Quarterly Theory ICT 05 [TradingFinder] Doubling Theory Signals🔵 Introduction
Doubling Theory is an advanced approach to price action and market structure analysis that uniquely combines time-based analysis with key Smart Money concepts such as SMT (Smart Money Technique), SSMT (Sequential SMT), Liquidity Sweep, and the Quarterly Theory ICT.
By leveraging fractal time structures and precisely identifying liquidity zones, this method aims to reveal institutional activity specifically smart money entry and exit points hidden within price movements.
At its core, the market is divided into two structural phases: Doubling 1 and Doubling 2. Each phase contains four quarters (Q1 through Q4), which follow the logic of the Quarterly Theory: Accumulation, Manipulation (Judas Swing), Distribution, and Continuation/Reversal.
These segments are anchored by the True Open, allowing for precise alignment with cyclical market behavior and providing a deeper structural interpretation of price action.
During Doubling 1, a Sequential SMT (SSMT) Divergence typically forms between two correlated assets. This time-structured divergence occurs between two swing points positioned in separate quarters (e.g., Q1 and Q2), where one asset breaks a significant low or high, while the second asset fails to confirm it. This lack of confirmation—especially when aligned with the Manipulation and Accumulation phases—often signals early smart money involvement.
Following this, the highest and lowest price points from Doubling 1 are designated as liquidity zones. As the market transitions into Doubling 2, it commonly returns to these zones in a calculated move known as a Liquidity Sweep—a sharp, engineered spike intended to trigger stop orders and pending positions. This sweep, often orchestrated by institutional players, facilitates entry into large positions with minimal slippage.
Bullish :
Bearish :
🔵 How to Use
Applying Doubling Theory requires a simultaneous understanding of temporal structure and inter-asset behavioral divergence. The method unfolds over two main phases—Doubling 1 and Doubling 2—each divided into four quarters (Q1 to Q4).
The first phase focuses on identifying a Sequential SMT (SSMT) divergence, which forms when two correlated assets (e.g., EURUSD and GBPUSD, or NQ and ES) react differently to key price levels across distinct quarters. For example, one asset may break a previous low while the other maintains structure. This misalignment—especially in Q2, the Manipulation phase—often indicates early smart money accumulation or distribution.
Once this divergence is observed, the extreme highs and lows of Doubling 1 are marked as liquidity zones. In Doubling 2, the market gravitates back toward these zones, executing a Liquidity Sweep.
This move is deliberate—designed to activate clustered stop-loss and pending orders and to exploit pockets of resting liquidity. These sweeps are typically driven by institutional forces looking to absorb liquidity and position themselves ahead of the next major price move.
The key to execution lies in the fact that, during the sweep in Doubling 2, a classic SMT divergence should also appear between the two assets. This indicates a weakening of the previous trend and adds an extra layer of confirmation.
🟣 Bullish Doubling Theory
In the bullish scenario, Doubling 1 begins with a bullish SSMT divergence, where one asset forms a lower low while the other maintains its structure. This divergence signals weakening bearish momentum and possible smart money accumulation. In Doubling 2, the market returns to the previous low and sweeps the liquidity zone—breaking below it on one asset, while the second fails to confirm, forming a bullish SMT divergence.
f this move is followed by a bullish PSP and a clear market structure break (MSB), a long entry is triggered. The stop-loss is placed just below the swept liquidity zone, while the target is set in the premium zone, anticipating a move driven by institutional buyers.
🟣 Bearish Doubling Theory
The bearish scenario follows the same structure in reverse. In Doubling 1, a bearish SSMT divergence occurs when one asset prints a higher high while the other fails to do so. This suggests distribution and weakening buying pressure. Then, in Doubling 2, the market returns to the previous high and executes a liquidity sweep, targeting trapped buyers.
A bearish SMT divergence appears, confirming the move, followed by a bearish PSP on the lower timeframe. A short position is initiated after a confirmed MSB, with the stop-loss placed
🔵 Settings
⚙️ Logical Settings
Quarterly Cycles Type : Select the time segmentation method for SMT analysis.
Available modes include : Yearly, Monthly, Weekly, Daily, 90 Minute, and Micro.
These define how the indicator divides market time into Q1–Q4 cycles.
Symbol : Choose the secondary asset to compare with the main chart asset (e.g., XAUUSD, US100, GBPUSD).
Pivot Period : Sets the sensitivity of the pivot detection algorithm. A smaller value increases responsiveness to price swings.
Pivot Sync Threshold : The maximum allowed difference (in bars) between pivots of the two assets for them to be compared.
Validity Pivot Length : Defines the time window (in bars) during which a divergence remains valid before it's considered outdated.
🎨 Display Settings
Show Cycle :Toggles the visual display of the current Quarter (Q1 to Q4) based on the selected time segmentation
Show Cycle Label : Shows the name (e.g., "Q2") of each detected Quarter on the chart.
Show Labels : Displays dynamic labels (e.g., “Q2”, “Bullish SMT”, “Sweep”) at relevant points.
Show Lines : Draws connection lines between key pivot or divergence points.
Color Settings : Allows customization of colors for bullish and bearish elements (lines, labels, and shapes)
🔔 Alert Settings
Alert Name : Custom name for the alert messages (used in TradingView’s alert system).
Message Frequenc y:
All : Every signal triggers an alert.
Once Per Bar : Alerts once per bar regardless of how many signals occur.
Per Bar Close : Only triggers when the bar closes and the signal still exists.
Time Zone Display : Choose the time zone in which alert timestamps are displayed (e.g., UTC).
Bullish SMT Divergence Alert : Enable/disable alerts specifically for bullish signals.
Bearish SMT Divergence Alert : Enable/disable alerts specifically for bearish signals
🔵 Conclusion
Doubling Theory is a powerful and structured framework within the realm of Smart Money Concepts and ICT methodology, enabling traders to detect high-probability reversal points with precision. By integrating SSMT, SMT, Liquidity Sweeps, and the Quarterly Theory into a unified system, this approach shifts the focus from reactive trading to anticipatory analysis—anchored in time, structure, and liquidity.
What makes Doubling Theory stand out is its logical synergy of time cycles, behavioral divergence, liquidity targeting, and institutional confirmation. In both bullish and bearish scenarios, it provides clearly defined entry and exit strategies, allowing traders to engage the market with confidence, controlled risk, and deeper insight into the mechanics of price manipulation and smart money footprints.
ค้นหาในสคริปต์สำหรับ "deep股票代码"
Directional Movement Index (DMI) + AlertsThis is a Study with associated visual indicators and Bullish/Bearish Alerts for Directional Movement (DMI). It consists of an Average Directional Index (ADX), Plus Directional Indicator (+DI) and Minus Directional Indicator (-DI).
Published by J. Welles Wilder in 1978 for use with currencies and commodities which are typically more volatile than stocks and have stronger trends.
Development Notes
---------------------------
This indicator, and most of the descriptions below, were derived largely from the TradingView reference manual. Feedback and suggestions for improvement are more than welcome, as well are recommended Input settings and best practices for use.
tradingview.com/chart/?solution=43000502250
Strategy Description
---------------------------
ADX defines whether or not there is a trend present; +DI and -DI compliment the ADX by taking direction into account. An ADX above 25 indicates a strong trend, and a Bullish alert is subsequently triggered when +DI is above -DI and a Bearish alert when -DI is above +DI.
Note that the Bullish or Bearish crossover alert will only trigger if ADX is simultaneously above 25 during the crossover event. If ADX later rises to 25 and +DI is still greater than -DI, or -DI greater than +DI, then a delayed alert will not trigger by design.
Basic Use
---------------------------
Acceptable DMI values are up to the trader's interpretation and may change depending on the financial instrument being examined. Recommend not changing any default values without being first familiar with their purpose and impact on the indicator at large.
Confidence in price action and trend is higher when two or more indicators are in agreement -- therefore we recommend not using this indicator by itself to determine entry or exit trade opportunities.
Recommend also choosing 'Once Per Bar Close' when creating alerts.
Inputs
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ADX Smoothing - the time period to be used in calculating the ADX which has a smoothing component (14 is the Default).
DI Length - the time period to be used in calculating the DI (14 is the Default).
Key Level - any trade with the ADX above the key level is a strong indicator that it is trending (23 to 25 is the suggested setting).
Sensitivity - an incremental variable to test whether the past n candles are in the same bullish or bearish state before triggering a delayed crossover alert (3 is the Default). Filter out some noise and reduces active alerts.
Show ADX Option - two visual styles are provided for user preference, a visible ADX line or a background overlay (green or red when ADX is above the key level, for bullish or bearish, and gray when below).
Color Candles - an option to transpose the bullish and bearish crossovers to the main candle bars. Can be turned off in the Style Tab by deselecting 'Bar Colors'. Dark blue is bullish, dark purple is bearish, and the black inner color is neutral. Note that the outer red and green border will still be distinguished by whether each individual candle is bearish or bullish during the specified timeframe.
Indicator Visuals
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Bullish or Bearish plot based on DMI strategy (ADX and +/-DI values).
Visual cues are intended to improve analysis and decrease interpretation time during trading, as well as to aid in understanding the purpose of this study and how its inclusion can benefit a comprehensive trading strategy.
Trend Strength
---------------------------
To analyze trend strength, the focus should be on the ADX line and not the +DI or -DI lines. An ADX reading above 25 indicates a strong trend, while a reading below 20 indicates a weak or non-existent trend. A reading between those two values would be considered indeterminable. Though what is truly a strong trend or a weak trend depends on the financial instrument being examined; historical analysis can assist in determining appropriate values.
Bullish DI Cross
---------------------------
1. ADX must be over 25 (strong trend) (value is determined by the trader)
2. +DI cross above -DI
3. Set Stop Loss at the current day's low (any +DI cross-backs below -DI should be ignored)
4. Set trailing stop if ADX strengthens (i.e., signal rises)
Bearish DI Cross
---------------------------
1. ADX must be over 25 (strong trend) (value is determined by the trader)
2. -DI cross above +DI
3. Set Stop Loss at the current day's high (any -DI cross-backs below +DI should be ignored)
4. Set trailing stop if ADX strengthens (i.e., signal rises)
Disclaimer
---------------------------
This post and the script are not intended to provide any financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
No known repainting.
Version 1.1
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- Added multi-timeframe resolution using PineCoders secure security function to eliminate repainting.
- Cleaned up option for selecting ADX view; and added a colored line as a choice, based on same bullish, bearish, or neutral colors as the background.
- Added exit crossover indicator to aid in an overall strategy development. This ability pairs better with my CHOP Zone Entry Strategy which relies on DMI Exits. Note that exit conditions don't employ the sensitivity variable. Green labels are for Bullish exits and red are for Bearish.
-- Exit condition is triggered if in an active Bullish or Bearish position and ADX drops below 25, Or if either the -DI crosses above +DI (for previously Bullish) or +DI crosses above -DI (for previously Bearish).
- Added reverse position determination. Triggers when a Bullish entry occurs on the same candle as a Bearish exit, or vice versa. Green labels are for Bullish reverses and red are for Bearish.
- Added selectable option to choose visible labels -- Bearish, Bullish, Both, Exits, Reverses, or All.
-- Note that a reverse label will only show if the opposing entry and exit labels are set to show, otherwise the reverse will revert to the appropriate entry or exit on the chart.
- Added alerts to account for new conditions.
-- Note that alerts for crossovers, exits, and reverses will only be triggered if the associated labels are selected to be shown (i.e., what you choose to see on the chart is what you will be alerted to).
Version 1.2
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- Changed exit condition to be decided on by whether ADX is below 25 and on a +/-DI crossover. Versus being either or. The previous version had too many false triggers. This variety can now show multiple Bullish or Bearish alerts before an Exit condition too. I'm tempted to simply make this condition based on ADX, and not DI … thoughts? See lines 138 and 139.
- Updated the Background view to have deeper shades of colors dependent upon the ADX trend strength.
- Added an Oscillator view for the ADX and momentum computations to color the histogram by trend. DI lines are hidden.
-- If ADX is Bullish, then the oscillator is colored light green in an uptrend and dark green in a downtrend; if Bearish, then its light red in an uptrend and dark redin a downtrend; if adx is below key level, then it is light gray in a downtrend and dark grey in the uptrend.
