Bitcoin Risk Metric IIThesis: Bitcoin's price movements can be (dubiously) characterized by functional relationships between moving averages and standard deviations. These movements can be normalized into a risk metric through normalization functions of time. This risk metric may be able to quantify a long term "buy low, sell high" strategy.
This risk metric is the average of three normalized metrics:
1. (btc - 4 yma)/ (std dev)
2. ln(btc / 20 wma)
3. (50 dma)/(50 wma)
* btc = btc price
* yma = yearly moving average of btc, wma = weekly moving average of btc, dma = daily moving average of btc
* std dev = std dev of btc
Important note:
Historical data for this metric is only shown back until 2014, because of the nature of the 1st mentioned metric. The other two metrics produce a value back until 2011. A previous, less robust, version of metric 2 is posted on my TradingView as well.
ค้นหาในสคริปต์สำหรับ "bitcoin"
Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curves (Gab's Crypto) High Deviation (RED regression band) suggests the highest possible point of a market cycle.
- Lower Deviation (GREEN regression band) suggests the lowest possible point of a market cycle.
- Mid Deviation (YELLOW regression band) suggests the halfway point of the cycle.
- Fibonacci Retracement levels are implemented on top of the data model to predict and determine different milestone , key resistance/support and levels.
Bitcoin Risk Indicator (Daily)This indicator calculates the risk of buying and selling BTC, if the risk is reaching the upper boundaries of 0.8 to 1 then BTC is either getting close to a market cycle top or is far over extended.
If BTC is below 0.4 then this inidicates the least amount of Risk to buy BTC.
Bitcoin Halving EventsPast dates for the bitcoin halvings are marked with vertical yellow lines and labeled with the date and cycle number.
BTC COT Delta BBitcoin CME COT Delta Strategy
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Reading 4 largest long positions and 4 largest short positions, this script uses (shorts - longs) to produce a long/short signal.
• When delta <= buy threshold, a "long" signal will appear on the chart.
• When shorts >= sell threshold, a "short" signal will appear on the chart.
To see the indicator below, since it's not possible to mix the two, use this script:
** This is not a trading advice, it's for research purposes only. Do not trade based upon these signals.
Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression RainbowI know there are a lot of BTC rainbows out there, I just wanted to publish my version with my fittings to the BTC price.
The grey channel at the bottom encloses the March 2020 Corona dump.
For best experience USE WEEKLY TIMEFRAME .
Bitcoin 4 hours, bull market long, indicatorFirst of all, this indicator only applies to more than bull market.
It’s very simple to use.
1. The yellow part represents the short-term price is too high, you can sell some.
2. The black part represents the short-term price is too low, can be appropriate to buy some.
3. You can also add an alert to alert you.
Please remember to choose the 4 hour level, preferably bitcoin , and not to use this indicator on other currencies.
Give me a thumbs-up if you like it 👍
Bitcoin RSI Market RangesThe RSI Market Ranges helps to indicate if Bitcoin is overbought, oversold or neutral according to historical price and RSI high and low correlations, it is simply a color coded RSI indicator.
This RSI indicator works best on a monthly time frame and should not be used on any timeframe under 1 week as any potential correlation between price and RSI at these lower time frames becomes erroneous.
The critical level to note is anything above the 94.99 level which usually triggered a notable price correction and consolidation period.
BTC Perp Volume Per ExchangeBitcoin aggregated derivatives volume in stacked format or indexed format and denominated in USD.
This allows you to look at total volume of perpetual swap contracts and compare volume of different exchanges.
The indexed format makes it easier to look at the ratio of volume share of each exchange.
Markets included are:
Binance USDT
Huobi USD
Bybit USD
Bitmex XBT
FTX USD
Deribit USD
Phemex USD
Keep in mind that the Binance and FTX perps are dollar margined contracts. All the other ones are inverse contracts (coin margin).
In the settings you can exclude certain exchanges, but only do this in the "input" section and NOT in the "style" section.
If you get rid of markets in the style section it'll mess with the calculation and the data will be incorrect.
It's free so just add this indicator to your favourites.
Cheers.
BTC Spot Volume Per ExchangeBitcoin aggregated spot volume in stacked format or indexed format and denominated in USD.
This allows you to look at total volume and compare volume of different exchanges.
The indexed format makes it easier to look at the ratio of volume share of each exchange.
Markets included are:
Binance USDT
Okex USDT
Huobi USDT
Coinbase USD
Bitfinex USD
Bitstamp USD
FTX USD
In the settings you can exclude certain exchanges, but only do this in the "input" section and NOT in the "style" section.
