How Will Stocks Begin July?

Stocks have begun July with a whimper so far, maintaining a very narrow range after selling off from the 3900's. We have found support in the mid 3700's, but appear to be forming a bear flag pattern. Volatility has consolidated which may portend a breakout. If so, we could make a run for the 3900's again, with 3825 and 3937 likely targets to the upside. If we sell off from here, then 3645 is a likely floor. The Kovach OBV has started to uptick slightly, which could indicate a bull divergence.