AUDNZD Heading Lower

4 ก.ค. 2018

AUDNZD is in a longer-term downtrend. Recently it is in a short-term uptrend but that is looking to be short-lived.

We have what looks like a double top around key resistance, with a large bearish pin bar that is protruding previous price. This is one of my favorite type of pin bars because it works like a slingshot. Price tried to break into higher ground, but the bears stepped in showing their strength, pushing the price back below the key level.

My trade was taken on the 50% retrace of that protruding pin bar in conjunction with:
- Key resistance level
- Market swing point (double top)
- Moving averages are neutral indicating a possible range-bound market, if so that is good news for the trade
- 50% retrace from the most recent highest high and lowest low
- Recent event area
- The overall trend is down (long-term) but potentially in a short-term range
- RSI trending and curling down once more
- Full STC in extreme levels and turning down

This is a good set-up with a potential 3 to 1 risk if it reaches the bottom part of the new range. Remember set your stops and do not risk to much if you decide to take a similar position.