Weighted Fourier Transform: Spectral Gating & Main Frequency🙏🏻 This drop has 2 purposes:
1) to inform every1 who'd ever see it that Weighted Fourier Tranform does exist, while being available nowhere online, not even in papers, yet there's nothing incredibly complicated about it, and it can/should be used in certain cases;
2) to show TradingView users how they can use it now in dem endevours, to show em what spectral filtering is, and what can they do with all of it in diy mode.
... so we gonna have 2 sections in the description
Section 1: Weighted Fourier Transform
It's quite easy to include weights in Fourier analysis: you just premultiply each datapoint by its corresponding weight -> feed to direct Fourier Transform, and then divide by weights after inverse Fourier transform. Alternatevely, in direct transform you just multiply contributions of each data point to the real and imaginary parts of the Fourier transform by corresponding weights (in accumulation phase), and in inverse transform you divide by weights instead during the accumulation phase. Everything else stays the same just like in non-weighted version.
If you're from the first target group let's say, you prolly know a thing or deux about how to code & about Fourier Transform, so you can just check lines of code to see the implementation of Weighted Discrete version of Fourier Transform, and port it to to any technology you desire. Pine Script is a developing technology that is incredibly comfortable in use for quant-related tasks and anything involving time series in general. While also using Python for research and C++ for development, every time I can do what I want in Pine Script, I reach for it and never touch matlab, python, R, or anything else.
Weighted version allows you to explicetly include order/time information into the operation, which is essential with every time series, although not widely used in mainstream just as many other obvious and right things. If you think deeply, you'll understand that you can apply a usual non-weighted Fourier to any 2d+ data you can (even if none of these dimensions represent time), because this is a geometric tool in essence. By applying linearly decaying weights inside Fourier transform, you're explicetly saying, "one of these dimensions is Time, and weights represent the order". And obviously you can combine multiple weightings, eg time and another characteristic of each datum, allows you to include another non-spatial dimension in your model.
By doing that, on properly processed (not only stationary but Also centered around zero data), you can get some interesting results that you won't be able to recreate without weights:
^^ A sine wave, centered around zero, period of 16. Gray line made by: DWFT (direct weighted Fourier transform) -> spectral gating -> IWFT (inverse weighted Fourier transform) -> plotting the last value of gated reconstructed data, all applied to expanding window. Look how precisely it follows the original data (the sine wave) with no lag at all. This can't be done by using non-weighted version of Fourier transform.
^^ spectral filtering applied to the whole dataset, calculated on the latest data update
And you should never forget about Fast Fourier Transform, tho it needs recursion...
Section 2: About use cases for quant trading, about this particular implementaion in Pine Script 6 (currently the latest version as of Friday 13, December 2k24).
Given the current state of things, we have certain limits on matrix size on TradingView (and we need big dope matrixes to calculate polynomial regression -> detrend & center our data before Fourier), and recursion is not yet available in Pine Script, so the script works on short datasets only, and requires some time.
A note on detrending. For quality results, Fourier Transform should be applied to not only stationary but also centered around zero data. The rightest way to do detrending of time series
is to fit Cumulative Weighted Moving Polynomial Regression (known as WLSMA in some narrow circles xD) and calculate the deltas between datapoint at time t and this wonderful fit at time t. That's exactly what you see on the main chart of script description: notice the distances between chart and WLSMA, now look lower and see how it matches the distances between zero and purple line in WFT study. Using residuals of one regression fit of the whole dataset makes less sense in time series context, we break some 'time' and order rules in a way, tho not many understand/cares abouit it in mainstream quant industry.
Two ways of using the script:
Spectral Gating aka Spectral filtering. Frequency domain filtering is quite responsive and for a greater computational cost does not introduce a lag the way it works with time-domain filtering. Works this way: direct Fourier transform your data to get frequency & phase info -> compute power spectrum out of it -> zero out all dem freqs that ain't hit your threshold -> inverse Fourier tranform what's left -> repeat at each datapoint plotting the very first value of reconstructed array*. With this you can watch for zero crossings to make appropriate trading decisions.
^^ plot Freq pass to use the script this way, use Level setting to control the intensity of gating. These 3 only available values: -1, 0 and 1, are the general & natural ones.
* if you turn on labels in script's style settings, you see the gray dots perfectly fitting your data. They get recalculated (for the whole dataset) at each update. You call it repainting, this is for analytical & aesthetic purposes. Included for demonstration only.
Finding main/dominant frequency & period. You can use it to set up Length for your other studies, and for analytical purposes simply to understand the periodicity of your data.
^^ plot main frequency/main period to use the script this way. On the screenshot, you can see the script applied to sine wave of period 16, notice how many datapoints it took the algo to figure out the signal's period quite good in expanding window mode
Now what's the next step? You can try applying signal windowing techniques to make it all less data-driven but your ego-driven, make a weighted periodogram or autocorrelogram (check Wiener-Khinchin Theorem ), and maybe whole shiny spectrogram?
... you decide, choice is yours,
The butterfly reflect the doors ...
∞
Cycle
2-Year MA Multiplier [UAlgo]The 2-Year MA Multiplier is a technical analysis tool designed to assist traders and investors in identifying potential overbought and oversold conditions in the market. By plotting the 2-year moving average (MA) of an asset's closing price alongside an upper band set at five times this moving average, the indicator provides visual cues to assess long-term price trends and significant market movements.
🔶 Key Features
2-Year Moving Average (MA): Calculates the simple moving average of the asset's closing price over a 730-day period, representing approximately two years.
Visual Indicators: Plots the 2-year MA in forest green and the upper band in firebrick red for clear differentiation.
Fills the area between the 2-year MA and the upper band to highlight the normal trading range.
Uses color-coded fills to indicate overbought (tomato red) and oversold (cornflower blue) conditions based on the asset's closing price relative to the bands.
🔶 Idea
The concept behind the 2-Year MA Multiplier is rooted in the cyclical nature of markets, particularly in assets like Bitcoin. By analyzing long-term price movements, the indicator aims to identify periods of significant deviation from the norm, which may signal potential buying or selling opportunities.
2-year MA smooths out short-term volatility, providing a clearer view of the asset's long-term trend. This timeframe is substantial enough to capture major market cycles, making it a reliable baseline for analysis.
Multiplying the 2-year MA by five establishes an upper boundary that has historically correlated with market tops. When the asset's price exceeds this upper band, it may indicate overbought conditions, suggesting a potential for price correction. Conversely, when the price falls below the 2-year MA, it may signal oversold conditions, presenting potential buying opportunities.
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Weekly Stacked Daily Changes [LuxAlgo]The Weekly Stacked Daily Changes tool allows traders to compare daily net price changes for each day of the week, stacked by week. It provides a very convenient way to compare daily and weekly volatility at the same time.
🔶 USAGE
The tool requires no configuration and works perfectly out of the box, displaying the net price change for each day of the week as stacked boxes of the appropriate size.
Traders can adjust the width of the columns and the spacing between days and weeks, options to change the color and disable the months and new month lines are also available.
🔹 Bottom Stack Bias
This feature allows traders to compare weekly volatility in two different ways.
With this feature disabled, all weeks use zero as the bottom of the stack, so traders can see at a glance weeks with more volatility and weeks with less volatility.
Enabling this feature will cause the tool to display the stacks with the weekly net price change as the bottom, so if a stack starts below the zero line it means that week has a negative net return, and if it starts above the zero line it means that week has a positive net return.
🔶 SETTINGS
Width: Select the fixed width for each column.
Offset: Choose the fixed width between each column.
Spacing: Select the distance between each day within each column.
🔹 Style
Bottom Stack Bias: Use weekly net price change as the bottom of the stack.
Bullish Change: Color for days with positive net price change
Bearish Change: Color for days with negative net price change
Show Months: Under each week stack, display the month
Show Months Delimiter: Display a line indicating the start of a new month
[TheMandalor] Invert or Mirror Chart SUPPORT RESSISTANTThis is a new idea to find supports and resistant’s for any charts.
What is the concept of this indicator:
1. It is used close and inverted it on chart
2. When the real chart and the inverted chart is crossing together several times, this point will be important on this concept that means the price will care about this point again and again.
3. When you draw a horizontal line as support and resistance check it with this indicator too, if your support and resistance is touched with inverted chart, it will be more important than normal support/ resistance.
4. This indicator has plot candle too, it means you can compare regular chart with the inverted one at same time if you need.
Here is the steps:
1. When you add the indicator to your chart it will add your ticker as inverted.
2. Change your chart type to line chart.
3. Fix your scale in both sides left and right (the indicator's side is on the left).
4. Now you must have two type of line charts, one is yours (The blue one) and one is plotted with this indicator (The purple one).
