Market Regime IndexThe Market Regime Index is a top-down macro regime nowcasting tool that offers a consolidated view of the market’s risk appetite. It tracks 32 of the world’s most influential markets across asset classes to determine investor sentiment by applying trend-following signals to each independent asset. It features adjustable parameters and a built-in alert system that notifies investors when conditions transition between Risk-On and Risk-Off regimes. The selected markets are grouped into equities (7), fixed income (9), currencies (7), commodities (5), and derivatives (4):
Equities = S&P 500 E-mini Index Futures, Nasdaq-100 E-mini Index Futures, Russell 2000 E-mini Index Futures, STOXX Europe 600 Index Futures, Nikkei 225 Index Futures, MSCI Emerging Markets Index Futures, and S&P 500 High Beta (SPHB)/Low Beta (SPLV) Ratio.
Fixed Income = US 10Y Treasury Yield, US 2Y Treasury Yield, US 10Y-02Y Yield Spread, German 10Y Bund Yield, UK 10Y Gilt Yield, US 10Y Breakeven Inflation Rate, US 10Y TIPS Yield, US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread, and US Corporate Option-Adjusted Spread.
Currencies = US Dollar Index (DXY), Australian Dollar/US Dollar, Euro/US Dollar, Chinese Yuan/US Dollar, Pound Sterling/US Dollar, Japanese Yen/US Dollar, and Bitcoin/US Dollar.
Commodities = ICE Brent Crude Oil Futures, COMEX Gold Futures, COMEX Silver Futures, COMEX Copper Futures, and S&P Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI) Futures.
Derivatives = CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX), ICE US Bond Market Volatility Index (MOVE), CBOE 3M Implied Correlation Index, and CBOE VIX Volatility Index (VVIX)/VIX.
All assets are directionally aligned with their historical correlation to the S&P 500. Each asset contributes equally based on its individual bullish or bearish signal. The overall market regime is calculated as the difference between the number of Risk-On and Risk-Off signals divided by the total number of assets, displayed as the percentage of markets confirming each regime. Green indicates Risk-On and occurs when the number of Risk-On signals exceeds Risk-Off signals, while red indicates Risk-Off and occurs when the number of Risk-Off signals exceeds Risk-On signals.
Bullish Signal = (Fast MA – Slow MA) > (ATR × ATR Margin)
Bearish Signal = (Fast MA – Slow MA) < –(ATR × ATR Margin)
Market Regime = (Risk-On signals – Risk-Off signals) ÷ Total assets
This indicator is designed with flexibility in mind, allowing users to include or exclude individual assets that contribute to the market regime and adjust the input parameters used for trend signal detection. These parameters apply to each independent asset, and the overall regime signal is smoothed by the signal length to reduce noise and enhance reliability. Investors can position according to the prevailing market regime by selecting factors that have historically outperformed under each regime environment to minimise downside risk and maximise upside potential:
Risk-On Equity Factors = High Beta > Cyclicals > Low Volatility > Defensives.
Risk-Off Equity Factors = Defensives > Low Volatility > Cyclicals > High Beta.
Risk-On Fixed Income Factors = High Yield > Investment Grade > Treasuries.
Risk-Off Fixed Income Factors = Treasuries > Investment Grade > High Yield.
Risk-On Commodity Factors = Industrial Metals > Energy > Agriculture > Gold.
Risk-Off Commodity Factors = Gold > Agriculture > Energy > Industrial Metals.
Risk-On Currency Factors = Cryptocurrencies > Foreign Currencies > US Dollar.
Risk-Off Currency Factors = US Dollar > Foreign Currencies > Cryptocurrencies.
In summary, the Market Regime Index is a comprehensive macro risk-management tool that identifies the current market regime and helps investors align portfolio risk with the market’s underlying risk appetite. Its intuitive, color-coded design makes it an indispensable resource for investors seeking to navigate shifting market conditions and enhance risk-adjusted performance by selecting factors that have historically outperformed. While it has proven historically valuable, asset-specific characteristics and correlations evolve over time as market dynamics change.
ค้นหาในสคริปต์สำหรับ "GOLD"
SuperTrade ST1 StrategyOverview
The SuperTrade ST1 Strategy is a long-only trend-following strategy that combines a Supertrend indicator with a 200-period EMA filter to isolate high-probability bullish trade setups. It is designed to operate in trending markets, using volatility-based exits with a strict 1:4 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio, meaning that each trade targets a profit 4× the size of its predefined risk.
This strategy is ideal for traders looking to align with medium- to long-term trends, while maintaining disciplined risk control and minimal trade frequency.
How It Works
This strategy leverages three key components:
Supertrend Indicator
A trend-following indicator based on Average True Range (ATR).
Identifies bullish/bearish trend direction by plotting a trailing stop line that moves with price volatility.
200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Filter
Trades are only taken when the price is above the EMA, ensuring participation only during confirmed uptrends.
Helps filter out counter-trend entries during market pullbacks or ranges.
ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit
Each trade uses the ATR to calculate volatility-adjusted exit levels.
Stop Loss: 1× ATR below entry.
Take Profit: 4× ATR above entry (1:4 R:R).
This asymmetry ensures that even with a lower win rate, the strategy can remain profitable.
Entry Conditions
A long trade is triggered when:
Supertrend flips from bearish to bullish (trend reversal).
Price closes above the Supertrend line.
Price is above the 200 EMA (bullish market bias).
Exit Logic
Once a long position is entered:
Stop loss is set 1 ATR below entry.
Take profit is set 4 ATR above entry.
The strategy automatically exits the position on either target.
Backtest Settings
This strategy is configured for realistic backtesting, including:
$10,000 account size
2% equity risk per trade
0.1% commission
1 tick slippage
These settings aim to simulate real-world conditions and avoid overly optimistic results.
How to Use
Apply the script to any timeframe, though higher timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily) often yield more reliable signals.
Works best in clearly trending markets (especially in crypto, stocks, indices).
Can be paired with alerts for live trading or analysis.
Important Notes
This version is long-only by design. No short positions are executed.
Ideal for swing traders or position traders seeking asymmetric returns.
Users can modify the ATR period, Supertrend factor, or EMA filter length based on asset behavior.
Multi-Band Comparison (Uptrend)Multi-Band Comparison
Overview:
The Multi-Band Comparison indicator is engineered to reveal critical levels of support and resistance in strong uptrends. In a healthy upward market, the price action will adhere closely to the 95th percentile line (the Upper Quantile Band), effectively “riding” it. This indicator combines a modified Bollinger Band (set at one standard deviation), quantile analysis (95% and 5% levels), and power‑law math to display a dynamic picture of market structure—highlighting a “golden channel” and robust support areas.
Key Components & Calculations:
The Golden Channel: Upper Bollinger Band & Upper Std Dev Band of the Upper Quantile
Upper Bollinger Band:
Calculation:
boll_upper=SMA(close,length)+(boll_mult×stdev)
boll_upper=SMA(close,length)+(boll_mult×stdev) Here, the 20-period SMA is used along with one standard deviation of the close, where the multiplier (boll_mult) is 1.0.
Role in an Uptrend:
In a healthy uptrend, price rides near the 95th percentile line. When price crosses above this Upper Bollinger Band, it confirms strong bullish momentum.
Upper Std Dev Band of the Upper Quantile (95th Percentile) Band:
Calculation:
quant_upper_std_up=quant_upper+stdev
quant_upper_std_up=quant_upper+stdev The Upper Quantile Band, quant_upperquant_upper, is calculated as the 95th percentile of recent price data. Adding one standard deviation creates an extension that accounts for normal volatility around this extreme level.
The Golden Channel:
When the price crosses above the Upper Bollinger Band, the Upper Std Dev Band of the Upper Quantile immediately shifts to gold (yellow) and remains gold until price falls below the Bollinger level. Together, these two lines form the “golden channel”—a visual hallmark of a healthy uptrend where the price reliably hugs the 95th percentile level.
Upper Power‑Law Band
Calculation:
The Upper Power‑Law Band is derived in two steps:
Determine the Extreme Return Factor:
power_upper=Percentile(returns,95%)
power_upper=Percentile(returns,95%) where returns are computed as:
returns=closeclose −1.
returns=close close−1.
Scale the Current Price:
power_upper_band=close×(1+power_upper)
power_upper_band=close×(1+power_upper)
Rationale and Correlation:
By focusing on the upper 5% of returns (reflecting “fat tails”), the Upper Power‑Law Band captures extreme but statistically expected movements. In an uptrend, its value often converges with the Upper Std Dev Band of the Upper Quantile because both measures reflect heightened volatility and extreme price levels. When the Upper Power‑Law Band exceeds the Upper Std Dev Band, it can signal a temporary overextension.
Upper Quantile Band (95% Percentile)
Calculation:
quant_upper=Percentile(price,95%)
quant_upper=Percentile(price,95%) This level represents where 95% of past price data falls below, and in a robust uptrend the price action practically rides this line.
Color Logic:
Its color shifts from a neutral (blackish) tone to a vibrant, bullish hue when the Upper Power‑Law Band crosses above it—signaling extra strength in the trend.
Lower Quantile and Its Support
Lower Quantile Band (5% Percentile):
Calculation:
quant_lower=Percentile(price,5%)
quant_lower=Percentile(price,5%)
Behavior:
In a healthy uptrend, price remains well above the Lower Quantile Band. It turns red only when price touches or crosses it, serving as a warning signal. Under normal conditions it remains bright green, indicating the market is not nearing these extreme lows.
Lower Std Dev Band of the Lower Quantile:
This line is calculated by subtracting one standard deviation from quant_lowerquant_lower and typically serves as absolute support in nearly all conditions (except during gap or near-gap moves). Its consistent role as support provides traders with a robust level to monitor.
How to Use the Indicator:
Golden Channel and Trend Confirmation:
As price rides the Upper Quantile (95th percentile) perfectly in a healthy uptrend, the Upper Bollinger Band (1 stdev above SMA) and the Upper Std Dev Band of the Upper Quantile form a “golden channel” once price crosses above the Bollinger level. When this occurs, the Upper Std Dev Band remains gold until price dips back below the Bollinger Band. This visual cue reinforces trend strength.
Power‑Law Insights:
The Upper Power‑Law Band, which is based on extreme (95th percentile) returns, tends to align with the Upper Std Dev Band. This convergence reinforces that extreme, yet statistically expected, price moves are occurring—indicating that even though the price rides the 95th percentile, it can only stretch so far before a correction or consolidation.
Support Indicators:
Primary and Secondary Support in Uptrends:
The Upper Bollinger Band and the Lower Std Dev Band of the Upper Quantile act as support zones for minor retracements in the uptrend.
Absolute Support:
The Lower Std Dev Band of the Lower Quantile serves as an almost invariable support area under most market conditions.
Conclusion:
The Multi-Band Comparison indicator unifies advanced statistical techniques to offer a clear view of uptrend structure. In a healthy bull market, price action rides the 95th percentile line with precision, and when the Upper Bollinger Band is breached, the corresponding Upper Std Dev Band turns gold to form a “golden channel.” This, combined with the Power‑Law analysis that captures extreme moves, and the robust lower support levels, provides traders with powerful, multi-dimensional insights for managing entries, exits, and risk.
Disclaimer:
Trading involves risk. This indicator is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making trading decisions.
Enhanced Economic Composite with Dynamic WeightEnhanced Economic Composite with Dynamic Weight
Overview of the Indicator :
The "Enhanced Economic Composite with Dynamic Weight" is a comprehensive tool that combines multiple economic indicators, technical signals, and dynamic weighting to provide insights into market and economic health. It adjusts based on current volatility and recession risk, offering a detailed view of market conditions.
What This Indicator Does :
Tracks Economic Health: Uses key economic and market indicators to assess overall market conditions.
