BTC 5M Scalper: 3EMA Reversal v1.6 Lite by AIOBest Timeframe: 5 minutes!!
Optimal Asset: BTC/USDT (Bitcoin)
Stop Placement: Below the signal candle's low (for long) / Above the signal candle's high (for short)
Risk/Reward: Minimum 1:2 ratio recommended
Description:
This 3EMA Reversal strategy identifies trend continuation signals using:
Fast EMA (20) and Slow EMA (50) crossover
Volume confirmation (above 20-period average)
Engulfing candle pattern
Built-in stop loss and take profit levels
Usage Instructions:
Apply to BTC/USDT 5-minute chart
Enter long when green triangle appears (stop below signal candle)
Enter short when red triangle appears (stop above signal candle)
TP levels are automatically calculated based on your RR setting
Pro Tip: Combine with 1-hour trend analysis for better results. The strategy works best in trending markets with above-average volume.
ค้นหาในสคริปต์สำหรับ "黄金近20年走势"
Patrón Mecha ProfundaThis pattern must be combined with a 20-period moving average. It is used to know the direction of the price. When the pattern appears and the price is above the 20-period moving average, it is a bullish signal and vice versa.
Patrón Mecha Profunda
This pattern must be combined with a 20-period moving average. It is used to know the direction of the price. When the pattern appears and the price is above the 20-period moving average, it is a bullish signal and vice versa.
ombs- PONY Breakout Alert
🧠 תקציר הסקריפט: **PONY Breakout Alert 📈
🔍 **מטרה**:
לזהות **פריצה מעלה של רמת 14.15** תוך כדי **מחזור מסחר גבוה מהממוצע**, כדי לאתר **הזדמנות מסחר שורית**.
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⚙️ רכיבי הסקריפט:
* 📌 **רמת כניסה**:
`entryLevel = 14.15`
* 📊 **תנאי כניסה**:
* סגירת מחיר **מעל 14.15**
* נפח מסחר **גבוה ב־20% מהממוצע ל־20 הימים האחרונים**
* 🔔 **התראה ויזואלית**:
* סמל ירוק "Entry" מופיע מתחת לנר על הגרף
* קווים קבועים לרמות יעד וסטופלוס
* 🎯 **יעדי רווח**:
* Target 1 – 15.15
* Target 2 – 16.00
* Target 3 – 17.00
* 🛑 **סטופלוס**:
* שמרני: 13.20
* אגרסיבי: 12.80
* 🔔 **התראה אוטומטית** (`alertcondition`):
תשלח הודעה:
*"PONY פרצה מעל 14.15 עם מחזור גבוה – שקול כניסה לעסקה."*
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📝 מתאים עבור:
* סוחרי ניתוח טכני 🧮
* מי שמחפש כניסה מבוססת על פריצה + נפח 📊
* שימוש על גרף יומי בלבד 📅
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🧠 Script Summary: PONY Breakout Alert 📈
🔍 Objective:
Detect a breakout above the 14.15 level accompanied by high trading volume, in order to identify a bullish trading opportunity.
⚙️ Script Components:
📌 Entry Level:
entryLevel = 14.15
📊 Entry Conditions:
Price closes above 14.15
Volume is 20% higher than the 20-day average
🔔 Visual Alert:
A green "Entry" label appears below the bar on the chart
Static horizontal lines mark targets and stop-loss levels
🎯 Profit Targets:
Target 1 – 15.15
Target 2 – 16.00
Target 3 – 17.00
🛑 Stop Loss:
Conservative: 13.20
Aggressive: 12.80
🔔 Automated Alert (alertcondition):
Sends a message:
"PONY has broken above 14.15 with high volume – consider a long position."
📝 Ideal For:
Technical traders 🧮
Those seeking breakouts confirmed by volume 📊
Daily chart setups only 📅
MA Crossover Detector
The Moving Average Crossover Detector is a custom indicator that visually shows buy and sell signals clearly on the chart. based on the crossing of two moving averages — a popular and beginner-friendly tool in technical analysis.
It plots two moving averages — One fast (short period) and one slow (long period) — and highlights crossover points:
✅ Buy Signal (Golden Cross) – When the fast MA crosses above the slow MA.
