Lets play a game with some valuations for 2025 on ICP. Keep in mind this is my personal opinion.
- Conservative case:
The total crypto MC gets to 5 Trillion this cycle. ICP captures 2% market dominance. This equals to 100B MC for ICP. This is 17.9x from current price. ICP price = 210$.
- Base case:
The total crypto MC gets to 7 Trillion this cycle. ICP captures 3% market dominance. This equals to 210B MC for ICP. This is 37.7x from current price. ICP price = 450$.
- Optimistic case:
The total crypto MC gets to 9 Trillion this cycle. ICP captures 4% market dominance. This equals to 360B MC for ICP. This is 64.4x from current price. ICP price = 770$.
Can we have a wilder bull market then that or more conservative scenario then that. Yes we can, but i think these are realistic ranges for this bull market. I really dont see ICP failing and going to 0, especially the next 2 years.
Will we sell the top. Most likely not. But can we sell 50% off the top or 100% off the top. Now that is a lot more likely.
My average price is 5 bucks.
- If my first scenario plays out and i sell at the top ill make 42x.
- If my second scenario plays out and i sell at the top ill make 90x.
- If my third scenario plays out and i sell at the top ill make 154x.
- Conservative case:
The total crypto MC gets to 5 Trillion this cycle. ICP captures 2% market dominance. This equals to 100B MC for ICP. This is 17.9x from current price. ICP price = 210$.
- Base case:
The total crypto MC gets to 7 Trillion this cycle. ICP captures 3% market dominance. This equals to 210B MC for ICP. This is 37.7x from current price. ICP price = 450$.
- Optimistic case:
The total crypto MC gets to 9 Trillion this cycle. ICP captures 4% market dominance. This equals to 360B MC for ICP. This is 64.4x from current price. ICP price = 770$.
Can we have a wilder bull market then that or more conservative scenario then that. Yes we can, but i think these are realistic ranges for this bull market. I really dont see ICP failing and going to 0, especially the next 2 years.
Will we sell the top. Most likely not. But can we sell 50% off the top or 100% off the top. Now that is a lot more likely.
My average price is 5 bucks.
- If my first scenario plays out and i sell at the top ill make 42x.
- If my second scenario plays out and i sell at the top ill make 90x.
- If my third scenario plays out and i sell at the top ill make 154x.