Bayesian Price Projection Model [Pinescriptlabs]📊 Dynamic Price Projection Algorithm 📈
This algorithm combines **statistical calculations**, **technical analysis**, and **Bayesian theory** to forecast a future price while providing **uncertainty ranges** that represent upper and lower bounds. The calculations are designed to adjust projections by considering market **trends**, **volatility**, and the historical probabilities of reaching new highs or lows.
Here’s how it works:
🚀 Future Price Projection
A dynamic calculation estimates the future price based on three key elements:
1. **Trend**: Defines whether the market is predisposed to move up or down.
2. **Volatility**: Quantifies the magnitude of the expected change based on historical fluctuations.
3. **Time Factor**: Uses the logarithm of the projected period (`proyeccion_dias`) to adjust how time impacts the estimate.
🧠 **Bayesian Probabilistic Adjustment**
- Conditional probabilities are calculated using **Bayes' formula**:
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This models future events using conditional information:
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time high** if the price is trending upward.
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time low** if the price is trending downward.
- These probabilities refine the future price estimate by considering:
- **Higher volatility** increases the likelihood of hitting extreme levels (highs/lows).
- **Market trends** influence the expected price movement direction.
🌟 **Volatility Calculation**
- Volatility is measured using the **ATR (Average True Range)** indicator with a 14-period window. This reflects the average amplitude of price fluctuations.
- To express volatility as a percentage, the ATR is normalized by dividing it by the closing price and multiplying it by 200.
- Volatility is then categorized into descriptive levels (e.g., **Very Low**, **Low**, **Moderate**, etc.) for better interpretation.
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🎯 **Deviation Limits (Upper and Lower)**
- The upper and lower limits form a **projected range** around the estimated future price, providing a framework for uncertainty.
- These limits are calculated by adjusting the ATR using:
- A user-defined **multiplier** (`factor_desviacion`).
- **Bayesian probabilities** calculated earlier.
- The **square root of the projected period** (`proyeccion_dias`), incorporating the principle that uncertainty grows over time.
🔍 **Interpreting the Model**
This can be seen as a **dynamic probabilistic model** that:
- Combines **technical analysis** (trends and ATR).
- Refines probabilities using **Bayesian theory**.
- Provides a **visual projection range** to help you understand potential future price movements and associated uncertainties.
⚡ Whether you're analyzing **volatile markets** or confirming **bullish/bearish scenarios**, this tool equips you with a robust, data-driven approach! 🚀
Español :
📊 Algoritmo de Proyección de Precio Dinámico 📈
Este algoritmo combina **cálculos estadísticos**, **análisis técnico** y **la teoría de Bayes** para proyectar un precio futuro, junto con rangos de **incertidumbre** que representan los límites superior e inferior. Los cálculos están diseñados para ajustar las proyecciones considerando la **tendencia del mercado**, **volatilidad** y las probabilidades históricas de alcanzar nuevos máximos o mínimos.
Aquí se explica su funcionamiento:
🚀 **Proyección de Precio Futuro**
Se realiza un cálculo dinámico del precio futuro estimado basado en tres elementos clave:
1. **Tendencia**: Define si el mercado tiene predisposición a subir o bajar.
2. **Volatilidad**: Determina la magnitud del cambio esperado en función de las fluctuaciones históricas.
3. **Factor de Tiempo**: Usa el logaritmo del período proyectado (`proyeccion_dias`) para ajustar cómo el tiempo afecta la estimación.
🧠 **Ajuste Probabilístico con la Teoría de Bayes**
- Se calculan probabilidades condicionales mediante la fórmula de **Bayes**:
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Esto permite modelar eventos futuros considerando información condicional:
- **Probabilidad de alcanzar un nuevo máximo histórico** si el precio sube.
- **Probabilidad de alcanzar un nuevo mínimo histórico** si el precio baja.
- Estas probabilidades ajustan la estimación del precio futuro considerando:
- **Mayor volatilidad** aumenta la probabilidad de alcanzar niveles extremos (máximos/mínimos).
- **La tendencia del mercado** afecta la dirección esperada del movimiento del precio.
🌟 **Cálculo de Volatilidad**
- La volatilidad se mide usando el indicador **ATR (Average True Range)** con un período de 14 velas. Este indicador refleja la amplitud promedio de las fluctuaciones del precio.
- Para obtener un valor porcentual, el ATR se normaliza dividiéndolo por el precio de cierre y multiplicándolo por 200.
- Además, se clasifica esta volatilidad en categorías descriptivas (e.g., **Muy Baja**, **Baja**, **Moderada**, etc.) para facilitar su interpretación.
🎯 **Límites de Desviación (Superior e Inferior)**
- Los límites superior e inferior representan un **rango proyectado** en torno al precio futuro estimado, proporcionando un marco para la incertidumbre.
- Estos límites se calculan ajustando el ATR según:
- Un **multiplicador** definido por el usuario (`factor_desviacion`).
- Las **probabilidades condicionales** calculadas previamente.
- La **raíz cuadrada del período proyectado** (`proyeccion_dias`), lo que incorpora el principio de que la incertidumbre aumenta con el tiempo.
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🔍 **Interpretación del Modelo**
Este modelo se puede interpretar como un **modelo probabilístico dinámico** que:
- Integra **análisis técnico** (tendencias y ATR).
- Ajusta probabilidades utilizando **la teoría de Bayes**.
- Proporciona un **rango de proyección visual** para ayudarte a entender los posibles movimientos futuros del precio y su incertidumbre.
⚡ Ya sea que estés analizando **mercados volátiles** o confirmando **escenarios alcistas/bajistas**, ¡esta herramienta te ofrece un enfoque robusto y basado en datos! 🚀
Moving Averages
GoldenTradz EMA+SMA Insight Multi Timeframe - [TilakBala]GoldenTradz EMA+SMA Insight Multi-Timeframe
📊 Indicator By: TilakBala from GoldenTradz — Revolutionize your trading approach with precision and insight!
Unlock the full potential of moving averages with the GoldenTradz EMA+SMA Insight indicator. This feature-packed tool combines the strength of Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) and Simple Moving Averages (SMA), offering unmatched flexibility and clarity for traders. Whether you're a beginner or a pro, this indicator empowers you to make well-informed trading decisions across multiple timeframes.
Key Features & Advantages:
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Seamlessly analyze market trends using EMAs and SMAs from different timeframes on a single chart.
Gain a broader perspective by comparing short-term and long-term trends.
Customizable Settings:
Adjust EMA and SMA lengths, sources, and timeframes to fit your trading strategy perfectly.
Enable or disable specific moving averages for a clutter-free chart view.
Enhanced Trend Detection:
Identify bullish and bearish trends quickly using visually distinct EMAs and SMAs.
Use shorter EMAs for faster signals and longer SMAs for reliable trend confirmation.
Overlay Design:
Plots moving averages directly on the price chart for effortless analysis.
Distinct colors and line thicknesses ensure clear identification of each moving average.
Versatile Applications:
Suitable for scalping, day trading, swing trading, and long-term investments.
Works flawlessly with stocks, forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, indices, and more.
Decision-Making Support:
Crossovers between EMAs and SMAs help identify potential buy or sell opportunities.
Monitor key support and resistance levels dynamically.
Efficiency in Market Noise:
EMAs provide rapid responsiveness in volatile markets.
SMAs help smooth out market noise for clearer long-term trends.
Adaptable to Any Strategy:
Perfect for breakout, trend-following, and mean-reversion strategies.
Combine with other indicators for a comprehensive trading system.
User-Friendly:
Intuitive interface with clear input fields for quick setup.
Suitable for traders of all experience levels.
📊 Indicator By: TilakBala from GoldenTradz — Revolutionize your trading approach with precision and insight!
