VIDYA Trend StrategyOne of the most common messages I get is people reaching out asking for quantitative strategies that trade cryptocurrency. This has compelled me to write this script and article, to help provide a quantitative/technical perspective on why I believe most strategies people write for crypto fail catastrophically, and how one might build measures within their strategies that help reduce the risk of that happening. For those that don't trade crypto, know that these approaches are applicable to any market.
I will start off by qualifying up that I mainly trade stocks and ETFs, and I believe that if you trade crypto, you should only be playing with money you are okay with losing. Most published crypto strategies I have seen "work" when the market is going up, and fail catastrophically when it is not. There are far more people trying to sell you a strategy than there are people providing 5-10+ year backtest results on their strategies, with slippage and commissions included, showing how they generated alpha and beat buy/hold. I understand that this community has some really talented people that can create some really awesome things, but I am saying that the vast majority of what you find on the internet will not be strategies that create alpha over the long term.
So, why do so many of these strategies fail?
There is an assumption many people make that cryptocurrency will act just like stocks and ETFs, and it does not. ETF returns have more of a Gaussian probability distribution. Because of this, ETFs have a short term mean reverting behavior that can be capitalized on consistently. Many technical indicators are built to take advantage of this on the equities market. Many people apply them to crypto. Many of those people are drawn down 60-70% right now while there are mean reversion strategies up YTD on equities, even though the equities market is down. Crypto has many more "tail events" that occur 3-4+ standard deviations from the mean.
There is a correlation in many equities and ETF markets for how long an asset continues to do well when it is currently doing well. This is known as momentum, and that correlation and time-horizon is different for different assets. Many technical indicators are built based on this behavior, and then people apply them to cryptocurrency with little risk management assuming they behave the same and and on the same time horizon, without pulling in the statistics to verify if that is actually the case. They do not.
People do not take into account the brokerage commissions and slippage. Brokerage commissions are particularly high with cryptocurrency. The irony here isn't lost to me. When you factor in trading costs, it blows up most short-term trading strategies that might otherwise look profitable.
There is an assumption that it will "always come back" and that you "HODL" through the crash and "buy more." This is why Three Arrows Capital, a $10 billion dollar crypto hedge fund is now in bankruptcy, and no one can find the owners. This is also why many that trade crypto are drawn down 60-70% right now. There are bad risk practices in place, like thinking the martingale gambling strategy is the same as dollar cost averaging while also using those terms interchangeably. They are not the same. The 1st will blow up your trade account, and the 2nd will reduce timing risk. Many people are systematically blowing up their trade accounts/strategies by using martingale and calling it dollar cost averaging. The more risk you are exposing yourself too, the more important your risk management strategy is.
There is an odd assumption some have that you can buy anything and win with technical/quantitative analysis. Technical analysis does not tell you what you should buy, it just tells you when. If you are running a strategy that is going long on an asset that lost 80% of its value in the last year, then your strategy is probably down. That same strategy might be up on a different asset. One might consider a different methodology on choosing assets to trade.
Lastly, most strategies are over-fit, or curve-fit. The more complicated and more parameters/settings you have in your model, the more likely it is just fit to historical data and will not perform similar in live trading. This is one of the reasons why I like simple models with few parameters. They are less likely to be over-fit to historical data. If the strategy only works with 1 set of parameters, and there isn't a range of parameters around it that create alpha, then your strategy is over-fit and is probably not suitable for live trading.
So, what can I do about all of this!?
I created the VIDYA Trend Strategy to provide an example of how one might create a basic model with a basic risk management strategy that might generate long term alpha on a volatile asset, like cryptocurrency. This is one (of many) risk management strategies that can reduce the volatility of your returns when trading any asset. I chose the Variable Index Dynamic Average (VIDYA) for this example because it's calculation filters out some market noise by taking into account the volatility of the underlying asset. I chose a trend following strategy because regressions are capturing behaviors that are not just specific to the equities market.
The more volatile an asset, the more you have to back-off the short term price movement to effectively trend-follow it. Otherwise, you are constantly buying into short term trends that don't represent the trend of the asset, then they reverse and loose money. This is why I am applying a trend following strategy to a 4 hour chart and not a 4 minute chart. It is also important to note that following these long term trends on a volatile asset exposes you to additional risk. So, how might one mitigate some of that risk?
One of the ways of reducing timing risk is scaling into a trade. This is different from "doubling down" or "trippling down." It is really a basic application of dollar cost averaging to reduce timing risk, although DCA would typically happen over a longer time period. If it is really a trend you are following, it will probably still be a trend tomorrow. Trend following strategies have lower win rates because the beginning of a trend often reverses. The more volatile the asset, the more likely that is to happen. However, we can reduce risk of buying into a reversal by slowly scaling into the trend with a small % of equity per trade.
