Bullish time in CORN ahead \o/

4 พ.ย.

You can see here the ZC1! price displayed in a line chart. After reaching its high in early 2022, the bears took control, driving the price down significantly until now.

The factors in play are as following:

• Seasonality: Corn prices have historically shown strength from December through March, aligning with planting and crop cycles. This seasonal trend could provide a solid backdrop for a potential price recovery. (highlighted in green on the chart)
  
• Interest Rates: We’ve reached a pivotal moment in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cycle. The rate hikes that began in March 2022 coincided with the start of the bearish trend, while recent rate cuts in September 2024 may support a rebound in commodity prices, including corn. This shift in monetary policy could act as a bullish catalyst for corn and other commodities. (highlighted in orange on this chart)
  
• Technical Indicators: For additional confirmation, one could wait for a bullish crossover of the moving averages (a golden cross). Such a cross would reinforce the technical setup and definitively signal the onset of a new bull market in corn.

With these factors in play, corn could be setting up for a strong rally in the months ahead.

6 พ.ย.

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The chart indicates that the price has recently surpassed its previous high. It's plausible that, in the coming days, the price may retrace to test the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level and/or the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Such pullbacks are common as markets seek to confirm support levels before potentially resuming an upward trend.