Transform your trading with GoldenTradz EMA+SMA Insight — the ultimate tool for trend and momentum analysis.
VD Zig Zag with SMAIntroduction
The VD Zig Zag with SMA indicator is a powerful tool designed to streamline technical analysis by combining Zig Zag swing lines with a Simple Moving Average (SMA). It offers traders a clear and intuitive way to analyze price trends, market structure, and potential reversals, all within a customizable framework.
Definition
The Zig Zag indicator is a trend-following tool that highlights significant price movements by filtering out smaller fluctuations. It visually connects swing highs and lows to reveal the underlying market structure. When paired with an SMA, it provides an additional layer of trend confirmation, helping traders align their strategies with market momentum.
Calculations
Zig Zag Logic:
Swing highs and lows are determined using a user-defined length parameter.
The highest and lowest points within the specified range are identified using the ta.highest() and ta.lowest() functions.
Zig Zag lines dynamically connect these swing points to visually map price movements.
SMA Logic:
The SMA is calculated using the closing prices over a user-defined period.
It smooths out price action to provide a clearer view of the prevailing trend.
The indicator allows traders to adjust the Zig Zag length and SMA period to suit their preferred trading timeframe and strategy.
Takeaways
Enhanced Trend Analysis: The Zig Zag lines clearly define the market's structural highs and lows, helping traders identify trends and reversals.
Customizable Parameters: Both the swing length and SMA period can be tailored for short-term or long-term trading strategies.
Visual Clarity: By filtering out noise, the indicator simplifies chart analysis and enables better decision-making.
Multi-Timeframe Support: Adapts seamlessly to the chart's timeframe, ensuring usability across all trading horizons.
Limitations
Lagging Nature: As with any indicator, the Zig Zag and SMA components are reactive and may lag during sudden price movements.
Sensitivity to Parameters: Improper parameter settings can lead to overfitting, where the indicator reacts too sensitively or misses significant trends.
Does Not Predict: This indicator identifies trends and structure but does not provide forward-looking predictions.
Summary
The VD Zig Zag with SMA indicator is a versatile and easy-to-use tool that combines the strengths of Zig Zag swing analysis and moving average trends. It helps traders filter market noise, visualize structural patterns, and confirm trends with greater confidence. While it comes with limitations inherent to all technical tools, its customizable features and multi-timeframe adaptability make it an excellent addition to any trader’s toolkit.
Additional Features
Have an idea or a feature you'd like to see added?
Feel free to reach out or share your suggestions here—I’m always open to updates!
Dynamic Staircase - AYNETExplanation
Step Logic:
Each step is created dynamically when the price exceeds the current step's level by the specified step_size.
Steps go up or down, depending on the price movement.
Dynamic Levels:
The script tracks the last_step_price to determine when a new step is required.
Visualization:
Steps are drawn using line.new, and their colors change based on the direction (green for up, red for down).
A simple stickman is placed at the latest step to represent movement dynamically.
Inputs
Step Size: Controls the price difference required to create a new step.
Colors: Customize the colors for up steps, down steps, and the stickman.
What You’ll See
A staircase-like chart that moves dynamically with the price.
Each new step appears when the price moves up or down by the specified step size.
A stickman drawn at the latest step to simulate movement.
Further Customizations
Step Direction Labels:
Add labels like "Up" or "Down" at each step.
Advanced Stickman Animation:
Modify the stickman design to show motion or additional shapes.
Historical Steps:
Store and display all past steps as part of the staircase visualization.
Let me know if you'd like to extend this further or add trading-specific functionality! 😊
SPX Open vs SMA AlertThis indicator is specifically designed to identify the first market-relevant candle of the S&P 500 (SPX) after the market opens. The opening price of the trading day is compared to a customizable simple moving average (SMA) period. A visual marker and an alert are triggered when the opening price is above the SMA. Perfect for traders seeking early market trends or integrating automated trading strategies.
Features:
Market Open: The indicator uses the New York market open time (09:30 ET), accounting for time zones and daylight saving time changes.
Flexible Time Offset: Users can set a time offset to trigger alerts after the market opens.
Customizable SMA: The SMA period is adjustable, with a default value of 10.
Visual Representation: A step-line SMA is plotted directly on the chart with subtle transparency and clean markers.
Alert Functionality: Alerts are triggered when conditions are met (opening price > SMA).
Usage:
This indicator is ideal for identifying relevant trading signals early in the session.
Alerts can also serve as triggers for automated trading, e.g., in conjunction with the Trading Automation Toolbox.
Supports both intraday and daily charts.
Alarm Settings:
Select the appropriate symbol (e.g., SPX) and the alert condition "SPX Open > SMA10".
Trigger Settings:
Choose "Once Per Bar Close" to ensure the condition is evaluated at the end of each candle.
If you prefer to evaluate the condition immediately when it becomes true, choose "Once Per Minute".
Duration:
Set the alarm to "Open-ended" if you want it to remain active indefinitely.
Alternatively, set a specific expiration date for the alarm.
followerFollower Indicator
This custom Follower Indicator is designed to track market trends and generate buy/sell signals based on price movements and adaptive moving averages. The indicator adjusts dynamically to market conditions using an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a smoothed average of the high-low range over the last 20 bars.
Key Features:
Adaptive Trend Following: The indicator uses an EMA of the close price along with a dynamically adjusted range (high-low) to create an adaptive trend-following line.
Buy and Sell Signals: Buy signals are generated when the EMA crosses above the follower line, while sell signals occur when the follower line crosses above the EMA.
Dynamic Color Coding: The indicator line changes color based on the relationship between the price and the follower line. It turns blue when the price is above the follower line and red when the price is below.
Customizable Parameters: Users can adjust the range multiplier (oran) and the EMA period (uzunluk) to fine-tune the indicator to different market conditions.
How to Use:
Buy Signal: A buy signal is triggered when the EMA crosses above the follower line.
Sell Signal: A sell signal is triggered when the follower line crosses above the EMA.
Notes:
This indicator is intended to help identify market trends and potential entry/exit points based on price behavior and momentum.
It is recommended to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and risk management strategies.
Feel free to adjust the parameters based on your trading style and preferences. Happy trading!
Trend & Volume Dynamics Indicator (Color identifying the Trend)Benefits
1. Trend Identification:
o The script calculates a 20-period Weighted Moving Average (WMA) of the closing prices. This helps in smoothing out price data to identify the underlying trend.
o The color of the WMA line changes based on the price position relative to the WMA:
Green: When the current price is above the WMA, indicating a potential uptrend.
Red: When the current price is below the WMA, indicating a potential downtrend.
Blue: When the price is exactly at the WMA, indicating no clear trend.
2. Volume Dynamics:
o The script also plots the volume with a color-coding mechanism:
Green: When the current volume is higher than the previous period's volume, indicating increasing trading activity.
Red: When the current volume is lower than the previous period's volume, indicating decreasing trading activity.
o The volume bars are plotted with 90% transparency, making them less visually dominant but still informative.
Usage
• Overlay: The indicator is set to overlay=true, meaning it will be plotted directly on the price chart, allowing users to see the WMA and volume dynamics in the context of the price movements.
• WMA Length: The length of the WMA is set to 20 periods, which is a common setting for short to medium-term trend analysis.
• Visual Cues: The color changes in both the WMA and volume bars provide immediate visual cues about the trend and volume dynamics, helping traders make quicker decisions.
Detailed Explanation of the Script
1. Indicator Declaration:
o Declares the indicator with a descriptive name and specifies that it should be overlaid on the price chart.
2. WMA Calculation:
o Defines the length of the WMA and calculates it using the closing prices.
3. Plotting the WMA:
o Plots the WMA with full brightness (0 transparency).