❌ Sell Signal (Death Cross) – When the fast MA crosses below the slow MA.
✅ Features
Visual: Clearly shows crossovers on the chart.
Customizable: Choose periods, types, styles, etc.
Alert-ready: You can set alerts for crossovers.
The Moving Average (MA) Crossover Strategy is one of the simplest and most widely used strategies in technical analysis for trading stocks, forex, crypto, and other markets. It relies on the interaction between two moving averages to generate buy and sell signals.
Core Components
Short-Term Moving Average (Fast MA) : Reacts quickly to price changes (e.g., 9-period or 20-period).
Long-Term Moving Average (Slow MA) : Reacts more slowly to price changes (e.g., 21-period or 200-period).
How the Strategy Works
Bullish Crossover (Golden Cross):
Occurs when the fast MA crosses above the slow MA. Interpreted as a buy signal, indicating a potential uptrend.
Bearish Crossover (Death Cross):
Occurs when the fast MA crosses below the slow MA. Interpreted as a sell signal, indicating a potential downtrend.
Common Variants
Short-term trading
9 EMA
21 EMA
Swing trading
20 SMA
50 SMA
Long-term investing
50 SMA
200 SMA
Pros
Easy to understand and implement
Works well in trending markets
Can be automated for backtesting and execution
Cons
Lagging indicator: MAs are based on past prices, so signals come after the move has started.
Choppy markets = whipsaws: Generates false signals in sideways/range-bound conditions.
May underperform in volatile or mean-reverting environments
Tips for Improvement
Use confirmation tools : e.g., RSI, MACD, volume analysis, price action
Add filters : Trend filter (ADX), volatility filter (ATR), or time filter (session-based)
Combine with price structure : Support/resistance, breakouts, pullbacks
4H Bollinger Breakout StrategyThis strategy leverages Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour timeframe for long and short trades in trending or ranging markets. Entries trigger on BB breakouts with optional filters for volume, trend, and RSI. Exits occur on opposite BB crosses. Customizable for long-only, short-only, or indicator mode via code comments. Supports forex, stocks, or crypto with full equity allocation and 0.1% commission.
Length (Default: 20): Period for BB basis and std dev; shorter for sensitivity, longer for smoothing.
Basis MA Type (Default: SMA): Selects MA for middle band (SMA, EMA, etc.); EMA for faster response.
Source (Default: Close): Price input for calculations; use close for standard accuracy.
StdDev Multiplier (Default: 1.8): Band width control; higher for fewer signals, lower for more.
Offset (Default: 0): Shifts BB plots; typically unchanged.
Use Filters (Default: True): Applies volume, trend, RSI checks to filter signals.
Volume MA Length (Default: 20): For volume filter (long: >105% avg, short: >120%).
Trend MA Length (Default: 80): SMA for trend filter (long: above MA, short: below).
RSI Length (Default: 14): For short filter (entry if RSI <85).
Use Long/Short Signals (Defaults: True): Toggles directions; long entry on lower BB crossover, short on upper crossunder.
Visuals: BB plots (blue basis, red upper, green lower), orange trend MA, filled background.
Labels/Alerts: Green/red for long entry/exit, yellow/purple for short; alert conditions included.
BUY in HASH RibbonsHash Ribbons Indicator (BUY Signal)
A TradingView Pine Script v6 implementation for identifying Bitcoin miner capitulation (“Springs”) and recovery phases based on hash rate data. It marks potential low-risk buying opportunities by tracking short- and long-term moving averages of the network hash rate.
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Key Features
• Hash Rate SMAs
• Short-term SMA (default: 30 days)
• Long-term SMA (default: 60 days)
• Phase Markers
• Gray circle: Short SMA crosses below long SMA (start of capitulation)
• White circles: Ongoing capitulation, with brighter white when the short SMA turns upward
• Yellow circle: Short SMA crosses back above long SMA (end of capitulation)
• Orange circle: Buy signal once hash rate recovery aligns with bullish price momentum (10-day price SMA crosses above 20-day price SMA)
• Display Modes
• Ribbons: Plots the two SMAs as colored bands—red for capitulation, green for recovery
• Oscillator: Shows the percentage difference between SMAs as a histogram (red for negative, blue for positive)