Dynamic Weighting: Adjusts the importance of components like stock indices, gold, and bonds based on volatility (VIX) and yield curve inversion.
Technical Signals: Identifies market momentum shifts through key crossovers like the Golden Cross, Death Cross, Silver Cross, and Hospice Cross.
Recession Shading: Marks known recessions for historical context.
Economic Factors Considered :
TIP (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities): Reflects inflation expectations.
Gold: A safe-haven asset, increases in weight during volatility or rising momentum.
US Dollar Index (DXY): Measures USD strength, fixed weight of 10%, smoothed with EMA.
Commodities (DBC): Indicates global demand; weight increases with momentum or volatility.
Volatility Index (VIX): Reflects market risk, inversely related to market confidence.
Stock Indices (S&P 500, DJIA, NASDAQ, Russell 2000): Represent market performance, with weights reduced during high volatility or negative yield spread.
Yield Spread (10Y - 2Y Treasuries): Predicts recessions; negative spread reduces stock weighting.
Credit Spread (HYG - TLT): Indicates market risk through corporate vs. government bond yields.
How and Why Factors are Weighted:
Stock Indices get more weight in stable markets (low VIX, positive yield spread), while safe-haven assets like gold and bonds gain weight in volatile markets or during yield curve inversions. This dynamic adjustment ensures the composite reflects current market sentiment.
Technical Signals:
Golden Cross: 50 EMA crossing above 200 SMA, signaling bullish momentum.
Death Cross: 50 EMA below 200 SMA, indicating bearish momentum.
Silver Cross: 21 EMA crossing above 50 EMA, plotted only if below the 200-day SMA, signaling potential upside in downtrend conditions.
Hospice Cross: 50 EMA crosses below 21 EMA, plotted only if 21 EMA is below 200 SMA, a leading bearish signal.
Recession Shading:
Recession periods like the Great Recession, Early 2000s Recession, and COVID-19 Recession are shaded to provide historical context.
Benefits of Using This Indicator:
Comprehensive Analysis: Combines economic fundamentals and technical analysis for a full market view.
Dynamic Risk Adjustment: Weights shift between growth and safe-haven assets based on volatility and recession risk.
Early Signals: The Silver Cross and Hospice Cross provide early warnings of potential market shifts.
Recession Forecasting: Helps predict downturns through the yield curve and recession indicators.
Who Can Benefit:
Traders: Identify market momentum shifts early through crossovers.
Long-term Investors: Use recession warnings and dynamic adjustments to protect portfolios.
Analysts: A holistic tool for analyzing both economic trends and market movements.
This indicator helps users navigate varying market conditions by dynamically adjusting based on economic factors and providing early technical signals for market momentum shifts.
CE - Market Performance TableThe 𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 is a sophisticated market tool designed to provide valuable insights into the current market trends and the approximate current position in the Macroeconomic Regime.
Furthermore the 𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 provides the Correlation Implied Trend for the Asset on the Chart. Lastly it provides information about current "RISK ON" or "RISK OFF" periods.
Methodology:
𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 tracks the 15 underlying Stock ETF's to identify their performance and puts the combined performances together to visualize 42MACRO's GRID Equity Model.
For this it uses the below ETF's:
Dividends (SPHD)
Low Beta (SPLV)
Quality (QUAL)
Defensives (DEF)
Growth (IWF)
High Beta (SPHB)
Cyclicals (IYT, IWN)
Value (IWD)
Small Caps (IWM)
Mid Caps (IWR)
Mega Cap Growth (MGK)
Size (OEF)
Momentum (MTUM)
Large Caps (IWB)
Overall Settings:
The main time values you want to change are:
Correlation Length
- Defines the time horizon for the Correlation Table
ROC Period
- Defines the time horizon for the Performance Table
Normalization lookback
- Defines the time horizon for the Trend calculation of the ETF's
- For longer term Trends over weeks or months a length of 50 is usually pretty accurate
Visuals:
There is a variety of options to change the visual settings of what is being plotted and the two table positions and additional considerations.
Everything that is relevant in the underlying logic that can help comprehension can be visualized with these options.
Market Correlation:
The Market Correlation Table takes the Correlation of the above ETF's to the Asset on the Chart, it furthermore uses the Normalized KAMA Oscillator by IkkeOmar to analyse the current trend of every single ETF.
It then Implies a Correlation based on the Trend and the Correlation to give a probabilistically adjusted expectation for the future Chart Asset Movement. This is strengthened by taking the average of all Implied Trends.
With this the Correlation Table provides valuable insights about probabilistically likely Movement of the Asset, for Traders and Investors alike, over the defined time duration.
Market Performance:
𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 is the actual valuable part of this Indicator.
It provides valuable information about the current market environment (whether it's risk on or risk off), the rough GRID models from 42MACRO and the actual market performance.
This allows you to obtain a deeper understanding of how the market works and makes it simple to identify the actual market direction.
Utility:
The 𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 is divided in 4 Sections which are the GRID regimes:
Economic Growth:
Goldilocks
Reflation
Economic Contraction:
Inflation
Deflation
Top 5 Equity Style Factors:
Are the values green for a specific Column? If so then the market reflects the corresponding GRID behavior.
Bottom 5 Equity Style Factors:
Are the values red for a specific Column? If so then the market reflects the corresponding GRID behavior.
So if we have Goldilocks as current regime we would see green values in the Top 5 Goldilocks Cells and red values in the Bottom 5 Goldilocks Cells.
You will find that Reflation will look similar, as it is also a sign of Economic Growth.
Same is the case for the two Contraction regimes.
200W SMA Dynamic Extension Bands (MTF, Auto Asset)Summary
200W SMA Dynamic Extension Bands is a multi-timeframe TradingView indicator that plots extension bands (multiples) around the 200-week simple moving average. It’s designed to work on any chart timeframe (1m → 1D → 1W) while anchoring the bands to the latest confirmed weekly data, so the long-term reference is consistent and non-repainting across timeframes.
This is a macro “valuation/temperature gauge” style tool: it helps you quickly see when the price is cheap vs. the 200W mean and when it is extended/expensive.
What it plots
The indicator always computes:
200-week SMA (weekly)
Band m2
Band m3
Band m4
Bands are defined as:
Bandk(t)=SMA200W(t)⋅mk
Where the multipliers mk are chosen automatically depending on the asset type (or manually via input).
Key features
Works on any timeframe: weekly SMA is fetched via request.security(..., "W", ...).
Non-repainting weekly anchor: uses barmerge.lookahead_off to avoid peeking into future weekly bars.
Auto asset presets:
Crypto: wider extensions (bigger cycles)
Gold: moderate extensions
Equities: tighter than crypto
FX: very tight extensions
Futures: moderate fallback
Zone coloring (optional):
Cheap zone (below 1×)
Fair zone (1× → m2)
Hot zone (m2 → m3)
Expensive zone (m3 → m4)
Info table (optional): shows selected preset, current multiple, and % extension vs 200W SMA.
Alerts (optional): “entered cheap” and “entered expensive” style triggers.
Presets (default multipliers)
These are intentionally conservative templates (tune to your market):
Crypto: 1.0,1.5,2.0,3.0
Gold: 1.0,1.2,1.5,2.0
Equities: 1.0,1.15,1.30,1.60
FX: 1.0,1.05,1.10,1.20
Futures: 1.0,1.25,1.50,2.00
Auto mode uses syminfo.type plus a simple heuristic for Gold tickers containing XAU / GOLD (because some platforms classify XAUUSD as forex).
How to use (practical)
Macro context / cycle temperature
Price below 1× (200W SMA): historically “cheap zone” for highly cyclical assets (especially BTC).
Price above m3: often “expensive/extended” and higher risk of mean reversion.
Not a standalone trading system
Use with trend confirmation (market structure), volume, and risk management.
Extensions can persist in strong trends—treat bands as regime context, not precise reversal points.
Settings you can change
SMA Length (Weeks): default 200
Band preset: Auto / Crypto / Gold / Equities / FX / Futures
Toggle:
Zone fills
Info table
Alerts
Included alertconditions:
Cross below 1× (entered cheap zone)
Cross above m3 (entered expensive zone)
High level guideline:
Green Zone: BUY (Below 1.0× - Undervalued)
Yellow Zone: HOLD (1.0× - 1.5× - Fair Value)
Orange Zone: CAUTION (1.5× - 2.0× - Getting Hot)
Red Zone: SELL (2.0× - 3.0× - Overvalued)
Notes / limitations
The “cheap/expensive” zones are heuristics. They do not guarantee future returns.
Auto classification is best-effort; if your symbol is unusual, set the preset manually.
For newly listed assets with limited weekly history, the 200W SMA may be na until enough data exists.
Daily maximum price range for Credit SpreadsVolatility & Momentum for Credit Spreads
It is a specialized mean-reversion tool designed primarily for options traders focusing on Credit Spreads (specifically 0DTE on SPX) and intraday reversals. By combining Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) with VIX-adjusted volatility bands, this indicator identifies statistical extremes where price is likely to revert.
Unlike standard Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels, TITAN adapts its width based on real-time implied volatility (VIX), ensuring that your "overextended" zones are accurate whether the market is calm or chaotic.
🎯 Core Concept
The indicator relies on the principle that price moves within a definable "Daily Range" relative to the VWAP. When price pushes to the outer limits of this range while simultaneously hitting RSI extremes; it signals a high-probability reversal setup ideal for selling premium.
🛠 How It Works
The engine is built on three pillars:
Volatility-Adaptive Bands: The bands are calculated using a 14-day Average Daily Range (ADR), which is then dynamically scaled by the current VIX relative to a baseline. If VIX spikes, the bands widen instantly to keep you safe from premature entries.
Momentum Triggers: Signals are generated only when the RSI (14) hits extreme Overbought (>70) or Oversold (<30) levels.
"Golden Hour" Filtering: To avoid market open noise or late-day chop, the indicator includes a customizable time filter (Default: 10:15 – 11:30 AM EST). Signals outside this window are suppressed to enforce trading discipline.
🚀 Key Features
Visual Strategy Simulation: The indicator now includes a built-in "Strike Simulator." Upon the first valid signal of the session, it automatically plots a horizontal "Strike Line" at the Outer Band ± a user-defined buffer (e.g., 10 points). This helps you visualize your theoretical strike price for the rest of the day.
Bull & Bear Zones: Color-coded fills (Green for Bullish Buy Zones, Red for Bearish Sell Zones) make it easy to see market context at a glance.
Live Dashboard: A Heads-Up Display (HUD) in the bottom right shows real-time RSI values, Golden Hour status, and current signal state.
Unified Alert System: A single master alert condition triggers if price hits an RSI extreme OR touches a volatility band during your active trading window.
📉 How to Trade It (Example Strategy)
Wait for the Window: Ensure the "Golden Hour" on the dashboard reads ACTIVE (Default 10:15 AM EST).
Identify the Zone: Short Setup (Call Credit Spread): Price pushes into the Red Zone (Outer High). Long Setup (Put Credit Spread): Price pushes into the Green Zone (Outer Low).
Confirm the Signal: Look for the Diamond Icon. This confirms RSI has hit the extreme threshold.
Check the "Strike Line": Use the simulated horizontal line to identify where your short strike would be (Outer Band + Buffer) to verify it is at a safe distance from current price.
⚙️ Settings
ADR Length: Lookback period for daily range calculation (Default: 10).
Baseline VIX:* The standard VIX level used for normalization (Default: 15.0).
Inner/Outer Multipliers: Controls the width of the bands.
Golden Hour: The specific time window for valid signals.
Strike Buffer: Points added to the outer band to simulate your option strike price.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This tool is for informational purposes only. Trading options, especially 0DTE credit spreads, involves significant risk. Always backtest strategies and manage risk accordingly.