4. Color-Coding the WMA:
o Changes the color of the WMA line based on the price's position relative to the WMA.
5. Volume Indicator:
o Plots the volume bars with color-coding based on the volume change from the previous period and with 90% transparency.
Conclusion
One of the most best combinations of Volume and Moving average and works on any given timeframe and charts
Kalman Trend Levels [BigBeluga]Kalman Trend Levels is an advanced trend-following indicator designed to highlight key support and resistance zones based on Kalman filter crossovers. With dynamic trend analysis and actionable signals, it helps traders interpret market direction and momentum shifts effectively.
🔵 Key Features:
Trend Levels with Crossover Boxes: Identifies trend shifts by tracking crossovers between fast and slow Kalman filters. When the fast line crosses above the slow line, a green box level appears, indicating a potential support zone. When it crosses below, a red box level forms, acting as a resistance zone.
Retest Signals for Support and Resistance Levels: Enable retest signals to capture price rejections at the established levels, providing possible re-entry points where the price confirms a support or resistance area.
Adaptive Candle Coloring by Trend Momentum: Candle colors adjust based on the trend's strength:
> During a downtrend, if the fast Kalman line shows upward movement, indicating reduced bearish momentum, candles turn gray to signal the weakening trend.
> In an uptrend, when the fast Kalman line declines, showing lower bullish momentum, candles become gray, signaling a potential slowdown in upward movement.
Crossover Signals with Price Labels: Displays arrows with price values at crossover points for quick reference, marking where the fast line overtakes or dips below the slow line. These labels provide a precise price snapshot of significant trend changes.
🔵 When to Use:
The Kalman Trend Levels indicator is ideal for traders looking to identify and act upon trend changes and significant price zones. By visualizing key levels and momentum shifts, this tool allows you to:
Define support and resistance zones that align with trend direction.
Identify and react to trend weakening or strengthening via candle color changes.
Use retest signals for potential re-entries at critical levels.
See crossover points and price values to gain a clearer view of trend changes in real time.
With its focus on trend direction, support/resistance, and momentum clarity, Kalman Trend Levels is an essential tool for navigating trending markets, providing actionable insights with every crossover and trend shift.
Scalp System# Scalp System
A premium scalping system designed specifically for 2-minute charts, combining multiple timeframe analysis with trend-based trading decisions. This indicator helps identify high-probability scalping opportunities through color-coded moving averages and their crossovers.
## Strategy Overview
### Entry Signals
- ONLY trade LONG when price is above RED line
- ONLY trade SHORT when price is below RED line
- Primary entry: BLUE/GREEN crosses
- Strong trend confirmation: YELLOW/PURPLE crosses
### Best Practices
1. Trade with the trend (follow RED line direction)
2. Wait for price pullbacks of faster lines
3. Combine crosses with support/resistance levels
4. Use smaller targets
5. Quick exits on failed breakouts
6. Monitor volume for confirmation
### Color Guide
- YELLOW: Fast trend identifier
- BLUE: Very short-term momentum (1min)
- GREEN: Short-term momentum (3min)
- RED: Trend filter
- PURPLE: Strong trend baseline
### Risk Management
- Place stops beyond the RED line
- Scale out at key levels
- Use 1:1.5 minimum risk/reward
- Avoid trading during major news
- Reduce position size in choppy markets
### Best Trading Hours
- Most effective during first 2 hours after market open
- Good opportunities during power hour (last hour)
- Avoid lunch hour chop (11:30-1:30 EST)
## Tips
- Less is more - wait for clean setups
- Respect the RED line as your trend filter
- Multiple timeframe confirmation increases success rate
- Use crosses as triggers, not absolute signals
- Practice in simulator before live trading
SynthesisDeFi - Anchored TWAPA simple Anchored TWAP created by Oliver Fujimori
Key Concept
TWAP is calculated by taking the average of multiple asset prices at regular time intervals across a set period. By averaging out these prices, TWAP helps smooth out short-term fluctuations, providing a more stable price representation over time.
Advantages of TWAP
Simplicity: The TWAP calculation is straightforward and computationally light, making it practical for on-chain calculations in DeFi.
Protection Against Flash Loan Attacks: By averaging prices over time, TWAP offers some protection against temporary price manipulations commonly seen with flash loans.
Uses and Benefits of TWAP
Reducing Market Impact for Large Orders: TWAP is used as a strategy for executing large orders by breaking them into smaller parts over a period, ensuring that the average execution price is close to the TWAP value, reducing the risk of price manipulation.
Minimizing Slippage: In DeFi, TWAP provides a stable price reference by averaging prices over time, making it less susceptible to sudden price changes (slippage) that can occur in highly volatile markets.
Protection Against Manipulation: TWAP prices are less vulnerable to flash loan attacks and sudden price spikes since they rely on multiple price points over a period rather than a single spot price.
RSI-EMA Signal by stock shooter## Strategy Description: 200 EMA Crossover with RSI, Green/Red Candles, Volume, and Exit Conditions
This strategy combines several technical indicators to identify potential long and short entry opportunities in a trading instrument. Here's a breakdown of its components:
1. 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
* The 200-period EMA acts as a long-term trend indicator.
* The strategy looks for entries when the price is above (long) or below (short) the 200 EMA.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
* The RSI measures the momentum of price movements and helps identify overbought and oversold conditions.
* The strategy looks for entries when the RSI is below 40 (oversold) for long positions and above 60 (overbought) for short positions.
3. Green/Red Candles:
* This indicator filters out potential entries based on the current candle's closing price relative to its opening price.
* The strategy only considers long entries on green candles (closing price higher than opening) and short entries on red candles (closing price lower than opening).
4. Volume:
* This indicator adds a volume filter to the entry conditions.
* The strategy only considers entries when the current candle's volume is higher than the average volume of the previous 20 candles, aiming for stronger signals.
Overall:
This strategy aims to capture long opportunities during potential uptrends and short opportunities during downtrends, based on a combination of price action, momentum, and volume confirmation.
Important Notes:
Backtesting is crucial to evaluate the historical performance of this strategy before deploying it with real capital.
Consider incorporating additional risk management techniques like stop-loss orders.
This strategy is just a starting point and can be further customized based on your trading goals and risk tolerance.
Custom V2 KillZone US / FVG / EMAThis indicator is designed for traders looking to analyze liquidity levels, opportunity zones, and the underlying trend across different trading sessions. Inspired by the ICT methodology, this tool combines analysis of Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), session management, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) detection to provide a structured and disciplined approach to trading effectively.
Indicator Features
Identifying the Underlying Trend with Two EMAs
The indicator uses two EMAs on different, customizable timeframes to define the underlying trend:
EMA1 (default set to a daily timeframe): Represents the primary underlying trend.
EMA2 (default set to a 4-hour timeframe): Helps identify secondary corrections or impulses within the main trend.
These two EMAs allow traders to stay aligned with the market trend by prioritizing trades in the direction of the moving averages. For example, if prices are above both EMAs, the trend is bullish, and long trades are favored.
Analysis of Market Sessions
The indicator divides the day into key trading sessions:
Asian Session
London Session
US Pre-Open Session
Liquidity Kill Session
US Kill Zone Session
Each session is represented by high and low zones as well as mid-lines, allowing traders to visualize liquidity levels reached during these periods. Tracking the price levels in different sessions helps determine whether liquidity levels have been "swept" (taken) or not, which is essential for ICT methodology.
Liquidity Signal ("OK" or "STOP")
A specific signal appears at the end of the "Liquidity Kill" session (just before the "US Kill Zone" session):
"OK" Signal: Indicates that liquidity conditions are favorable for trading the "US Kill Zone" session. This means that liquidity levels have been swept in previous sessions (Asian, London, US Pre-Open), and the market is ready for an opportunity.
