24 Jan ’24 — The Trap Laid by the Bears is Bust Open - Nifty50
Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: “We broke the 21491 support by 12.24. Just look at the strength of the candles today — 5 RED candles followed by a Doji. Our stance changed from neutral to bearish as soon as the support was breached.”
4mts chart
The open was perfect - a good gap-down followed by selling pressure, but the 2nd candle gave it away. By 09.19 - the gap was officially closed and Nifty was steaming with upside momentum. A part of me believed that the rise-up was part of the lower-high creation and that the shape of the bear attack was still intact. My conviction was cemented between 10.35 to 12.39 wherein we dropped 195+ points. What happened next was simply dramatic. Nifty rose 266pts ~ 1.25% between 12.39 to close. In total, it swung 347pts from LOD to HOD, of which 76% came after 12.39.
63mts chart
The issue for the bears from the 63mts chart is the W formation (double bottom). To prove they are still in the game, the Bears must create a big fall and ensure an M pattern supersedes the W. Due to the momentum the bulls got today, we are changing the stance from bearish to neutral. The first target would be to take out the 214991 resistance and nullify the 5 RED candles formed on 23rd. If we were to move downwards, the swing low of 21372 has to be taken out tomorrow itself. Hope we have a volatile monthly expiry tomorrow.
Recap from yesterday: “We broke the 21491 support by 12.24. Just look at the strength of the candles today — 5 RED candles followed by a Doji. Our stance changed from neutral to bearish as soon as the support was breached.”
4mts chart
The open was perfect - a good gap-down followed by selling pressure, but the 2nd candle gave it away. By 09.19 - the gap was officially closed and Nifty was steaming with upside momentum. A part of me believed that the rise-up was part of the lower-high creation and that the shape of the bear attack was still intact. My conviction was cemented between 10.35 to 12.39 wherein we dropped 195+ points. What happened next was simply dramatic. Nifty rose 266pts ~ 1.25% between 12.39 to close. In total, it swung 347pts from LOD to HOD, of which 76% came after 12.39.
63mts chart
The issue for the bears from the 63mts chart is the W formation (double bottom). To prove they are still in the game, the Bears must create a big fall and ensure an M pattern supersedes the W. Due to the momentum the bulls got today, we are changing the stance from bearish to neutral. The first target would be to take out the 214991 resistance and nullify the 5 RED candles formed on 23rd. If we were to move downwards, the swing low of 21372 has to be taken out tomorrow itself. Hope we have a volatile monthly expiry tomorrow.