Our example "VIDYA Trend Strategy" executes this by looking at a medium-term, volatility adjusted trend on a 4 hour chart. The script scales into it with 4% of the account equity every 4-hours that the trend is still up. This means you become fully invested after 25 trades/bars. It also means that early in the trade, when you might be more likely to experience a reversal, most of your account equity is not invested and those losses are much smaller. The script sells 100% of the position when it detects a trend reversal. The slower you scale into a trade, the less volatile your equity curve will be. This model also includes slippage and commissions that you can adjust under the "settings" menu.
This fundamental concept of reducing timing risk by scaling into a trade can be applied to any market.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas that can be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help!
ค้นหาในสคริปต์สำหรับ "英国央行降息25个基点"
Strategy Myth-Busting #1 - UT Bot+STC+Hull [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our first one is an automated version of the " The ULTIMATE Scalping Trading Strategy for 2022 " strategy from " My Trading Journey " who claims to have achieved not only profits but a 98.3% win rate. As you can see from the backtest results below, I was unable to substantiate anything close to that that claim on the same symbol (NVDA), timeframe (5m) with identical instrument settings that " My Trading Journey " was demonstrating with. Strategy Busted.
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
This strategy uses a combination of 3 open-source public indicators:
UT Bot Alerts by QuantNomad
STC Indicator - A Better MACD By shayankm
Basic Hull Ma Pack tinkered by InSilico
Trading Rules:
5 min candles
Long
New Buy Signal from UT Bot Alerts Strategy
STC is green and below 25 and rising
Hull Suite is green
Short
New Sell Signal from UT Bot Alerts Strategy
STC is red and above 75 and falling
Hull Suite is red
VHF Adaptive ADXm [Loxx]VHF Adaptive ADXm is a variation of the ADX DI indicator with adaptive filtering using a vertical horizontal filter.
What is ADXm?
Unlike the traditional ADX indicator, where the ADX itself is plotted in absolute units and detection of the trend direction is hindered, this indicator clearly displays the positive and negative ADX half-waves (displayed as colored on the chart). And the DI+/- signals are displayed as their difference (gray).
The method of using this indicator is the same as the traditional one.
In addition, it displays the levels (dashed), above which the market is considered to be in a trend state. This level is usually set to approximately 20-25 percents--somewhat depends on the time frame it is used on.
What is VHF Adaptive Cycle?
Vertical Horizontal Filter (VHF) was created by Adam White to identify trending and ranging markets. VHF measures the level of trend activity, similar to ADX DI. Vertical Horizontal Filter does not, itself, generate trading signals, but determines whether signals are taken from trend or momentum indicators. Using this trend information, one is then able to derive an average cycle length.
Included:
Bar coloring
Alerts
Signal types: zero-line crosses, level crosses, or signal crosses
Eurobond CurveABOUT
Dynamically plots 3 no. forward EUROBOND curves. When the curves converge (or worse crossover) there is higher risk of financial uncertainty and potential market correction.
The Eurobond Curves work in a similar way to treasury "yield curve inversion"; except the EUROBOND curves can signal much earlier than Treasuries therefore providing a leading indicator.
The indicator looks the the "near" (next year EUROBOND), "mid" (EUROBOND 2 years out) and "far" (EUROBOND 5 years out) to assess for crossovers.
When the "near" and "mid" curves crossover the "far" curve, concerning economic conditions are developing and it may be a good idea to reduce risk exposure to markets.
LIMITATIONS
The EUROBOND curve crossover events are rare, and this indicator uses data back to 2005 (using approximately 25 TradingView security functions). Given there are relatively few crossover events, the reliability of this indicator should be considered low. Nonetheless, there is decent alignment with treasury yield curve inversions in the 20 year period assessed. Given treasury yield curve inversions have predicted every recession for the last 70 years, we still think the EUROBOND Curves are a useful datapoint to monitor into the future and provide confluence to other risk management strategies.
Chart VWAP█ OVERVIEW
This indicator displays a Volume-Weighted Average Price anchored to the leftmost visible bar of the chart. It dynamically recalculates when the chart's visible bars change because you scroll or zoom your chart.
If you are not already familiar with VWAP, our Help Center will get you started. The typical VWAP is designed to be used on intraday charts, as it resets at the beginning of the day. Our Rolling VWAP , instead, resets on a rolling time window. You may also find the VWAP Auto Anchored built-in indicator worth a try.
█ HOW TO USE IT
Load the indicator on an active chart (see the Help Center if you don't know how). By default, it displays the chart's VWAP in orange and a simple average of the chart's visible close values in gray. This average can be used as a companion to the VWAP, since both are calculated from the same set of bars. The script's settings allow you to hide it.
You may also use the script's settings to enable the display of the chart's OHLC (open, high, low, close) levels and the values of the high and low. These are also calculated from the range of visible bars. You can complement the high and low lines with their price and their distance in percent from the chart's latest visible close . You can use the levels to quickly identify the distances from extreme points in the visible price range, as well as observe the visible chart's beginning and end prices.
