The CME interest rate swap market predicts that the FOMC will likely cut rates by 25 basis points in November. This means that after a 50 basis point cut, the Federal Reserve will loosen its monetary policy. This is not favorable for risk assets, including BTC.
In the past two weeks, BTC ETFs have seen significant net inflows, indicating that after the shift in monetary policy, funds are gradually flowing into the cryptocurrency market. This is a large-scale trend. BTC is rapidly approaching its all-time high (ATH). However, the pricing in the interest rate market for a November rate cut may lead to some degree of correction for BTC.
Additionally, the U.S. presidential election will take place in early November. While Harris has expressed support for cryptocurrencies, Trump is undoubtedly the biggest supporter for the sector. The importance of the U.S. election for BTC is increasing.
As we expected, BTC maintained its upward trend last week and moved above the given support level. We can see the blue bars representing whales appearing on the WTA indicator. The macro shift is starting to attract large capital. The purple wave area on the ME indicator is widening, indicating stronger bullish sentiment.
In summary, we believe BTC may experience a correction this week and then continue to rise afterward. We are raising the resistance level to 70,000 and the support level to 60,000.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.