The only thing worse than being wrong about the market is being right too early..!
3 months ago, on the very same day, just one day before AAPL earning, based on my calculations, I had enough evidence that apple will go south..! I shorted apple (Buy naked Puts), apple jumped first, and I close my positions with no cost on entry-level and missed the next move..!
No matter how good your analysis is, earnings are tricky..! and it is always better to stay out of tricky situations..!
Long-term success in the market is only possible with good risk management..!