- Added option to Hide ADX in case only the Directional lines are desired. This could be useful if you would like to have the ADX oscillator in one panel and +/-DI crossovers in another.
- Added a Columnar view for the ADX. DI lines are hidden. This view is really simple and compact, with the trend strength still easily understood. Colors are the same as for the oscillator -- the deeper the shade of green or red, then the higher the ADX trend strength level.
- Added a Trend Strength label.
ADX Trend Strength Trade (Y/N) Setup Types
0 to 10 = Barely Breathing N N/A
10 to 20 = Weak Trend Y Range/Pre-Breakout
20 to 30 = Potentially Starting to Trend Y Early Stage Trend
30 to 50 = Strong Trend Y Ride the Wave
50 to 75 = Very Strong Trend N Exhaustion
75 to 100 = Extremely Strong Trend N N/A
Version 1.3
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Updated to Pine Script v5 to resolve errors from the deprecated v4 version.
This is a reissue of a previously published script that was hidden due to a v4 compatibility issue.
'https://www.tradingview.com/script/9OoEHrv5-Directional-Movement-Index-DMI-Alerts/'
BK AK-9I am incredibly proud to introduce my fourth indicator to the TradingView community:
BK AK-9 — a next-level momentum-volatility hybrid, built for traders who demand precision.
🔥 Why “AK-9”? The Meaning Behind the Name
This indicator is deeply personal to me.
The “AK” in the name represents the initials of my mentor — the man whose guidance shaped my journey in trading, discipline, and strategy.
His wisdom is woven into every line of code, every design choice, and every purpose behind this tool.
The “9” holds its own powerful meaning:
9 is the number of completion and breakthrough — the moment where preparation meets opportunity.
The AK-9 weapon itself is a suppressed variant of the legendary AK platform, built for stealth, precision, and maximum impact in close-quarters combat.
It’s quiet, adaptive, and deadly effective — just like this indicator cuts through market noise, adapts to volatility, and pinpoints moments of maximum opportunity.
✨ About the BK AK-9 Indicator
The BK AK-9 is not just an oscillator.
It’s a multi-layered trading weapon combining:
✅ RSI → Stochastic → Bollinger Bands on Stoch RSI → momentum measured inside volatility.
✅ Dynamic or Static Background Flash → when extremes hit, you get instant visual alerts.
✅ Color-coded %K zones →
🔴 Red: oversold
🟢 Green: overbought
🔵 Blue: neutral
✅ Volatility-adaptive bands → instead of relying on static levels, the bands expand and contract dynamically using standard deviation.
🛡️ Why This Indicator Matters
Pinpoints exhaustion zones statistically, not emotionally.
Confirms breakouts with volatility evidence, not just price action.
Filters noise and helps you wait for high-probability setups.
Gives you visual edge with color-coded momentum and background flash.
Perfect for:
🔹 Breakout traders confirming momentum surges.
🔹 Mean-reversion traders catching exhaustion pivots.
🔹 Swing traders using multi-layered momentum analysis.
🔹 Momentum traders hunting volatility-backed entries.
💥 How to Use BK AK-9
Breakout Confirmation → when Stoch RSI breaks above upper Bollinger Band (green zone, flash ON), ride the trend.
Mean Reversion Trades → when Stoch RSI drops below lower Bollinger Band (red zone, flash ON), look for reversals.
Noise Filtering → stay patient inside the blue zone, wait for extremes.
Advanced Sync → align it with Gann levels, harmonic patterns, Fibonacci clusters, or Elliott waves for maximum edge.
🙏 Final Thoughts
This isn’t just another tool — it’s a weapon in your trading arsenal.
🔹 Dedicated to my mentor, A.K., whose wisdom and legacy guide my work.
🔹 Designed around the number 9, the number of completion, transition, and breakthrough.
🔹 Built to help traders act with precision, discipline, and clarity.
But above all, I give praise and glory to Gd — the true source of wisdom, insight, and success.
Markets will test your patience and your skill, but faith tests your soul. Through every challenge, every victory, and every setback, Gd remains the constant.
This tool is simply another way to use the gifts He has given — to help others rise.
⚡ Stay Ready, Stay Sharp
The markets are a battlefield. But with the right tools, the right strategy, and the right mindset — you will always stay 10 steps ahead.
🔥 Stay locked. Stay loaded. Trade with precision. 🔥
Gd bless, and may He guide us all to wisdom and success. 🙏
Long-Term VWAP Mean Reversion SDCACore Idea:
This indicator is designed to support Strategic Dollar Cost Averaging (SDCA) for Bitcoin using a cumulative VWAP-based mean reversion model. It helps long-term investors identify high-conviction buy zones and overbought conditions using statistical deviation from the cumulative VWAP. This indicator evaluates how much price is stretched from the true market average price, weighted by cumulative volume over time.
Core Concepts and Formulas:
Cumulative VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price):
VWAP cumulative = ∑(Price×Volume) / ∑Volume
A long-term anchor that reflects the average dollar cost of all market participants across all candles. This version does not reset daily, unlike intraday VWAP.
VWAP Deviation % :
Deviation% = Price - VWAP cumulative / VWAP cumulative x 100
Shows how far current price has diverged from the long-term fair value.
Z-Score of VWAP Deviation:
Z= (Price−VWAP)−μ / σ (lookback period: default 200)
SDCA Multiplier Mapping:
*Keep in mind in my Z-Score system, -2 represents the overbought level (white horizontal line) and +2 represents oversold (cyan horizontal line) conditions. So the scores on the Y axis and Z-score in the table are reversed.
| Z-Score Range | SDCA Multiplier |
---------------------------------------------
| ≤ -2 | 0.25×
| -1 to +1 | 1.0×
| > +2 | 2.0×
The pink line plots this multiplier. It’s meant to control buy weight at each time step.
How to Use This for SDCA:
-Buy normally when the multiplier is 1.0× (Z-score between -1 and +1)
-Accelerate buying when Z-score is deeply negative (price far below VWAP)
-Slow or pause buying when Z-score is high (price far above VWAP)
-Use the stats panel to track current Z-score, VWAP level, deviation %, and multiplier
-Watch the red/blue backgrounds as visual confirmation of oversold/overbought zones
Inputs:
Z-Score Lookback Length:
Default: 200 but can be adjusted.
Visuals:
Z-Score Line (cyan): shows current standardized deviation from VWAP
Multiplier Line (bright pink): your SDCA intensity signal
Background Zones: cyan = oversold, white = overbought
Horizontal Lines: +2 and -2 standard deviation thresholds
Stats Panel (bottom right): live values for Z-score, multiplier, price, VWAP, and the deviation formula
Suited For:
-Long-term Bitcoin investors
-SDCA Systems
-Mean reversion systems
-Macro-level buy/sell planning
WaveTrend Matrix (1m-1w) – Custom ThresholdsA visual control panel for momentum exhaustion across ten key time-frames.
—
🧬 DNA
This is a fork of LazyBear’s original WaveTrend Oscillator .
The oscillator logic is 100 % intact; I simply stream the values into a compact table so that day- and swing-traders can see the “bigger picture” at a glance.
📈 What does it do?
Calculates WaveTrend on ten granularities: 1m, 3m, 5m, 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 1d, 1w.
Displays the current oscillator print in a color-coded matrix.
• Red = overbought (≥ high threshold)
• Green = oversold (≤ low threshold)
• Gray = neutral / in-range
All thresholds are user-adjustable.
Built on Pine v5, zero repainting, works on any symbol.
🛠 Parameters
Channel Length – WT “n1” (default 10)
Average Length – WT “n2” (default 21)
Red from – overbought cut-off (default +60)
Green under – oversold cut-off (default –60)
🚀 How to use it
1. Apply the indicator to your chart – no extra setup required.
2. Read the matrix top-down before every entry:
• Multiple deep-green rows → market broadly oversold → watch for longs.
• Multiple deep-red rows → market broadly overbought → watch for shorts or stay flat.
3. Combine with your trend filter (EMA-stack, VWAP, structure) to avoid counter-trend trades.
Zweig Breadth ThrustZweig Breadth Thrust Detector
This indicator tracks one of the rarest and most powerful bullish signals in market history: the Zweig Breadth Thrust.
It calculates the 10-day moving average of NYSE advancing stocks divided by the sum of advancing and declining stocks. When the breadth reading surges from deeply oversold (<0.40) to explosively bullish (>0.615) within just 10 trading days, it signals a momentum reset so intense that it often marks the start of major new bull runs.
Zweig Thrusts are extremely rare — but when they occur, historical odds favor significant market gains over the next 6 to 12 months.
This tool doesn't just chase price — it measures raw internal strength across the entire market.
When the masses panic, and the army of stocks surges together — that's when legends are made.
Stochastics + CM Williams VixFix (Simple Buy Signal)📈 Stochastics + CM Williams VixFix (Simple Buy Signal)
This indicator combines two powerful tools to detect potential bottoming opportunities:
✅ Stochastics: Looks for momentum reversals. A signal is triggered when both %K and %D are below the oversold threshold (default: 20), suggesting the asset is deeply oversold.
✅ CM Williams Vix Fix: A volatility-based fear detector. When it spikes above its dynamic threshold, it indicates potential panic selling — often preceding a market bounce.
💡 Buy Signal is generated when:
%K and %D are both below 20
VixFix shows a volatility spike (green condition)
Use this script to identify high-probability reversal setups, especially during market corrections or panic phases.
Bitcoin NUPL IndicatorThe Bitcoin NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) Indicator is a powerful metric that shows the difference between Bitcoin's market cap and realized cap as a percentage of market cap. This indicator helps identify different market cycle phases, from capitulation to euphoria.
// How It Works
NUPL measures the aggregate profit or loss held by Bitcoin investors, calculated as:
```
NUPL = ((Market Cap - Realized Cap) / Market Cap) * 100
```
// Market Cycle Phases
The indicator automatically color-codes different market phases:
• **Deep Red (< 0%)**: Capitulation Phase - Most coins held at a loss, historically excellent buying opportunities
• **Orange (0-25%)**: Hope & Fear Phase - Early accumulation, price uncertainty and consolidation
• **Yellow (25-50%)**: Optimism & Anxiety Phase - Emerging bull market, increasing confidence
• **Light Green (50-75%)**: Belief & Denial Phase - Strong bull market, high conviction
• **Bright Green (> 75%)**: Euphoria & Greed Phase - Potential market top, historically good profit-taking zone
// Features
• Real-time NUPL calculation with customizable smoothing
• RSI indicator for additional momentum confirmation
• Color-coded background reflecting current market phase
• Reference lines marking key transition zones
• Detailed metrics table showing NUPL value, market sentiment, market cap, realized cap, and RSI
// Strategy Applications
• **Long-term investors**: Use extreme negative NUPL values (deep red) to identify potential bottoms for accumulation
• **Swing traders**: Look for transitions between phases for potential trend changes
• **Risk management**: Consider taking profits when entering the "Euphoria & Greed" phase (bright green)
• **Mean reversion**: Watch for overbought/oversold conditions when NUPL reaches historical extremes
// Settings
• **RSI Length**: Adjusts the period for RSI calculation
• **NUPL Smoothing Length**: Applies moving average smoothing to reduce noise
// Notes
• Premium TradingView subscription required for Glassnode and Coin Metrics data
• Best viewed on daily timeframes for macro analysis
• Historical NUPL extremes have often marked cycle bottoms and tops
• Use in conjunction with other indicators for confirmation
Institutional MACD (Z-Score Edition) [VolumeVigilante]📈 Institutional MACD (Z-Score Edition) — Professional-Grade Momentum Signal
This is not your average MACD .
The Institutional MACD (Z-Score Edition) is a statistically enhanced momentum tool, purpose-built for serious traders and breakout hunters . By applying Z-Score normalization to the classic MACD structure, this indicator uncovers statistically significant momentum shifts , enabling cleaner reads on price extremes, trend continuation, and potential reversals.
