Supply/Demand Zones - Fixed v3 (Cross YES Only)This Pine Script indicator creates Supply/Demand Zones with specific filtering criteria for TradingView. Here's a comprehensive description:
Supply/Demand Zones -(Cross YES Only)
Core Functionality
Session-Based Analysis: Identifies and visualizes price ranges during user-defined time sessions
Cross Validation Filter: Only displays zones when the "Cross" condition is met (Open and Close prices cross the mid-range level)
Real-Time Monitoring: Tracks price action during active sessions and creates zones after session completion
Key Features
Time Range Configuration
Customizable session hours (start/end time with minute precision)
Timezone support (default: Europe/Bucharest)
Flexible scheduling for different trading sessions
Visual Elements
Range Border: Dotted outline showing the full session range (High to Low)
Key Levels: Horizontal lines for High, Low, and Mid-range levels
Sub-Range Zones: Shaded areas showing Open and Close price zones
Percentage Labels: Display the percentage of range occupied by Open/Close zones
Active Session Background: Blue background highlighting during active sessions
Smart Filtering System
Cross Condition: Only creates zones when:
Open < Mid AND Close > Mid (bullish cross), OR
Open > Mid AND Close < Mid (bearish cross)
This filter ensures only significant price movements that cross the session's midpoint are highlighted
Customization Options
Display Controls: Toggle visibility for borders, lines, zones, and labels
Color Schemes: Full color customization for all elements
Transparency Settings: Adjustable transparency for zone fills
Text Styling: Configurable label colors and information display
Technical Specifications
Maximum capacity: 500 boxes, 500 lines, 200 labels
Overlay indicator (draws directly on price chart)
Bar-time based positioning for accurate historical placement
Use Cases
Supply/Demand Trading: Identify key price levels where institutions may have interest
Session Analysis: Understand price behavior during specific trading hours
Breakout Detection: Focus on sessions where price crosses significant levels
Support/Resistance: Use range levels for future trade planning
What Makes It Unique
The "Cross YES Only" filter ensures that only meaningful price sessions are highlighted - those where the market shows directional bias by crossing from one side of the range to the other, indicating potential institutional interest or significant market sentiment shifts.
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Info TableOverview
The Info Table V1 is a versatile TradingView indicator tailored for intraday futures traders, particularly those focusing on MESM2 (Micro E-mini S&P 500 futures) on 1-minute charts. It presents essential market insights through two customizable tables: the Main Table for predictive and macro metrics, and the New Metrics Table for momentum and volatility indicators. Designed for high-activity sessions like 9:30 AM–11:00 AM CDT, this tool helps traders assess price alignment, sentiment, and risk in real-time. Metrics update dynamically (except weekly COT data), with optional alerts for key conditions like volatility spikes or momentum shifts.
This indicator builds on foundational concepts like linear regression for predictions and adapts open-source elements for enhanced functionality. Gradient code is adapted from TradingView's Color Library. QQE logic is adapted from LuxAlgo's QQE Weighted Oscillator, licensed under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0. The script is released under the Mozilla Public License 2.0.
Key Features
Two Customizable Tables: Positioned independently (e.g., top-right for Main, bottom-right for New Metrics) with toggle options to show/hide for a clutter-free chart.
Gradient Coloring: User-defined high/low colors (default green/red) for quick visual interpretation of extremes, such as overbought/oversold or high volatility.
Arrows for Directional Bias: In the New Metrics Table, up (↑) or down (↓) arrows appear in value cells based on metric thresholds (top/bottom 25% of range), indicating bullish/high or bearish/low conditions.
Consensus Highlighting: The New Metrics Table's title cells ("Metric" and "Value") turn green if all arrows are ↑ (strong bullish consensus), red if all are ↓ (strong bearish consensus), or gray otherwise.
Predicted Price Plot: Optional line (default blue) overlaying the ML-predicted price for visual comparison with actual price action.
Alerts: Notifications for high/low Frahm Volatility (≥8 or ≤3) and QQE Bias crosses (bullish/bearish momentum shifts).
Main Table Metrics
This table focuses on predictive, positional, and macro insights:
ML-Predicted Price: A linear regression forecast using normalized price, volume, and RSI over a customizable lookback (default 500 bars). Gradient scales from low (red) to high (green) relative to the current price ± threshold (default 100 points).
Deviation %: Percentage difference between current price and predicted price. Gradient highlights extremes (±0.5% default threshold), signaling potential overextensions.
VWAP Deviation %: Percentage difference from Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). Gradient indicates if price is above (green) or below (red) fair value (±0.5% default).
FRED UNRATE % Change: Percentage change in U.S. unemployment rate (via FRED data). Cell turns red for increases (economic weakness), green for decreases (strength), gray if zero or disabled.
Open Interest: Total open MESM2 futures contracts. Gradient scales from low (red) to high (green) up to a hardcoded 300,000 threshold, reflecting market participation.
COT Commercial Long/Short: Weekly Commitment of Traders data for commercial positions. Long cell green if longs > shorts (bullish institutional sentiment); Short cell red if shorts > longs (bearish); gray otherwise.
New Metrics Table Metrics
This table emphasizes technical momentum and volatility, with arrows for quick bias assessment:
QQE Bias: Smoothed RSI vs. trailing stop (default length 14, factor 4.236, smooth 5). Green for bullish (RSI > stop, ↑ arrow), red for bearish (RSI < stop, ↓ arrow), gray for neutral.
RSI: Relative Strength Index (default period 14). Gradient from oversold (red, <30 + threshold offset, ↓ arrow if ≤40) to overbought (green, >70 - offset, ↑ arrow if ≥60).
ATR Volatility: Score (1–20) based on Average True Range (default period 14, lookback 50). High scores (green, ↑ if ≥15) signal swings; low (red, ↓ if ≤5) indicate calm.
ADX Trend: Average Directional Index (default period 14). Gradient from weak (red, ↓ if ≤0.25×25 threshold) to strong trends (green, ↑ if ≥0.75×25).
Volume Momentum: Score (1–20) comparing current to historical volume (lookback 50). High (green, ↑ if ≥15) suggests pressure; low (red, ↓ if ≤5) implies weakness.
Frahm Volatility: Score (1–20) from true range over a window (default 24 hours, multiplier 9). Dynamic gradient (green/red/yellow); ↑ if ≥7.5, ↓ if ≤2.5.
Frahm Avg Candle (Ticks): Average candle size in ticks over the window. Blue gradient (or dynamic green/red/yellow); ↑ if ≥0.75 percentile, ↓ if ≤0.25.
Arrows trigger on metric-specific logic (e.g., RSI ≥60 for ↑), providing directional cues without strict color ties.
Customization Options
Adapt the indicator to your strategy:
ML Inputs: Lookback (10–5000 bars) and RSI period (2+) for prediction sensitivity—shorter for volatility, longer for trends.
Timeframes: Individual per metric (e.g., 1H for QQE Bias to match higher frames; blank for chart timeframe).
Thresholds: Adjust gradients and arrows (e.g., Deviation 0.1–5%, ADX 0–100, RSI overbought/oversold).
QQE Settings: Length, factor, and smooth for fine-tuned momentum.
Data Toggles: Enable/disable FRED, Open Interest, COT for focus (e.g., disable macro for pure intraday).
Frahm Options: Window hours (1+), scale multiplier (1–10), dynamic colors for avg candle.
Plot/Table: Line color, positions, gradients, and visibility.
Ideal Use Case
Perfect for MESM2 scalpers and trend traders. Use the Main Table for entry confirmation via predicted deviations and institutional positioning. Leverage the New Metrics Table arrows for short-term signals—enter bullish on green consensus (all ↑), avoid chop on low volatility. Set alerts to catch shifts without constant monitoring.
Why It's Valuable
Info Table V1 consolidates diverse metrics into actionable visuals, answering critical questions: Is price mispriced? Is momentum aligning? Is volatility manageable? With real-time updates, consensus highlights, and extensive customization, it enhances precision in fast markets, reducing guesswork for confident trades.
Note: Optimized for futures; some metrics (OI, COT) unavailable on non-futures symbols. Test on demo accounts. No financial advice—use at your own risk.
The provided script reuses open-source elements from TradingView's Color Library and LuxAlgo's QQE Weighted Oscillator, as noted in the script comments and description. Credits are appropriately given in both the description and code comments, satisfying the requirement for attribution.
Regarding significant improvements and proportion:
The QQE logic comprises approximately 15 lines of code in a script exceeding 400 lines, representing a small proportion (<5%).
Adaptations include integration with multi-timeframe support via request.security, user-customizable inputs for length, factor, and smooth, and application within a broader table-based indicator for momentum bias display (with color gradients, arrows, and alerts). This extends the original QQE beyond standalone oscillator use, incorporating it as one of seven metrics in the New Metrics Table for confluence analysis (e.g., consensus highlighting when all metrics align). These are functional enhancements, not mere stylistic or variable changes.
The Color Library usage is via official import (import TradingView/Color/1 as Color), leveraging built-in gradient functions without copying code, and applied to enhance visual interpretation across multiple metrics.
The script complies with the rules: reused code is minimal, significantly improved through integration and expansion, and properly credited. It qualifies for open-source publication under the Mozilla Public License 2.0, as stated.
RSI Mansfield +RSI Mansfield+ – Adaptive Relative Strength Indicator with Divergences
Overview
RSI Mansfield+ is an advanced relative strength indicator that compares your instrument’s performance against a configurable benchmark index or asset (e.g., Bitcoin Dominance, S&P 500). It combines Mansfield normalization, adaptive smoothing techniques, and automatic detection of bullish and bearish divergences (regular and hidden), delivering a comprehensive tool for assessing relative strength across any market and timeframe.
Originality and Motivation
Unlike traditional relative strength scripts, this indicator introduces several distinctive improvements:
Mansfield Normalization: Scales the ratio between the asset and the benchmark relative to its moving average, transforming it into a normalized oscillator that fluctuates around zero, making it easier to spot outperformance or underperformance.
Adaptive Smoothing: Automatically selects whether to use EMA or SMA based on the market type (crypto or stocks) and timeframe (intraday, daily, weekly, monthly), avoiding manual configuration and providing more robust results under varying volatility conditions.
Divergence Detection: Identifies four types of divergences in the Mansfield oscillator to help anticipate potential reversal points or trend confirmations.
Multi-Market Support: Offers benchmark selection among major crypto and global stock indices from a single input.
These enhancements make RSI Mansfield+ more practical and powerful than conventional relative strength scripts with static benchmarks or without divergence capabilities.
Core Concepts
Relative Strength (RS): Compares price evolution between your asset and the selected benchmark.
Mansfield Normalization: Measures how much the RS deviates from its historical moving average, expressed as a scaled oscillator.
Divergences: Detects regular and hidden bullish or bearish divergences within the Mansfield oscillator.
Timeframe Adaptation: Dynamically adjusts moving average lengths based on timeframe and market type.
How It Works
Benchmark Selection
Choose among over 10 indices or market domains (BTC Dominance, ETH Dominance, S&P 500, European indices, etc.).
Ratio Calculation
Computes the price-to-benchmark ratio and smooths it with the adaptive moving average.
Normalization and Scaling
Transforms deviations into a Mansfield oscillator centered around zero.
Dynamic Coloring
Green indicates relative outperformance, red signals underperformance.
Divergence Detection
Automatically identifies bullish and bearish (regular and hidden) divergences by comparing oscillator pivots against price pivots.
Baseline Reference
A clear zero line helps interpret relative strength trends.
Usage Guidelines
Benchmark Comparison
Ideal for traders analyzing whether an asset is outperforming or lagging its sector or market.
Divergence Analysis
Helps detect potential reversal or continuation signals in relative strength.
Multi-Timeframe Compatibility
Can be applied to intraday, daily, weekly, or monthly charts.
Interpretation
Oscillator >0 and green: outperforming the benchmark.
Oscillator <0 and red: underperforming.
Bullish divergences: potential relative strength reversal to the upside.
Bearish divergences: possible loss of momentum or reversal to the downside.