If you get rid of markets in the style section it'll mess with the calculation and the data will be incorrect.
It's free so just add this indicator to your favourites.
Cheers.
Bitcoin Investor ToolSimple and ugly long MA ribbon, Try at different intervals, but for me it's a good way to eyeball where we are currently in the bitcoin cycle.
Bitcoin Bubble Strength IndexFor those who interested, here is a Bitcoin Strength Index source code. I used it on weekly chart with params (close,28). And only with Bitcoin . And only during bull run. It shows how far price went off the particular moving average during bubble run (i.e. being above BB). Weekly MA 28 is approximately daily ma 200.
The physical meaning of this indicator is to show current bull rally "speed".
Bitcoin Future Market Sentiment Pro (Indicator)[Benson]Sentiment Indicator Pro is a low-frequency trading signal developed by Benson.
It includes two products:
Indicators (display trading points on the K bar)
Stats (market sentiment stats)
This signals is based on the market stats from main BTC futures markets(BitMEX, Binance, Bybit, FTX), and uses composite technical indicators to filter out the best buying and selling points.
The backtest data of the past two years has a higher probability of identifying the relative high and low points of BTC's price
Since this signal is left-hand style trading style, ,it might be too early to identify the bottom or top, hence it is recommended that you use less than 2X leverage .
Note: The indicator is recommended to be applied in 1hr/2hr/4hr timeframes.
This is a paid indicator with a 14 days free trial, to get the access, please pm my Tradingview account directly.
Sentiment Indicator Pro 是 Benson 開發的低頻交易信號指標
此指標包含兩個產品:
Indicator (於K棒顯示買賣點)
Stats (市場情緒數字)
該信號基於多個期貨市場(BitMEX,Binance,Bybit,FTX)的數據,並使用綜合技術指標篩選出最佳的買入和賣出點
過去兩年的回測數據有較高機率識別出 BTC 價格的相對高低點
由於此信號是基於期貨市場數據作為左側交易的參考,有時候可能會過早識別出買點或賣點,因此建議您使用小於 2 倍的槓桿開單。
注意:建議在 1hr / 2hr / 4hr 時框使用該指標
這是一個付費指標,免費試用 14 天,如果你想使用這個指標,請直接私訊我的 Tradingview 帳號
Bitcoin Future Market Sentiment Pro (Stats) [Benson]Sentiment Indicator Pro is a low-frequency trading signal developed by Benson.
It includes two products:
Indicators (display trading points on the K bar)
Stats (market sentiment stats)
This signals is based on the market stats from main BTC futures markets(BitMEX, Binance, Bybit, FTX), and uses composite technical indicators to filter out the best buying and selling points.
The backtest data of the past two years has a higher probability of identifying the relative high and low points of BTC's price
Since this signal is left-hand style trading style, ,it might be too early to identify the bottom or top, hence it is recommended that you use less than 2X leverage .
Note: The indicator is recommended to be applied in 1hr/2hr/4hr timeframes.
This is a paid indicator with a 14 days free trial, to get the access, please pm my Tradingview account directly.
Sentiment Indicator Pro 是 Benson 開發的低頻交易信號指標
此指標包含兩個產品:
Indicator (於K棒顯示買賣點)
Stats (市場情緒數字)
該信號基於多個期貨市場(BitMEX,Binance,Bybit,FTX)的數據,並使用綜合技術指標篩選出最佳的買入和賣出點
過去兩年的回測數據有較高機率識別出 BTC 價格的相對高低點
由於此信號是基於期貨市場數據作為左側交易的參考,有時候可能會過早識別出買點或賣點,因此建議您使用小於2倍的槓桿開單。
注意:建議在1hr / 2hr / 4hr 時框使用該指標
這是一個付費指標,免費試用 14 天,如果你想使用這個指標,請直接私訊我的 Tradingview 帳號
Bitcoin Bullish Percent IndexHello Traders,
This is Bitcoin Bullish Percent Index script. First lets talk about what the Bullish Percent Index and how it is calculated:
"The Bullish Percent Index (BPI) is a breadth indicator based on the number of securities on Point & Figure Buy Signals, Developed by Abe Cohen in the mid-1950s. Because a security is either on a P&F Buy or Sell Signal, there is no ambiguity when it comes to P&F charts. This makes BPI a straightforward indicator with clearly defined signals."
