On the daily timeframe NZDCHF has been decreasing. We can see a clear lower low and lower high. I'm interested in this setup because. I just lost a 4 hour trade which means price is retracing.
If price continues to retrace and can stay below 0.58632, I'll be looking for a sell.
What can invalidate this trade?
1. If price does not come back to my estimation zone I will not be triggered into the trade which means price is still moving down.
2. If I am triggered into the trade and price passes 0.58632, I'll be stopped out of the HTF trade. This means price can potentially go higher and I must readjust.
Am I ok with the invalidations?
Yes. they are what keep protect me from overtrading and tell me how I should adapt.
How am I managing the trade?
This setup is a 2.24 risk to reward setup. This means whatever my position size is I will gain double and more on the trade.
I don't risk more than 1% on an trade.
So if I were to risk 1% my reward will be 2.24%.
I risked 0.50% my reward will be 1.12%
Whatever I risk is my loss and I am ok with what that is.
My goal is to lose what I risk or lose no money at all by setting break even points if price moves in profit.
I do believe it's important to set all parameters before entering trades.
My belief: I deserve to sleep peaceful at night while my trades run.
Well, this is my analysis after losing my first trade. I'm excited to keep this journey going.