Credits
The concept of Mansfield Relative Strength is based on Stan Weinstein’s original work on relative performance analysis. This script was built entirely from scratch in TradingView Pine Script v6, incorporating original logic for adaptive smoothing, normalized scaling, and divergence detection, without reusing any external open-source code.
TPO[Fixed Range, Anchored, Bars Back]TPO Bars Back, Fixed Range and Anchored
Overview
The TPO Profile (Time Price Opportunity Profile) is a powerful market profile indicator that displays the amount of time price spent at different levels during a specified period. Unlike traditional volume profile indicators that show volume distribution, TPO Profile shows time distribution , providing insights into where price has spent the most time and identifying key support and resistance levels.
Key Advantages Over TradingView's Built-in TPO
Simplified Composite Creation : Automatically creates TPO profiles for any time range without manual split/merge operations
Instant Value Area Calculation : Immediately shows Value Area, POC, VAH, and VAL for your selected period
No Manual Assembly Required : TradingView's native TPO requires you to manually split sessions and merge them to create composites - this indicator does it automatically
Flexible Time Ranges : Create composites for any custom time period (multiple days, weeks, specific events) with a few clicks
Real-time Composite Updates : Anchor mode creates live composites that update as new data arrives
Multiple Composite Analysis : Easily compare different time periods without the tedious manual process
Key Features
Core Functionality
Time-Based Analysis : Shows time spent at each price level rather than volume
Configurable Time Blocks : Use any timeframe for TPO counting (30min, 1H, 4H, etc.)
Multiple Price Levels : Adjustable from 5 to 200 levels for granular analysis
Point of Control (POC) : Automatically identifies the price level with highest time activity
Value Area Calculation : Shows the price range containing 70% (configurable) of time activity
Automatic Composite Generation : Creates multi-session composites without manual intervention
Three Operating Modes
1. Bars Back Mode
Analyzes the last N bars from the current bar
Perfect for recent market activity analysis
Range: 10-500 bars
Use Case : Intraday analysis, recent session review
2. Fixed Range Mode
Analyzes a specific time period between start and end times
Ideal for historical analysis of specific events
Creates perfect composites for multi-day periods
Use Case : Earnings periods, news events, specific trading sessions, weekly/monthly composites
3. Anchor Mode (NEW)
Starts from a specific time and extends to the current bar
Dynamically updates as new bars form
Perfect for building live composites from any starting point
Use Case : Live session monitoring, event-based analysis from a specific point, growing composites
Visual Elements
TPO Bars
Horizontal bars showing time distribution at each price level
Longer bars = more time spent at that level
Color-coded to distinguish Value Area from outlying levels
Point of Control (POC)
Red line marking the price level with highest time activity
Most significant support/resistance level
Configurable line style (Solid/Dashed/Dotted) and width
Value Area High/Low (VAH/VAL)
Green and Orange lines marking the boundaries of the Value Area
Shows the price range containing the specified percentage of time activity
Optional display with customizable line styles
Single Print Detection
Identifies price levels touched by only one time block
Display options: Lines or Boxes
Purple color highlighting these significant levels
Often act as strong support/resistance in future trading
Customization Options
Time Block Configuration
Block Time : Choose timeframe for TPO counting (30min, 1H, 4H, etc.)
Allows analysis at different time granularities
Higher timeframes = broader perspective, Lower timeframes = finer detail
Visual Styling
Line Styles : Solid, Dashed, or Dotted for all line elements
Line Widths : 1-5 pixels for POC, VAH, and VAL lines
Colors : Fully customizable colors for all elements
Transparency : Adjustable transparency for better chart readability
Label Management
Show/Hide Labels : Toggle POC, VAH, VAL labels
Font Sizes : Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, Huge
Label Positioning : 8 different position options relative to lines
Offset Controls : Fine-tune label positioning
Line Extension
Level Offset Right : Controls how far lines extend
Smart extension logic:
Value ≤ 0: Infinite extension (extend.right)
Value ≥ 1: Extends exactly N bars ahead
Trading Applications
Support & Resistance
POC often acts as strong support/resistance
Value Area boundaries provide key levels
Single prints frequently become significant levels
Market Structure Analysis
Identify areas of price acceptance (thick TPO bars)
Spot areas of price rejection (thin TPO bars)
Understand where market participants are comfortable trading
Composite Profile Analysis
Create multi-day, weekly, or monthly composites instantly
Compare different composite periods without manual work
Analyze longer-term price acceptance levels
Build composites around specific events or announcements
Session Analysis
Monitor intraday session development in real-time
Compare different sessions (London, New York, Asia)
Track how profiles change throughout the trading day
Build live composites across multiple sessions
Event Analysis
Use Fixed Range mode for earnings, news events
Use Anchor mode to track price development from specific events
Compare pre/post event price acceptance levels
Create event-based composites automatically
Input Parameters
Mode Selection
Mode : Bars Back | Fixed Range | Anchor
Bars Back : Number of bars to analyze (10-500)
Start Time : Beginning time for Fixed Range and Anchor modes
End Time : Ending time for Fixed Range mode only
Analysis Configuration
Block Time : Timeframe for TPO blocks (e.g., "30" for 30-minute blocks)
TPO Levels : Number of price levels (5-200)
Value Area % : Percentage for Value Area calculation (50-95%)
Display Options
Show POC : Display Point of Control line
Show Value Area : Display Value Area box
Show VAH/VAL Lines : Display Value Area boundary lines
Show Single Prints : Display single print detection
Single Print Style : Lines or Boxes
Styling Controls
Colors : TPO, POC, Value Area, VAH, VAL, Single Print colors
Line Styles : POC, VAH, VAL line styles
Line Widths : POC, VAH, VAL line widths
Labels : Show/hide, font size, position, offset controls
Technical Details
Calculation Method
Divides the price range into equal levels based on TPO Levels setting
For each time block, determines which price levels it crosses
Adds +1 count to each crossed level
Identifies POC as the level with highest count
Calculates Value Area by expanding from POC until target percentage is reached
Performance Considerations
Historical data limited to prevent buffer overflow errors
Smart bounds checking for different timeframes
Optimized cleanup routines to prevent drawing object accumulation
Pine Script Version
Built on Pine Script v6
Uses modern Pine Script best practices
Efficient array handling and drawing object management
Best Practices
Timeframe Selection
Block Time = Chart Timeframe : Traditional TPO approach
Block Time > Chart Timeframe : Smoother, broader perspective
Block Time < Chart Timeframe : More granular, detailed analysis
Level Count Guidelines
Low levels (10-20) : Better for swing trading, major levels
High levels (50-100) : Better for scalping, precise entries
Very high levels (100+) : For very detailed analysis
Mode Selection
Bars Back : Daily analysis, recent activity
Fixed Range : Historical events, specific periods, manual composites
Anchor : Live monitoring, event-based analysis, growing composites
Composite Creation Workflow
Select Fixed Range or Anchor mode
Set your desired start time (and end time for Fixed Range)
Adjust TPO Levels for desired granularity
Enable VAH/VAL lines to see Value Area boundaries
The composite profile generates automatically with all key levels
This indicator eliminates the tedious manual process of creating composite TPO profiles in TradingView. Instead of splitting sessions and manually merging them, you get instant composite analysis with automatic Value Area calculation, POC identification, and single print detection. The combination of time-based analysis, multiple operating modes, and extensive customization options makes it a powerful tool for understanding market structure and price acceptance levels across any time period.
Intermarket Correlation Oscillator (ICO)The Intermarket Correlation Oscillator (ICO) is a TradingView indicator that helps traders analyze the relationship between two assets, such as stocks, indices, or cryptocurrencies, by measuring their price correlation. It displays this correlation as an oscillator ranging from -1 to +1, making it easy to spot whether the assets move together, oppositely, or independently. A value near +1 indicates strong positive correlation (assets move in the same direction), near -1 shows strong negative correlation (opposite movements), and near 0 suggests no correlation. This tool is ideal for confirming trends, spotting divergences, or identifying hedging opportunities across markets.
How It Works?
The ICO calculates the Pearson correlation coefficient between the chart’s primary asset (e.g., Apple stock) and a secondary asset you choose (e.g., SPY for the S&P 500) over a specified number of bars (default: 20). The oscillator is plotted in a separate pane below the chart, with key levels at +0.8 (overbought, strong positive correlation) and -0.8 (oversold, strong negative correlation). A midline at 0 helps gauge neutral correlation. When the oscillator crosses these levels or the midline, labels ("OB" for overbought, "OS" for oversold) and alerts notify you of significant shifts. Shaded zones highlight extreme correlations (red for overbought, green for oversold) if enabled.
Why Use the ICO?
Trend Confirmation: High positive correlation (e.g., SPY and QQQ both rising) confirms market trends.
Divergence Detection: Negative correlation (e.g., DXY rising while stocks fall) signals potential reversals.
Hedging: Identify negatively correlated assets to balance your portfolio.
Market Insights: Understand how assets like stocks, bonds, or crypto interact.
Easy Steps to Use the ICO in TradingView
Add the Indicator:
Open TradingView and load your chart (e.g., AAPL on a daily timeframe).
Go to the Pine Editor at the bottom of the TradingView window.
Copy and paste the ICO script provided earlier.
Click "Add to Chart" to display the oscillator below your price chart.
Configure Settings:
Click the gear icon next to the indicator’s name in the chart pane to open settings.
Secondary Symbol: Choose an asset to compare with your chart’s symbol (e.g., "SPY" for S&P 500, "DXY" for USD Index, or "BTCUSD" for Bitcoin). Default is SPY.
Correlation Lookback Period: Set the number of bars for calculation (default: 20). Use 10-14 for short-term trading or 50 for longer-term analysis.
Overbought/Oversold Levels: Adjust thresholds (default: +0.8 for overbought, -0.8 for oversold) to suit your strategy. Lower values (e.g., ±0.7) give more signals.
Show Midline/Zones: Check boxes to display the zero line and shaded overbought/oversold zones for visual clarity.
Interpret the Oscillator:
Above +0.8: Strong positive correlation (red zone). Assets move together.
Below -0.8: Strong negative correlation (green zone). Assets move oppositely.
Near 0: No clear relationship (midline reference).
Labels: "OB" or "OS" appears when crossing overbought/oversold levels, signaling potential correlation shifts.
Set Up Alerts:
Right-click the indicator, select "Add Alert."
Choose conditions like "Overbought Alert" (crossing above +0.8), "Oversold Alert" (crossing below -0.8), or zero-line crossings for bullish/bearish correlation shifts.
Configure notifications (e.g., email, SMS) to stay informed.
Apply to Trading:
Use positive correlation to confirm trades (e.g., buy AAPL if SPY is rising and correlation is high).
Spot divergences for reversals (e.g., stocks dropping while DXY rises with negative correlation).
Combine with other indicators like RSI or moving averages for stronger signals.
Tips for New Users
Start with related assets (e.g., SPY and QQQ for tech stocks) to see clear correlations.
Test on a demo account to understand signals before trading live.
Be aware that correlation is a lagging indicator; confirm signals with price action.
If the secondary symbol doesn’t load, ensure it’s valid on TradingView (e.g., use correct ticker format).
The ICO is a powerful, beginner-friendly tool to explore intermarket relationships, enhancing your trading decisions with clear visual cues and alerts.
Yelober - Sector Rotation Detector# Yelober - Sector Rotation Detector: User Guide
## Overview
The Yelober - Sector Rotation Detector is a TradingView indicator designed to track sector performance and identify market rotations in real-time. It monitors key sector ETFs, calculates performance metrics, and provides actionable stock recommendations based on sector strength and weakness.
## Purpose
This indicator helps traders identify when capital is moving from one sector to another (sector rotation), which can provide valuable trading opportunities. It also detects risk-off conditions in the market and highlights sectors with abnormal trading volume.
