Binary_Forecasting_Service

THE MOST ACCURATE PRICE FORECAST IN THE WORLD #1

Binary_Forecasting_Service ที่อัปเดต:   
FX_IDC:XAUUSD   ทองคำ / ดอลลาร์สหรัฐ
HEADER - For the next 100 days, MQP presents the most accurate (gold price) forecast in the world, updated and re-posted 3-4 times per day from Sunday international open through Friday NY aftermarket close. With years of development, this methodology can be applied to any ticker, any market, anywhere, on ANY LINE ON ANY CHART, including applications like heart rhythms, brain waves, seismic waves, etc... After forecasting virtually the entirety of price action for the last 38 days (since 9/12 to 10/20), I have proved beyond doubt that TRULY ACCURATE price forecasting is possible ON ANY TIME FRAME with accuracy as a derivative of time observing price action. So basically, to get it all right, you HAVE WATCH ALL OF THE TIME. Since I have a real job, I have to sleep and take care of my family, I present you the next best thing: gold price forecasting updated 3-4 times EVERY, SINGLE, DAY. That's roughly once every 6-8 hours. This is necessary to "stay current".

WARNING - As precaution, the first rule of trading is don't lose money. The second rule of trading is don't forget the first rule. As usual, this is meant to used with - whenever possible - continuous short side notes added to each forecast before the next one is available. As always, when price moves against forecast and updates have not been provided, just scrap the forecast and trade defensively until new updates.

HOW THIS WORKS - Just replay chart and watch price follow hilights and boxes. You will be shocked how accurate this is when it's updated all the time. Trade accordingly w/tight risk discipline.

TRADE OFF - In for providing you this value. I ask that each day you tell 3-4 people you know personally about it. That's it. They don't have to be traders, or professionals or followers or anything. Just tell 3-4 people YOU KNOW like, "Hey, MQP has the most accurate price forecast in the world. Blah blah." That's the trade, I help you make money and you help me get attention. That's it.



ความคิดเห็น:
10/20 10:53 PM ET - NO HARD TO UNDERSTAND TECHNICAL NOTES.
a) any notes added will be comment on time and price, that's it
b) this will be extremely useful, but short and precise
c) besides hi-lights (specific price) and boxes (general price) there are some current trend lines that will help you trade
d) NOTHING ELSE EXTRA, FULL STOP
e) the bold trend line is always the most important trend line
ความคิดเห็น:
10/20 11:23 PM ET - THE TITLE IS MEANT TO BE ANNOYING.
a) it will annoy people enough to come hit the replay button
b) and then they will find out why I gave it that name
c) a while ago, I did a forecast that hit perfect perfect for 30 days running... and then some
d) I thought then, that I had figured it out... I was wrong
e) now, I don't "think" that, I KNOW THAT
ความคิดเห็น:
f) FWIW, that post was 30-min bars and won't replay, but here was its long 8hr bar version that held 4 weeks and some (not particularly impressive)
ความคิดเห็น:
h) its longer bar version only held for 27 days
ความคิดเห็น:
i) but if you hit the replay button 3 times in that chart... you can see I had plans way out past 10/01 that year (even though it says chart expires 10/01)
j) so if you read me in the last month, I don't have to convince you of my medium-long term gold charts, but here's a cool one when for bitcoin when everybody was calling for 6000 "bc technicals" and I called the reversal up, it went WAY WAY UP:
ความคิดเห็น:
k) this bitcoin's even better, bc of what I said in the notes... I was just 80 days early:
ความคิดเห็น:
10/21 5:54 PM ET -- THERE SHOULD BE A "THESIS" POST PRIOR TO #1 (THIS POST)
a) bc this post should only focus on the current price action
b) so I"ll show you the evidence that...