5. Draw a horizontal line where these two lines have more crossing at the middle of chart, this line will be a powerful line later.
6. Find other more crossed points and draw horizontal line for them too.
7. Now you can see these indicator's support and resistant’s, now you can remove the indicator and watch how the price will touch, reverse, or stay on your new type of support and resistant’s lines.
PS: I have added candle plotting too if you need it.
Hodrick-Prescott Cycle Component (YavuzAkbay)The Hodrick-Prescott Cycle Component indicator in Pine Script™ is an advanced tool that helps traders isolate and analyze the cyclical deviations in asset prices from their underlying trend. This script calculates the cycle component of the price series using the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter, allowing traders to observe and interpret the short-term price movements around the long-term trend. By providing two views—Percentage and Price Difference—this indicator gives flexibility in how these cyclical movements are visualized and interpreted.
What This Script Does
This indicator focuses exclusively on the cycle component of the price, which is the deviation of the current price from the long-term trend calculated by the HP filter. This deviation (or "cycle") is what traders analyze for mean-reversion opportunities and overbought/oversold conditions. The script allows users to see this deviation in two ways:
Percentage Difference: Shows the deviation as a percentage of the trend, giving a normalized view of the price’s distance from its trend component.
Price Difference: Shows the deviation in absolute price terms, reflecting how many price units the price is above or below the trend.
How It Works
Trend Component Calculation with the HP Filter: Using the HP filter, the script isolates the trend component of the price. The smoothness of this trend is controlled by the smoothness parameter (λ), which can be adjusted by the user. A higher λ value results in a smoother trend, while a lower λ value makes it more responsive to short-term changes.
Cycle Component Calculation: Percentage Deviation (cycle_pct) calculated as the difference between the current price and the trend, divided by the trend, and then multiplied by 100. This metric shows how far the price deviates from the trend in relative terms. Price Difference (cycle_price) simply the difference between the current price and the trend component, displaying the deviation in absolute price units.
Conditional Plotting: The user can choose to view the cycle component as either a percentage or a price difference by selecting the Display Mode input. The indicator will plot the chosen mode in a separate pane, helping traders focus on the preferred measure of deviation.
How to Use This Indicator
Identify Overbought/Oversold Conditions: When the cycle component deviates significantly from the zero line (shown with a dashed horizontal line), it may indicate overbought or oversold conditions. For instance, a high positive cycle component suggests the price may be overbought relative to the trend, while a large negative cycle suggests potential oversold conditions.
Mean-Reversion Strategy: In mean-reverting markets, traders can use this indicator to spot potential reversal points. For example, if the cycle component shows an extreme deviation from zero, it could signal that the price is likely to revert to the trend. This can help traders with entry and exit points when the asset is expected to correct back toward its trend.
Trend Strength and Cycle Analysis: By comparing the magnitude and duration of deviations, traders can gauge the strength of cycles and assess if a new trend might be forming. If the cycle component remains consistently positive or negative, it may indicate a persistent market bias, even as prices fluctuate around the trend.
Percentage vs. Price Difference Views: Use the Percentage Difference mode to standardize deviations and compare across assets or different timeframes. This is especially helpful when analyzing assets with varying price levels. Use the Price Difference mode when an absolute deviation (price units) is more intuitive for spotting overbought/oversold levels based on the asset’s actual price.
Using with Hodrick-Prescott: You can also use Hodrick-Prescott, another indicator that I have adapted to the Tradingview platform, to see the trend on the chart, and you can also use this indicator to see how far the price is deviating from the trend. This gives you a multifaceted perspective on your trades.
Practical Tips for Traders
Set the Smoothness Parameter (λ): Adjust the λ parameter to match your trading timeframe and asset characteristics. Lower values make the trend more sensitive, which might suit short-term trading, while higher values smooth out the trend for long-term analysis.
Cycle Component as Confirmation: Combine this indicator with other momentum or trend indicators for confirmation of overbought/oversold signals. For example, use the cycle component with RSI or MACD to validate the likelihood of mean-reversion.
Observe Divergences: Divergences between price movements and the cycle component can indicate potential reversals. If the price hits a new high, but the cycle component shows a smaller deviation than previous highs, it could signal a weakening trend.
Weierstrass Function (Fractal Cycles)THE WEIERSTRASS FUNCTION
f(x) = ∑(n=0)^∞ a^n * cos(b^n * π * x)
The Weierstrass Function is the sum of an infinite series of cosine functions, each with increasing frequency and decreasing amplitude. This creates powerful multi-scale oscillations within the range ⬍(-2;+2), resembling a system of self-repetitive patterns. You can zoom into any part of the output and observe similar proportions, mimicking the hidden order behind the irregularity and unpredictability of financial markets.
IT DOESN’T RELY ON ANY MARKET DATA, AS THE OUTPUT IS BASED PURELY ON A MATHEMATICAL FORMULA!
This script does not provide direct buy or sell signals and should be used as a tool for analyzing the market behavior through fractal geometry. The function is often used to model complex, chaotic systems, including natural phenomena and financial markets.
APPLICATIONS:
Timing Aspect: Identifies the phases of market cycles, helping to keep awareness of frequency of turning points
Price-Modeling features: The Amplitude, frequency, and scaling settings allow the indicator to simulate the trends and oscillations. Its nowhere-differentiable nature aligns with the market's inherent uncertainty. The fractured oscillations resemble sharp jumps, noise, and dips found in volatile markets.
SETTINGS
Amplitude Factor (a): Controls the size of each wave. A higher value makes the waves larger.
Frequency Factor (b): Determines how fast the waves oscillate. A higher value creates more frequent waves.
Ability to Invert the output: Just like any cosine function it starts its journey with a decline, which is not distinctive to the behavior of most assets. The default setting is in "inverted mode".
Scale Factor: Adjusts the speed at which the oscillations grow over time.
Number of Terms (n_terms): Increases the number of waves. More terms add complexity to the pattern.
Gabriel's Cyclic Smoothed RSI [Enhanced]Overview
Gabriel's Cyclic Smoothed RSI (short title: cRSI ) is a sophisticated technical indicator developed to provide traders with deeper insights into market rhythms and price momentum. Building upon the traditional Relative Strength Index (RSI), this enhanced version incorporates dynamic cycle analysis, divergence detection, and optional stochastic oscillators to deliver a more nuanced understanding of market conditions.
Key Features
Cyclic Smoothed RSI (cRSI):
Adaptive Momentum: The cRSI adapts to the dominant market cycle, providing a smoothed RSI that reacts dynamically to price changes.
Ultra-Smooth & Zero-Lag: Designed to minimize lag, ensuring timely signals that closely follow price movements.
Accurate Divergence Detection: Identifies both regular and hidden bullish/bearish divergences, enhancing signal reliability.
Dynamic Overbought/Oversold Bands:
Customizable Thresholds: Set dynamic overbought and oversold levels based on market rhythm analysis.
Adaptive Bands: Bands adjust according to the dominant cycle, offering a more accurate representation of market extremes.
Stochastic cRSI & KDJ Oscillator (Optional):
Enhanced Oscillators: Incorporate stochastic and KDJ oscillators for additional momentum analysis.
Ribbon Displays: Visual ribbons provide clarity on oscillator trends and potential reversal points.
Divergence Detection:
Regular & Hidden Divergences: Detects both regular and hidden bullish/bearish divergences to anticipate potential trend reversals.
Customizable Lookback: Adjust pivot lookback periods to fine-tune divergence sensitivity.
Visual Enhancements:
Triangles & Labels: Visual signals in the form of triangles and labels indicate buy/sell opportunities and divergence events.
Bar Coloring: Option to color bars based on signal strength, providing immediate visual cues.
Alert Conditions:
Custom Alerts: Set up alerts for various signal types, including strong buy/sell signals and divergence events, ensuring you never miss critical market movements.
Input Settings
cRSI Settings
Source: Select the data source for calculations (e.g., Close, Open, High, Low, HLC3, OHLC4).
Dominant Cycle Length: Define the dominant market cycle length based on rhythm analysis.
Vibration: Adjusts the sensitivity of the cRSI to price changes.
Leveling %: Determines the percentage level for dynamic band adjustments.
Show cRSI Plot: Toggle the display of the cRSI line.
Show Cyclic Smoothed Bands: Toggle the display of dynamic overbought and oversold bands.
Show Trend Fill: Enable or disable the trend fill cloud between upper and lower bands.
