MiserableToppings

Catching a fake out

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MiserableToppings ที่อัปเดต:   
COINBASE:BTCUSD   บิทคอยน์
With BTC I'd prefer to protect capital than enter a trade right now.
That said, there's a good short setup in the chart.
I see a chance that price will break above immediate resistance as market participants are increasingly looking for good news after crab season.

Not trade advice.
I hold no BTC
ความคิดเห็น:
DXY
Following a month-long bearish divergence, DXY looks to be consolidating.
A break above the flag/ falling wedge after new lows is likely.
I'm eye-balling the decline towards the lower boundary of the flag/ wedge to correspond with the short entry (21865 USD) and SL (22638)
Waiting to see if the monthly support is broken.
ความคิดเห็น:
Taking a look at SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) and BTCUSDLONGs
The decline in long positions from BTCUSD's September 21st low suggests early profit-taking. If September 21st was a double bottom, we should see less rate of change on the SOPR metric. This is not bullish and supports range lock until the narrative changes.
ความคิดเห็น:
EDIT: I should note SOPR is the average of ALL positions, not just Longs.
BTCUSDSHORTS have declined since September 21st.
Their loss has been netted in. If SOPR only measured Longs, the ROC would be greater than seen in the chart above.
ความคิดเห็น:
Okay lol the narrative changed pretty fast. Barring no more insolvencies, next target is 14k if we consider the log trendlines in the chart below. 400-week MA lines up too.
ความคิดเห็น:
BTC Open Interest tanked last hour. Waiting to see if price comes down with it.
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