AUDJPY hawkish RBA statement after their 25bps cut

This was the RBA's first rate cut since 2020, with the bank citing some progress towards bringing down inflation, but warning that further monetary easing still hinged on more downside in inflation. The central bank indicated that it would retain a restrictive policy due to the strength of the jobs market and an uncertain global economic outlook.
The AUDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The recent oversold bounce back is retesting major resistance at 97.30.

The key trading level is at 97.30, which is the current swing high, 50 Day Moving Average and previous support now newly formed resistance. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 97.30 level could target the downside support at 94.90 followed by 93.40 and 91.40 levels over the longer timeframe.

Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 97.30 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 98.50 resistance followed by 100.00 levels.

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