MA Settings
MA Type: Choose the type of Moving Average (SMA, Bollinger Bands, EMA, SMMA (RMA), WMA, VWMA) to smooth the cRSI.
MA Length: Set the length of the Moving Average.
BB StdDev: Define the standard deviation multiplier for Bollinger Bands.
Show cRSI-based MA: Toggle the display of the cRSI-based Moving Average line.
Stochastic Settings
Show Stochastic cRSI: Enable the stochastic oscillator based on cRSI.
Ribbon: Enable ribbon display for the Stochastic oscillator.
Show KDJ: Toggle the display of the KDJ oscillator.
KDJ Ribbon: Enable ribbon display for the KDJ oscillator.
Stochastic Length: Set the length for the Stochastic calculation.
%K Smoothing: Define the smoothing period for %K.
%D Smoothing: Define the smoothing period for %D.
Stoch Scaling %: Adjusts the vertical scaling of the stochastic to prevent distortion.
Overbought/Oversold Settings
Overbought: Set the Overbought threshold for the cRSI.
OB Extreme: Define the Extreme Overbought threshold for the Stochastic cRSI.
Oversold: Set the Oversold threshold for the cRSI.
OS Extreme: Define the Extreme Oversold threshold for the Stochastic cRSI.
Divergence Settings
Pivot Lookback Right: Number of bars to the right of the pivot for divergence detection.
Pivot Lookback Left: Number of bars to the left of the pivot for divergence detection.
Max of Lookback Range: Maximum number of bars to look back for divergence detection.
Min of Lookback Range: Minimum number of bars to look back for divergence detection.
Plot Bullish: Enable plotting of bullish divergence signals.
Plot Hidden Bullish: Enable plotting of hidden bullish divergence signals.
Plot Bearish: Enable plotting of bearish divergence signals.
Plot Hidden Bearish: Enable plotting of hidden bearish divergence signals.
Delay Plot Until Candle is Closed: Prevents repainting by delaying the plotting of divergence signals until the candle is fully closed.
MeanRevert Matrix [StabTrading]MeanRevert Matrix is a sophisticated trading tool designed to detect when prices significantly deviate from their historical averages, signalling potential market trends and reversals.
Leveraging complex algorithms that incorporate human emotions and mean reversion theory, this indicator is the first stage in a comprehensive system for identifying market entry points. Its versatility allows it to be applied across all charts and timeframes, providing traders with clear visual cues for trend analysis and decision-making.
This indicator is purposefully straightforward, allowing traders to observe how the different algorithms work in confluence. The MeanRevert Matrix can be customized to fit individual trading styles, particularly in terms of aggressiveness, making it adaptable to various market conditions. Working in tandem with the FloWave Oscillator, it offers an additional layer of confluence, ensuring that trading signals are more reliable.
💡 Features
Reversal Zones - These zones are integral to the MeanRevert Matrix, highlighting areas where trader emotions and money flow suggest potential longer-term reversals. The lighter shaded zones indicate early-stage reversals, while darker shades signal stronger reversal potential. This feature is designed to help traders anticipate market shifts and prepare for them accordingly.
Localized Mean Reversion Signals - These signals are triggered when the price deviates significantly from the mean, unaffected by longer-term price movements. This localized algorithm helps traders focus on short-term market fluctuations without being influenced by broader trends.
Yellow Signals - These signals identify isolated overbought or oversold conditions. While they often indicate reversal points, they can also signal the beginning of accelerated buying or selling, giving traders early warning of potential market shifts.
Trading Style Customization - The MeanRevert Matrix allows traders to tailor their strategy by adjusting the indicator’s aggressiveness. A more aggressive setting will produce more frequent reversal signals, offering flexibility based on the trader’s risk tolerance and market outlook.
Noise Eliminator - This feature helps traders filter out market noise or manipulation by increasing the noise value. By removing unwanted or misleading signals, it ensures that traders are acting on the most reliable data.
📈 Implementing the System
Step 1 - Begin by observing the localized blue trend to identify reversal points below the mean. Green or red signals within this trend indicate that the price remains within the current market parameters, suggesting that a reversal may occur more quickly. Yellow signals, however, indicate that the trend is likely to continue, so it’s advisable to wait for clearer reversal zones to develop. To avoid misleading signals, consider using higher noise values.
Step 2 - Wait for the reversal zone algorithm to indicate a potential market reversal by showing either light or dark red/green colour. A lighter zone suggests that the overall trend is beginning to reverse, while a darker zone indicates a higher likelihood of reversal.
Step 3 - Once a reversal zone is identified, monitor the trend line for signals that the price is moving significantly away from the mean. This indicates a strong localized price movement that is poised for a reversal. At this stage, you can reduce the noise value and increase the aggressiveness of the trading style to capture more reversal signals.
🛠️ Usage/Practice
In the example above, the indicator is set with neutral aggression for buy signals and lower aggression for sell signals, reflecting the current bull market cycle
Red Reversal Zone - A bearish reversal zone emerges, followed by a darker bearish zone, indicating an increased probability of a trend reversal. The red signals show price reversion from the localized mean, but the absence of yellow signals suggests the reversion isn't abnormally aggressive, making this a good area to consider a short position.
Strong Reversal Opportunity - Similar to point 1, but this time a green signal appears within the bullish dark green zone, highlighting a strong reversal potential. Subsequent red signals suggest opportunities to take profits as the trend faces resistance.
Opportunity to Strengthen Long Position - Once again, the indicator shows a bullish reversal zone without yellow signals. This suggests an area of increased resistance at this price point, offering traders another chance to increase their long positions before the market enters the long bull cycle.
Excessive Buying Pressure - The price has deviated significantly from the mean, triggering a yellow signal. This indicates excessive buying pressure, suggesting the trend is likely to continue upward. Although not an immediate bearish area, the red sell signals suggest it could be a time to conservatively take partial profits.
Trend Weakening - As the trend slows down, bearish zones appear, indicating potential reversal points. As the market shows signs of losing upward momentum, this suggests an opportunity to reduce their long exposure or enter a short trade and take advantage of the correction in the bull cycle.
Potential for Additional Long Position - Despite the earlier sell signals, the overall uptrend remains strong. This presents an opportunity either to add to the long position or to take profits from a previous sell position. The strength of the upward trend suggests that the market may continue higher.
Abnormal Upward Momentum - Similar to points 4 and 5, the yellow signals indicate abnormal price action with aggressive upward momentum. As the trend corrects to a normal range, the price hitting a resistance level is confirmed by the appearance of red reversal zones, suggesting a potential pullback.
Sideways Market Signals - In a sideways market, the indicator shows signals that remain within the normal mean reversion range. These signals are not abnormal and suggest potential entry points for trades within a sideways market, indicating periods where the market lacks strong directional momentum.
🔶 Conclusion
With its seamless integration into various charts and timeframes, the MeanRevert Matrix stands as a reliable and adaptable tool, essential for navigating the complexities of modern markets. By following the implementation guidelines and leveraging its features, traders have the potential to effectively anticipate market movements and optimize their entry and exit points.
We developed this indicator to help traders enhance their understanding of market trends and achieve their trading objectives with greater precision.
Atlantean Bitcoin Weekly Market Condition - Top/Bottom BTC Overview:
The "Atlantean Bitcoin Weekly Market Condition Detector - Top/Bottom BTC" is a specialized TradingView indicator designed to identify significant turning points in the Bitcoin market on a weekly basis. By analyzing long-term and short-term moving averages across two distinct resolutions, this indicator provides traders with valuable insights into potential market bottoms and tops, as well as the initiation of bull markets.
Key Features:
Market Bottom Detection: The script uses a combination of a simple moving average (SMA) and an exponential moving average (EMA) calculated over long and short periods to identify potential market bottoms. When these conditions are met, the script signals a "Market Bottom" label on the chart, indicating a possible buying opportunity.
Bull Market Start Indicator: When the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term SMA, it signals the beginning of a bull market. This is marked by a "Bull Market Start" label on the chart, helping traders to prepare for potential market upswings.
Market Top Detection: The script identifies potential market tops by analyzing the crossunder of long and short-term moving averages. A "Market Top" label is plotted, suggesting a potential selling point.
Customizable Moving Averages Display: Users can choose to display the moving averages used for detecting market tops and bottoms, providing additional insights into market conditions.
How It Works: The indicator operates by monitoring the interactions between the specified moving averages:
Market Bottom: Detected when the long-term SMA (adjusted by a factor of 0.745) crosses over the short-term EMA.
Bull Market Start: Detected when the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term SMA.
Market Top: Detected when the long-term SMA (adjusted by a factor of 2) crosses under the short-term SMA.
