Gold has been extremely bullish for a while, consistently breaking to the upside and creating higher highs, accompanied by the formation of demand zones that were later mitigated for continuation.
The last significant move was a reaccumulation (Re-acc) phase, which revisited unmitigated demand zones. From there, we saw a bullish reaction. However, due to low year-end volume, Gold hasn't been able to break its previous high. Since then, it has been ranging in the same area.
Key Observations:
Bullish Volume Returning:
Recently, bullish volume seems to be picking up, signaling the potential start of the next leg upward.
EMA Interaction:
Previously, the price was "surfing" along the EMAs, demonstrating a strong trend-following behavior.
Currently, the EMAs have tightened significantly, which often signals an impending price expansion—a strong indication that volatility and directional movement may resume soon.
Two Scenarios in Play:
Gold may continue ranging before breaking to the upside.
The current move may sustain and lead to a new high.
Liquidity Trap:
The reaccumulation created a cloud of liquidity, with many traders now eyeing potential sell opportunities due to: - The break to the downside. - The formation of equal highs, often misinterpreted as bearish.
This could very well be a Smart Money Trap, fueling a bullish move as liquidity is taken.
My Perspective: I remain optimistic about the bullish scenario, as the overall market context suggests a continuation of the upward trend. This is a critical area to watch, and I will monitor closely for confirmation of the next move.