c) I've been doing the 30-day basis for a long time
d) I just didn't know I was doing it or how to "tie it together" until this last roughly 40-days of "around the clock" updates
ความคิดเห็น:
11/21 8:15 PM ET -- THIS IS LINK TO INCOMPLETE THESIS. It's just the intro so far:
ความคิดเห็น:
10/21 11:29 PM ET - TYPO AND BAR SIZE PROBLEM.
a) so previous note was dated wrong, it's obviously Oct not Nov
b) but while I was typing my "Thesis" page above
c) I realized that ALL THE BEST STUFF WE DID WAS IN 15 and 22 min bars
d) which means that I editted them in 4 and 8 min bars
e) how did not realize that I don't know...
f) but here's what I am saying.. I DID NOT EDIT #1 (this post) in 4/8-min bars
g) I editted in 15 and 45-min bars
h) so what I am saying is WE NEED A #1B, bc I believe the accuracy has to to do with my editting in 4 and 8 min bars
i) crazy part here is I actually went through a period like this a while back..
j) but decided it was too difficult to do
k) so I will re-edit in small bars and post #1B if we need one and I think we do
ความคิดเห็น:
3:41 AM ET NO, IT'S FINE. MAINLY BC I'M POSTING #2 SUNDAY NIGHT.
a) the first 24 hours of this already did heavy editing
b) so I will run resolution for #2 on
ความคิดเห็น:
Sunday 10/22, 6:31 PM ET 1977.15 after spike down to 1962
ความคิดเห็น:
a) my position on stick-saves (which as of right now it is), is that it doesn't change forecasts unless the spike (either direction holds
b) so I am looking for a reason to change my forecast, I don't have one yet
ความคิดเห็น:
c) 6:38 PM ET, 1976.85 it's moving for 1972 next
ความคิดเห็น:
D) here's a better less confusing chart:
ความคิดเห็น:
e) the bollinger limits for 2 & 4 min bars are at 1972 now...
f) the odds of reaching this on 30 sec bars are almost a sure thing
ความคิดเห็น:
g) 6:50 PM ET so here's what I think may happen:
ความคิดเห็น:
h) for chart above, I think this move is at least 1 in 3 or a coin flip FOR THIS SPIKE DOWN
i) Sunday open is generally a bit weirder than the whole week bc of weekend news
j) so that means things that less likely in any other situation is MORE LIKELY for Sunday open
k) but it's hard to say that it's "a favorite" or even a coin flip
l) but the LINE TEST WORKS VERY WELLL HERE
ความคิดเห็น:
m) you should know by now that my notes matter just as much as the forecast
n) especially when live bc there's use in a new forecast until price makes a real decision
o) for tonight it's 7:00 right now, and it should decide between 7:10-7:15
ความคิดเห็น:
p) at 7:01 this break of the line looks like a fake out:
ความคิดเห็น:
q) at 7:08 it looks ugly AF... indecisisve... so here's the mirror right now
ความคิดเห็น:
r) so these are the lines in play, the one that just broke is no longer important
t) it's the next one:
ความคิดเห็น:
u) and I still don't have a reason to change the forecast meaningfully bc the longer price does drop to its low, the less that move matters
v) but odds of moving to the next line (the one that isn't dotted) is that much stronger
ความคิดเห็น:
w) the only question is how are we getting there
ความคิดเห็น:
x) this is starting to favor the hilight again, I mean considerably
y) I have even less reason at 7:17 to change anything
ความคิดเห็น:
z) this may mean something, or not:
ความคิดเห็น:
ความคิดเห็น:
1) if bears intend to break it
2) they kind of have to do it like .. now
3) bc the curves for the move to 1958-1962 is about to dis appear completely in 30 minutes
4) if that seems like a long time, it's not
ความคิดเห็น:
5) 1958 is gone, and 1960 will be soon too
6) best bears can push for now is 1962-1964 and it wouldn't stay there long
ความคิดเห็น:
7) ok bears should win this now:
ความคิดเห็น:
a) I see 1967...
b) I can't see anything under it...
c) I'm not saying it's not possible bc we tagged 1962.xx at open
d) its more like once at 1967, just becareful shorting
ความคิดเห็น:
e) so
ความคิดเห็น:
f) this is base case, this channel:
ความคิดเห็น:
1) sometimes you have see what happens there...
