สัญญาซื้อขายล่วงหน้า เอส&พี 500 E-miniที่อัปเดต: June 7 Market Update | Technical, Fundamental, News
Description:
An analysis for the week ahead.
Points of Interest:
ATH; Gap Above; Gaps and VPOCs Below; Absence Of Stronger Sellers.
Technical:
Risk-on sentiment in all major indices. Despite the Nasdaq-100 surpassing it’s all-time high, its moves have become more muted, signaling a rotation from the bigger technology- and innovation-driven companies to energy, transportation, financials, small caps, and so on.
Monday came after an end-of-week flush and a close at the highs. Monday’s overnight action was supported with buyers lifting into the open.
Tuesday’s open seemed exhausted, with some heavy offers developing at and above $3075. Later, the S&P 500 traded down to $3050, an area of resting liquidity, before closing higher.
Wednesday’s session squeezed higher into $3111, came down to some resting bids at $3090, and then buyers closed the range, again.
Friday opened on a massive gap, exacerbated by the May jobs report. The session ended up balancing at and around the $3200 strike.
Putting everything together, the picture points to further upside, but it’s obvious that cracks are beginning to form as indicated by the mechanical, short-term momentum-driven activity going on. As long as value shifts higher and liquidations fail to generate any follow through, then the bullish narrative remains.
Scroll to bottom of document for non-profile charts.
Key Events:
NFIB Small Business Optimism; JOLTS Survey; Wholesale Trade; CPI; PPI; Initial Claims; Import Prices; University of Michigan Sentiment Survey; FOMC Meeting.
Fundamental:
Absent a second wave and geopolitical turmoil, momentum will push markets higher. bloom.bg/2Y8lX3Z
Despite government measures, COVID-19 is wreaking havoc on Latin America. bit.ly/3gYVIFO
Canada adds 290,000 jobs as restrictions on business are loosened. reut.rs/30gkj3a
The U.S. economy added jobs in May with the jobless rate falling to 13.3%. reut.rs/2YaLbij
The Senate loosened the rules small businesses must follow when applying for PPP. bit.ly/3dF0G8t
The personal care, restaurant, entertainment, and leisure industries are recovering. bit.ly/2BFkvyB
Non-white communities realize un-equal recovery, worsened by low liquidity and savings. wapo.st/2MC11Ny
YouTube’s growth paints a bullish picture for Google parent Alphabet. bit.ly/2MyYcNb
GOOGL GOOG
Corporate bond yield spreads reflect expectations of a business cycle upturn. bit.ly/30hR9jY
Easing of capital outflows from ASEAN markets reduced liquidity pressures. bit.ly/2zZWxhb
China’s manufacturing returned to trend, but the consumer sector is still lagging. bloom.bg/2XAVjBI
Repression, or forced lending to the government at low rates, may be bullish. bloom.bg/3gXvDH7
By the end of 2020, earnings will be higher than they were in 2019. bloom.bg/3gXvDH7
Valuation methods pin fair value for the S&P 500 Index between $2,200 and $2,800. bit.ly/30fJJ0w
Low rates rationalize the outperformance of growth companies. bit.ly/2A6cSAE
Fed’s balance sheet expansion may slow down inflation. bit.ly/2UbG14r
Expensive stocks have not reached levels seen during the tech bubble. bloom.bg/2z87FrB
Eurozone corona-bonds would help euro-denominated assets outperform. bloom.bg/378Mbr2
OPEC+ agrees to one-month extension of output cuts. reut.rs/2MBjRVa
Ford is evaluating the need for office space. reut.rs/2MzzfRF
F
Remote work to spark a housing boom in the suburbs and smaller cities. on.wsj.com/2XEHQZI
Amazon plans summer sale for June 22 to jumpstart sales after demand hit. cnb.cx/2z88vVh
AMZN
‘Nuclear Option’: U.S. could cut Beijing from the dollar payment system. bit.ly/2AJnt4I
Sentiment: 34.6% Bullish, 26.6% Neutral, 38.9% Bearish as of 5/31/2020. bit.ly/330VhEp
Gamma Exposure: (Trending Higher) 4, 239, 083, 647 as of 6/6/2020. bit.ly/2UpgtRE
Dark Pool Index: (Trending Higher) 45.2% as of 6/6/2020. bit.ly/2UpgtRE
Product Analysis:
S&P 500 (ES):
SPY SPX 
SPXL
Nasdaq 100 (NQ):
QQQ 
NDX 
TQQQ
Russell 2000 (RTY):
IWM 
RUT
Dow Jones (YM):
DIA 
DJI
Gold (GC):
GLD
Crude Oil (CL):
USO DBO USL
Natural Gas (NG):
UNG
Treasury Bonds (ZB):
TLT
Disclaimer:
This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve, especially me.
In no way should this post be construed as investment advice.
An analysis for the week ahead.
