recommend 13min,15min and 4h but you can try any, these only have the best results) and set up notifications (how to do it told below) and that's it, you can work with it even without changing the settings!
Of course, to improve the accuracy of signals you will have to choose the optimal settings of the script for each trading pair and timeframe (you can find a guide below)
📊 SIGNALS
This script will generate complex trading recommendations, both Long and Short (signals); signals include:
- Entry Point:
Calculated based on pivot levels with confirmation by EMA/SMA (you can select this in the settings); also bullish/bearish cup is checked to confirm the entry.
Additionally, in the settings you can enable Heiken Ashi calculation mode (it shows much better on some trading pairs).
Why do we mashup these components and how they work together?
- The main indicator in our script is pivot levels, it is enabled by default and cannot be disabled. Auxiliary indicators (which you can switch on and off in the script settings) are EMA/SMA and Heiken Ashi. We have used pivot levels, which mark potential support and resistance zones based on previous price action. We have also used EMA/SMA that smooth out price fluctuations and show the direction of the trend. We have added an option to use Heiken Ashi that filters out noise and highlights the trend. We have also checked for bullish/bearish cup patterns, which are reversal patterns that indicate a change in momentum. By combining these indicators, we have created a more robust entry point that considers multiple factors such as price levels, trend, noise, and momentum.
- 6 Take Profit levels:
It is also possible to change in the settings (It is also possible to change the values for Short or Long positions separately), it will be fixed values in % (The default Take Profits for Long&Short are as follows: TP1-0.3%; TP2-1%; TP3-2%; TP4-3%; TP5-7.5%; TP6-16.5%)
- Stop Loss Level:
As with Take Profits, this is a fixed % value that you can customise to suit your risk management needs (It is also possible to change the values for Short or Long positions separately, by default is 4.5% for Long&Short positions)
*When trading on these signals, we strongly recommend that you exit the position in parts at each take profit or close your entire position at one particular take profit. Our script was designed specifically for exiting a position on take profits
⚙️ SETTINGS
Now let's talk about the settings of this script, which allow you to customise the signals quite a lot. In general, we recommend selecting the settings for each trading pair and timeframe separately, this will allow you to achieve better targets accuracy (the default settings are universal, you can trade with them without changing them if you want)
-> IMAGE <-
1. Period - minimum value of 2. Increasing this parameter will increase the accuracy of signals, but will reduce their number (accordingly, lowering the parameter will do the opposite). For the majority of trading pairs and timeframes the optimal period will be between 5 and 10 (the default value is 5).
2. Maximum Breakout length (in bars) - for most trading pairs you can set the value from 200 to 300 and it will be optimal. Below 200 is not recommended
3. T hreshold Rate % - this value also affects the accuracy and the number of signals - the higher this value is, the more often signals will be generated, but it can negatively affect the accuracy. The minimum value is 3, and the maximum value is 10. We recommend to try values in the range from 4 to 7 for most tickers
4. Minimum Number of tests - the number of level checks is required, we recommend to try 2, and only for some timeframes increase to 3
5. MA type & MA filter - The shorter the length of moving averages, the faster they react to trend changes, and show more local trends than global ones. If the length of MAs is longer, more global trends are shown. By default, the most optimal values are set.
By the way, you can ask us for a ready-made preset for any pair and we will be happy to help you!
📄 BACKTESTING
Now let's talk about how to properly test the settings and evaluate their effectiveness. Our script has a c ustom built-in backtester that shows statistics on the current trading pair and allows you to calculate the accuracy of each take profit target, as well as calculate values such as Gross profit/loss, net profit, and the ratio of initial deposit to profit. (you can enable/disable backtester "statistics" label in main settings)
In the main settings you can change the values for: initial deposit (Deposit $), trade size $ and leverage (by the way, it also affects the display of the label "Peak profit", which is calculated with this leverage)
-> IMAGE <-
Now let's look at the backtester - it shows detailed statistics for each Take Profit level, including: accuracy in % and number of trades; gross profit & loss; net profit in % and $ (based on selected settings); deposit to profit ratio in % and $.
Why did we choose such properties in the backtest for publication?
- Well, as the initial capital we took 5000$ and deposit 3% (150$) of the initial capital in each trade. For the fee was taken the value from the exchange Binance, which is 0.06% per trade (Taker + Maker, for a user without VIP on Binance and without taking into account additional fees such as funding, leverage fees, etc).
- Please also take a look at our inbuilt backtester ( IMAGE ) which counts the accuracy to each Take Profit. Also note that our inbuilt backtester does not take any fees into account. Pay attention to the last field "Deposit with Profit" it shows the value if you would close all positions at a certain target. For example, we can see that the most optimal is TP3 at these settings for this trading pair and timeframe, as the deposit to profit ratio will be +61.2%
- Also the script is more designed for swing and long term trading, so on most trading pairs you will be able to see statistics for 60-90 trades dataset
*disclaimer: please note that past results does not guarantee future performance! The accuracy of take profit targets in our backtester is calculated on past results, keep this in mind please
📥 NOTIFICATIONS
We have provided notifications that will deliver the latest signals to you in a convenient format in TradingView. The notification looks like this: It contains the entry point, Take Profits, Stop Loss, and a bit of advice on risk management. -> IMAGE <-
To set up notifications:
1. Select the script settings, trading pair and timeframe
2. Click "add alert on InfinityAlgo", then select "alert () function calls only" in the settings
-> IMAGE <-
3. That's it, now all that's left is to wait for a fresh alert
🔑 HOW TO GET ACCESS
We hope you will like this script :) We are always ready to help you with customisation, just let us know! To learn more about our scripts & get access - check out the “Author’s instructions” below 👇🏼
Trend Deviation strategy - BTC [IkkeOmar]Intro:
This is an example if anyone needs a push to get started with making strategies in pine script. This is an example on BTC, obviously it isn't a good strategy, and I wouldn't share my own good strategies because of alpha decay.
This strategy integrates several technical indicators to determine market trends and potential trade setups. These indicators include:
Directional Movement Index (DMI)
Bollinger Bands (BB)
Schaff Trend Cycle (STC)
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
Momentum Indicator
Aroon Indicator
Supertrend Indicator
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
It's crucial for you guys to understand the strengths and weaknesses of each indicator and identify synergies between them to improve the strategy's effectiveness.
Indicator Settings:
DMI (Directional Movement Index):
Length: This parameter determines the number of bars used in calculating the DMI. A higher length may provide smoother results but might lag behind the actual price action.
Bollinger Bands:
Length: This parameter specifies the number of bars used to calculate the moving average for the Bollinger Bands. A longer length results in a smoother average but might lag behind the price action.
Multiplier: The multiplier determines the width of the Bollinger Bands. It scales the standard deviation of the price data. A higher multiplier leads to wider bands, indicating increased volatility, while a lower multiplier results in narrower bands, suggesting decreased volatility.
Schaff Trend Cycle (STC):
Length: This parameter defines the length of the STC calculation. A longer length may result in smoother but slower-moving signals.
Fast Length: Specifies the length of the fast moving average component in the STC calculation.
Slow Length: Specifies the length of the slow moving average component in the STC calculation.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
Fast Length: Determines the number of bars used to calculate the fast EMA (Exponential Moving Average) in the MACD.
