Market Flow Volatility Oscillator (AiBitcoinTrend)The Market Flow Volatility Oscillator (AiBitcoinTrend) is a cutting-edge technical analysis tool designed to evaluate and classify market volatility regimes. By leveraging Gaussian filtering and clustering techniques, this indicator provides traders with clear insights into periods of high and low volatility, helping them adapt their strategies to evolving market conditions. Built for precision and clarity, it combines advanced mathematical models with intuitive visual feedback to identify trends and volatility shifts effectively.
👽 How the Indicator Works
👾 Volatility Classification with Gaussian Filtering
The indicator detects volatility levels by applying Gaussian filters to the price series. Gaussian filters smooth out noise while preserving significant price movements. Traders can adjust the smoothing levels using sigma parameters, enabling greater flexibility:
Low Sigma: Emphasizes short-term volatility.
High Sigma: Captures broader trends with reduced sensitivity to small fluctuations.
👾 Clustering Algorithm for Regime Detection
The core of this indicator is its clustering model, which classifies market conditions into two distinct regimes:
Low Volatility Regime: Calm periods with reduced market activity.
High Volatility Regime: Intense periods with heightened price movements.
The clustering process works as follows:
A rolling window of data is analyzed to calculate the standard deviation of price returns.
Two cluster centers are initialized using the 25th and 75th percentiles of the data distribution.
Each price volatility value is assigned to the nearest cluster based on its distance to the centers.
The cluster centers are refined iteratively, providing an accurate and adaptive classification.
👾 Oscillator Generation with Slope R-Values
The indicator computes Gaussian filter slopes to generate oscillators that visualize trends:
Oscillator Low: Captures low-frequency market behavior.
Oscillator High: Tracks high-frequency, faster-changing trends.
The slope is measured using the R-value of the linear regression fit, scaled and adjusted for easier interpretation.
👽 Applications
👾 Trend Trading
When the oscillator rises above 0.5, it signals potential bullish momentum, while dips below 0.5 suggest bearish sentiment.
👾 Pullback Detection
When the oscillator peaks, especially in overbought or oversold zones, provide early warnings of potential reversals.
👽 Indicator Settings
👾 Oscillator Settings
Sigma Low/High: Controls the smoothness of the oscillators.
Smaller Values: React faster to price changes but introduce more noise.
Larger Values: Provide smoother signals with longer-term insights.
👾 Window Size and Refit Interval
Window Size: Defines the rolling period for cluster and volatility calculations.
Shorter windows: adapt faster to market changes.
Longer windows: produce stable, reliable classifications.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Volatilityoscillator
Adaptive Volatility-Scaled Oscillator [AVSO] (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Adaptive Volatility-Scaled Oscillator (AVSO) is a dynamic trading indicator that measures and visualizes volatility-adjusted market behavior. By scaling various metrics (such as volume, price changes, standard deviation, ATR, and Yang-Zhang volatility) and applying adaptive smoothing, AVSO helps traders identify market conditions where volatility deviates significantly from the norm.
This indicator uses standardized scaling (Z-Score logic) to highlight periods of abnormally high or low volatility relative to recent history. With gradient coloring and clear volatility zones, AVSO provides a visually intuitive way to analyze market volatility and adapt trading strategies accordingly.
█ How It Works
⚪ Scaling Metrics: The indicator scales user-selected metrics (e.g., volume, ATR, standard deviation) relative to the market and price, providing a standardized volatility measure.
⚪ Z-Score Standardization: The scaled metric is normalized using a Z-Score to measure how far current volatility deviates from its recent mean.
Positive Z-Score: Above-average volatility.
Negative Z-Score: Below-average volatility.
⚪ Adaptive Smoothing: An Adaptive EMA smooths the Z-Score, dynamically adjusting its length based on the strength of the volatility. Stronger deviations result in shorter smoothing, increasing responsiveness.
█ Unique Feature: Yang-Zhang Volatility
The Yang-Zhang volatility estimator sets this indicator apart by providing a more robust and accurate measure of volatility compared to traditional methods like ATR or standard deviation.
⚪ What Makes Yang-Zhang Volatility Unique?