2) it could V up (not this time), drift down further (I don't think so)...
3) so then it's sideways... that implies this binary for now:
ความคิดเห็น:
4)
ความคิดเห็น:
5) we should know a lot more by 10:30? ... yeah
ความคิดเห็น:
6) I feel totally confident in forecasting when I'm live... bc I see it all
7) that's really the only way , it's not "3-4 posts a day that matters"
8) its actually easy to understand notes that are often
ความคิดเห็น:
9) I said that wrong, "It's actually the pace of easy-to-consume-notes that matter more."
ความคิดเห็น:
10) right? bc #1 forecast at top is dead-on-arrival (DOA)
11) and I don't know what # 2 is .... but I can watch live and tell you what should happen next
12) at some point though, you have to have a new forecast bc it's the "base case"
13) otherwise, there's no base case and that's oviously not true
14) so I need to figure out what's the best approach here for us to do this
15) bc if I post 3-4 forecasts a day and they die the first hour... I mean what's the point?
16) that wouldn't actually happen most of the time, but it only takes a few in a row for me to like... this is stupid (I already feel that way now)
ความคิดเห็น:
8:03 PM ET SO PUT IN THIS LINE:
ความคิดเห็น:
1) it's going to matter at 1967 and a bit lower like to 1963...
2) I DON'T see price staying UNDER IT like this:
ความคิดเห็น:
3)
ความคิดเห็น:
4) but a lot of times it will take both paths (start one and bleed into other)
ความคิดเห็น:
5) that's not base case right now, but it's completely reasonable
ความคิดเห็น:
6) so 1950 in next 15 hours has to be AT LEAST 1 IN 3...
7) I'll say 4:6 for 1950 in 15 hours, this box:
ความคิดเห็น:
8) that's an underdog ONLY TO ALL OTHER SCENARIOS COMBINED
9) so while I haven't looked at all other scenarios.. .this is not A vs B situation..
10) its more like A vs B/C/D ... so my head says it's a favorite BUT LESS THAN 50% OF extrapolations (minority favorite)
ความคิดเห็น:
11) so even though gray route is popping up, 1958 just showed up again ...
12) but for midnight ET
ความคิดเห็น:
ความคิดเห็น:
13) so this should be enough until tomorrow morning...
14) then's only 3 routes here now, orange is favorite, followed by blue, gray shouldn't happen (manipulated curve)
ความคิดเห็น:
15) the odds of orange into blue route would be ahead of gray..
16) so orange, blue, orange into blue, then gray
17) at some point, I can't watch all the time, so that should be basis for our #2, I'll get to it in a couple of hours, I want to see what happens here first
18) the regressions say orange all the way right now...
19) there's really no way of knowing though until you get A BIT PAST THAT DECISION POINT
ความคิดเห็น:
20) I said that wrong for 15 and 16 notes, it should be
a) orange
b) blue (that's same as orange-blue, bc orange doesn't start until later)
c) gray
d) ORANGE-GRAY... that's the one
ความคิดเห็น:
wrong again... c) ORANGE-GRAY... THEN D) gray
ความคิดเห็น:
21) I'm taking a break, I need one.
22) I gotta do another 16 hour drive tomorrow... so I don't know what input I can give
23) will try to swing #3 early morning if #2 is up and going through
ความคิดเห็น:
24) who said orange?!!!
ความคิดเห็น:
24) who just said orange???
ความคิดเห็น:
25) obviously you can see red before I post this:
ความคิดเห็น:
26) at 8:51 PM ET, RED IS A MASSIVE UNDER DOG TO ORANGE....
