ดัชนี S&P BSE Sensex
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Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 28th October

90
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)

Structure: The Sensex has re-established its Strong Bullish Momentum. The large bullish candle on Monday has effectively cancelled the aggressive selling seen on Friday, confirming a successful retest and bounce from the lower boundary of the steep ascending channel. The price has reclaimed the critical 84,200 - 84,400 zone.

Key Levels:

Major Supply (Resistance): 85,300 - 85,600. This area (the recent high and the upper channel boundary) is the immediate hurdle. A decisive breakout here is needed to challenge the All-Time High.

Major Demand (Support): 84,200 - 84,400. This area, which includes the lower channel trendline and the FVG (Fair Value Gap), is the must-hold level for the short-term uptrend.

Outlook: The bias is Strongly Bullish. The market is poised to challenge the 85,300 resistance.

1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)

Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear V-shaped recovery and a Break of Structure (MSS) back to the upside. The price is trading strongly within a newly established ascending channel.

Key Levels:

Immediate Resistance: 85,000 (Psychological mark and upper channel boundary).

Immediate Support: 84,500 (Recent consolidation support/lower channel boundary).

15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)

Structure: The 15M chart confirms the strong reversal. The price is currently trading at the upper end of the daily range, consolidating in a tight pattern right below 85,000. This is a bullish continuation setup.

Key Levels:

Intraday Supply: 85,000.

Intraday Demand: 84,600 (Recent consolidation zone).

Outlook: Aggressively Bullish.

📈 Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 28th October

Market Outlook: Sensex has shown strong resilience, negating Friday's bearishness. The primary strategy will be to buy on continuation to capitalize on the resumed bullish momentum.

Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan: Continuation)

Justification: The V-shaped recovery and the successful defense of the macro support favor continuation towards the ATH.

Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 85,000. Alternatively, look for a dip entry near 84,600 - 84,800 (the immediate support zone).

Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 84,400 (below the lower channel trendline).

Targets:

T1: 85,300 (Previous swing high).

T2: 85,600 (Upper channel boundary/Extension).

Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal)

Justification: High-risk. Only valid if the rally fails aggressively at the 85,000 mark.

Trigger: A sustained break and 1-hour close back below 84,400.

Entry: Short entry below 84,400.

Stop Loss (SL): Above 84,800.

Targets:

T1: 84,200 (FVG support).

T2: 83,900 (Major FVG support).

Key Levels for Observation:

Immediate Decision Point: 84,500 - 85,000 zone.

Bullish Confirmation: Sustained trade above 85,000.

Bearish Warning: A move below 84,400.

Line in the Sand: 84,200. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is nullified.

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