Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) - Weekly Outlook, 3 scenarios.

🔹 Current Price: 84,070
🔹 Key Levels:

🟢 Support: 78,189 (Fib 0.65), 72,138 (Fib 0.618)

🔴 Resistance: 97,418 (Fib 0.886), 109,609 (Fib 1.0)

🔮 Possible Scenarios:

📉 Scenario 1: Deeper Pullback Before Rally 🚀

BTC drops to the golden pocket (Fib 0.618-0.65 at 72k-78k).

Bulls step in, creating a higher low.

If confirmed, BTC pushes back to 98k and eventually towards 1.618 Fib at 175k.

🔹 Odds: 60/40

📈 Scenario 2: Immediate Rebound and Breakout 💥

BTC holds current support (~84k) and bounces.

Breaks through 97k resistance, confirming strength.

Push towards 109k, then 134k.

🔹 Odds: 40/60 (lower probability due to weak momentum signals).

⚠️ Scenario 3: Bearish Case: Break Below 72k

If BTC loses 72k, we could see 56k (Fib 0.5) tested.

Would invalidate bullish structure short-term.

🔹 Odds: 30/70

🎯 Key Watch Points:
1️⃣ Reaction at 78-72k: If buyers step in aggressively, scenario 1 is more likely.
2️⃣ Strength above 97k: If BTC reclaims this level, bulls take control.
3️⃣ Macro environment: External factors (ETF flows, Fed policy) could accelerate or delay moves.

🚀 Long-term structure remains bullish, but in short-term shakeouts are very likely.