Slow Length: Specifies the number of bars used to calculate the slow EMA in the MACD.
Signal Length: Defines the number of bars used to calculate the signal line, which is typically an EMA of the MACD line.
Momentum Indicator:
Length: This parameter sets the number of bars over which momentum is calculated. A longer length may provide smoother momentum readings but might lag behind significant price changes.
Aroon Indicator:
Length: Specifies the number of bars over which the Aroon indicator calculates its values. A longer length may result in smoother Aroon readings but might lag behind significant market movements.
Supertrend Indicator:
Trendline Length: Determines the length of the period used in the Supertrend calculation. A longer length results in a smoother trendline but might lag behind recent price changes.
Trendline Factor: Specifies the multiplier used in calculating the trendline. It affects the sensitivity of the indicator to price changes.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Length: This parameter sets the number of bars over which RSI calculates its values. A longer length may result in smoother RSI readings but might lag behind significant price changes.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
Fast EMA: Specifies the number of bars used to calculate the fast EMA. A shorter period results in a more responsive EMA to recent price changes.
Slow EMA: Determines the number of bars used to calculate the slow EMA. A longer period results in a smoother EMA but might lag behind recent price changes.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price):
Default settings are typically used for VWAP calculations, which consider the volume traded at each price level over a specific period. This indicator provides insights into the average price weighted by trading volume.
backtest range and rules:
You can specify the start date for backtesting purposes.
You can can select the desired trade direction: Long, Short, or Both.
Entry and Exit Conditions:
LONG:
DMI Cross Up: The Directional Movement Index (DMI) indicates a bullish trend when the positive directional movement (+DI) crosses above the negative directional movement (-DI).
Bollinger Bands (BB): The price is below the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a potential reversal from the upper band.
Momentum Indicator: Momentum is positive, suggesting increasing buying pressure.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum.
Supertrend Indicator: The Supertrend indicator signals an uptrend.
Schaff Trend Cycle (STC): The STC indicates a bullish trend.
Aroon Indicator: The Aroon indicator signals a bullish trend or crossover.
When all these conditions are met simultaneously, the strategy considers it a favorable opportunity to enter a long trade.
SHORT:
DMI Cross Down: The Directional Movement Index (DMI) indicates a bearish trend when the negative directional movement (-DI) crosses above the positive directional movement (+DI).
Bollinger Bands (BB): The price is above the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential reversal from the lower band.
Momentum Indicator: Momentum is negative, indicating increasing selling pressure.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is below the signal line, signaling bearish momentum.
Supertrend Indicator: The Supertrend indicator signals a downtrend.
Schaff Trend Cycle (STC): The STC indicates a bearish trend.
Aroon Indicator: The Aroon indicator signals a bearish trend or crossover.
When all these conditions align, the strategy considers it an opportune moment to enter a short trade.
Disclaimer:
THIS ISN'T AN OPTIMAL STRATEGY AT ALL! It was just an old project from when I started learning pine script!
The backtest doesn't promise the same results in the future, always do both in-sample and out-of-sample testing when backtesting a strategy. And make sure you forward test it as well before implementing it!
Furthermore this strategy uses both trend and mean-reversion systems, that is usually a no-go if you want to build robust trend systems .
Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or if you have some good notes for a beginner.
The OG Outback [TTF]The Outback indicator
After a major overhaul of our Outback strategy, we decided that we would make our original version available for anyone to use.
The fundamental element of this indicator is based on price action relative to a slow moving average. That said, given that price will always tend towards a moving average, we have also implemented a method for helping filter out false signals leveraging a "consolidation cloud" and fast moving average. This, coupled with references to a customized version of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), has enabled us to provide significantly higher quality signals relating to price crossing a moving average.
Note: For this version, we have only prepared a single set of conditions and alerts (as noted by the 🦘 symbols). However it's worth noting there are several variations that can be done with some fundamental technical analysis and referencing additional indicators that can take this foundation and build upon it for a substantial increase in risk/reward and profit targets.
Price and Volume Stochastic Divergence [MW]Introduction
This indicator creates signals of interest for entering and exiting long and short positions on equities. It primarily uses up and down trends defined by the change in cumulative volume with some filtering provided by a short period exponential moving average (9 EMA by default).
Settings
Moving Average Period : The moving average over which the cumulative volume delta is calculated. Default: 14
Short Period EMA : The EMA used to represent price action, and is used to generate the EMA Delta line. Default: 27 (3*3*3)
Long Period EMA : The second EMA used to calculate the EMA Delta line. Default: 108 (2*2*3*3*3)
Stochastic K Value : The value used for stochastic curve smoothing. Default: 3
Dot Size : The diameter of the larger indicator. Default: 10
Dot Transparency : The transparency level of the outer ring of the primary BUY/SELL signal. Default: 50 (0 is opaque, 100 is transparent)
Band Distance from 0 to 100 : The upper and lower band distance. Default: 20
Calculations
The cumulative volume delta (CVD) is calculated using candle bodies and wicks. For a red candle, buying volume is calculated by multiplying the volume by the spread percentage of the average of the top and bottom wicks, while Selling Volume is calculated multiplying the volume by the spread percentage of the average of the top and bottom wicks - in addition to the spread percentage of the candle body.
For a green candle, buying volume is calculated by multiplying the volume by the spread percentage of the average of the top and bottom wicks - plus the spread percentage of the candle body - while Selling Volume is calculated using only the spread percentage average of the top and bottom wicks.
Once we have the CVD, we can then perform a stochastic calculation of the CVD value.
stochastic calculation = (current value - lowest value in period) / (highest value in period - lowest value in period)
We’ll do the same stochastic calculation for the short term EMA (27 EMA default) as well as for the difference between the short term and long term EMA.
When the stochastic CVD value is rising from zero and the short term EMA stochastic value equals 100, then it’s a major bullish signal. When the stochastic CVD value is falling from 100 and the short term EMA stochastic value equals 0, then it’s a major bearish signal.
Sometimes, after a bullish or bearish signal, the stochastic CVD will reverse direction triggering a new opposing signal.
How to Interpret
The CVD indicates when there is either more buying than selling or vice versa. A value over 50 for the stochastic CVD curve represents more buying taking place. A value below 50 represents more selling. One might intuitively believe that when there is more buying volume than selling volume that the price would follow suit. This is not always the case.
Most of the time buying volume will precede consistent price movement upwards, and selling volume will precede consistent price movement downwards. When this divergence occurs, the indicator generates a signal. When this divergence begins to fail, and buying or selling volume reverses, then another signal is generated indicating that the buying/selling impulse is headed back into the direction of price action.
These interactions are visually represented on the chart with the coral line that represents CVD, and the yellow line that represents the EMA, or the average price. When the coral line goes up and the yellow line stays down, that’s the BUY signal. When the coral line goes down and the yellow line stays up, that’s the sell signal. When the coral line switches direction, the chart generates another signal showing that volume is moving in a direction that supports the price.