█ NOTES FOR Pine Script™ CODERS
This script showcases three novelties:
• Dynamic recalculation on visible bars
• The VisibleChart library by PineCoders
• The new `anchor` parameter of ta.vwap()
Dynamic recalculation on visible bars
This script behaves in a novel way made possible by the recent introduction of two new built-in variables: chart.left_visible_bar_time and chart.right_visible_bar_time , which return the opening time of the leftmost and rightmost visible bars on the chart. These are only two of many new built-ins in the `chart.*` namespace. See this blog post for more information, or look up them up by typing "chart." in the Pine Script™ Reference Manual .
Any script using chart.left_visible_bar_time or chart.right_visible_bar_time acquires a unique property, which triggers its recalculation when traders scroll or zoom their chart, causing the range of visible bars to change. This new capability is what makes it possible for this script to calculate its VWAP on the chart's visible bars only, and dynamically recalculate if the user scrolls or zooms their chart.
This script is just a start to the party; endless uses for indicators that redraw on changes to the chart will no doubt emerge through the hands of our community's Pine Script™ programmers.
The VisibleChart library by PineCoders
The newly published VisibleChart library is designed to help programmers benefit from the new capabilities made possible by the fact that Pine Script™ code can now tell when it is executing on visible bars. The library's description, functions and example code will help programmers make the most of the new feature.
This script uses three of the library's functions:
• `PCvc.vVwap()` calculates a VWAP for visible bars.
• `PCvc.avg()` calculates the average of a source value for visible bars only. We use it to calculate the average close (the default source).
• `PCvc.chartXTimePct(25)` calculates a time value corresponding to 25% of the horizontal distance between visible bars, starting from the left.
The new `anchor` parameter of ta.vwap()
Our script also uses this new `anchor` parameter to reset the VWAP at the leftmost visible bar. See how simple the code is for the VisibleChart library's `vVwap()` function.
Look first. Then leap.
Double Bollinger Binary OptionsThis script uses 2 Bollinger bands and rsi oversold and overbought region to give signals. Basically, it detects those conditions where the market gets spiked in one direction aggressively(mostly during news) and then reverses back, although signals occur less frequently, this strategy is worth trying. Keep the timeframe for 5 minutes and trade for 5 candles i.e. 25 minutes :)
VXD Cloud EditionVXD Cloud Edition.
to overcome sideways market conditions this cloud configured for low timeframe.
every TA is same as VXD Supercycle but show as cloud.
Symbols on chart show Premium and Discount Prices
X-Cross = Engulfing Candle with weak volume .
O-circle - Engulfing Candle with strong volume .
Pivot point and Rejected Block
Pivot show last High and low of a price in past bars
Rejected Block show when that High or Low price are important level to determined if it's Hidden Divergence or Divergence (with RSI)
Setting
Momentum: RSI = 25 , RSI MA = 14
Trend: Rolling VWAP and ATR and Subhag (Everthing show as a cloud)
Trailing STOP: ATR 12 x 2.4
Highlight Bars color when volume is above SMA 6
SMA200 act as TP Line
Risk:Reward Calculation
if Buy your Stoploss will be previous Pivot low
if Sell your Stoploss will be previous Pivot high
and TP line will be calculated form there, then show in Orange color line
Buy condition : Close is above Cloud and close above pivot high
Sell condition : Close is below Cloud and close below pivot low
Trip : add this to alerts setting.
Order {{strategy.order.action}} filled on {{ticker}} @ {{strategy.order.price}} {{strategy.order.alert_message}}.
PivotBoss ADR LevelsBased on Pivot Boss ADR Methodology
Can be used only in Intraday - Hope someone will make it for all TF
All available script in TV do not have scaling at 25%
Due to which price needs to reach at 50% to derive any conclusion
This script solves this issue and can be used in sideways market as it provides scaling at 25 %
Script is original in its way to solve problem in sideways market
Nifty & BN 2 Candle Theory Back Testing and Alert Notification How To Initiate Long Trade-in Index Future/ Buy Call Options – 3 Min TF
▪ If The Index Futures Trades Above The VWAP, the Following Parameters are Checked For 2 Candle Theory on the long side
▪ RSI Trades Above 50 & Between 50-75/80
▪ Volume Of 2 Consecutive Bars Is Above 50 K for BN & 125 K For Nifty
▪ All the indicators (Parabolic SAR, Super Trend, VMA, VWAP) Below the Candles
▪ When the above conditions are met enter In 3rd Candle, With 1st Candle High As SL
How I Initiate Short Trade-In Index Future/ Buy Put Options – 3 Min TF
▪ If The Index Futures Trades Below The VWAP, the Following Parameters are Checked For 2 Candle Theory on the short side
▪ RSI Trades Below 40 & Between 40-25/20
▪ Volume Of 2 Consecutive Bars Is Above 50 K for BN & 125 K For Nifty
▪ All the Indicators (Parabolic SAR, Super Trend, VMA, VWAP) Above The Candles
▪ When the above conditions are met enter In 3rd Candle, With 1st Candle High As SL
The indicator checks the above and notifies to enter a long trade and short trade respectively. There is also volume cutoff and change in the volumes respectively, also non-trading times that can be set.