The calculation is straightforward and simple: (Number of securities on P&F Buy signals) / (Total number of securities)
Here you can see what the P&F buy signal is:
In this script I choose 40 cryptos that is correlated ( as I see ) with BTC (including BtcUsdt). in the first part the script creates P&F chart for each security and check if there is Buy or Sell signal and sum the buy signals if there is. in the second part it creates P&F chart by using the P&F buy/sell signals coming from the securities P&F chart. because of complicated calculation the script may need a few seconds to load.
in the first part reversal value is 3 by default but you can set different values as reversal. sometimes I got better results with reversal = 5.
in BPI part reversal = 3 is used. so each box represents 2% (each X or O is a box). And this means it takes at least a 6% move in BPI for a reversal. the Bullish Percent Index favors the bulls when above 50% and the bears when below 50%. The bulls have the edge when over 50% of stocks are on a P&F Buy Signal. BPI is also considered overbought when above 70% and oversold when below 30%. BPI can move between 0 and 100.
Because of 40 securities are used in the script and all different prices, it uses Percentage scaling only. it can calculate the Percentage automatically by using the time frame of the chart or you can set it as you wish.
The Signals coming from BPI:
Bull Alert: BPI is below 30% and then forms a new column of X's (rises)
Bear Alert: BPI is above 70% and then forms a new column of O's that decline below 70%.
Bull Confirmed: BPI is on a P&F buy signal and in a column of X's (rising).
Bear Confirmed: BPI is on a P&F sell signal and in a column of O's (falling).
Bull Correction: BPI is on a P&F buy signal, but currently falling (column of O's).
Bear Correction: BPI is on a P&F sell signal, but currently rising (column of X's).
If you are not familiar with Bullish Percent Index you better search it on the net to get more info, you can find a lot of articles and web sites about BPI.
as I remember I developed the script 6-7 months ago and today I had chance to publish it as it was
Enjoy!
Bitcoin Future Market Sentiment[Benson]Use this sentiment indicator to buy dip and sell high.
The red area shows where the market sentiment is optimistic and might be temporarily a top to sell.
The green area shows where the market sentiment is pessimistic and might be temporarily a dip to buy.
This indicator sums up the majorBTC future market's funding rate 4 bars back. You can tweak the bars back in the input.
Bitcoin Futures: Premium Discount Backwardation Contango [CR]Bitcoin Futures Premium Discount - Backwardation Contango
Cryptorhythms back at it again with another release for your quarantined pleasure! We've had this one in our back pocket for a few months adding new features and testing it out. Now its time to release it into the wild!
Intro
This indicator is used to capture additional profits by spread trading on futures contracts.
Description
This indicator is for members only and instructions will be given out upon becoming a member. It allows you to select from dozens of perpetual, futures and spot markets to compare, along with providing an info panel of many useful statistics and triggers.
How to get access?
You can get more information on joining by referring to my signature links. Members gain access to an entire suite of proven trading indicators and a supportive community of traders.
Bitcoin Implied VolatilityThis simple script collects data from FTX:BVOLUSD to plot BTC’s implied volatility as a standalone indicator instead of a chart.
Implied volatility is used to gauge future volatility and often used in options trading.
Bitcoin Worse DaysHello, here is a simple script to scan for BTC worse days.
In input you tell the script what are the minimum percent drops to look for.
By default it is 0.3, here I set it at 0.25 or it would not show anything except the 12 March (which is 40.07%).
The indicator has a precision of 1% I think.
It does not look at how low the body closed, it will show all days that closed below where they opened looking at how far below the high of the day the low was.
It can also work on any timeframe.
Here were the previous worse days from the late 2017 crash start of the bear market:
You could modify the script and look for the worse bodies with open - close instead of high - low
You could also add a filter to only look at days where the body is > 90% the whole candle (in this case it's got to be about 99%)
We can look back at BTC past a bit
Every bear market started with a large drop so we can expect...
As you can see we can look at the weekly chart too:
I won't lie, I am pretty happy. Russia, China bat eating community, and Greta were a big help. Thanks guys.
Bitcoin CME Gaps [NeoButane]Simple script that checks for gaps in price from CME. tickerid(x, y, sess) doesn't seem to be applying correctly for the ticker specified at the moment so there are a couple of 'gaps' peppered on lower timeframes.
Gaps are legitimate price levels to look as a support or resistance. The theory is that volume needs to be gap filled, but I currently believe it's an easy entry/exit trade for those who can move the market. I don't think there is sound analysis behind the why, but it is real.
Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curves & ZonesI found this awesome script from @quantadelic and edited it to be a bit more legible for regular use, including coloured zones and removing the intercept / slope values as variables, to leave space for the fib levels in the indicator display. I hope you all like it.