AUD/JPY 4H Timeframe Analysis

AUD/JPY 4H Timeframe Analysis

Trend Analysis:
The AUD/JPY pair is currently in a reversal phase, with the price initially hitting minor support at 95.700 during a downtrend. This was followed by the formation of a Doji and a Bullish Engulfing Candle, signaling a shift in market sentiment. The price began creating higher highs and higher lows, eventually breaking the minor resistance at 98.200. After a retest of this level, a double bottom formed, accompanied by a wick rejection and a bullish engulfing candle, further confirming the bullish reversal. The price then moved above the minor resistance, accumulated buying orders, and performed a liquidity grab below the resistance before resuming its upward momentum.

Price Action Expectation:
After the liquidity grab, our objective is to wait for the price to break above the minor key resistance at 98.200 again, confirming a continuation of the bullish trend. The plan is to place a buy stop order above the resistance at 98.240, ensuring entry once the breakout is confirmed. A stop loss will be placed below the liquidity grab at 97.460, while the target for this trade will be the next resistance level at 99.930.

Trade Setup:
Trade Type: Buy Stop
Entry Price: 98.240 (just above the minor resistance after a breakout)
Stop Loss: 97.460 (below the liquidity grab)
Take Profit: 99.930 (next resistance level)

Additional Considerations:
Key Level Reactions: Monitor price behavior near 98.200. If the price fails to break above this level, it may indicate potential consolidation or reversal.
Risk Management: Ensure proper position sizing to maintain a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2.

External Factors:
Stay vigilant for economic data releases or geopolitical events that may impact the AUD or JPY, as these can introduce unexpected volatility.

Conclusion:
The AUD/JPY pair exhibits strong bullish potential following a liquidity grab and double bottom formation. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakout above 98.240 to capitalize on the continuation toward the 99.930 resistance level. As always, careful risk management and attention to key levels are essential for executing this trade effectively.
Supply and DemandSupport and ResistanceTrend Analysis

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