💡 Why It Matters
The classic MACD is powerful — but raw momentum values can be noisy and relative , especially on volatile assets like BTC/USD . By transforming the MACD line, signal line, and histogram into Z-scores , we anchor these signals in statistical context . This makes the Institutional MACD:
✔️ Timeframe-agnostic and asset-normalized
✔️ Ideal for spotting true breakouts , not false flags
✔️ A reliable tool for detecting momentum divergence and exhaustion
🧪 Key Features
✅ Full Z-Score normalization (MACD, Signal, Histogram)
✅ Highlighted ±Z threshold bands for overbought/oversold zones
✅ Customizable histogram coloring for visual momentum shifts
✅ Built-in alerts for zero-crosses and Z-threshold breaks
✅ Clean overlay with optional display toggles
🔁 Strategy Tip: Mean Reversion Signals with Statistical Confidence
This indicator isn't just for spotting breakouts — it also shines as a mean reversion tool , thanks to its Z-Score normalization .
When the Z-Score histogram crosses beyond ±2, it marks a statistically significant deviation from the mean — often signaling that momentum is overstretched and the asset may be due for a pullback or reversal .
📌 How to use it:
Z > +2 → Price action is in overbought territory. Watch for exhaustion or short setups.
Z < -2 → Momentum is deeply oversold. Look for reversal confirmation or long opportunities.
These zones often precede snap-back moves , especially in range-bound or corrective markets .
🎯 Combine Z-Score extremes with:
Candlestick confirmation
Support/resistance zones
Volume or price divergence
Other mean reversion tools (e.g., RSI, Bollinger Bands)
Unlike the raw MACD, this version delivers statistical thresholds , not guesswork — helping traders make decisions rooted in probability, not emotion.
📢 Trade Smart. Trade Vigilantly.
Published by VolumeVigilante
Dskyz (DAFE) Turning Point Indicator - Dskyz (DAFE) Turning Point Indicator — Smart Reversal Signals
Inspired by the intelligent logic of a pervious indicator I saw. This script represents a next-generation reversal detection system—completely re-engineered with cutting-edge filters, adaptive logic, and intelligent dashboards.
The Dskyz (DAFE) Turning Point Indicator
🧠 What Is It?
is designed to identify key market reversal zones with extraordinary accuracy by combining trend direction, volatility confirmation, price action patterns, and smart filtering layers—all visualized in a highly interactive and informative chart overlay.
This isn’t just a signal generator—it’s a decision-making assistant.
⚙️ Inputs & How to Use Them
All input fields are grouped for ease-of-use and explanation:
🔸 Reversal Logic Settings
Source: The price source used for signal generation (default: hlcc4). Can be changed to any standard price formula (open, close, hl2, etc.).
ATR Period: Used for determining volatility and dynamic trailing stop logic.
Supertrend Factor / Period: Calculates directional movement to detect trending vs choppy zones.
Reversal Sensitivity Thresholds: Internal logic filters minor pullbacks from true reversals.
🔸 Filters
Trend Filter: Enables trend-only signals (optional).
Volume Spike Filter: Confirms reversals with significant volume activity.
Volatility Zone Coloring: Visually highlights high-volatility areas to avoid late entries or fakeouts.
Custom High/Low Detection: Smart local top/bottom scanning to reinforce accuracy.
🔸 Visual & Dashboard Options
Signal Labels: Toggle signal labels on the chart.
Color Theme: Choose your visual theme for easier visibility.
Dashboard Toggle: Activate a compact dashboard summarizing strategy health (win rate, drawdown, trend state, volatility).
🧩 Functions Used
ta.supertrend(): Determines trend direction for signal confirmation and filtering.
ta.atr(): Calculates real-time volatility to determine trailing stop exits and visual zones.
ta.rsi() (internally optimized): Helps filter overbought/oversold conditions.
Local High/Low Scanner: Tracks recent pivots using a custom dynamic lookback.
Signal Engine: Consolidates multiple confirmation layers before plotting.
🚀 What Makes It Unique?
Unlike traditional reversal indicators, this one combines:
Multi-factor signal validation: No single indicator makes the call—volume, trend, price action, and volatility all contribute.
Adaptive filtering: The indicator evolves with the market—less noise, smarter signals.
Visual volatility heatmap zones: Avoid entering during uncertainty or manipulation spikes.
Interactive trend dashboard: Immediate insight into the strength and condition of the current market phase.
Highly customizable: Turn features on/off to match your trading style—scalping, swing, or trend-following.
Precision timing: Uses optimized versions of RSI and ATR that adjust automatically with price context.
🧬 Recommended for:
Commodity: Futures, Forex, Crypto
Timeframes: 1m to 1h for active traders. 4h+ for swing trades.
Pair With: Support/resistance zones, Fibonacci levels, and smart money concepts for additional confluence.
🎯 Why It Works
- Traditional reversal signals suffer from lag and noise. This system filters both by:
- Using multi-source confirmation, not just price movement.
-Tracking volatility directly, not assuming static markets.
-Detecting exhaustion, not just divergence.
-Keeping your screen clean, with only the most relevant data shown.
🧾 Credit & Acknowledgement
🧠 Original Concept Inspiration: This project was deeply inspired by the work of Enes_Yetkin_ and their approach to reversal detection. This version expands on the concept with additional technical layers, updated visuals, and real-time adaptability.
📌 Final Thoughts
This is more than a reversal tool. It's a market condition interpreter, entry/exit planner, and risk assistant all in one. Every aspect is engineered to give you an edge—especially when timing means everything.
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
-Dskyz
Machine Learning RSI ║ BullVisionOverview:
Introducing the Machine Learning RSI with KNN Adaptation – a cutting-edge momentum indicator that blends the classic Relative Strength Index (RSI) with machine learning principles. By leveraging K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), this indicator aims at identifying historical patterns that resemble current market behavior and uses this context to refine RSI readings with enhanced sensitivity and responsiveness.
Unlike traditional RSI models, which treat every market environment the same, this version adapts in real-time based on how similar past conditions evolved, offering an analytical edge without relying on predictive assumptions.
Key Features:
🔁 KNN-Based RSI Refinement
This indicator uses a machine learning algorithm (K-Nearest Neighbors) to compare current RSI and price action characteristics to similar historical conditions. The resulting RSI is weighted accordingly, producing a dynamically adjusted value that reflects historical context.
📈 Multi-Feature Similarity Analysis
Pattern similarity is calculated using up to five customizable features:
RSI level
RSI momentum
Volatility
Linear regression slope
Price momentum
Users can adjust how many features are used to tailor the behavior of the KNN logic.
🧠 Machine Learning Weight Control
The influence of the machine learning model on the final RSI output can be fine-tuned using a simple slider. This lets you blend traditional RSI and machine learning-enhanced RSI to suit your preferred level of adaptation.
🎛️ Adaptive Filtering
Additional smoothing options (Kalman Filter, ALMA, Double EMA) can be applied to the RSI, offering better visual clarity and helping to reduce noise in high-frequency environments.
🎨 Visual & Accessibility Settings
Custom color palettes, including support for color vision deficiencies, ensure that trend coloring remains readable for all users. A built-in neon mode adds high-contrast visuals to improve RSI visibility across dark or light themes.
How It Works:
Similarity Matching with KNN:
At each candle, the current RSI and optional market characteristics are compared to historical bars using a KNN search. The algorithm selects the closest matches and averages their RSI values, weighted by similarity. The more similar the pattern, the greater its influence.
Feature-Based Weighting:
Similarity is determined using normalized values of the selected features, which gives a more refined result than RSI alone. You can choose to use only 1 (RSI) or up to all 5 features for deeper analysis.
Filtering & Blending:
After the machine learning-enhanced RSI is calculated, it can be optionally smoothed using advanced filters to suppress short-term noise or sharp spikes. This makes it easier to evaluate RSI signals in different volatility regimes.
Parameters Explained:
📊 RSI Settings:
Set the base RSI length and select your preferred smoothing method from 10+ moving average types (e.g., EMA, ALMA, TEMA).
🧠 Machine Learning Controls:
Enable or disable the KNN engine
Select how many nearest neighbors to compare (K)
Choose the number of features used in similarity detection
Control how much the machine learning engine affects the RSI calculation
🔍 Filtering Options:
Enable one of several advanced smoothing techniques (Kalman Filter, ALMA, Double EMA) to adjust the indicator’s reactivity and stability.
📏 Threshold Levels:
Define static overbought/oversold boundaries or reference dynamically adjusted thresholds based on historical context identified by the KNN algorithm.
🎨 Visual Enhancements:
Select between trend-following or impulse coloring styles. Customize color palettes to accommodate different types of color blindness. Enable neon-style effects for visual clarity.
Use Cases:
Swing & Trend Traders
Can use the indicator to explore how current RSI readings compare to similar market phases, helping to assess trend strength or potential turning points.
Intraday Traders
Benefit from adjustable filters and fast-reacting smoothing to reduce noise in shorter timeframes while retaining contextual relevance.
Discretionary Analysts
Use the adaptive OB/OS thresholds and visual cues to supplement broader confluence zones or market structure analysis.
Customization Tips:
Higher Volatility Periods: Use more neighbors and enable filtering to reduce noise.
Lower Volatility Markets: Use fewer features and disable filtering for quicker RSI adaptation.
Deeper Contextual Analysis: Increase KNN lookback and raise the feature count to refine pattern recognition.
Accessibility Needs: Switch to Deuteranopia or Monochrome mode for clearer visuals in specific color vision conditions.
Final Thoughts:
The Machine Learning RSI combines familiar momentum logic with statistical context derived from historical similarity analysis. It does not attempt to predict price action but rather contextualizes RSI behavior with added nuance. This makes it a valuable tool for those looking to elevate traditional RSI workflows with adaptive, research-driven enhancements.
TrendWave Bands [BigBeluga]This is a trend-following indicator that dynamically adapts to market trends using upper and lower bands. It visually highlights trend strength and duration through color intensity while providing additional wave bands for deeper trend analysis.
🔵Key Features:
Adaptive Trend Bands:
➣ Displays a lower band in uptrends and an upper band in downtrends to indicate trend direction.
➣ The bands act as dynamic support and resistance levels, helping traders identify potential entry and exit points.
Wave Bands for Additional Analysis:
➣ A dashed wave band appears opposite the main trend band for deeper trend confirmation.
➣ In an uptrend, the upper dashed wave band helps analyze momentum, while in a downtrend, the lower dashed wave band serves the same purpose.
Gradient Color Intensity:
➣ The trend bands have a color gradient that fades as the trend continues, helping traders visualize trend duration.
➣ The wave bands have an inverse gradient effect—starting with low intensity at the trend's beginning and increasing in intensity as the trend progresses.
Trend Change Signals:
➣ Circular markers appear at trend reversals, providing clear entry and exit points.
➣ These signals mark transitions between bullish and bearish phases based on price action.
🔵Usage:
Trend Following: Use the lower band for confirmation in uptrends and the upper band in downtrends to stay on the right side of the market.
Trend Duration Analysis: Gradient wavebands give an idea of the duration of the current trend — new trends will have high-intensity colored wavebands and as time goes on, trends will fade.
Trend Reversal Detection: Circular markers highlight trend shifts, making it easier to spot entry and exit opportunities.
Volatility Awareness: Volatility-based bands help traders adjust their strategies based on market volatility, ensuring better risk management.
TrendWave Bands is a powerful tool for traders seeking to follow market trends with enhanced visual clarity. By combining trend bands, wave bands, and gradient-based color scaling, it provides a detailed view of market dynamics and trend evolution.
Pivot S/R with Volatility Filter## *📌 Indicator Purpose*
This indicator identifies *key support/resistance levels* using pivot points while also:
✅ Detecting *high-volume liquidity traps* (stop hunts)
✅ Filtering insignificant pivots via *ATR (Average True Range) volatility*
✅ Tracking *test counts and breakouts* to measure level strength
---
## *⚙ SETTINGS – Detailed Breakdown*
### *1️⃣ ◆ General Settings*
#### *🔹 Pivot Length*
- *Purpose:* Determines how many bars to analyze when identifying pivots.
- *Usage:*
- *Low values (5-20):* More pivots, better for scalping.
- *High values (50-200):* Fewer but stronger levels for swing trading.
- *Example:*
- Pivot Length = 50 → Only the most significant highs/lows over 50 bars are marked.
#### *🔹 Test Threshold (Max Test Count)*
- *Purpose:* Sets how many times a level can be tested before being invalidated.
- *Example:*
- Test Threshold = 3 → After 3 tests, the level is ignored (likely to break).