The orange line represents the stochastic representation of the difference between the short EMA (27 by default) and the long EMA (108 by default). EMA differences is a method that can be used to define a trend. When a short term EMA is above a longer term EMA, that may represent a bullish trend. When it is below, that may represent a bearish trend. When all 3 lines are rising or falling in the same direction at the same time, it tends to indicate a movement that has the potential to continue.
Other Usage Notes and Limitations
It's important for traders to be aware of the limitations of any indicator and to use them as part of a broader, well-rounded trading strategy that includes risk management, fundamental analysis, and other tools that can help with reducing false signals, determining trend direction, and providing additional confirmation for a trade decision. Diversifying strategies and not relying solely on one type of indicator or analysis can help mitigate some of these risks.
This indicator can be paired with the MW Volume Impulse indicator if it is desired to see the actual buying and selling cumulative volume deltas. Also, in many cases, the BUY and SELL signals tend to correspond with Keltner Bands (ATR Bands) becoming extended. Lastly, volume weighted average price (VWAP) along with other macro events can impact price and negate signals. To view VWAP lines, you may choose to use the Multi VWAP or Multi VWAP for Gaps indicator to help ensure that the signals you see in this indicator are not being affected by VWAP lines.
Long EMA Strategy with Advanced Exit OptionsThis strategy is designed for traders seeking a trend-following system with a focus on precision and adaptability.
**Core Strategy Concept**
The essence of this strategy lies in use of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify potential long (buy) positions based on the relative positions of short-term, medium-term, and long-term EMAs. The use of EMAs is a classic yet powerful approach to trend detection, as these indicators smooth out price data over time, emphasizing the direction of recent price movements and potentially signaling the beginning of new trends.
**Customizable Parameters**
- **EMA Periods**: Users can define the periods for three EMAs - long-term, medium-term, and short-term - allowing for a tailored approach to capture trends based on individual trading styles and market conditions.
- **Volatility Filter**: An optional Average True Range (ATR)-based volatility filter can be toggled on or off. When activated, it ensures that trades are only entered when market volatility exceeds a user-defined threshold, aiming to filter out entries during low-volatility periods which are often characterized by indecisive market movements.
- **Trailing Stop Loss**: A trailing stop loss mechanism, expressed as a percentage of the highest price achieved since entry, provides a dynamic way to manage risk by allowing profits to run while cutting losses.
- **EMA Exit Condition**: This advanced exit option enables closing positions when the short-term EMA crosses below the medium-term EMA, serving as a signal that the immediate trend may be reversing.
- **Close Below EMA Exit**: An additional exit condition, which is disabled by default, allows positions to be closed if the price closes below a user-selected EMA. This provides an extra layer of flexibility and risk management, catering to traders who prefer to exit positions based on specific EMA thresholds.
**Operational Mechanics**
Upon activation, the strategy evaluates the current price in relation to the set EMAs. A long position is considered when the current price is above the long-term EMA, and the short-term EMA is above the medium-term EMA. This setup aims to identify moments where the price momentum is strong and likely to continue.
The strategy's versatility is further enhanced by its optional settings:
- The **Volatility Filter** adjusts the sensitivity of the strategy to market movements, potentially improving the quality of the entries during volatile market conditions.
The Average True Range (ATR) is a key component of this filter, providing a measure of market volatility by calculating the average range between the high and low prices over a specified number of periods. Here's how you can adjust the volatility filter settings for various market conditions, focusing on filtering out low-volatility markets:
Setting Examples for Volatility Filter
1. High Volatility Markets (e.g., Cryptocurrencies, Certain Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: 14 (default)
ATR Multiplier: Setting the multiplier to a lower value, such as 1.0 or 1.2, can be beneficial in high-volatility markets. This sensitivity allows the strategy to react to volatility changes more quickly, ensuring that you're entering trades during periods of significant movement.
2. Medium Volatility Markets (e.g., Major Equity Indices, Medium-Volatility Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: 14 (default)
ATR Multiplier: A multiplier of 1.5 (default) is often suitable for medium volatility markets. It provides a balanced approach, ensuring that the strategy filters out low-volatility conditions without being overly restrictive.
3. Low Volatility Markets (e.g., Some Commodities, Low-Volatility Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: Increasing the ATR period to 20 or 25 can smooth out the volatility measure, making it less sensitive to short-term fluctuations. This adjustment helps in focusing on more significant trends in inherently stable markets.
ATR Multiplier: Raising the multiplier to 2.0 or even 2.5 increases the threshold for volatility, effectively filtering out low-volatility conditions. This setting ensures that the strategy only triggers trades during periods of relatively higher volatility, which are more likely to result in significant price movements.
How to Use the Volatility Filter for Low-Volatility Markets
For traders specifically interested in filtering out low-volatility markets, the key is to adjust the ATR Multiplier to a higher level. This adjustment increases the threshold required for the market to be considered sufficiently volatile for trade entries. Here's a step-by-step guide:
Adjust the ATR Multiplier: Increase the ATR Multiplier to create a higher volatility threshold. A multiplier of 2.0 to 2.5 is a good starting point for very low-volatility markets.
Fine-Tune the ATR Periods: Consider lengthening the ATR calculation period if you find that the strategy is still entering trades in undesirable low-volatility conditions. A longer period provides a more averaged-out measure of volatility, which might better suit your needs.
Monitor and Adjust: Volatility is not static, and market conditions can change. Regularly review the performance of your strategy in the context of current market volatility and adjust the settings as necessary.
Backtest in Different Conditions: Before applying the strategy live, backtest it across different market conditions with your adjusted settings. This process helps ensure that your approach to filtering low-volatility conditions aligns with your trading objectives and risk tolerance.
By fine-tuning the volatility filter settings according to the specific characteristics of the market you're trading in, you can enhance the performance of this strategy
- The **Trailing Stop Loss** and **EMA Exit Conditions** provide two layers of exit strategies, focusing on capital preservation and profit maximization.
**Visualizations**
For clarity and ease of use, the strategy plots the three EMAs and, if enabled, the ATR threshold on the chart. These visual cues not only aid in decision-making but also help in understanding the market's current trend and volatility state.
**How to Use**
Traders can customize the EMA periods to fit their trading horizon, be it short, medium, or long-term trading. The volatility filter and exit options allow for further customization, making the strategy adaptable to different market conditions and personal risk tolerance levels.
By offering a blend of trend-following principles with advanced risk management features, this strategy aims to cater to a wide range of trading styles, from cautious to aggressive. Its strength lies in its flexibility, allowing traders to fine-tune settings to their specific needs, making it a potentially valuable tool in the arsenal of any trader looking for a disciplined approach to navigating the markets.
Ripster Trend LabelsRipster Trend Labels: This script provides labels indicating the trend and chop conditions in the market. It helps traders identify potential trading opportunities based on short-term trends. Its support my EMA Cloud System by providing labels on when Clouds turn bullish or bearish and also uses my concepts of Chop vs Trend based on premarket levels.
What Does Script Do-> It Identifies Bullish & Bearish Trend and if Market is in Chop Range or Trending
How Does it Identify Trend & Chop->
Description: The script calculates the 10-minute 12 and 50 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) to determine the short-term trend direction. It's based on the Ripster 10-minute trading system, and it's recommended to use it in conjunction with the 5-12 and 34-50 Ripster Cloud scripts for more effective analysis.
