Supertrend StrategyThe Supertrend Strategy was created based on the Supertrend and Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators, widely respected tools in technical analysis. This strategy combines these two indicators to capture market trends with precision and reliability, looking for optimizing exit levels at oversold or overbought price levels.
The Supertrend indicator identifies trend direction based on price and volatility by using the Average True Range (ATR). The ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average range between an asset’s high and low prices over a set period. It provides insight into price fluctuations, with higher ATR values indicating increased volatility and lower values suggesting stability. The Supertrend Indicator plots a line above or below the price, signaling potential buy or sell opportunities: when the price closes above the Supertrend line, an uptrend is indicated, while a close below the line suggests a downtrend. This line shifts as price movements and volatility levels change, acting as both a trailing stop loss and trend confirmation.
To enhance the Supertrend strategy, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been added as an exit criterion. As a momentum oscillator, the RSI indicates overbought (usually above 70) or oversold (usually below 30) conditions. This integration allows trades to close when the asset is overbought or oversold, capturing gains before a possible reversal, even if the percentage take profit level has not been reached. This mechanism aims to prevent losses due to market reversals before the Supertrend signal changes.
### Key Features
1. **Entry criteria**:
- The strategy uses the Supertrend indicator calculated by adding or subtracting a multiple of the ATR from the closing price, depending on the trend direction.
- When the price crosses above the Supertrend line, the strategy signals a long (buy) entry. Conversely, when the price crosses below, it signals a short (sell) entry.
- The strategy performs a reversal if there is an open position and a change in the direction of the supertrend occurs
2. **Exit criteria**:
- Take profit of 30% (default) on the average position price.
- Oversold (≤ 5) or overbought (≥ 95) RSI
- Reversal when there is a change in direction of the Supertrend
3. **No Repainting**:
- This strategy is not subject to repainting, as long as the timeframe configured on your chart is the same as the supertrend timeframe .
4. **Position Sizing by Equity and risk management**:
- This strategy has a default configuration to operate with 35% of the equity. At the time of opening the position, the supertrend line is typically positioned at about 12 to 16% of the entry price. This way, the strategy is putting at risk about 16% of 35% of equity, that is, around 5.6% of equity for each trade. The percentage of equity can be adjusted by the user according to their risk management.
5. **Backtest results**:
- This strategy was subjected to deep backtesting and operations in replay mode, including transaction fees of 0.12%, and slippage of 5 ticks.
- The past results in deep backtest and replay mode were compatible and profitable (Variable results depending on the take profit used, supertrend and RSI parameters). However, it should be noted that few operations were evaluated, since the currency in question has been created for a short time and the frequency of operations is relatively small.
- Past results are no guarantee of future results. The strategy's backtest results may even be due to overfitting with past data.
Default Settings
Chart timeframe: 2h
Supertrend Factor: 3.42
ATR period: 14
Supertrend timeframe: 2 h
RSI timeframe: 15 min
RSI Lenght: 5 min
RSI Upper limit: 95
RSI Lower Limit: 5
Take Profit: 30%
BYBIT:1000000MOGUSDT.P
Volatilty
The Bar Counter Trend Reversal Strategy [TradeDots]Overview
The Bar Counter Trend Reversal Strategy is designed to identify potential counter-trend reversal points in the market after a series of consecutive rising or falling bars.
By analyzing price movements in conjunction with optional volume confirmation and channel bands (Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels), this strategy aims to detect overbought or oversold conditions where a trend reversal may occur.
🔹How it Works
Consecutive Price Movements
Rising Bars: The strategy detects when there are a specified number of consecutive rising bars (No. of Rises).
Falling Bars: Similarly, it identifies a specified number of consecutive falling bars (No. of Falls).
Volume Confirmation (Optional)
When enabled, the strategy checks for increasing volume during the consecutive price movements, adding an extra layer of confirmation to the potential reversal signal.
Channel Confirmation (Optional)
Channel Type: Choose between Bollinger Bands ("BB") or Keltner Channels ("KC").
Channel Interaction: The strategy checks if the price interacts with the upper or lower channel lines: For short signals, it looks for price moving above the upper channel line. For long signals, it looks for price moving below the lower channel line.
Customization:
No. of Rises/Falls: Set the number of consecutive bars required to trigger a signal.
Volume Confirmation: Enable or disable volume as a confirmation factor.
Channel Confirmation: Enable or disable channel bands as a confirmation factor.
Channel Settings: Adjust the length and multiplier for the Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels.
Visual Indicators:
Entry Signals: Triangles plotted on the chart indicate potential entry points:
Green upward triangle for long entries.
Red downward triangle for short entries.
Channel Bands: The upper and lower bands are plotted for visual reference.
Strategy Parameters:
Initial Capital: $10,000.