Bitcoin OnChain & Other MetricsHi all,
In these troubled times, going back to fundamentals can sometimes be a good idea 😊
I put this one up using data retrieved from “Nasdaq Data Link” and their “Blockchain.com” database.
Here is a good place to analyses some Bitcoin data “outside” its price action with 25 different data sets.
Just go to the settings menu and display the ones you are interested in.
If you want me to add more metrics, feel free to DM or comment below!
Hope you enjoy 😉
ENVELOPE RSI - Buy Sell SignalsThis indicator is mainly based on Overbought and Oversold . Indicator for short-term trading. This way you can get small but acceptable signals.
The main basis of the indicator is as follows:
To buy, the indicator is waiting for the instrument to be oversold from the RSI point of view. Then, if the chart crosses the bottom line of the Envelope indicator from the bottom to the top, a buy signal is issued.
For sell, the indicator waits for the instrument to be overbought from the RSI perspective. Then, if the chart crosses the top line of the Envelope indicator from top to bottom, a sell signal is issued.
The general basis is the consonance of the price and the RSI indicator .
The best settings I came up with myself:
Time frame: 15 minutes
Overbought: 80
Oversell: 25
RSI Length: 8
It can be done on different instruments. But always set your profit and loss limits.
(Profit to loss ratio in this indicator can be 1: 1.)
Disclaimer : This information and trading indicators and tools provided neither is, nor should be construed, as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. You shall be fully responsible for any investment decision you make, and such decisions will be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
I am not liable for any profit, financial improvement, losses or damages, monetary or other that may result from the application of information contained within this indicator. Individual traders must use their own due diligence in analyzing featured trading indicators, other trading tools, webinars and other educational materials to determine if they represent suitable and useable features and capabilities for the individual trader.
ATR and IV Volatility TableThis is a volatility tool designed to get the daily bottom and top values calculated using a daily ATR and IV values.
ATR values can be calculated directly, however for IV I recommend to take the values from external sources for the asset that you want to trade.
Regarding of the usage, I always recommend to go at the end of the previous close day of the candle(with replay function) or beginning of the daily open candle and get the expected values for movements.
For example for 26April for SPX, we have an ATR of 77 points and the close of the candle was 4296.
So based on ATR for 27 April our TOP is going to be 4296 + 77 , while our BOT is going to be 4296-77
At the same time lets assume the IV for today is going to be around 25% -> this is translated to 25 / (sqrt (252)) = 1.57 aprox
So based on IV our TOP is going to be 4296 + 4296 * 0.0157 , while our BOT is going to be 4296 - 4296 * 0.0157
I found out from my calculations that 80-85% of the times these bot and top points act as an amazing support and resistence points for day trading, so I fully recommend you to start including them into your analysis.
If you have any questions let me know !
Realtime FootprintThe purpose of this script is to gain a better understanding of the order flow by the footprint. To that end, i have added unusual features in addition to the standard features.
I use "Real Time 5D Profile by LucF" main engine to create basic footprint(profile type) and added some popular features and my favorites.
This script can only be used in realtime, because tradingview doesn't provide historical Bid/Ask date.
Bid/Ask date used this script are up/down ticks.
This script can only be used by time based chart (1m, 5m , 60m and daily etc)
This script use many labels and these are limited max 500, so you can't display many bars.
If you want to display foot print bars longer, turn off the unused sub-display function.
Default setting is footprint is 25 labels, IB count is 1, COT high and Ratio high is 1, COT low and Ratio low is 1 and Delta Box Ratio Volume is 1 , total 29.
plus UA , IB stripes , ladder fading mark use several labels.
///////// General Setting ///////////
Resets on Volume / Range bar
: If you want to use simple time based Resets on, please set Total Volume is 0.
Your timeframe is always the first condition. So if you set Total Volume is 1000, both conditions(Volume >= 1000 and your timeframe start next bar) must be met. (that is, new footprint bar doesn't start at when total volume = exactly 1000).
Ticks per row and Maximum row of Bar
: 1 is minimum size(tick). "Maximum row of Bar" decide the number of rows used in one footprint. 1 row is created from 1 label, so you need to reduce this number to display many footprints (Max label is 500).
Volume Filter and For Calculation and Display
: "Volume Filter" decide minimum size of using volume for this script.
"For Calculation and Display" is used to convert volume to an integer.
This script only use integer to make profile look better (I contained Bid number and Ask number in one row( one label) to saving labels. This require to make no difference in width by the number of digits and this script corresponds integers from 0 to 3 digits).
ex) Symbol average volume size is from 0.0001 to 0.001. You decide only use Volume >= 0.0005 by "Volume Filter".
Next, you convert volume to integer, by setting "For Calculation and Display" is 1000 (0.0005 * 1000 = 5).
If 0.00052 → 5.2 → 5, 0.00058 → 5.8 → 6 (Decimal numbers are rounded off)
This integer is used to all calculation in this script.
//////// Main Display ///////
Footprint, Total, Row Delta, Diagonal Delta and Profile
: "Footprint" display Ask and Bid per row. "Total" display Ask + Bid per row.