"STOP" Signal: Indicates that it is not favorable to trade the "US Kill Zone" session, as certain liquidity conditions have not been met.
The "OK" or "STOP" signal is based on an analysis of the high and low levels from previous sessions, allowing traders to ensure that significant liquidity zones have been reached before considering positions in the "Kill Zone".
Detection of Fair Value Gaps (FVG) in the US Kill Zone Session
When an "OK" signal is displayed, the indicator identifies Fair Value Gaps (FVG) during the "US Kill Zone" session. These FVGs are areas where price may return to fill an "imbalance" in the market, making them potential entry points.
Bullish FVG: Detected when there is a bullish imbalance, providing a buying opportunity if conditions align with the underlying trend.
Bearish FVG: Detected when there is a bearish imbalance, providing a selling opportunity in the trend direction.
FVG detection aligns with the ICT Silver Bullet methodology, where these imbalance zones serve as probable entry points during the "US Kill Zone".
How to Use This Indicator
Check the Underlying Trend
Before trading, observe the two EMAs (daily and 4-hour) to understand the general market trend. Trades will be prioritized in the direction indicated by these EMAs.
Monitor Liquidity Signals After the Asian, London, and US Pre-Open Sessions
The high and low levels of each session help determine if liquidity has already been swept in these areas. At the end of the "Liquidity Kill" session, an "OK" or "STOP" label will appear:
"OK" means you can look for trading opportunities in the "US Kill Zone" session.
"STOP" means it is preferable not to take trades in the "US Kill Zone" session.
Look for Opportunities in the US Kill Zone if the Signal is "OK"
When the "OK" label is present, focus on the "US Kill Zone" session. Use the Fair Value Gaps (FVG) as potential entry points for trades based on the ICT methodology. The identified FVGs will appear as colored boxes (bullish or bearish) during this session.
Use ICT Methodology to Manage Your Trades
Follow the FVGs as potential reversal zones in the direction of the trend, and manage your positions according to your personal strategy and the rules of the ICT Silver Bullet method.
Customizable Settings
The indicator includes several customization options to suit the trader's preferences:
EMA: Length, source (close, open, etc.), and timeframe.
Market Sessions: Ability to enable or disable each session, with color and line width settings.
Liquidity Signals: Customization of colors for the "OK" and "STOP" labels.
FVG: Option to display FVGs or not, with customizable colors for bullish and bearish FVGs, and the number of bars for FVG extension.
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Cet indicateur est conçu pour les traders souhaitant analyser les niveaux de liquidité, les zones d’opportunité, et la tendance de fond à travers différentes sessions de trading. Inspiré de la méthodologie ICT, cet outil combine l'analyse des moyennes mobiles exponentielles (EMA), la gestion des sessions de marché, et la détection des Fair Value Gaps (FVG), afin de fournir une approche structurée et disciplinée pour trader efficacement.
Fibonacci Moving Average PlusFibonacci Moving Average Plus is a sophisticated technical indicator that employs the first 15 numbers of the Fibonacci sequence to create dynamic moving average channels. This indicator aims to capture both immediate and long-term price movements by calculating Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) based on these Fibonacci values. By using Fibonacci-based moving averages for both high and low price points, the indicator generates a visual channel that reflects the ebb and flow of market trends, acting as potential zones of support and resistance. Additionally, the indicator provides midline, retracement, and extension levels rooted in Fibonacci ratios, which are frequently observed as key levels for reversals or trend continuation.
Ideology Behind Using Fibonacci Sequence-Based Moving Averages
The Fibonacci sequence, known for its mathematical harmony and prevalence in natural patterns, is widely utilized in technical analysis to identify potential turning points in markets. In this indicator, the first 15 Fibonacci numbers (5, 8, 13, 21, etc.) are used as the lookback periods for EMAs to capture different layers of market sentiment. These moving averages represent timeframes that are theoretically in alignment with the natural rhythms of market cycles, where key levels—often coinciding with Fibonacci numbers—can act as magnetic points for price.
The Fibonacci high and low channels aim to encapsulate price action, giving traders a sense of whether the market is trending, consolidating, or experiencing reversal pressure. These levels, grounded in both mathematics and market psychology, help traders spot areas where price might face resistance or find support.
Key Features
Fibonacci Moving Average High and Low: This indicator calculates the high and low EMAs based on Fibonacci sequence numbers (e.g., 5, 8, 13, etc.) for enhanced trend analysis.
Golden Pocket Retracement (GPR) and Extension (GPE) Bands: Displays common Fibonacci retracement and extension levels (0.618, 0.65 for retracement, and 1.618, 1.65 for extension).
Midline: Plots the average of the Fibonacci high and low to act as an additional reference level.
Stop-Loss Levels: Provides suggested stop-loss levels based on Fibonacci levels for both long and short positions.
Basic User Guide
Adjust Input Settings:
Input Timeframe: Set a specific timeframe for the Fibonacci moving average calculation, separate from the chart's primary timeframe.
Show Fibonacci MA High/Low: Toggle the visibility of the high and low Fibonacci moving averages.
Show Mid Line: Display a midline for added trend reference.
Show Golden Pocket Bands: Choose to display retracement or extension bands for potential support or resistance zones.
Show Stop-Loss Levels: Enable to visualize potential stop-loss levels for both long and short trades.
Interpretation:
Fibonacci MA High and Low: Use these lines to gauge the general trend. When the price is above both, it may indicate an uptrend; below both, a downtrend.
Golden Pocket Retracement: This zone (between 0.618 and 0.65) is often a key level for potential reversals or support/resistance.
Golden Pocket Extension: The 1.618 and 1.65 levels can indicate potential profit-taking or trend exhaustion points.
Stop-Loss Levels: The calculated stop-loss levels (long SL below and short SL above) can aid in risk management.
Customization:
You can customize the appearance and visibility of each component through the input settings to fit your specific strategy and visual preferences.
This indicator should be used alongside other technical analysis tools to provide a more comprehensive trading approach.
This Indicator would not exist without the original contributions and blessing from Sofien Kaabar
Moving Average Percentage DifferenceMoving average is a great tool to identify the asset direction. However, it's hard to see whether the moving average speeds up or slows down from just looking at it. Ideally we want it to go faster as it will show a strong trend. And if it slows down - then the trend becomes weaker. This indicator helps to identify it. Theoretically, it could be shown with an angle of the moving average, but I don't like this idea as the angle depends on the scale: you zoom in and it looks very steep, you zoom out - and it's all flat. But the percentage change is always the percentage, no matter what zoom you use.
It also allows you to set a twilight zone to filter periods when MA does nothing.
Think about this indicator from this perspective: if a normal moving average shows the speed of a trend, then this indicator shows the change of the speed or in other words - acceleration.
Multifactor Buy/Sell Strategy V2 | RSI, MACD, ATR, EMA, Boll.BITGET:1INCHUSDT
This Pine Script code for TradingView is a multifactor Buy/Sell indicator that combines several technical factors to generate trading signals based on trend, volatility, and volume conditions. Here’s a breakdown of the main components and functionality:
Indicator Name
- Multifactor Buy/Sell Strategy V2 — an overlay indicator applied directly on the price chart.
### Input Parameters
The script includes multiple customizable parameters:
- RSI, EMA, MACD parameters — for setting periods and signals of MACD and RSI.
- ATR and Bollinger Bands — used for volatility analysis and level determination.
- Minimum Volatility Threshold — sets a minimum Bollinger Band width threshold for determining high volatility.