These conditions are highlighted on the chart, allowing traders to visualize significant market events and make informed decisions.
Intended Use: This indicator is best used on weekly Bitcoin charts. It’s designed to provide long-term market insights rather than short-term trading signals. Traders can use this tool to identify strategic entry and exit points during major market cycles. The optional display of moving averages can further enhance understanding of market dynamics.
Originality and Utility: Unlike many other indicators, this script not only highlights traditional market tops and bottoms but also identifies the aggressive start of bull markets, offering a comprehensive view of market conditions. The unique combination of adjusted moving averages makes this script a valuable tool for long-term Bitcoin traders.
Disclaimer: The signals provided by this indicator are based on historical data and mathematical calculations. They do not guarantee future market performance. Traders should use this tool as part of a broader trading strategy and consider other factors before making trading decisions. Not financial advice.
Happy Trading!
By Atlantean
Bitcoin PivotFind [BTC Cycle Tops & Bottoms Finder]What is PivotFind?
PivotFind is a custom indicator designed to track 30+ data points of different nature (technical, sentiment, macro, on-chain), and across multiple timeframes (from 1D to 60D), to detect the market conditions that may indicate the formation of potential Cycle Tops and Bottoms .
PivotFind's goal is to help you navigate Bitcoin's price movements and key happenings over its approximately 4-year cycles to help you craft a mid-term investment plan focused on the larger swings, rather than the shorter-term fluctuations.
What Does PivotFind Show/Do?
Market Phase Assessment and Visualization:
- Uses color-coded backgrounds (green for bull, red for bear, yellow for trend reversal) to show the current (assessed) market phase. Note that the price line itself changes color to reinforce the current phase identification.
- Helps you understand if we're in a uptrend, downtrend, or potentially changing direction (reversal), often an open question for traders, with a mid-term horizon
Cycle Top and Bottom Warnings:
- Places red dots above the price line to warn of potential cycle peaks.
- Shows green dots below the price line to indicate possible cycle bottoms.
These markers appear when multiple indicators reach certain thresholds, which historically have often coincided with significant market pivots (from bull to bear, or viceversa). Clusters of tops and bottom warnings are expected to appear at truly pivotal moments.
Parabolic Growth Signals:
- Displays upward arrows when conditions suggest potential for the rapid price increases that historically anticipated blow-off tops
- These signals are based on a combination of technical indicators and market sentiment reaching certain thresholds.
Altcoin Season Indicators:
- Marks with white diamonds the conditions that have historically led to "altseasons" (i.e. Altcoins overperforming BTC's growth rate).
- Based on factors like Bitcoin dominance decrease and certain altcoin performance metrics.
Fibonacci Retracement Bands:
Plots long-term support and resistance zones based on Fibonacci retracement levels.
These bands are calculated from previous major market highs and lows and shed light on the nature of short-term retracements in the context of major trends.
Price Scenario
PivotFind also provides reference price levels for the upcoming halving cycle, including potential thresholds for increased market interest (retail FOMO), possible overvaluation, and theoretical cycle peak ranges. These projections are based on historical data and should be considered as points of reference rather than definitive predictions.
Comprehensive Data Tables:
Right-side Table: Shows current cycle stage, Bitcoin/Altcoin market dominance percentages, and evaluates key economic factors (like inflation and interest rates) for their potential impact.
Bottom Table: Displays real-time values of over 30 key indicators, including RSI, MVRV ratio, and Fear & Greed Index.
Alerts
PivotFind offers you the ability to set up custom alerts (via the standard TradingView alert functionality) or receive automated notifications for significant market events. Despite its sophisticated analysis, PivotFind is designed to be user-friendly, with pre-set parameters that don't require complex adjustments.
How Does It Work?
PivotFind analyzes over 30 different indicators across multiple timeframes (from 1 day to 60 days), grouped into four main categories:
1. Technical Analysis:
Uses standard indicators like RSI, Stochastic RSI, Williams %R, Elliot Oscillator, TDI, and mean reversion concepts.
Looks for divergences between price and multiple indicators (like OBV, MFI, CCI, RSI, SRSI, MACD and others) to spot potential reversals.
2. Market Sentiment:
Incorporates the Crypto Fear & Greed Index (0-100 scale).
Tracks social media trends and influencer follower counts as a gauge of public interest.
3. Macroeconomic Factors:
Monitors inflation rates, interest rates, US rate yields, and money supply (M2) figures.
Tracks the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and bond market health through ETFs like TLT and HYG.
4. On-Chain Analytics:
Analyzes MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio to spot potential over/undervaluation.
Examines NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) and active Bitcoin addresses.
PivotFind analyzes these indicators collectively, looking for significant correlations and confluences, to provide a view of the market's position within the 4-year cycle and spot the conditions for potential Cycle tops and bottoms (cycle pivots).
Who Is This For?
PivotFind may be particularly useful for:
- Long-term investors looking to optimize entry and exit points within the 4-year cycle
- Individuals who want to understand mid-term trends without engaging in daily analysis of multiple charts (due to lack of time and/or financial knowledge)
- Bitcoin Holders and miners planning their decisions around critical market pivot points
It's less suitable for scalpers, day-traders or those focused on short-term price movements.
Value Proposition
PivotFind simplifies market analysis by bringing together a wide range of indicators and data sources across different timeframes. It uses built-in logic to interpret these inputs within the context of Bitcoin's cycles, giving users an efficient way to spot potential major market shifts. This all-in-one approach helps make sense of complex market conditions and supports more informed decision-making.
Since Bitcoin’s broader cycle strongly influences the entire crypto market, PivotFind can also be useful for investors who are focused on Altcoins, not just Bitcoin.
Important Note (Disclaimer)
Past performance, and patterns, do not guarantee future results. Therefore, PivotFind should be used as one of many tools in your analysis. While the indicator provides a multi-faceted and multi-timeframe analysis of factors historically correlated with pivotal price shifts, it cannot predict future prices with certainty. It's a tool to help inform your decisions, not make them for you. Always conduct your own research and remember that all investments, especially in cryptocurrencies, involve risk.
Recommended Settings
PivotFinds works best on the 1D INDEX:BTCUSD chart (dark-mode, logarithmic scale).
This indicator is not publicly available and requires special access.
Ehlers Band-Pass FilterHeyo,
This indicator is an original translation from Ehlers' book "Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced".
First, I describe the indicator as usual and later you can find a very insightful quote of the book.
Key Features
Signal Line: Represents the output of the band-pass filter, highlighting the dominant cycle in the data.
Trigger Line: A leading indicator derived from the signal line, providing early signals for potential market reversals.
Dominant Cycle: Measures the dominant cycle period by counting the number of bars between zero crossings of the band-pass filter output.
Calculation:
The band-pass filter is implemented using a combination of high-pass and low-pass filters.
The filter's parameters, such as period and bandwidth, can be adjusted to tune the filter to specific market cycles.
The signal line is normalized using an Automatic Gain Control (AGC) to provide consistent amplitude regardless of price swings.
The trigger line is derived by applying a high-pass filter to the signal line, creating a leading
waveform.
Usage
The indicator is effective in identifying peaks and valleys in the market data.
It works best in cyclic market conditions and may produce false signals during trending periods.
The dominant cycle measurement helps traders understand the prevailing market cycle length, aiding in better decision-making.
Quoted from the Book
Band-Pass Filters
“A little of the data narrowly passed,” said Tom broadly.
Perhaps the least appreciated and most underutilized filter in technical analysis is the band-pass filter. The band-pass filter simultaneously diminishes the amplitude at low frequencies, qualifying it as a detrender, and diminishes the amplitude at high frequencies, qualifying it as a data smoother.
It passes only those frequency components from input to output in which the trader is interested. The filtering produced by a band-pass filter is superior because the rejection in the stop bands is related to its bandwidth. The degree of rejection of undesired frequency components is called selectivity. The band-stop filter is the dual of the band-pass filter. It rejects a band of frequency components as a notch at the output and passes all other frequency components virtually unattenuated. Since the bandwidth of the deep rejection in the notch is relatively narrow and since the spectrum of market cycles is relatively broad due to systemic noise, the band-stop filter has little application in trading.
Measuring the Cycle Period
The band-pass filter can be used as a relatively simple measurement of the dominant cycle.
A cycle is complete when the waveform crosses zero two times from the last zero crossing. Therefore, each successive zero crossing of the indicator marks a half cycle period. We can establish the dominant cycle period as twice the spacing between successive zero crossings.
