Portfolio and Risk Management: Gold Based Net Growth CoefficientHello, if our topic is stocks, whatever signal we get, we have to divide and reduce the risk.
Apart from the risk, we need inflation-free figures to detect a clear growth.
Gold is one of the most successful tools to beat inflation in this regard in the historical context.
When the economy is good, we have to beat both commodities and inflation.
For this purpose, I found it appropriate to develop a net growth factor free from gold growth.
Investors need several stocks with a high growth rate and as much risk-free as possible.
Personally, I think that the science of portfolio and risk management will last a lifetime and should continue.
I think this subject is a research and development subject.(R & D)
My research and publications on this matter will continue publicly.
I wish everyone a good day.
NOTE : You can determine the return in the time period you want to look back by adjusting the period in the rate you want from the menu.
The standard value is 200 days. (1 year)
หุ้น
Price CorrelationsThis indicator shows price correlations of your current chart to various well-known indices.
Values above 0 mean a positive correlation, below 0 a negative correlation (not correlated).
It works well with daily candle charts and above, but you may also try it on 1h candles.
The default indices:
- Gold
- S&p 500
- Mini Dow Jones
- Dow Jones
- Russel 2000
- Nasdaq 100
- Crude Oil
- Nikkei 225 (Japan)
- FTSE 100 (UK)
- Silver
- DAX Futures (DE)
You can change the defaults to compare prices with other indices or stocks.
VIX MonitorSimple VIX Monitor to track spikes.
Spikes in VIX are often followed by big moves up in stocks.
Useful when paired with "Correlation & Beta" Indicator.
For Bitcoin Traders: when Bitcoin is highly correlated to Stocks (such as now) it could be a good opportunity for a short-term long trade.
Yield Curve Inversion MonitorIdentifies when the US Treasury Yield Curve inverts (2 and 10 year bond rates).
When they ‘invert’ long-term bonds have a lower interest rate than short-term bonds. In other words, the bond market is pricing in a significant drop in future interest rates (which might be caused by the US Fed fighting off a recession in the future).
In the last 50 years, every time the US treasury yield curve inverted a recession followed within 3 years. On average the S&P500 gained 19.1% following the inversion and peaked 13 months later. In other words, as far as investors are concerned, the recession began roughly one year later.
However, once the market peaks, it then drops 37.6% on average, wiping out all those gains and more.
...Looks like 2020 is shaping up to be another prime example.
Gold-Stocks RatioA historic risk-off flag.
When the Gold-Stocks Ratio is above the 200 week moving average, investors may fair better holding gold and avoiding equities, as was the case for the last 20 years.
Double TRIX CrossoverTRIX is a great indicator to use on zero cross setups.... know what's even better? TRIX CROSS setups!!!
Faster in-and-out on trends, safer entry and exit signals in chop or consolidation. Base setup is 6 & 8 TRIX for longer time frames such as 4hr or 8hr; ideal or FX, Crypto, or volatile instruments. I haven't experimented with using this on lower time charts and adjusting the trix settings; if you do, drop a comment.
[e2] EDS Key & AvwapThis indicator shows a Key Level Support & Resistance level and VWAP that resets on your choice of the stock's Earnings , Dividends or Splits release date.
A maximum of 8 bands calculated using a factor of the anchored VWAP's standard deviation can be displayed.
Note
The script is designed for stock-trading only.
Credits
Inspired by timwest , LazyBear 's Earnings S/R Levels and MichelT 's Earnings, Splits, Dividends scripts.
BEST Supertrend CCIHello traders
Today I present you a Supertrend not based on candle close but based on a CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
How does it work?
Bull event: CCI crossing over the 0 line
Bear event: CCI crossing below the 0 line
When the event is triggered, the script will plot the Supertrend as follow
UP Trend = High + ATR * Factor
DOWN Trend = Low - ATR * Factor
This is an alternative of the classical Supertrend based on candle close being above/beyond the previous Supertrend level.
Hope you'll enjoy it and it will improve your trading making you a better trader
Dave
Candlesticks ANN for Stock Markets TF : 1WHello, this script consists of training candlesticks with Artificial Neural Networks (ANN).
In addition to the first series, candlesticks' bodies and wicks were also introduced as training inputs.
The inputs are individually trained to find the relationship between the subsequent historical value of all candlestick values 1.(High,Low,Close,Open)
The outputs are adapted to the current values with a simple forecast code.
Once the OHLC value is found, the exponential moving averages of 5 and 20 periods are used.
Reminder : OHLC = (Open + High + Close + Low ) / 4
First version :
Script is designed for S&P 500 Indices,Funds,ETFs, especially S&P 500 Stocks,and for all liquid Stocks all around the World.
NOTE: This script is only suitable for 1W time-frame for Stocks.
The average training error rates are less than 5 per thousand for each candlestick variable. (Average Error < 0.005 )
I've just finished it and haven't tested it in detail.
So let's use it carefully as a supporter.
Best regards !
Trendy Bar Trend ColorTrendy Bar Trend Color
Inspired by trend candlestick charts on other trading platforms. Changes bar colors to stay in trend much like Heikin Ashi candles without the ATR price distortion. This is done by comparing the HL2 and/or Open-Close values of current candlestick to the prior candlestick.