## Table Columns Explained
### 1. Sector
Displays the sector name being monitored. The indicator tracks six primary sectors plus the S&P 500:
- Energy (XLE)
- Financial (XLF)
- Technology (XLK)
- Consumer Staples (XLP)
- Utilities (XLU)
- Consumer Discretionary (XLY)
- S&P 500 (SPY)
### 2. Perf %
Shows the daily percentage performance of each sector ETF. Values are color-coded:
- Green: Positive performance
- Red: Negative performance
Positive values display with a "+" sign (e.g., +1.25%)
### 3. RSI
Displays the Relative Strength Index value for each sector, which helps identify overbought or oversold conditions:
- Values above 70 (highlighted in red): Potentially overbought
- Values below 30 (highlighted in green): Potentially oversold
- Values between 30-70 (highlighted in blue): Neutral territory
### 4. Vol Ratio
Shows the volume ratio, which compares today's volume to the average volume over the lookback period:
- Values above 1.5x (highlighted in yellow): Indicates abnormally high trading volume
- Values below 1.5x (highlighted in blue): Normal trading volume
This helps identify sectors with unusual activity that may signal important price movements.
### 5. Trend
Displays the current price trend direction with symbols:
- ▲ (green): Uptrend (today's close > yesterday's close)
- ▼ (red): Downtrend (today's close < yesterday's close)
- ◆ (gray): Neutral (today's close = yesterday's close)
## Summary & Recommendations Section
The summary section provides:
1. **Sector Rotation Detection**: Identifies when there's a significant performance gap (>2%) between the strongest and weakest sectors.
2. **Risk-Off Mode Detection**: Alerts when defensive sectors (Consumer Staples and Utilities) are positive while Technology is negative, which often signals investors are moving to safer assets.
3. **Strong Volume Detection**: Indicates when any sector shows abnormally high trading volume.
4. **Stock Recommendations**: Suggests specific stocks to consider for long positions (from the strongest sectors) and short positions (from the weakest sectors).
## Example Interpretations
### Example 1: Sector Rotation
If you see:
- Technology: -1.85%
- Financial: +2.10%
- Summary shows: "SECTOR ROTATION DETECTED: Rotation from Technology to Financial"
**Interpretation**: Capital is moving out of tech stocks and into financial stocks. This could be due to rising interest rates, which typically benefit banks while pressuring high-growth tech companies. Consider looking at financial stocks like JPM, BAC, and WFC for potential long positions.
### Example 2: Risk-Off Conditions
If you see:
- Consumer Staples: +0.80%
- Utilities: +1.20%
- Technology: -1.50%
- Summary shows: "RISK-OFF MODE DETECTED"
**Interpretation**: Investors are seeking safety in defensive sectors while selling growth-oriented tech stocks. This often occurs during market uncertainty or ahead of economic concerns. Consider reducing exposure to high-beta stocks and possibly adding defensive names like PG, KO, or NEE.
### Example 3: Volume Spike
If you see:
- Energy: +3.20% with Volume Ratio 2.5x (highlighted in yellow)
- Summary shows: "STRONG VOLUME DETECTED"
**Interpretation**: The energy sector is making a strong move with significantly higher-than-average volume, suggesting conviction behind the price movement. This could indicate the beginning of a sustained trend in energy stocks. Consider names like XOM, CVX, and COP.
## How to Use the Indicator
1. Apply the indicator to any chart (works best on daily timeframes).
2. Customize settings if needed:
- Timeframe: Choose between intraday (60 or 240 minutes), daily, or weekly
- Lookback Period: Adjust the historical comparison period (default: 20)
- RSI Period: Modify the RSI calculation period (default: 14)
3. To refresh the data: Click the settings icon, increase the "Click + to refresh data" counter, and click "OK".
4. Identify opportunities based on sector performance, RSI levels, volume ratios, and the summary recommendations.
This indicator helps traders align with market rotation trends and identify which sectors (and specific stocks) may outperform or underperform in the near term.
Market Strength Buy Sell Indicator [TradeDots]A specialized tool designed to assist traders in evaluating market conditions through a multifaceted analysis of relative performance, beta-adjusted returns, momentum, and volume—allowing you to identify optimal points for long or short trades. By integrating multiple benchmarks (default S&P 500) and percentile-based thresholds, the script provides clear, actionable insights suitable for both day trading and higher-level timeframe assessments.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
1. Multi-Factor Composite Score
Relative Performance (RS Ratio): Compares your asset’s performance to a chosen benchmark (default: SPY). Values above 1.0 indicate outperformance, while below 1.0 suggest underperformance.
Beta-Adjusted Returns: Checks the ticker’s excess movement relative to expected market-related moves. This helps distinguish pure “alpha” from broad market effects.
Volume & Correlation: Volume spikes often confirm the momentum behind a move, while correlation measures how closely the asset tracks or diverges from its benchmark.
These components merge into a 0–100 composite score. Scores above 50 frequently imply bullish strength; drops below 50 often point to underperformance—potentially flagging short opportunities.
2. Intraday & Day Trading Focus
Monitoring Below 50: During the trading day, the script calculates live data against the benchmark, offering an intraday-sensitive composite score. A dip under 50 may indicate a short bias for that session, especially when accompanied by high volume or momentum shifts.
3. Higher Timeframe Monitoring
Daily Strategies: On daily or weekly charts, the script reveals overall relative strength or weakness compared to the S&P 500. This higher-level perspective helps form broader trading biases—crucial for swing or position trades spanning multiple days.
Long/Short Thresholds: Persistent readings above 50 on a daily chart typically reinforce a long bias, while consistent dips below 50 can sustain a short or cautious outlook.
4. Pair Trading Applications
Custom Benchmark Selection: By setting a specific ticker pair as your benchmark instead of the default S&P 500, you can identify spread trading opportunities between two correlated assets. This allows you to go long the outperforming asset while shorting the underperforming one when the spread reaches extreme levels.
4. Color-Coded Signals & Alerts
Visual Zones (25–75): Color-coded bands highlight strong outperformance (above 75) or pronounced underperformance (below 25).
Alerts on Strong Shifts: Automatic alerts can notify you of sudden entries or exits from bullish or bearish zones, so you can potentially act on new market information without delay.
⚙️ HOW TO USE
1. Select Your Timeframe: For scalping or day trading, lower intervals (e.g., 5-minute) offer immediate data resets at the session’s start. For multi-day insight, daily or weekly charts reveal broader performance trends.
2. Watch Key Levels Around 50: Intraday dips under 50 may be a cue to consider short trades, while bounces above 50 can confirm renewed strength.
3. Assess Benchmark Relationships: Compare your asset’s score and signals to the broader market. A stock falling below its pair’s relative strength line might lag overall market momentum.
4. Combine Tools & Validate: This script excels when integrated with other technical analysis methods (e.g., support/resistance, chart patterns) and fundamental factors for a holistic market view.
❗ LIMITATIONS
No Direction Guarantee: The indicator identifies relative strength but does not guarantee directional price moves.
Delayed Updates: Since calculations update after each bar close, sudden intrabar changes may not immediately reflect.
Market-Specific Behaviors: Some assets or unusual market conditions may deviate from typical benchmarks, weakening signal reliability.
Past ≠ Future: High or low relative strength in the past may not predict continued performance.
RISK DISCLAIMER
All forms of trading and investing involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. This indicator analyzes relative performance but cannot assure profits or eliminate losses. Past performance of any strategy does not guarantee future results. Always combine analysis with proper risk management and your broader trading plan. Consult a licensed financial advisor if you are unsure of your individual risk tolerance or investment objectives.
21DMA Structure Counter (EMA/SMA Option)21DMA Structure Counter (EMA/SMA Option)
Overview
The 21DMA Structure Counter is an advanced technical indicator that tracks consecutive periods where price action remains above a 21-period moving average structure. This indicator helps traders identify momentum phases and potential trend exhaustion points using statistical analysis.
Key Features
Moving Average Structure
- Configurable MA Type: Choose between EMA (Exponential Moving Average) or SMA (Simple Moving Average)
- 21-Period Default: Optimized for the widely-watched 21-period moving average
- Triple MA Structure: Tracks high, close, and low moving averages for comprehensive analysis
Statistical Analysis
- Cycle Counting: Automatically counts consecutive periods above the MA structure
- Historical Data: Maintains up to 2,500 historical cycles (approximately 10 years of daily data)
- Z-Score Calculation: Provides statistical context using mean and standard deviation
- Multiple Standard Deviation Levels: Displays +1, +2, and +3 standard deviation thresholds
Visual Indicators
Color-Coded Bars:
- Gray: Below 10-year average
- Yellow: Between average and +1 standard deviation
- Orange: Between +1 and +2 standard deviations
- Red: Between +2 and +3 standard deviations
- Fuchsia: Above +3 standard deviations (extreme readings)
Breadth Integration
- Multiple Breadth Options: NDFI, NDTH, NDTW (NASDAQ breadth indicators), or VIX
- Background Shading: Visual alerts when breadth reaches extreme levels
- High/Low Thresholds: Customizable levels for breadth analysis
- Real-time Display: Current breadth value shown in data table
Smart Reset Logic
- High Below Structure Reset: Automatically resets count when daily high falls below the lowest MA
- Flexible Hold Period: Continues counting during temporary weakness as long as structure isn't violated
- Precise Entry/Exit: Strict criteria for starting cycles, flexible for maintaining them
How to Use
Trend Identification
- Rising Counts: Indicate sustained momentum above key moving average structure
- Extreme Readings: Z-scores above +2 or +3 suggest potential trend exhaustion
- Historical Context: Compare current cycles to 10-year statistical averages
Risk Management
- Breadth Confirmation: Use breadth shading to confirm market-wide strength/weakness
- Statistical Extremes: Exercise caution when readings reach +3 standard deviations
- Reset Signals: Pay attention to structure violations for potential trend changes
Multi-Timeframe Application
- Daily Charts: Primary timeframe for swing trading and position management
- Weekly/Monthly: Longer-term trend analysis
- Intraday: Shorter-term momentum assessment (adjust MA period accordingly)
Settings
Moving Average Options
- Type: EMA or SMA selection
- Period: Default 21 (customizable)
- Reset Days: Days below structure required for reset
Visual Customization
- Standard Deviation Lines: Toggle and customize colors for +1, +2, +3 SD
- Breadth Selection: Choose from NDFI, NDTH, NDTW, or VIX
- Threshold Levels: Set custom high/low breadth thresholds
- Table Styling: Customize text colors, background, and font size
Technical Notes
- Data Retention: Maintains 2,500 historical cycles for robust statistical analysis
- Real-time Updates: Calculations update with each new bar
- Breadth Integration: Uses security() function to pull external breadth data
- Performance Optimized: Efficient array management prevents memory issues
Best Practices
1. Combine with Price Action: Use alongside support/resistance and chart patterns
2. Monitor Breadth Divergences: Watch for breadth weakness during strong readings
3. Respect Statistical Extremes: Exercise caution at +2/+3 standard deviation levels
4. Context Matters: Consider overall market environment and sector rotation
5. Risk Management: Use appropriate position sizing, especially at extreme readings
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Always combine with other forms of analysis and proper risk management techniques.
Compatible with Pine Script v6 | Optimized for daily timeframes | Best used on major indices and liquid stocks
Options Betting Range - FixedOptions Betting Range
Options Betting Range is a powerful TradingView indicator designed to streamline options trading by visualizing high-probability price ranges for key symbols. With automated trendlines and clear labels, it empowers traders to make precise, data-driven decisions based on customizable prediction and execution dates.
## Key Features
Broad S&P 500 Coverage: Supports most S&P 500 stock symbols, excluding those with insufficient options volume for reliable data, alongside major ETFs and indices like SPY, IWM, QQQ, DIA, TLT, ^GSPC, ^IXIC, ^RUT, ^NDX, and ^SOX.
Automated Trendlines: Plots dashed and solid trendlines to mark high/low price boundaries, triggered only on specified prediction dates for clean, uncluttered charts.
Customizable Inputs: Configure prediction and execution dates to align with your trading strategy.
Clear Visuals: Color-coded labels (green for highs, purple for lows) display price ranges and percentage spreads for rapid decision-making.
Single-Execution Logic: Draws trendlines once per prediction date, ensuring chart clarity and efficiency.
## How It Works
Based on the latest daily open interest data, the indicator calculates swing ranges for different strike dates, drawing trendlines and labels to visualize potential price boundaries for options trading.
## Why Use It?
Streamlined Analysis: Automates range visualization, saving time and reducing manual charting.