When we measure the dominant cycle period this way, it is best to widen the pass band of the band-pass filter to avoid distorting the measurement simply due to the selectivity of the filter. Using an input bandwidth of 0.7 produces an octave-wide pass band. For example, if the center period of the filter is 20 and the relative bandwidth is 0.7, the bandwidth is 14. That means the pass band of the filter extends from 13-bar periods to 27-bar periods.
That is, roughly an octave exists because the longest period is twice the shortest period of the pass band. It is imperative that a high-pass filter is tuned one octave below the half-bandwidth edge of the band-pass filter to ensure a nominal zero mean of the filtered output. Without a zero mean, the zero crossings can have a substantial error.
Since the measurement of the dominant cycle can vary dramatically from zero crossing to zero
crossing, the code limits the change between measurements to be no more than 25 percent.
While measuring the changing dominant cycle period via zero crossings of the band-pass waveform is easy, it is not necessarily the most accurate method.
Best regards,
simwai
Good Luck with your trading! 🙌
Fibonacci Time PeriodsThe " Fibonacci Time Periods " indicator uses power exponents of the constant Phi based on your custom time period to generate Fibonacci sequence-based progression on a given chart. This tool can help to anticipate the timing of potential turning points by highlighting Fib time zones where significant price movements may occur.
It is different from other alternatives specifically for the ability to alter the rate of progression .
Most famous regular Fib sequence expands with 1.618^(n+1) rate which produces vast change just after few iterations.
Those ever-expanding big intervals don't allow us to cover the smaller details of the chart which we might find crucial. So, the idea was born to break down the constant Phi to a self-fraction using power exponents. In other words, reducing rate of progression to make the expansion more gradual without losing properties of Fibonacci proportions.
Default settings have a rate of 0.25 which is basically Phi^1/4
That means we expect 4x more lines than in regular sequence to cover missing bits owing to formula: 1.618^(0.25*(n+1))
(Line 0.618 is added to enhance visual orientation and perception of proportions)
How it works:
Exponential rate of progression
First, it works out the difference between your custom start (0) and end (1) period
The result is multiplied by 1.618^rate to get the step
Rest lines are created by iterations. For instance, with default rate of 0.25, the 1st generated line = start + (End-Start)*1.618^0.25* 1 , second line = start + (End-Start)*1.618^0.25* 2 , etc.
If we change the rate to 1 it will produce the regular fib sequence with 1.618^(n+1) rate
Fixed rate of progression:
In this mode, when rate is 0.25, it grows exactly with exponent step of 0.25 so first, second, third, etc generated lines also have the fixed exponent of 0.25. The distance between lines do not expand.
How to use:
Set the start and end dates
Choose the type of progression
Choose your desired rate of progression
Customize the colors to match your chart preferences.
Observe the generated Fibonacci time intervals and use them to identify potential market movements and reactions.
Intellect_city - Halvings Bitcoin CycleWhat is halving?
The halving timer shows when the next Bitcoin halving will occur, as well as the dates of past halvings. This event occurs every 210,000 blocks, which is approximately every 4 years. Halving reduces the emission reward by half. The original Bitcoin reward was 50 BTC per block found.
Why is halving necessary?
Halving allows you to maintain an algorithmically specified emission level. Anyone can verify that no more than 21 million bitcoins can be issued using this algorithm. Moreover, everyone can see how much was issued earlier, at what speed the emission is happening now, and how many bitcoins remain to be mined in the future. Even a sharp increase or decrease in mining capacity will not significantly affect this process. In this case, during the next difficulty recalculation, which occurs every 2014 blocks, the mining difficulty will be recalculated so that blocks are still found approximately once every ten minutes.
How does halving work in Bitcoin blocks?
The miner who collects the block adds a so-called coinbase transaction. This transaction has no entry, only exit with the receipt of emission coins to your address. If the miner's block wins, then the entire network will consider these coins to have been obtained through legitimate means. The maximum reward size is determined by the algorithm; the miner can specify the maximum reward size for the current period or less. If he puts the reward higher than possible, the network will reject such a block and the miner will not receive anything. After each halving, miners have to halve the reward they assign to themselves, otherwise their blocks will be rejected and will not make it to the main branch of the blockchain.
The impact of halving on the price of Bitcoin
It is believed that with constant demand, a halving of supply should double the value of the asset. In practice, the market knows when the halving will occur and prepares for this event in advance. Typically, the Bitcoin rate begins to rise about six months before the halving, and during the halving itself it does not change much. On average for past periods, the upper peak of the rate can be observed more than a year after the halving. It is almost impossible to predict future periods because, in addition to the reduction in emissions, many other factors influence the exchange rate. For example, major hacks or bankruptcies of crypto companies, the situation on the stock market, manipulation of “whales,” or changes in legislative regulation.
---------------------------------------------
Table - Past and future Bitcoin halvings:
---------------------------------------------
Date: Number of blocks: Award:
0 - 03-01-2009 - 0 block - 50 BTC
1 - 28-11-2012 - 210000 block - 25 BTC
2 - 09-07-2016 - 420000 block - 12.5 BTC
3 - 11-05-2020 - 630000 block - 6.25 BTC
4 - 20-04-2024 - 840000 block - 3.125 BTC
5 - 24-03-2028 - 1050000 block - 1.5625 BTC
6 - 26-02-2032 - 1260000 block - 0.78125 BTC
7 - 30-01-2036 - 1470000 block - 0.390625 BTC
8 - 03-01-2040 - 1680000 block - 0.1953125 BTC
9 - 07-12-2043 - 1890000 block - 0.09765625 BTC
10 - 10-11-2047 - 2100000 block - 0.04882813 BTC
11 - 14-10-2051 - 2310000 block - 0.02441406 BTC
12 - 17-09-2055 - 2520000 block - 0.01220703 BTC
13 - 21-08-2059 - 2730000 block - 0.00610352 BTC
14 - 25-07-2063 - 2940000 block - 0.00305176 BTC
15 - 28-06-2067 - 3150000 block - 0.00152588 BTC
16 - 01-06-2071 - 3360000 block - 0.00076294 BTC
17 - 05-05-2075 - 3570000 block - 0.00038147 BTC
18 - 08-04-2079 - 3780000 block - 0.00019073 BTC
19 - 12-03-2083 - 3990000 block - 0.00009537 BTC
20 - 13-02-2087 - 4200000 block - 0.00004768 BTC
21 - 17-01-2091 - 4410000 block - 0.00002384 BTC
22 - 21-12-2094 - 4620000 block - 0.00001192 BTC
23 - 24-11-2098 - 4830000 block - 0.00000596 BTC
24 - 29-10-2102 - 5040000 block - 0.00000298 BTC
25 - 02-10-2106 - 5250000 block - 0.00000149 BTC
26 - 05-09-2110 - 5460000 block - 0.00000075 BTC
27 - 09-08-2114 - 5670000 block - 0.00000037 BTC
28 - 13-07-2118 - 5880000 block - 0.00000019 BTC
29 - 16-06-2122 - 6090000 block - 0.00000009 BTC
30 - 20-05-2126 - 6300000 block - 0.00000005 BTC
31 - 23-04-2130 - 6510000 block - 0.00000002 BTC
32 - 27-03-2134 - 6720000 block - 0.00000001 BTC
trend_switch
█ Description
Asset price data was time series data, commonly consisting of trends, seasonality, and noise. Many applicable indicators help traders to determine between trend or momentum to make a better trading decision based on their preferences. In some cases, there is little to no clear market direction, and price range. It feels much more appropriate to use a shorter trend identifier, until clearly defined market trend. The indicator/strategy developed with the notion aims to automatically switch between shorter and longer trend following indicator. There were many methods that can be applied and switched between, however in this indicator/strategy will be limited to the use of predictive moving average and MESA adaptive moving average (Ehlers), by first determining if there is a strong trend identified by calculating the slope, if slope value is between upper and lower threshold assumed there is not much price direction.
█ Formula
// predictive moving average
predict = (2*wma1-wma2)
trigger = (4*predict+3*predict +2*predict *predict)
// MESA adaptive moving average
mama = alpha*src+(1-alpha)*mama
fama = .5*alpha*mama+(1-.5-alpha)*fama
█ Feature
The indicator will have a specified default parameter of:
source = ohlc4
lookback period = 10
threshold = 10
fast limit = 0.5
slow limit = 0.05
Strategy type can be switched between Long/Short only and Long-Short strategy
Strategy backtest period
█ How it works
If slope between the upper (red) and lower (green) threshold line, assume there is little to no clear market direction, thus signal predictive moving average indicator
If slope is above the upper (red) or below the lower (green) threshold line, assume there is a clear trend forming, the signal generated from the MESA adaptive moving average indicator
█ Example 1 - Slope fall between the Threshold - activate shorter trend
█ Example 2 - Slope fall above/below Threshold - activate longer trend
Ichimoku Theories [LuxAlgo]The Ichimoku Theories indicator is the most complete Ichimoku tool you will ever need. Four tools combined into one to harness all the power of Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō.