Piv X# Piv X Pro - Multi-Layer Reversal Detection System
## Overview
Piv X Pro is an advanced technical analysis indicator that combines dynamic pivot detection, Williams %R momentum divergence analysis, and multiple VWAP anchoring methods to identify high-probability mean reversion opportunities. Unlike simple indicator combinations, this script implements a layered filtration system where each component validates and refines signals from the previous layer, resulting in significantly fewer but higher-quality reversal setups.
## Core Methodology
### 1. Dynamic ATR-Based Pivot Detection
The script uses an adaptive pivot detection algorithm that adjusts sensitivity based on market volatility. Instead of fixed lookback periods, pivot strength is calculated dynamically using Average True Range (ATR):
**Calculation:** `pivot_strength = max(min_strength, min(ATR / mintick * multiplier, max_strength))`
This ensures:
- More sensitive pivots in low volatility (smaller ATR)
- More significant pivots in high volatility (larger ATR)
- Automatic adaptation across different market conditions and timeframes
**Significance Filtering:** Pivots must exceed a minimum ATR distance from recent price action (default 0.3 ATR) to filter noise. This prevents minor price fluctuations from being marked as significant pivots.
**Volume Confirmation (Optional):** Pivots can optionally require volume spikes (default 1.5x average volume) to ensure institutional participation.
### 2. Williams %R Momentum Divergence Engine
The script detects classic and hidden divergences between price pivots and Williams %R oscillator readings:
**Bullish Divergence Detection:**
- Price makes a lower low (confirmed pivot low)
- Williams %R makes a higher low (momentum improving)
- Divergence occurs in oversold zone (Williams %R ≤ -80)
- Lookback range: 60 bars maximum
**Bearish Divergence Detection:**
- Price makes a higher high (confirmed pivot high)
- Williams %R makes a lower high (momentum weakening)
- Divergence occurs in overbought zone (Williams %R ≥ -20)
- Lookback range: 60 bars maximum
**Divergence-Anchored VWAPs:** When a divergence is detected, a new VWAP calculation begins from that point, tracking institutional positioning relative to the momentum shift. This provides a dynamic mean reversion target that resets at each confirmed divergence.
### 3. Confluence Scoring System
Each detected pivot receives a numerical score (0-150+ points) based on multiple independent confirmation factors:
**Scoring Components:**
- Base Pivot Detection: 10 points
- Volume Spike Confirmation: 15 points
- Higher Timeframe Trend Alignment (4H EMA): 20 points
- RSI Extreme Levels (oversold/overbought): 25 points
- Mean Reversion Distance (>2.5 ATR from HTF MA): 20 points
- Exhaustion Patterns (price move + volume spike): 10 points
- ATR Price Confirmation: 10 points
- RSI Divergence: 15 points
- Swing Failure Pattern (SFP): 15 points
- Liquidity Sweep: 10 points
- Candle Reversal Confirmation: 10 points
- Key Level Alignment (previous day/week highs/lows): 10 points
- Fair Value Gap (FVG) Fill: 10 points
- Session Weighting (London/NY sessions): 10 points
- Multi-Timeframe Pivot Confluence: 15 points
**Zone Classification:**
- Regular Zones: Score 60-89 (green/purple boxes)
- Golden Zones: Score 90+ (yellow boxes with thicker borders)
Higher scores indicate stronger confluence and higher probability setups, but no prediction is guaranteed.
### 4. Mean Reversion Distance Filter
The script calculates how far price has stretched from the higher timeframe moving average:
**Calculation:** `distance_from_htf_ma = (close - HTF_EMA) / ATR`
**Mean Reversion Condition:**
- For long setups: Price >2.5 ATR below HTF EMA when HTF trend is up
- For short setups: Price >2.5 ATR above HTF EMA when HTF trend is down
This ensures pivots are only highlighted when price is statistically stretched and likely to revert toward the mean.
### 5. Multi-Period VWAP Framework
The script provides multiple VWAP calculations for different analysis purposes:
**Extreme VWAPs:**
- Bottom VWAP: Anchored to the absolute lowest low in the lookback period (default 50 bars)
- Top VWAP: Anchored to the absolute highest high in the lookback period
**Periodic VWAPs:**
- 4D VWAP: Resets every 4 days
- 9D VWAP: Resets every 9 days
- 4H VWAP: Resets every 4 hours
- 8H VWAP: Resets every 8 hours
- Weekly VWAP: Resets at the start of each week
- Monthly VWAP: Resets at the start of each month
- Yearly VWAP: Resets at the start of each year
**Previous Period VWAPs:**
- Previous Weekly, Monthly, and Yearly VWAPs are displayed as reference levels for support/resistance
**Divergence VWAPs:**
- Bullish Divergence VWAP: Resets at each bullish Williams %R divergence
- Bearish Divergence VWAP: Resets at each bearish Williams %R divergence
### 6. IBSS Pro Mean Reversion System
An integrated scalping system that provides entry signals within high-probability pivot zones:
**Components:**
- Dual EMA System: Fast EMA (12) and Slow EMA (26) with color-coded trend visualization
- RSI Oversold/Overbought Detection: Configurable levels (default 30/70)
- Zone-Based Entry: Signals only trigger when price is within active pivot zones (0.3 ATR around confirmed pivots)
- ATR-Based Dynamic Stops: Stop losses trail with position using ATR multiplier
**Signal Generation:**
- Buy signals: RSI crosses above oversold + Fast EMA > Slow EMA + Price in pivot low zone
- Sell signals: RSI crosses below overbought + Fast EMA < Slow EMA + Price in pivot high zone
## Why This Combination is Unique
This is not a simple indicator mashup. The components work together in a specific hierarchy:
1. **Williams %R Divergence** identifies momentum shifts before price confirms the reversal
2. **Dynamic Pivots** mark actual price structure extremes with ATR-based significance filtering
3. **Confluence Scoring** quantifies setup quality using 10+ independent confirmation factors
4. **Mean Reversion Distance** confirms price is statistically stretched (>2.5 ATR from HTF MA)
5. **VWAP Framework** tracks institutional positioning and provides objective mean levels
6. **IBSS Signals** provide precise entries within high-probability zones
Each layer filters the previous one, resulting in significantly fewer but higher-quality signals than any single indicator alone. The divergence-anchored VWAPs are unique - they reset at momentum shifts rather than arbitrary time periods, providing more relevant mean reversion targets.
## How to Use This Indicator
### For Swing Trading (15m-1H Charts)
1. Wait for a major pivot to form (diamond marker appears below/above bars)
2. Check the confluence score displayed in the zone label
3. Look for Golden Zones (score 90+, yellow boxes with thicker borders)
4. Enter when price enters the pivot zone (0.3 ATR around the pivot)
5. Use the nearest VWAP level as first target
6. Set stop loss beyond the pivot zone (typically 0.5-1 ATR)
### For Scalping (5m-15m Charts)
1. Enable IBSS Pro Signals in settings
2. Wait for price to enter an active pivot zone (colored boxes appear)
3. Take IBSS diamond signals that form within zones
4. Use ATR-based stop losses (dashed lines appear automatically if enabled)
5. Exit at pivot VWAP or opposite zone edge
### Visual Elements Explained
- **White/Purple Crosses**: Williams Divergence VWAPs (momentum-based mean reversion targets)
- **Green/Red Crosses**: Bottom/Top VWAPs (absolute extreme levels)
- **Colored Boxes**: Pivot reversal zones (opacity indicates confluence score)
- **Yellow Boxes**: Golden zones (90+ score, highest probability setups)
- **Small Diamonds**: Regular pivot detections
- **Green/Red Tiny Diamonds**: IBSS scalp entry signals (if enabled)
- **White/Purple MAs**: IBSS trend filter (12/26 EMA with cloud)
- **Dotted Lines**: Structure lines connecting consecutive pivots of same type
- **Blue Dashed Lines**: Market Structure Shift (CHoCH) markers
### Recommended Settings
**Conservative (Lower Timeframes 1m-5m):**
- ATR Pivot Strength: 0.8-1.0
- Volume Threshold: 2.0
- Min Pivot Significance: 0.4-0.5
- Enable ATR Confirmation: Yes
- Real-Time Mode: Off
- Score Threshold: 80+
**Aggressive (Higher Timeframes 15m-1H):**
- ATR Pivot Strength: 0.6-0.8
- Volume Threshold: 1.5
- Min Pivot Significance: 0.3
- Enable ATR Confirmation: No
- Real-Time Mode: On
- Score Threshold: 60+
## Chart Requirements
This indicator should be used **alone on a clean chart** with:
- Standard candlestick or bar chart type (NO Heikin Ashi, Renko, Point & Figure, or Range charts)
- No other indicators overlaid (all functionality is self-contained)
- Symbol and timeframe clearly visible in chart
- Full indicator name "Piv X Pro" visible in chart legend
## Important Disclaimers
- Past performance does not guarantee future results
- All signals are probabilistic indicators, not trading guarantees
- Use proper risk management and position sizing
- Test thoroughly on demo accounts before live trading
- Higher confluence scores indicate better setups but no prediction is certain
- Mean reversion strategies work best in ranging/choppy markets; may underperform in strong trending markets
- The lookahead bias warning: HTF EMA uses `barmerge.lookahead_on` for trend filtering only (not for signal generation), which may cause historical bars to show different trend states than real-time
## Key Differentiators
Unlike basic pivot or VWAP indicators:
- **Dynamic ATR-based pivot detection** vs static lookback periods
- **Quantified confluence scoring** vs subjective interpretation
- **Mean reversion distance filtering** (>2.5 ATR from HTF MA) vs all pivots shown
- **Divergence-anchored VWAPs** vs static period VWAPs
- **Multi-layer confirmation system** (10+ independent factors) vs single signal generation
- **Integrated scalping system** that only triggers in high-probability zones
This script is open-source and available for educational purposes. Users are encouraged to understand the methodology before using it for live trading decisions.
AiQ Drama Channel [VIP MEMBER ONLY]AiQ PREMIUM Designed by KS
AiQ PREMIUM is not just an indicator; it is a complete, visually immersive trading ecosystem designed for traders who demand precision, aesthetics, and data-driven confidence.
Built upon advanced Fractal Adaptive Moving Average (FRAMA) logic and fused with a proprietary volatility engine, AiQ PREMIUM filters out market noise to reveal high-probability institutional setups.
💎 Core Features
1. DRAMA Volatility Engine (D-FRAMA) Unlike standard Moving Averages, our adaptive algorithm adjusts to market fractal dimensions. It tightens during consolidation to avoid false signals and expands during trends to capture the full move.
2. Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Matrix Stop guessing the trend. The built-in "Trend Matrix" scans M5, M15, M30, H1, and H4 timeframes in real-time. Signals are only generated when there is a confluence of momentum.
3. AiQ Confidence Score & Win Rate The dashboard calculates a dynamic Confidence Score (1-5 Stars) based on historical performance, trend alignment, and volatility strength.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ = Strong Institutional Alignment
⭐ = Risky / Counter-trend
4. Auto-Fibonacci Extensions & Risk Management
Smart Entries: Clear visual signals with glassmorphism UI.
Dynamic Risk: SL/TP are calculated using ATR (Average True Range) to adapt to market volatility.
Auto Targets: Automatically projects TP1, TP2, TP3 (Fib 2.618), and TP4 (Fib 4.236).
5. Premium Visual Experience Choose your trading personality with our Theme Engine:
🏆 Black Gold: Luxury, high-contrast dark mode.
🦄 Cyber Neon: Modern, vibrant aesthetics.
⚪ Clean Quant: Minimalist institutional look.
🛠️ How to Use
Wait for the Signal: Look for the 🚀 LONG SETUP or 🚀 SHORT SETUP badge.
Check the Stars: Ideally, take trades with 3 stars or above on the dashboard.