• Optional Overlays
• Bitcoin halving dates (2012, 2016, 2020, 2024) with dashed lines and labels
• Raw hash rate data in EH/s
• Alerts
• Configurable alerts for capitulation start, recovery, and buy signals
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How It Works
1. Data Source: Fetches daily hash rate values from a selected provider (e.g., IntoTheBlock, Quandl).
2. Capitulation Detection: When the 30-day SMA falls below the 60-day SMA, miners are likely capitulating.
3. Recovery Identification: A rising 30-day SMA during capitulation signals miner recovery.
4. Buy Signal: Confirmed when the hash rate recovery coincides with a bullish shift in price momentum (10-day price SMA > 20-day price SMA).
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Inputs
Hash Rate Short SMA: 30 days
Hash Rate Long SMA: 60 days
Plot Signals: On
Plot Halvings: Off
Plot Raw Hash Rate: Off
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Considerations
• Timeframe: Best applied on daily charts to capture meaningful miner behavior.
• Data Reliability: Ensure the chosen hash rate source provides consistent, gap-free data.
• Risk Management: Use alongside other technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and fundamental analysis.
• Backtesting: Evaluate performance over different market cycles before live deployment.
Smart Volatility Squeeze + Trend Filter📌 Purpose
This indicator detects volatility squeeze conditions when Bollinger Bands contract inside Keltner Channels and signals potential breakout opportunities.
It also includes an optional EMA-based trend filter to align signals with the dominant market direction.
🧠 How It Works
1. Squeeze Condition
Bollinger Bands (BB): Length = 20, StdDev = 2.0 (default)
Keltner Channels (KC): EMA Length = 20, ATR Multiplier = 1.5 (default)
Squeeze ON: Occurs when BB Upper < KC Upper and BB Lower > KC Lower (low volatility zone).
2. Breakout Signals
Long Breakout: Price crosses above BB Upper after squeeze.
Short Breakout: Price crosses below BB Lower after squeeze.
3. Trend Filter (optional)
EMA(50) used to confirm breakout direction:
Long signals allowed only if price > EMA(50)
Short signals allowed only if price < EMA(50)
Toggle Use Trend Filter to enable/disable.
4. Visual & Alerts
Green circle at chart bottom indicates Squeeze ON.
Green/Red triangles mark breakouts.
Background gradually brightens during squeeze buildup.
Alerts available for long and short breakouts.
📈 How to Use
Look for Squeeze ON → then wait for breakout arrows.
Trade in breakout direction, preferably with trend filter ON.
Works best on higher timeframes (1h, 4h, D) and trending markets.
Markets: Crypto, Forex, Stocks — effective in volatile assets.
⚙️ Inputs
BB Length / StdDev
KC EMA Length / ATR Multiplier
Use Trend Filter
Trend EMA Length
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
Always test thoroughly before live trading.
Price Exhaustion Envelope [BackQuant]Price Exhaustion Envelope
Visual preview of the bands:
What it is
The Price Exhaustion Envelope (PEE) is a multi‑factor overextension detector wrapped inside a dynamic envelope framework. It measures how “tired” a move is by blending price stretch, volume surges, momentum and acceleration, plus optional RSI divergence. The result is a composite exhaustion score that drives both on‑chart signals and the adaptive width of three optional envelope bands around a smoothed baseline. When the score spikes above or below your chosen threshold, the script can flag exhaustion, paint candles, tint the background and fire alerts.
How it works under the hood
Exhaustion score
Price component: distance of close from its mean in standard deviation units.
Volume component: normalized volume pressure that highlights unusual participation.
Momentum component: rate of change and acceleration of price, scaled by their own volatility.
RSI divergence (optional): bullish and bearish divergences gently push the score lower or higher.
Mode control: choose Price, Volume, Momentum or Composite. Composite averages the main pieces for a balanced view.
Energy scale (0 to 100)
The composite score is pushed through a logistic transform to create an “energy” value. High energy (above 70 to 80) signals a move that may be running hot, while very low energy (below 20 to 30) points to exhaustion on the downside.
Envelope engine
Baseline: EMA of price over the main lookback length.
Width: base width is standard deviation times a multiplier.
Type selector:
• Static keeps the width fixed.
• Dynamic expands width in proportion to the absolute exhaustion score.