Strategic Clarity: Objective price levels minimize emotional bias and enhance trade planning.
Versatile Application: Ideal for day traders, swing traders, and options strategists across multiple markets.
## Tips for Best Use
Regular Updates: To maintain the accuracy of options betting ranges, periodically update the indicator. On the view page, hover over the indicator name and click the blue whirlwind icon to complete the update.
## Get Started
Add Options Betting Range to your TradingView chart, select a supported symbol, and customize your prediction/execution dates. Leverage the visualized price ranges to execute precise options trading strategies with confidence.
CISD Levels by HAZEDCISD Levels by HAZED - Advanced Market Structure Analysis
📊 Overview
The CISD Levels indicator is a sophisticated market structure analysis tool that automatically identifies and plots critical support and resistance levels based on Change in State Direction (CISD) methodology. This indicator helps traders visualize key market turning points and potential breakout/breakdown levels with precision.
🎯 What are CISD Levels?
CISD (Change in State Direction) levels represent significant price points where market sentiment shifts from bullish to bearish or vice versa. These levels are dynamically calculated based on:
Market structure breaks (higher highs/lower lows)
Pullback patterns and trend continuations
Real-time price action analysis
Dynamic level updates as market conditions evolve
✨ Key Features
🔥 Smart Level Detection
Automatically identifies bullish (+CISD) and bearish (-CISD) levels
Real-time updates as market structure evolves
Intelligent pullback detection algorithm
🎨 Full Customization
Colors: Customize bullish/bearish level colors
Line Styles: Choose from solid, dotted, or dashed lines
Text Labels: Fully customizable text, size, and font options
Transparency: Adjustable line transparency (0-100%)
Extensions: Control how far lines extend into the future
📈 Historical Analysis
Show All Levels: Option to display historical CISD levels
Max Levels Control: Limit the number of historical levels shown (1-50)
Level Management: Automatic cleanup of old levels
🚨 Smart Alerts
Bullish Alerts: Get notified when price breaks above +CISD levels
Bearish Alerts: Get notified when price breaks below -CISD levels
Alert Frequency: Choose between "Once Per Bar" or "Once Per Bar Close"
📊 Statistics Table
Market State: Current bullish/bearish market condition
Active Levels: Count of currently active CISD levels
Latest Levels: Display of most recent +CISD and -CISD values
Positioning: 5 different table positions available
🛠️ How to Use
For Swing Traders:
Use CISD levels as key support/resistance zones
Enter positions on level breaks with proper risk management
Set stop losses below/above opposite CISD levels
For Day Traders:
Watch for price reactions at CISD levels
Use levels for entry/exit timing
Combine with volume analysis for confirmation
For Position Traders:
Identify major market structure changes
Use higher timeframe CISD levels for strategic entries
Monitor level breaks for trend continuation signals
⚙️ Settings Guide
CISD Level Settings
Bullish/Bearish Colors: Customize level appearance
Custom Text: Add your own labels to levels
Alert Setup: Enable notifications for level breaks
Historical Levels: Choose to show past levels for context
Appearance Customization
Line Width: 1-5 pixel thickness options
Line Style: Solid, dotted, or dashed
Extension Bars: Control future projection (1-50 bars)
Text Options: Size, font, and bold formatting
Statistics Table
Enable/Disable: Toggle table visibility
Position: 5 placement options on chart
Real-time Data: Live market state and level information
🎯 Best Practices
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Use CISD levels across different timeframes for confluence
Risk Management: Always use proper position sizing and stop losses
Confirmation: Combine with volume, momentum, or other indicators
Market Context: Consider overall market conditions and news events
Backtesting: Test the levels on historical data before live trading
📋 Technical Specifications
Overlay: True (plots directly on price chart)
Max Lines: 500 (handles multiple historical levels)
Max Labels: 500 (supports extensive labeling)
Real-time Updates: Dynamic level calculation and alerts
Performance: Optimized code for smooth chart operation
🚀 Why Choose CISD Levels?
Precision: Advanced algorithm for accurate level identification
Flexibility: Extensive customization options for any trading style
Reliability: Proven market structure analysis methodology
User-Friendly: Intuitive settings with helpful tooltips
Professional: Clean, professional appearance on any chart
📞 Support & Updates
This indicator is actively maintained and updated. For questions, suggestions, or feature requests, feel free to reach out through TradingView messaging.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Best EMA FinderThis script, Best EMA Finder, is based on the same original logic as the Best SMA Finder I published previously. Although it was not the initial goal of the project, several users asked for an EMA version, so here it is.
The script scans a wide range of Exponential Moving Average (EMA) lengths, from 10 to 500, and identifies the one that historically delivered the most robust performance on the current chart. The choice to stop at 500 is deliberate: beyond that point, EMA curves tend to flatten and converge, adding processing time without meaningful differences in signals or outcomes.
Each EMA is evaluated using a custom robustness score:
Profit Factor × log(Number of Trades) × sqrt(Win Rate)
Only EMA lengths that exceed a user-defined minimum number of trades are considered valid. Among these, the one with the highest robustness score is selected and displayed on the chart.
A table summarizes the results:
- Best EMA length
- Total number of trades
- Profit Factor
- Win Rate
- Robustness Score
You can adjust:
- Strategy type: Long Only or Buy & Sell
- Minimum number of trades required
- Table visibility
This script is designed for analysis and optimization only. It does not execute trades or handle position sizing. Only one open trade per direction is considered at a time.
LTA - Futures Contract Size CalculatorLTA - Futures Contract Size Calculator
This indicator helps futures traders calculate the potential stop-loss (SL) value for their trades with ease. Simply input your entry price, stop-loss price, and number of contracts, and the indicator will compute the ticks moved, price movement, and total SL value in USD.
Key Features:
Supports a wide range of futures contracts, including:
Index Futures: E-mini S&P 500 (ES), Micro E-mini S&P 500 (MES), E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQ), Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 (MNQ)
Commodity Futures: Crude Oil (CL), Gold (GC), Micro Gold (MGC), Silver (SI), Micro Silver (SIL), Platinum (PL), Micro Platinum (MPL), Natural Gas (NG), Micro Natural Gas (MNG)
Bond Futures: 30-Year T-Bond (ZB)
Currency Futures: Euro FX (6E), Japanese Yen (6J), Australian Dollar (6A), British Pound (6B), Canadian Dollar (6C), Swiss Franc (6S), New Zealand Dollar (6N)
Displays key metrics in a clean table (bottom-right corner):
Instrument, Entry Price, Stop-Loss Price, Number of Contracts, Tick Size, Ticks Moved, Price Movement, and Total SL Value.
Automatically calculates based on the selected instrument’s tick size and tick value.
User-friendly interface with a dark theme for better visibility.
How to Use:
Add the indicator to your chart.
Select your instrument from the dropdown (ensure it matches your chart’s symbol, e.g., "NG1!" for NATURAL GAS (NG)).
Input your Entry Price, Stop-Loss Price, and Number of Contracts.
View the results in the table, including the Total SL Value in USD.
Ideal For:
Futures traders looking to quickly assess stop-loss risk.
Beginners and pros trading indices, commodities, bonds, or currencies.
Note: Ensure your chart symbol matches the selected instrument for accurate calculations. For best results, test with a few contracts and price levels to confirm the output.
This description is tailored for TradingView’s audience, providing a clear overview of the indicator’s functionality, supported instruments, and usage instructions. It also includes a note to help users avoid common pitfalls (e.g., mismatched symbols). If you’d like to adjust the tone, add more details, or include specific TradingView tags (e.g., , ), let me know!
CCI Divergence Detector
A technical analysis tool that identifies divergences between price action and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) oscillator. Unlike standard divergence indicators, this system employs advanced gradient visualization, multi-layer wave effects, and comprehensive customization options to provide traders with crystal-clear divergence signals and market momentum insights.
Core Detection Mechanism
CCI-Based Analysis: The indicator utilizes the Commodity Channel Index as its primary oscillator, calculated from user-configurable source data (default: HLC3) with adjustable length parameters. The CCI provides reliable momentum readings that effectively highlight price-momentum divergences.
Dynamic Pivot Detection: The system employs adaptive pivot detection with three sensitivity levels (High/Normal/Low) to identify significant highs and lows in both price and CCI values. This dynamic approach ensures optimal divergence detection across different market conditions and timeframes.
Dual Divergence Analysis:
Regular Bullish Divergences: Detected when price makes lower lows while CCI makes higher lows, indicating potential upward reversal
Regular Bearish Divergences: Identified when price makes higher highs while CCI makes lower highs, signaling potential downward reversal
Strength Classification System: Each detected divergence is automatically classified into three strength categories (Weak/Moderate/Strong) based on:
-Price differential magnitude
-CCI differential magnitude
-Time duration between pivot points
-User-configurable strength multiplier
Advanced Visual System
Multi-Layer Wave Effects: The indicator features a revolutionary wave visualization system that creates depth through multiple gradient layers around the CCI line. The wave width dynamically adjusts based on ATR volatility, providing intuitive visual feedback about market conditions.
Professional Color Gradient System: Nine independent color inputs control every visual aspect:
Bullish Colors (Light/Medium/Dark): Control oversold areas, wave effects, and strong bullish signals
Bearish Colors (Light/Medium/Dark): Manage overbought zones, wave fills, and strong bearish signals
Neutral Colors (Light/Medium/Dark): Handle table elements, zero line, and transitional states
Intelligent Color Mapping: Colors automatically adapt based on CCI values:
Overbought territory (>100): Bearish color gradients with increasing intensity
Neutral positive (0 to 100): Blend from neutral to bearish tones
Oversold territory (<-100): Bullish color gradients with increasing intensity
Neutral negative (-100 to 0): Transition from neutral to bullish tones
Key Features & Components
Advanced Configuration System: Eight organized input groups provide granular control:
General Settings: System enable, pivot length, confidence thresholds
Oscillator Selection: CCI parameters, overbought/oversold levels, normalization options
Detection Parameters: Divergence types, minimum strength requirements
Sensitivity Tuning: Pivot sensitivity, divergence threshold, confirmation bars
Visual System: Line thickness, labels, backgrounds, table display
Wave Effects: Dynamic width, volatility response, layer count, glow effects
Transparency Controls: Independent transparency for all visual elements
Smoothing & Filtering: CCI smoothing types, noise filtering, wave smoothing
Professional Alert System: Comprehensive alert functionality with dynamic messages including:
-Divergence type and strength classification
-Current CCI value and confidence percentage
-Customizable alert frequency and conditions
Enhanced Information Table: Real-time display showing:
-Current CCI length and value
-Market status (Overbought/Normal/Oversold)
-Active sensitivity setting
Configurable table positioning (4 corner options)
Visual Elements Explained
Primary CCI Line: Main oscillator plot with gradient coloring that reflects market momentum and CCI intensity. Line thickness is user-configurable (1-8 pixels).
Wave Effect Layers: Multi-layer gradient fills creating a dynamic wave around the
CCI line:
-Outer layers provide broad market context
-Inner layers highlight immediate momentum
-Core layers show precise CCI movement
-All layers respond to volatility and momentum changes
Divergence Lines & Labels:
-Solid lines connecting divergence pivot points
-Color-coded based on divergence type and strength
-Labels displaying divergence type and strength classification
-Customizable transparency and size options
Reference Lines:
-Zero line with neutral color coding
-Overbought level (default: 100) with bearish coloring
-Oversold level (default: -100) with bullish coloring
Background Gradient: Optional background coloring that reflects CCI intensity and market conditions with user-controlled transparency (80-99%).
Configuration Options
Sensitivity Controls:
Pivot sensitivity: High/Normal/Low detection levels
Divergence threshold: 0.1-2.0 sensitivity range
Confirmation bars: 1-5 bar confirmation requirement
Strength multiplier: 0.1-3.0 calculation adjustment
Visual Customization:
Line transparency: 0-90% for main elements
Wave transparency: 0-95% for fill effects
Background transparency: 80-99% for subtle background
Label transparency: 0-50% for text elements
Glow transparency: 50-95% for glow effects
Advanced Processing:
Five smoothing types: None/SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA
Noise filtering with adjustable threshold (0.1-10.0)
CCI normalization for enhanced gradient scaling
Dynamic wave width with ATR-based volatility response
Interpretation Guidelines
Divergence Signals:
Strong divergences: High-confidence reversal signals requiring immediate attention
Moderate divergences: Reliable signals suitable for most trading strategies
Weak divergences: Early warning signals best combined with additional confirmation
Wave Intensity: Wave width and color intensity provide real-time volatility and momentum feedback. Wider, more intense waves indicate higher market volatility and stronger momentum.