Confirm with Matrix: Ensure the MTF Matrix (Top Right) shows "BULL" for Longs or "BEAR" for Shorts on higher timeframes (H1/H4).
Manage the Trade:
Secure partial profits at ✅ TP1.
Move SL to Breakeven at ✅ TP2.
Let runners fly to ✅ TP3 and ✅ TP4.
⚠️ Disclaimer - Trading involves high risk. This tool is designed to assist your analysis, not to replace it. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use proper risk management.
Ultimate Futures Daytrade Suite v1 - The Strategy GuideHere is the complete **Strategy Guide** translated into English.
---
# 📘 Ultimate Futures Daytrade Suite – The Strategy Guide
### 1. The Visual Legend (What is what?)
Before you trade, you need to understand the hierarchy of your lines. Not every line has the same importance.
* **🟣 Daily EMA 50 (Neon Violet):** The **"Big Boss"**. It determines the **Macro Trend**.
* *Price above:* We are primarily looking for Longs.
* *Price below:* We are primarily looking for Shorts.
* **🟢 4h EMA 50 (Neon Green):** The **"Swing Trend"**. Your most important level for **Pullback Entries** (Re-entries).
* **🟡 POC (Gold) & TPO:** The **"Magnet"**. Price often returns here.
* *Rule:* Never open a trade directly *on* the POC (Risk of "Chop"). Use it as a **Target** (Take Profit).
* **🟠 IB High/Low (Orange Lines):** The **"Daily Structure"**.
* A breakout from the IB (Initial Balance) often indicates the trend direction for the day.
* **🟥/🟩 Boxes (Supply/Demand):** Resistance and Support zones from the 1h timeframe.
* **⬜ FVG Boxes:** "Gaps" in the market that are often filled.
---
### 2. The Trading Workflow (Top-Down Method)
Go through this mental checklist before every trade:
#### Step 1: Trend Check (The Traffic Light)
Look at the **Violet Line (Daily)** and the **Green Line (4h)**.
* **Bullish:** Price is above Violet AND above Green. -> *Focus: Buy dips.*
* **Bearish:** Price is below Violet AND below Green. -> *Focus: Sell rallies.*
* **Mixed:** Price is between Violet and Green. -> *Caution! Market is undecided (Range Trading).*
#### Step 2: Location (The Context)
Where is the price currently located?
* Are we at a **Green Demand Zone**?
* Are we testing the **4h EMA 50 (Green)** from above?
* Are we at the **VWAP**?
* *Never trade in "No Man's Land"!* Wait until the price touches one of your lines.
#### Step 3: Trigger (The Execution)
Now zoom into your lower timeframe (e.g., 5min or 15min).
* Wait for a reaction at the zone.
* Use the **EMA 9 (Yellow)** as a momentum trigger. If price breaks the EMA 9 and closes above/below it, that is your "Go".
---
### 3. The Setup Blueprints
Here are the two most profitable scenarios you can trade with this script:
#### A) The "Golden Trend" Setup (Long)
* **Context:** Price > **Daily EMA (Violet)**.
* **Preparation:** Price corrects (drops) back to the **4h EMA 50 (Green)** or to the **VWAP**.
* **Confluence:** Ideally, there is also a **Demand Zone (Green Box)** or an **FVG** at that level.
* **Entry:** As soon as a candle touches the zone and closes bullish again (or reclaims the EMA 9).
* **Stop-Loss:** Below the 4h EMA 50.
* **Take-Profit:** Next **Supply Zone (Red)** or the **IB High (Orange)**.
#### B) The "Daytrade Breakout" (Intraday)
* **Context:** Price opens inside yesterday's Value Area.
* **Signal:** Price breaks through the **IB High (Orange)** with momentum.
* **Filter:** Price must be above the **VWAP**.
* **Entry:** On the retest of the IB High or directly on the breakout.
* **Target:** Price often trends in that direction for the rest of the day.
---
### 4. Warning Signals (When NOT to trade)
1. **The "Concrete Ceiling":** If you want to go Long, but the **Violet Daily EMA 50** is running directly above you. This is massive resistance. Better wait until it is broken.
2. **The "POC Dance":** If price is dancing sideways around the **Gold Line (POC)**. This is a "No-Trade Zone". Day traders lose the most money here due to fees and whipsaws.
3. **Overextension:** If price is extremely far away from the **4h EMA 50 (Green)** (Rubber Band Effect). Do not enter in the trend direction here; wait for a pullback to the line.
### Summary
Your chart is now telling you a story:
* **Violet** tells you the Direction.
* **Green** gives you the Entry.
* **Red/Green Boxes** show you the Obstacles.
* **Yellow (EMA 9)** gives you the Timing.
Good luck with the Suite! This is a setup similar to what institutional traders use.
Fibonacci Entry Zone [OTE] (@ath.snipr)🇬🇧 English Description
📌 Fibonacci Entry Zone – @ath.snipr
Fibonacci Entry Zone is an indicator designed to automatically detect market structure, identify Change of Character (CHoCH), and project Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zones using Fibonacci retracements.
It is suitable for scalping, day trading, and swing trading across all markets (Forex, indices, crypto, commodities).
🎯 Indicator Purpose
This indicator helps traders to:
✔ Detect significant swing highs and lows
✔ Identify structure shifts (CHoCH)
✔ Automatically draw Fibonacci retracement levels
✔ Highlight the Golden Zone (OTE)
✔ Dynamically track new swings in real-time
The goal is to patiently wait for price to retrace into a high-probability value area instead of chasing price.
🧠 How It Works
1️⃣ Market Structure Detection
The algorithm detects price pivots to identify:
📈 Bullish structure: Higher High / Higher Low
📉 Bearish structure: Lower High / Lower Low
When a structure shift occurs, a CHoCH label appears and a new Fibonacci projection is automatically created.
2️⃣ Fibonacci OTE Levels
Fibonacci levels are calculated between the latest swing high and swing low.
Default levels:
0.50
0.618
These represent the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone where price statistically reacts more often.
The Golden Zone can be filled for better visualization.
3️⃣ Dynamic Updates
When Swing Tracker is enabled:
Fibonacci levels automatically update as new swings form.
The projection always stays aligned with the current market structure.
4️⃣ Visual Elements
The indicator displays:
✔ CHoCH labels
✔ Break of Structure lines
✔ Swing trend line (dotted)
✔ Swing price labels
✔ Extended Fibonacci levels
Everything is fully customizable.
🛠️ Key Settings
Structure
Structure Period – Swing sensitivity (higher = stronger structure).
Bullish / Bearish – Enable bullish or bearish structures.
BoS Width – Structure line thickness.
Fibonacci Mode
Swing Tracker – Auto-update Fibonacci levels.
Swing Line – Show swing connection line.
Swing Labels – Show swing price labels.
Fibonacci
Extend – Extend levels to current price.
Previous – Keep previous levels.
Fill Golden Zone – Highlight OTE zone.
Levels – Customize Fibonacci levels.
📈 How to Trade with It (example)
▶ Bullish Scenario
A bullish CHoCH appears.
Price impulsively moves up.
Wait for a retracement into the Golden Zone (0.5 – 0.618).
Confirm with your strategy (price action, liquidity, SMT, etc.).
Enter long with stop below the last swing low.
▶ Bearish Scenario
Same logic in reverse.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is a decision-support tool only.
It does not guarantee profits and must be used with proper risk management and personal confirmation.
Daily Floor PivotsDaily Floor Pivots with Comprehensive Statistical Analysis
Overview
This indicator combines traditional floor pivot levels with golden zone analysis and comprehensive statistical insights derived from 15 years of historical NQ futures data. While the pivot levels and golden zones can be applied to any instrument, the statistical tables are specifically calibrated for NQ/MNQ futures based on analysis of 2,482 NY Regular Trading Hours (RTH) sessions from 2010-2025.
What Makes This Indicator Original
Unlike standard pivot indicators that merely plot levels, this tool provides:
Enhanced Golden Zone Analysis: Calculates not only the main golden zone (0.5-0.618 retracement of previous day's range) but also golden zones between each pivot pair (PP-R1, R1-R2, R2-R3, PP-S1, S1-S2, S2-S3)
Data-Driven Statistical Tables: Two comprehensive tables displaying real statistics from 2,482 trading days of NQ analysis, including:
Probability-based touch rates and continuation patterns
Context-aware statistics based on opening position
Gap analysis and behavioral patterns
First touch dynamics and time-to-reach averages
Granular Customization: Every visual element and statistical section can be independently toggled, allowing traders to focus on what matters most to their strategy
How It Works
Pivot Calculation Methodology
The indicator uses the standard floor pivot formula based on the previous day's price action:
Pivot Point (PP) = (Previous High + Previous Low + Previous Close) / 3
Resistance Levels: R1, R2, R3 calculated from PP and previous range
Support Levels: S1, S2, S3 calculated from PP and previous range
Golden Zone Calculations
Main Golden Zone: The 0.5 to 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous day's range, representing a key reversal and continuation area.
Inter-Pivot Golden Zones: For each adjacent pivot pair, golden zones are calculated as:
Resistance pairs (PP→R1, R1→R2, R2→R3): 0.5-0.618 range from the lower pivot
Support pairs (PP→S1, S1→S2, S2→S3): 0.382-0.5 range from the upper pivot
These zones represent high-probability areas where price tends to react when moving between pivot levels.
Statistical Analysis Source
All statistics displayed in the tables are derived from external Python analysis of 15 years of 1-minute NQ futures data (2010-2025), specifically analyzing NY RTH sessions (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM EST). The analysis tracked:
2,482 complete trading days
Intraday pivot touches and closes
Opening position context
Gap behavior relative to previous day
Time-of-day patterns
Sequential pivot interactions
IMPORTANT: While the pivot levels and golden zones are universally applicable mathematical calculations that work on any instrument, the statistical percentages shown in the tables are specific to NQ/MNQ behavior only. Do not assume these statistics transfer to other instruments.
Configuration Guide
Basic Settings
Number of Periods Back (1-20, default: 3)
Controls how many historical pivot periods are displayed on the chart
Setting to 1 shows only current day's pivots
Higher values show more historical context
Labels Position (Left/Right)
Choose whether pivot labels appear on the left or right side of each level line
Line Width (1-5, default: 2)
Adjust the thickness of all pivot and golden zone lines
Golden Zone Customization
Show Daily Golden Zone (0.5-0.618)
Toggle the main golden zone on/off
When enabled, displays a shaded box between the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels
Line Color / Fill Color
Customize the appearance of the main golden zone
Fill color determines the shaded box transparency
Show Labels / Show Prices
Control whether "0.5" and "0.618" labels appear
Control whether price values are displayed on labels
Inter-Pivot Golden Zones
Six toggle options allow you to show/hide individual golden zones:
PP to R1 / PP to S1: Most frequently touched (60.8% / 50.9%)
R1 to R2 / S1 to S2: Moderately touched (25.2% / 24.0%)
R2 to R3 / S2 to S3: Rarely touched (9.4% / 10.5%)
Line Color / Fill Color: Customize appearance of all inter-pivot zones
Show Labels / Show Prices: Control labeling for inter-pivot zones
Usage Tip: Disable outer zones (R2-R3, S2-S3) on lower volatility days to reduce chart clutter.