"Row Delta" display Ask - Bid per row. "Diagonal Delta" display Ask(row N) - Bid(row N -1) per row.
Profile display Total Volume(Ask + Bid) per row by using Block. Profile Block coloring are decided by Row Delta value(default: positive Row Delta (Ask > Bid) is greenish colors and negative Row Delta (Ask < Bid) is reddish colors.)
Volume per Profile Block, Row Imbalance Ratio and Delta Bull/Bear/Neutral Colors
: "Volume per Profile Block" decide one block contain how many total volume.
ex) When you set 20, Total volume 70 display 3 block.
The maximum number of blocks that can be used per low is 20.
So if you set 20, Total volume 400 is 20 blocks. total volume 800 is 20 blocks too.
"Row Imbalance Ratio" decide block coloring. The row imbalance is that the difference between Ask and Bid (row delta) is large.
default is x3, x2 and x1. The larger the difference, the brighter the color.
ex) Ask 30 Bid 10 is light green. Ask 20 Bid 10 is green. Ask 11 Bid 10 is dark green.
Ask 0 Bid 1 is light red. Ask 1 Bid 2 is red. ask 30 Bid 59 is dark green.
Ask 10 Bid 10 is neutral color(gray)
profile coloring is reflected same row's other elements(Ask, Bid, Total and Delta) too.
It's because one label can only use one text color.
/////// Sub Display ///////
Delta, total and Commitment of Traders
: "Delta" is total Ask - total Bid in one footprint bar. Total is total Ask + total Bid in one footprint bar.
"Commitment of traders" is variation of "Delta". COT High is reset to 0 when current highest is touched. COT Low is opposite.
Basic concept of Delta is to compare price with Delta. Ordinary, when price move up, delta is positive. Price move down is negative delta.
This is because market orders move price and market orders are counted by Delta (although this description is not exactly correct).
But, sometimes prices do not move even though many market orders are putting pressure on price , or conversely, price move strongly without many market orders.
This is key point. Big player absorb market orders by iceberg order(Subdivide large orders and pretend to be small limit orders.
Small limit orders look weak in the order book, but they are added each time you fill, so they are more powerful than they look.), so price don't move.
On the other hand, when the price is moving easily, smart players may be aiming to attract and counterattack to a better price for them.
It's more of a sport than science, and there's always no right response. Pay attention to the relationship between price, volume and delta.
ex) If COT Low is large negative value, it means many sell market orders is coming, but iceberg order is absorbing their attack at limit order.
you should not do buy entry, only this clue. but this is one of the hints.
"Delta, Box Ratio and Total texts is contained same label and its color are "Delta" coloring. Positive Delta is Delta Bull color(green),Negative Delta is Delta Bear Color
and Delta = 0 is Neutral Color(gray). When Delta direction and price direction are opposite is Delta Divergence Color(yellow).
I didn't add the cumulative volume delta because I prefer to display the CVD line on the price chart rather than the number.
Box Ratio , Box Ratio Divisor and Heavy Box Ratio Ratio
: This is not ordinary footprint features, but I like this concept so I added.
Box Ratio by Richard W. Arms is simple but useful tool. calculation is "total volume (one bar) divided by Bar range (highest - lowest)."
When Bull and bear are fighting fiercely this number become large, and then important price move happen.
I made average BR from something like 5 SMA and if current BR exceeds average BR x (Heavy Box Ratio Ratio), BR box mark will be filled.
Box Ratio Divisor is used to good looking display(BR multiplied by Box Ratio Divisor is rounded off and displayed as an integer)
Diagonal Imbalance Count , D IB Mark and D IB Stripes
: Diagonal Imbalance is defined by "Diagonal Imbalance Ratio".
ex) You set 2. When Ask(row N) 30 Bid(row N -1)10, it's 30 > 10*2, so positive Diagonal Imbalance.
When Ask(row N) 4 Bid(row N -1)9, it's 4*2 < 9, so negative Diagonal Imbalance.
This calculation does not use equals to avoid Ask(row N) 0 Bid(row N -1)0 became Diagonal Imbalance.
Ask(row N) 0 Bid(row N -1)0, it's 0 = 0*2, not Diagonal Imbalance. Ask(row N) 10 Bid(row N -1)5, it's 10 = 5*2, not Diagonal Imbalance.
"D IB Mark" emphasize Ask or Bid number which is dominant side(Winner of Diagonal Imbalance calculation), by under line.
"Diagonal Imbalance Count" compare Ask side D IB Mark to Bid side D IB Mark in one footprint.
Coloring depend on which is more aggressive side (it has many IB Mark) and When Aggressive direction and price direction are opposite is Delta Divergence Color(yellow).
"D IB Stripes" is a function that further emphasizes with an arrow Mark, when a DIB mark is added on the same side for three consecutive row. Three consecutive arrow is added at third row.
Unfinished Auction, Ratio Bounds and Ladder fading Mark
: "Unfinished Auction" emphasize highest or lowest row which has both Ask and Bid, by Delta Divergence Color(yellow) XXXXXX mark.
