On Monday (October 21), gold prices rose for the fifth consecutive trading day to a record high, while silver prices hit their highest level in nearly 12 years, affected by factors such as uncertainty in the US election, continued tensions in the Middle East, and expectations of interest rate cuts by central banks.
Fundamental analysis: safe-haven demand supports gold prices
The current global instability, especially tensions in the Middle East, provides strong support for gold. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold usually attracts a lot of buying when uncertainty increases, especially when geopolitical conflicts continue to ferment.
On the other hand, the market lacks the release of heavyweight economic data, and investors will pay attention to the speeches of several Fed policymakers this week. These speeches may have a significant impact on market expectations, especially in terms of monetary policy. If the Fed expresses its inclination to continue to maintain a tight policy, it may put pressure on gold prices. Conversely, any signs of easing will further push gold prices up.
The situation in the Middle East continues to ferment
Tensions between Israel and Iran are one of the main drivers of this round of gold price increases. The latest military action has further escalated the market's risk aversion. The US investigation into leaked documents has also added uncertainty. Gold naturally becomes a safe haven for investors in such an environment. In the short term, as long as geopolitical risks are not resolved, gold prices may remain high and volatile.
Federal Reserve Policy Expectations
With Fed policymakers about to speak, the market is closely watching their latest views on economic growth, inflation and monetary policy. Any hint of rate hikes or balance sheet reduction may change the market's expectations for future gold trends. Currently, gold prices remain high due to the interweaving of safe-haven demand and policy expectations.
Technical analysis: The risk of a correction is increasing
Gold bulls can break through the resistance level of $2,730, and gold prices are expected to test the psychological level of $2,750. $2,730 is currently a key watershed, and breaking through this level will greatly enhance gold's bullish sentiment and open up further room for growth.
BUY: 2,715 Target 2,730----40