Position Sizing: 80% of equity per trade.
Commission: 0.01% per trade to simulate realistic trading costs.
🔹Usage
Set up the number of Rises/Falls and choose whether if you want to use channel indicators and volume as the confirmation.
Monitor the chart for triangles indicating potential entry points.
Consider the context of the overall market trend and other technical factors.
Backtesting and Optimization:
Use TradingView's Strategy Tester to evaluate performance.
Adjust parameters to optimize results for different market conditions.
🔹 Considerations and Recommendations
Risk Management:
The strategy does not include built-in stop-loss or take-profit levels. It's recommended to implement your own risk management techniques.
Market Conditions:
Performance may vary in different market environments. Testing and adjustments are advised when applying the strategy to new instruments or timeframes.
No Guarantee of Future Results:
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always perform due diligence and consider the risks involved in trading.
Black-Scholes option price model & delta hedge strategyBlack-Scholes Option Pricing Model Strategy
The strategy is based on the Black-Scholes option pricing model and allows the calculation of option prices, various option metrics (the Greeks), and the creation of synthetic positions through delta hedging.
ATTENTION!
Trading derivative financial instruments involves high risks. The author of the strategy is not responsible for your financial results! The strategy is not self-sufficient for generating profit! It is created exclusively for constructing a synthetic derivative financial instrument. Also, there might be errors in the script, so use it at your own risk! I would appreciate it if you point out any mistakes in the comments! I would be even more grateful if you send the corrected code!
Application Scope
This strategy can be used for delta hedging short positions in sold options. For example, suppose you sold a call option on Bitcoin on the Deribit exchange with a strike price of $60,000 and an expiration date of September 27, 2024. Using this script, you can create a delta hedge to protect against the risk of loss in the option position if the price of Bitcoin rises.
Another example: Suppose you use staking of altcoins in your strategies, for which options are not available. By using this strategy, you can hedge the risk of a price drop (Put option). In this case, you won't lose money if the underlying asset price increases, unlike with a short futures position.
Another example: You received an airdrop, but your tokens will not be fully unlocked soon. Using this script, you can fully hedge your position and preserve their dollar value by the time the tokens are fully unlocked. And you won't fear the underlying asset price increasing, as the loss in the event of a price rise is limited to the option premium you will pay if you rebalance the portfolio.
Of course, this script can also be used for simple directional trading of momentum and mean reversion strategies!
Key Features and Input Parameters
1. Option settings:
- Style of option: "European vanilla", "Binary", "Asian geometric".
- Type of option: "Call" (bet on the rise) or "Put" (bet on the fall).
- Strike price: the option contract price.
- Expiration: the expiry date and time of the option contract.
2. Market statistic settings:
- Type of price source: open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4, hlcc4 (using hl2, hlc3, ohlc4, hlcc4 allows smoothing the price in more volatile series).
- Risk-free return symbol: the risk-free rate for the market where the underlying asset is traded. For the cryptocurrency market, the return on the funding rate arbitrage strategy is accepted (a special function is written for its calculation based on the Premium Price).
- Volatility calculation model: realized (standard deviation over a moving period), implied (e.g., DVOL or VIX), or custom (you can specify a specific number in the field below). For the cryptocurrency market, the calculation of implied volatility is implemented based on the product of the realized volatility ratio of the considered asset and Bitcoin to the Bitcoin implied volatility index.
- User implied volatility: fixed implied volatility (used if "Custom" is selected in the "Volatility Calculation Method").
3. Display settings:
- Choose metric: what to display on the indicator scale – the price of the underlying asset, the option price, volatility, or Greeks (all are available).
- Measure: bps (basis points), percent. This parameter allows choosing the unit of measurement for the displayed metric (for all except the Greeks).
4. Trading settings:
- Hedge model: None (do not trade, default), Simple (just open a position for the full volume when the strike price is crossed), Synthetic option (creating a synthetic option based on the Black-Scholes model).
- Position side: Long, Short.
- Position size: the number of units of the underlying asset needed to create the option.
- Strategy start time: the moment in time after which the strategy will start working to create a synthetic option.
- Delta hedge interval: the interval in minutes for rebalancing the portfolio. For example, a value of 5 corresponds to rebalancing the portfolio every 5 minutes.
Post scriptum
My strategy based on the SegaRKO model. Many thanks to the author! Unfortunately, I don't have enough reputation points to include a link to the author in the description. You can find the original model via the link in the code, as well as through the search indicators on the charts by entering the name: "Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model". I have significantly improved the model: the calculation of volatility, risk-free rate and time value of the option have been reworked. The code performance has also been significantly optimized. And the most significant change is the execution, with which you can now trade using this script.