#### *🔹 Zone Range*
- *Purpose:* Creates a price buffer around pivots (±0.001 by default).
- *Why?* Markets often respect "zones" rather than exact prices.
---
### *2️⃣ ◆ Volatility Filter (ATR)*
#### *🔹 ATR Period*
- *Purpose:* Smoothing period for Average True Range calculation.
- *Default:* 14 (standard for volatility measurement).
#### *🔹 ATR Multiplier (Min Move)*
- *Purpose:* Requires pivots to show *meaningful price movement*.
- *Formula:* Min Move = ATR × Multiplier
- *Example:*
- ATR = 10 pips, Multiplier = 1.5 → Only pivots with *15+ pip swings* are valid.
#### *🔹 Show ATR Filter Info*
- Displays current ATR and minimum move requirements on the chart.
---
### *3️⃣ ◆ Volume Analysis*
#### *🔹 Volume Change Threshold (%)*
- *Purpose:* Filters for *unusual volume spikes* (institutional activity).
- *Example:*
- Threshold = 1.2 → Requires *120% of average volume* to confirm signals.
#### *🔹 Volume MA Period*
- *Purpose:* Lookback period for "normal" volume calculation.
---
### *4️⃣ ◆ Wick Analysis*
#### *🔹 Wick Length Threshold (Ratio)*
- *Purpose:* Ensures rejection candles have *long wicks* (strong reversals).
- *Formula:* Wick Ratio = (Upper Wick + Lower Wick) / Candle Range
- *Example:*
- Threshold = 0.6 → 60% of the candle must be wicks.
#### *🔹 Min Wick Size (ATR %)*
- *Purpose:* Filters out small wicks in volatile markets.
- *Example:*
- ATR = 20 pips, MinWickSize = 1% → Wicks under *0.2 pips* are ignored.
---
### *5️⃣ ◆ Display Settings*
- *Show Zones:* Toggles support/resistance shaded areas.
- *Show Traps:* Highlights liquidity traps (▲/▼ symbols).
- *Show Tests:* Displays how many times levels were tested.
- *Zone Transparency:* Adjusts opacity of zones.
---
## *🎯 Practical Use Cases*
### *1️⃣ Liquidity Trap Detection*
- *Scenario:* Price spikes *above resistance* then reverses sharply.
- *Requirements:*
- Long wick (Wick Ratio > 0.6)
- High volume (Volume > Threshold)
- *Outcome:* *Short Trap* signal (▼) appears.
### *2️⃣ Strong Support Level*
- *Scenario:* Price bounces *3 times* from the same level.
- *Indicator Action:*
- Labels the level with test count (3/5 = 3 tests out of max 5).
- Turns *red* if broken (Break Count > 0).
Deep Dive: How This Indicator Works*
This indicator combines *four professional trading concepts* into one powerful tool:
1. *Classic Pivot Point Theory*
- Identifies swing highs/lows where price previously reversed
- Unlike basic pivot indicators, ours uses *confirmed pivots only* (filtered by ATR)
2. *Volume-Weighted Validation*
- Requires unusual trading volume to confirm levels
- Filters out "phantom" levels with low participation
3. *ATR Volatility Filtering*
- Eliminates insignificant price swings in choppy markets
- Ensures only meaningful levels are plotted
4. *Liquidity Trap Detection*
- Spots institutional stop hunts where markets fake out traders
- Uses wick analysis + volume spikes for high-probability signals
---
Deep Dive: How This Indicator Works*
This indicator combines *four professional trading concepts* into one powerful tool:
1. *Classic Pivot Point Theory*
- Identifies swing highs/lows where price previously reversed
- Unlike basic pivot indicators, ours uses *confirmed pivots only* (filtered by ATR)
2. *Volume-Weighted Validation*
- Requires unusual trading volume to confirm levels
- Filters out "phantom" levels with low participation
3. *ATR Volatility Filtering*
- Eliminates insignificant price swings in choppy markets
- Ensures only meaningful levels are plotted
4. *Liquidity Trap Detection*
- Spots institutional stop hunts where markets fake out traders
- Uses wick analysis + volume spikes for high-probability signals
---
## *📊 Parameter Encyclopedia (Expanded)*
### *1️⃣ Pivot Engine Settings*
#### *Pivot Length (50)*
- *What It Does:*
Determines how many bars to analyze when searching for swing highs/lows.
- *Professional Adjustment Guide:*
| Trading Style | Recommended Value | Why? |
|--------------|------------------|------|
| Scalping | 10-20 | Captures short-term levels |
| Day Trading | 30-50 | Balanced approach |
| Swing Trading| 50-200 | Focuses on major levels |
- *Real Market Example:*
On NASDAQ 5-minute chart:
- Length=20: Identifies levels holding for ~2 hours
- Length=50: Finds levels respected for entire trading day
#### *Test Threshold (5)*
- *Advanced Insight:*
Institutions often test levels 3-5 times before breaking them. This setting mimics the "probe and push" strategy used by smart money.
- *Psychology Behind It:*
Retail traders typically give up after 2-3 tests, while institutions keep testing until stops are run.
---
### *2️⃣ Volatility Filter System*
#### *ATR Multiplier (1.0)*
- *Professional Formula:*
Minimum Valid Swing = ATR(14) × Multiplier
- *Market-Specific Recommendations:*
| Market Type | Optimal Multiplier |
|------------------|--------------------|
| Forex Majors | 0.8-1.2 |
| Crypto (BTC/ETH) | 1.5-2.5 |
| SP500 Stocks | 1.0-1.5 |
- *Why It Matters:*
In EUR/USD (ATR=10 pips):
- Multiplier=1.0 → Requires 10 pip swings
- Multiplier=1.5 → Requires 15 pip swings (fewer but higher quality levels)
---
### *3️⃣ Volume Confirmation System*
#### *Volume Threshold (1.2)*
- *Institutional Benchmark:*
- 1.2x = Moderate institutional interest
- 1.5x+ = Strong smart money activity
- *Volume Spike Case Study:*
*Before Apple Earnings:*
- Normal volume: 2M shares
- Spike threshold (1.2): 2.4M shares
- Actual volume: 3.1M shares → STRONG confirmation
---
### *4️⃣ Liquidity Trap Detection*
#### *Wick Analysis System*
- *Two-Filter Verification:*
1. *Wick Ratio (0.6):*
- Ensures majority of candle shows rejection
- Formula: (UpperWick + LowerWick) / Total Range > 0.6
2. *Min Wick Size (1% ATR):*
- Prevents false signals in flat markets
- Example: ATR=20 pips → Min wick=0.2 pips
- *Trap Identification Flowchart:*
Price Enters Zone →
Spikes Beyond Level →
Shows Long Wick →
Volume > Threshold →
TRAP CONFIRMED
---
## *💡 Master-Level Usage Techniques*
### *Institutional Order Flow Analysis*
1. *Step 1:* Identify pivot levels with ≥3 tests
2. *Step 2:* Watch for volume contraction near levels
3. *Step 3:* Enter when trap signal appears with:
- Wick > 2×ATR
- Volume > 1.5× average
### *Multi-Timeframe Confirmation*
1. *Higher TF:* Find weekly/monthly pivots
2. *Lower TF:* Use this indicator for precise entries
3. *Example:*
- Weekly pivot at $180
- 4H shows liquidity trap → High-probability reversal
---
## *⚠ Critical Mistakes to Avoid*
1. *Using Default Settings Everywhere*
- Crude oil needs higher ATR multiplier than bonds
2. *Ignoring Trap Context*
- Traps work best at:
- All-time highs/lows
- Major psychological numbers (00/50 levels)
3. *Overlooking Cumulative Volume*
- Check if volume is building over multiple tests
Enhanced Fuzzy SMA Analyzer (Multi-Output Proxy) [FibonacciFlux]EFzSMA: Decode Trend Quality, Conviction & Risk Beyond Simple Averages
Stop Relying on Lagging Averages Alone. Gain a Multi-Dimensional Edge.
The Challenge: Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) tell you where the price was , but they fail to capture the true quality, conviction, and sustainability of a trend. Relying solely on price crossing an average often leads to chasing weak moves, getting caught in choppy markets, or missing critical signs of trend exhaustion. Advanced traders need a more sophisticated lens to navigate complex market dynamics.
The Solution: Enhanced Fuzzy SMA Analyzer (EFzSMA)
EFzSMA is engineered to address these limitations head-on. It moves beyond simple price-average comparisons by employing a sophisticated Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) that intelligently integrates multiple critical market factors:
Price deviation from the SMA ( adaptively normalized for market volatility)
Momentum (Rate of Change - ROC)
Market Sentiment/Overheat (Relative Strength Index - RSI)
Market Volatility Context (Average True Range - ATR, optional)
Volume Dynamics (Volume relative to its MA, optional)
Instead of just a line on a chart, EFzSMA delivers a multi-dimensional assessment designed to give you deeper insights and a quantifiable edge.
Why EFzSMA? Gain Deeper Market Insights
EFzSMA empowers you to make more informed decisions by providing insights that simple averages cannot:
Assess True Trend Quality, Not Just Location: Is the price above the SMA simply because of a temporary spike, or is it supported by strong momentum, confirming volume, and stable volatility? EFzSMA's core fuzzyTrendScore (-1 to +1) evaluates the health of the trend, helping you distinguish robust moves from noise.
Quantify Signal Conviction: How reliable is the current trend signal? The Conviction Proxy (0 to 1) measures the internal consistency among the different market factors analyzed by the FIS. High conviction suggests factors are aligned, boosting confidence in the trend signal. Low conviction warns of conflicting signals, uncertainty, or potential consolidation – acting as a powerful filter against chasing weak moves.
// Simplified Concept: Conviction reflects agreement vs. conflict among fuzzy inputs
bullStrength = strength_SB + strength_WB
bearStrength = strength_SBe + strength_WBe
dominantStrength = max(bullStrength, bearStrength)
conflictingStrength = min(bullStrength, bearStrength) + strength_N
convictionProxy := (dominantStrength - conflictingStrength) / (dominantStrength + conflictingStrength + 1e-10)
// Modifiers (Volatility/Volume) applied...
Anticipate Potential Reversals: Trends don't last forever. The Reversal Risk Proxy (0 to 1) synthesizes multiple warning signs – like extreme RSI readings, surging volatility, or diverging volume – into a single, actionable metric. High reversal risk flags conditions often associated with trend exhaustion, providing early warnings to protect profits or consider counter-trend opportunities.
Adapt to Changing Market Regimes: Markets shift between high and low volatility. EFzSMA's unique Adaptive Deviation Normalization adjusts how it perceives price deviations based on recent market behavior (percentile rank). This ensures more consistent analysis whether the market is quiet or chaotic.
// Core Idea: Normalize deviation by recent volatility (percentile)
diff_abs_percentile = ta.percentile_linear_interpolation(abs(raw_diff), normLookback, percRank) + 1e-10
normalized_diff := raw_diff / diff_abs_percentile
// Fuzzy sets for 'normalized_diff' are thus adaptive to volatility
Integrate Complexity, Output Clarity: EFzSMA distills complex, multi-factor analysis into clear, interpretable outputs, helping you cut through market noise and focus on what truly matters for your decision-making process.
Interpreting the Multi-Dimensional Output
The true power of EFzSMA lies in analyzing its outputs together:
A high Trend Score (+0.8) is significant, but its reliability is amplified by high Conviction (0.9) and low Reversal Risk (0.2) . This indicates a strong, well-supported trend.
Conversely, the same high Trend Score (+0.8) coupled with low Conviction (0.3) and high Reversal Risk (0.7) signals caution – the trend might look strong superficially, but internal factors suggest weakness or impending exhaustion.
Use these combined insights to:
Filter Entry Signals: Require minimum Trend Score and Conviction levels.
Manage Risk: Consider reducing exposure or tightening stops when Reversal Risk climbs significantly, especially if Conviction drops.
Time Exits: Use rising Reversal Risk and falling Conviction as potential signals to take profits.
Identify Regime Shifts: Monitor how the relationship between the outputs changes over time.