Color Transitions: Smooth color transitions between bullish, neutral, and bearish states help identify market regime changes and momentum shifts.
CCI Levels: Traditional overbought (>100) and oversold (<-100) levels remain relevant, but the gradient system provides more nuanced momentum reading between these extremes.
Technical Specifications
Compatible Timeframes: All timeframes supported
Maximum Labels: 500 (for divergence marking)
Maximum Lines: 500 (for divergence drawing)
Pine Script Version: v5 (latest optimization)
Overlay Mode: False (separate pane indicator)
Usage Recommendations
This indicator works best when:
-Combined with price action analysis and support/resistance levels
-Used across multiple timeframes for confirmation
-Integrated with proper risk management protocols
-Applied in trending markets for divergence-based reversal signals
-Utilized with other technical indicators for comprehensive analysis
Risk Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk of loss. This indicator is provided for analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Divergence signals, while powerful, are not guaranteed to predict future price movements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use proper risk management and never trade with capital you cannot afford to lose.
Bear Market Probability Model# Bear Market Probability Model: A Multi-Factor Risk Assessment Framework
The Bear Market Probability Model represents a comprehensive quantitative framework for assessing systemic market risk through the integration of 13 distinct risk factors across four analytical categories: macroeconomic indicators, technical analysis factors, market sentiment measures, and market breadth metrics. This indicator synthesizes established financial research methodologies to provide real-time probabilistic assessments of impending bear market conditions, offering institutional-grade risk management capabilities to retail and professional traders alike.
## Theoretical Foundation
### Historical Context of Bear Market Prediction
Bear market prediction has been a central focus of financial research since the seminal work of Dow (1901) and the subsequent development of technical analysis theory. The challenge of predicting market downturns gained renewed academic attention following the market crashes of 1929, 1987, 2000, and 2008, leading to the development of sophisticated multi-factor models.
Fama and French (1989) demonstrated that certain financial variables possess predictive power for stock returns, particularly during market stress periods. Their three-factor model laid the groundwork for multi-dimensional risk assessment, which this indicator extends through the incorporation of real-time market microstructure data.
### Methodological Framework
The model employs a weighted composite scoring methodology based on the theoretical framework established by Campbell and Shiller (1998) for market valuation assessment, extended through the incorporation of high-frequency sentiment and technical indicators as proposed by Baker and Wurgler (2006) in their seminal work on investor sentiment.
The mathematical foundation follows the general form:
Bear Market Probability = Σ(Wi × Ci) / ΣWi × 100
Where:
- Wi = Category weight (i = 1,2,3,4)
- Ci = Normalized category score
- Categories: Macroeconomic, Technical, Sentiment, Breadth
## Component Analysis
### 1. Macroeconomic Risk Factors
#### Yield Curve Analysis
The inclusion of yield curve inversion as a primary predictor follows extensive research by Estrella and Mishkin (1998), who demonstrated that the term spread between 3-month and 10-year Treasury securities has historically preceded all major recessions since 1969. The model incorporates both the 2Y-10Y and 3M-10Y spreads to capture different aspects of monetary policy expectations.
Implementation:
- 2Y-10Y Spread: Captures market expectations of monetary policy trajectory
- 3M-10Y Spread: Traditional recession predictor with 12-18 month lead time
Scientific Basis: Harvey (1988) and subsequent research by Ang, Piazzesi, and Wei (2006) established the theoretical foundation linking yield curve inversions to economic contractions through the expectations hypothesis of the term structure.
#### Credit Risk Premium Assessment
High-yield credit spreads serve as a real-time gauge of systemic risk, following the methodology established by Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012) in their excess bond premium research. The model incorporates the ICE BofA High Yield Master II Option-Adjusted Spread as a proxy for credit market stress.
Threshold Calibration:
- Normal conditions: < 350 basis points
- Elevated risk: 350-500 basis points
- Severe stress: > 500 basis points
#### Currency and Commodity Stress Indicators
The US Dollar Index (DXY) momentum serves as a risk-off indicator, while the Gold-to-Oil ratio captures commodity market stress dynamics. This approach follows the methodology of Akram (2009) and Beckmann, Berger, and Czudaj (2015) in analyzing commodity-currency relationships during market stress.
### 2. Technical Analysis Factors
#### Multi-Timeframe Moving Average Analysis
The technical component incorporates the well-established moving average convergence methodology, drawing from the work of Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), who provided empirical evidence for the profitability of technical trading rules.
Implementation:
- Price relative to 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages
- Moving average convergence/divergence analysis
- Multi-timeframe MACD assessment (daily and weekly)
#### Momentum and Volatility Analysis
The model integrates Relative Strength Index (RSI) analysis following Wilder's (1978) original methodology, combined with maximum drawdown analysis based on the work of Magdon-Ismail and Atiya (2004) on optimal drawdown measurement.
### 3. Market Sentiment Factors
#### Volatility Index Analysis
The VIX component follows the established research of Whaley (2009) and subsequent work by Bekaert and Hoerova (2014) on VIX as a predictor of market stress. The model incorporates both absolute VIX levels and relative VIX spikes compared to the 20-day moving average.
Calibration:
- Low volatility: VIX < 20
- Elevated concern: VIX 20-25
- High fear: VIX > 25
- Panic conditions: VIX > 30
#### Put-Call Ratio Analysis
Options flow analysis through put-call ratios provides insight into sophisticated investor positioning, following the methodology established by Pan and Poteshman (2006) in their analysis of informed trading in options markets.
### 4. Market Breadth Factors
#### Advance-Decline Analysis
Market breadth assessment follows the classic work of Fosback (1976) and subsequent research by Brown and Cliff (2004) on market breadth as a predictor of future returns.
Components:
- Daily advance-decline ratio
- Advance-decline line momentum
- McClellan Oscillator (Ema19 - Ema39 of A-D difference)
#### New Highs-New Lows Analysis
The new highs-new lows ratio serves as a market leadership indicator, based on the research of Zweig (1986) and validated in academic literature by Zarowin (1990).
## Dynamic Threshold Methodology
The model incorporates adaptive thresholds based on rolling volatility and trend analysis, following the methodology established by Pagan and Sossounov (2003) for business cycle dating. This approach allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing market conditions.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
- Warning Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.0)
- Danger Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.5)
- Bounds: ±10-20 points from base threshold
## Professional Implementation
### Institutional Usage Patterns
Professional risk managers typically employ multi-factor bear market models in several contexts:
#### 1. Portfolio Risk Management
- Tactical Asset Allocation: Reducing equity exposure when probability exceeds 60-70%
- Hedging Strategies: Implementing protective puts or VIX calls when warning thresholds are breached
- Sector Rotation: Shifting from growth to defensive sectors during elevated risk periods
#### 2. Risk Budgeting
- Value-at-Risk Adjustment: Incorporating bear market probability into VaR calculations
- Stress Testing: Using probability levels to calibrate stress test scenarios
- Capital Requirements: Adjusting regulatory capital based on systemic risk assessment
#### 3. Client Communication
- Risk Reporting: Quantifying market risk for client presentations
- Investment Committee Decisions: Providing objective risk metrics for strategic decisions
- Performance Attribution: Explaining defensive positioning during market stress
### Implementation Framework
Professional traders typically implement such models through:
#### Signal Hierarchy:
1. Probability < 30%: Normal risk positioning
2. Probability 30-50%: Increased hedging, reduced leverage
3. Probability 50-70%: Defensive positioning, cash building
4. Probability > 70%: Maximum defensive posture, short exposure consideration
#### Risk Management Integration:
- Position Sizing: Inverse relationship between probability and position size
- Stop-Loss Adjustment: Tighter stops during elevated risk periods
- Correlation Monitoring: Increased attention to cross-asset correlations
## Strengths and Advantages
### 1. Comprehensive Coverage
The model's primary strength lies in its multi-dimensional approach, avoiding the single-factor bias that has historically plagued market timing models. By incorporating macroeconomic, technical, sentiment, and breadth factors, the model provides robust risk assessment across different market regimes.
### 2. Dynamic Adaptability
The adaptive threshold mechanism allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing volatility conditions, reducing false signals during low-volatility periods and maintaining sensitivity during high-volatility regimes.
### 3. Real-Time Processing
Unlike traditional academic models that rely on monthly or quarterly data, this indicator processes daily market data, providing timely risk assessment for active portfolio management.
### 4. Transparency and Interpretability
The component-based structure allows users to understand which factors are driving risk assessment, enabling informed decision-making about model signals.
### 5. Historical Validation
Each component has been validated in academic literature, providing theoretical foundation for the model's predictive power.
## Limitations and Weaknesses
### 1. Data Dependencies
The model's effectiveness depends heavily on the availability and quality of real-time economic data. Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) updates may have lags that could impact model responsiveness during rapidly evolving market conditions.
### 2. Regime Change Sensitivity
Like most quantitative models, the indicator may struggle during unprecedented market conditions or structural regime changes where historical relationships break down (Taleb, 2007).
### 3. False Signal Risk
Multi-factor models inherently face the challenge of balancing sensitivity with specificity. The model may generate false positive signals during normal market volatility periods.
### 4. Currency and Geographic Bias
The model focuses primarily on US market indicators, potentially limiting its effectiveness for global portfolio management or non-USD denominated assets.
### 5. Correlation Breakdown
During extreme market stress, correlations between risk factors may increase dramatically, reducing the model's diversification benefits (Forbes and Rigobon, 2002).
## References
Akram, Q. F. (2009). Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar. Energy Economics, 31(6), 838-851.
Ang, A., Piazzesi, M., & Wei, M. (2006). What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? Journal of Econometrics, 131(1-2), 359-403.
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). Investor sentiment and the cross‐section of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645-1680.
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593-1636.
Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2001). Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 261-292.
Beckmann, J., Berger, T., & Czudaj, R. (2015). Does gold act as a hedge or a safe haven for stocks? A smooth transition approach. Economic Modelling, 48, 16-24.
Bekaert, G., & Hoerova, M. (2014). The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility. Journal of Econometrics, 183(2), 181-192.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple technical trading rules and the stochastic properties of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764.
Brown, G. W., & Cliff, M. T. (2004). Investor sentiment and the near-term stock market. Journal of Empirical Finance, 11(1), 1-27.
Campbell, J. Y., & Shiller, R. J. (1998). Valuation ratios and the long-run stock market outlook. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 24(2), 11-26.
Dow, C. H. (1901). Scientific stock speculation. The Magazine of Wall Street.
Estrella, A., & Mishkin, F. S. (1998). Predicting US recessions: Financial variables as leading indicators. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(1), 45-61.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1989). Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 25(1), 23-49.
Forbes, K. J., & Rigobon, R. (2002). No contagion, only interdependence: measuring stock market comovements. The Journal of Finance, 57(5), 2223-2261.
Fosback, N. G. (1976). Stock market logic: A sophisticated approach to profits on Wall Street. The Institute for Econometric Research.
Gilchrist, S., & Zakrajšek, E. (2012). Credit spreads and business cycle fluctuations. American Economic Review, 102(4), 1692-1720.
Harvey, C. R. (1988). The real term structure and consumption growth. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(2), 305-333.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Magdon-Ismail, M., & Atiya, A. F. (2004). Maximum drawdown. Risk, 17(10), 99-102.
Nickerson, R. S. (1998). Confirmation bias: A ubiquitous phenomenon in many guises. Review of General Psychology, 2(2), 175-220.
Pagan, A. R., & Sossounov, K. A. (2003). A simple framework for analysing bull and bear markets. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18(1), 23-46.
Pan, J., & Poteshman, A. M. (2006). The information in option volume for future stock prices. The Review of Financial Studies, 19(3), 871-908.
