Invesco QQQ Trust Series I
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QQQ Short-Term Roadmap

277
The 15m chart shows 3 things with absolute clarity

1. Rising wedge

• A clean candle through wedge support
• A retest attempt that failed
• Follow-through selling
• High-volume breakdown bar

2. Double top at $619-$620
• Top 1 rejection
• Top 2 rejection
• Neckline broken
• Pattern validated
• The double top + wedge combo gives strong short-term downside momentum

3. Momentum confirms the breakdown

• RSI sloping down, under its average
• Stoch rolling over from mid zone
• No bullish divergences
• No failed breakdown behavior
• This is genuine intraday weakness

Short-term downtrend on the 15m is active & should continue toward support, ~$604

• This target is not arbitrary - it has extremely strong confluence
• Rising wedge measured move
• Double-top measured move
• AVWAP (21 November) ≈ $603-$605
• Daily pivot support zone
• 50d MA ~$604
• Largest VPVR volume node (HVN) $602-$610
• Fair-value of the entire multi-week range

Every timeframe and every tool points to $604-$610 as the magnet

• The market is heading directly toward it
• This 15m breakdown is simply the path into it

Volume confirms this is real selling

• The breakdown candle has higher volume
• Volume increased from baseline
• Not holiday drift, not thin liquidity
• True supply entered at the top
• This validates the move

Short-term is bearish until ~$604-$610 is hit

• This is a normal pullback into support

The larger trend remains bullish because price is above all major MAs (20d/50d/100d/200d)

• Macro shifted bullish (rate-cut odds jumped)
• Daily trend structure is intact
• 4H MACD still bullish
• Daily RSI still rising

This 15m breakdown is corrective within an uptrend

• Follow-through toward ~$610
• Liquidity sweep of the wedge target ~$604-$606
• Bounce attempt from $604-$610
• The market will try to reclaim $612-$615
• If it succeeds, trend resumes toward $620+
• If it fails → next test is $600-$603

Bullish continuation remains intact above $610, while warning signals appear below $610 & a break of $605

• Both still compatible with larger bullish structure

Bearish shift (deeper correction risk)

• Break below $600
• Bearish confirmation with a break below $590
• This would signal a structural break on the daily timeframe; however, right now we are nowhere near those lower levels

The 15m chart shows a real, clean breakdown, valid bearish patterns, selling into the highs & momentum rolling over

• A short-term move toward ~$604-$610, but this is a normal pullback in a strong daily uptrend & larger trend remains bullish

• $604-$610 is key
• Expect a bounce attempt there
• No evidence yet of a trend reversal
• No evidence of a larger correction unless $600, then $590 break
• This is exactly how strong markets correct
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