Pivot Display
Show Support/Resistance Levels: Master toggle for all pivot lines
Show SR Labels / Show SR Prices: Control labeling on pivot levels
Individual level toggles and colors:
PP (Pivot Point): The central reference point
R1/S1: Primary resistance/support (38.9% / 35.4% touch rate)
R2/S2: Secondary levels (15.6% / 16.1% touch rate)
R3/S3: Extended levels (5.1% / 7.3% touch rate)
Color Customization: Each level's color can be independently set
Overall Statistics Table
Show Overall Statistics Table: Master toggle
Table Size: tiny/small/normal/large/huge/auto
Table Position: Top Left/Top Right/Bottom Left/Bottom Right
Section Toggles (enable/disable individual sections):
Current Session Info
Touch & Close Rates
Continue & Reject Rates
First Touch Statistics
Golden Zone Statistics
Daily Close Distribution
Highest/Lowest Levels Reached
Context Statistics Table
Show Context Statistics Table: Master toggle
Table Size: tiny/small/normal/large/huge/auto
Table Position: Top Left/Top Right/Bottom Left/Bottom Right
Section Toggles:
Current Opening Zone
Opening Zone Statistics
Previous Day Gap Context
Understanding the Statistical Tables
TABLE 1: OVERALL STATISTICS
This table presents universal statistics from 2,482 days of NQ analysis.
Current Session Info
Displays real-time context for the active session:
Open: Where the current RTH session opened relative to pivots (e.g., "GZ_TO_R1" means opened between the PP-R1 golden zone and R1)
Now: Current price position relative to pivots
Direction: Bull (close > open), Bear (close < open), or Flat
How to use: This section helps you quickly understand where price opened and where it currently is, providing immediate context for the day's action.
Touch & Close Rates
Shows probability that each pivot level will be reached during RTH:
Touch %: Percentage of days where price touched this level at any point
Example: R1 touched 38.9% of days, PP touched 57.5% of days
Close %: Percentage of days where price closed beyond this level
Example: R1 close beyond happened 39.8% of days
How to interpret:
Higher touch rates indicate more reliable levels for intraday targeting
The difference between touch and close rates shows rejection frequency
PP has the highest touch rate (57.5%), making it the most magnetic level
Outer levels (R3/S3) have low touch rates (5.1%/7.3%), indicating rare extension days
Continue & Reject Rates
When a level is touched, these statistics show what happens next:
Continue %: Probability price continues through the level
Example: When PP is touched, price continues 88.1% of the time
Reject %: Probability price rejects from the level and reverses
Example: When R1 is touched, price rejects 50.9% of the time
How to interpret:
PP shows highest continuation (88.1%), confirming it's a poor reversal level
Support levels (S1/S2/S3) show strong rejection rates (62.5%/60.7%/56.1%), making them better reversal candidates
Continuation rates above 80% suggest the level is better as a target than an entry
First Touch Statistics
Analyzes which pivot is typically touched first during RTH:
1st Touch %: Probability this level is the first pivot encountered
PP is first touched 37.1% of days (most common)
R1 is first touched 26.0% of days
S1 is first touched 10.9% of days
1st→Continue: If this level is touched first, probability of continuation
S1-S3 show 95.6%-100% continuation when touched first
This means when price reaches support first, it usually continues lower
Avg Time: Minutes after 9:30 AM EST before first touch
PP: 1h 6m average
S3: 19m average (when bearish)
R3: 3h 19m average (when bullish)
How to interpret:
Opening away from PP means higher probability of reaching extremes (R2/R3 or S2/S3)
When support is touched first (within first 2 hours), expect continuation lower
Late-day first touches (after 2 PM) often indicate strong trending days
Multi-Touch: Shows how often levels are tested multiple times (92.8%-95.0% across all levels)
Golden Zone Statistics
Main GZ: 58.5% touch rate for the 0.5-0.618 zone
Inter-Pivot zones:
PP-R1: 60.8% (highest probability)
PP-S1: 50.9%
R1-R2: 25.2%
S1-S2: 24.0%
R2-R3: 9.4%
S2-S3: 10.5%
How to interpret:
Main GZ is touched more often than any individual resistance level
PP-R1 and PP-S1 golden zones are high-probability mean reversion areas
Outer golden zones (R2-R3, S2-S3) are only relevant on high volatility days
Daily Close Distribution
Shows where RTH sessions typically close:
Above/Below PP: 58.5% close above, 41.5% below (slight bullish bias)
Above R1: 24.5% of days
Below S1: 18.7% of days
In GZ: Only 6.3% close in the golden zone (typically transits through it)
How to interpret:
Most days (58.5%) have bullish bias (close above PP)
Less than 25% of days are strong trending days (beyond R1/S1)
Golden zone is an action area, not a resting area
Highest/Lowest Levels Reached
Distribution of the most extreme level reached:
High Resist: R1 (26.0%), R2 (10.8%), R3 (5.1%)
Low Support: S1 (35.4%), S2 (1.9%), S3 (0.6%)
How to interpret:
Most days don't reach beyond R1 or S1
R3/S3 are rare events (5.1%/0.6%), indicating major trending days
S1 is reached as lowest level more often than R1 as highest, suggesting downside is more frequently tested
TABLE 2: CONTEXT STATISTICS
This table provides conditional statistics based on how the session opened.
Current Opening Zone
Displays which of 13 possible zones the RTH session opened in:
ABOVE_R3, R2_TO_R3, R1_TO_R2, GZ_TO_R1, IN_GZ, PP_TO_GZ, AT_PP, GZ_TO_PP, S1_TO_GZ, S2_TO_S1, S3_TO_S2, BELOW_S3
How to use: This immediately tells you the market structure and what type of day to expect.
Opening Zone Statistics
Detailed statistics for the current opening zone (only shows for 6 major zones):
For each zone, you see:
Occurs: How often this opening scenario happens
GZ_TO_R1: 38.4% (most common)
AT_PP: 12.8%
S1_TO_GZ: 24.2%
R1_TO_R2: 9.4%
S2_TO_S1: 6.3%
IN_GZ: 3.8%
Bull/Bear %: Close direction probability
Example: GZ_TO_R1 is perfectly balanced (50.0% bull / 49.6% bear)
R1_TO_R2 is bullish (58.1% bull / 41.0% bear)
Levels Hit: Probability of reaching each pivot level from this opening
Helps identify high-probability targets
Example: From GZ_TO_R1, PP is hit 52.9%, R1 is hit 49.0%, S1 is hit 21.6%
How to interpret:
GZ_TO_R1 (most common): Balanced day, watch PP and GZ for direction clues
AT_PP: Slight bullish bias (56.9%), high chance of touching both PP (92.8%) and GZ (90.3%)
R1_TO_R2: Bullish bias (58.1%), expect continuation to R2 (58.1% chance)
S2_TO_S1: Bullish reversal setup (59.9%), very high chance of S1 touch (82.8%)
IN_GZ: Rare opening (3.8%), bullish bias, virtually guaranteed GZ touch (100%)
Previous Day Gap Context
Shows current gap scenario and typical behavior:
Three scenarios:
GAP UP: Opened Above Yesterday's High (20.5% of days)
R1 Touch: 65.9% (high probability)
R2 Touch: 42.1%
S1 Touch: 15.0% (low probability)
Bias: Bullish continuation
GAP DOWN: Opened Below Yesterday's Low (11.3% of days)
S1 Touch: 71.5% (high probability)
S2 Touch: 55.2%
R1 Touch: 12.1% (low probability)
Bias: Bearish continuation
NO GAP: Opened Within Yesterday's Range (68.2% of days)
PP Touch: 69.5%
GZ Touch: 71.7%
R1 Touch: 35.2%
Bias: Balanced (watch for direction at PP/GZ)
How to interpret:
Gap days (up or down) tend to continue in the gap direction
When gapping, fade trades are low probability (15.0% and 12.1%)
Most days (68.2%) open within previous range, making PP and GZ critical decision zones
The "bias" line provides clear directional guidance for trade selection
Practical Application Examples
Example 1: Standard Day Setup
Scenario: RTH opens at 20,450
PP: 20,400
GZ: 20,390-20,395
R1: 20,425
Previous day high: 20,460
What the tables tell you:
Opening Zone: "GZ_TO_R1" (38.4% occurrence)
Gap Context: "NO GAP" (68.2% occurrence)
Expected behavior: Balanced (50/50 bull/bear)
High probability: PP touch (52.9%), GZ touch (56.8%)
Moderate probability: R1 touch (49.0%), S1 touch (21.6%)
Trade plan:
Wait for price to reach PP (52.9% chance) or GZ (56.8% chance)
Look for directional confirmation at these levels
First target R1 if bullish, S1 if bearish
Avoid assuming direction without confirmation (perfectly balanced opening)
Example 2: Gap Up Day
Scenario: RTH opens at 20,510
Previous day high: 20,460
R1: 20,425
R2: 20,475
What the tables tell you:
Gap Context: "GAP UP" (20.5% occurrence)
R1 touch: 65.9% probability
R2 touch: 42.1% probability
S1 touch: Only 15.0% probability
Bias: Bullish continuation
Trade plan:
Favor long setups
Target R1 first (65.9% chance), then R2 (42.1%)
If R1 breaks, R2 becomes likely target
Shorting is low probability (only 15.0% reach S1)
Example 3: Opening in Golden Zone
Scenario: RTH opens at 20,393
PP: 20,400
GZ: 20,390-20,395
What the tables tell you:
Opening Zone: "IN_GZ" (rare, only 3.8% occurrence)
Bullish bias: 58.1%
GZ touch: 100% (guaranteed - already there)
PP touch: 75.3%
R1 touch: 41.9%
Trade plan:
Expect price to test PP (75.3% chance)
Slight bullish bias suggests long setups better than shorts
Watch how price reacts at PP - likely to continue to R1 (41.9%)
This is an uncommon opening, suggesting potential for larger moves
Best Practices
Match Your Instrument: Remember, statistics are NQ-specific. If trading other instruments, use the levels but disregard the statistical percentages.
Combine with Price Action: Use the statistics for probability context, not as standalone signals. Always confirm with price action, volume, and your trading methodology.
Adapt Table Display: Don't display all sections all the time. Toggle based on your trading phase:
Pre-market: Focus on "Gap Context" to understand the setup
Market open: Watch "Opening Zone Statistics" for directional bias
Intraday: Monitor "Current Session Info" for position tracking
Understand Context: A 60% touch rate doesn't mean guaranteed—it means 40% of days don't touch. Use these probabilities to size positions and manage expectations.
Inter-Pivot Golden Zones: These are most useful when price is already in motion toward a level. For example, if price breaks above PP heading to R1, the PP-R1 golden zone (60.8% touch rate) becomes a high-probability pullback area.
Time Awareness: The "Avg Time" statistics help you understand urgency. If it's 10:30 AM and S1 hasn't been touched (average is 55 minutes), the window for bearish moves is closing.
Technical Notes
Time Zone: All times referenced are NY/EST
Session Definition: RTH is 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM EST
Calculation Period: Pivots update daily based on previous 24-hour period (18:00 previous day to 17:00 current day)
Data Source: Statistics derived from 12 years of NQ 1-minute futures data (2013-2025)
Sample Size: 2,482 complete RTH trading sessions
Disclaimer
This indicator provides statistical probabilities based on historical NQ futures data. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The statistical tables are educational tools and should not be the sole basis for trading decisions. Always:
Use proper risk management
Combine with your own analysis
Understand that probabilities are not certainties
Remember that statistics are instrument-specific (NQ/MNQ only)
Credits
Statistical analysis performed using Python analysis of 12 years of historical NQ futures data. All pivot and golden zone calculations use standard mathematical formulas applicable to any instrument.
Dow Theory Cockpit1. Evolution History
The system has reached its final form through five distinct development phases:
Phase 1: Logic Development (V1–V6)
Established four core logics: BREAK and DIP (Dow Theory), SNIPER (Reversal), and PUSH (Trend continuation).
Implemented the Multi-Timeframe (MTF) panel and Market Scanner.
Phase 2: Strategy Transition (V7–V9)
Integrated backtesting features, but found the Pine Script calculation load too heavy for real-time charting.
