Greaves Cotton on the Rise: Bullish Breakout/Profit-Taking Ahead
Key Observations: Price Zones: The chart marks distinct price zones: 75-50, 50-25, and 25-0 (suggesting progressive support and resistance levels). Each zone shows a corresponding price increase with increasing volumes.
Trend Analysis: Uptrend Continuation: The green candlestick dominance and price consolidation in each box imply a steady accumulation phase before breakout. Volume Correlation: The volume surges during price breakouts, validating strong buying interest. A projected price target of ₹319.15 suggests a bullish outlook.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The stock price remains consistently above the EMA lines (green and red curves), signaling a bullish momentum. The convergence and divergence between the EMA lines act as entry and exit signals.
Volume Data: Significant increases in trading volume align with each breakout. The highest volume surge is seen in the 75-50 to 50-25 transition, indicating institutional buying.
Recommendations: For Long-Term Investors: Hold or add more on dips near ₹260-₹270, as the stock shows signs of a robust breakout. Consider trailing stop-loss around ₹240 to safeguard gains while retaining upside potential.
For Swing Traders: Watch for any retracement near ₹275 to enter positions targeting ₹319+. A break below ₹250 could trigger short-term bearish sentiment—manage risks accordingly.
For Intraday Traders: High-volume zones near ₹280 and above could serve as scalping opportunities. Trade cautiously near resistance levels ₹300-₹319.
Probability Assessment:
Bullish Scenario: 70% probability of price hitting the ₹319.15 target within the short term (if supported by high volume and broader market sentiment).
Bearish Scenario: 30% probability of pullback toward ₹240 in case of profit booking or weak broader market cues.
Disclaimer: This is intended solely for study and analysis purposes and should not be considered as investment advice.