BLACK MONDAY LOOMS (AGAIN) ðēð
āļāļĩāđāļāļąāļāđāļāļ:
I can't find a spot of good news over this weekend - or one that would make a sound difference to economies (on a longer term basis). I'm expecting (not predicting) panic on Monday/Tuesday. The markets are NOT economies. They represent confidence in economies - similar to bond markets.
Seriously - it's almost all bad news out there - and the algos will be expected to pick all this up and make 'decisions':
I also expect even higher volatility - which is what all sound traders lurve!! But gamblers also like volatility - so to gamblers I say, "Expect to lose more money than you make!"
Disclaimers: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied. Estimates of probability in one direction leaves a residual probability in the opposite direction. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
Seriously - it's almost all bad news out there - and the algos will be expected to pick all this up and make 'decisions':
- Wall Street collapsed ~700 pts on the weekend (unheard of before). Then a slight rebellion north by 125pts.
- Cases surpass 105,000 worldwide; deaths exceed 3,500. The number of deaths from the coronavirus outside China edged toward 500, pushing governments and airlines to curtail travel to and from heavily affected areas.
- China death toll rises to 3,097.
- Italy curbs travel for northern region around Milan as death toll climbs by 33 overnight to 233. 16 million people locked down!
- CPAC attendee was infected; Trump had no contact. Trump said he intends to continue holding large campaign
- U.S. tests fewer than 6,000 samples.
- London Heathrow Baggage Handlers Test Positive for Virus
- The International Air Transport Association warned this week that carriers may lose $113 billion in sales this year, almost four times more than its estimate of the epidemicâs impact from just two weeks earlier.
- Saudi Arabia plans to increase oil output next month to well above 10 million barrels a day, as the kingdom responds to the collapse of its OPEC+ alliance with Russia. Commodities traders see this as all out 'price-war' in the face of a simultaneous supply-and-demand shock.(The virus had caused reduced demand for oil and price to fall. There was some talk about limiting production/supply of oil in response. Now the opposite seems to be happening).
- US walking into a recession at 'peak performance' - jobs report.
I also expect even higher volatility - which is what all sound traders lurve!! But gamblers also like volatility - so to gamblers I say, "Expect to lose more money than you make!"
Disclaimers: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied. Estimates of probability in one direction leaves a residual probability in the opposite direction. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
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Weekend Wall Street just fell to minus 746 points from Friday close at 18:00 GMT 2020-03-08.āļāļąāļāļāļķāļāļāđāļ§āļĒāļāļģ
Serious trouble at open of the market! āļāļąāļāļāļķāļāļāđāļ§āļĒāļāļģ
The DJI gapped down 600 pts on weekend opening of the market. screencast.com/t/pAfVVrDE
FED balance sheet 42% of GDP @ 2020-01-26. Does money have value anymore? [Different perspective on the virus youtu.be/NjTdvALChwk ]
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