Keltner Center Of Gravity Channel ( KeltCOG )I have the ambition to create a ‘landscape’ which enables the user to see the ‘mood’ of the market about the price of an instrument, simply by looking where the candles go. Prices are a simple phenomenon , they go up or down or stay the same. This is represented quite well for the short term by a candle. I recommend to study candle patterns. Prices not only fluctuate but also trend up, down or go sideways. The user should analyze this by determining the COG (Center Of Gravity) and the ‘normal’ current range by using the historical data in a lookback period.
As a COG the center line of a Donchian Channel is often used. I.m.o. a COG should be a zone, in this channel I use the gray zone of my Donchian Fibonacci Channel, The ‘normal’ range is a multiple of Average True Range, as used in a Keltner Channel. Combining the two can give a cumbersome result, as one can see in my Keltner Fibonacci Channel. In this KeltCOG channel I solved this by not using all Fibonacci levels and by making the Keltner lines strictly parallel to the nearest COG line. To do this, I use the fact that the COG lines have horizontal stretches, there I make the Keltner lines horizontal too. Only where the COG lines change value, the Keltner lines are recalculated. This way the channel gets a very regular shape with three clear zones.
Interpretation of a chart by using the KeltCOG channel.
Overbought: If the candles go higher then the blue zone, the market is hyper enthusiast, creating an overbought situation. This is often followed by a reversion to the COG.
Uptrend: If the candles form in the blue zone, the market is enthusiast and willing to pay more.
Hopeful: If the candles form in or near the upper uncolored zone, the market is hopeful and is thinking about paying more. Sometimes prices go a little up.
Content: If the candles form in the gray zone, which represents COG, the market is happy with the current prices, so these move sideways
Disappointed: If the candles form in or near the lower uncolored zone, the market is disappointed and contemplates paying less, sometimes prices go a little down.
Downtrend: If the candles form in red zone, the market doesn’t like the instrument at all, rejects the current price and is only prepared to pay less.
Oversold: If the candles form below the red zone, the market overdoes its disgust, creating an oversold situation, often followed by a reversion to the COG.
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