MA: Expanding triangle formation with MACD divergence

With every slowing economy comes the surge in credit cards charge-offs and MA is one of the most richly valued companies which I have looked at. Price action has been knocking around a bearish expanding triangle and held in check by the 240M 200-periods moving average with a negative MACD divergence. Not sure if I am early to the punch but downside potential is around the $1600 region which implies -c.17% downside.