Core Technology (Briefly)
EFzSMA leverages a Mamdani-style Fuzzy Inference System. Crisp inputs (normalized deviation, ROC, RSI, ATR%, Vol Ratio) are mapped to linguistic fuzzy sets ("Low", "High", "Positive", etc.). A rules engine evaluates combinations (e.g., "IF Deviation is LargePositive AND Momentum is StrongPositive THEN Trend is StrongBullish"). Modifiers based on Volatility and Volume context adjust rule strengths. Finally, the system aggregates these and defuzzifies them into the Trend Score, Conviction Proxy, and Reversal Risk Proxy. The key is the system's ability to handle ambiguity and combine multiple, potentially conflicting factors in a nuanced way, much like human expert reasoning.
Customization
While designed with robust defaults, EFzSMA offers granular control:
Adjust SMA, ROC, RSI, ATR, Volume MA lengths.
Fine-tune Normalization parameters (lookback, percentile). Note: Fuzzy set definitions for deviation are tuned for the normalized range.
Configure Volatility and Volume thresholds for fuzzy sets. Tuning these is crucial for specific assets/timeframes.
Toggle visual elements (Proxies, BG Color, Risk Shapes, Volatility-based Transparency).
Recommended Use & Caveats
EFzSMA is a sophisticated analytical tool, not a standalone "buy/sell" signal generator.
Use it to complement your existing strategy and analysis.
Always validate signals with price action, market structure, and other confirming factors.
Thorough backtesting and forward testing are essential to understand its behavior and tune parameters for your specific instruments and timeframes.
Fuzzy logic parameters (membership functions, rules) are based on general heuristics and may require optimization for specific market niches.
Disclaimer
Trading involves substantial risk. EFzSMA is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. No guarantee of profit is made or implied. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use rigorous risk management practices.
Wall Street Ai**Wall Street Ai – Advanced Technical Indicator for Market Analysis**
**Overview**
Wall Street Ai is an advanced, AI-powered technical indicator meticulously engineered to provide traders with in-depth market analysis and insight. By leveraging state-of-the-art artificial intelligence algorithms and comprehensive historical price data, Wall Street Ai is designed to identify significant market turning points and key price levels. Its sophisticated analytical framework enables traders to uncover potential shifts in market momentum, assisting in the formulation of strategic trading decisions while maintaining the highest standards of objectivity and reliability.
**Key Features**
- **Intelligent Pattern Recognition:**
Wall Street Ai employs advanced machine learning techniques to analyze historical price movements and detect recurring patterns. This capability allows it to differentiate between typical market noise and meaningful signals indicative of potential trend reversals.
- **Robust Noise Reduction:**
The indicator incorporates a refined volatility filtering system that minimizes the impact of minor price fluctuations. By isolating significant price movements, it ensures that the analytical output focuses on substantial market shifts rather than ephemeral variations.
- **Customizable Analytical Parameters:**
With a wide range of adjustable settings, Wall Street Ai can be fine-tuned to align with diverse trading strategies and risk appetites. Traders can modify sensitivity, threshold levels, and other critical parameters to optimize the indicator’s performance under various market conditions.
- **Comprehensive Data Analysis:**
By harnessing the power of artificial intelligence, Wall Street Ai performs a deep analysis of historical data, identifying statistically significant highs and lows. This analysis not only reflects past market behavior but also provides valuable insights into potential future turning points, thereby enhancing the predictive aspect of your trading strategy.
- **Adaptive Market Insights:**
The indicator’s dynamic algorithm continuously adjusts to current market conditions, adapting its analysis based on real-time data inputs. This adaptive quality ensures that the indicator remains relevant and effective across different market environments, whether the market is trending strongly, consolidating, or experiencing volatility.
- **Objective and Reliable Analysis:**
Wall Street Ai is built on a foundation of robust statistical methods and rigorous data validation. Its outputs are designed to be objective and free from any exaggerated claims, ensuring that traders receive a clear, unbiased view of market conditions.
**How It Works**
Wall Street Ai integrates advanced AI and deep learning methodologies to analyze a vast array of historical price data. Its core algorithm identifies and evaluates critical market levels by detecting patterns that have historically preceded significant market movements. By filtering out non-essential fluctuations, the indicator emphasizes key price extremes and trend changes that are likely to impact market behavior. The system’s adaptive nature allows it to recalibrate its analytical parameters in response to evolving market dynamics, providing a consistently reliable framework for market analysis.
**Usage Recommendations**
- **Optimal Timeframes:**
For the most effective application, it is recommended to utilize Wall Street Ai on higher timeframe charts, such as hourly (H1) or higher. This approach enhances the clarity of the detected patterns and provides a more comprehensive view of long-term market trends.
- **Market Versatility:**
Wall Street Ai is versatile and can be applied across a broad range of financial markets, including Forex, indices, commodities, cryptocurrencies, and equities. Its adaptable design ensures consistent performance regardless of the asset class being analyzed.
- **Complementary Analytical Tools:**
While Wall Street Ai provides profound insights into market behavior, it is best utilized in combination with other analytical tools and techniques. Integrating its analysis with additional indicators—such as trend lines, support/resistance levels, or momentum oscillators—can further refine your trading strategy and enhance decision-making.
- **Strategy Testing and Optimization:**
Traders are encouraged to test Wall Street Ai extensively in a simulated trading environment before deploying it in live markets. This allows for thorough calibration of its settings according to individual trading styles and risk management strategies, ensuring optimal performance across diverse market conditions.
**Risk Management and Best Practices**
Wall Street Ai is intended to serve as an analytical tool that supports informed trading decisions. However, as with any technical indicator, its outputs should be interpreted as part of a comprehensive trading strategy that includes robust risk management practices. Traders should continuously validate the indicator’s findings with additional analysis and maintain a disciplined approach to position sizing and risk control. Regular review and adjustment of trading strategies in response to market changes are essential to mitigate potential losses.
**Conclusion**
Wall Street Ai offers a cutting-edge, AI-driven approach to technical analysis, empowering traders with detailed market insights and the ability to identify potential turning points with precision. Its intelligent pattern recognition, adaptive analytical capabilities, and extensive noise reduction make it a valuable asset for both experienced traders and those new to market analysis. By integrating Wall Street Ai into your trading toolkit, you can enhance your understanding of market dynamics and develop a more robust, data-driven trading strategy—all while adhering to the highest standards of analytical integrity and performance.
Normalized VolumeOVERVIEW
The Normalized Volume (NV) is an attempt at visualizing volume in a format that is more understandable by placing the values on a scale of 0 to 100. 0 in this case is the lowest volume candle available on the chart, and 100 being the highest. Calling a candle “high volume” can be misleading without having something to compare to. For example, in scaling the volume this way we can clearly see that a given candle had 80% of the peak volume or 20%, and gauge the validity of price moves more accurately.
FEATURES
NV by session
Allows user to filter the volume values across 4 different sessions. This can add context to the volume output, because what it high volume during London session may not be high volume relative to New York session.
Overlay plotting
When volume boxes are turned on, this will allow you to toggle how they are plotted.
Color theme
A standard color theme will color the NV based on if the respective candle closed green or red. Selecting variables will color the NV plot based on which range the value falls within.
Session inputs
Activated with the “By session?” Input. Allows user to break the day up into 4 sessions to more accurately gauge volume relative to time of day.
Show Box (X)
Toggles on chart boxes on and off.
Show historical boxes
Will plot prior occurrences of selected volume boxes, deleting them when price fully moves through them in the opposite direction of the initial candle.
Color inputs
Allows for intensive customization in how this tool appears visually.
INTERPRETATION
There are 6 pre-defined ranges that NV can fall within.
NV <= 10
Volume is insignificant
In this range, volume should not be a confirmation in your trading strategy.
NV > 10 and <= 20
Volume is low
In this range, volume should not be a confirmation in your trading strategy.
NV > 20 and <= 40
Volume is fair
In this range, volume should not be the primary confirmation in your trading strategy.
NV > 40 and <= 60
Volume is high
In this range, volume can be the primary confirmation in your trading strategy.
NV > 60 and <= 80
Volume is very high
In this range, volume can be the primary confirmation in your trading strategy.
NV > 80
Volume is extreme
In this range, volume is likely news driven and caution should be taken. High price volatility possible.
To utilize this tool in conjunction with your current strategy, follow the range explanations above section in this section. The higher the NV value, the stronger you can feel about your directional confirmation.
If NV = 100, this means that the highest volume candle occurred up to that point on your selected timeframe. All future data points will be weighed off of this value.
LIMITATIONS
This tool will not load on tickers that do not have volume data, such as VIX.
STRATEGY
The Normalized Volume plot can be used in exactly the same way as you would normally utilize volume in your trading strategy. All we are doing is weighing the volume relative to itself.
Volume boxes can be used as targets to be filled in a similar way to commonly used “fair value gap” strategies. To utilize this strategy, I recommend selecting “Plot to Wicks” in Overlay Plotting and toggling on Show Historical Boxes.
Volume boxes can be used as areas for entry in a similar way to commonly used “order block” strategies. To utilize this strategy, I recommend selecting “Open To Close” in Overlay Plotting.
NOTES
You are able to plot an info label on right side of NV plot using the "Toggle box label" input. When a box is toggled on this label will tell you when the most recent box of that intensity occurred.
This tool is deeply visually customizable, with the ability to adjust line width for plotted boxes, all colors on both box overlays, and all colors on NV panel. Customize it to your liking!
I have a handful of additional features that I plan on adding to this tool in future updates. If there is anything you would like to see added, any bugs you identify, or any strategies you encounter with this tool, I would love to hear from you!
Huge shoutout to @joebaus for assisting in bringing this tool to life, please check out his work here on TradingView!
Triple Differential Moving Average BraidThe Triple Differential Moving Average Braid weaves together three distinct layers of moving averages—short-term, medium-term, and long-term—providing a structured view of market trends across multiple time horizons. It is an integrated construct optimized exclusively for the 1D timeframe. For multi-timeframe analysis and/or trading the lower 1h and 15m charts, it pairs well the Granular Daily Moving Average Ribbon ... adjust the visibility settings accordingly.
Unlike traditional moving average indicators that use a single moving average crossover, this braid-style system incorporates both SMAs and EMAs. The dual-layer approach offers stability and responsiveness, allowing traders to detect trend shifts with greater confidence.
Users can, of course, specify their own color scheme. The indicator consists of three layered moving average pairs. These are named per their default colors:
1. Silver Thread – Tracks immediate price momentum.
2. Royal Guard – Captures market structure and developing trends.
3. Golden Section – Defines major market cycles and overall trend direction.
Each layer is color-coded and dynamically shaded based on whether the faster-moving average is above or below its slower counterpart, providing a visual representation of market strength and trend alignment.
🧵 Silver Thread
The Silver Thread is the fastest-moving layer, comprising the 21D SMA and a 21D EMA. The choice of 21 is intentional, as it corresponds to approximately one full month of trading days in a 5-day-per-week market and is also a Fibonacci number, reinforcing its use in technical analysis.
· The 21D SMA smooths out recent price action, offering a baseline for short-term structure.
· The 21D EMA reacts more quickly to price changes, highlighting shifts in momentum.
· When the SMA is above the EMA, price action remains stable.
· When the SMA falls below the EMA, short-term momentum weakens.
The Silver Thread is a leading indicator within the system, often flipping direction before the medium- and long-term layers follow suit. If the Silver Thread shifts bearish while the Royal Guard remains bullish, this can signal a temporary pullback rather than a full trend reversal.
👑 Royal Guard
The Royal Guard provides a broader perspective on market momentum by using a 50D EMA and a 200D EMA. EMAs prioritize recent price data, making this layer faster-reacting than the Golden Section while still offering a level of stability.
· When the 50D EMA is above the 200D EMA, the market is in a confirmed uptrend.
· When the 50D EMA crosses below the 200D EMA, momentum has shifted bearish.
This layer confirms medium-term trend structure and reacts more quickly to price changes than traditional SMAs, making it especially useful for trend-following traders who need faster confirmation than the Golden Section provides.
If the Silver Thread flips bearish while the Royal Guard remains bullish, traders may be seeing a momentary dip in an otherwise intact uptrend. Conversely, if both the Silver Thread and Royal Guard shift bearish, this suggests a deeper pullback or possible trend reversal.
📜 Golden Section
The Golden Section is the slowest and most stable layer of the system, utilizing a 50D SMA and a 200D SMA—a classic combination used by long-term traders and institutions.
· When the 50D SMA is above the 200D SMA the market is in a strong, sustained uptrend.