• Adaptive links width to the energy reading so bands breathe with market “heat.”
Smoothing: a short EMA on the width reduces jitter and keeps bands pleasant to trade around.
Band architecture
You can toggle up to three symmetric bands on each side of the baseline. They default to 1.0, 1.6 and 2.2 multiples of the smoothed width. Soft transparent fills create a layered thermograph of extension. The outermost band often maps to true blow‑off extremes.
On‑chart elements
Baseline line that flips color in real time depending on where price sits.
Up to three upper and lower bands with progressive opacity.
Triangle markers at fresh exhaustion triggers.
Tiny warning glyphs at extreme upper or lower breaches.
Optional bar coloring to visually tag exhausted candles.
Background halo when energy > 80 or < 20 for instant context.
A compact info table showing State, Score, Energy, Momentum score and where price sits inside the envelope (percent).
How to use it in trading
Mean reversion plays
When price pierces the outer band and an exhaustion marker prints, look for reversal candles or lower‑timeframe confirmation to fade the move back toward the baseline.
For conservative entries, wait for the composite score to roll back under the threshold or for energy to drop from extreme to neutral.
Set stops just beyond the extreme levels (use extreme_upper and extreme_lower as natural invalidation points). Targets can be the baseline or the opposite inner band.
Trend continuation with smart pullbacks
In strong trends, the first tag of Band 1 or Band 2 against the dominant direction often offers low‑risk continuation entries. Use energy readings: if energy is low on a pullback during an uptrend, a bounce is more likely.
Combine with RSI divergence: hidden bullish divergence near a lower band in an uptrend can be a powerful confirmation.
Breakout filtering
A breakout that occurs while the composite score is still moderate (not exhausted) has a higher chance of follow‑through. Skip signals when energy is already above 80 and price is punching the outer band, as the move may be late.
Watch env_position (Envelope %) in the table. Breakouts near 40 to 60 percent of the envelope are “healthy,” while those at 95 percent are stretched.
Scaling out and risk control
Use exhaustion alerts to trim positions into strength or weakness.
Trail stops just outside Band 2 or Band 3 to stay in trends while letting the envelope expand in volatile phases.
Multi‑timeframe confluence
Run the script on a higher timeframe to locate exhaustion context, then drill down to a lower timeframe for entries.
Opposite signals across timeframes (daily exhaustion vs. 5‑minute breakout) warn you to reduce size or tighten management.
Key inputs to experiment with
Lookback Period: larger values smooth the score and envelope, ideal for swing trading. Shorter values make it reactive for scalps.
Exhaustion Threshold: raise above 2.0 in choppy assets to cut noise, drop to 1.5 for smooth FX pairs.
Envelope Type: Dynamic is great for crypto spikes, Adaptive shines in stocks where volume and volatility wave together.
RSI Divergence: turn off if you prefer a pure price/volume model or if divergence floods the score in your asset.
Alert set included
Fresh upper exhaustion
Fresh lower exhaustion
Extreme upper breach
Extreme lower breach
RSI bearish divergence
RSI bullish divergence
Hook these to TradingView notifications so you get pinged the moment a move hits exhaustion.
Best practices
Always pair exhaustion signals with structure. Support and resistance, liquidity pools and session opens matter.
Avoid blindly shorting every upper signal in a roaring bull market. Let the envelope type help you filter.
Use the table to sanity‑check: a very high score but mid‑range env_position means the band may still be wide enough to absorb more movement.
Backtest threshold combinations on your instrument. Different tickers carry different volatility fingerprints.
Final note
Price Exhaustion Envelope is a flexible framework, not a turnkey system. It excels as a context layer that tells you when the crowd is pressing too hard or when a move still has fuel. Combine it with sound execution tactics, risk limits and market awareness. Trade safe and let the envelope breathe with the market.
Current Hourly Open Liquidity with Sweep DetectionStatistics indicate that if the current hourly candle reaches the high or low of the previous hourly candle, there is a strong likelihood that the price will return to the current hour's open, depending on how quickly the previous hour's high or low was swept. If the sweep occurs within the first 20 minutes, there is a 75% chance the current hour's open will be reached; if it takes between 21 and 40 minutes, the probability decreases to 50%; and if it takes longer than 41 minutes, the chance drops to 25%.