For Sake of simplicity only using 12 & 50 EMA to create the labels, this should be used with the Clouds itself for better analysis.
This Script also calculates when Price is moving over premarket pivot or moving under premarket pivots. These Pivots are High or Lows in premarket in this version. The move over Pivot Signals the Trend , if Stock or ETF remains in those pivots, it is considered as Chop.
For now I am only using Premarket Data and my principles of Chop Vs Trend based on that to identify this direction. In future versions, I might implement Daily levels or Yesterday High Lows, to add more pivots for more accurately identifying chop ranges or if we are in Trend.
Table Display: The script displays the trend and chop labels in a table format on the chart, making it easier for traders to interpret the information.
How to Trade and Analyze Using Ripster Clouds Labels:
I recommend using my Ripster Clouds Indicator with these labels for best use
For High Probability Bullish Trend Trades
-> When All 3 Columns Price Action, Ripster 34/50 Clouds & Ripster 5/12 are bullish means trend is strong and its High Probability Long.
For High Probability Bearish Trend Trades
-> When All 3 Columns Price Action, Ripster 34/50 Clouds & Ripster 5/12 are bearish means trend is strong bearish and High Probability Long
Identifying Chop
-> If price action label says Chop its most likely sideways action even though other two columns are saying Bearish or Bullish. We can still trade because combination of other two is still strong Trend Signal, but its better to risk less when labels are showing Chop
By using this script, traders can make more informed decisions about entering and exiting trades based on the current market conditions identified by the trend and chop labels.
VWAP 8EMA Crossover Scalping IndicatorWhy?
Everybody, especially in Indian context, from 9:15 AM to 3:30 PM, wants to trade in BankNifty.
And even 15m is Too Big timeframe for The Great Indian Options buyers. Everyone knows how potentially BankNifty (& FinNifty on Tuesday and Sensex on Friday) can show dance within 15m.
So there always been an overarching longing among traders to have something in shorter timeframes. And this 5m timeframe, looks like a universally (sic) accepted Standard Timeframe for Indian Options traders.
So here is this.
What?
The time we are publishing this public indicator Indian market (Nifty) is in ATH at ~22200.
In any such super trending market it's always good to wait for a dip and then in suitable time, enter the trade in the direction of the larger trend. The reversal trading systems, in such a situation, proves to be ineffective.
Of course there are time when market is sideways and keeps on oscillating between +/2 standard deviation of the 20 SMA. In such a situation the reversal play works perfectly. But not so in such a trending market.
So the question comes up - after a dip what's the right point to enter.
Hence comes the importance of such a crossover based trading system.
In this indicator, it's a well-known technique (nothing originally from ours, it's taken from social media, exact one we forgot) to find out the 8EMA and VWAP crossover.
So we learned from social media, practice in our daily trading a bit, actuate it and now publishing it.
A few salient points
It does not make sense to jump into the trade just on the crossover (or crossunder).
So we added some more sugar to it, e.g. we check the color the candle. Also the next candle if crosses and closes above (or below) the breakout candle's high/low.
The polarity (color) of both the alert (breakout/breakdown) and confirmation candle to be same (green for crossover, red from crossunder).
Of course, it does provider BUY and SELL alerts separately.
These all we have found out doing backtesting and forward testing with 1/2 lots and saw this sort of approaches works.
Hence all of these are added to this script.
Nomenclature
Here green line is the 8EMA and the red line is the VWAP.
Also there is a black dotted line. That's 50 EMA. It's to show you the trend.
The recent trade is shown in the top right of the chart as green (for buy) or red (for sell) with SL and 1:1 target.
How to trade using this system?
This is roughly we have found the best possible use of this indicator.
Lets explain with a bullish BUY positive crossover (means 8EMA is crossing over the daily VWAP)
Keep timeframe as 5m
Check the direction/slope of the black dotted line (50 EMA). If it's upwards, only take bullish positions.
Open the chart which has the VWAP. (e.g. FinNifty spot or MidcapNifty spot does not have vwap). So in those cases Future is the way to go.
Wait for a breakout crossover and let the indicator gives a green, triangular UP arrow.
Draw a horizontal line to the close of that candle for next few (say 6 candles i.e. 30m) candles.
Wait for the price first to retest the 8EMA or even better the VWAP (or near to the 8EMA, VWAP)
Let the price moves and closes above the horizontal line drawn in the 4th step.
Take a bullish trade, keeping VWAP as the SL and 1:1 as the target.
Additionally, Options buyer can consult ADX also to see if the ADX is more than 25 and moving up for the bullish trade. (This has to be added seperately in the chart, it's not a part of the indicator).
Mention
The concept we have taken from some social media. Forget exactly where we heard this first time. We just coded it with some additional steps.
Statutory Disclaimer
There is no silver bullet / holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100% time. One has to be careful about the loss (s)he can bear in case of the trade goes against.
We, as the author of this script, is not responsible for any trading or position decision one is taken based on the outcome of this.
It is our sole discretion to change, add, delete the portion or withdraw the whole script without any prior notice or intimation.
In Indian Context: We are not SEBI registered.
FluxFilter Trend Strategy [BITsPIP]Hello fellow traders, I'm excited to share with you the FluxFilter Trend Strategy, a trading approach I've developed for those interested in exploring trend-following strategies. My goal was to create something straightforward and accessible, so traders looking to refine their portfolios can easily integrate its features. By the end of this guide, I hope you'll have a solid grasp of how the FluxFilter Trend Strategy functions, appreciate its benefits, understand its potential drawbacks, and see how it might fit into various trading contexts.
I) Overview
The FluxFilter Trend Strategy is tailored to align with the market's long-term trend. It examines the price data from the previous year to gauge the market's overall trajectory by employing moving averages. Subsequently, within shorter timeframes, the strategy utilizes a combination of modified Supertrend, Hull Suite, and various trend-following and filtering techniques to generate buy or sell signals. Although its advanced take profit and stop loss mechanisms might initially present a learning curve, they are integral to the strategy's effectiveness. They are designed to secure gains by capturing prevailing trends and mitigating the impact of false reversal signals.
II) Deep Backtesting
Deep backtesting stands as a cornerstone in the development of trading strategies, offering a robust method for traders to assess the performance of their strategy against historical data. This process yields a retrospective view, illustrating how the strategy might have navigated through past market fluctuations, thereby shedding light on its potential robustness and areas for refinement. However, it's crucial to acknowledge that a strategy's performance can be influenced by a myriad of factors including market dynamics, the chosen timeframe, and the inherent attributes of the traded asset. Consequently, it's advisable to conduct thorough backtesting under various conditions to ascertain the strategy's reliability before applying it to actual trading scenarios.
III) Benefits
A primary advantage of the FluxFilter Trend Strategy is its proficiency in discerning genuine market trends from mere price fluctuations, thereby avoiding premature or uncertain trades. Unlike approaches that take high risks on speculative trades, this strategy prioritizes a high degree of confidence in the direction of the trade. It meticulously waits for a clear confirmation of the market trend. Once this certainty is established, the strategy promptly generates trade signals, ensuring that traders are positioned to capitalize on optimal market entry points without delay. This approach not only enhances the potential for profit but also aligns with a disciplined and methodical trading ethos.