This tool features the following concepts based on the work of Goichi Hosoda:
Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō: Original Ichimoku indicator with its five main lines and kumo.
Time Theory: automatic time cycle identification and forecasting to understand market timing.
Wave Theory: automatic wave identification to understand market structure.
Price Theory: automatic identification of developing N waves and possible price targets to understand future price behavior.
🔶 ICHIMOKU KINKŌ HYŌ
Ichimoku with lines only, Kumo only and both together
Let us start with the basics: the Ichimoku original indicator is a tool to understand the market, not to predict it, it is a trend-following tool, so it is best used in trending markets.
Ichimoku tells us what is happening in the market and what may happen next, the aim of the tool is to provide market understanding, not trading signals.
The tool is based on calculating the mid-point between the high and low of three pre-defined ranges as the equilibrium price for short (9 periods), medium (26 periods), and long (52 periods) time horizons:
Tenkan sen: middle point of the range of the last 9 candles
Kinjun sen: middle point of the range of the last 26 candles
Senkou span A: middle point between Tankan Sen and Kijun Sen, plotted 26 candles into the future
Senkou span B: midpoint of the range of the last 52 candles, plotted 26 candles into the future
Chikou span: closing price plotted 26 candles into the past
Kumo: area between Senkou pans A and B (kumo means cloud in Japanese)
The most basic use of the tool is to use the Kumo as an area of possible support or resistance.
🔶 TIME THEORY
Current cycles and forecast
Time theory is a critical concept used to identify historical and current market cycles, and use these to forecast the next ones. This concept is based on the Kihon Suchi (translating to "Basic Numbers" in Japanese), these are 9 and 26, and from their combinations we obtain the following sequence:
9, 17, 26, 33, 42, 51, 65, 76, 129, 172, 200, 257
The main idea is that the market moves in cycles with periods set by the Kihon Suchi sequence.
When the cycle has the same exact periods, we obtain the Taito Suchi (translating to "Same Number" in Japanese).
This tool allows traders to identify historical and current market cycles and forecast the next one.
🔹 Time Cycle Identification
Presentation of 4 different modes: SWINGS, HIGHS, KINJUN, and WAVES .
The tool draws a horizontal line at the bottom of the chart showing the cycles detected and their size.
The following settings are used:
Time Cycle Mode: up to 7 different modes
Wave Cycle: Which wave to use when WAVE mode is selected, only active waves in the Wave Theory settings will be used.
Show Time Cycles: keep a cleaner chart by disabling cycles visualisation
Show last X time cycles: how many cycles to display
🔹 Time Cycle Forecast
Showcasing the two forecasting patterns: Kihon Suchi and Taito Suchi
The tool plots horizontal lines, a solid anchor line, and several dotted forecast lines.
The following settings are used:
Show time cycle forecast: to keep things clean
Forecast Pattern: comes in two flavors
Kihon Suchi plots a line from the anchor at each number in the Kihon Suchi sequence.
Taito Suchi plot lines from the anchor with the same size detected in the anchored cycle
Anchor forecast on last X time cycle: traders can place the anchor in any detected cycle
🔶 WAVE THEORY
All waves activated with overlapping
The main idea behind this theory is that markets move like waves in the sea, back and forth (making swing lows and highs). Understanding the current market structure is key to having realistic expectations of what the market may do next. The waves are divided into Simple and Complex.
The following settings are used:
Basic Waves: allows traders to activate waves I, V and N
Complex Waves: allows traders to activate waves P, Y and W
Overlapping waves: to avoid missing out on any of the waves activated
Show last X waves: how many waves will be displayed
🔹 Basic Waves
The three basic waves
The basic waves from which all waves are made are I, V, and N
I wave: one leg moves
V wave: two legs move, one against the other
N wave: Three legs move, push, pull back, and another push
🔹 Complex Waves
Three complex waves
There are other waves like
P wave: contracting market
Y wave: expanding market
W wave: double top or double bottom
🔶 PRICE THEORY
All targets for the current N wave with their calculations
This theory is based on identifying developing N waves and predicting potential price targets based on that developing wave.
The tool displays 4 basic targets (V, E, N, and NT) and 3 extended targets (2E and 3E) according to the calculations shown in the chart above. Traders can enable or disable each target in the settings panel.
🔶 USING EVERYTHING TOGETHER
Please DON'T do this. This is not how you use it
Now the real example:
Daily chart of Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ1!) with our Ichimoku analysis
Time, waves, and price theories go together as one:
First, we identify the current time cycles and wave structure.
Then we forecast the next cycle and possible key price levels.
We identify a Taito Suchi with both legs of exactly 41 candles on each I wave, both together forming a V wave, the last two I waves are part of a developing N wave, and the time cycle of the first one is 191 candles. We forecast this cycle into the future and get 22nd April as a key date, so in 6 trading days (as of this writing) the market would have completed another Taito Suchi pattern if a new wave and time cycle starts. As we have a developing N wave we can see the potential price targets, the price is actually between the NT and V targets. We have a bullish Kumo and the price is touching it, if this Kumo provides enough support for the price to go further, the market could reach N or E targets.
So we have identified the cycle and wave, our expectations are that the current cycle is another Taito Suchi and the current wave is an N wave, the first I wave went for 191 candles, and we expect the second and third I waves together to amount to 191 candles, so in theory the N wave would complete in the next 6 trading days making a swing high. If this is indeed the case, the price could reach the V target (it is almost there) or even the N target if the bulls have the necessary strength.
We do not predict the future, we can only aim to understand the current market conditions and have future expectations of when (time), how (wave), and where (price) the market will make the next turning point where one side of the market overcomes the other (bulls vs bears).
To generate this chart, we change the following settings from the default ones:
Swing length: 64
Show lines: disabled
Forecast pattern: TAITO SUCHI
Anchor forecast: 2
Show last time cycles: 5
I WAVE: enabled
N WAVE: disabled
Show last waves: 5
🔶 SETTINGS
Show Swing Highs & Lows: Enable/Disable points on swing highs and swing lows.
Swing Length: Number of candles to confirm a swing high or swing low. A higher number detects larger swings.
🔹 Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō
Show Lines: Enable/Disable the 5 Ichimoku lines: Kijun sen, Tenkan sen, Senkou span A & B and Chikou Span.
Show Kumo: Enable/Disable the Kumo (cloud). The Kumo is formed by 2 lines: Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B.
Tenkan Sen Length: Number of candles for Tenkan Sen calculation.
Kinjun Sen Length: Number of candles for the Kijun Sen calculation.
Senkou Span B Length: Number of candles for Senkou Span B calculation.
Chikou & Senkou Offset: Number of candles for Chikou and Senkou Span calculation. Chikou Span is plotted in the past, and Senkou Span A & B in the future.
🔹 Time Theory
Show Time Cycle Forecast: Enable/Disable time cycle forecast vertical lines. Disable for better performance.
Forecast Pattern: Choose between two patterns: Kihon Suchi (basic numbers) or Taito Suchi (equal numbers).
Anchor forecast on last X time cycle: Number of time cycles in the past to anchor the time cycle forecast. The larger the number, the deeper in the past the anchor will be.
Time Cycle Mode: Choose from 7 time cycle detection modes: Tenkan Sen cross, Kijun Sen cross, Kumo change between bullish & bearish, swing highs only, swing lows only, both swing highs & lows and wave detection.
Wave Cycle: Choose which type of wave to detect from 6 different wave types when the time cycle mode is set to WAVES.
Show Time Cycles: Enable/Disable time cycle horizontal lines. Disable for better performance.
how last X time cycles: Maximum number of time cycles to display.
🔹 Wave Theory
Basic Waves: Enable/Disable the display of basic waves, all at once or one at a time. Disable for better performance.
Complex Waves: Enable/Disable complex wave display, all at once or one by one. Disable for better performance.
Overlapping Waves: Enable/Disable the display of waves ending on the same swing point.
Show last X waves: 'Maximum number of waves to display.
🔹 Price Theory
Basic Targets: Enable/Disable horizontal price target lines. Disable for better performance.
Extended Targets: Enable/Disable extended price target horizontal lines. Disable for better performance.