These statistics can help identify manipulation on the hourly timeframe and guide trade decisions accordingly. For instance, if the previous hourly high is taken within the first 20 minutes but the current hour's open is not reached, it may be wise to avoid long positions until it happens or consider short positions in the direction of the open liquidity, using your existing entry rules and risk management.
The indicator highlights the current hour's open with a line and label to visually represent that liquidity pool, adjusting the line's color based on whether and when the previous hour's high or low was tapped. Once the open is reached, the indicator can, depending on settings, remove the line and label from the chart (this is enabled by default) since the liquidity pool is no longer relevant, preventing chart clutter.
All colors, line widths, label text sizes, and colors can be customized.
Momentum Reversal StrategyBEST USE IN 15MIN TIME FRAME EURUSD / XAUSUD
1. Strategy Overview
This strategy hunts short-term momentum reversals at key levels during high-liquidity sessions.
Timeframes: 5-minute for entries; 15-minute for trend context
Sessions: London for EUR/USD & GBP/USD; New York for XAU/USD
Pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, XAU/USD
Indicators (3 max):
EMA(20) and EMA(50) (close)
MACD (12, 26, 9) histogram
Optional: RSI(14) (for divergence filter)
2. Entry Rules
Trend Filter (15 min):
Long only if EMA20 > EMA50; short only if EMA20 < EMA50.
Price-Action Zone (5 min):
Identify recent swing high/low within past 20 bars.
Draw horizontal support (for longs) or resistance (for shorts).
Indicator Alignment (5 min):
MACD histogram crossing from negative to positive for longs, positive to negative for shorts.
Candle close beyond EMA20 in direction of trade.
Candle Confirmation:
Bullish engulfing or hammer at support for longs; bearish engulfing or shooting star at resistance for shorts.
Entry Execution:
Place market order on candle close that meets all above.
3. Exit Rules
Stop-Loss (SL):
Long: 1.5× ATR(14) below entry candle low.
Short: 1.5× ATR(14) above entry candle high.
Take-Profit (TP):
Set at 2× SL distance (RR 1:2).
Trailing SL:
After price moves 1× SL in profit, trail SL to breakeven.
Partial Booking:
Close 50% at 1× SL (50% of TP), move SL to entry.
Close remaining at full TP.
4. Trade Management
False Signal Filter: Skip trades when RSI(14) > 70 for longs or < 30 for shorts (avoids overbought/oversold extremes).
One Trade at a Time: No multiple positions on same pair.
Session Cutoff: Close any open trade 15 minutes before session end.
5. Risk Parameters
Risk per Trade: 1% of account equity.
Reward Target: ≥2% (1:2 RR) per trade.
Win-Rate Expectancy: ≥75% based on indicator confluence and price-action confirmation.
WT + Stoch RSI Reversal Combo📊MR.Z RSI : WT + Stochastic RSI Reversal Combo
This custom indicator combines WaveTrend oscillator and Stochastic RSI to detect high-confidence market reversal points, filtering signals so they only appear when both indicators align.
🔍 Core Components:
✅ WaveTrend Oscillator
Based on smoothed deviation from EMA (similar to TCI logic)
Plots:
WT1 (main line)
WT2 (signal line = SMA of WT1)
Uses overbought/oversold thresholds (default: ±53) to filter signals
✅ Stochastic RSI
Momentum oscillator based on RSI's stochastic value
Plots:
%K: smoothed Stoch of RSI
%D: smoothed version of %K
Adjustable oversold/overbought thresholds (default: 20/80)
🔁 Combined Reversal Signal Logic:
🔼 Buy Signal
WT1 crosses above WT2 below WT oversold level (e.g., -53)
%K crosses above %D below Stoch RSI oversold level (e.g., 20)
🔽 Sell Signal
WT1 crosses below WT2 above WT overbought level (e.g., 53)
%K crosses below %D above Stoch RSI overbought level (e.g., 80)
🔔 Signals are only plotted and alerted if both conditions are true.