Phase 3: Optimization & Performance (V10–V11)
Prioritized smooth real-time execution by returning to a lightweight indicator format.
Introduced the on-chart stats panel for Win Rate and P&L tracking.
Phase 4: Visual Completion (V12–V13)
High-Vis Fib: Bold orange lines highlighting the Golden Zone (38.2%/61.8%).
Visual Zones: Introduced Green and Red bands for intuitive trade tracking.
Phase 5: Smart Adjust Implementation (V14 - Current)
Barrier Avoidance: Automatically detects nearby Support/Resistance boxes and shortens the TP to secure profits before a potential reversal.
Dynamic RR Optimization: Automatically adjusts the SL in tandem with the shortened TP to maintain a healthy Risk-Reward ratio.
2. Specifications
Name: Dow Theory Cockpit
Format: Indicator
Trading Style: Scalping to Day Trading
Timeframes: 5M, 15M (Recommended), 1H
Assets: All pairs (Gold, Crypto, Forex, Indices)
3. Features
① Quad-Logic Entry Signals
🎯 SNIPER: Reversal logic targeting "Tops and Bottoms" when the market is overextended.
🌊 DIP: Trend-following logic for "Deep Pullbacks" with clean Moving Average alignment.
⚡ PUSH: Scalping logic for "Shallow Pullbacks" during high-momentum trends.
🚀 BREAK: Classic Dow Theory momentum entry on recent High/Low breakouts.
② Visual Analysis Tools
S/R BOX: Displays key price levels as shaded zones to account for market noise and wick volatility.
High-Vis Auto Fib: Automatically plots Fibonacci levels, highlighting the Golden Zone with bold lines.
③ Bulletproof Money Management
Calculated Lot Size: Displays the precise lot size based on your account balance and Risk % directly on the signal label.
TP/SL Zones: Dynamic Green and Red bands show exactly where your profit and loss targets lie.
④ Smart Adjust Function (NEW)
Logic: Automatically scans for strong S/R walls near your entry.
Normal Condition: Displays TP/SL at your default Risk-Reward ratio.
Wall Detected: Automatically pulls the TP to the edge of the barrier and tightens the SL to maintain the ratio.
Alert: A "⚠️Adj" warning appears on the label when this adjustment is active.
⑤ Integrated Info Panel
Main Panel: Trends across all timeframes, real-time Win Rate, and Period Net P&L.
Scanner: Constant monitoring of Gold/JPY/BTC and major US/JP economic data.
4. How to Use
Configuration: In the settings under , input your balance and Risk %. Set your start date in .
Entry Decision: Wait for the "★ BUY" or "★ SELL" label.
"⚠️Adj" displayed: The system has detected a nearby barrier and narrowed the TP/SL for safety. This results in a higher win rate with smaller gains.
No warning: No barriers detected. Targets the default wide Risk-Reward ratio.
Execution: Enter using the exact Lot size on the label. Set your Limit/Stop orders at the provided TP/SL prices.
Exit: The trade concludes when the price reaches the Green or Red zone. Smart Adjust ensures you exit the market before a potential bounce.
1. 大幅なアップデート履歴 (Evolution History)
このシステムは、以下の5つのフェーズを経て完成しました。
フェーズ1：ロジック構築期 (V1〜V6)
ダウ理論に基づく「BREAK」「DIP」に加え、逆張り「SNIPER」、順張り追撃「PUSH」の4つのロジックを搭載。
マルチタイムフレーム（MTF）パネル、市場監視スキャナーの実装。
フェーズ2：ストラテジー化への挑戦 (V7〜V9)
バックテスト機能を搭載したが、Pine Scriptの計算負荷増大によりチャート動作が重くなる問題が発生。
フェーズ3：軽量化と原点回帰 (V10〜V11)
**「実戦での快適さ」**を最優先し、indicator 形式へ戻して超軽量化。
期間損益や勝率を、チャート上のパネルで簡易確認できる仕様に変更。
フェーズ4：視認性の完成 (V12〜V13)
High-Vis Fib: フィボナッチの重要ライン（38.2%/61.8%）を太いオレンジ実線で強調。
Visual Zone: トレード中、チャート上に「緑（利益）/赤（損失）」の帯を表示し、直感的な判断を可能に。
フェーズ5：スマート・アジャスト実装 (V14 - Current)
障害物回避機能: エントリー方向の直近に「逆側のレジサポBOX（壁）」がある場合、TPをその手前に自動短縮し、反発による含み益消滅リスクを回避。
RR自動最適化: TPの短縮に合わせて、最低限のリスクリワード（RR）を維持するようSLも自動調整する機能を搭載。
2. 全体の仕様 (Specifications)
名称: Dow Theory Cockpit
形式: インジケーター (Indicator)
※TradingViewの「ストラテジーテスター」タブは使用しません。
推奨スタイル: スキャルピング 〜 デイトレード
推奨時間足: 5分足、15分足（推奨）、1時間足
通貨ペア: 全通貨対応（Gold, Crypto, Forex, Index）
3. 特徴と機能 (Features)
① 4つの「高期待値」エントリーロジック
相場の状況に合わせて最適なサインが点灯します。
🎯 SNIPER: 行き過ぎた相場の反転（天底）を狙う逆張り。
🌊 DIP: 移動平均線の並びが良い状態での「深い押し目」を拾う順張り。
⚡ PUSH: 強いトレンド（ADX上昇中）の「浅い押し目」で飛び乗るスキャルピング用。
🚀 BREAK: ダウ理論の基本、直近高値・安値ブレイクでのエントリー。
② 視覚的環境認識ツール
レジサポ BOX: 重要価格帯を「面（ボックス）」で表示。ヒゲのダマシを許容します。
High-Vis Auto Fib: 直近の波を検知し、38.2%/61.8%（ゴールデンゾーン）を太線で強調表示。
③ 鉄壁の資金管理 (Money Management)
推奨ロット表示: 口座資金と許容リスク（％）に基づき、適正ロット数を自動計算して表示します。
TP/SL ゾーン: エントリー中、チャート上に「利確までの緑の帯」と「損切までの赤の帯」が表示され、価格の進行度合いが一目で分かります。
④ スマート・アジャスト機能 (Smart Adjust) ★NEW
機能: エントリー時、目標地点の手前に「強力なレジサポBOX」があるかを自動検知します。
動作:
通常時: 設定通りのRR（2.5倍など）でTP/SLを表示。
壁がある時: **「壁の手前」**にTPを引き下げ、それに合わせてSLも浅く調整します。
表示: 調整が行われた場合、ラベルに 「⚠️Adj（調整済み）」 と警告が出ます。
⑤ 情報集約パネル
Main Panel: 全時間足のトレンド方向、直近の勝率、期間内の純損益を表示。
Scanner: Gold / JPY / BTC の動向と、日米経済指標を常時監視。
4. 使い方 (How to Use)
STEP 1: 初期設定
インジケーター設定の 【F. 資金管理】 を開き、口座資金 と リスク(%) を入力します。
【T. バックテスト期間】 で損益計算を開始したい日付を設定します。
STEP 2: エントリー判断
チャートに 「★ BUY」 または 「★ SELL」 のラベルが出現するのを待ちます。
ラベルの確認:
「⚠️Adj」 と出ている場合 → 「近くに壁があるため、TP/SLを狭く調整しました」という意味です。勝率は上がりますが、値幅は小さくなります。
何も出ていない場合 → 「障害物なし。通常のRRで大きく狙います」という意味です。
STEP 3: 注文 (Execution)
ラベルの数値を信頼して注文を出します。
Lot: 表示された数量を入力。
TP/SL: 表示された価格に指値・逆指値を置く。
STEP 4: 決済 (Exit)
チャート上の 「緑の帯（TP）」 か 「赤の帯（SL）」 にローソク足が到達したら決済です。
**「スマートアジャスト」により、壁の手前で利確設定されているため、「反発して戻ってくる前に逃げ切る」**ことができます。
Dow Theory Cockpit [Final Fixed V15]1. Evolution History
The system has reached its final form through five distinct development phases:
Phase 1: Logic Development (V1–V6)
Established four core logics: BREAK and DIP (Dow Theory), SNIPER (Reversal), and PUSH (Trend continuation).
Implemented the Multi-Timeframe (MTF) panel and Market Scanner.
Phase 2: Strategy Transition (V7–V9)
Integrated backtesting features, but found the Pine Script calculation load too heavy for real-time charting.
Phase 3: Optimization & Performance (V10–V11)
Prioritized smooth real-time execution by returning to a lightweight indicator format.
Introduced the on-chart stats panel for Win Rate and P&L tracking.
Phase 4: Visual Completion (V12–V13)
High-Vis Fib: Bold orange lines highlighting the Golden Zone (38.2%/61.8%).
Visual Zones: Introduced Green and Red bands for intuitive trade tracking.
Phase 5: Smart Adjust Implementation (V14 - Current)
Barrier Avoidance: Automatically detects nearby Support/Resistance boxes and shortens the TP to secure profits before a potential reversal.
Dynamic RR Optimization: Automatically adjusts the SL in tandem with the shortened TP to maintain a healthy Risk-Reward ratio.
2. Specifications
Name: Dow Theory Cockpit
Format: Indicator
Trading Style: Scalping to Day Trading
Timeframes: 5M, 15M (Recommended), 1H
Assets: All pairs (Gold, Crypto, Forex, Indices)
3. Features
① Quad-Logic Entry Signals
🎯 SNIPER: Reversal logic targeting "Tops and Bottoms" when the market is overextended.
🌊 DIP: Trend-following logic for "Deep Pullbacks" with clean Moving Average alignment.
⚡ PUSH: Scalping logic for "Shallow Pullbacks" during high-momentum trends.
🚀 BREAK: Classic Dow Theory momentum entry on recent High/Low breakouts.
② Visual Analysis Tools
S/R BOX: Displays key price levels as shaded zones to account for market noise and wick volatility.
High-Vis Auto Fib: Automatically plots Fibonacci levels, highlighting the Golden Zone with bold lines.
③ Bulletproof Money Management
Calculated Lot Size: Displays the precise lot size based on your account balance and Risk % directly on the signal label.
TP/SL Zones: Dynamic Green and Red bands show exactly where your profit and loss targets lie.
④ Smart Adjust Function (NEW)
Logic: Automatically scans for strong S/R walls near your entry.
Normal Condition: Displays TP/SL at your default Risk-Reward ratio.
Wall Detected: Automatically pulls the TP to the edge of the barrier and tightens the SL to maintain the ratio.
Alert: A "⚠️Adj" warning appears on the label when this adjustment is active.
⑤ Integrated Info Panel
Main Panel: Trends across all timeframes, real-time Win Rate, and Period Net P&L.
Scanner: Constant monitoring of Gold/JPY/BTC and major US/JP economic data.
4. How to Use
Configuration: In the settings under , input your balance and Risk %. Set your start date in .
Entry Decision: Wait for the "★ BUY" or "★ SELL" label.
"⚠️Adj" displayed: The system has detected a nearby barrier and narrowed the TP/SL for safety. This results in a higher win rate with smaller gains.
No warning: No barriers detected. Targets the default wide Risk-Reward ratio.
Execution: Enter using the exact Lot size on the label. Set your Limit/Stop orders at the provided TP/SL prices.
Exit: The trade concludes when the price reaches the Green or Red zone. Smart Adjust ensures you exit the market before a potential bounce.