Unfinished Auction sometimes has magnet effect, price may touch and breakout at UA side in the future.
This concept is famous as profit taking target than entry decision.
But, I'm interested in the case that Big player make fake breakout at UA side and trapped retail traders, and then do reversal with retail traders stop-loss hunt.
Anyway, it's not stand alone signal.
"Ratio Bounds" gauge decrease of pressure at extreme price. Ratio Bounds High is number which second highest ask is divided by highest ask.
Ratio Bounds Low is number which second lowest bid is divided by lowest bid. The larger the number, the less momentum the price has.
ex)first footprint bar has Ratio Bounds Low 2, second footprint bar has RBL 4, third footprint bar has RBL 20.
This indicates that the bear's power is gradually diminishing.
"Ladder fading mark" emphasizes the decrease of the value in 3 consecutive row at extreme price. I added two type Marks.
Ask/Bid type(triangle Mark) is Ask/Bid values are decreasing of three consecutive row at extreme price.
Row Imbalance type(Diamond Mark) are row Imbalance values are decreasing of three consecutive row at extreme price.
ex)Third lowest Bid 40, second lowest Bid 10 and lowest Bid 5 have triangle up Mark. That is bear's power is gradually diminishing.
(This Mark only check Bid value at lowest price and Ask value at highest price).
Third highest row delta + 60, second highest row delta + 5, highest delta - 20 have diamond Mark. That is Bull's power is gradually diminishing.
Sub display use Delta colors at bottom of Sub display section.
////// Candle & POC /////////
candle and POC
: Ordinary, "POC" Point of Control is row of largest total volume, but this script'POC is volume weighted average.
This is because the regular POC was visually displayed by the profile ,and I was influenced LucF's ideas.
POC coloring is decided in relation to the previous POC. When current POC is higher than previous POC, color is UP Bar Color(green).
In the opposite case, Down Bar color is used.
POC Divergence Color is used when Current POC is up but current bar close is lower than open (Down price Bar),or in the opposite case.
POC coloring has option also highlight background by Delta Divergence Color(yellow). but bg color is displayed at your time frame current price bar not current footprint bar.
The basic explanation is over.
I add some image to promote understanding basic ideas.
BLSHBuy Low Sell High Strategy for Top Market Cap Stocks from Nifty 50. Buy only after price recovery of 5% from it's 25 Days Lowest price for a small target of 5%. It confirms the trend reversal
Money Flow Index With Bullish & Bearish SignalsMONEY FLOW INDEX WITH BULLISH AND BEARISH SIGNALS
Money Flow Index shows whether money is coming into the market or going out of the market. This can be used to gauge market sentiment and whether people are buying or selling at the current price.
***HOW TO USE***
If the MFI line is green, it is above the 50 line and in a bullish trend.
If the MFI line is red, it is below the 50 line and in a bearish trend.
If the background color is green, Money Flow is in a bullish trend, holding above the 50 line.
If the background color is red, Money Flow is in a bearish trend, holding below the 50 line.
If the MFI is above the 75 level it indicates a possible top or overbought conditions.
If the MFI is below the 25 level it indicates a possible bottom or oversold conditions.
***BULLISH/BEARISH LABELS***
There is also a label on the right side that tells you whether the overall trend is bullish or bearish, if there is a possible bottom or top and if the current money flow index is going up or down. This table updates in real time and changes colors so you can get an easy, quick interpretation of the current money flow without having to look at the data so you can make faster decisions on whether to enter or exit a trade. The flashing from red to green or the opposite also grabs your attention so you know immediately if there is a change in trend. The table changes colors in sync with the MFI line and it's trends and bottom/top areas. Green means money is coming in. Red means money is going out. Blue means a neutral amount of money flow.
***MARKETS***
This indicator can be used as a signal on all markets, including stocks, crypto, futures and forex.
***TIMEFRAMES***
This Money Flow Index indicator can be used on all timeframes.
***TIPS***
Try using numerous indicators of ours on your chart so you can instantly see the bullish or bearish trend of multiple indicators in real time without having to analyze the data. Some of our favorites are our Auto Fibonacci, DMI, Momentum, Auto Support And Resistance and Volume Profile in combination with this Money Flow Index. They all have real time Bullish and Bearish labels as well so you can immediately understand each indicator's trend.
Measure Volume, Momentum, Trend, VolatilityThis script displays the following indicators in one pane to quickly determine several important factors regarding price action. It allows the user to quickly see all of most important factors surrounding price action in one pane with one quick glance. This should be incredibly helpful and allow things like double divergence and trend confirmation to be spotted much more quickly. I personally use the data in this indicator to replace four separate indicators and it has brought my win rate and profit factor significantly higher. I hadn't seen any place where all of the best J. Welles Wilder indicators such as RSI, Parabolic SAR, and DMI/ADX were brought into one easy to use interface. This is my attempt at fixing that gap. For a much deeper understanding of how to use these indicators, I recommend reading New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems written by J. Welles Wilder.