📌 Features:
Toggle on/off:
WaveTrend lines and histogram
Stochastic RSI
Combined Buy/Sell signals
Horizontal reference lines (±100, OB/OS)
Fully customizable smoothing lengths and thresholds
Signal plots:
✅ Green up-triangle = Combo Buy
✅ Red down-triangle = Combo Sell
Optional: Circle/cross markers for WT-only and Stoch-only signals
🔔 Built-in alerts for Buy/Sell signals
📈 Use Cases:
Reversal Trading: Wait for both indicators to confirm momentum shift
Entry Filter: Use in combination with trend indicators (like EMA)
Scalping or Swing: Works on intraday and higher timeframes
Advanced DMA Pattern Detection SystemAdvanced DMA Pattern Detection System with Smart Intelligence
Professional-grade moving average indicator that combines traditional DMA analysis with advanced pattern recognition and probabilistic forecasting.
Core Features:
6 Key DMAs (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200) with descriptive labels showing trading purpose
Advanced Pattern Recognition - Detects Institutional Accumulation, Distribution Phases, Bull/Bear Transitions, and Choppy Markets
Probability Engine - Assigns confidence scores (0-100%) with Low/Medium/High classifications
Historical Validation - Tracks success rate of last 20 pattern signals for real performance data
Smart Alert System - Only triggers on significant pattern changes (20%+ probability shifts)
Dual Display System:
Movable Information Table - Shows current pattern, probability, confidence level, success rate, and recommended action
Chart Alerts & Background Colors - Visual confirmation of high-confidence setups (80%+ patterns)
Traditional DMA Labels - Clear identification of each average's trading significance
Complete Customization:
Master on/off controls for entire system
Individual toggles for all components (DMAs, table, alerts, colors)
Adjustable alert sensitivity (Conservative/Medium/Aggressive)
6 table positions to fit any chart layout
Perfect For: Swing traders, position traders, and anyone wanting systematic trend analysis with quantified probability scores rather than subjective interpretation.
Bottom Line: Transforms basic moving averages into an intelligent trading system that tells you exactly what the market structure means and what to do about it.
MA Table [RanaAlgo]The "MA Table " indicator is a comprehensive and visually appealing tool for tracking moving average signals in TradingView. Here's a short summary of its usefulness:
Key Features:
Dual MA Support:
Tracks both EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and SMA (Simple Moving Average) signals (10, 20, 30, 50, 100 periods).
Users can toggle visibility for EMA/SMA separately.
Clear Signal Visualization:
Displays Buy (▲) or Sell (▼) signals based on price position relative to each MA.
Color-coded (green for buy, red for sell) for quick interpretation.
Customizable Table Design:
Adjustable position (9 placement options), colors, text size, and border styling.
Alternating row colors improve readability.
Optional MA Plots:
Can display the actual MA lines on the chart for visual confirmation (with distinct colors/styles).
Usefulness:
Quick Overview: The table consolidates multiple MA signals in one place, saving time compared to checking each MA individually.
Trend Confirmation: Helps confirm trend strength when multiple MAs align (e.g., price above all MAs → strong uptrend).
Flexible: Suitable for both short-term (10-20 period) and long-term (50-100 period) traders.
Aesthetic: Professional design enhances chart clarity without clutter.
Ideal For:
Traders who rely on moving average crossovers or price-MA relationships.
Multi-timeframe analysis when combined with other tools.
Beginners learning MA strategies (clear visual feedback).
🌊 Reinhart-Rogoff Financial Instability Index (RR-FII)Overview
The Reinhart-Rogoff Financial Instability Index (RR-FII) is a multi-factor indicator that consolidates historical crisis patterns into a single risk score ranging from 0 to 100. Drawing from the extensive research in "This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Crises" by Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff, the RR-FII translates nearly a millennium of crisis data into practical insights for financial markets.
What It Does
The RR-FII acts like a real-time financial weather forecast by tracking four key stress indicators that historically signal the build-up to major financial crises. Unlike traditional indicators based only on price, it takes a broader view, examining the global market's interconnected conditions to provide a holistic assessment of systemic risk.
The Four Crisis Components
- Capital Flow Stress (Default weight: 25%)
- Data analyzed: Volatility (ATR) and price movements of the selected asset.
- Detects abrupt volatility surges or sharp price falls, which often precede debt defaults due to sudden stops in capital inflow.
- Commodity Cycle (Default weight: 20%)
- Data analyzed: US crude oil prices (customizable).
