The down before ATH, or the last shoulders and head trend.

Trade Idea – FOMC September Outlook

Following this idea for the next 2 weeks, I’m positioning with the expectation that the Fed may cut rates during the September 17–18 FOMC meeting. The setup anticipates:

🔹 Market sentiment leaning toward policy easing as inflation data shows gradual cooling and labor market signals softening.

🔹 Yield curve behavior: Treasuries pricing in a higher probability of at least one cut, with potential for front-end relief.

🔹 Equities/indices could benefit in the short term, particularly growth and rate-sensitive sectors.

🔹 USD outlook: Potential weakening if the market confirms dovish Fed action, giving support to major FX pairs against the dollar.

Plan: Tracking price action into the Fed meeting window, with tactical entries over the next 2 weeks and tight risk management ahead of the event.