EUR/USD Rebounds Above 1.0900 Amidst Volatile Week

The EUR/USD currency pair exhibited a noteworthy rebound, recouping losses to surpass the crucial 1.0900 level after dipping to a five-week low near 1.0870 earlier in the week. As traders monitor key support levels and navigate through shifting market dynamics, the pair's trajectory remains of keen interest. The potential for an extended recovery hinges on the critical level of 1.0940 transforming into a foundation of support.

Rebound Potential Amidst Volatility

The recent price action of EUR/USD underscores the pair's resilience as it staged a recovery, rallying above 1.0900. A pivotal juncture awaits the pair as it approaches the 1.0940 level, which could determine the extent of the rebound. The ability to transform this level into a supportive platform could propel the pair to further gains, contributing to a more sustained recovery.

US Retail Sales Spur Bearish Momentum

Amidst a volatile trading session, EUR/USD faced substantial bearish pressure and breached the 1.0900 threshold. The catalyst behind this downward shift was robust Retail Sales data from the United States, showcasing a stronger pace of growth than initially anticipated for July. The USD seized the opportunity to strengthen, causing the pair to relinquish gains and dip below the psychological barrier.

US Dollar Resilience Tested

However, the momentum in favor of the US Dollar was short-lived. Later in the same trading day, declining US Treasury bond yields emerged as a counterforce, offsetting the Dollar's strength. This reversal of fortune allowed EUR/USD to reverse its course and regain some lost ground, underscoring the volatility of the current market environment.

Banking Crisis Concerns and Yield Impact

Renewed apprehensions surrounding a potential banking crisis in the US garnered attention after Fitch Ratings issued a warning. The looming possibility of downgraded ratings for select lenders influenced a shift in market sentiment, causing US yields to retreat. This decline in yields played a pivotal role in weakening the Dollar's resolve, acting as a catalyst for the EUR/USD pair's rebound.

Eurozone GDP Steady

Eurostat's report revealed that the Euro area's Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at an annualized rate of 0.6% in the second quarter, mirroring the growth rate of the first quarter. Although this outcome was aligned with market expectations and the previous quarter's performance, its impact on the EUR/USD pair remained subdued.

Focus on US Economic Data and Federal Reserve Minutes

The upcoming US economic docket features Housing Starts and Building Permits data, providing further insights into the nation's economic health. Additionally, market participants anticipate the release of the Federal Reserve's minutes from the July policy meeting, shedding light on the central bank's outlook and potential future actions.

Wall Street's Influence on USD

While the USD typically benefits from risk aversion, the ongoing dynamics of Wall Street loom large. The interplay between bank stocks, yields, and currency performance presents an intricate puzzle. A continued decline in bank stocks could further pressure yields and subsequently weigh on the US Dollar, contributing to a favorable environment for EUR/USD's rebound.

The EUR/USD currency pair's recent rebound above 1.0900 serves as a testament to the dynamic nature of the forex market. Amidst shifting economic data, central bank actions, and market sentiment, the pair navigates a precarious path. The pivotal role of the 1.0940 level as a potential support zone could play a significant role in shaping the pair's trajectory. With a spotlight on US economic data, Federal Reserve minutes, and Wall Street movements, traders remain poised to respond to evolving market forces, contributing to an environment of volatility and opportunity for the EUR/USD pair.


TurnAround Point: 1.08950

Our preference

Above 1.08950 look for further upside with 1.0955 & 1.0975 as targets.