Comprehensive Calculation: It combines overnight price gaps (log returns from the previous close to the current open) and intraday price movements (high, low, and close).
Accurate for Gapped Markets: Traditional volatility measures can misrepresent price movement when significant gaps occur between sessions. Yang-Zhang accounts for these gaps, making it highly reliable for assets prone to overnight price jumps, such as stocks, cryptocurrencies, and futures.
Adaptable to Real Market Conditions : By including both close-to-open returns and intraday volatility, it provides a balanced and adaptive measure that captures the full volatility picture.
⚪ Why This Matters to Traders
Better Volatility Insights: Yang-Zhang offers a clearer view of true market volatility, especially in markets with price gaps or uneven trading sessions.
Improved Trade Timing: By identifying volatility spikes and calm periods more effectively, traders can time their entries and exits with greater confidence.
█ How to Use
Identify High and Low Volatility
A high Z-Score (>2) indicates significant market volatility. This can signal momentum-driven moves, breakouts, or areas of increased risk.
A low Z-Score (<-2) suggests low volatility or a calm market environment. This often occurs before a potential breakout or reversal.
Trade Signals
High Volatility Zones (background highlight): Monitor for potential breakouts, trend continuations, or reversals.
Low Volatility Zones: Anticipate range-bound conditions or upcoming volatility spikes.
█ Settings
Source: Select the price source for scaling calculations (close, high, low, open).
Metric Measure: Choose the volatility measure:
Volume: Scales raw volume.
Close: Uses closing price changes.
Standard Deviation: Price dispersion.
ATR: Average True Range.
Yang: Yang-Zhang volatility estimate.
Bars to Analyze: Number of historical bars used to calculate the mean and standard deviation of the scaled metric.
ATR / Standard Deviation Period: Lookback period for ATR or Standard Deviation calculation.
Yang Volatility Period: Period for the Yang-Zhang volatility estimator.
Smoothing Period: Base smoothing length for the adaptive smoothing line.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Auto Fitting GARCH OscillatorOverview
The Auto Fitting GARCH Oscillator is a sophisticated volatility indicator that dynamically fits GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) models to the price data. It optimizes the parameters of the GARCH model to provide a reliable measure of volatility, which is then normalized to fit within a 0-100 range, making it easy to interpret as an oscillator. This indicator helps traders identify periods of high and low volatility, which can be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
Key Features
Dynamic GARCH(p, q) Fitting: Automatically optimizes the GARCH model parameters for the best fit.
Volatility Oscillator: Normalizes the volatility measure to a 0-100 range, indicating overbought and oversold conditions.
Customizable Timeframes: Adapts to various chart timeframes, from intraday to monthly data.
Projected Volatility: Provides options for projecting future volatility based on the optimized GARCH model.
User-friendly Visualization: Displays the oscillator with clear overbought and oversold levels.
Concepts Underlying the Calculations
The indicator leverages the GARCH model, which is widely used in financial time series analysis to model volatility clustering. The GARCH model considers past variances and returns to predict future volatility. This indicator dynamically adjusts the p and q parameters of the GARCH model within a specified range to find the optimal fit, minimizing the sum of squared errors (SSE).
How It Works
Data Preparation: Calculates the logarithmic returns and lagged variances from the price data.
SSE Optimization: Iterates through different p and q values to find the best GARCH parameters that minimize the SSE.
GARCH Calculation: Uses the optimized parameters to calculate the GARCH-based volatility.
Normalization: Normalizes the calculated volatility to a 0-100 range to form an oscillator.
Visualization: Plots the oscillator with overbought (70) and oversold (30) levels for easy interpretation.
How Traders Can Use It
Volatility Analysis: Identify periods of high and low volatility to adjust trading strategies accordingly.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Use the oscillator levels to identify potential reversal points in the market.
Risk Management: Incorporate volatility measures into risk management strategies to avoid trades during highly volatile periods.
Projection: Use the projected volatility feature to anticipate future market conditions.
Example Usage Instructions
Add the Indicator: Apply the "Auto Fitting GARCH Oscillator" to your chart from the Pine Script editor or TradingView library.
Customize Parameters: Adjust the maxP and maxQ values to set the range for GARCH model optimization.