IV) Applications
FluxFilter Trend Strategy can be applied across various timeframes, with a particular efficacy in those under 15 minutes. Its adaptable framework means it can be customized to cater to a variety of asset classes, encompassing stocks, commodities, forex, and cryptocurrencies. Initially, the strategy was specifically calibrated for low-volatile cryptocurrencies, as reflected in the default settings for stop loss and take profit values. It's important to recognize that the unique volatility and trend patterns of your selected market necessitate careful adjustments to these parameters. This fine-tuning of profit targets and stop loss thresholds is crucial for aligning the strategy with the specific dynamics of your chosen market, which I will discuss shortly.
V) Strategy's Logic
1. Trend Identification: My conviction lies in the power of trend trading to yield long-term gains. Central to the FluxFilter Trend Strategy is the Hull Suite indicator, a tool developed by InSilico, serving as one of the confirmation indicators. This indicator acts as a compass for trend direction; a price residing above the Hull Suite line signals an uptrend, potentially marking an entry point for a buy position or confirming it. In contrast, a price positioned below this line suggests a downtrend, potentially indicating a strategic moment to sell or confirming the sell.
2. Noise Reduction: The financial markets are known for their 'noise'—short-lived price movements that can obscure the true market direction. The FluxFilter Trend Strategy is designed to sift through this noise, thereby facilitating more lucid and informed trading decisions. It employs a set of straightforward yet innovative techniques to single out significant misleading fluctuations. This is achieved by analyzing recent bars to spot bars with unusually large bodies, which often represent misleading market noise.
3. Risk Management: A key facet of the strategy is its emphasis on pragmatic risk management. Traders are empowered to establish practical stop-loss and take-profit levels, tailoring these crucial parameters to the specific market they are engaging in. This customization is instrumental in optimizing long-term profitability, ensuring that the strategy adapts fluidly to the unique characteristics and volatility patterns of different trading environments.
VI) Strategy's Input Settings and Default Values
1. Modified Supertrend
i. Factor: Serving as a multiplier in the Average True Range (ATR) calculation, this parameter adjusts the distance of the Supertrend line relative to the price chart. Elevating the factor value widens the gap between the Supertrend line and price, offering a more conservative stance. On the flip side, diminishing the factor value pulls the Supertrend line closer to the price action, heightening its sensitivity. While the preset value is 1, you have the flexibility to modify this to suit your trading approach.
ii. ATR Length: This defines the count of bars that are incorporated into the ATR computation, directly influencing the Supertrend's adaptability to market changes. With a default setting of 30 bars, it strikes a balance, smoothing over short-term fluctuations while maintaining a meaningful sensitivity to market trends. Adjusting this parameter allows you to tailor the indicator's responsiveness to suit your trading strategy, considering the volatility and behavioral patterns of the asset you are trading.
2. Hull Suite
i. Hull Suite Length: Designed for capturing long-term trends, the Hull Suite Length is configured at 1000. Functioning comparably to moving averages, the Hull Suite features upper and lower bands, though these are not employed in our current strategy.
ii. Length Multiplier: It's advisable to maintain a minimal value for the Length Multiplier, prioritizing the optimization of the Hull Suite Length. Presently, it is set to 1.
3. Filtering Indicators
i. Fluctuation Filtering Percentage: It's advisable to set this parameter to ten times the size of the average bar in your specific market, as this helps effectively mitigate the impact of market fluctuations. While the initial default is 0.4(%), based on the BTCUSDT market, it's crucial to adjust this figure to align with the characteristics of different assets or markets you're trading in.
ii. Fluctuation Filtering Bars: This parameter designates the count of preceding bars to consider when assessing market fluctuations. It's fully customizable, allowing you to tailor it based on your market insights. The preset default is 3, a balance chosen to minimize susceptibility to potentially misleading signals.
iii. Trend Confirmation Percentage: This metric is pivotal for verifying the viability of a trend post-entry. If the trade doesn't achieve this percentage in profit, it indicates a deviation from the expected trend. Under such circumstances, it may be prudent to exit the trade prematurely rather than awaiting the stop-loss trigger. It's recommended to set this parameter at half the size of the average candle body for the market you're analyzing. The initial default is set at 0.2(%).
4. StopLoss and TakeProfit
i. StopLoss and TakeProfit Settings: Two distinct approaches are available. Semi-Automatic StopLoss/TakeProfit Setting and Manual StopLoss/TakeProfit Setting. The Semi-Automatic mode streamlines the process by allowing you to input values for a 5-minute timeframe, subsequently auto-adjusting these values across various timeframes, both lower and higher. Conversely, the Manual mode offers full control, enabling you to meticulously define TakeProfit values for each individual timeframe.
ii. TakeProfit Threshold # and TakeProfit Value #: Imagine this mechanism as an ascending staircase. Each step represents a range, with the lower boundary (TakeProfit Value) designed to close the trade upon being reached, and the upper boundary (TakeProfit Threshold) upon being hit, propelling the trade to the next level, and forming a new range. This stair-stepping approach enhances risk management and has the potential to increase profitability. The pre-set configurations are tailored for volatile markets, such as BTCUSDT. It's advisable to devote time to tailoring these settings to your specific market, aiming to achieve optimal results based on backtesting.
iii. StopLoss Value: In line with its name, this value marks the limit of loss you're prepared to accept should the market trend go against your expectations. It's crucial to note that once your asset reaches the first TakeProfit range, the initial StopLoss value becomes obsolete, supplanted by the first TakeProfit Value. The default StopLoss value is pegged at 1.8(%), a figure worth considering in your trading strategy.
VII) Entry Conditions
The principal element that triggers the signal is the Modified Supertrend. Additional indicators serve as confirmatory tools. Nonetheless, to refine your strategy effectively, it's crucial to fine-tune the parameters. This involves adjusting input variables such as take profit levels, threshold parameters, and the filtering values discussed previously.
VIII) Exit Conditions
The strategy stipulates exit conditions primarily governed by stop loss and take profit parameters. On infrequent occasions, if the trend lacks confirmation post-entry, the strategy mandates an exit upon the issuance of a reverse signal (whether confirmed or unconfirmed) by the strategy itself.
Good Luck!!
Smart DCA StrategyINSPIRATION
While Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) is a popular and stress-free investment approach, I noticed an opportunity for enhancement. Standard DCA involves buying consistently, regardless of market conditions, which can sometimes mean missing out on optimal investment opportunities. This led me to develop the Smart DCA Strategy – a 'set and forget' method like traditional DCA, but with an intelligent twist to boost its effectiveness.
The goal was to build something more profitable than a standard DCA strategy so it was equally important that this indicator could backtest its own results in an A/B test manner against the regular DCA strategy.
WHY IS IT SMART?
The key to this strategy is its dynamic approach: buying aggressively when the market shows signs of being oversold, and sitting on the sidelines when it's not. This approach aims to optimize entry points, enhancing the potential for better returns while maintaining the simplicity and low stress of DCA.
WHAT THIS STRATEGY IS, AND IS NOT
This is an investment style strategy. It is designed to improve upon the common standard DCA investment strategy. It is therefore NOT a day trading strategy. Feel free to experiment with various timeframes, but it was designed to be used on a daily timeframe and that's how I recommend it to be used.
