SUI/USDT — Massive Accumulation or Full Capitulation?

SUI is standing right at the gateway where its entire macro cycle will be decided.”

The weekly chart reveals something uncommon: a sharp drop, deep liquidity sweep, and precise retest of the historical demand zone at 0.75–0.60 — the exact area that launched SUI’s major rally back in early 2024.

Moves like this usually indicate that smart money is revisiting an old accumulation zone, testing whether institutional demand is still alive or completely gone.

And right now…
SUI is back where its big story originally began.


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🔥 Why the 0.75–0.60 Demand Zone Matters

Because this is the zone where:

The strongest historical sell-off was completely absorbed.

Large buyers first stepped in.

Institutional volume was concentrated.

And now: the zone where SUI’s macro trend will be determined again.


Price dropped into this zone with a large weekly candle, followed by a deep wick — a signature liquidity grab, meaning retail stop-loss orders have been taken out.

If demand reactivates here, SUI can enter a multi-month reversal phase.
If not… we enter capitulation territory.


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📈 Bullish Scenario — “The Rebirth Case”

Bullish confirmation appears if:

Weekly forms a reversal candle / bullish engulfing inside the 0.75–0.60 block.

Volume spikes during the bounce.

Price reclaims 1.55, shifting structure from lower-high to neutral-bullish.


Upside targets:

1. 1.20–1.30


2. 2.20–2.50 (major supply zone)


3. 3.50+


4. Retest major high at 5.36 if momentum expands



If this unfolds, SUI could form a rare weekly V-shape accumulation return.


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📉 Bearish Scenario — “The Breakdown Phase”

Bearish confirmation appears if:

Weekly closes below 0.60

Retest of 0.75–0.60 gets strongly rejected


This would flip the demand zone into new supply, signaling a macro distribution phase.

Downside targets:

0.40 (psychological support)

0.28 (final structural base)

0.20 in a worst-case capitulation wave


A breakdown here marks a confirmed lower-low on the weekly structure — a bearish macro reversal.


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🎯 Key Patterns Observed

Liquidity Sweep + Rejection Pattern at major demand

Macro Lower-High Formation from the 5.36 peak

Potential Wyckoff Spring

Long wick = “Spring Test”

Market now waiting for confirmation


Liquidity Void in mid-range → large impulsive moves likely once direction is chosen



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🪙 Core Insight — Short & Simple

SUI is currently in a macro decision zone.
The 0.75–0.60 block is the turning point that will decide whether this becomes:

a major long-term reversal, or

the beginning of a deep multi-month downtrend.


The weekly reaction from this zone will define SUI’s next big trend.

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