Select Data Type: Choose between "Projected Variance in %" or "Projected Deviation in %" based on your analysis preference.
Set Projection Periods: Use the perForward input to specify how many periods forward you want to project the volatility.
Interpret the Oscillator: Observe the oscillator line and the overbought/oversold levels to make informed trading decisions.
Dynamic Price Oscillator (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Dynamic Price Oscillator (DPO) by Zeiierman is designed to gauge the momentum and volatility of asset prices in trading markets. By integrating elements of traditional oscillators with volatility adjustments and Bollinger Bands, the DPO offers a unique approach to understanding market dynamics. This indicator is particularly useful for identifying overbought and oversold conditions, capturing price trends, and detecting potential reversal points.
█ How It Works
The DPO operates by calculating the difference between the current closing price and a moving average of the closing price, adjusted for volatility using the True Range method. This difference is then smoothed over a user-defined period to create the oscillator. Additionally, Bollinger Bands are applied to the oscillator itself, providing visual cues for volatility and potential breakout signals.
█ How to Use
⚪ Trend Confirmation
The DPO can serve as a confirmation tool for existing trends. Traders might look for the oscillator to maintain above or below its mean line to confirm bullish or bearish trends, respectively. A consistent direction in the oscillator's movement alongside price trend can provide additional confidence in the strength and sustainability of the trend.
⚪ Overbought/Oversold Conditions
With the application of Bollinger Bands directly on the oscillator, the DPO can highlight overbought or oversold conditions in a unique manner. When the oscillator moves outside the Bollinger Bands, it signifies an extreme condition.
⚪ Volatility Breakouts
The width of the Bollinger Bands on the oscillator reflects market volatility. Sudden expansions in the bands can indicate a breakout from a consolidation phase, which traders can use to enter trades in the direction of the breakout. Conversely, a contraction suggests a quieter market, which might be a signal for traders to wait or to look for range-bound strategies.
⚪ Momentum Trading
Momentum traders can use the DPO to spot moments when the market momentum is picking up. A sharp move of the oscillator towards either direction, especially when crossing the Bollinger Bands, can indicate the start of a strong price movement.
⚪ Mean Reversion
The DPO is also useful for mean reversion strategies, especially considering its volatility adjustment feature. When the oscillator touches or breaches the Bollinger Bands, it indicates a deviation from the normal price range. Traders might look for opportunities to enter trades anticipating a reversion to the mean.
⚪ Divergence Trading
Divergences between the oscillator and price action can be a powerful signal for reversals. For instance, if the price makes a new high but the oscillator fails to make a corresponding high, it may indicate weakening momentum and a potential reversal. Traders can use these divergence signals to initiate counter-trend moves.
█ Settings
Length: Determines the lookback period for the oscillator and Bollinger Bands calculation. Increasing this value smooths the oscillator and widens the Bollinger Bands, leading to fewer, more significant signals. Decreasing this value makes the oscillator more sensitive to recent price changes, offering more frequent signals but with increased noise.
Smoothing Factor: Adjusts the degree of smoothing applied to the oscillator's calculation. A higher smoothing factor reduces noise, offering clearer trend identification at the cost of signal timeliness. Conversely, a lower smoothing factor increases the oscillator's responsiveness to price movements, which may be useful for short-term trading but at the risk of false signals.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Williams Vix Fix ultra complete indicator (Tartigradia)Williams VixFix is a realized volatility indicator developed by Larry Williams, and can help in finding market bottoms.
Indeed, as Williams describe in his paper, markets tend to find the lowest prices during times of highest volatility, which usually accompany times of highest fear. The VixFix is calculated as how much the current low price statistically deviates from the maximum within a given look-back period.
Although the VixFix originally only indicates market bottoms, its inverse may indicate market tops. As masa_crypto writes : "The inverse can be formulated by considering "how much the current high value statistically deviates from the minimum within a given look-back period." This transformation equates Vix_Fix_inverse. This indicator can be used for finding market tops, and therefore, is a good signal for a timing for taking a short position." However, in practice, the Inverse VixFix is much less reliable than the classical VixFix, but is nevertheless a good addition to get some additional context.