You may also go months without any buy signals during bull markets, but remember that is exactly the point of the strategy - to keep your buying power on the sidelines until the markets have significantly pulled back. You need to be patient and trust in the historical backtesting you have performed.
HOW IT WORKS
The Smart DCA Strategy leverages a creative approach to using Moving Averages to identify the most opportune moments to buy. A trigger occurs when a daily candle, in its entirety including the high wick, closes below the threshold line or box plotted on the chart. The indicator is designed to facilitate both backtesting and live trading.
HOW TO USE
Settings:
The input parameters for tuning have been intentionally simplified in an effort to prevent users falling into the overfitting trap.
The main control is the Buying strictness scale setting. Setting this to a lower value will provide more buying days (less strict) while higher values mean less buying days (more strict). In my testing I've found level 9 to provide good all round results.
Validation days is a setting to prevent triggering entries until the asset has spent a given number of days (candles) in the overbought state. Increasing this makes entries stricter. I've found 0 to give the best results across most assets.
In the backtest settings you can also configure how much to buy for each day an entry triggers. Blind buy size is the amount you would buy every day in a standard DCA strategy. Smart buy size is the amount you would buy each day a Smart DCA entry is triggered.
You can also experiment with backtesting your strategy over different historical datasets by using the Start date and End date settings. The results table will not calculate for any trades outside what you've set in the date range settings.
Backtesting:
When backtesting you should use the results table on the top right to tune and optimise the results of your strategy. As with all backtests, be careful to avoid overfitting the parameters. It's better to have a setup which works well across many currencies and historical periods than a setup which is excellent on one dataset but bad on most others. This gives a much higher probability that it will be effective when you move to live trading.
The results table provides a clear visual representation as to which strategy, standard or smart, is more profitable for the given dataset. You will notice the columns are dynamically coloured red and green. Their colour changes based on which strategy is more profitable in the A/B style backtest - green wins, red loses. The key metrics to focus on are GOA (Gain on Account) and Avg Cost .
Live Trading:
After you've finished backtesting you can proceed with configuring your alerts for live trading.
But first, you need to estimate the amount you should buy on each Smart DCA entry. We can use the Total invested row in the results table to calculate this. Assuming we're looking to trade on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Decide how much USD you would spend each day to buy BTC if you were using a standard DCA strategy. Lets say that is $5 per day
Enter that USD amount in the Blind buy size settings box
Check the Blind Buy column in the results table. If we set the backtest date range to the last 10 years, we would expect the amount spent on blind buys over 10 years to be $18,250 given $5 each day
Next we need to tweak the value of the Smart buy size parameter in setting to get it as close as we can to the Total Invested amount for Blind Buy
By following this approach it means we will invest roughly the same amount into our Smart DCA strategy as we would have into a standard DCA strategy over any given time period.
After you have calculated the Smart buy size , you can go ahead and set up alerts on Smart DCA buy triggers.
BOT AUTOMATION
In an effort to maintain the 'set and forget' stress-free benefits of a standard DCA strategy, I have set my personal Smart DCA Strategy up to be automated. The bot runs on AWS and I have a fully functional project for the bot on my GitHub account. Just reach out if you would like me to point you towards it. You can also hook this into any other 3rd party trade automation system of your choice using the pre-configured alerts within the indicator.
PLANNED FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS
Currently this is purely an accumulation strategy. It does not have any sell signals right now but I have ideas on how I will build upon it to incorporate an algorithm for selling. The strategy should gradually offload profits in bull markets which generates more USD which gives more buying power to rinse and repeat the same process in the next cycle only with a bigger starting capital. Watch this space!
MARKETS
Crypto:
This strategy has been specifically built to work on the crypto markets. It has been developed, backtested and tuned against crypto markets and I personally only run it on crypto markets to accumulate more of the coins I believe in for the long term. In the section below I will provide some backtest results from some of the top crypto assets.
Stocks:
I've found it is generally more profitable than a standard DCA strategy on the majority of stocks, however the results proved to be a lot more impressive on crypto. This is mainly due to the volatility and cycles found in crypto markets. The strategy makes its profits from capitalising on pullbacks in price. Good stocks on the other hand tend to move up and to the right with less significant pullbacks, therefore giving this strategy less opportunity to flourish.
Forex:
As this is an accumulation style investment strategy, I do not recommend that you use it to trade Forex.
STRATEGY IN ACTION
Here you see the indicator running on the BITSTAMP:BTCUSD pair. You can read the indicator as follows:
Vertical green bands on historical candles represents where buy signals triggered in the past
Table on the top right represents the results of the A/B backtest against a standard DCA strategy
Green Smart Buy column shows that Smart DCA was more profitable than standard DCA on this backtest. That is shown by the percentage GOA (Gain on Account) and the Avg Cost
Smart Buy Zone label marks the threshold which the entire candle must be below to trigger a buy signal (line can be changed to a box under plotting settings)
Green color of Smart Buy Zone label represents that the open candle is still valid for a buy signal. A signal will only be generated if the candle closes while this label is still green
Below is the same BITSTAMP:BTCUSD chart a couple of days later. Notice how the threshold has been broken and the Smart Buy Zone label has turned from green to red. No buy signal can be triggered for this day - even if the candle retraced and closed below the threshold before daily candle close.
Notice how the green vertical bands tend to be present after significant pullbacks in price. This is the reason the strategy works! Below is the same BITSTAMP:BTCUSD chart, but this time zoomed out to present a clearer picture of the times it would invest vs times it would sit out of the market. You will notice it invests heavily in bear markets and significant pullbacks, and does not buy anything during bull markets.
Finally, to visually demonstrate the indicator on an asset other than BTC, here is an example on CRYPTO:ETHUSD . In this case the current daily high has not touched the threshold so it is still possible for this to be a valid buy trigger on daily candle close. The vertical green band will not print until the buy trigger is confirmed.
BACKTEST RESULTS
Now for some backtest results to demonstrate the improved performance over a standard DCA strategy using all non-stablecoin assets in the top 30 cryptos by marketcap.
I've used the TradingView ticker (exchange name denoted as CRYPTO in the symbol search) for every symbol tested with the exception of BTCUSD because there was some dodgy data at the beginning of the TradingView BTCUSD chart which overinflated the effectiveness of the Smart DCA strategy on that ticker. For BTCUSD I've used the BITSTAMP exchange data. The symbol links below will take you to the correct chart and exchange used for the test.
I'm using the GOA (Gain on Account) values to present how each strategy performed.
The value on the left side is the standard DCA result and the right is the Smart DCA result.
✅ means Smart DCA strategy outperformed the standard DCA strategy
❌ means standard DCA strategy outperformed the Smart DCA strategy
To avoid overfitting, and to prove that this strategy does not suffer from overfitting, I've used the exact same input parameters for every symbol tested below. The settings used in these backtests are:
Buying strictness scale: 9
Validation days: 0
You can absolutely tweak the values per symbol to further improve the results of each, however I think using identical settings on every pair tested demonstrates a higher likelihood that the results will be similar in the live markets.