- Watches for significant declines from recent highs, since commodity price troughs often signal looming crises in emerging markets.
- Currency Crisis (Default weight: 30%)
- Data analyzed: US Dollar Index (DXY, customizable).
- Flags if the currency depreciates by more than 15% in a year, aligning with historical criteria for currency crashes linked to defaults.
- Banking Sector Health (Default weight: 25%)
- Data analyzed: Performance of financial sector ETFs (e.g., XLF) relative to broad market benchmarks (SPY).
- Monitors for underperformance in the financial sector, a strong indicator of broader financial instability.
Risk Scale Interpretation
- 0-20: Safe – Low systemic risk, normal conditions.
- 20-40: Moderate – Some signs of stress, increased caution advised.
- 40-60: Elevated – Multiple risk factors, consider adjusting positions.
- 60-80: High – Significant probability of crisis, implement strong risk controls.
- 80-100: Critical – Several crisis indicators active, exercise maximum caution.
Visual Features
- The main risk line changes color with increasing risk.
- Background colors show different risk zones for quick reference.
- Option to view individual component scores.
- A real-time status table summarizes all component readings.
- Crisis event markers appear when thresholds are breached.
- Customizable alerts notify users of changing risk levels.
How to Use
- Apply as an overlay for broad risk management at the portfolio level.
- Adjust position sizes inversely to the crisis index score.
- Use high index readings as a warning to increase vigilance or reduce exposure.
- Set up alerts for changes in risk levels.
- Analyze using various timeframes; daily and weekly charts yield the best macro insights.
Customizable Settings
- Change the weighting of each crisis factor.
- Switch commodity, currency, banking sector, and benchmark symbols for customized views or regional focus.
- Adjust thresholds and visual settings to match individual risk preferences.
Academic Foundation
Rooted in rigorous analysis of 66 countries and 800 years of data, the RR-FII uses empirically validated relationships and thresholds to assess systemic risk. The indicator embodies key findings: financial crises often follow established patterns, different types of crises frequently coincide, and clear quantitative signals often precede major events.
Best Practices
- Use RR-FII as part of a comprehensive risk management strategy, not as a standalone trading signal.
- Combine with fundamental analysis for complete market insight.
- Monitor for differences between component readings and the overall index.
- Favor higher timeframes for a broader macro view.
- Adjust component importance to suit specific market interests.
Important Disclaimers
- RR-FII assesses risk using patterns from past crises but does not predict future events.
- Historical performance is not a guarantee of future results.
- Always employ proper risk management.
- Consider this tool as one element in a broader analytical toolkit.
- Even with high risk readings, markets may not react immediately.
Technical Requirements
- Compatible with Pine Script v6, suitable for all timeframes and symbols.
- Pulls data automatically for USOIL, DXY, XLF, and SPY.
- Operates without repainting, using only confirmed data.
The RR-FII condenses centuries of financial crisis knowledge into a modern risk management tool, equipping investors and traders with a deeper understanding of when systemic risks are most pronounced.
Fibonacci Sequence Moving Average [BackQuant]Fibonacci Sequence Moving Average with Adaptive Oscillator
1. Overview
The Fibonacci Sequence Moving Average indicator is a two‑part trading framework that combines a custom moving average built from the famous Fibonacci number set with a fully featured oscillator, normalisation engine and divergence suite. The moving average half delivers an adaptive trend line that respects natural market rhythms, while the oscillator half translates that trend information into a bounded momentum stream that is easy to read, easy to compare across assets and rich in confluence signals. Everything from weighting logic to colour palettes can be customised, so the tool comfortably fits scalpers zooming into one‑minute candles as well as position traders running multi‑month trend following campaigns.
2. Core Calculation
Fibonacci periods – The default length array is 5, 8, 13, 21, 34. A single multiplier input lets you scale the whole family up or down without breaking the golden‑ratio spacing. For example a multiplier of 3 yields 15, 24, 39, 63, 102.
Component averages – Each period is passed through Simple Moving Average logic to produce five baseline curves (ma1 through ma5).
Weighting methods – You decide how those five values are blended:
• Equal weighting treats every curve the same.
• Linear weighting applies factors 1‑to‑5 so the slowest curve counts five times as much as the fastest.
