ทองคำ / ดอลลาร์สหรัฐที่อัปเดต: New Quarterly Shift Analysis for XAUUSD
This post is based on my learnings from ICT Quarterly Shift Analysis teachings.
In September 2024, I published my quarterly shift analysis for #Gold. Back then, I estimated a shift in the market structure for Gold on or around the US Presidential Election date. It happened exactly as outlined. I estimated Gold to make a bear move or to create a large range, it did indeed created large range and has been moving within the range since then. The top of the range is 2790.10 and the bottom of the range is 2536.60.
For the new quarter, I expect Gold to make a new market structure shift during the week of President Trump's inauguration, specially on the Inauguration Date (20 January 2025).
During this critical period (from 20th to 31st January 2025), If Gold closes a strong bull candle above 2790.10, then I expect Gold to move towards new highs (2828, 2918 and 3000) in the next three-four months.
BUT, if Gold closes a strong bear candle below 2536.60, then I expect Gold to move towards 2480, 2340, and 2200 in the next three-four months.
Since US Elections, Gold has created more bearish indications compared to bullish indications, therefore, I am more in the favor of a bearish move, but I will wait for price confirmations to make up my final decision during the Inauguration Week.
Disclaimer: This is not a signal, just an analysis for your consideration and benefit. Please mix it with your own analysis.
In September 2024, I published my quarterly shift analysis for #Gold. Back then, I estimated a shift in the market structure for Gold on or around the US Presidential Election date. It happened exactly as outlined. I estimated Gold to make a bear move or to create a large range, it did indeed created large range and has been moving within the range since then. The top of the range is 2790.10 and the bottom of the range is 2536.60.
For the new quarter, I expect Gold to make a new market structure shift during the week of President Trump's inauguration, specially on the Inauguration Date (20 January 2025).
During this critical period (from 20th to 31st January 2025), If Gold closes a strong bull candle above 2790.10, then I expect Gold to move towards new highs (2828, 2918 and 3000) in the next three-four months.
BUT, if Gold closes a strong bear candle below 2536.60, then I expect Gold to move towards 2480, 2340, and 2200 in the next three-four months.
Since US Elections, Gold has created more bearish indications compared to bullish indications, therefore, I am more in the favor of a bearish move, but I will wait for price confirmations to make up my final decision during the Inauguration Week.
Disclaimer: This is not a signal, just an analysis for your consideration and benefit. Please mix it with your own analysis.
การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Ladies & Gents, look at the beauty of time and price :).
Read the caption I wrote on 13 Jan 2025. I specified the time window for shift in the market structure to happen, and price indeed delivered as outlined. I said between 20th to 31st of January, Gold will determine its new direction. Yesterday, 30 Jan 2025, Gold created a new old time high and closed strong daily candle above the range described before.
from now towards the next 3-4 months, I am bullish on Gold. Any retracement, especially into the range described before, could become a good opportunity to buy Gold. Please combine this analysis with your trading strategies.
คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมที่ ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน