A trading strategy that beats HOT's stellar returns may seem like a tough task or requiring something really complicated in order to execute. With what's presented here the goal is to demonstrate that that is not the case. You can beat holding (basically the only reason for trading) and you can do it with a simple strategy. Let's get to it.
In the past 6 months just holding HOT would have brought you 757% vs Bitcoin. So if you started with one Bitcoin worth of HOT at the end of September you would have 7.5 Bitcoin today. We want to beat that by trading. This strategy also works on FET, ACT and COV.
WILL POST POSITIONS BELOW - I plotted a few on the chart to know what I'm looking at.
The strategy goals: - Trade the BTC pair and beat holding - drawdown needs to be limited to 25% maximum. We don't want to go through long stretches where we watch our funds shrink. Having a losing trade after a losing trade can derail discipline. - Simple so anyone can execute it and can be automated for gains while you are sleeping
The strategy: After trying different approaches and removing all redundant strategy rules though trial and error we have the most simplistic and powerful strategy to beat holding HOT many times over. All you need to do is: On the 30 min chart - open a position when price is below the lower Bollinger Band (standard settings) - close the position when price is crossing up the higher Bollinger Band No stop loss or take profit - we always respect the market based close rule.
The results: In 6 months this strategy returned a massive 5411.8%, convincingly beating just holding HOT. If you started trading this strategy in September with 1 Bitcoin you would now have 54.1! What's very impressive is that the maximum drawdown was only 19%. That and the massive returns gives us a Sortino Ratio of 37.2 (for comparison any strategy above 2 is considered good). The strategy opened a total of 72 positions winning 73.6%. Not only is the win rate great but the average win is at 8.5% while the average loss is 2.86% which is why the strategy is performing so well. If you trade this expect to hold a position for a day and 8 hours on average.
If there's anything I can clarify please let me know.