Core Indicators
1. RSI — calculated to identify oversold (below 30) and overbought (above 70) conditions.
2. EMA and MACD — calculates exponential moving averages and MACD histogram to determine trend direction.
3. ATR and Bollinger Bands — used to assess current volatility and establish dynamic upper and lower bands.
Volatility and Volume Analysis
- Determines the current ATR level and Bollinger Band width to evaluate high volatility.
- Calculates the volume moving average to track periods of increased volume during high volatility.
Trend Analysis
The script uses the difference between fast and slow EMAs to define strong trends:
- Uptrend — when the fast EMA is above the slow EMA, the price is above the fast EMA, and the trend is strong.
- Downtrend — when the fast EMA is below the slow EMA, the price is below the fast EMA, and the trend is strong.
Momentum Filter
- Based on the price change over the last three bars and compared against the minimum volatility threshold to identify strong momentum.
Buy and Sell Signal Generation
- Buy Signal: Uptrend with RSI oversold, positive MACD histogram, high volatility and volume, strong momentum, and sufficient Bollinger Band width.
- Sell Signal: Downtrend with RSI overbought, negative MACD histogram, high volatility and volume, strong momentum, and sufficient Bollinger Band width.
Visualization
- Buy and sell signals are displayed as green and red triangles on the chart.
- Plots for fast and slow EMAs, upper and lower bands, and Bollinger Bands.
Alerts
The script includes alert conditions for buy and sell signals, allowing notifications to be sent via email or mobile app.
Information Panel
A small table on the chart displays current volatility dataThis Pine Script code for TradingView is a multifactor Buy/Sell indicator that combines several technical factors to generate trading signals based on trend, volatility, and volume conditions. Here’s a breakdown of the main components and functionality:
Indicator Name
- Multifactor Buy/Sell Strategy V2 — an overlay indicator applied directly on the price chart.
Input Parameters
The script includes multiple customizable parameters:
- **RSI, EMA, MACD parameters** — for setting periods and signals of MACD and RSI.
- **ATR and Bollinger Bands** — used for volatility analysis and level determination.
- **Minimum Volatility Threshold** — sets a minimum Bollinger Band width threshold for determining high volatility.
Core Indicators
1. RSI — calculated to identify oversold (below 30) and overbought (above 70) conditions.
2. EMA and MACD — calculates exponential moving averages and MACD histogram to determine trend direction.
3. ATR and Bollinger Bands — used to assess current volatility and establish dynamic upper and lower bands.
Volatility and Volume Analysis
- Determines the current ATR level and Bollinger Band width to evaluate high volatility.
- Calculates the volume moving average to track periods of increased volume during high volatility.
Trend Analysis
The script uses the difference between fast and slow EMAs to define strong trends:
- Uptrend — when the fast EMA is above the slow EMA, the price is above the fast EMA, and the trend is strong.
- Downtrend — when the fast EMA is below the slow EMA, the price is below the fast EMA, and the trend is strong.
Momentum Filter
- Based on the price change over the last three bars and compared against the minimum volatility threshold to identify strong momentum.
Buy and Sell Signal Generation
- Buy Signal: Uptrend with RSI oversold, positive MACD histogram, high volatility and volume, strong momentum, and sufficient Bollinger Band width.
- Sell Signal: Downtrend with RSI overbought, negative MACD histogram, high volatility and volume, strong momentum, and sufficient Bollinger Band width.
Visualization
- Buy and sell signals are displayed as green and red triangles on the chart.
- Plots for fast and slow EMAs, upper and lower bands, and Bollinger Bands.
Alerts
The script includes alert conditions for buy and sell signals, allowing notifications to be sent via email or mobile app.
Information Panel
A small table on the chart displays current volatility
- Volatility Status — indicates high or low volatility.
- Bollinger Band Width — current width as a percentage.
- ATR Ratio — ratio of current ATR to long-term average ATR.
This script is suitable for trading in high-volatility conditions, combining multiple filters and factors to generate precise buy and sell signals.
Frosty the Trendman: A Gift to Brighten Your Christmas TradesFrosty the Trendman: A Gift to Brighten Your Christmas Trades 🎁
This festive indicator we bring to you as a Christmas gift in the form of a snowman ☃️, to light up your chart with joy and the Christmas spirit. 🎄✨
Frosty is not just a festive snowman, he's also a market expert! 📈
And he’s useful as a trading indicator. 🤑
Key Features:
• Frosty changes color based on the trend! ❄️🎨
When the trend is bullish 💹, that is, when the price is above the 200-period simple moving average (SMA 200), Frosty turns a light green 🌱, reflecting a positive, growing atmosphere. This color activates when the price is above the SMA 200, indicating a bullish trend. 📈
• When the trend is bearish 📉, that is, when the price is below the SMA 200, Frosty changes to a light red 🔴, reflecting a negative market trend and a more pessimistic sentiment. 😔
See it here!
• Interactive elements 🤖: With buttons, eyes 👀, and a nose (in the shape of a triangle), Frosty even has a dollar sign 💵 on his hat because we all like a little Christmas cheer in our trades! 💰
• Christmas cheer 🎅🏼: The snowman not only represents festive fun, but also includes a label that says "Merry Christmas" 🎄 to remind you to enjoy the Christmas spirit in your trading. 🎉
• Perfect for the holiday season! 🎁
Although Frosty is a snowman, the purpose of this indicator is to bring warmth and joy 🌟 to your trading experience. Whether for fun or simply to add some Christmas magic to your charts, Frosty is here to guide your holiday trades with a festive touch! 🎅🎄✨
Enjoy the holiday spirit while trading with Frosty! ❄️
Español
Frosty the Trendman: Un regalo para alegrar tus trades navideños 🎁
Este indicador festivo que traemos para ti como un regalo navideño en forma de un muñeco de nieve ☃️, para iluminar tu gráfico con alegría y el espíritu navideño. 🎄✨
Frosty no solo es un muñeco de nieve festivo, ¡también es un experto en el mercado! 📈 Y tiene utilidad como indicador de trading. 🤑
Características clave:
• ¡Frosty cambia de color según la tendencia! ❄️🎨
Cuando la tendencia es alcista 💹, es decir, cuando el precio se encuentra por encima de la media móvil simple de 200 periodos (SMA 200), Frosty adquiere un color verde claro 🌱, que refleja un ambiente positivo y de crecimiento.
Este color se activa cuando el precio está por encima del SMA 200, indicando que la tendencia es alcista. 📈
• Cuando la tendencia es bajista 📉, es decir, cuando el precio se encuentra por debajo del SMA 200, Frosty cambia a un color rojo claro 🔴, lo que refleja una tendencia negativa en el mercado y un sentimiento más pesimista. 😔
• Elementos interactivos 🤖: Con botones, ojos 👀 y una nariz (en forma de triángulo), ¡Frosty incluso lleva un signo de dólar 💵 en su sombrero, porque a todos nos gusta un poco de alegría navideña en nuestras operaciones! 💰
• Ánimo navideño 🎅🏼: El muñeco de nieve no solo representa diversión festiva, sino que también incluye una etiqueta que dice "Merry Christmas" 🎄 para recordarte disfrutar del espíritu navideño en tu trading. 🎉
• ¡Perfecto para la temporada navideña! 🎁: Aunque Frosty sea un muñeco de nieve, el propósito de este indicador es traer calor y alegría 🌟 a tu experiencia de trading. Ya sea para divertirte o simplemente añadir un poco de magia navideña a tus gráficos,
¡Frosty está aquí para guiar tus operaciones navideñas con un toque festivo! 🎅🎄✨
BTCUSD Price Overextension from Configurable SMAsBTCUSD Price Overextension Indicator with Configurable SMAs
This indicator helps identify potential correction points for BTCUSD by detecting overextended conditions based on customizable short-term and long-term SMAs, average price deviation, and divergence.
