Bitcoin has been on a bullish rally within a parallel channel. In this analysis, we explore the bullish and bearish cases for bitcoin.
Bullish Evidence
- We are trading within an ascending parallel channel on the daily - We have seen 7 consecutive green candles - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is forming higher lows and higher highs - The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also shows an uptrend, with bullish histograms after a golden cross
Bearish Evidence
- However, on the bigger picture, we are trading within a descending parallel channel, creating lower highs and lower lows - We have spotted a bearish divergence on the shorter time frames - Prices have reached the 0.618 Fibonacci resistance - The RSI is reaching overbought levels
Market Sentiment:
Long short ratios are at 67 to 33, with significantly more longs than shorts, despite the strong price resistance.
What We Believe
While the bullish scenario remains intact, we see a lot of resistance around the 0.618 Fibonacci resistance. A break below the channel support would confirm the formation of a new bearish trend.