Bayesian Order Flow Predictor

📌 Bayesian Order Flow Predictor — Advanced Probability Engine for Nasdaq and Futures

This indicator is a next-generation probabilistic forecasting system designed for Nasdaq traders who rely on Order Flow, Auction Market Theory, Value Area dynamics, market structure, DOM imbalance, and Bayesian probability models.

It combines 7 professional-grade factors (DOM, CVD, RSI, EMA trend, ATR volatility, Market Structure, Value Area positioning) into a unified Bayesian probability panel that outputs a clean bullish/bearish probability curve with high-confidence reversal and trend-continuation signals.

Engineered for scalpers, day traders, futures traders, and ICT-style order flow technicians, it delivers real-time directional probability, session-aware signals, and optional news-filter exclusion.

⭐ Features

Bayesian Probability Model (0–100%)
DOM imbalance scoring across dynamic depth levels
Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) scoring
Market structure detection (HH/LL micro-trend shifts)
RSI momentum and overbought/oversold scoring
EMA directional bias + ATR-normalized deviation
Value Area positioning (VAH / VAL / POC) with optional previous-session mode
Session filtering (only signals during active hours)
Automated news filter (exclude signals around scheduled macro events)

Bull/Bear probability zones with background coloring
Anti-repetition system (no double signals in same direction)
Designed for future scalping, futures order flow, and high-precision timing

🧠 Bayesian Probability Engine — How It Works

The model evaluates 7 independent market factors simultaneously:

DOM imbalance
CVD pressure
Market structure
RSI deviation
EMA trend
Value Area position
ATR volatility shift
Each factor is transformed into a normalized score, multiplied by its weighting parameter, and aggregated into a global score.
This score is then passed through a Bayesian logistic function to convert uncertainty into a smooth probability curve, giving traders a clean, mathematically stable, and noise-resistant forecast.

📈 Buy & Sell Signal Logic

Signals trigger when:

Bullish Probability crosses above the user threshold
Bearish Probability crosses below the opposite threshold
Session is active
No protected news event is occurring

This avoids noise, prevents over-signaling, and focuses only on high-confidence inflection points.

🎯Fully compatible with the indicator: ➡️ AI Probabilistic Orderflow scalper
Both indicators synchronize perfectly when used together:

Bayesian panel → trend probability
Scalper v1 → timing + TP/SL engine
Together they create a complete probability-driven revenue management system for scalping Future.

📘 How to Use

Add the indicator to your chart
Set your trading session (e.g., 09:30–16:00 EST)
Adjust weights depending on your style (Order Flow / Momentum / Value Area)

Watch the probability curve:

Above threshold → bullish bias
Below threshold → bearish bias
Take signals when the curve crosses thresholds, not when flat

Combine with "AI Probabilistic Orderflow scalper" indicator for execution timing

Avoid high-impact news using the News Filter

💎 Advantages

Professional-grade Bayesian model
Works in all volatility regimes
Noise-resistant and smoother than traditional oscillators
Integrates Order Flow + Auction Theory + Momentum + Volatility
Perfect for NQ scalpers seeking an AI-style probability dashboard
Reduces emotional decision-making
Compatible with any execution strategy
Optimized for high winrate scalping and sniper entries