Momentum via RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Volume via MFI (Money Flow Index)
Volatility via DMI/ADX (Direction Movement Index/Average Directional Index)
Trend via Parabolic SAR (Parabolic Stop and Reverse)
It is worth noting that DMI/ADX and Parabolic SAR can both help determine trend strength and volatility.
The Volatility mechanism is measured by DMI and ADX and displayed at the top of the pane using circles. The top, tiny circles reflect if show if positive DI or negative DI has a higher value. The small circles directly underneath indicate whether or not the ADX is above 20 (configurable, some may choose to increase this to 25 or even 30).
The Momentum mechanism is shown as standard RSI with the default being a white line and default period of 14, which is all configurable.
The Volume mechanism is shown as standard MFI with the default being a fuchsia line and default period of 14, which is also configurable.
The momentum and volume oscillators should be used in conjunction to help spot whether the trend is strong or weak using divergences and the middle, overbought, and oversold levels. These levels are also configurable.
The Trend mechanism is measured by Parabolic SAR and displayed at the bottom of the pane using diamonds. The default is red diamonds when in a bear trend, green when in an uptrend which is configurable. When price is above the Parabolic SAR, it is considered to be an uptrend. When price is below the Parabolic SAR, it is considered to be a downtrend. The way price is measured is also configurable (i.e. open, close, ohlc4, hlc3, etc.). When price crossed above or below the Parabolic SAR, the diamonds will change colors.
All the indicators displayed should be used in a well rounded strategy. For instance, I only trade when ADX is above 20 and rarely trade against the trend shown via PSAR. When trend shifts and divergences helped indicate a trend shift would occur using the RSI and MFI, it can be a great spot to take an entry. RSI/MFI can also confirm the trend is strong when they are not showing divergences and inline with price action. All of this data should be used in conjunction with good fundamental data and technical levels. Divergences with RSI and MFI on double tops or bottoms can also be incredibly powerful. There is no right or wrong way to use all the data displayed in this indicator, however using all four pillars of trading (Momentum, Volume, Trend, Volatility) will help ensure only the best trades are taken.
Awen1s EMA FiboEMA based on Fibonacci sequence starting at 5 hours.
Hours: 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65, 105, 170, 275, 445, 720, 1165, 1885, 3050, 4935
TASC 2022.04 S&P500 Hybrid Seasonal System█ OVERVIEW
TASC's April 2022 edition of Traders' Tips includes the "Sell In May? Stock Market Seasonality" article authored by Markos Katsanos. This is the code implementing the "Hybrid Seasonal System" from the article.
█ CONCEPTS
In his article, Markos Katsanos takes an updated look at the "Sell in May" adage by reviewing recent historical data for seasonal equity market tendencies. The author explores the development of a trading strategy (a set of buy and sell rules) based on this research.
He starts from the enhanced buy & hold system featured in his July 2021 TASC article, and adds additional technical conditions. These include volatility conditions ( VIX and ATR ) plus the "Volume Flow Indicator" (VFI), which is a custom money flow indicator that Katsanos introduced in his June 2004 TASC article. He provides an example of a trading system that others can test for themselves and modify as they see fit. The author notes that the system could likely be improved further by adding money management conditions (such as a stop-loss), or by adding more technical conditions not considered in the scope of this article.
█ CALCULATIONS
The entry and exit rules that constitute the trading system are defined below. The critical values of VIX, ATR and VFI (specified below) used in the calculations were determined by optimization for a daily chart of the SPY ETF . By default, the strategy only allows long entries. However, the script offers the possibility to initiate short entries upon exiting long trades through the "Long Only" toggle in the script's inputs.
Long Entry Rules
• Seasonal: The seasonal trade is initiated on the first business day October at the open.
• Volatility: In case of high volatility, that is if the VIX is above 60% or the 15-day ATR was above 90% over the past 25 days, the seasonal trade is deferred until later in the month or year, when the volatility subsides.
Exit/Short Entry Rules
• Seasonal: The exit/short signal is triggered on the first business day of August at the open.
• Volatility: The exit/short signal is triggered if VIX is above 120 % (i.e. 2 times the corresponding threshold parameter).
• Money flow (VFI): The exit/short signal is triggered if the VFI crosses under a critical value (-20) while its 10-day moving average is pointing down.
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Stochastic & MAThis trading system comes from the experience of having a "fast" signal for entry at low prices (such as the stoscastic) and then "following" the stock with a "slower" indicator such as the exponential moving average. Both the input and output signals are filtered.
The use of the trading system only carries out long operations and has been tested on shares and ETFs, including indices, on daily bases (End Of Day).
ENTRY CONDITION: when stochastic's k is higher than d (on the default value of 21 periods) we enter the lower part of the oversold, to which we apply a filter or the confirmation that the closing of the day of the crossing is higher than that of the n -th previous bar (the 2nd previous bar recommended).
Other default settings are k = 6 and d = 4; the oversold level is also customizable (recommended = 25).