ZoneBand (@Mido_yuiya)Bollinger band is converted to EMA , and support and resistance bands are made into regions
[LunaOwl] 樂活投資：價格通道 (LOHAS Investor - PriceChannel)- Introduction -
Price channel is an ancient strategy, which is very convenient for office workers. since most people no time do it.
so they are suitable for simple strategies. There are several conditions to become a "LOHAS Investor" -
價格通道是很老的投資策略，對於肯做功課的上班族來說非常方便，而且多數人沒時間操作。
如果要當「樂活投資人」有幾點條件：
1) set moderate ROI expectations.
- 設定溫和的投資報酬率期望。
2) use appropriate stock selection methods to build portfolios and reduce single error rates.
- 使用適當的選股方式建立投資組合，減少單一股票失誤率。
3) simple trade strategy, executed regularly.
- 使用簡單的策略規律執行。
4) wealth accumulates over time and learns every day.
- 財富依靠時間積累，每天勤學新知。
Rolling Moving Average, SMA/EMA, for IPO stocksThe script replicates the standard EMA/SMA used by tradingview, but also adds an estimate for the first X periods, where X is the length of the moving average. This allows for an estimate of support resistance in IPO stocks, when fewer date is available
InfoPanel - SeasonalityThis panel will show which is the best month to buy a stock, index or ETF or even a cryptocurrency in the past 5 years.
Script to use only with MONTHLY timeframe.
Thanks to: RicardoSantos for his hard work.
Please use comment section for any feedback.
Mega Trend Plus - S&P 500 Trend Follower / Market GaugeFirstly, 100% of the credit goes to Greg Morris @ Stockcharts.com for the article detailing the concept and most of the settings/components. I've simply implemented his idea. I haven't sought permission from him, but given that he was open with the components of the indicator I'm assuming he's happy for me to go ahead and code this in pinescript. See the article here: stockcharts.com
Okay, so this is part of a system/indicator Greg outlined in the article that he calls Trend Gauge. The idea is fairly simple: take a group of indexes that cover the breadth of the market you want to trade, track their relationship/position to their 200 period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and assign scores to bull/bear crosses + relative location to the EMA. Once you've normalized and aggregated the scores you finish up with a trend following indicator that works surprisingly well.
This part is called Mega Trend Plus, and tracks whether an index is above or below its 200 period EMA. I'll be releasing the second part ("Trend Strength") soon. Once that's done I'll combine them to form the full "Trend Gauge" indicator.
I decided to provide the base version that people can then experiment with and tweak to their liking, so Greg's version shown in the article is smoother than the one provided here. It's up to you to play with smoothing options, and potentially tweak the weightings of the various components. Please see the script for info on what the various inputs are - I've added notes there.
So, how does it do? Well, as you can see from the chart above it works pretty well overall. The S&P 500 has been fairly trendy over the last few decades, so it's been prime territory for a system like this. It would have kept you out of the big bear markets (particularly GFC & 2015-16), and that's the goal of any trend-based system. They thrive on how little they lose, not necessarily on how much they make.
As you can see, the indicator is pretty choppy. So it's not designed (in the current configuration) to provide accurate buy/hold/sell signals. It currently functions more as a market gauge / strength indicator.
Hopefully you find this concept interesting. It's simple, but the best systems often are.
Please add comments below if you come up with an interesting configuration or variation.
Let me know if you have any queries.
DD
Stocks and RSI (IFR e Estocagem)A simple script that promotes a good visualization of the oscillators.
It shows a graph with two plots, one of relative strength index and one of stock, painting the red line when overbought and green when oversold.
Um script simples mas que promove uma boa visualização dos osciladores.
Mostra um gráfico com duas plotagens, uma do índice de força relativa e outra de estocagem, pintando a linha de vermelho quando está sobrecomprado e de verde quando sobrevendido.
Volatile Stocks - Simple Strategy w/Profit and StopThis strategy is based off of a script I wrote for another highly volatile asset, cryptocurrencies. It prints BUY and SELL signals based off of inputs that you can specify. I used this script as a time saver. If there is no signal on the chart, I'm less interested in analyzing it.
BUY SIGNALS
Bullish EMA Cross
Positive MACD Cross
Single-candle gains
SELL SIGNALS
Profit %
Stop Loss %
Naturally, I don't trade based off of the BUY and SELL signals alone, but it does help me identify the most important charts to look at.
UVTrader StratejiIf you see "AL", you can buy.
If you see "SAT", you can sell.
You can use all charts, but 4H and 1D charts are very well.
U.S. Stocks & Options CVI to Bitcoin Correlation [NeoButane]Conceptual indicator based on trying to find an inverse correlation between bitcoin and traditional markets due to bitcoin's usefulness as a hedge against economic downturns.
How to use this script: you look at it and see if there is a correlation or not between bitcoin/Ethereum price and either U.S. stock CVi, buy volume, sell volume, calls, puts, or the call/put ratio.
U.S. Stocks CVD to Bitcoin Price Correlation [NeoButane]An experimental script to see if there are any actionable signals when comparing bitcoin/ethereum/index prices to the U.S. stock and options market.
So far I haven't found a reliable signal, but the tickers are in the script if you'd like to see if there is anything useful.
Three Bars Down and Inside Bar v2Updated Version of my Script. Script includes a Filter for stocks that are down three days in a row. Also it checks for oversold rsi and inside bars. Works best daily with stocks.
