calmrat

ðŸ‘ŧ $DXY $BTC Divergence [What's up with $EURX and $CRO?]

āļĨāļ”āļĨāļ‡
FTX:CROUSD   Cronos
Usually when $DXY tanks, $BTC and other investment assets rise, but today is again diverging from the norm (2 or 3 time in the past days). What explains it? Perhaps the fact that $EUR is 🔚 up? A rebalancing of the currency books, perhaps? Or we're setting up for a fake out in during US open. Where are my currency experts at?

The market seems to expect more dovish announcements during the upcoming Jacksonhole FED event; my take based on Chair Powell's speech in June is that we could indeed expect rather a 100bp hike (very hawkish) or at least 75bp, again like last time. The doves are hoping for a 50bp hike. If we get 50bp, does it feel like the market will be ready for a rally?

I stopped out of the majority of my $cro short around .13. Looking to add more back in some more if we dump through the .1285 - .13 range and retrace back to these levels.

I expect 20750 to be an important stopping point for BTC and opportunity for quick long scalp for a few points if the dumpiness continues during the EU trading session, as I would expect the US brinks to put a little long pressure on before it shows it's true intention for the day to either continue the $dxy dump and move into longing other asset prices, or to reverse and really dump the markets at market open.

Summary, SHORT.

My analysis still isn't solid and clear; but i'm hoping you're following along and interested anyway. Comments, suggestions, questions welcome! GL out there!

āđ„āļ­āđ€āļ”āļĩāļĒāļ—āļĩāđˆāđ€āļāļĩāđˆāļĒāļ§āļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļ‡

āļ„āļģāļˆāļģāļāļąāļ”āļŠāļīāļ—āļ˜āļīāđŒāļ„āļ§āļēāļĄāļĢāļąāļšāļœāļīāļ”āļŠāļ­āļš

āļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļĄāļđāļĨāđāļĨāļ°āļšāļ—āļ„āļ§āļēāļĄāđ„āļĄāđˆāđ„āļ”āđ‰āļĄāļĩāļ§āļąāļ•āļ–āļļāļ›āļĢāļ°āļŠāļ‡āļ„āđŒāđ€āļžāļ·āđˆāļ­āļāđˆāļ­āđƒāļŦāđ‰āđ€āļāļīāļ”āļāļīāļˆāļāļĢāļĢāļĄāļ—āļēāļ‡āļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™, āļāļēāļĢāļĨāļ‡āļ—āļļāļ™, āļāļēāļĢāļ‹āļ·āđ‰āļ­āļ‚āļēāļĒ, āļ‚āđ‰āļ­āđ€āļŠāļ™āļ­āđāļ™āļ° āļŦāļĢāļ·āļ­āļ„āļģāđāļ™āļ°āļ™āļģāļ›āļĢāļ°āđ€āļ āļ—āļ­āļ·āđˆāļ™ āđ† āļ—āļĩāđˆāđƒāļŦāđ‰āļŦāļĢāļ·āļ­āļĢāļąāļšāļĢāļ­āļ‡āđ‚āļ”āļĒ TradingView āļ­āđˆāļēāļ™āđ€āļžāļīāđˆāļĄāđ€āļ•āļīāļĄāļ—āļĩāđˆ āđ€āļ‡āļ·āđˆāļ­āļ™āđ„āļ‚āļāļēāļĢāđƒāļŠāđ‰āļšāļĢāļīāļāļēāļĢ