EXIT CONDITIONS: once the entry has "gone well", we follow the upward trend of the stock not with a stochastic oscillator - which tends to exit too soon, especially in case of strong trends - but with a simple moving average exponential (by default at 38 periods). Also in this case a filter is added, that is, k must be> to a filter threshold (recommended = 65) which is used to distinguish the decline between a "physiological" tracking. "(k drops" slowly "together with the approach of prices to the moving average) from a more" violent "tracking (prices are below the moving average and k consequently fall" suddenly ", in a few bars).
MONEY MANAGEMENT: 13% stop loss inserted (the physiological level of tracking of the shares is generally max 8-12% so we also consider a 1% margin due to trading). For more volatile stocks, the level can be extended to 20%.
LEVERAGE: the default value is equal to 1, but it is advisable, for simulations on shares, to use higher levers (x2, x3, ...) if you trade the relative CFD or on the index in case of buying and selling of Leveraged ETFs (e.g. LEVMIB which is 2x leveraged ETFs on Italian index).
ADR label/
// To quote @qullamaggie: " High ADR is Gold, low ADR is shit..."
// Hence we display the ADR (Average Daily Range) in percent.
//
// We also calculate and display Long Stop-Loss suggestions.
// 1. Using the ATR times a multiple.
// 2. Using a percentage.
//
// We also calculates the Trend Template as described by Mark Minervini in his book: "Trade like a stock market wizard"
// For a stock to be considered all the rules has to be fullfilled.
// The only rule this indicator doesn't implement is the IBD Relative Strength ranking.
//
// Rules:
// close > MA-50 > MA-150 > MA-200 , each condition that is true gets one point.
// The current stock price is at least 30 percent above its 52-week low, gets one point
// The current stock price is within at least 25 percent of its 52-week high, gets one point.
// The 200-day moving average line is trending up for at least 1 month (preferably 4–5 months), gets one point.
//
// When we get 6 points, all the rules are fullfilled and we display an OK;
// else we show the number of points (X).
//
[blackcat] L3 DMIQLevel: 3
Background
The directional movement index (DMI) is an indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978 that identifies in which direction the price of an asset is moving. The indicator does this by comparing prior highs and lows and drawing two lines: a positive directional movement line (+DI) and a negative directional movement line (-DI). An optional third line, called the average directional index (ADX), can also be used to gauge the strength of the uptrend or downtrend.
Function
When +DI is above -DI, there is more upward pressure than downward pressure in the price. Conversely, if -DI is above +DI, then there is more downward pressure on the price. This indicator may help traders assess the trend direction. Crossovers between the lines are also sometimes used as trade signals to buy or sell.
The directional movement index (DMI) is a technical indicator that measures both the strength and direction of a price movement and is intended to reduce false signals.
The DMI utilizes two standard indicators, one negative (-DM) and one positive (+DN), in conjunction with a third, the average directional index (ADX), which is non-directional but shows momentum.
The larger the spread between the two primary lines, the stronger the price trend. If +DI is way above -DI the price trend is strongly up. If -DI is way above +DI then the price trend is strongly down.
ADX measures the strength of the trend, either up or down; a reading above 25 indicates a strong trend.
Remarks
Free and Open Source
Alerts are added.
Overbought & Oversold TrackerAbout this indicator:
- This indicator is basically a stochastic indicator that shows to you the crossover in an Overbought or Oversold area DIRECTLY on the chart
How does it works:
- When Stochastic crosses at Oversold area, a Blue Triangle will appear below the candle with a Blue Dotted Line at the low of the current candle
- The Blue Triangle is to help you to see easily the candle where the crossover is occurring
- At the same time, the Blue Dotted Line will act as a minor Support for the current price
- If the current candle breaks the Blue Dotted Line (minor Support), the candle will be displayed in a red color
- Same things will occur if Stochastic crosses at the Overbought area, but at this time, a Red Triangle with Red Dotted Line will appear just to differentiate between Overbought and Oversold crossover
The advantage of using this indicator:
- You can easily see the point of stochastic crossover DIRECTLY on the chart without analyzing the stochastic indicator
- At the same time, it helps you to see clearly either the price is at the bottom / reversal by combining it with S&R / trendlines or other indicators
Personally, I will combine this indicator with:
a. Support and Resistance or Trendlines
b. Fibonacci retracement
c. Candlestick indicator (see my script list)
d. Ultimate MACD (see my script list)
e. Volume indicator
These combinations personally increase the possibility for me to buy exactly at the point of reversal in a pullback
- This indicator is preset at the value of 25 (oversold) and 75 (overbought) k line, it's my own preference. You can change these values at the setting menu to suit your trading style.
- Once again, I am opening the script for anyone to modify/alter it based on you own preference. Have a good day!
Daily Sun Flares Class XThe classification system for solar flares uses the letters A, B, C, M or X, according to the peak flux as measured at the Earth by the GOES spacecraft.
These are daily Class X sun flares. The data was created by counting daily flares of this class based on the peak time of the flare.
2015-01-01 until 2021-08-25
