TLT: Bonds No Longer Safe?

TLT has appears to have completed a long term Ending Diagonal spanning almost 10 years.
The first signs of breakdown appeared in 07/2017 when the 20 year bonds sold off to a near 2 year low at $116.49.
The recovery since then was tepid and choppy.

Prices have appeared to completed a W-X-Y consolidation at lower time frames and appear ready to continue its larger trend downwards.

We do not rule out a more complex pattern in progress resulting in one more high before resuming its larger trend.
However, the near term sell down analysis remains the operative one.

A decisive break down of its recent low in $116.49 will bring utmost confidence that the down trend is in full flow.

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Bearish candles with strong volume than average is ominous for bonds.
Watch for more downward momentum breaking multiple layers of support for strong evidence of bond sell-off.

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A Head And Shoulders formation.
Watch for a strong break of the shoulder as a trigger.

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Prices broke and close below shoulder level in above average volume.
Projection of minimum price target measured from shoulder.
Any retracement should find resistance in around the shoulder level.

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Yields have moved up steadily and its bringing prices in opposite direction.
Downside momentum should pick up once its breaks and closes below Minute Wave i.
(Weekly)

(2D)