In the past few days, we've seen an extraordinary 110-point long and one of the more significant trades of the year. We are now up 120+ points in two days, and the pullback risk is high. Yesterday's action was highly trappy and complex, fitting the description of a post-trend period. We are now in a strong uptrend, which will remain the case for the foreseeable future.
The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Mostly down 🌍 Europe: Down slightly 🌎 US Index Futures: Down slightly 🛢 Crude Oil: Down 💵 Dollar: Up 🧐 Yields: Up a bit 🔮 Crypto: Down
Key Structures
The 4243-37 area is the first and foremost zone to watch, acting as a loose support zone.
The blue broadening formation pattern has now broken out and is currently acting as support in the 4280-90 range.
The new pink triangle pattern would be one to watch, but support must fail at 4200 for bears to take control.
Support Levels
4278-80 (major)
4267 (major)
4254
4243-37 (major)
4222 (major)
4213
4204
4190-95 (major)
4176
4171 (major)
4161
4154 (major)
Resistance Levels
4288 (major)
4307
4317 (major)
4326 (major)
4337
4347-52 (major)
4358
4366
4380-85 (major)
4400-4405 (major)
Trading Plan
📈 4267, and 4245-37 are support zones. 💪 Bulls must defend the 4243 zone to keep the direct breakout from last week in play. 📉 Bears' case begins on the fail of 4267. Watch for possible short-side reactions at 4317 major resistance.
Wrap Up
We are in a post-rally chop phase, and our focus should be on reacting to the plan outlined above. As long as 4278-80 holds (4267 on any quick flushes down), we can retest 4307, 4317, and then perhaps try another dip. A failure at 4278 is the first warning for bulls, with a 4267 fail triggering a sell down to 4243.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.