TSLA at a Critical Level! Reversal or Further Downside?
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Market Structure & Price Action: * TSLA has been in a strong downtrend, breaking multiple support levels. * It has rejected the descending trendline, continuing lower. * Current price is hovering near $327, testing a key PUT support level.
🔍 Key Levels: * Support: * $327 – Strong PUT support (highest negative NETGEX). * $295 – 2nd major CALL wall support. * $250 – Long-term support if downside continues. * Resistance: * $360 – Heavy resistance from PUT wall. * $380 – 3rd CALL wall resistance. * $400 – Strong CALL resistance (37.69%).
📊 Indicator Analysis: 1️⃣ MACD: * MACD is deep in negative territory, showing strong bearish momentum. * A possible crossover could indicate a short-term relief bounce. 2️⃣ Stochastic RSI: * Oversold conditions, indicating potential for a relief bounce. * Needs confirmation with price action. 3️⃣ 9/21 EMA: * TSLA is trading below both EMAs, confirming strong bearish structure. * Needs to reclaim 9 EMA for any bullish reversal attempt.
🔥 GEX & Options Sentiment: * PUT Support at $327: This is a critical level; a break below can accelerate selling. * Call walls at $360 & $380: Resistance levels where buyers may struggle. * IVR 51 / IVx 66.6: Moderate implied volatility, suggesting steady options activity.
🛠️ Trading Plan: 📉 Bearish Scenario (Break Below $327): * If TSLA fails to hold $327, expect a drop towards $295. * Ideal PUT entry: Break below $327 with volume. * Stop Loss: Above $335. * Profit Target: $300-$295. 📈 Bullish Reversal (Above $327): * If TSLA reclaims 9 EMA & holds $327, expect a bounce towards $350-$360. * Ideal CALL entry: Reclaim of $335 with strong volume. * Stop Loss: Below $320. * Profit Target: $350-$360.
🎯 Final Thoughts: * TSLA is at a key decision point. * A break below $327 triggers more downside. * A bounce above $327 could offer a short-term relief rally.
🔔 Trade carefully & manage risk! ⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.