Buy Sell Strategy With Z-Score [TradeDots]The "Buy Sell Strategy With Z-Score" is a trading strategy that harnesses Z-Score statistical metrics to identify potential pricing reversals, for opportunistic buying and selling opportunities.
HOW DOES IT WORK
The strategy operates by calculating the Z-Score of the closing price for each candlestick. This allows us to evaluate how significantly the current price deviates from its typical volatility level.
The strategy first takes the scope of a rolling window, adjusted to the user's preference. This window is used to compute both the standard deviation and mean value. With these values, the strategic model finalizes the Z-Score. This determination is accomplished by subtracting the mean from the closing price and dividing the resulting value by the standard deviation.
This approach provides an estimation of the price's departure from its traditional trajectory, thereby identifying market conditions conducive to an asset being overpriced or underpriced.
APPLICATION
Firstly, it is better to identify a stable trading pair for this technique, such as two stocks with considerable correlation. This is to ensure conformance with the statistical model's assumption of a normal Gaussian distribution model. The ideal performance is theoretically situated within a sideways market devoid of skewness.
Following pair selection, the user should refine the span of the rolling window. A broader window smoothens the mean, more accurately capturing long-term market trends, while potentially enhancing volatility. This refinement results in fewer, yet precise trading signals.
Finally, the user must settle on an optimal Z-Score threshold, which essentially dictates the timing for buy/sell actions when the Z-Score exceeds with thresholds. A positive threshold signifies the price veering away from its mean, triggering a sell signal. Conversely, a negative threshold denotes the price falling below its mean, illustrating an underpriced condition that prompts a buy signal.
Within a normal distribution, a Z-Score of 1 records about 68% of occurrences centered at the mean, while a Z-Score of 2 captures approximately 95% of occurrences.
The 'cool down period' is essentially the number of bars that await before the next signal generation. This feature is employed to dodge the occurrence of multiple signals in a short period.
DEFAULT SETUP
The following is the default setup on EURUSD 1h timeframe
Rolling Window: 80
Z-Score Threshold: 2.8
Signal Cool Down Period: 5
Commission: 0.03%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 30%
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
RSI and ATR Trend Reversal SL/TPQuick History:
I was frustrated with a standard fixed percent TP/SL as they often were not receptive to quick market rallies/reversals. I developed this TP/SL and eventually made it into a full fledge strategy and found it did well enough to publish. This strategy can be used as a standalone or tacked onto another strategy as a TP/SL. It does function as both with a single line. This strategy has been tested with TSLA , AAPL, NVDA, on the 15 minutes timeframe.
HOW IT WORKS:
Inputs:
Length: Simple enough, it determines the length of the RSI and ATR used.
Multiplier: This multiplies the RSI and ATR calculation, more on this later.
Delay to prevent Idealization: TradingView will use the open of the bar the strategy triggers on when calculating the backtest. This can produce unrealistic results depending on the source. If your source is open, set to 0, if anything else, set to 1.
Minimum Difference: This is essentially a traditional SL/TP, it is borderline unnecessary, but if the other parameters are wacky this can be used to ensure the SL/TP. It multiplies the source by the percent, so if it is set to 10, the SL/TP is initialized at src +- 10%.
Source input: Self Explanatory, be sure to update the Delay if you use open.
CALCULATION:
Parameters Initialization:
The strategy uses Heikinashi values for calculations, this is not toggleable in parameters, but can be easily changed by changing hclose to equal src.
FUNCTION INITIALIZATION:
highest_custom and lowest_custom do the same thing as ta.highest and ta.lowest, however the built in ta library does not allow for var int input, so I had to create my own functions to be used here. I actually developed these years ago and have used them in almost every strategy since. Feel especially free to use these in your own scripts.
The rsilev is where the magic happens.
SL/TP min/max are initially calculated to be used later.
Then we begin by establishing variables.
BullGuy is used to determine the length since the last crossup or crossdown, until one happens, it returns na, breaking the function. BearGuy is used in all the calculations, and is the same as BullGuy, unless BullGuy is na, where BearGuy counts up from 1 on each bar from 0.
We create our rsi and have to modify the second one to suit the function. In the case of the upper band, we mirror the lower one. So if the RSI is 80, we want it to be 20 on the upper band.
the upper band and lower band are calculated the exact same way, but mirrored. For the purpose of writing, I'm going to talk about the lower band. Assume everything is mirrored for the upper one. It finds the highest source since the last crossup or crossdown. It then multiplies from 1 / the RSI, this means that a rapid RSI increase will increase the band dramatically, so it is able to capture quick rally/reversals. We add this to the atr to source ratio, as the general volatility is a massive factor to be included. We then multiply this number by our chosen amount, and subtract it from the highest source, creating the band.