Advanced MACD [CryptoSea]Advanced MACD (AMACD) enhances the traditional MACD indicator, integrating innovative features for traders aiming for deeper insights into market momentum and sentiment. It's crafted for those seeking to explore nuanced behaviors of the MACD histogram, thus offering a refined perspective on market dynamics.
Divergence moves can offer insight into continuation or potential reversals in structure, the example below is a clear continuation signal.
Key Features
Enhanced Histogram Analysis: Precisely tracks movements of the MACD histogram, identifying growth or decline periods, essential for understanding market momentum.
High/Low Markers: Marks the highest and lowest points of the histogram within a user-defined period, signaling potential shifts in the market.
Dynamic Averages Calculation: Computes average durations of histogram phases, providing a benchmark against historical performance.
Color-Coded Histogram: Dynamically adjusts the histogram's color intensity based on the current streak's duration relative to its average, offering a visual cue of momentum strength.
Customisable MACD Settings: Enables adjustments to MACD parameters, aligning with individual trading strategies.
Interactive Dashboard: Showcases an on-chart table with average durations for each phase, aiding swift decision-making.
Settings & Customisation
MACD Settings: Customise fast length, slow length, and signal smoothing to tailor the MACD calculations to your trading needs.
Reset Period: Determine the number of bars to identify the histogram's significant high and low points.
Histogram High/Lows: Option to display critical high and low levels of the histogram for easy referencing.
Candle Colours: Select between neutral or traditional candle colors to match your analytical preferences.
When in strong trends, you can use the average table to determine when to look to get into a position. This example we are in a strong downtrend, we then see the histogram growing above the average in these conditions which is where we should look to get into a shorting position.
Strategic Applications
The AMACD serves not just as an indicator but as a comprehensive analytical tool for spotting market trends, momentum shifts, and potential reversal points. It's particularly useful for traders to:
Spot Momentum Changes Utilise dynamic coloring and streak tracking to alert shifts in momentum, helping anticipate market movements.
Identify Market Extremes Use high and low markers to spot potential market turning points, aiding in risk management and decision-making.
Alert Conditions
Above Average Movement Alerts: Triggered when the duration of the MACD histogram's growth or decline is unusually long, these alerts signal sustained momentum:
Above Zero: Alerts for both growing and declining movements above zero, indicating either continued bullish trends or potential bearish reversals.
Below Zero: Alerts for growth and decline below zero, pointing to potential bullish reversals or confirmed bearish trends.
High/Low Break Alerts: Activated when the histogram reaches new highs or falls to new lows beyond the set thresholds, these alerts are crucial for identifying shifts in market dynamics:
Break Above Last High: Indicates a potential upward trend as the histogram surpasses recent highs.
Break Below Last Low: Warns of a possible downward trend as the histogram drops below recent lows.
These alert conditions enable traders to automate part of their market monitoring or potential to automate the signals to take action elsewhere.
Global Net Liquidity (TG fork)Worldwide net liquidity, with trend coloring.
Global Net Liquidity attempts to represent worldwide net liquidity, and is defined as: Fed + Japan + China + UK + ECB - RRP - TGA , Where the first five components are central bank assets.
On TradingView, the indicator can be reproduced with the following equations: Global Net Liquidity = FRED:WALCL + FRED:JPNASSETS * FX_IDC:JPYUSD + CNCBBS * FX_IDC:CNYUSD + GBCBBS * FX:GBPUSD + ECBASSETSW * FX:EURUSD + RRPONTSYD + WTREGEN
However, this indicator adds a moving average cloud, and margin coloring, which eases historical trend assessment at a glance.
This indicator can be seen as an alternative representation of the accumulation/distribution indicator (and hence the same terms can be used in this description).
The Moving Average Cloud is simply the filling between the moving average (by default an EMA) and the current value. This feature was inspired by D7R ACC/DIST closed-source indicator, kudos to D7R for making such neat visual indicators.
Usage instructions:
Blue is more likely a phase of accumulation because the current value is above its historical price as defined by the moving average,
red is when this is more likely a phase of distribution.
Yellow is when the difference is below the margin, so we consider it is insignificant and that the trend is undecided. This can be disabled by setting the margin to 0.
While the color indicates if it's more likely an accumulation (blue) or distribution (red) phase or undecided (yellow), the cloud's vertical size allows to assess the strength of this tendency and the horizontal size the momentum, so that the bigger the cloud, the stronger the accumulation (if cloud is blue) or distribution (if cloud is red).
Why is that so? This is because the cloud represents the difference between the current tendency and the moving averaged past one, so a bigger cloud represents a bigger departure from recently observed tendencies. In practice, when there is accumulation, a pump in price can be expected soon, or if it already happened then it means it is indeed supported by volume, whereas if distribution, either a dump is to be expected soon, or if it already happened it means it's supported by volume.
Or maybe not necessarily a dump, but if there is a move upward in price, but the indicator indicates a strong distribution, then it means that the price movement is not supported and may not be sustainable (reversal may happen at anytime), whereas if price is going upward AND there is an accumulation (blue coloring) then it is more sustainable. This can be used to adapt strategies accordingly (risk on/risk off depending on whether there is concordance of both price and accumulation/distribution).
This indicator also includes sentiment signals that can be used to trigger alarms.
This indicator is a remix of Dharmatech's, who authored the first this Global Net Liquidity equation, kudos to them! Please show them some love if you like this indicator!
Sequencer [LuxAlgo]The Sequencer indicator is a tool that is able to highlight sequences of prices based on their relative position to past prices, which allows a high degree of customization from the user.
Two phases are included in this script, a "Preparation" phase and a "Lead-Up" phase, each with a customizable amount of steps, as well as other characteristics.
Users can also highlight the last step leading to each phase completion with a level, this level can eventually be used as a key price point.
🔶 USAGE
The script highlights two phases, each being based on a sequence of events requiring prices to be higher/lower than prices various bars ago.
The completion of the preparation phase will lead to the evaluation of the lead-up phase, however, it isn't uncommon to see a reversal occurring after the completion of a preparation phase. In the script, bullish preparations are highlighted in green, while bearish preparations are highlighted in red.
Completion of a "Lead-Up" phase is indicative of a potential reversal, with a bullish reversal for the completion of a bullish lead-up (in blue), and a bearish reversal for the completion of a bearish lead-up (in orange).
Using a higher length for the preparation/lead-up phases can allow the detection of longer-term reversals.
Users wishing to display levels based on specific phases completion can do so from the settings in the "Preparation/Lead-Up Completion Levels" settings group.
The "Show Last" settings determine the amount of respective levels to display on the chart.
🔶 PREPARATION PHASE
The "Preparation" phase precedes the "Lead-Up" phase. The completion of this phase requires N successive prices to be lower than the closing price P bars ago for a bullish phase, and for prices to be higher than the closing price P bars ago for a bearish phase, where N is the user set "Preparation Phase Length" and P the user set "Comparison Period".
🔹 Refined Preparations
Sequences of the preparation phase can either be "Standard" or "Refined". Unlike the standard preparation previously described a refined preparation requires the low prices from the user-specified steps in "Refined Preparation Steps" to be above the low price of the last step for a bullish preparation phase, and for the high prices specified in the refined preparation steps to be below the high price of the last step for a bearish preparation phase.
🔶 LEAD-UP PHASE
The "Lead-Up" phase is initiated by the completion of the "Preparation" phase.
Completion of this phase requires the price to be lower than the low price P bars ago N times for a bullish phase, and for prices to be higher than the high price P bars ago N times for a bearish phase, where N is the user set "Lead-Up Phase Length" and P the user set "Comparison Period".
Unlike with the "Preparation" phase these conditions don't need to be successive for them to be valid and can occur at any time.
🔹 Lead-Up Cancellation
Incomplete "Lead-Up" phases can be canceled and removed from the chart once a preparation of the opposite sentiment is completed, avoiding lead-ups to be evaluated after completion of complete preparations.
This can be disabled by toggling off "Apply Cancellation".
🔹 Lead-Up Suspension
Like with refined preparations, we can require specific steps from the lead-up phase to be higher/lower than the price on the last step. This can be particularly important since we do not require lead-up steps to be successive.
For a bullish lead-up, the low of the last step must be lower than the minimum closing prices of the user-specified steps for it to be valid, while for a bearish lead-up, the high of the last step must be higher than the maximum closing prices of the user-specified steps for it to be valid.
This effectively allows for eliminating lead-up phases getting completed on opposite trends.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Preparation Phase
Preparation Phase Length: Length of the "Preparation" phase.
Comparison Period: Offset used to compare current prices to past ones.