27) and should remain the favorite until AT LEAST 9:30-9:45
ความคิดเห็น:
28) hold one, to clear this up for people who don't understand it:
ความคิดเห็น:
a) remember.. common sense strategy says DEAL WITH THE STRAIGHT LINE FIRST
b) yes.. red is A MASSIVE DOG
c) but crazier stuff has happened
ความคิดเห็น:
29) I'll tap in later
ความคิดเห็น:
30) here it is in 30 sec bars:
ความคิดเห็น:
31) odds SAY ORANGE BY A MILE...
32) but you don't know UNTIL YOU KNOW...
33) and I've seen same odds come out red before ...
34) but repeat that 100 times... it will 9:1 orange
ความคิดเห็น:
35) yeah? >>
ความคิดเห็น:
36) 9:21 PM ET... MQP PRESENTS 10/22-23 MANIPULATED CURVE, ORANGE-GREEN:
ความคิดเห็น:
ความคิดเห็น:
a) so darker blue at in higher channel is the original base case for CHART AT TOP
b) remember early how I said it's hard to get under 1966-67
c) and then I said 1958 is available at midnight...
d) and then regressions say it's orange all the way AND THEY STILL DO
e) but the fake curve is ALL THE WAY UP back into original base case
f) the spot to watch for that is about 12:30 AM ET around 1975-77
g) that's enough updating so we don't need #2 right now
h) so again there's only 2 realistic routes here
i) if the world is fair we do orange
j) if the world is a bad place, we do orange-green (into original base case)
ความคิดเห็น:
k) this means that it is 1966.80 right now...
l) my analysis says 1952 tomorrow AM...
m) my experience says NEW RELATIVE HIGH VS FRI... meaning 2000+
ความคิดเห็น:
n) notice again here how orange is basically a mirror image of orignal base case:
ความคิดเห็น:
1) when price "check-up" or check resistance the line it just broke...
2) the obvious move is to fail... and go down... otherwise why the massive sell off spike down??
3) so the "fake move" is the move that's "not supposed happen", the ILLOGICAL ONE (hence manipulated)
4) that means:
a) break support
b) check-up resistance
c) break resistance
d) break previous resistance from last week
e) that's the manipulated curve
f) something tells me it's gonna hit
g) but MAYBE later then I expect in this chart..
h) so the top would be MONDAY PM HOURS not AM hours
ความคิดเห็น:
9:57 PM ET - ALMOST HALFWAY TO INFLECTION:
ความคิดเห็น:
10:06 PM ET -- I have to go to bed bc I need the sleep to drive basically the whole day tomorrow. So here:
ความคิดเห็น:
a) so inflection is roughly 6:00 AM ET...
b) the earlier it hits that bold line (previous support, now resistance)
c) the higher the odds of manipulated curve
d) I will leave Houston around 7:00 AM ET... so will put in notes at that time
e) at I will stop in Dallas and add notes at 10-11 AM ET
f) the thing about the inflection point is that it's not a straight line or even a jagged line...
g) if history serves, it's A VERY JAGGED LINE like this:
ความคิดเห็น:
h) chart above is a bit exaggerated so you get the idea
ความคิดเห็น:
i) for new readers here, this might seem a bit weird at first
j) but it has worked really well for us 40 days straight
k) but IF PRICE MOVE AGAINST our plans when I'm sleeping (you won't see any notes)
l) scrap the plan, and trade defensively
ความคิดเห็น:
m) meanwhile, orange route is killing it:
ความคิดเห็น:
10/22 10:48 PM ET REMEMBER OUR DEAL...
a. I give you world-class analysis and price forecasts that win day in day out
b. you tell people you know like...
c. "Hey this guy MQP, has the most accurate price forecast I've ever seen. Look at it. Blah blah."
d. they don't have to be professional traders that will be followers
e. they don't have to be professional traders
f. they don't have to be traders
g. they don't have to professionals
h. they just have to adults you know personally
i. bc telling kids DO NOT HELP ME OUT ANY
j. and I thank you very much for your help
k. bc if can't get attention for this work
l. it's kind of over for me here.... good night...