· When the 50D SMA falls below the 200D SMA the market is structurally bearish.
Because SMAs give equal weight to past price data, this layer moves slowly and deliberately, ensuring that false breakouts or temporary swings do not distort the bigger picture.
Traders can use the Golden Section to confirm major market trends—when all three layers are bullish, the market is strongly trending upward. If the Golden Section remains bullish while the Royal Guard turns bearish, this may indicate a medium-term correction within a larger uptrend rather than a full reversal.
🎯 Swing Trade Setups
Swing traders can benefit from the multi-layered approach of this indicator by aligning their trades with the overall market structure while capturing short-term momentum shifts.
· Bullish: Look for Silver Thread and Royal Guard alignment before entering. If the Silver Thread flips bullish first, anticipate a momentum shift. If the Royal Guard follows, this confirms a strong medium-term move.
· Bearish: If the Silver Thread turns bearish first, it may signal an upcoming reversal. Waiting for the Royal Guard to follow adds confirmation.
· Confirmation: If the Golden Section remains bullish, a pullback may be an opportunity to enter a trend continuation trade rather than exit prematurely.
🚨 Momentum Shifts
· If the Silver Thread flips bearish but the Royal Guard remains bullish, traders may opt to buy the dip rather than exit their positions.
· If both the Silver Thread and Royal Guard turn bearish, traders should exercise caution, as this suggests a more significant correction.
· When all three layers align in the same direction the market is in a strong trending phase, making swing trades higher probability.
⚠️ Risk Management
· A narrowing of the shaded areas suggests trend exhaustion—consider tightening stop losses.
· When the Golden Section remains bullish, but the other two layers weaken, potential support zones to enter or re-enter positions.
· If all three layers flip bearish, this may indicate a larger trend reversal, prompting an exit from long positions and/or consideration of short setups.
The Triple Differential Moving Average Braid is layered, structured tool for trend analysis, offering insights across multiple timeframes without requiring traders to manually compare different moving averages. It provides a powerful and intuitive way to read the market. Swing traders, trend-followers, and position traders alike can use it to align their trades with dominant market trends, time pullbacks, and anticipate momentum shifts.
By understanding how these three moving average layers interact, traders gain a deeper, more holistic perspective of market structure—one that adapts to both momentum-driven opportunities and longer-term trend positioning.
Weekly MA SuiteThe Weekly MA Suite is a multi-layered moving average indicator designed for traders and investors who analyze market trends across weekly and long-term timeframes. It combines three critical trend layers—short-term (1W EMA/VWMA), mid-term (30W EMA/VWMA), and long-term (200W HMA)—providing clear insights into market momentum, structure, and cycle trends.
This indicator is ideal for:
✅ Swing traders looking for weekly momentum shifts
✅ Position traders tracking multi-week to multi-month trends
✅ Long-term investors monitoring macro market cycles
Each layer has customizable colors, transparency, and visibility toggles, ensuring traders can tailor the indicator to their specific needs.
📊 Breakdown of Components
🔹 Short-Term Trend (1W EMA/VWMA Ribbon – Top Layer)
Purpose: Captures weekly momentum and volume dynamics
• 1W EMA (Exponential Moving Average) reacts quickly to price changes
• 1W VWMA (Volume-Weighted Moving Average) accounts for volume to confirm trend strength
• Ribbon fill highlights the divergence between price-based momentum (EMA) and volume-weighted trends (VWMA), making trend shifts easier to spot
Usage:
• If the 1W EMA is above the 1W VWMA, momentum is strong and price is trending higher with support from volume
• If the EMA crosses below the VWMA, it may indicate weakening trend strength or distribution
• A widening ribbon suggests increasing momentum, while a narrowing ribbon signals potential consolidation or reversal
🔸 Mid-Term Trend (30W EMA/VWMA Ribbon – Middle Layer)
Purpose: Provides insight into the broader market structure over multiple months
• 30W EMA represents the dominant trend direction over roughly half a year
• 30W VWMA smooths this trend while weighting price by trading volume
• Ribbon fill allows for a visual representation of how volume impacts trend direction
Usage:
• A bullish trend is confirmed when price remains above the 30W EMA, with the ribbon widening in an uptrend
• A bearish shift occurs when the 30W EMA crosses below the 30W VWMA, signaling weakening demand
• If the ribbon narrows or twists frequently, the market may be in a choppy, range-bound phase
🔻 Long-Term Trend (200W HMA – Background Layer)
Purpose: Identifies major market cycles and deep trend shifts
• The 200W Hull Moving Average (HMA) is a long-term smoothing tool that reduces lag while maintaining trend clarity
• Unlike traditional moving averages, the HMA reacts faster to trend changes without excessive noise
Usage:
• When price is above the 200W HMA, the broader trend remains bullish, even during short-term corrections
• A cross below the 200W HMA may indicate a macro downtrend or deep market cycle shift
• Long-term investors can use this as a dynamic support or resistance zone
🎯 How to Use the Weekly MA Suite for Trading
📅 Identifying Market Phases
• In strong uptrends, the 1W EMA and 30W EMA will be aligned above their VWMA counterparts, with price well above the 200W HMA
• In sideways markets, the ribbons will frequently narrow or cross, signaling indecision
• In bear markets, price will typically trade below the 30W EMA, with the 200W HMA acting as a long-term resistance
📈 Entry and Exit Strategies
• A bullish trade setup occurs when the 1W EMA crosses above the 1W VWMA while the 30W EMA holds above the 30W VWMA, confirming multi-timeframe momentum
• A bearish setup is confirmed when the 1W EMA crosses below the 1W VWMA and price is also trending below the 30W EMA
• The 200W HMA can be used as a trend filter—staying long when price is above it and avoiding longs when price is below
🚦 Customizing for Your Trading Style
• Scalpers can focus on the 1W ribbon for faster trend shifts
• Swing traders can use the 30W ribbon for trend-following entries and exits
• Long-term investors should watch price action relative to the 200W HMA for market cycle positioning
🔧 Final Thoughts
The Weekly MA Suite simplifies multi-timeframe analysis by layering key moving averages in an intuitive and structured format. By combining short, medium, and long-term trend indicators, traders can confidently navigate market conditions and improve decision-making. Whether trading weekly trends or monitoring multi-year cycles, this tool provides a clear visual framework to enhance market insights.
ICT Liquidity Levels [TakingProphets]Overview
This indicator is designed to dynamically identify and display key liquidity levels—areas where market participants are likely to engage. By analyzing price swing points, it highlights potential support and resistance zones that can signal reversals or breakouts. The script distinguishes between buyside and sellside liquidity levels, presenting them with customizable visual cues and labels for immediate clarity.
How It Works
Swing Point Detection:
The indicator uses a pivot-based method (with a configurable “Base Swing Strength”) to detect swing highs and lows. Each detected swing is evaluated for its “swing size” (percentage price movement), and if it exceeds a user-defined threshold, the level is classified as major.
Level Creation and Classification:
Overview
Built on core ICT principles, this indicator identifies key liquidity zones—areas where market imbalances can lead to liquidity sweeps. By dynamically analyzing swing points, it offers traders a real-time view of where liquidity is clustering, allowing for a deeper understanding of market structure. 🚀
How It Works
Swing Point Detection 🔍
• Uses a pivot-based method with a configurable “Base Swing Strength” to detect significant price swings.
• Calculates the swing size (percentage change) to flag zones that exceed the “Major Level Threshold” as major liquidity zones.
Level Creation & Classification 🛠️
• Buyside Liquidity Levels (BSL):
Identified from swing highs, marking zones where buying liquidity clusters.
• Sellside Liquidity Levels (SSL):
Identified from swing lows, highlighting zones of concentrated selling liquidity.
• Each zone is stored with its price, bar index, and classification (major or standard) before being drawn as a horizontal line on the chart.
Dynamic Level Management 🔄
• Extension: Liquidity lines automatically extend from their detection point to the current bar.
• Consolidation: When levels are close in price, the script merges them—updating labels (e.g., “REQH” or “REQL”) to denote unified liquidity zones.
• Traded-Through Detection: Adjusts or removes levels if the market moves beyond them, based on your settings.
• Age-Based Cleanup: Inactive zones are automatically removed after a set number of bars to maintain clarity.
Customization Options ⚙️
Visual Settings:
• Choose from solid, dashed, or dotted line styles and adjust line width.
• Option to display labels with customizable placement (left or right) for optimal clarity.
Color & Opacity:
• Set distinct colors for buyside and sellside liquidity zones.
• Configure opacity for zones that have been traded through, keeping them visible yet de-emphasized.
Detection & Cleanup Parameters:
• Adjust “Base Swing Strength” to control pivot detection sensitivity.
• Set the “Major Level Threshold %” to filter for significant liquidity zones.
• Decide whether to retain or remove zones once price moves through them.
• Define how many bars should pass before inactive zones are automatically deleted.
How to Use 🚀
Apply the Indicator:
Simply add the script to your chart—it automatically detects and marks key liquidity zones based on recent price action.
Adjust Inputs:
Fine-tune parameters like swing strength, threshold percentages, and visual settings to match the asset’s characteristics and your trading strategy.
Interpret the Visuals:
• Major Liquidity Zones:
Highlighted with thicker lines and distinct labels (e.g., “Major BSL/SSL”), indicating areas of heightened liquidity concentration.
• Consolidated Zones:
Merged labels (e.g., “REQH/REQL”) denote unified liquidity zones where clustering is significant.
• Traded-Through Zones:
Changes in opacity signal that the market has moved beyond a previously identified liquidity zone.
Underlying ICT Concepts 💡
Liquidity Pools & Sweeps:
Focused on identifying where liquidity is concentrated, the indicator aligns with ICT methodologies that highlight zones crucial for liquidity sweeps.
Pivot Analysis for Liquidity:
Enhances traditional pivot detection to spotlight liquidity clusters, providing a deeper insight into market structure.
Real-Time Adaptation:
With continuous updates and built-in cleanup, the indicator ensures that liquidity zones accurately reflect current market conditions.
Volume Delta with Custom Colors and Min Delta Input### Indicator Description: **Volume Delta with Custom Colors and Min Delta Input**
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Volume Delta with Custom Colors and Min Delta Input is a powerful and flexible indicator for analyzing volume delta (the difference between buying and selling volume) on TradingView charts. This indicator visualizes volume delta with customizable colors and allows filtering based on a minimum delta value. It is an ideal tool for traders who want to gain deeper insights into market activity and identify significant volume changes.
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### Key Features:
Volume Delta Visualization:
- The indicator displays volume delta as candlesticks, where:
- Green candles indicate positive delta (buying volume dominance).
- Red candles indicate negative delta (selling volume dominance).
Customizable Colors:
- Users can choose their preferred colors for positive and negative delta to tailor the indicator to their preferences.
Minimum Delta Volume Filter:
- Added functionality to set a minimum delta volume threshold. This helps ignore insignificant volume changes and focus on important movements.
Flexible Timeframe Selection:
- The indicator supports analyzing volume delta on a different timeframe than the current chart. For example, you can analyze hourly volume delta on a daily chart.
Adaptive Settings:
- Users can configure the moving average (SMA) period and standard deviation multiplier to calculate the delta threshold.
---
### How to Use the Indicator:
Add the Indicator to Your Chart:
- Search for the indicator in the TradingView library and add it to your chart.
Configure the Settings:
- Positive Delta Bar Color: Choose the color for bars with positive delta.
- Negative Delta Bar Color: Choose the color for bars with negative delta.
- Minimum Delta Volume: Set the minimum delta volume value to be displayed.
- Use Custom Timeframe: Enable if you want to analyze volume on a different timeframe.
- Timeframe: Specify the desired timeframe for volume analysis (e.g., "1H" for hourly).
- SMA Period: Set the moving average period for delta calculation.
- Delta Multiplier: Adjust the standard deviation multiplier to fine-tune the delta threshold.
Analyze the Chart:
- Green candles indicate buying volume dominance, while red candles indicate selling volume dominance.
- Use the minimum delta volume filter to focus on significant movements.
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### Benefits of the Indicator:
Flexibility: Customizable colors, timeframe selection, and filtering make the indicator versatile for various trading strategies.
Clarity: Volume delta visualization as candlesticks allows for quick assessment of market activity.
