The analysis for EUR/USD (Euro paired with US Dollar) suggests a major sell zone, indicating a strong bearish sentiment in the market. The currency pair has broken below the previous historical support level, signaling a significant shift in market dynamics. The main area of newly fresh resistance is identified between 1.08430 to 1.08700, indicating a level where selling pressure has emerged and may continue to hold back further price advances.
To further reinforce the bearish outlook, data from big players and investors is considered. In the last month, a total of 531,000 short positions were recorded, while in the last two weeks, an additional 254,000 short positions were added. Furthermore, in the past two days alone, 15,000 new short positions were initiated. This data suggests a notable increase in short positions, with the percentage of shorts rising from 12% to 20% in the last month. Such a substantial increase in short positions indicates a strong bearish trend, especially considering it broke all previous monthly support levels.
The trading strategy incorporates setting two target prices to capture potential profits. The first target price is set to secure gains if the market follows through with a downward movement. If the market reaches this target and continues to decline, traders aim to close the trade for profit. However, if the market rebounds after reaching the first target, the second target price should be used to exit the trade to mitigate potential losses.
The expected gain from this trade is 411 pips, representing a 3.4% profit potential. This indicates a significant downward movement in EUR/USD, and traders aim to capitalize on this potential while managing risk effectively.
In summary, the analysis points towards a strong bearish sentiment in EUR/USD, with a major sell zone identified. By considering big player and investor data, setting clear target prices, and managing risk, traders aim to seize the opportunity presented by the bearish trend in the currency pair.