ความคิดเห็น:
m. before I sleep:
ความคิดเห็น:
n) so we can get rid of 'green' here bc it's just coming back to the original route...
o) we have:
ความคิดเห็น:
ความคิดเห็น:
a) in chart above:
b) you know that I said manipulated route are my thoughts...
c) but remember common sense: STRAIGHT LINES FIRST
d) otherwise, light blue below is disappearing like barely 1 in 10 now
e) the regressions? still favoring orange
ความคิดเห็น:
12:15 AM Monday so we're at this first inflection spot here:
ความคิดเห็น:
a) first I labeled it wrong it's 12:30 NOT 6:00 AM
b) so the inflection is basically next half hour
c) I will still add notes at before 7:00 AM when I leave Houston
d) but I am kind of at a loss here..
e) I know I said it should be REALLY JAGGED.. but there are several different types of
this move that really all end up at a 2000+ top in Monday PM hours
ความคิดเห็น:
f) so the odds are still 6:3:1 favoring orange at this time... that much I can say
h) I am trying to formulate at least 2 ways it gets up there... it's just really hard to do quickly and I really want get back to bed too....
ความคิดเห็น:
i) I will either post something or say I can't do it in time here in the next 10 min cause I just got to sleep
ความคิดเห็น:
j) so there's just too many combinations here...
k) I will post 2 main routes and their mirror image
ความคิดเห็น:
l) typo for k) .. and THEY ARE the mirror image of each other but on a slope
m) this is the best I can do bc I got no more time tonight
n) I don't feel great about either of them
o) but the math does say RIGHT NOW that we are not quite done with this move, even intermediately (even for a medium term top)
ความคิดเห็น:
ความคิดเห็น:
p) I hate that they look just like stupid kid drawings that took 3 seconds but that end up taking 20 min to do
ความคิดเห็น:
q) that's it, will add notes in the morning
ความคิดเห็น:
4:14 AM ET HERE'S WHAT LOOKS LIKE NOW:
ความคิดเห็น:
a) it needs an update now
b) I am just warning you that's it, I have no time to do it bc I'm up middle of the night just to warn you
ความคิดเห็น:
c) Tradingview moderators are saying that "I AM MANIPULATING THEIR SYSTEM" by giving you too many updates
d) they will ban me if I keep doing this
e) speechless, so that's it for this project
f) I don't know what else to do, bc how else can you be updated /wo constantly uptdating?
g) that's THE WHOLE ENTIRE POINT OF OUR PROCESS...
h) and I'm going to get banned for trying...
I) to give you THE ONLY MEANINGFUL FORECAST I HAVE EVER SEEN
ความคิดเห็น:
m. I am COMPLETELY CRUSHED right now by this
n. don't know if I should laugh or cry... what in the world
o. have they even read my work?
p. GOOD BYE.
ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการทำกำไร:
10/23 5:46 AM
a. So I can not give updates this often.
b. That's an abuse.
c. But the way we do this requires the updates.
d. So everytime it needs it, I have to "admit I was wrong" and "move on with a new idea."
e. This is just too crazy. That's an insane amount of work.
ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการตัดขาดทุน:
10/23 6:49 AM ET
a) I so at a loss for words how crazy this situation is
b) so I am on the strongest streak of "continuous forecasting I've ever seen"
c) and since I use the "update feature", that abuses the system somehow
d) but the problem here is format, this is the quickest format for me convey "the next price move" w/ an added chart so you can refer to it if you need it
e) so I have to come up with a new format
f) making a "new idea" everytime doubles the amount it takes get that information u
up
g) think about that for a second... it's already borderline impossible to do it this way
ความคิดเห็น:
THIS POST HAS ENDED & WILL NO LONGER BE UPDATED.
PLEASE GO TO "THE MOST ACCURATE PRICE FORECAST IN THE WORLD #1B" LINK BELOW. YOU CAN ONLY ACCESS BY THIS LINK.

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