Key Features:
Customizable SMAs: Set your own lengths for short-term (default 20) and long-term (default 50) SMAs, allowing you to tailor the indicator to different market conditions.
Overextension Detection: Detects when the average price over a set period (default 10 bars) is overextended above the short-term SMA by a configurable adjustment factor.
Divergence Threshold: Highlights when the short-term and long-term SMAs diverge beyond a specified threshold, signaling potential trend continuation.
Conditional Highlight: Displays a red background only when all conditions are met, and the current candle closes at or above the previous candle. A label "Overextended" appears only on the first bar of each overextended sequence for clear identification.
How to Use:
Identify Correction Signals: Look for red background highlights, which indicate a potential overextension based on the configured SMA and divergence thresholds.
Adjust Parameters: Use the adjustment factor, divergence threshold, and SMA lengths to fine-tune the indicator for different market environments or trading strategies.
This tool is ideal for BTCUSD traders looking to spot potential pullback areas or continuation zones by analyzing trend strength and overextension relative to key moving averages.
Moving Average Pullback Signals [UAlgo]The "Moving Average Pullback Signals " indicator is designed to identify potential trend continuation or reversal points based on moving average (MA) pullback patterns. This tool combines multiple types of moving averages, customized trend validation parameters, and candlestick wick patterns to provide reliable buy and sell signals. By leveraging several advanced MA methods (such as TEMA, DEMA, ZLSMA, and McGinley-D), this script can adapt to different market conditions, providing traders with flexibility and more precise trend-based entries and exits. The addition of a gradient color-coded moving average line and wick validation logic enables traders to visualize market sentiment and trend strength dynamically.
🔶 Key Features
Multiple Moving Average (MA) Calculation Methods: This indicator offers various MA calculation types, including SMA, EMA, DEMA, TEMA, ZLSMA, and McGinley-D, allowing traders to select the MA that best fits their strategy.
Trend Validation and Pattern Recognition: The indicator includes a customizable trend validation length, ensuring that the trend is consistent before buy/sell signals are generated. The "Trend Pattern Mode" setting provides flexibility between "No Trend in Progress," "Trend Continuation," and "Both," tailoring signals to the trader’s preferred style.
Wick Validation Logic: To enhance the accuracy of entries, this indicator identifies specific wick patterns for bullish or bearish pullbacks, which signal potential trend continuation or reversal. Wick length and validation factor are adjustable to suit various market conditions and timeframes.
Gradient Color-coded MA Line: This feature provides a quick visual cue for trend strength, with color changes reflecting relative highs and lows of the MA, enhancing market sentiment interpretation.
Alerts for Buy and Sell Signals: Alerts are triggered when either a bullish or bearish pullback is detected, allowing traders to receive instant notifications without continuously monitoring the chart.
Visual Labels for Reversal Points: The indicator plots labels ("R") at potential reversal points, with color-coded labels for bullish (green) and bearish (red) pullbacks, highlighting pullback opportunities that align with the trend or reversal potential.
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Machine Learning RSI [BackQuant]Machine Learning RSI
The Machine Learning RSI is a cutting-edge trading indicator that combines the power of Relative Strength Index (RSI) with Machine Learning (ML) clustering techniques to dynamically determine overbought and oversold thresholds. This advanced indicator adapts to market conditions in real-time, offering traders a robust tool for identifying optimal entry and exit points with increased precision.
Core Concept: Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI is a well-known momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, oscillating between 0 and 100. Typically, RSI values above 70 are considered overbought, and values below 30 are considered oversold. However, static thresholds may not be effective in all market conditions.
This script enhances the RSI by integrating a dynamic thresholding system powered by Machine Learning clustering, allowing it to adapt thresholds based on historical RSI behavior and market context.
Machine Learning Clustering for Dynamic Thresholds
The Machine Learning (ML) component uses clustering to calculate dynamic thresholds for overbought and oversold levels. Instead of relying on fixed RSI levels, this indicator clusters historical RSI values into three groups using a percentile-based initialization and iterative optimization:
Cluster 1: Represents lower RSI values (typically associated with oversold conditions).
Cluster 2: Represents mid-range RSI values.
Cluster 3: Represents higher RSI values (typically associated with overbought conditions).
Dynamic thresholds are determined as follows:
Long Threshold: The upper centroid value of Cluster 3.
Short Threshold: The lower centroid value of Cluster 1.
This approach ensures that the indicator adapts to the current market regime, providing more accurate signals in volatile or trending conditions.
Smoothing Options for RSI
To further enhance the effectiveness of the RSI, this script allows traders to apply various smoothing methods to the RSI calculation, including:
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Hull Moving Average (HMA)
Linear Regression (LINREG)
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA)
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA)
Adaptive Linear Moving Average (ALMA)
T3 Moving Average
Traders can select their preferred smoothing method and adjust the smoothing period to suit their trading style and market conditions. The option to smooth the RSI reduces noise and makes the indicator more reliable for detecting trends and reversals.
Long and Short Signals
The indicator generates long and short signals based on the relationship between the RSI value and the dynamic thresholds:
Long Signals: Triggered when the RSI crosses above the long threshold, signaling bullish momentum.
Short Signals: Triggered when the RSI falls below the short threshold, signaling bearish momentum.
These signals are dynamically adjusted to reflect real-time market conditions, making them more robust than static RSI signals.
Visualization and Clustering Insights
The Machine Learning RSI provides an intuitive and visually rich interface, including:
RSI Line: Plotted in real-time, color-coded based on its position relative to the dynamic thresholds (green for long, red for short, gray for neutral).
Dynamic Threshold Lines: The script plots the long and short thresholds calculated by the ML clustering process, providing a clear visual reference for overbought and oversold levels.
Cluster Plots: Each RSI cluster is displayed with distinct colors (green, orange, and red) to give traders insights into how RSI values are grouped and how the dynamic thresholds are derived.
Customization Options
The Machine Learning RSI is highly customizable, allowing traders to tailor the indicator to their preferences:
RSI Settings : Adjust the RSI length, source price, and smoothing method to match your trading strategy.
Threshold Settings : Define the range and step size for clustering thresholds, allowing you to fine-tune the clustering process.
Optimization Settings : Control the performance memory, maximum clustering steps, and maximum data points for ML calculations to ensure optimal performance.
UI Settings : Customize the appearance of the RSI plot, dynamic thresholds, and cluster plots. Traders can also enable or disable candle coloring based on trend direction.
Alerts and Automation
To assist traders in staying on top of market movements, the script includes alert conditions for key events:
Long Signal: When the RSI crosses above the long threshold.
Short Signal: When the RSI crosses below the short threshold.
These alerts can be configured to notify traders in real-time, enabling timely decisions without constant chart monitoring.
Trading Applications
The Machine Learning RSI is versatile and can be applied to various trading strategies, including:
Trend Following: By dynamically adjusting thresholds, this indicator is effective in identifying and following trends in real-time.
Reversal Trading: The ML clustering process helps identify extreme RSI levels, offering reliable signals for reversals.
Range-Bound Trading: The dynamic thresholds adapt to market conditions, making the indicator suitable for trading in sideways markets where static thresholds often fail.
Final Thoughts
The Machine Learning RSI represents a significant advancement in RSI-based trading indicators. By integrating Machine Learning clustering techniques, this script overcomes the limitations of static thresholds, providing dynamic, adaptive signals that respond to market conditions in real-time. With its robust visualization, customizable settings, and alert capabilities, this indicator is a powerful tool for traders seeking to enhance their momentum analysis and improve decision-making.
As always, thorough backtesting and integration into a broader trading strategy are recommended to maximize the effectiveness!