Points of Interest:
ATH; Gap Above; Gaps and VPOCs Below; Absence Of Stronger Sellers.
Technical:
Risk-on sentiment in all major indices. Despite the Nasdaq-100 surpassing it’s all-time high, its moves have become more muted, signaling a rotation from the bigger technology- and innovation-driven companies to energy, transportation, financials, small caps, and so on.
Monday came after an end-of-week flush and a close at the highs. Monday’s overnight action was supported with buyers lifting into the open.
Tuesday’s open seemed exhausted, with some heavy offers developing at and above $3075. Later, the S&P 500 traded down to $3050, an area of resting liquidity, before closing higher.
Wednesday’s session squeezed higher into $3111, came down to some resting bids at $3090, and then buyers closed the range, again.
Friday opened on a massive gap, exacerbated by the May jobs report. The session ended up balancing at and around the $3200 strike.
Putting everything together, the picture points to further upside, but it’s obvious that cracks are beginning to form as indicated by the mechanical, short-term momentum-driven activity going on. As long as value shifts higher and liquidations fail to generate any follow through, then the bullish narrative remains.
Scroll to bottom of document for non-profile charts.
Key Events:
NFIB Small Business Optimism; JOLTS Survey; Wholesale Trade; CPI; PPI; Initial Claims; Import Prices; University of Michigan Sentiment Survey; FOMC Meeting.
Fundamental:
Absent a second wave and geopolitical turmoil, momentum will push markets higher. bloom.bg/2Y8lX3Z
Despite government measures, COVID-19 is wreaking havoc on Latin America. bit.ly/3gYVIFO
Canada adds 290,000 jobs as restrictions on business are loosened. reut.rs/30gkj3a
The U.S. economy added jobs in May with the jobless rate falling to 13.3%. reut.rs/2YaLbij
The Senate loosened the rules small businesses must follow when applying for PPP. bit.ly/3dF0G8t
The personal care, restaurant, entertainment, and leisure industries are recovering. bit.ly/2BFkvyB
Non-white communities realize un-equal recovery, worsened by low liquidity and savings. wapo.st/2MC11Ny
YouTube’s growth paints a bullish picture for Google parent Alphabet. bit.ly/2MyYcNb
GOOGL GOOGCorporate bond yield spreads reflect expectations of a business cycle upturn. bit.ly/30hR9jY
Easing of capital outflows from ASEAN markets reduced liquidity pressures. bit.ly/2zZWxhb
China’s manufacturing returned to trend, but the consumer sector is still lagging. bloom.bg/2XAVjBI
Repression, or forced lending to the government at low rates, may be bullish. bloom.bg/3gXvDH7
By the end of 2020, earnings will be higher than they were in 2019. bloom.bg/3gXvDH7
Valuation methods pin fair value for the S&P 500 Index between $2,200 and $2,800. bit.ly/30fJJ0w
Low rates rationalize the outperformance of growth companies. bit.ly/2A6cSAE
Fed’s balance sheet expansion may slow down inflation. bit.ly/2UbG14r
Expensive stocks have not reached levels seen during the tech bubble. bloom.bg/2z87FrB
Eurozone corona-bonds would help euro-denominated assets outperform. bloom.bg/378Mbr2
OPEC+ agrees to one-month extension of output cuts. reut.rs/2MBjRVa
Ford is evaluating the need for office space. reut.rs/2MzzfRF
FRemote work to spark a housing boom in the suburbs and smaller cities. on.wsj.com/2XEHQZI
Amazon plans summer sale for June 22 to jumpstart sales after demand hit. cnb.cx/2z88vVh
AMZN‘Nuclear Option’: U.S. could cut Beijing from the dollar payment system. bit.ly/2AJnt4I
Sentiment: 34.6% Bullish, 26.6% Neutral, 38.9% Bearish as of 5/31/2020. bit.ly/330VhEp
Gamma Exposure: (Trending Higher) 4, 239, 083, 647 as of 6/6/2020. bit.ly/2UpgtRE
Dark Pool Index: (Trending Higher) 45.2% as of 6/6/2020. bit.ly/2UpgtRE
Product Analysis:
S&P 500 (ES):
SPY SPX SPXLNasdaq 100 (NQ):
QQQ NDX TQQQRussell 2000 (RTY):
IWM RUTDow Jones (YM):
DIA DJIGold (GC):
GLD Crude Oil (CL):
USO DBO USLNatural Gas (NG):
UNGTreasury Bonds (ZB):
TLTDisclaimer:
This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve, especially me.
In no way should this post be construed as investment advice.
บันทึก
Sentiment survey entry updated 6/6/2020.
This page is where we look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. Feel free to comment if you have questions, concerns, or suggestions. Everyone can improve, so speak up if you see something wrong!
This page is where we look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. Feel free to comment if you have questions, concerns, or suggestions. Everyone can improve, so speak up if you see something wrong!
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