Taleb, N. N. (2007). The black swan: The impact of the highly improbable. Random House.
Whaley, R. E. (2009). Understanding the VIX. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 35(3), 98-105.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New concepts in technical trading systems. Trend Research.
Zarowin, P. (1990). Size, seasonality, and stock market overreaction. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 25(1), 113-125.
Zweig, M. E. (1986). Winning on Wall Street. Warner Books.
Momentum Long + Short Strategy (BTC 3H)Momentum Long + Short Strategy (BTC 3H)
🔍 How It Works, Step by Step
Detect the Trend (📈/📉)
Calculate two moving averages (100-period and 500-period), either EMA or SMA.
For longs, we require MA100 > MA500 (uptrend).
For shorts, we block entries if MA100 exceeds MA500 by more than a set percentage (to avoid fading a powerful uptrend).
Apply Momentum Filters (⚡️)
RSI Filter: Measures recent strength—only allow longs when RSI crosses above its smoothed average, and shorts when RSI dips below the oversold threshold.
ADX Filter: Gauges trend strength—ensures we only enter when a meaningful trend exists (optional).
ATR Filter: Confirms volatility—avoids choppy, low-volatility conditions by requiring ATR to exceed its smoothed value (optional).
Confirm Entry Conditions (✅)
Long Entry:
Price is above both MAs
Trend alignment & optional filters pass ✅
Short Entry:
Price is below both MAs and below the lower Bollinger Band
RSI is sufficiently oversold
Trend-blocker & ATR filter pass ✅
Position Sizing & Risk (💰)
Each trade uses 100 % of account equity by default.
One pyramid addition allowed, so you can scale in if the move continues.
Commission and slippage assumptions built in for realistic backtests.
Stops & Exits (🛑)
Long Stop-Loss: e.g. 3 % below entry.
Long Auto-Exit: If price falls back under the 500-period MA.
Short Stop-Loss: e.g. 3 % above entry.
Short Take-Profit: e.g. 4 % below entry.
🎨 Why It’s Powerful & Customizable
Modular Filters: Turn on/off RSI, ADX, ATR filters to suit different market regimes.
Adjustable Thresholds: Fine-tune stop-loss %, take-profit %, RSI lengths, MA gaps and more.
Multi-Timeframe Potential: Although coded for 3 h BTC, you can adapt it to stocks, forex or other cryptos—just recalibrate!
Backtest Fine-Tuned: Default settings were optimized via backtesting on historical BTC data—but they’re not guarantees of future performance.
⚠️ Warning & Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational purposes only and designed for a toy fund. Crypto markets are highly volatile—you can lose 100 % of your capital. It is not a predictive “holy grail” but a rules-based framework using past data. The parameters have been fine-tuned on historical data and are not valid for future trades without fresh calibration. Always practice with paper-trading first, use proper risk management, and do your own research before risking real money. 🚨🔒
Good luck exploring and experimenting! 🚀📊
Supertrend with Volume Filter AlertSupertrend with Volume Filter Alert - Indicator Overview
What is the Supertrend Indicator?
The Supertrend indicator is a popular trend-following tool used by traders to identify the direction of the market and potential entry/exit points. It is based on the Average True Range (ATR), which measures volatility, and plots a line on the chart that acts as a dynamic support or resistance level. When the price is above the Supertrend line, it signals an uptrend (bullish), and when the price is below, it indicates a downtrend (bearish). The indicator is particularly effective in trending markets but can generate false signals during choppy or sideways conditions.
How This Script Works
The "Supertrend with Volume Filter Alert" enhances the classic Supertrend indicator by adding a customizable volume filter to improve signal reliability.
Here's how it functions:
Supertrend Calculation:The Supertrend is calculated using the ATR over a user-defined period (default: 55) and a multiplier (default: 1.85). These parameters control the sensitivity of the indicator:A higher ATR period smooths out volatility, making the indicator less reactive to short-term price fluctuations.The multiplier determines the distance of the Supertrend line from the price, affecting how quickly it responds to trend changes.The script plots the Supertrend line in cyan for uptrends and red for downtrends, making it easy to visualize the market direction.
Volume Filter:A key feature of this script is the volume filter, which helps filter out false signals in choppy markets. The filter compares the current volume to the average volume over a lookback period (default: 20) and only triggers signals if the volume exceeds the average by a specified multiplier (default: 2.0).This ensures that trend changes are accompanied by significant market participation, increasing the likelihood of a genuine trend shift.
Signals and Alerts:
Buy signals (cyan triangle below the bar) are generated when the price crosses above the Supertrend line (indicating an uptrend) and the volume condition is met.Sell signals (red triangle above the bar) are generated when the price crosses below the Supertrend line (indicating a downtrend) and the volume condition is met.Alerts are set up for both buy and sell signals, notifying traders only when the volume filter confirms the trend change.
Customizable Settings for Multiple Markets
The default settings in this script (ATR Period: 55, ATR Multiplier: 1.85, Volume Lookback Period: 20, Volume Multiplier: 2.0) were carefully chosen to provide a balance of sensitivity and reliability across various markets, including stocks, indices (like the S&P 500), forex, and cryptocurrencies.
Here's why these settings work well:
ATR Period (55): A longer ATR period smooths out volatility, making the indicator less prone to whipsaws in volatile markets like crypto or forex, while still being responsive enough for trending markets like indices.
ATR Multiplier (1.85): This multiplier strikes a balance between capturing early trend changes and avoiding noise. A smaller multiplier would make the indicator too sensitive, while a larger one might miss early opportunities.
Volume Lookback Period (20): A 20-bar lookback for volume averaging provides a robust baseline for identifying significant volume spikes, adaptable to both short-term (e.g., daily charts) and longer-term (e.g., weekly charts) timeframes.
Volume Multiplier (2.0): Requiring volume to be at least 2x the average ensures that only high-conviction moves trigger signals, which is crucial for markets with varying liquidity levels.
These parameters are fully customizable, allowing traders to adjust the indicator to their specific market, timeframe, or trading style. For example, you might reduce the ATR period for faster-moving markets or increase the volume multiplier for more conservative signal filtering.
How the Volume Filter Reduces Bad Trades in Choppy Markets
One of the main drawbacks of the Supertrend indicator is its tendency to generate false signals during choppy or ranging markets, where price fluctuates without a clear trend. The volume filter in this script addresses this issue by ensuring that trend changes are backed by significant market activity:
In choppy markets, price movements often lack strong volume, leading to false breakouts or reversals. By requiring volume to be a multiple (default: 2x) of the average volume over the lookback period, the script filters out these low-volume, low-conviction moves.This reduces the likelihood of taking bad trades during sideways markets, as only trend changes with strong volume confirmation will trigger signals. For example, on a daily chart of the S&P 500, a buy signal will only fire if the price crosses above the Supertrend line and the volume on that day is at least twice the 20-day average, indicating genuine buying pressure.
Usage Tips
Markets and Timeframes: This indicator is versatile and can be used on various assets (stocks, indices, forex, crypto) and timeframes (1-minute, 1-hour, daily, etc.). Adjust the settings based on the market's volatility and your trading strategy.
Combine with Other Indicators: While the volume filter improves reliability, consider using additional indicators like RSI or MACD to confirm trends, especially in ranging markets.
Backtesting: Test the indicator on historical data for your chosen market to optimize the settings and ensure they align with your trading goals.
Alerts: Set up alerts for buy and sell signals to stay informed of high-probability trend changes without constantly monitoring the chart.
ConclusionThe "Supertrend with Volume Filter Alert" is a powerful tool for trend-following traders, combining the simplicity of the Supertrend indicator with a volume-based filter to enhance signal accuracy. Its customizable settings make it adaptable to multiple markets, while the volume filter helps reduce false signals in choppy conditions, allowing traders to focus on high-probability trades. Whether you're trading stocks, indices, forex, or crypto, this indicator can help you identify trends with greater confidence.
VWAP Breakout Strategy + EMAs + Clean Cycle/TP/SL PlotsHere’s a quick user-guide to get you up and running with your “VWAP Breakout Strategy + EMAs + Clean Cycle/TP/SL Plots” script in TradingView:
⸻
1. Installing the Script
1. Open TradingView, go to Pine Editor (bottom panel).
2. Paste in your full Pine-v6 code and hit Add to chart.
3. Save it (“Save as…”): give it a memorable name (e.g. “VWAP Breakout+EMAs”).
⸻
2. Configuring Your Inputs
Once it’s on the chart, click the ⚙️ Settings icon to tune:
Setting Default What it does
ATR Length 14 Period for average true range (volatility measure)
ATR Multiplier for Stop 1.5 How many ATRs away your stop-loss sits
TP1 / TP2 Multipliers (ATR) 1.0 / 2.0 Distance of TP1 and TP2 in ATR multiples
Show VWAP / EMAs On Toggles the blue VWAP line & EMAs (100/34/5)
Full Cycle Range Points 200 Height of the shaded “cycle zone”
Pivot Lookback 5 How many bars back to detect a pivot low
Round Number Step 500 Spacing of your dotted horizontal lines
Show TP/SL Labels On Toggles all the “ENTRY”, “TP1”, “TP2”, “STOP” tags
Feel free to adjust ATR multipliers and cycle-zone size based on the instrument’s typical range.
⸻
3. Reading the Signals
• Long Entry:
• Trigger: price crosses above VWAP
• You’ll see a green “Buy” tag at the low of the signal bar, plus an “ENTRY (Long)” label at the close.
• Stop is plotted as a red dashed line below (ATR × 1.5), and TP1/TP2 as teal and purple lines above.
• Short Entry:
• Trigger: price crosses below VWAP
• A red “Sell” tag appears at the high, with “ENTRY (Short)” at the close.
• Stop is the green line above; TP1/TP2 are dashed teal/purple lines below.
⸻
4. Full Cycle Zone
Whenever a new pivot low is detected (using your Pivot Lookback), the script deletes the old box and draws a shaded yellow rectangle from that low up by “Full Cycle Range Points.”
• Use this to visualize the “maximum expected swing” from your pivot.
• You can quickly see whether price is still traveling within a normal cycle or has overstretched.
⸻
5. Round-Number Levels
With Show Round Number Levels enabled, you’ll always get horizontal dotted lines at the nearest multiples of your “Round Number Step” (e.g. every 500 points).
• These often act as psychological support/resistance.
• Handy to see confluence with VWAP or cycle-zone edges.
⸻
6. Tips & Best-Practices
• Timeframes: Apply on any intraday chart (5 min, 15 min, H1…), but match your ATR length & cycle-points to the timeframe’s typical range.
• Backtest first: Use the Strategy Tester tab to review performance, tweak ATR multipliers or cycle size, then optimize.
• Combine with context: Don’t trade VWAP breakouts blindly—look for confluence (e.g. support/resistance zones, higher-timeframe trend).
• Label clutter: If too many labels build up, you can toggle Show TP/SL Labels off and rely just on the lines.
⸻
That’s it! Once you’ve added it to your chart and dialed in the inputs, your entries, exits, cycle ranges, and key levels will all be plotted automatically. Feel free to experiment with the ATR multipliers and cycle-zone size until it fits your instrument’s personality. Happy trading!