1. 大幅なアップデート履歴 (Evolution History)
このシステムは、以下の5つのフェーズを経て完成しました。
フェーズ1：ロジック構築期 (V1〜V6)
ダウ理論に基づく「BREAK」「DIP」に加え、逆張り「SNIPER」、順張り追撃「PUSH」の4つのロジックを搭載。
マルチタイムフレーム（MTF）パネル、市場監視スキャナーの実装。
フェーズ2：ストラテジー化への挑戦 (V7〜V9)
バックテスト機能を搭載したが、Pine Scriptの計算負荷増大によりチャート動作が重くなる問題が発生。
フェーズ3：軽量化と原点回帰 (V10〜V11)
**「実戦での快適さ」**を最優先し、indicator 形式へ戻して超軽量化。
期間損益や勝率を、チャート上のパネルで簡易確認できる仕様に変更。
フェーズ4：視認性の完成 (V12〜V13)
High-Vis Fib: フィボナッチの重要ライン（38.2%/61.8%）を太いオレンジ実線で強調。
Visual Zone: トレード中、チャート上に「緑（利益）/赤（損失）」の帯を表示し、直感的な判断を可能に。
フェーズ5：スマート・アジャスト実装 (V14 - Current)
障害物回避機能: エントリー方向の直近に「逆側のレジサポBOX（壁）」がある場合、TPをその手前に自動短縮し、反発による含み益消滅リスクを回避。
RR自動最適化: TPの短縮に合わせて、最低限のリスクリワード（RR）を維持するようSLも自動調整する機能を搭載。
2. 全体の仕様 (Specifications)
名称: Dow Theory Cockpit
形式: インジケーター (Indicator)
※TradingViewの「ストラテジーテスター」タブは使用しません。
推奨スタイル: スキャルピング 〜 デイトレード
推奨時間足: 5分足、15分足（推奨）、1時間足
通貨ペア: 全通貨対応（Gold, Crypto, Forex, Index）
3. 特徴と機能 (Features)
① 4つの「高期待値」エントリーロジック
相場の状況に合わせて最適なサインが点灯します。
🎯 SNIPER: 行き過ぎた相場の反転（天底）を狙う逆張り。
🌊 DIP: 移動平均線の並びが良い状態での「深い押し目」を拾う順張り。
⚡ PUSH: 強いトレンド（ADX上昇中）の「浅い押し目」で飛び乗るスキャルピング用。
🚀 BREAK: ダウ理論の基本、直近高値・安値ブレイクでのエントリー。
② 視覚的環境認識ツール
レジサポ BOX: 重要価格帯を「面（ボックス）」で表示。ヒゲのダマシを許容します。
High-Vis Auto Fib: 直近の波を検知し、38.2%/61.8%（ゴールデンゾーン）を太線で強調表示。
③ 鉄壁の資金管理 (Money Management)
推奨ロット表示: 口座資金と許容リスク（％）に基づき、適正ロット数を自動計算して表示します。
TP/SL ゾーン: エントリー中、チャート上に「利確までの緑の帯」と「損切までの赤の帯」が表示され、価格の進行度合いが一目で分かります。
④ スマート・アジャスト機能 (Smart Adjust) ★NEW
機能: エントリー時、目標地点の手前に「強力なレジサポBOX」があるかを自動検知します。
動作:
通常時: 設定通りのRR（2.5倍など）でTP/SLを表示。
壁がある時: **「壁の手前」**にTPを引き下げ、それに合わせてSLも浅く調整します。
表示: 調整が行われた場合、ラベルに 「⚠️Adj（調整済み）」 と警告が出ます。
⑤ 情報集約パネル
Main Panel: 全時間足のトレンド方向、直近の勝率、期間内の純損益を表示。
Scanner: Gold / JPY / BTC の動向と、日米経済指標を常時監視。
4. 使い方 (How to Use)
STEP 1: 初期設定
インジケーター設定の 【F. 資金管理】 を開き、口座資金 と リスク(%) を入力します。
【T. バックテスト期間】 で損益計算を開始したい日付を設定します。
STEP 2: エントリー判断
チャートに 「★ BUY」 または 「★ SELL」 のラベルが出現するのを待ちます。
ラベルの確認:
「⚠️Adj」 と出ている場合 → 「近くに壁があるため、TP/SLを狭く調整しました」という意味です。勝率は上がりますが、値幅は小さくなります。
何も出ていない場合 → 「障害物なし。通常のRRで大きく狙います」という意味です。
STEP 3: 注文 (Execution)
ラベルの数値を信頼して注文を出します。
Lot: 表示された数量を入力。
TP/SL: 表示された価格に指値・逆指値を置く。
STEP 4: 決済 (Exit)
チャート上の 「緑の帯（TP）」 か 「赤の帯（SL）」 にローソク足が到達したら決済です。
**「スマートアジャスト」により、壁の手前で利確設定されているため、「反発して戻ってくる前に逃げ切る」**ことができます。
Daytrading Suite v6.4: Neon TPO + FVG + IB Lines (Stable)Here is the complete **Trading Manual & Strategy Guide** for the **Master Daytrading Suite (Neon + IB Edition)**.
This guide explains exactly **when** to trade and **how** to execute trades using the tools in the script.
---
# 📘 MASTER TRADING MANUAL (Neon + IB)
### 1. THE BASICS
* **Best Assets:** BTCUSDT & ETHUSDT (Futures).
* **Best Timeframe:** 5 Minutes (Entry) / 15 Minutes (Trend).
* **Key Session:** New York Session (High Volatility).
* **Golden Rule:** Never go **LONG** inside a Red Supply Zone. Never go **SHORT** inside a Green Demand Zone.
---
### 2. THE INDICATORS (Legend)
| Indicator | Color | Function | How to use |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| **Supply Zone** | 🟥 **Red Box** | Resistance | Look for Short setups here. |
| **Demand Zone** | 🟩 **Green Box** | Support | Look for Long setups here. |
| **Golden Pocket** | 🟧 **Orange** | Retracement | The "Sweet Spot" for trend entries (Fib 0.618). |
| **VWAP** | 🔵 **Blue Line** | Trend Anchor | Price > VWAP = Bullish. Price < VWAP = Bearish. |
| **Initial Balance (IB)** | 🟨 **Yellow Box** | Opening Range | Breakout above = Bullish. Breakdown below = Bearish. |
| **FVG (Gap)** | 🟩/🟥 **Tiny Box** | Trigger | **Green FVG** = Entry Signal for Longs. **Red FVG** = Entry Signal for Shorts. |
---
### 3. STRATEGY A: The Trend Pullback (High Win Rate)
*Use this when the market is trending smoothly.*
#### ✅ HOW TO ENTER A LONG (BUY) POSITION
1. **Trend Check:** Price is trading **ABOVE** the VWAP (Blue Line) and EMA 9 (Yellow Line).
2. **The Wait:** Wait for the price to drop back down (pullback).
3. **The Zone:** Price touches the **Green Demand Zone** OR the **Orange Golden Pocket**.
4. **The Trigger:** A **Green FVG Box** appears on the 5-minute chart.
5. **Execution:** Enter Long. Stop Loss below the recent low. Take Profit at the next Red Zone.
#### 🔻 HOW TO ENTER A SHORT (SELL) POSITION
1. **Trend Check:** Price is trading **BELOW** the VWAP (Blue Line) and EMA 9 (Yellow Line).
2. **The Wait:** Wait for the price to rally up (pullback).
3. **The Zone:** Price touches the **Red Supply Zone** OR the **Orange Golden Pocket**.
4. **The Trigger:** A **Red FVG Box** appears on the 5-minute chart.
5. **Execution:** Enter Short. Stop Loss above the recent high. Take Profit at the next Green Zone.
---
### 4. STRATEGY B: The IB Breakout (Volatility)
*Use this specifically after the first hour of the New York Session (approx. 10:30 NY time).*
* **The Setup:** Look at the **Yellow Box (Initial Balance)** which marks the high/low of the first hour.
* **Bullish Breakout:** If a candle closes **above** the Yellow Box + Price is above VWAP → **Go Long**.
* **Bearish Breakdown:** If a candle closes **below** the Yellow Box + Price is below VWAP → **Go Short**.
* **The Trap (Fakeout):** If price breaks out but immediately falls back inside the Yellow Box, close the trade immediately.
---
### 5. DAILY ROUTINE (Checklist)
1. **Open TradingView:** Switch to the **15m Chart**.
2. **Check Context:** Where are we? Are we near a big Red Box (Supply) or Green Box (Demand)?
3. **Check Trend:** Is price above or below the Blue VWAP line?
4. **Wait for the Open:** Let the first hour of New York pass (to form the Yellow IB Box).
5. **Set Alerts:** Right-click the chart and set alerts for "IB Breakout" or "Golden Pocket".
6. **Execute:** Switch to the **5m Chart** to find your entry trigger (FVG).
---
### 6. RISK MANAGEMENT RULES
* **Stop Loss:** NEVER trade without one. Place it just outside the FVG box or the Zone.
* **Risk per Trade:** 1% to 2% of your account maximum.
* **No Trade Zone:** If the price is "chopping" (moving sideways) inside the Yellow IB Box, **do not trade**. Wait for a breakout.
Crypto Professional Suite V2.0 [R2D2]Here is the complete professional documentation and strategy guide for your Crypto Pro Suite indicator. This guide is designed to help you install the tool correctly, understand its features, and utilize it to maximize your trading returns.
Crypto Pro Suite: The Professional Crypto Trader's All-In-One Toolkit
1. Introduction
The Crypto Pro Suite is a high-performance TradingView indicator designed to consolidate the five most critical technical analysis tools into a single, clean overlay.
Instead of cluttering your screen with multiple sub-charts (panes), this suite integrates Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, and Fibonacci Levels directly onto the price action. It transforms "oscillator" data (RSI and MACD) into actionable Buy/Sell signals on your candles and a real-time Status Dashboard.
Key Features:
Zero Clutter: No bottom panes required; maximizes screen real estate for price analysis.
Real-Time Dashboard: Instant readout of Trend, RSI status, and MACD momentum.
Dynamic Overlay: Indicators move fluidly with your candles.
2. Installation Instructions
Follow these steps precisely to ensure the "Overlay" feature functions correctly.
Clean Slate: If you have any previous version of this script on your chart, remove it now (click the 'X' next to the indicator name).
Open Editor: Click the Pine Editor tab at the bottom of your TradingView screen.
Paste Code: Delete any existing text and paste the Final Polished Script provided in the previous response.
Save & Add: Click Save, then click Add to chart.
Note: By adding it fresh, TradingView forces the script to lock onto the price candles rather than a separate pane.
Verify: You should see colored lines (MAs, Bollinger Bands) directly on top of your candlesticks and a Dashboard in the top right.
3. Using the Script: Settings & Customization
Access the settings by clicking the Gear Icon next to the indicator name.
Dashboard: You can toggle the info panel On/Off or change its size (Tiny to Large) to fit your screen resolution.
Toggle Control: Each of the 5 indicators has a "Show" checkbox. You can turn off noise (e.g., hide Bollinger Bands) when you only want to focus on Trend (MAs).
Inputs:
MAs: Defaults are 50/200 (Classic Golden Cross setup).
RSI: Default is 14 length, 70/30 limits.
Fibs: Default lookback is 200 bars. Increase this number to find Support/Resistance over a longer timeframe.
4. Maximizing Returns: Strategy & Examples
To maximize returns, professionals do not use indicators in isolation. They look for Confluence—where multiple indicators signal the same direction simultaneously.
A. Moving Averages (Trend Filter)
The Setup: The script plots a Fast MA (Yellow) and Slow MA (Blue).
Strategy:
Golden Cross (Buy): When the Yellow line crosses above the Blue line. This signals the start of a long-term bull trend.
Death Cross (Sell): When the Yellow line crosses below the Blue line.
Pro Tip: Never go long (Buy) if price is significantly below the Blue (Slow) MA.
B. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Setup: Instead of a line graph, you will see labels on the candles: "RSI Buy" (Green) or "RSI Sell" (Red).
Strategy:
Mean Reversion: If you see an "RSI Sell" label, the asset is Overbought. This is often a signal to take profit, not necessarily to short.