Auto Fibonacci ModePurpose of the Code:
This Pine Script™ code defines an indicator called "Auto Fibonacci Mode" that automatically plots Fibonacci retracement and extension levels based on recent price data, providing traders with reference levels for potential support and resistance. It also offers an "Auto" mode that determines levels based on the selected moving average type (e.g., EMA, SMA) for added flexibility in trend identification.
Key Components and Functionalities:
Inputs:
lookback (Lookback): Determines how many bars back to look when identifying the highest and lowest prices.
reverse: Reverses the direction of Fibonacci calculations, which is helpful for analyzing both uptrends and downtrends.
auto: When enabled, this option automatically adjusts Fibonacci levels based on a moving average.
mod: Allows the user to select a specific moving average type (EMA, SMA, RMA, HMA, or WMA) for use in "Auto" mode.
Label and Color Options: Customize the display of Fibonacci labels, colors, and whether to show the highest and lowest levels on the chart.
Fibonacci Levels:
Sixteen Fibonacci levels are configurable in the input options, allowing users to choose traditional retracement levels (e.g., 0.236, 0.5, 1.618) as well as custom levels.
These levels are calculated dynamically and adjusted based on the highest and lowest price range within the lookback period.
Calculation of Direction and Fibonacci Levels:
Moving Average Direction: Using the specified moving average, the code evaluates the price direction to determine the trend (upward or downward). This direction can be reversed if the user selects the reverse option.
Fibonacci Level Calculation: Each level is computed based on the highest and lowest prices over the lookback range and adjusted according to the selected trend direction and moving average type.
Plotting Fibonacci Levels:
The script generates lines on the chart to represent each Fibonacci level, with customizable gradient colors.
Labels displaying level values and prices can be enabled, providing easy identification of each level on the chart.
Additional Lines:
Lines representing the highest and lowest prices within the lookback range can also be displayed, highlighting recent support and resistance levels for added context.
Usage:
The Auto Fibonacci Mode indicator is designed for traders interested in Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, particularly those seeking automatic trend detection based on moving averages.
This indicator enables:
Automatic adjustment of Fibonacci levels based on selected moving average type.
Quick visualization of support and resistance areas without manual adjustments.
Analysis flexibility with customizable levels and color gradients for easier trend and reversal identification.
This tool is valuable for traders who rely on Fibonacci analysis and moving averages as part of their technical analysis strategy.
Important Note:
This script is provided for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Traders and investors should conduct their research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
MERCURY by DrAbhiramSivprasad"MERCURY by DrAbhiramSivprasad"
Developed from over 10 years of personal trading experience, the Mercury Indicator is a strategic tool designed to enhance accuracy in trading decisions. Think of it as a guiding light—a supportive tool that helps traders refine and build more robust strategies by integrating multiple powerful elements into a single indicator. I’ll be sharing some examples to illustrate how I use this indicator in my own trading journey, highlighting its potential to improve strategy accuracy.
Reason behind the combination of emas , cpr and vwap is it provides very good support and resistance in my trading carrier so now i brought them together in one plate
How It Works:
Mercury combines three essential elements—EMA, VWAP, and CPR—each of which plays a vital role in detecting support and resistance:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Known for their strength in providing dynamic support and resistance levels, EMAs help in identifying trends and shifts in momentum. This indicator includes a dashboard with up to nine customizable EMAs, showing whether each is acting as support or resistance based on real-time price movement.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP): VWAP also provides valuable support and resistance, often regarded as a fair price level by institutional traders. Paired with EMAs, it forms a dual-layered support/resistance system, adding an additional level of confirmation.
Central Pivot Range (CPR): By combining CPR with EMAs and VWAP, Mercury highlights “traffic blocks” in your target journey. This means it identifies zones where price is likely to stall or reverse, providing additional guidance for navigating entries and exits.
Why This Combination Matters:
Using these three tools together gives you a more complete view of the market. VWAP and EMAs offer dynamic trend direction and support/resistance, while CPR pinpoints critical price zones. This combination helps you find high-probability trades, adding clarity to complex market situations and enabling stronger confirmation on trend or reversal decisions.
How to Use:
Trend Confirmation: Check if all EMAs are aligned (green for uptrend, red for downtrend), which is visible in the EMA dashboard. An alignment across VWAP, CPR, and EMAs signifies high confidence in trend direction.
Breakouts & Breakdowns: Mercury has an alert system to signal when a price breakout or breakdown occurs across VWAP, EMA1, and EMA2. This can help in spotting strong directional moves.
Example Application: In my trading, I use Mercury to identify support/resistance zones, confirming trends with EMA/VWAP alignment and using CPR as a checkpoint. I find this especially useful for day trading and swing setups.
Recommended Timeframes:
Day Trading: 5 to 15-minute charts for swift, actionable insights.
Swing Trading: 1-hour or 4-hour charts for broader trend analysis.
Note:
The Mercury Indicator should be used as a supportive tool rather than a standalone strategy, guiding you toward informed decisions in line with your trading style and goals.
EXAMPLE OF TRADE
you can see the cart of XAUUSD on 11th nov 2024
1.SHORT POSITION - TIME FRAME 15 MIN
So here for a short position you need to wait for a breakdown candle which will print in orange post the candle you need to check ema dashboard is completly red that indicates no traffic blocks in your journey to destiny target from ema's and you can take the target from nearest cpr support line
TAKEN IN XAUUSD you can see in chart of XAUUSD on 7th nov
2.LONG POSITION - TIME FRAME 15 MIN -
So here for long position you need to wait for a breakout candle from indicator thats here is blue and check all ema boxes are green and candle body should close above all the 3 lines here it is the both ema 1 and 2 and the vwap line then you can take and entry and your target will be the nearest resistance from the daily cpr
3. STOP LOSS CRITERIA
After the entry any candle close below any of the last line from entry for example we have 3 lines vwap and ema 1 and 2 lines and u have made an entry and the last line before the entry is vwap then if any candle closes below vwap can be considered as stoploss like wise in any lines
The MERCURY indicator is a comprehensive trading tool designed to enhance traders' ability to identify trends, breakouts, and reversals effectively. Created by Dr. Abhiram Sivprasad, this indicator integrates several technical elements, including Central Pivot Range (CPR), EMA crossovers, VWAP levels, and a table-based EMA dashboard, to offer a holistic trading view.
Core Components and Functionality:
Central Pivot Range (CPR):
The CPR in MERCURY provides a central pivot level along with Below Central (BC) and Top Central (TC) pivots. These levels act as potential support and resistance, useful for identifying reversal points and zones where price may consolidate.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
MERCURY includes up to nine EMAs, with a customizable EMA crossover alert system. This feature enables traders to see shifts in trend direction, especially when shorter EMAs cross longer ones.
VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price):
VWAP is incorporated as a dynamic support/resistance level and, combined with EMA crossovers, helps refine entry and exit points for higher probability trades.
Breakout and Breakdown Alerts:
MERCURY monitors conditions for upside and downside breakouts. For an upside breakout, all EMAs turn green and a candle closes above VWAP, EMA1, and EMA2. Similarly, all EMAs turning red, combined with a close below VWAP and EMA1/EMA2, signals a downside breakdown. Continuous alerts are available until the trend shifts.
Real-Time EMA Dashboard:
A table displays each EMA’s relative position (Above or Below), helping traders quickly gauge trend direction. Colors in the table adjust to long/short conditions based on EMA alignment.
Usage Recommendations:
Trend Confirmation:
Use the CPR, EMA alignments, and VWAP to confirm uptrends and downtrends. The table highlights trends, making it easy to spot long or short setups at a glance.
Breakout and Breakdown Alerts:
The alert system is customizable for continuous notifications on critical price levels. When all EMAs align in one direction (green for long, red for short) and the close is above or below VWAP and key EMAs, the indicator confirms a breakout/breakdown.