• Exponential weighting doubles each step for a fast‑reacting yet still smooth line.
• Fibonacci weighting multiplies each curve by its own period value, honouring the spirit of ratio mathematics.
Smoothing engine – The blended average is then smoothed a second time with your choice of SMA, EMA, DEMA, TEMA, RMA, WMA or HMA. A short smoothing length keeps the result lively, while longer lengths create institution‑grade glide paths that act like dynamic support and resistance.
3. Oscillator Construction
Once the smoothed Fib MA is in place, the script generates a raw oscillator value in one of three flavours:
• Distance – Percentage distance between price and the average. Great for mean‑reversion.
• Momentum – Percentage change of the average itself. Ideal for trend acceleration studies.
• Relative – Distance divided by Average True Range for volatility‑aware scaling.
That raw series is pushed through a look‑back normaliser that rescales every reading into a fixed −100 to +100 window. The normalisation window defaults to 100 bars but can be tightened for fast markets or expanded to capture long regimes.
4. Visual Layer
The oscillator line is gradient‑coloured from deep red through sky blue into bright green, so you can spot subtle momentum shifts with peripheral vision alone. There are four horizontal guide lines: Extreme Bear at −50, Bear Threshold at −20, Bull Threshold at +20 and Extreme Bull at +50. Soft fills above and below the thresholds reinforce the zones without cluttering the chart.
The smoothed Fib MA can be plotted directly on price for immediate trend context, and each of the five component averages can be revealed for educational or research purposes. Optional bar‑painting mirrors oscillator polarity, tinting candles green when momentum is bullish and red when momentum is bearish.
5. Divergence Detection
The script automatically looks for four classes of divergences between price pivots and oscillator pivots:
Regular Bullish, signalling a possible bottom when price prints a lower low but the oscillator prints a higher low.
Hidden Bullish, often a trend‑continuation cue when price makes a higher low while the oscillator slips to a lower low.
Regular Bearish, marking potential tops when price carves a higher high yet the oscillator steps down.
Hidden Bearish, hinting at ongoing downside when price posts a lower high while the oscillator pushes to a higher high.
Each event is tagged with an ℝ or ℍ label at the oscillator pivot, colour‑coded for clarity. Look‑back distances for left and right pivots are fully adjustable so you can fine‑tune sensitivity.
6. Alerts
Five ready‑to‑use alert conditions are included:
• Bullish when the oscillator crosses above +20.
• Bearish when it crosses below −20.
• Extreme Bullish when it pops above +50.
• Extreme Bearish when it dives below −50.
• Zero Cross for momentum inflection.
Attach any of these to TradingView notifications and stay updated without staring at charts.
7. Practical Applications
Swing trading trend filter – Plot the smoothed Fib MA on daily candles and only trade in its direction. Enter on oscillator retracements to the 0 line.
Intraday reversal scouting – On short‑term charts let Distance mode highlight overshoots beyond ±40, then fade those moves back to mean.
Volatility breakout timing – Use Relative mode during earnings season or crypto news cycles to spot momentum surges that adjust for changing ATR.
Divergence confirmation – Layer the oscillator beneath price structure to validate double bottoms, double tops and head‑and‑shoulders patterns.
8. Input Summary
• Source, Fibonacci multiplier, weighting method, smoothing length and type
• Oscillator calculation mode and normalisation look‑back
• Divergence look‑back settings and signal length
• Show or hide options for every visual element
• Full colour and line width customisation
9. Best Practices
Avoid using tiny multipliers on illiquid assets where the shortest Fibonacci window may drop under three bars. In strong trends reduce divergence sensitivity or you may see false counter‑trend flags. For portfolio scanning set oscillator to Momentum mode, hide thresholds and colour bars only, which turns the indicator into a heat‑map that quickly highlights leaders and laggards.
10. Final Notes
The Fibonacci Sequence Moving Average indicator seeks to fuse the mathematical elegance of the golden ratio with modern signal‑processing techniques. It is not a standalone trading system, rather a multi‑purpose information layer that shines when combined with market structure, volume analysis and disciplined risk management. Always test parameters on historical data, be mindful of slippage and remember that past performance is never a guarantee of future results. Trade wisely and enjoy the harmony of Fibonacci mathematics in your technical toolkit.