We do this same process but mirrored with both bands and compared it to the source. If the source is above the lower band, it suggests an uptrend, so the lower band is outputted, and vice versa for the upper one.
PLOTTING:
We also determine the line color in the same manner as we do the trend direction.
STRATEGY:
We then use the source again, and if it crosses up or down relative to the selected band, we enter a long or short respectively.
This may not be the most superb independent strategy, but it can be very useful as a TP/SL for your chosen entry conditions, especially in volatile markets or tickers.
Thank you for taking the time to read, and please enjoy.
Ichimoku Cloud with ADX (By Coinrule)The Ichimoku Cloud is a collection of technical indicators that show support and resistance levels, as well as momentum and trend direction. It does this by taking multiple averages and plotting them on a chart. It also uses these figures to compute a “cloud” that attempts to forecast where the price may find support or resistance in the future.
The Ichimoku Cloud was developed by Goichi Hosoda, a Japanese journalist, and published in the late 1960s. It provides more data points than the standard candlestick chart. While it seems complicated at first glance, those familiar with how to read the charts often find it easy to understand with well-defined trading signals.
The Ichimoku Cloud is composed of five lines or calculations, two of which comprise a cloud where the difference between the two lines is shaded in.
The lines include a nine-period average, a 26-period average, an average of those two averages, a 52-period average, and a lagging closing price line.
The cloud is a key part of the indicator. When the price is below the cloud, the trend is down. When the price is above the cloud, the trend is up.
The above trend signals are strengthened if the cloud is moving in the same direction as the price. For example, during an uptrend, the top of the cloud is moving up, or during a downtrend, the bottom of the cloud is moving down.
DMI is simple to interpret. When +DI > - DI, it means the price is trending up. On the other hand, when -DI > +DI , the trend is weak or moving on the downside. The ADX does not give an indication about the direction but about the strength of the trend.
Typically values of ADX above 25 mean that the trend is steeply moving up or down, based on the -DI and +D positioning. This script aims to capture swings in the DMI, and thus, in the trend of the asset, using a contrarian approach.
Trading on high values of ADX , the strategy tries to spot extremely oversold and overbought conditions. Values of ADX above 45 may suggest that the trend has overextended and is may be about to reverse.
This strategy combines the Ichimoku Cloud with the ADX indicator to better enter trades.
Long/Short orders are placed when these basic signals are triggered.
Long Position:
Tenkan-Sen is above the Kijun-Sen
Chikou-Span is above the close of 26 bars ago
Close is above the Kumo Cloud
MACD line crosses over the signal line
-DI is greater than +DI
ADX is greater than 45
Short Position:
Tenkan-Sen is below the Kijun-Sen
Chikou-Span is below the close of 26 bars ago
Close is below the Kumo Cloud
MACD line crosses under the signal line
+DI is greater than -DI
ADX is less than 45
The script is backtested from 1 January 2022 and provides good returns.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
This script also works well on MATIC (15m timeframe), ETH (5m timeframe), and SOL (15m timeframe).
Ichimoku Cloud with RSI (By Coinrule)The Ichimoku Cloud is a collection of technical indicators that show support and resistance levels, as well as momentum and trend direction. It does this by taking multiple averages and plotting them on a chart. It also uses these figures to compute a “cloud” that attempts to forecast where the price may find support or resistance in the future.
The Ichimoku Cloud was developed by Goichi Hosoda, a Japanese journalist, and published in the late 1960s. It provides more data points than the standard candlestick chart. While it seems complicated at first glance, those familiar with how to read the charts often find it easy to understand with well-defined trading signals.
The Ichimoku Cloud is composed of five lines or calculations, two of which comprise a cloud where the difference between the two lines is shaded in.
The lines include a nine-period average, a 26-period average, an average of those two averages, a 52-period average, and a lagging closing price line.
The cloud is a key part of the indicator. When the price is below the cloud, the trend is down. When the price is above the cloud, the trend is up.
The above trend signals are strengthened if the cloud is moving in the same direction as the price. For example, during an uptrend, the top of the cloud is moving up, or during a downtrend, the bottom of the cloud is moving down.
This strategy combines the Ichimoku Cloud with the RSI indicator to better enter trades.
Long/Short orders are placed when three basic signals are triggered.
Long Position:
Tenkan-Sen is above the Kijun-Sen
Chikou-Span is above the close of 26 bars ago
Close is above the Kumo Cloud
RSI is greater less than 50
Short Position:
Tenkan-Sen is below the Kijun-Sen
Chikou-Span is below the close of 26 bars ago
Close is below the Kumo Cloud
RSI is greater than 50
The script is backtested from 1 June 2022 and provides good returns.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
This script also works well on SOL (45m timeframe), BNB (1h timeframe), and ETH (1h timeframe).