Preparation Type: Type of preparation to evaluate, options include "Standard" or "Refined"
Refined Preparations Steps: Steps to evaluate when preparation type is "Refined"
🔹 Lead-Up Phase
Lead-Up Phase Length: Length of the "Lead-Up" phase.
Comparison Period: Offset used to compare current prices to past ones.
Suspension: Applies suspension rule to evaluate lead-up completion.
Suspension Steps: Specifies the steps evaluated to determine if the lead-up referral is respected. Multiple steps are supported and should be comma-separated.
Apply Cancellation: Cancellation will remove any incomplete lead-up upon the completion of a new preparation phase of the opposite sentiment.
🔹 Levels
Bullish Preparations Levels: When enabled display price levels from completed bullish preparations.
Show Last: Number of most recent bullish preparations levels to display.
Bearish Preparations Levels: When enabled display price levels from completed bearish preparations.
Show Last: Number of most recent bearish preparations levels to display.
Central Banks Balance Sheets ROI% ChangeIntroducing the "Central Banks Balance Sheets ROI% Change" indicator, a tool designed to offer traders and analysts an understanding of global liquidity dynamics.
This indicator tracks the Return on Investment (ROI) percentage changes across major central banks' balance sheets, providing insights into shifts in global economic liquidity not tied to cumulative figures but through ROI calculations, capturing the pulse of overall economic dynamics.
Key Enhancements:
ROI Period Customization: Users can now adjust the ROI calculation period, offering flexibility to analyze short-term fluctuations or longer-term trends in central bank activities, aligning with their strategic time horizons.
Chart Offset Feature: This new functionality allows traders to shift the chart view, aiding in the alignment of data visualization with other indicators or specific analysis needs, enhancing interpretive clarity.
Central Bank Selection: With options to include or exclude data from specific central banks among the world's top 15 economies (with the exception of Mexico and the consolidation of the EU's central bank data), traders can tailor the analysis to their regional focus or diversification strategies.
US M2 Option: Recognizing the significance of the M2 money supply as a liquidity metric, this indicator offers an alternative view focusing solely on the US M2, allowing for a concentrated analysis of the US liquidity environment.
Comprehensive Coverage: The tool covers a wide array of central banks, including the Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China, European Central Bank, and more, ensuring a broad and inclusive perspective on global liquidity.
Visualization Enhancements: A histogram plot vividly distinguishes between positive and negative ROI changes, offering an intuitive grasp of liquidity expansions or contractions at a glance.
This indicator is a strategic tool designed for traders who seek to understand the undercurrents of market liquidity and its implications on global markets.
Whether you're assessing the impact of central bank policies, gauging economic health, or identifying investment opportunities, the "Central Banks Balance Sheets ROI% Change" indicator offers a critical lens through which to view the complex interplay of global liquidity factors.
MVRV Z-ScoreThe MVRV ratio was created by Murad Mahmudov & David Puell. It simply compares Market Cap to Realised Cap, presenting a ratio (MVRV = Market Cap / Realised Cap). The MVRV Z-Score is a later version, refining the metric by normalising the peaks and troughs of the data.
Extended Parallel ChannelsThis indicator provides an enhanced version of the popular Parallel Channel tool by allowing channel boundaries to be extended above and below the primary channel. It can also serve as a general tool for drawing parallel lines and grid lines to aid technical analysis.
🟠 Application
There are two primary ways extended channels can provide valuable insights:
🔵 Support and Resistance Levels
When prices break out of a channel, they often encounter strong resistance at approximately the 100% extension point. Breakout traders can utilize the extended channel boundary to place take-profit orders. Meanwhile, reversal traders can look for entry opportunities at this level.
🔵 Grid / Martingale Trading
Grid Trading and Martingale Trading strategies rely heavily on grid lines. This indicator streamlines that process by enabling traders to effortlessly plot grid lines across the chart.
🟠 Instructions
Upon adding the indicator, the user will be prompted to set the channel boundaries by placing three anchor points on the chart. The first two anchors determine one boundary line, while the third anchor determine the other boundary line.
Once the three anchors are positioned, the indicator automatically plots the resulting channel as well as the extended lines. The anchor points are highlighted as movable blue circles, allowing the user to dynamically adjust the channel formation by dragging the anchors to new locations as needed.
ZN Market CycleDescription
The purpose of this indicator is to create symbols that try to show the most accurate positions possible for trading. The formation of BUY/SELL symbols is based on the intersection of RSI, MACD and 6 bar moving average. Additionally, BOLLINGER bands were used to determine the lower and upper points. For example, while the price is falling, it will create an BOTTOM symbol when the price crosses the lower BOLLINGER band upwards. If this transition is accompanied by the RSI breaking its average upwards, it will produce the STRONG BOTTOM symbol. If the RSI average crosses the RSIMA direction upwards, it will produce the DEEP symbol. Of course, the scenario described above is also valid in the opposite direction. The purpose of the icons on the screen is indicated by the text above them. However, a detailed explanation of what these symbols do is given below.
Symbols
The symbols are explained one by one below.
BOTTOM: Indicates that the fall has slowed down or may have been completed.
STRONG BOTTOM: Indicates that the fall has stopped or may have been completed.
TOP: Indicates that the ascent has slowed down or may have been completed.
STRONG TOP: Indicates that the ascent has stopped or may have been completed.
BUY: Indicates the convenient location to make a buying. Buying pressure may increase after this symbol.
STRONG BUY: Indicates the most suitable location for buying. It should be considered that a strong buying wave may come after the appearance of this symbol.
SELL: Indicates the appropriate location to selling Selling pressure may increase after this symbol.
STRONG SELL: Indicates the most suitable position to selling. It should be considered that a strong selling wave may come after the appearance of this symbol.
PEAK: It indicates that the uptrend has come to an end.
DEEP: It indicates that the downtrend has come to an end.
ARROWS: Arrows show the trend direction. Since it varies a lot, it should be used to follow the trend rather than buy/sell. However, the appearance of a downward arrow shortly after a buy signal should suggest that the buy signal is fake. In this case, the buying position can be closed. This also applies to the selling process.
Best Use
This indicator should be used for SPOT trades. Regardless, since it is not possible to know exactly the direction of the market, it should be considered to buy gradually at buy signals and sell gradually at sell signals.
It should be followed for at least a 4-hour period. We do not recommend its use as the margin of error will increase in shorter time periods.
After a buy signal comes, a short decline may occur and the rise may begin. An immediate rise should not be expected after the signal arrives. Since the signals are not guaranteed to work 100%, we do not recommend you to trade with all your money.
No Repainting
Repainting is definitely not done. After the symbols appear, the closing should be expected. Once the closing occurs, the symbol will now be permanent.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for informational purposes only and should be used for educational purposes only. You may lose money if you rely on this to trade without additional information. Use at your own risk.
Version
v1.0
Market Time Cycle (Expo)█ Time Cycles Overview
Time cycles are a fascinating and powerful concept in the world of trading and investing. They are all about understanding and predicting the timing of market moves based on the premise that market events and price movements are not random, but instead occur in repeatable, cyclical patterns.
The Concept of Time Cycles: The foundation of time cycles lies in the belief that historical market patterns tend to repeat themselves over specific periods. These periods or cycles could be influenced by a myriad of factors like economic data releases, earnings reports, geopolitical events, or even natural human behavior. For example, some traders observe increased market activity around the start and end of a trading day, which is a form of intraday time cycle.
Understanding time cycles can provide traders with a roadmap, helping them anticipate potential trend shifts and make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell.
█ Indicator Overview
The Market Time Cycle (Expo) is designed to help traders track and analyze market cycles and generate signals for potential trading opportunities. It uses mathematical techniques to analyze market cycles and detect possible turning points. It does this by projecting the estimated cycle timeline and providing visual indications of cyclical phases through the use of color-coded lines and sine wave cycles.
Time cycles offer a compelling way to forecast market trends and time your trades better. By adding time cycles to your trading toolbox, you could potentially gain a new perspective on market movements and refine your trading strategy further. The indicator generates trading signals based on the sine wave's behavior. When the sine wave crosses certain thresholds, the indicator generates a signal suggesting a potential trading opportunity based on cycle behavior.
█ How to use
This indicator can be a valuable tool to help traders understand and predict market trends and time their trades more accurately. By visualizing the cyclic nature of markets, traders can better anticipate potential turning points and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. It helps traders to spot ideal entry and exit points based on the cyclical nature of financial markets.
█ Settings
You can customize the number of bars (NumbOfBars) that are taken into consideration for the cycle. Including a higher number of bars will provide more data, which can be helpful for analyzing long-term trends.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