BBands Channels with EMAs# **BBands Channels with EMAs Indicator Explanation**
---
## **📌 Feature Overview**
### **1. Bollinger Bands**
- **Basis Line**: 160-period SMA (adjustable)
- **Inner Bands**:
- **Upper**: Basis + 2× Standard Deviation
- **Lower**: Basis - 2× Standard Deviation
- **Outer Bands**:
- **Upper Top**: Basis + 3× Standard Deviation
- **Lower Low**: Basis - 3× Standard Deviation
- **Fill Effect**: Semi-transparent black fill between inner and outer bands
### **2. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)**
| Period | Purpose | Line Style |
|--------------|-----------------------------|------------------|
| **EMA 27** | Short-term trend | Thin line |
| **EMA 120** | Short-to-medium-term trend | Medium line |
| **EMA 200** | Medium-term trend | Medium line |
| **EMA 1120** | Ultra-long-term trend | Thick line |
---
## **⚙️ Parameter Settings**
### **Bollinger Bands**
| Parameter | Default | Description |
|---------------|---------|--------------------------------------|
| `length` | 160 | SMA calculation period |
| `mult` | 2.0 | Standard deviation multiplier (inner bands) |
| `multOuter` | 3.0 | Standard deviation multiplier (outer bands) |
| `offset` | 0 | Time offset for plots (±500 bars) |
### **Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)**
| Parameter | Default | Description |
|-----------------|---------|---------------------------|
| `ema1Length` | 27 | EMA 1 period |
| `ema2Length` | 120 | EMA 2 period |
| `ema3Length` | 200 | EMA 3 period |
| `ema4Length` | 1120 | EMA 4 period |
---
## **📊 Use Cases**
### **1. Trend Confirmation**
- **Bullish Trend**: Price above EMA200 + Bollinger Band expansion
- **Bearish Trend**: Price below EMA200 + Bollinger Band expansion
### **2. Overbought/Oversold Signals**
- **Upper Band Touch**: Price reaches Upper Top → Potential overbought
- **Lower Band Touch**: Price reaches Lower Low → Potential oversold
### **3. Volatility Strategies**
- **Band Squeeze**: Narrowing gap between bands → Breakout warning
- **Band Expansion**: Price breaks outer band → Trend acceleration
---
**✅ Summary**
This indicator combines **Bollinger Bands + Multi-period EMAs** for:
- Trend tracking
- Volatility analysis
- Multi-timeframe strategies
---
# **BBands Channels with EMAs 指標說明**
---
## **📌 功能概述**
### **1. 布林通道 (Bollinger Bands)**
- **基礎線 (Basis Line)**: 160週期SMA（可調整）
- **內通道 (Inner Bands)**:
- 上軌 (Upper): 基礎線 + 2倍標準差
- 下軌 (Lower): 基礎線 - 2倍標準差
- **外通道 (Outer Bands)**:
- 上外軌 (Upper Top): 基礎線 + 3倍標準差
- 下外軌 (Lower Low): 基礎線 - 3倍標準差
- **填充效果**: 內外通道間半透明黑色填充
### **2. 指數移動平均線 (EMAs)**
| 週期 | 用途 | 線條樣式 |
|-------------|-------------------|-----------------|
| **EMA 27** | 短期趨勢 | 細線 |
| **EMA 120** | 中短期趨勢 | 中等線 |
| **EMA 200** | 中期趨勢 | 中等線 |
| **EMA 1120**| 超長期趨勢 | 粗線 |
---
## **⚙️ 參數設定**
### **布林通道 (Bollinger Bands)**
| 參數名 | 預設值 | 說明 |
|-------------|--------|---------------------------|
| `length` | 160 | SMA計算週期 |
| `mult` | 2.0 | 內通道標準差倍數 |
| `multOuter` | 3.0 | 外通道標準差倍數 |
| `offset` | 0 | 線圖時間偏移（±500根K棒） |
### **指數移動平均線 (EMAs)**
| 參數名 | 預設值 | 說明 |
|----------------|---------|-------------------|
| `ema1Length` | 27 | 第一條EMA週期 |
| `ema2Length` | 120 | 第二條EMA週期 |
| `ema3Length` | 200 | 第三條EMA週期 |
| `ema4Length` | 1120 | 第四條EMA週期 |
---
## **📊 應用場景**
### **1. 趨勢確認**
- **多頭趨勢**: 價格在EMA200上方 + 布林通道擴張
- **空頭趨勢**: 價格在EMA200下方 + 布林通道擴張
### **2. 超買超賣信號**
- **觸及外軌**: 價格觸碰Upper Top → 可能超買
- **觸及下軌**: 價格觸碰Lower Low → 可能超賣
### **3. 波動率策略**
- **通道收窄**: 內外通道間距縮小 → 突破預警
- **通道擴張**: 價格突破外軌 → 趨勢加速
---
**✅ 總結**
本指標透過**布林通道+多週期EMA**的組合，適用於：
- 趨勢跟蹤
- 波動率分析
- 多時間框架策略
Breadth-Driven Swing StrategyWhat it does
This script trades the S&P 500 purely on market breadth extremes:
• Data source : INDEX:S5TH = % of S&P 500 stocks above their own 200-day SMA (range 0–100).
• Buy when breadth is washed-out.
• Sell when breadth is overheated.
It is long-only by design; shorting and ATR trailing stops have been removed to keep the logic minimal and transparent.
⸻
Signals in plain English
1. Long entry
A. A 200-EMA trough in breadth is printed and the trough value is ≤ 40 %.
or
B. A 5-EMA trough appears, its prominence passes the user threshold, and the lowest breadth reading in the last 20 bars is ≤ 20 %.
(Toggle this secondary trigger on/off with “ Enter also on 5-EMA trough ”.)
2. Exit (close long)
First 200-EMA peak whose breadth value is ≥ 70 %.
3. Risk control
A fixed stop-loss (% of entry price, default 8 %) is attached to every long trade.
⸻
Key parameters (defaults shown)
• Long EMA length 200 • Short EMA length 5
• Peak prominence 0.5 pct-pts • Trough prominence 3 pct-pts
• Peak level 70 % • Trough level 40 % • 5-EMA trough level 20 %
• Fixed stop-loss 8 %
• “Enter also on 5-EMA trough” = true (allows additional entries on extreme momentum reversals)
Feel free to tighten or relax any of these thresholds to match your risk profile or account for different market regimes.
⸻
How to use it
1. Load the script on a daily SPX / SPY chart.
(The price chart drives order execution; the breadth series is pulled internally and does not need to be on the chart.)
2. Verify the breadth feed.
INDEX:S5TH is updated after each session; your broker must provide it.
3. Back-test across several cycles.
Two decades of daily data is recommended to see how the rules behave in bear markets, range markets, and bull trends.
4. Adjust position sizing in the Properties tab.
The default is “100 % of equity”; change it if you prefer smaller allocations or pyramiding caps.
⸻
Why it can help
• Breadth signals often lead price, allowing entries before index-level momentum turns.
• Simple, rule-based exits prevent “waiting for confirmation” paralysis.
• Only one input series—easy to audit, no black-box math.
Trade-offs
• Relies on a single breadth metric; other internals (advance/decline, equal-weight returns, etc.) are ignored.
• May sit in cash during shallow pullbacks that never push breadth ≤ 40 %.
• Signals arrive at the end of the session (breadth is EoD data).
⸻
Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Markets are risky; test thoroughly and use your own judgment before trading real money.
ストラテジー概要
本スクリプトは S&P500 のマーケットブレッド（内部需給） だけを手がかりに、指数をスイングトレードします。
• ブレッドデータ : INDEX:S5TH
（S&P500 採用銘柄のうち、それぞれの 200 日移動平均線を上回っている銘柄比率。0–100 %）
• 買い : ブレッドが極端に売られたタイミング。
• 売り : ブレッドが過熱状態に達したタイミング。
余計な機能を削り、ロングオンリー & 固定ストップ のシンプル設計にしています。
⸻
シグナルの流れ
1. ロングエントリー
• 条件 A : 200-EMA がトラフを付け、その値が 40 % 以下
• 条件 B : 5-EMA がトラフを付け、
・プロミネンス条件を満たし
・直近 20 本のブレッドス最小値が 20 % 以下
• B 条件は「5-EMA トラフでもエントリー」を ON にすると有効
2. ロング決済
最初に出現した 200-EMA ピーク で、かつ値が 70 % 以上 のバーで手仕舞い。
3. リスク管理
各トレードに 固定ストップ（初期価格から 8 %）を設定。
⸻
主なパラメータ（デフォルト値）
• 長期 EMA 長さ : 200 • 短期 EMA 長さ : 5
• ピーク判定プロミネンス : 0.5 %pt • トラフ判定プロミネンス : 3 %pt
• ピーク水準 : 70 % • トラフ水準 : 40 % • 5-EMA トラフ水準 : 20 %
• 固定ストップ : 8 %
• 「5-EMA トラフでもエントリー」 : ON
相場環境やリスク許容度に合わせて閾値を調整してください。
⸻
使い方
1. 日足の SPX / SPY チャート にスクリプトを適用。
2. ブレッドデータの供給 (INDEX:S5TH) がブローカーで利用可能か確認。
3. 20 年以上の期間でバックテスト し、強気相場・弱気相場・レンジ局面での挙動を確認。
4. 資金配分 は プロパティ → 戦略実行 で調整可能（初期値は「資金の 100 %」）。
⸻
強み
• ブレッドは 価格より先行 することが多く、天底を早期に捉えやすい。
• ルールベースの出口で「もう少し待とう」と迷わずに済む。
• 入力 series は 1 本のみ、ブラックボックス要素なし。
注意点・弱み
• 単一指標に依存。他の内部需給（A/D ライン等）は考慮しない。
• 40 % を割らない浅い押し目では機会損失が起こる。
• ブレッドは終値ベースの更新。ザラ場中の変化は捉えられない。
⸻
免責事項
本スクリプトは 学習目的 で提供しています。投資助言ではありません。
実取引の前に必ず自己責任で十分な検証とリスク管理を行ってください。
Market Breadth Peaks & Troughs IndicatorIndicator Overview
Market Breadth (S5TH) visualizes extremes of market strength and weakness by overlaying -
a 200-period EMA (long-term trend)
a 5-period EMA (short-term trend, user-adjustable)
on the percentage of S&P 500 constituents trading above their 200-day SMA (INDEX:S5TH).
Peaks (▼) and troughs (▲) are detected with prominence filters so you can quickly spot overbought and oversold conditions.
⸻
1. Core Logic
Component Description
Breadth series INDEX:S5TH — % of S&P 500 stocks above their 200-SMA
Long EMA 200-EMA to capture the primary trend
Short EMA 5-EMA (default, editable) for short-term swings
Peak detection ta.pivothigh + prominence ⇒ major peaks marked with red ▼
Trough detection (200 EMA) ta.pivotlow + prominence + value < longTroughLvl ⇒ blue ▲
Trough detection (5 EMA) ta.pivotlow + prominence + value < shortTroughLvl ⇒ green ▲
Background shading Pink when 200 EMA slope is down and 5 EMA sits below 200 EMA
⸻
2. Adjustable Parameters (input())
Group Variable Default Purpose
Symbol breadthSym INDEX:S5TH Breadth index
Long EMA longLen 200 Period of long EMA
Short EMA shortLen 5 Period of short EMA
Pivot width (long) pivotLen 20 Bars left/right for 200-EMA peaks/troughs
Pivot width (short) pivotLenS 10 Bars for 5-EMA troughs
Prominence (long) promThresh 0.5 %-pt Depth filter for 200-EMA pivots
Prominence (short) promThreshS 3.0 %-pt Depth filter for 5-EMA pivots
Trough level (long) longTroughLvl 50 % Max value to accept a 200-EMA trough
Trough level (short) shortTroughLvl 30 % Max value to accept a 5-EMA trough
⸻
3. Signal Guide
Marker / Color Meaning Typical reading
Red ▼ Major breadth peak Overbought / possible top
Blue ▲ Deep 200-EMA trough End of mid-term correction
Green ▲ Shallow 5-EMA trough (early) Short-term rebound setup
Pink background Long-term down-trend and short-term weak Risk-off phase
⸻
4. Typical Use Cases
1. Counter-trend timing
• Fade greed: trim longs on red ▼
• Buy fear: scale in on green ▲; add on blue ▲
2. Trend filter
• Avoid new longs while the background is pink; wait for a trough & recovery.
3. Risk management
• Reduce exposure when peaks appear, reload partial size on confirmed troughs.
⸻
5. Notes & Tips
• INDEX:S5TH is sourced from TradingView and may be back-adjusted when index membership changes.
• Fine-tune pivotLen, promThresh, and level thresholds to match current volatility before relying on alerts or automated rules.
• Slope thresholds (±0.10 %-pt) that trigger background shading can also be customized for different market regimes.