Noise Reduction: The minimum delta volume filter helps ignore insignificant changes and focus on important movements.
---
### Example Use Cases:
For Scalping: Use a minute timeframe and set a minimum delta volume filter to identify short-term volume anomalies.
For Long-Term Trading: Analyze volume delta on daily or weekly timeframes to identify key support and resistance levels.
---
### Recommendations:
Use the indicator in combination with other technical analysis tools (e.g., support/resistance levels or trendlines) to improve signal accuracy.
Experiment with the settings to adapt the indicator to your trading strategies.
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Volume Delta with Custom Colors and Min Delta Input is an essential tool for traders who want to gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and make more informed trading decisions. Try it out today and see its effectiveness for yourself!
Markov + Monte Carlo Simulation with EVMarkov Monte Carlo Projection (MMCP) – A Probabilistic Approach to Price Forecasting
Introduction: A New Approach to Price Projection
The Markov Monte Carlo Projection (MMCP) is an advanced stochastic forecasting tool that models potential future price paths using a combination of Markov Chain transition probabilities and Monte Carlo simulations. Unlike traditional technical indicators that rely on fixed formulas, MMCP employs probability distributions and simulated price movement paths to estimate future price behavior dynamically.
This indicator is designed to adapt to changing market conditions and provides traders with a probabilistic framework rather than a fixed forecast. By incorporating volatility modeling, MMCP enables traders to size projections proportionally to recent price action, making it an adaptive and flexible forecasting tool.
Mathematical Foundations
Markov Chains: Modeling Probability of Price Movements
A Markov Chain is a stochastic process where the probability of transitioning to the next state depends only on the current state and not on past states (i.e., it is memoryless).
For price movement, MMCP analyzes the past N bars (set by the lookback window) to determine the transition probabilities of price moving up, down, or remaining the same based on past behavior:
Pup=Number of Up MovesTotal Moves
Pup=Total MovesNumber of Up Moves
Pdown=Number of Down MovesTotal Moves
Pdown=Total MovesNumber of Down Moves
Psame=1−(Pup+Pdown)
Psame=1−(Pup+Pdown)
These probabilities guide how future price movements are simulated, ensuring that projections reflect historical price behavior tendencies.
Monte Carlo Simulations: Generating Possible Futures
Monte Carlo simulations involve running many random trials to estimate possible outcomes. Each trial simulates a future price path by:
Randomly selecting a direction based on the Markov probabilities Pup,Pdown,PsamePup,Pdown,Psame.
Determining the magnitude of the price movement using a normally distributed volatility model.
Iterating this process across multiple forecast bars to simulate a range of potential price paths.
This process does not predict a single outcome, but rather generates a probability-weighted range of future price possibilities.
Volatility Modeling: Scaling Movements Proportionally
Why We Use Standard Deviation (σσ)
Price movement is inherently volatile, and the magnitude of price shifts must be scaled relative to recent volatility. MMCP calculates rolling price returns and then derives the standard deviation of those returns:
σ=stdev(price returns,lookback)
σ=stdev(price returns,lookback)
The Volatility Multiplier allows users to adjust the impact of this volatility on projected movements. This makes the indicator adaptive to different asset price ranges.
Key User Adjustments
1. Volatility Multiplier – Tuning Projections for Different Assets
The scale of the Volatility Multiplier must be tuned for each asset because it is relative to the magnitude of price action. For example:
Low-priced assets (e.g., $2.50 stocks) → A multiplier of 0.1 works best.
Mid-priced assets (e.g., $250 stocks) → A multiplier of 3 works best.
High-priced assets (e.g., Bitcoin) → A multiplier of 1000 works best.
🔹 If projections seem too extreme, decrease the multiplier.
🔹 If projections seem too flat, increase the multiplier.
The Volatility Multiplier can also be fine-tuned to make the projected signal proportionate to the immediately preceding price action.
2. Expected Value (EV) Path – Analyzing Aggregate Future Probabilities
The EV Line is a computed average of all simulated paths, giving traders an expected mean trajectory.
If you find that the EV Line is not visible, try increasing the volatility multiplier to make it more pronounced.
3. Projection Inversion – Enhancing Analysis with Paired Indicators
A unique feature of MMCP is the projection inversion toggle, designed to allow traders to run multiple instances of the indicator in tandem.
When one instance is set to normal projection and another to inverted projection, traders can pair them together using identical settings (except inversion). This setup allows for a mirrored probability perspective and enhances visualizing volatility dynamics.
Additionally, traders can use multiple sets of paired indicators, each with a different lookback window, to build a multi-layered, probability-driven market visualization. This dynamic approach provides an evolving structure of probable price movement in different time frames, offering deeper insights into potential market conditions.
How MMCP Works in Real-Time
Each new bar triggers a fresh Monte Carlo simulation, meaning that projections organically evolve with the market. This ensures that MMCP is always responding to current conditions, rather than applying static assumptions.
How to Use MMCP in Trading
✔ Identifying Potential Reversal & Continuation Zones
If most Monte Carlo paths project upward, bullish momentum is likely.
If most Monte Carlo paths project downward, bearish momentum is likely.
The Expected Value (EV) Line can help confirm the most probable trajectory.
✔ Analyzing Market Sentiment in Real Time
Use multiple instances of MMCP with different lookback windows to capture short-term vs. long-term sentiment.
Enable projection inversion to analyze potential mirrored moves.
✔ Fine-Tuning MMCP for Your Strategy
Adjust the Volatility Multiplier to match the price scale of your asset.
Increase the number of simulations to improve statistical robustness.
Use shorter lookback windows for more responsive predictions, or longer windows for more stable forecasts.
Why MMCP is a Game-Changer
✅ Dynamic & Probabilistic – Unlike fixed indicators, MMCP adapts in real-time.
✅ Fully Stochastic – MMCP embraces uncertainty using Markov models & Monte Carlo simulations.
✅ Customizable for Any Asset – Adjust the Volatility Multiplier for small or large price movements.
✅ Live Updates – The projection organically evolves with every new price bar.
✅ Multi-Perspective Analysis – Traders can run paired normal and inverted projections for deeper insights.
By tuning Volatility Multiplier, Lookback Window, and Projection Inversion, traders can customize MMCP to fit their strategy.
Final Thoughts
The Markov Monte Carlo Projection (MMCP) is not about making absolute predictions—it is about understanding probability distributions in price action.
By leveraging Monte Carlo simulations, Markov transition probabilities, and dynamic volatility modeling, MMCP gives traders a powerful probability-based edge in forecasting potential price movement.
Ethereum COT [SAKANE]#Overview
Ethereum COT is an indicator that visualizes Ethereum futures market positions based on the Commitment of Traders (COT) report provided by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission).
This indicator stands out from similar tools with the following features:
- **Flexible Data Switching**: Supports multiple COT report types, including "Financial," "Legacy," "OpenInterest," and "Force All."
- **Position Direction Selection**: Easily switch between long, short, and net positions. Net positions are automatically calculated.
- **Open Interest Integration**: View the overall trading volume in the market at a glance.
- **Comparison and Customization**: Toggle individual trader types (Dealer, Asset Manager, Commercials, etc.) on and off, with visually distinct color-coded graphs.
- **Force All Mode**: Simultaneously display data from different report types, enabling comprehensive market analysis.
These features make it a powerful tool for both beginners and advanced traders to deeply analyze the Ethereum futures market.
#Use Cases
1. **Analyzing Trader Sentiment**
- Compare net positions of various trader types (Dealer, Asset Manager, Commercials, etc.) to understand market sentiment.
2. **Identifying Trend Reversals**
- Detect early signs of trend reversals from sudden increases or decreases in long and short positions.
3. **Utilizing Open Interest**
- Monitor the overall trading volume represented by open interest to evaluate entry points or changes in volatility.
4. **Tracking Position Structures**
- Compare positions of leveraged funds and asset managers to analyze risk-on or risk-off environments.
#Key Features
1. **Report Type Selection**
- Financial (Financial Traders)
- Legacy (Legacy Report)
- Open Interest
- Force All (Display all data)
2. **Position Direction Selection**
- Long
- Short
- Net
3. **Visualization of Major Trader Types**
- Financial Traders: Dealer, Asset Manager, Leveraged Funds, Other Reportable
- Legacy: Commercials, Non-Commercials, Small Speculators
4. **Open Interest Visualization**
- Monitor the total open positions in the market.
5. **Flexible Customization**
- Toggle individual trader types on and off.
- Intuitive settings with tooltips for better usability.
#How to Use
1. Add the indicator to your chart and click the settings icon in the top-right corner.
2. Select the desired report type in the "Report Type" field.
3. Choose the position direction (Long/Short/Net) in the "Direction" field.
4. Toggle the visibility of trader types as needed.
#Notes
- Data is provided by the CFTC and is updated weekly. It is not real-time.
- Changes to the settings may take a few seconds to reflect.
Fibonacci 3-D🟩 The Fibonacci 3-D indicator is a visual tool that introduces a three-dimensional approach to Fibonacci projections, leveraging market geometry. Unlike traditional Fibonacci tools that rely on two points and project horizontal levels, this indicator leverages slopes derived from three points to introduce a dynamic element into the calculations. The Fibonacci 3-D indicator uses three user-defined points to form a triangular structure, enabling multi-dimensional projections based on the relationships between the triangle’s sides.
This triangular framework forms the foundation for the indicator’s calculations, with each slope (⌳AB, ⌳AC, and ⌳BC) representing the rate of price change between its respective points. By incorporating these slopes into Fibonacci projections, the indicator provides an alternate approach to identifying potential support and resistance levels. The Fibonacci 3-D expands on traditional methods by integrating both historical price trends and recent momentum, offering deeper insights into market dynamics and aligning with broader market geometry.
The indicator operates across three modes, each defined by the triangular framework formed by three user-selected points (A, B, and C):
1-Dimensional (1-D): Fibonacci levels are based on a single side of the triangle, such as AB, AC, or BC. The slope of the selected side determines the angle of the projection, allowing users to analyze linear trends or directional price movements.
2-Dimensional (2-D): Combines two slopes derived from the sides of the triangle, such as AB and BC or AC and BC. This mode adds depth to the projections, accounting for both historical price swings and recent market momentum.
3-Dimensional (3-D): Integrates all three slopes into a unified projection. This mode captures the full geometric relationship between the points, revealing a comprehensive view of geometric market structure.
🌀 THEORY & CONCEPT 🌀
The Fibonacci 3-D indicator builds on the foundational principles of traditional Fibonacci analysis while expanding its scope to capture more intricate market structures. At its core, the indicator operates based on three user-selected points (A, B, and C), forming the vertices of a triangle that provides the structural basis for all calculations. This triangle determines the slopes, projections, and Fibonacci levels, aligning with the unique geometric relationships between the chosen points. By introducing multiple dimensions and leveraging this triangular framework, the indicator enables a deeper examination of price movements.
1️⃣ First Dimension (1-D)
In technical analysis, traditional Fibonacci retracement and extension tools operate as one-dimensional instruments. They rely on two price points, often a swing high and a swing low, to calculate and project horizontal levels at predefined Fibonacci ratios. These levels identify potential support and resistance zones based solely on the price difference between the selected points.
A one-dimensional Fibonacci showing levels derived from two price points (B and C).
The Fibonacci 3-D indicator extends this one-dimensional concept by introducing Ascending and Descending projection options. These options calculate the levels to align with the directional movement of price, creating sloped projections instead of purely horizontal levels.
1-D mode with an ascending projection along the ⌳BC slope aligned to the market's slope. Potential support is observed at 0.236 and 0.382, while resistance appears at 1.0 and 0.5.
2️⃣ Second Dimension (2-D)
The second dimension incorporates a second side of the triangle, introducing relationships between two slopes (e.g., ⌳AB and ⌳BC) to form a more dynamic three-point structure (A, B, and C) on the chart. This structure enables the indicator to move beyond the single-axis (price) calculations of traditional Fibonacci tools. The sides of the triangle (AB, AC, BC) represent slopes calculated as the rate of price change over time, capturing distinct components of market movement, such as trend direction and momentum.