For more information on the Vix Fix, which is a strategy published under public domain:
* The VIX Fix, Larry Williams, Active Trader magazine, December 2007, web.archive.org
* Fixing the VIX: An Indicator to Beat Fear, Amber Hestla-Barnhart, Journal of Technical Analysis, March 13, 2015, ssrn.com
* Replicating the CBOE VIX using a synthetic volatility index trading algorithm, Dayne Cary and Gary van Vuuren, Cogent Economics & Finance, Volume 7, 2019, Issue 1, doi.org
Created By ChrisMoody on 12-26-2014...
V3 MAJOR Update on 1-05-2014
tista merged LazyBear's Black Dots filter in 2020:
Extended by Tartigradia in 10-2022:
* Can select a symbol different from current to calculate vixfix, allows to select SP:SPX to mimic the original VIX index.
* Inverse VixFix (from masa_crypto and web.archive.org)
* VixFix OHLC Bars plot
* Price / VixFix Candles plot (Pro Tip: draw trend lines to find good entry/exit points)
* Add ADX filtering, Minimaxis signals, Minimaxis filtering (from samgozman )
* Convert to pinescript v5
* Allow timeframe selection (MTF)
* Skip off days (more accurate reproduction of original VIX)
* Reorganized, cleaned up code, commented out parts, commented out or removed unused code (eg, some of the KC calculations)
* Changed default Bollinger Band settings to reduce false positives in crypto markets.
Set Index symbol to SPX, and index_current = false, and timeframe Weekly, to reproduce the original VIX as close as possible by the VIXFIX (use the Add Symbol option, because you want to plot CBOE:VIX on the same timeframe as the current chart, which may include extended session / weekends). With the Weekly timeframe, off days / extended session days should not change much, but with lower timeframes this is important, because nights and weekends can change how the graph appears and seemingly make them different because of timing misalignment when in reality they are not when properly aligned.
Adaptive Jurik Filter Volatility Oscillator [Loxx]Adaptive Jurik Filter Volatility Oscillator uses Jurik Volty and Adaptive Double Jurik Filter Moving Average (AJFMA) to derive Jurik Filter smoothed volatility.
What is Jurik Volty?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
That's why investors, banks and institutions worldwide ask for the Jurik Research Moving Average ( JMA ). You may apply it just as you would any other popular moving average. However, JMA's improved timing and smoothness will astound you.
What is adaptive Jurik volatility?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average ( KAMA ) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average ( VIDYA ) adapt to changes in volatility . By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic , relative strength index ( RSI ), commodity channel index ( CCI ), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator. This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
Included
- UI options to color bars
Boom Hunter + Hull Suite + Volatility Oscillator StrategyTRADE CONDITIONS
Long entry:
Boom Hunter (leading indicator): Trigger line crosses over Quotient 2 line (white cross over red)
Hull Suite (trend confirmation): Price closed above hull suite line and hull suite is green (represented by horizontal line at -10 in strategy pane)
Volatility Oscillator (volatility confirmation): Volatility spike trigger line is above upper band (represented by horizontal line at -30 in strategy pane)
Short entry:
Boom Hunter (leading indicator): Trigger line crosses under Quotient 2 line (white cross under red)
Hull Suite (trend confirmation): Price closed below hull suite line and hull suite is red (represented by horizontal line at -10 in strategy pane)
Volatility Oscillator (volatility confirmation): Volatility spike trigger line is below lower band (represented by horizontal line at -30 in strategy pane)
Risk management:
Each trade risks 3% of account (configurable in settings)
SL size determined by swing low/high of previous X candles (configurable in settings) or 1 ATR if swing is less than 1 ATR
TP is calculated by Risk:Reward ratio (configurable in settings)
TIPS
Timeframe: I have found good results running on BTC/USDT 5M chart
Note: To help visual identification of trade entries and exits you may wish to add the Hull Suite and Volatility Oscillator to the chart separately. It was not possible to display them in a clear way within a single panel for the strategy. Make sure you set the settings of the auxiliary indicators to match what is in the settings of this indicator if you do decide to add them.
CREDITS
Boom Hunter Pro by veryfid
Hull Suite by InSilico
Volatility Oscillator by veryfid