I'm presenting results for two time periods:
First price data available for trading pair -> closing candle on Friday 26th Jan 2024 (ALL TIME)
Opening candle on Sunday 1st Jan 2023 -> closing candle on Friday 26th Jan 2024 (JAN 2023 -> JAN 2024)
ALL TIME:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 80,884% / 133,582% ✅
CRYPTO:ETHUSD 17,231% / 36,146% ✅
CRYPTO:BNBUSD 5,314% / 2,702% ❌
CRYPTO:SOLUSD 1,745% / 1,171% ❌
CRYPTO:XRPUSD 2,585% / 4,544% ✅
CRYPTO:ADAUSD 338% / 353% ✅
CRYPTO:AVAXUSD 130% / 160% ✅
CRYPTO:DOGEUSD 13,690% / 16,432% ✅
CRYPTO:TRXUSD 414% / 466% ✅
CRYPTO:DOTUSD -16% / -7% ✅
CRYPTO:LINKUSD 1,161% / 2,164% ✅
CRYPTO:TONUSD 25% / 47% ✅
CRYPTO:MATICUSD 1,769% / 1,587% ❌
CRYPTO:ICPUSD 70% / 50% ❌
CRYPTO:SHIBUSD -20% / -19% ✅
CRYPTO:LTCUSD 486% / 718% ✅
CRYPTO:BCHUSD -4% / 3% ✅
CRYPTO:LEOUSD 102% / 151% ✅
CRYPTO:ATOMUSD 46% / 91% ✅
CRYPTO:UNIUSD -16% / 1% ✅
CRYPTO:ETCUSD 283% / 414% ✅
CRYPTO:OKBUSD 1,286% / 1,935% ✅
CRYPTO:XLMUSD 1,471% / 1,592% ✅
CRYPTO:INJUSD 830% / 1,035% ✅
CRYPTO:OPUSD 138% / 195% ✅
CRYPTO:NEARUSD 23% / 44% ✅
Backtest result analysis:
Assuming we have an initial investment amount of $10,000 spread evenly across each asset since the creation of each asset, it would have provided the following results.
Standard DCA Strategy results:
Average percent return: 4,998.65%
Profit: $499,865
Closing balance: $509,865
Smart DCA Strategy results:
Average percent return: 7,906.03%
Profit: $790,603
Closing balance: $800,603
JAN 2023 -> JAN 2024:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 47% / 66% ✅
CRYPTO:ETHUSD 26% / 33% ✅
CRYPTO:BNBUSD 15% / 17% ✅
CRYPTO:SOLUSD 272% / 394% ✅
CRYPTO:XRPUSD 7% / 12% ✅
CRYPTO:ADAUSD 43% / 59% ✅
CRYPTO:AVAXUSD 116% / 151% ✅
CRYPTO:DOGEUSD 8% / 14% ✅
CRYPTO:TRXUSD 48% / 65% ✅
CRYPTO:DOTUSD 24% / 35% ✅
CRYPTO:LINKUSD 83% / 124% ✅
CRYPTO:TONUSD 7% / 21% ✅
CRYPTO:MATICUSD -3% / 7% ✅
CRYPTO:ICPUSD 161% / 196% ✅
CRYPTO:SHIBUSD 1% / 8% ✅
CRYPTO:LTCUSD -15% / -7% ✅
CRYPTO:BCHUSD 47% / 68% ✅
CRYPTO:LEOUSD 9% / 11% ✅
CRYPTO:ATOMUSD 1% / 15% ✅
CRYPTO:UNIUSD 9% / 23% ✅
CRYPTO:ETCUSD 27% / 40% ✅
CRYPTO:OKBUSD 21% / 30% ✅
CRYPTO:XLMUSD 11% / 19% ✅
CRYPTO:INJUSD 477% / 446% ❌
CRYPTO:OPUSD 77% / 91% ✅
CRYPTO:NEARUSD 78% / 95% ✅
Backtest result analysis:
Assuming we have an initial investment amount of $10,000 spread evenly across each asset for the duration of 2023, it would have provided the following results.
Standard DCA Strategy results:
Average percent return: 61.42%
Profit: $6,142
Closing balance: $16,142
Smart DCA Strategy results:
Average percent return: 78.19%
Profit: $7,819
Closing balance: $17,819
DSKOLI TableThis helps to determine bullish or bearish trend of any chart on any generally available time-frame and good to have for Intraday watch.
Details -
a. Points shown in table shows the difference of last shown price from specified EMAs, this helps to know the price movement of candles are above or below the EMA and its coloured with red and green which even further helps to determine its existing trend.
Note or Disclaimer:
1. This may be considered only for Watching as Learning and informational purpose.
2. Take advice from financial advisor before entering, holding, converting or exiting from any order or trade.
3. Always keep your acceptable stop-loss in all your transactions while trading or investing.
DSKOLI or TradingView reserves all right and don't hold any responsibilities for any loss/losses as well as accuracy of levels or price movement.
Multi MAs mit LabelA MA (Moving Average) is useful to identify a trend of an assets. The TradingView builtin indicator "Exponential Moving Average" is useful, but limited in some aspects:
Bound to the active timeframe (e.g. h1)
One MA per indicator instance. Makes it confusing when using multiple
In reality to want to have multiple MAs with different types (EMA, SMA), length and timeframes on your chart to identify trading opportunities. As an example you can use the daily EMA12 and EMA21 to identify the trend and EMA200 on the h4 to enter a trade. That's what this script is used for.
The provided script is an extension to the indicator powered by chipmonk (link to profile below). The original script let you add up to 8 EMAs that can be bound to any timeframe and length. The timeframe and length is displayed on the chart next to EMA.
Unfortunately you can only add EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) and no SMAs (Simple Moving Averages). That's why the script was extended. You can now choose the type (EMA or SMA) for up to 8 MAs.
Links
Profile of chipmonk
Indicator by chipmonk
Trend Change IndicatorThe Trend Change Indicator is an all-in-one, user-friendly trend-following tool designed to identify bullish and bearish trends in asset prices. It features adjustable input values and a built-in alert system that promptly notifies investors of potential shifts in both short-term and long-term price trends. This alert system is crucial for helping less active investors correctly position themselves ahead of major trend shifts and assists in risk management after a trend is established. It's important to note that this indicator is most effective with assets that historically exhibit strong trends.
At the heart of this tool is the interaction between the 30-day and 60-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). A bullish trend is indicated in green when the 30-day EMA is above the 60-day EMA, while a bearish trend is signaled in red when the 30-day EMA is below the 60-day EMA. The appearance of gray alerts users to potential shifts in the current trend as the EMAs converge, falling below the Average True Range (ATR) safety margin. This analysis is conducted across both hourly and daily timeframes, with the 4-hour timeframe providing early signals for daily trend changes. The band visually represents the interaction between the daily EMAs and is also displayed in the second row of the table, with the first row showing the same EMA interaction on the 4-hour timeframe.
This indicator also includes a 140-day (20-week) Simple Moving Average (SMA), visually represented by a line with predictive dots. This feature significantly enhances the investor's ability to understand long-term trends in asset prices, offering forward-looking insights by projecting the SMA value 10 days into the future. The value of this forecast lies in interpreting the slope of the dots; upward trending dots suggest a bullish underlying trend, while downward trending dots indicate a bearish trend. Generally, prices above the SMA signal bullishness, and prices below indicate bearishness.