SMT SwiftEdge PowerhouseSMT SwiftEdge Powerhouse: Precision Trading with Divergence, Liquidity Grabs, and OTE Zones
The SMT SwiftEdge Powerhouse is a powerful trading tool designed to help traders identify high-probability entry points during the most active market sessions—London and New York. By combining Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence, Liquidity Grabs, and Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Zones, this script provides a unique and cohesive strategy for capturing market reversals with precision. Whether you're a scalper or a swing trader, this indicator offers clear visual signals to enhance your trading decisions on any timeframe.
What Does This Script Do?
This script integrates three key concepts to identify potential trading opportunities:
SMT Divergence:
SMT Divergence compares the price action of two correlated assets (e.g., Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures) to detect hidden market reversals. When one asset makes a higher high while the other makes a lower high (bearish divergence), or one makes a lower low while the other makes a higher low (bullish divergence), it signals a potential reversal. This technique leverages institutional "smart money" behavior to anticipate market shifts.
Liquidity Grabs:
Liquidity Grabs occur when price breaks above recent highs or below recent lows on higher timeframes (5m and 15m), often triggering stop-loss orders from retail traders. These breakouts are identified using pivot points and confirm institutional activity, setting the stage for a reversal. The script focuses on liquidity grabs during the London and New York sessions for maximum market activity.
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Zones:
OTE Zones are Fibonacci-based retracement areas (e.g., 61.8%) calculated after a liquidity grab. These zones highlight where price is likely to retrace before continuing in the direction of the reversal, offering a high-probability entry point. The script adjusts the width of these zones using the Average True Range (ATR) to adapt to market volatility.
By combining these components, the script identifies when institutional activity (liquidity grabs) aligns with market reversals (SMT divergence) and pinpoints precise entry points (OTE zones) during high-liquidity sessions.
Why Combine These Components?
The integration of SMT Divergence, Liquidity Grabs, and OTE Zones creates a robust trading system for several reasons:
Synergy of Institutional Signals: SMT Divergence and Liquidity Grabs both reflect "smart money" behavior—divergence shows hidden reversals, while liquidity grabs confirm institutional intent to trap retail traders. Together, they provide a strong foundation for identifying high-probability setups.
Session-Based Precision: Focusing on the London and New York sessions ensures signals occur during periods of high volatility and liquidity, increasing their reliability.
Precision Entries with OTE: After confirming a setup with divergence and liquidity grabs, OTE zones provide a clear entry area, reducing guesswork and improving trade accuracy.
Adaptability: The script works on any timeframe, with adjustable settings for signal sensitivity, session times, and Fibonacci levels, making it versatile for different trading styles.
This combination makes the script unique by aligning institutional insights with actionable entry points, tailored to the most active market hours.
How to Use the Script
Setup:
Add the script to your chart (works on any timeframe, e.g., 1m, 5m, 15m).
Configure the settings in the indicator's inputs:
Session Settings: Adjust the start/end times for London and New York sessions (default: London 8-11 UTC, New York 13-16 UTC). You can disable session restrictions if desired.
Asset Settings: Set the primary and secondary assets for SMT Divergence (default: NQ1! and ES1!). Ensure the assets are correlated.
Signal Settings: Adjust the lookback period, ATR period, and signal sensitivity (Low/Medium/High) to control the frequency of signals.
OTE Settings: Choose the Fibonacci level for OTE zones (default: 61.8%).
Visual Settings: Enable/disable OTE zones, SMT labels, and debug labels for troubleshooting.
Interpreting Signals:
Blue Circles: Indicate a liquidity grab (price breaking a 5m or 15m pivot high/low), marking the start of a potential setup.
Blue OTE Zones: Appear after a liquidity grab, showing the retracement area (e.g., 61.8% Fibonacci level) where price is likely to enter for a reversal trade. The label "OTE Trigger 5m/15m" confirms the direction (Short/Long) and session.
Green/Red Entry Boxes: Mark precise entry points when price enters the OTE zone and confirms the SMT Divergence. Green boxes indicate a long entry, red boxes a short entry.
Trading Example:
On a 1m chart, a blue circle appears when price breaks a 5m pivot high during the London session.
A blue OTE zone forms, showing a retracement area (e.g., 61.8% Fibonacci level) with the label "OTE Trigger 5m/15m (Short, London)".
Price retraces into the OTE zone, and a red "Short Entry" box appears, confirming a bearish SMT Divergence.
Enter a short trade at the red box, with a stop-loss above the OTE zone and a take-profit at the next support level.
Originality and Utility
The SMT SwiftEdge Powerhouse stands out by merging SMT Divergence, Liquidity Grabs, and OTE Zones into a single, session-focused indicator. Unlike traditional indicators that focus on one aspect of price action, this script combines institutional reversal signals with precise entry zones, tailored to the most active market hours. Its adaptability across timeframes, customizable settings, and clear visual cues make it a versatile tool for traders seeking to capitalize on smart money movements with confidence.
Tips for Best Results
Use on correlated assets like NQ1! (Nasdaq futures) and ES1! (S&P 500 futures) for accurate SMT Divergence.
Test on lower timeframes (1m, 5m) for scalping or higher timeframes (15m, 1H) for swing trading.
Adjust the "Signal Sensitivity" to "High" for more signals or "Low" for fewer, high-quality setups.
Enable "Show Debug Labels" if signals are not appearing as expected, to troubleshoot pivot points and liquidity grabs.
Rolling Beta against SPY📈 Pine Script Showcase: Rolling Beta Against SPY
Understanding how your favorite stock or ETF moves in relation to a benchmark like the S&P 500 can offer powerful insights into risk and exposure. This script calculates and visualizes the rolling beta of any asset versus the SPY ETF (which tracks the S&P 500).
🧠 What Is Beta?
Beta measures the sensitivity of an asset's returns to movements in the broader market. A beta of:
- 1.0 means the asset moves in lockstep with SPY,
- >1.0 indicates higher volatility than the market,
- <1.0 implies lower volatility or possible defensive behavior,
- <0 suggests inverse correlation (e.g., hedging instruments).
🧮 How It Works
This script computes rolling beta over a user-defined window (default = 60 periods) using classic linear regression math:
- Calculates daily returns for both the asset and SPY.
- Computes covariance between the two return streams.
- Divides by the variance of SPY returns to get beta.
⚙️ Customization
You can adjust the window size to control the smoothing:
- Shorter windows capture recent volatility changes,
- Longer windows give more stable, long-term estimates.
📊 Visual Output
The script plots the beta series dynamically, allowing you to observe how your asset’s correlation to SPY evolves over time. This is especially useful in regime-change environments or during major macroeconomic shifts.
💡 Use Cases
- Portfolio construction: Understand how your assets co-move with the market.
- Risk management: Detect when beta spikes—potentially signaling higher market sensitivity.
- Market timing: Use beta shifts to infer changing investor sentiment or market structure.
📌 Pro Tip: Combine this rolling beta with volatility, Sharpe ratio, or correlation tracking for a more robust factor-based analysis.
Ready to add a layer of quantitative insight to your chart? Add the script to your watchlist and start analyzing your favorite tickers against SPY today!
Combined EMA Technical AnalysisThis script is written in Pine Script (version 5) for TradingView and creates a comprehensive technical analysis indicator called "Combined EMA Technical Analysis." It overlays multiple technical indicators on a price chart, including Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), VWAP, MACD, PSAR, RSI, Bollinger Bands, ADX, and external data from the S&P 500 (SPX) and VIX indices. The script also provides visual cues through colors, shapes, and a customizable table to help traders interpret market conditions.
Here’s a breakdown of the script:
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### **1. Purpose**
- The script combines several popular technical indicators to analyze price trends, momentum, volatility, and market sentiment.
- It uses color coding (green for bullish, red for bearish, gray/white for neutral) and a table to display key information.
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### **2. Custom Colors**
- Defines custom RGB colors for bullish (`customGreen`), bearish (`customRed`), and neutral (`neutralGray`) signals to enhance visual clarity.
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### **3. User Inputs**
- **EMA Colors**: Users can customize the colors of five EMAs (8, 20, 9, 21, 50 periods).
- **MACD Settings**: Adjustable short length (12), long length (26), and signal length (9).
- **RSI Settings**: Adjustable length (14).
- **Bollinger Bands Settings**: Length (20), multiplier (2), and proximity threshold (0.1% of band width).
- **ADX Settings**: Adjustable length (14).
- **Table Settings**: Position (e.g., "Bottom Right") and text size (e.g., "Small").
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### **4. Indicator Calculations**
#### **Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)**
- Calculates five EMAs: 8, 20, 9, 21, and 50 periods based on the closing price.
- Used to identify short-term and long-term trends.
#### **Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)**
- Resets daily and calculates the average price weighted by volume.
- Color-coded: green if price > VWAP (bullish), red if price < VWAP (bearish), white if neutral.
#### **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**
- Uses short (12) and long (26) EMAs to compute the MACD line, with a 9-period signal line.
- Displays "Bullish" (green) if MACD > signal, "Bearish" (red) if MACD < signal.
#### **Parabolic SAR (PSAR)**
- Calculated with acceleration factors (start: 0.02, increment: 0.02, max: 0.2).
- Indicates trend direction: green if price > PSAR (bullish), red if price < PSAR (bearish).
#### **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**
- Measures momentum over 14 periods.
- Highlighted in green if > 70 (overbought), red if < 30 (oversold), white otherwise.
#### **Bollinger Bands (BB)**
- Uses a 20-period SMA with a 2-standard-deviation multiplier.
- Color-coded based on price position:
- Green: Above upper band or close to it.
- Red: Below lower band or close to it.
- Gray: Neutral (within bands).
#### **Average Directional Index (ADX)**
- Manually calculates ADX to measure trend strength:
- Strong trend: ADX > 25.
- Very strong trend: ADX > 50.
- Direction: Bullish if +DI > -DI, bearish if -DI > +DI.
#### **EMA Crosses**
- Detects bullish (crossover) and bearish (crossunder) events for:
- EMA 9 vs. EMA 21.
- EMA 8 vs. EMA 20.
- Visualized with green (bullish) or red (bearish) circles.
#### **SPX and VIX Data**
- Fetches daily closing prices for the S&P 500 (SPX) and VIX (volatility index).
- SPX trend: Bullish if EMA 9 > EMA 21, bearish if EMA 9 < EMA 21.
- VIX levels: High (> 25, fear), Low (< 15, stability).
- VIX color: Green if SPX bullish and VIX low, red if SPX bearish and VIX high, white otherwise.
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### **5. Visual Outputs**
#### **Plots**
- EMAs, VWAP, and PSAR are plotted on the chart with their respective colors.
- EMA crosses are marked with circles (green for bullish, red for bearish).
#### **Table**
- Displays a summary of indicators in a customizable position and size.
- Indicators shown (if enabled):
- EMA 8/20, 9/21, 50: Green dot if bullish, red if bearish.
- VWAP: Green if price > VWAP, red if price < VWAP.
- MACD: Green if bullish, red if bearish.
- MACD Zero: Green if MACD > 0, red if MACD < 0.
- PSAR: Green if price > PSAR, red if price < PSAR.
- ADX: Arrows for very strong trends (↑/↓), dots for weaker trends, colored by direction.
- Bollinger Bands: Arrows (↑/↓) or dots based on price position.
- RSI: Numeric value, colored by overbought/oversold levels.
- VIX: Numeric value, colored based on SPX trend and VIX level.
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### **6. Alerts**
- Triggers alerts for EMA 8/20 crosses:
- Bullish: "EMA 8/20 Bullish Cross on Candle Close!"
- Bearish: "EMA 8/20 Bearish Cross on Candle Close!"
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### **7. Key Features**
- **Flexibility**: Users can toggle indicators on/off in the table and adjust parameters.
- **Visual Clarity**: Consistent use of green (bullish), red (bearish), and neutral colors.
- **Comprehensive**: Combines trend, momentum, volatility, and market sentiment indicators.
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### **How to Use**
1. Add the script to TradingView.
2. Customize inputs (colors, lengths, table position) as needed.
3. Interpret the chart and table:
- Green signals suggest bullish conditions.
- Red signals suggest bearish conditions.
- Neutral signals indicate indecision or consolidation.
4. Set up alerts for EMA crosses to catch trend changes.
This script is ideal for traders who want a multi-indicator dashboard to monitor price action and market conditions efficiently.