2-D mode of the Fibonacci 3-D indicator using the ⌳AC slope with a descending projection. The Fibonacci projections align closely with observed market behavior, providing support at 0.236 and resistance at 0.618. Unlike traditional zigzag setups, this configuration uses two swing highs (A and B) and a swing low (C). The alignment along the descending slope highlights the geometric relationships between selected points in identifying potential support and resistance levels.
3️⃣ Third Dimension (3-D)
The third dimension expands the analysis by integrating all three slopes into a unified calculation, encompassing the entire triangle structure formed by points A, B, and C. Unlike the second dimension, which analyzes pairwise slope relationships, the 3-D mode reflects the combined geometry of the triangle. Each slope contributes a distinct perspective: AB and AC provide historical context, while BC emphasizes the most recent price movement and is given greater weight in the calculations to ensure projections remain responsive to current dynamics.
Using this integrated framework, the 3-D mode dynamically adjusts Fibonacci projections to balance long-term patterns and short-term momentum. The projections extend outward in alignment with the triangle’s geometry, offering a comprehensive framework for identifying potential support and resistance zones and capturing market structures beyond the scope of simpler 1-D or 2-D modes.
Three-dimensional Fibonacci projection using the ⌳AC slope, aligning closely with the market's directional movement. The projection highlights key levels: resistance at 0.0 and 0.618, and support at 1.0, 0.786, and 0.382.
By leveraging all three slopes simultaneously, the 3-D mode introduces a level of complexity particularly suited for volatile or non-linear markets. The weighted slope calculations ensure no single price movement dominates the analysis, allowing the projections to adapt dynamically to the broader market structure while remaining sensitive to recent momentum.
Three-dimensional ascending projection. In 3D mode, the indicator integrates all three slopes to calculate the angle of projection for the Fibonacci levels. The resulting projections adapt dynamically to the overall geometry of the ABC structure, aligning with the market’s current direction.
🔂 Interactions: Dimensions. Slope Source, Projections, and Orientation
The Dimensions , Projections , and Orientation settings work together to define Fibonacci projections within the triangular framework. Each setting plays a specific role in the geometric analysis of price movements.
♾️ Dimension determines which of the three modes (1-D, 2-D, or 3-D) is used for Fibonacci projections. In 1-D mode, the projections are based on a single side of the triangle, such as AB, AC, or BC. In 2-D mode, two sides are combined, producing levels based on their geometric relationship. The 3-D mode integrates all three sides of the triangle, calculating projections using weighted averages that emphasize the BC side for its relevance to recent price movement while maintaining historical context from the AB and AC sides.
A one-dimensional Fibonacci projection using the ⌳AB slope with a neutral projection. Important levels of interaction are highlighted: repeated resistance at Level 1.0 and repeated support at Levels 0.5 and 0.618. The projection aligns horizontally, reflecting the relationship between points A, B, and C while identifying recurring zones of market structure.
🧮 Slope Source determines which side of the triangle (AB, AC, or BC) serves as the foundation for Fibonacci projections. This selection directly impacts the calculations by specifying the slope that anchors the geometric relationships within the chosen Dimension mode (1-D, 2-D, or 3-D).
In 1-D mode, the selected Source defines the single side used for the projection. In 2-D and 3-D modes, the Source works in conjunction with other settings to refine projections by integrating the selected slope into the multi-dimensional framework.
One-dimensional Fibonacci projection using the ⌳AC Slope Source and Ascending projection. The projection continues on the AC slope line.
🎯 Projection controls the direction and alignment of Fibonacci levels. Neutral projections produce horizontal levels, similar to traditional Fibonacci tools. Ascending and Descending projections adjust the levels along the calculated slope to reflect market trends. These options allow the indicator’s outputs to align with different market behaviors.
An ascending projection along the ⌳BC slope aligns with resistance levels at 1.0, 0.618, and 0.236. The geometric relationship between points A, B, and C illustrates how the projection adapts to market structure, identifying resistance zones that may not be captured by traditional Fibonacci tools.
🧭 Orientation modifies the alignment of the setup area defined by points A, B, and C, which influences Fibonacci projections in 2-D and 3-D modes. In Default mode, the triangle aligns naturally based on the relative positions of points B and C. In Inverted mode, the geometric orientation of the setup area is reversed, altering the slope calculations while preserving the projection direction specified in the Projection setting. In 1-D mode, Orientation has no effect since only one side is used for the projection.
Adjusting the Orientation setting provides alternative views of how Fibonacci levels align with the market's structure. By recalibrating the triangle’s setup, the inverted orientation can highlight different relationships between the sides, providing additional perspectives on support and resistance zones.
2-D inverted. The ⌳AC slope defines the projection, and the inverted orientation adjusts the alignment of the setup area, altering the angles used in level calculations. Key levels are highlighted: resistance at 0.786, strong support at 0.5 and 0.236, and a resistance-turned-support interaction at 0.618.
🛠️ CONFIGURATION AND SETTINGS 🛠️
The Fibonacci 3-D indicator includes configurable settings to adjust its functionality and visual representation. These options include customization of the dimensions (1-D, 2-D, or 3-D), slope calculations, orientations, projections, Fibonacci levels, and visual elements.
When adding the indicator to a new chart, select three reference points (A, B, and C). These are usually set to recent swing points. All three points can be easily changed at any time by clicking on the reference point and dragging it to a new location.
By default, all settings are set to Auto . The indicator uses an internal algorithm to estimate the projections based on the orientation and relative positions of the reference points. However, all values can be overridden to reflect the user's interpretation of the current market geometry.
⚙️ Core Settings
Dimensions : Defines how many sides of the triangle formed by points A, B, and C are incorporated into the calculations for Fibonacci projections. This setting determines the level of complexity and detail in the analysis. 1-D : Projects levels along the angle of a single user-selected side of the triangle.
2-D : Projects levels based on a composite slope derived from the angles of two sides of the triangle.
3-D : Projects levels based on a composite slope derived from all three sides of the triangle (A-B, A-C, and B-C), providing a multi-dimensional projection that adapts to both historical and recent market movements.
Slope Source : Determines which side of the triangle is used as the basis for slope calculations. A–B: The slope between points A and B. In 1-D mode, this determines the projection. In 2-D and 3-D modes, it contributes to the composite slope calculation.
A–C: The slope between points A and C. In 1-D mode, this determines the projection. In 2-D and 3-D modes, it contributes to the composite slope calculation.
B--C: The slope between points B and C. In 1-D mode, this determines the projection. In 2-D and 3-D modes, it contributes to the composite slope calculation.
Orientation : Defines the triangle's orientation formed by points A, B, and C, influencing slope calculations. Auto : Automatically determines orientation based on the relative positions of points B and C. If point C is to the right of point B, the orientation is "normal." If point C is to the left, the orientation is inverted.
Inverted : Reverses the orientation set in "Auto" mode. This flips the triangle, reversing slope calculations ⌳AB becomes ⌳BA).
Projection : Determines the direction of Fibonacci projections: Auto : Automatically determines projection direction based on the triangle formed by A, B, and C.
Ascending : Projects the levels upward.
Neutral : Projects the levels horizontally, similar to traditional Fibonacci retracements.
Descending : Projects the levels downward.
⚙️ Fibonacci Level Settings Show or hide specific levels.
Level Value : Adjust Fibonacci ratios for each level. The 0.0 and 1.0 levels are fixed.
Color : Set level colors.
⚙️ Visibility Settings Show Setup : Toggle the display of the setup area, which includes the projected lines used in calculations.
Show Triangle : Toggle the display of the triangle formed by points A, B, and C.
Triangle Color : Set triangle line colors.
Show Point Labels : Toggle the display of labels for points A, B, and C.
Show Left/Right Labels : Toggle price labels on the left and right sides of the chart.
Fill % : Adjust the fill intensity between Fibonacci levels (0% for no fill, 100% for full fill).
Info : Set the location or hide the Slope Source and Dimension. If Orientation is Inverted , the Slope Source will display with an asterisk (*).
⚙️ Time-Price Points : Set the time and price for points A, B, and C, which define the Fibonacci projections.
A, B, and C Points : User-defined time and price coordinates that form the foundation of the indicator's calculations.
Interactive Adjustments : Changes made to points on the chart automatically synchronize with the settings panel and update projections in real time.
Notes
Unlike traditional Fibonacci tools that include extensions beyond 1.0 (e.g., 1.618 or 2.618), the Fibonacci 3-D indicator restricts Fibonacci levels to the range between 0.0 and 1.0. This is because the projections are tied directly to the proportional relationships along the sides of the triangle formed by points A, B, and C, rather than extending beyond its defined structure.
The indicator's calculations dynamically sort the user-defined A, B, and C points by time, ensuring point A is always the earliest, point C the latest, and point B the middle. This automatic sorting allows users to freely adjust the points directly on the chart without concern for their sequence, maintaining consistency in the triangular structure.
🖼️ ADDITIONAL CHART EXAMPLES 🖼️
Three-dimensional ⌳AC slope is used with an ascending projection, even as the broader market trend moves downward. Despite the apparent contradiction, the projected Fibonacci levels align closely with price action, identifying zones of support and resistance. These levels highlight smaller countertrend movements, such as pullbacks to 0.382 and 0.236, followed by continuations at resistance levels like 0.618 and 0.786.
In 2-D mode, an ascending projection based on the BC slope highlights the market's geometric structure. A setup triangle, defined by a swing high (A), a swing low (B), and another swing high (C), reveals Fibonacci projections aligning with support at 0.236, 0.382, and 0.5, and resistance at 0.618, 0.786, and 1.0, as shown by the green and red arrows. This demonstrates the ability to uncover dynamic support and resistance levels not calculated in traditional Fibonacci tools.
In 2-D mode with an ascending projection from the ⌳AB slope, price movement is contained within the 0.5 and 0.786 levels. The 0.5 level serves as support, while the 0.786 level acts as resistance, with price action consistently interacting with these boundaries.
An AC (2-D) ascending projection is derived from two swing highs (A and B) and a swing low (C), reflecting a non-linear market structure that deviates from traditional zigzag patterns. The ascending projection aligns closely with the market's upward trajectory, forming a channel between the 0.0 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels. Note how price action interacts with the projected levels, showing support at 0.236 and 0.382, with the 0.5 level acting as a mid-channel equilibrium.
Two-dimensional ascending Fibonacci projection using the ⌳AC slope. Arrows highlight resistance at 0.786 and support at 0.0 and 0.236. The projection follows the ⌳AC slope, reflecting the geometric relationship between points A, B, and C to identify these levels.
Three-dimensional Fibonacci projection using the ⌳AC slope, aligned with the actual market's directional trend. By removing additional Fibonacci levels, the image emphasizes key areas: resistance at Level 0.0 and support at Levels 1.0 and 0.5. The projection dynamically follows the ⌳AC slope, adapting to the market's structure as defined by points A, B, and C.
A three-dimensional configuration uses the ⌳AB slope as the baseline for projections while incorporating the geometric influence of point C. Only the 0.0 and 0.618 levels are enabled, emphasizing the relationship between support at 0.0 and resistance at 0.618. Unlike traditional Fibonacci tools, which operate in a single plane, this setup reveals levels that rely on the triangular relationship between points A, B, and C. The third dimension allows for projections that align more closely with the market’s structure and reflect its multi-dimensional geometry.
The Fibonacci 3-D indicator can adapt to non-traditional point selection. Point A serves as a swing low, while points B and C are swing highs, forming an unconventional configuration. ⌳The BC slope is used in 2-D mode with an inverted orientation, flipping the projection direction and revealing resistance at Level 0.786 and support at Levels 0.618 and 0.5.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️
The Fibonacci 3-D indicator is a visual analysis tool designed to illustrate Fibonacci relationships. While the indicator employs precise mathematical and geometric formulas, no guarantee is made that its calculations will align with other Fibonacci tools or proprietary methods. Like all technical and visual indicators, the Fibonacci projections generated by this tool may appear to visually align with key price zones in hindsight. However, these projections are not intended as standalone signals for trading decisions. This indicator is intended for educational and analytical purposes, complementing other tools and methods of market analysis.
🧠 BEYOND THE CODE 🧠
The Fibonacci 3-D indicator, like other xxattaxx indicators , is designed to encourage both education and community engagement. Your feedback and insights are invaluable to refining and enhancing the Fibonacci 3-D indicator. We look forward to the creative applications, adaptations, and observations this tool inspires within the trading community.