In summary, the Trend Change Indicator is a comprehensive solution for identifying price trends and managing risk. Its intuitive, color-coded design makes it an indispensable tool for traders and investors who aim to be well-positioned ahead of trend shifts and manage risk once a trend has been established. While it has proven historically valuable in trending markets such as cryptocurrencies, tech stocks, and commodities, it is advisable to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for a more comprehensive and well-rounded decision-making process.
Bitcoin ETFs Clustered EMA [UOI]The 'Bitcoin ETFs Clustered EMA ' is designed to track and analyze the combined movement of various Bitcoin-related ETFs. This indicator incorporates a range of prominent ETFs, including iShares Bitcoin (IBIT), Bitwise Bitcoin (BITB), Tidal Bitcoin (DEFI), ARK Bitcoin (ARKB), Grayscale Bitcoin (GBTC), Fidelity Bitcoin (FBTC), WisdomTree Bitcoin (BTCW), Invesco Bitcoin (BTCO), Valkyrie Bitcoin (BRRR), VanEck Bitcoin (HODL), and Franklin Bitcoin (EZBC). By normalizing their prices to a unified scale and applying Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of different lengths (Short, Long, and Extra Long), it provides a comprehensive view of the aggregated trend strength and direction in the Bitcoin ETF market. Its color-coded plotting system offers quick visual cues for market sentiment, making it an invaluable tool for traders focusing on Bitcoin-related securities.
Apply this indicator to the charts of NASDAQ:MARA or AMEX:SPY to see how you can effectively trade these ETFs.
Remember, these do not trade 24/7, so when applied to a Bitcoin chart, the indicator only properly shows during regular trading hours. Also, since these ETFs were recently launched, don't expect them to work properly on longer timeframes like the daily chart. You need to use it on lower timeframes; otherwise, the EMAs may not display correctly. As time passes, you will be able to use it on higher timeframes.
EMA + Lower Timeframe EMA (correct display in Replay Mode)This indicator shows
one EMA for the current timeframe
one EMA for a lower timeframe
Unlike the built-in Tradingview EMA indicator, this indicator shows the correct values for the lower timeframe EMA during Replay Mode.
EXPONOVA @thejamiulNSE:NIFTY "EXPONOVA @thejamiul," is designed to provide traders with a visual tool to analyze market trends and potential entry or exit points. Here's an overview of its features and functionality:
1. Dual Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
The indicator utilizes two EMAs with different lengths - one set at 20 periods and the other at 55 periods. These EMAs are calculated based on the closing prices of the assets.
2. Color Gradient Feature:
A unique aspect of this indicator is its use of a color gradient to visually represent the relationship between the price and the longer EMA (55 periods). The gradient consists of a series of colors ranging from shades of red to green.
3. Dynamic Color Adaptation:
The indicator dynamically changes the color of the area between the two EMAs. This color change is based on the position of the closing price relative to the longer EMA (55 periods). The color shifts through the gradient based on the number of bars since the price last crossed the longer EMA.
4. Close Price and EMA Interaction:
The script includes functions to determine whether the closing price is above or below the longer EMA. This interaction is a crucial part of how the color gradient is applied.
5. Visualisation of Market Trends:
By plotting these EMAs and the color-filled area between them, the indicator provides a visual representation of market trends. The changing colors can help traders in identifying trend strength, potential reversals, or consolidation phases.
6. Overlay on Price Chart:
The indicator is designed to overlay directly on the price chart, making it easier for traders to correlate the EMAs and the color gradient with price movements.
7. Explicit Mention of Originality:
One of the distinctive features of 'EXPONOVA @thejamiul' is its innovative use of a color gradient to visually represent the price's relationship with the longer EMA. This approach, combined with our specific choice of EMAs and the dynamic color adaptation technique, sets this script apart from standard EMA-based indicators.
8. Acknowledgement of Potential Shortcomings or Limitations:
While 'EXPONOVA @thejamiul' provides a dynamic visual aid for trend analysis, users should note that like all indicators, it is subject to market volatility and should be used in conjunction with other analysis methods. This script is best suited for , and users may need to adjust settings for optimal performance in different market scenarios.
9. Summary:
"EXPONOVA @thejamiul" is a visually intuitive and dynamic trading tool that combines dual EMAs with a unique color gradient feature to aid traders in making informed decisions based on the relationship between price trends and moving averages.
{Gunzo} Trend Sniper (Multiple MAs with coefficient)Updated GUNZO's Trend Sniper script by adding in different MA types to choose from. This can help reduce false signals and sharpen the trend reversal points.
Here's a summary of the key changes:
1. Multiple Moving Average Types: The original script was focused solely on the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) with a coefficient. The updated script introduces flexibility by allowing users to choose from a variety of Moving Average types, including WMA, VWMA (Volume Weighted Moving Average), EMA (Exponential Moving Average), SMA (Simple Moving Average), HullMA (Hull Moving Average), TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average), DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average), T3, and RMA (Running Moving Average).
2. Coefficient Integration: In the original script, the coefficient was specifically designed for the WMA calculation. The updated script extends this concept to all the selected Moving Average types. This coefficient is applied differently depending on the type of MA, often affecting the length of the MA calculation.
3. Dynamic Length Calculation: For MAs that traditionally use an integer length (like SMA, EMA, etc.), the updated script calculates this length dynamically by multiplying the user-defined length by the coefficient and then rounding it to the nearest integer. This ensures compatibility with Pine Script's requirements for these functions.
All credits to GUNZO
original script:
Zero-lag Volatility-Breakout EMA Trend StrategyThis is a simple volatility-breakout strategy which uses the difference in two different zero-lag* EMAs (explained below on what exactly I mean by this) to track the upwards or downwards strength of an instrument. When the difference breaks above a Bollinger Band of a configurable standard deviation multiple, the strategy enters based off the direction of the base EMA used (i.e. if the difference breaks above and the current EMA is rising, a long entry is produced. If the difference breaks above and the current EMA is falling, a short entry is produced).
The two EMA-type metrics used to calculate the volatility difference are calculated by the following formula:
top_ema = math.max(src, ta.ema(src, length))
bottom_ema = math.min(src, ta.ema(src, length))
ema_difference = (top_ema - bottom_ema) - 1
This produces a difference which responds immediately to large price movements, instead of lagging if it used strictly the EMA itself.
SETTINGS
Source : The source of the strategy - close, hlc3, another indicator plot, etc.
EMA Difference Length : The length of both the EMA difference statistics and the base EMA used to calculate the entry side.
Standard Deviation Multiple : The Bollinger Bands multiple used when the difference is breaking out.
Use Binary Strategy : The strategy has two configurations: Binary and Rapid-Exit. 'Binary' means that it will not close a long position until a short position is generated, and vice-versa. 'Rapid-Exit' will close a long or short position once the difference reaches the middle Bollinger Band MA. This means that turning on 'Binary' will expose you to more market risk, but potentially greater market return. Turning off 'Binary' will exit quickly and reduce drawdown.
The strategy results below use 10% equity and 0.1% fees per trade.