Adaptable for Different Styles:
Day Trading: Traders can set shorter EMAs for quick insights.
Swing Trading: Longer EMAs combined with CPR offer insights into sustained trends.
Recommended Settings:
Timeframes: MERCURY is suitable for timeframes as low as 5 minutes for intraday traders, up to daily charts for trend analysis.
Symbols: Works across forex, stocks, and crypto. Adjust EMA lengths for asset volatility.
Example Strategy:
Long Entry: When the price crosses above CPR and closes above both EMA1 and EMA2.
Short Entry: When the price falls below CPR with a close below both EMA1 and EMA2.
GeoMean+The Geometric Moving Average (GMA) with Sigma Bands is a technical indicator that combines trend following and volatility measurement. The blue center line represents the GMA, while the upper and lower bands (light blue) show price volatility using standard deviations (sigma). Traders can use this indicator for both trend following and mean reversion strategies. For trend following, enter long when price crosses above the GMA and short when it crosses below, using the bands as profit targets. For mean reversion, look for buying opportunities when price touches the lower band and selling opportunities at the upper band, with the GMA as your profit target. The indicator includes alerts for band touches and crosses, providing real-time notifications with symbol, timeframe, current price, and band level information. The default 100-period setting works well for daily charts, but can be adjusted shorter (20-50) for intraday trading or longer (200+) for position trading. Wider bands indicate higher volatility (use smaller positions), while narrower bands suggest lower volatility (larger positions possible). For best results, confirm signals with volume and avoid trading against strong trends. Stop losses can be placed beyond the touched band or at the GMA line, depending on your risk tolerance.
TrigWave Suite [InvestorUnknown]The TrigWave Suite combines Sine-weighted, Cosine-weighted, and Hyperbolic Tangent moving averages (HTMA) with a Directional Movement System (DMS) and a Relative Strength System (RSS).
Hyperbolic Tangent Moving Average (HTMA)
The HTMA smooths the price by applying a hyperbolic tangent transformation to the difference between the price and a simple moving average. It also adjusts this value by multiplying it by a standard deviation to create a more stable signal.
// Function to calculate Hyperbolic Tangent
tanh(x) =>
e_x = math.exp(x)
e_neg_x = math.exp(-x)
(e_x - e_neg_x) / (e_x + e_neg_x)
// Function to calculate Hyperbolic Tangent Moving Average
htma(src, len, mul) =>
tanh_src = tanh((src - ta.sma(src, len)) * mul) * ta.stdev(src, len) + ta.sma(src, len)
htma = ta.sma(tanh_src, len)
Sine-Weighted Moving Average (SWMA)
The SWMA applies sine-based weights to historical prices. This gives more weight to the central data points, making it responsive yet less prone to noise.
// Function to calculate the Sine-Weighted Moving Average
f_Sine_Weighted_MA(series float src, simple int length) =>
var float sine_weights = array.new_float(0)
array.clear(sine_weights) // Clear the array before recalculating weights
for i = 0 to length - 1
weight = math.sin((math.pi * (i + 1)) / length)
array.push(sine_weights, weight)
// Normalize the weights
sum_weights = array.sum(sine_weights)
for i = 0 to length - 1
norm_weight = array.get(sine_weights, i) / sum_weights
array.set(sine_weights, i, norm_weight)
// Calculate Sine-Weighted Moving Average
swma = 0.0
if bar_index >= length
for i = 0 to length - 1
swma := swma + array.get(sine_weights, i) * src
swma
Cosine-Weighted Moving Average (CWMA)
The CWMA uses cosine-based weights for data points, which produces a more stable trend-following behavior, especially in low-volatility markets.
f_Cosine_Weighted_MA(series float src, simple int length) =>
var float cosine_weights = array.new_float(0)
array.clear(cosine_weights) // Clear the array before recalculating weights
for i = 0 to length - 1
weight = math.cos((math.pi * (i + 1)) / length) + 1 // Shift by adding 1
array.push(cosine_weights, weight)
// Normalize the weights
sum_weights = array.sum(cosine_weights)
for i = 0 to length - 1
norm_weight = array.get(cosine_weights, i) / sum_weights
array.set(cosine_weights, i, norm_weight)
// Calculate Cosine-Weighted Moving Average
cwma = 0.0
if bar_index >= length
for i = 0 to length - 1
cwma := cwma + array.get(cosine_weights, i) * src
cwma
Directional Movement System (DMS)
DMS is used to identify trend direction and strength based on directional movement. It uses ADX to gauge trend strength and combines +DI and -DI for directional bias.
// Function to calculate Directional Movement System
f_DMS(simple int dmi_len, simple int adx_len) =>
up = ta.change(high)
down = -ta.change(low)
plusDM = na(up) ? na : (up > down and up > 0 ? up : 0)
minusDM = na(down) ? na : (down > up and down > 0 ? down : 0)
trur = ta.rma(ta.tr, dmi_len)
plus = fixnan(100 * ta.rma(plusDM, dmi_len) / trur)
minus = fixnan(100 * ta.rma(minusDM, dmi_len) / trur)
sum = plus + minus
adx = 100 * ta.rma(math.abs(plus - minus) / (sum == 0 ? 1 : sum), adx_len)
dms_up = plus > minus and adx > minus
dms_down = plus < minus and adx > plus
dms_neutral = not (dms_up or dms_down)
signal = dms_up ? 1 : dms_down ? -1 : 0
Relative Strength System (RSS)
RSS employs RSI and an adjustable moving average type (SMA, EMA, or HMA) to evaluate whether the market is in a bullish or bearish state.
// Function to calculate Relative Strength System
f_RSS(rsi_src, rsi_len, ma_type, ma_len) =>
rsi = ta.rsi(rsi_src, rsi_len)
ma = switch ma_type
"SMA" => ta.sma(rsi, ma_len)
"EMA" => ta.ema(rsi, ma_len)
"HMA" => ta.hma(rsi, ma_len)
signal = (rsi > ma and rsi > 50) ? 1 : (rsi < ma and rsi < 50) ? -1 : 0
ATR Adjustments
To minimize false signals, the HTMA, SWMA, and CWMA signals are adjusted with an Average True Range (ATR) filter:
// Calculate ATR adjusted components for HTMA, CWMA and SWMA
float atr = ta.atr(atr_len)
float htma_up = htma + (atr * atr_mult)
float htma_dn = htma - (atr * atr_mult)
float swma_up = swma + (atr * atr_mult)
float swma_dn = swma - (atr * atr_mult)
float cwma_up = cwma + (atr * atr_mult)
float cwma_dn = cwma - (atr * atr_mult)
This adjustment allows for better adaptation to varying market volatility, making the signal more reliable.
Signals and Trend Calculation
The indicator generates a Trend Signal by aggregating the output from each component. Each component provides a directional signal that is combined to form a unified trend reading. The trend value is then converted into a long (1), short (-1), or neutral (0) state.
Backtesting Mode and Performance Metrics
The Backtesting Mode includes a performance metrics table that compares the Buy and Hold strategy with the TrigWave Suite strategy. Key statistics like Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and Omega Ratio are displayed to help users assess performance. Note that due to labels and plotchar use, automatic scaling may not function ideally in backtest mode.
Alerts and Visualization
Trend Direction Alerts: Set up alerts for long and short signals
Color Bars and Gradient Option: Bars are colored based on the trend direction, with an optional gradient for smoother visual feedback.
Important Notes
Customization: Default settings are experimental and not intended for trading/investing purposes. Users are encouraged to adjust and calibrate the settings to optimize results according to their trading style.
Backtest Results Disclaimer: Please note that backtest results are not indicative of future performance, and no strategy guarantees success.