The Dip Buy: Look for an "RSI Buy" label occurring during a general uptrend (price above Slow MA). This indicates a healthy pullback that is ready to bounce.
C. MACD (Momentum)
The Setup: Green Triangles (Buy) and Red Triangles (Sell) appear above/below candles.
Strategy:
Trend Confirmation: Use MACD to confirm the Moving Average. If price crosses above the MA and you get a Green MACD Triangle, the breakout has high momentum and is likely to succeed.
Exit Signal: If you are in a Long trade and see a Red MACD Triangle, momentum is fading. Consider tightening your stop-loss.
D. Bollinger Bands (Volatility)
The Setup: A shaded teal channel surrounding the price.
Strategy:
The Squeeze: When the bands get very narrow, a massive move is coming. Wait for the breakout.
Walking the Bands: In a strong crypto bull run, price will hug the Upper Band. If price closes outside the band and then immediately closes inside it, it is a reversal signal (Sell).
E. Fibonacci Retracement (Support/Resistance)
The Setup: Dynamic horizontal lines (0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 100%) based on recent highs/lows.
Strategy:
The Golden Pocket: The most powerful buy zone in crypto is between the 0.5 and 0.618 lines.
Execution: If price falls to the 0.618 line and you see an "RSI Buy" or MACD Green Triangle appear at that exact level, this is a high-probability entry.
5. The "Perfect Trade" Example
Putting it all together for maximum profit.
Context: The Dashboard says "MA Trend: Bullish."
Trigger: Price pulls back down and touches the 0.618 Fibonacci line.
Confirmation 1: Price is also touching the Lower Bollinger Band (acting as dynamic support).
Confirmation 2: An "RSI Buy" label appears on the candle.
Action: BUY.
Stop Loss: Place just below the 100% Fib line.
Take Profit: Sell half at the 0% Fib line (recent high) and let the rest ride.
FX Master Confluence v39 (Restored MAs) TDDHow to read your new Dashboard:
Top Row (The Boss): This is your 8-Hour WaveTrend status.
DARK GREEN: Strong Bull (Bias is Up & Above Zero). Aggressively look for buys.
LIGHT GREEN: Weak Bull (Bias is Up but Below Zero). Be cautious, could be a deep pullback.
DARK RED: Strong Bear (Bias is Down & Below Zero). Aggressively look for sells.
LTF Rows (15m - 6h):
"GOLDEN ZERO": This is the Holy Grail signal you asked for. The LTF WaveTrend just crossed the Zero line in agreement with the 8H Boss.
"REV SETUP": Standard reversal signal (useful, but lower confidence than Golden).
"TREND UP/DOWN": No signal right now, but tells you the flow of that specific timeframe.
Now you have a "Traffic Light" system. If the Top Row is RED, you ignore everything until you see a RED "GOLDEN ZERO" on your 15m or 1H chart.
Fractal Market Geometry [JOAT]
Fractal Market Geometry
Overview
Fractal Market Geometry is an open-source overlay indicator that combines fractal analysis with harmonic pattern detection, Fibonacci retracements and extensions, Elliott Wave concepts, and Wyckoff phase identification. It provides traders with a geometric framework for understanding market structure and identifying potential reversal patterns with multi-factor signal confirmation.
What This Indicator Does
The indicator calculates and displays:
Fractal Detection - Identifies fractal highs and lows using Williams-style pivot analysis with configurable period
Fractal Dimension - Calculates market complexity using range-based dimension estimation
Harmonic Patterns - Detects Gartley, Butterfly, Bat, Crab, Shark, Cypher, and ABCD patterns using Fibonacci ratios
Fibonacci Retracements - Key levels at 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%
Fibonacci Extensions - Projection level at 161.8%
Elliott Wave Count - Simplified wave counting based on pivot detection (1-5)
Wyckoff Phase - Volume-based phase identification (Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, Neutral)
Golden Spiral Levels - ATR-based support and resistance levels using phi (1.618) ratio
Trend Detection - EMA crossover trend identification (20/50 EMA)
How It Works
Fractal detection uses a configurable period to identify swing points:
detectFractalHigh(simple int period) =>
bool result = true
float centerVal = high
for i = 0 to period - 1
if high >= centerVal or high >= centerVal
result := false
break
Harmonic pattern detection uses Fibonacci ratio analysis between swing points. Each pattern has specific ratio requirements:
Gartley: AB 0.382-0.618, BC 0.382-0.886, CD 1.27-1.618
Butterfly: AB 0.382-0.5, BC 0.382-0.886, CD 1.618-2.24
Bat: AB 0.5-0.618, BC 1.13-1.618, CD 1.618-2.24
Crab: AB 0.382-0.618, BC 0.382-0.886, CD 2.24-3.618
Shark: AB 0.382-0.618, BC 1.13-1.618, CD 1.618-2.24
Cypher: AB 0.382-0.618, BC 1.13-1.414, CD 0.786-0.886
Wyckoff phase detection analyzes volume relative to price movement:
wyckoffPhase(simple int period) =>
float avgVol = ta.sma(volume, period)
float priceChg = ta.change(close, period)
string phase = "NEUTRAL"
if volume > avgVol * 1.5 and math.abs(priceChg) < close * 0.02
phase := "ACCUMULATION"
else if volume > avgVol * 1.5 and math.abs(priceChg) > close * 0.05
phase := "MARKUP"
else if volume < avgVol * 0.7
phase := "DISTRIBUTION"
phase
Signal Generation
Signals use multi-factor confirmation for accuracy:
BUY Signal: Fractal low + Uptrend (EMA20 > EMA50) + RSI 30-55 + Bullish candle + Volume confirmation
SELL Signal: Fractal high + Downtrend (EMA20 < EMA50) + RSI 45-70 + Bearish candle + Volume confirmation
Pattern Detection: Label appears when harmonic pattern completes at current bar
Dashboard Panel (Top-Right)
Dimension - Fractal dimension value (market complexity measure)
Last High - Most recent fractal high price
Last Low - Most recent fractal low price
Pattern - Current harmonic pattern name or NONE
Elliott Wave - Current wave count (Wave 1-5) or OFF
Wyckoff - Current market phase or OFF
Trend - BULLISH, BEARISH, or NEUTRAL based on EMA crossover
Signal - BUY, SELL, or WAIT status
Visual Elements
Fractal Markers - Small triangles at fractal highs (down arrow) and lows (up arrow)
Geometry Lines - Dashed lines connecting the most recent fractal high and low
Fibonacci Levels - Clean horizontal lines at 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% retracement levels
Fibonacci Extension - Horizontal line at 161.8% extension level
Golden Spiral Levels - Support and resistance lines based on ATR x 1.618
3D Fractal Field - Optional depth layers around swing levels (OFF by default)
Harmonic Pattern Markers - Small diamond shapes when Crab, Shark, or Cypher patterns detected
Pattern Labels - Text label showing pattern name when detected
Signal Labels - BUY/SELL labels on confirmed multi-factor signals
Input Parameters
Fractal Period (default: 5) - Bars on each side for fractal detection
Geometry Depth (default: 3) - Complexity of geometric calculations
Pattern Sensitivity (default: 0.8) - Tolerance for pattern ratio matching
Show Fibonacci Levels (default: true) - Display retracement levels
Show Fibonacci Extensions (default: true) - Display extension level
Elliott Wave Detection (default: true) - Enable wave counting
Wyckoff Analysis (default: true) - Enable phase detection
Golden Spiral Levels (default: true) - Display spiral support/resistance
Show Fractal Points (default: true) - Display fractal markers
Show Geometry Lines (default: true) - Display connecting lines
Show Pattern Labels (default: true) - Display pattern name labels
Show 3D Fractal Field (default: false) - Display depth layers
Show Harmonic Patterns (default: true) - Display pattern markers
Show Buy/Sell Signals (default: true) - Display signal labels
Suggested Use Cases
Identify potential reversal zones using harmonic pattern completion
Use Fibonacci levels for entry, stop-loss, and target planning
Monitor Wyckoff phases for accumulation/distribution awareness
Track Elliott Wave counts for trend structure analysis
Use fractal dimension to gauge market complexity
Wait for multi-factor signal confirmation before entering trades
Timeframe Recommendations
Best on 1H to Daily charts. Lower timeframes produce more fractals but with less significance. Higher timeframes provide stronger levels and more reliable signals.
Limitations
Harmonic pattern detection uses simplified ratio ranges and may not match all textbook definitions
Elliott Wave counting is basic and does not include all wave rules
Wyckoff phase detection is volume-based approximation
Fractal dimension calculation is simplified
Signals require fractal confirmation which has inherent lag equal to the fractal period
Open-Source and Disclaimer
This script is published as open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 for educational purposes. It does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management.
- Made with passion by officialjackofalltrades
Quant-Action Pro: Triple Confluence EngineQuant-Action Pro: Triple Confluence Engine
Systematic Framework for Structural Price Action Analysis
Quant-Action Pro is a high-performance analytical engine designed to synchronize institutional liquidity flow with market geometry. Instead of traditional "signals," this framework identifies Structural States where three independent algorithmic layers align, providing a objective roadmap for the current price action context.
1. Core Algorithmic Matrix
The engine operates by monitoring the interaction between price and three proprietary logic layers:
A. Institutional Flow Node (SP2L) —
Logic: Monitors "Passive Liquidity Absorption" at the 20-period EMA.
Function: Identifies zones where institutional buyers/sellers are defending the trend's equilibrium. This is not a simple touch; it requires a validated "Touch-and-Hold" sequence.
B. Structural Flip Scanner (BTB) —
Logic: Detects the transition from old supply to new demand (S/R Flip).
Function: Uses a 3-phase Break-Test-Break verification to confirm that a structural breakout is backed by volume, reducing the risk of "Fake-outs."
C. Liquidity Compression Monitor (Micro Map) —
Logic: Statistical range-contraction analysis (Volatility Squeeze).
Function: Signals a High-Density State where price is coiling for an expansion move.
2. The Golden State: Triple Confluence Logic
The GOLD label represents the "Apex" of this engine. It is triggered only when the SP2L, BTB, and Micro Map layers synchronize on a single candle. In structural terms, this means:
Trend Defense (SP2L) is active.
Structural Breakout (BTB) is confirmed.
Volatility Expansion (MM) is imminent.
This Triple-Layer filtering ensures that Golden Signals only appear during periods of maximum market conviction.
3. Professional Implementation (Structural View)
MTF Trend Matrix: A built-in dashboard provides a 1H, 4H, and 1D diagnosis to ensure local setups align with the Macro Trend.
Smart Invalidation (Adaptive Trendlines): The engine draws dynamic geometry to define the current "Structural Floor/Ceiling." A decisive close beyond these lines acts as a clear Invalidation Point for the current thesis.
Mean Reversion: The system uses the 200-EMA as the primary directional filter, defining whether the market is in a "Bullish Expansion" or "Bearish Correction" state.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
Trading financial instruments involves significant risk. Quant-Action Pro is an educational tool designed for research and structural analysis. It does not provide financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use strict risk management.
Max Pain Options [QuantLabs] v5 (Balanced)Institutional Grade Options Analysis: Max Pain, Gamma & Pin Risk
For years, TradingView users have been flying blind without access to Options Chain data. QuantLabs: Max Pain & Gamma Exposure changes that. This is not just a support/resistance indicator—it is a sophisticated, algorithmic model that reverse-engineers the incentives of Market Makers using synthetic Black-Scholes logic.
This tool visualizes the "invisible hand" of the market: the hedging requirements of large dealers who are forced to buy or sell to keep their books neutral.
CORE FEATURES:
🔴 Max Pain Gravity Model The bright red line represents the "Max Pain" strike—the price level where the maximum amount of Options Open Interest (Calls + Puts) expires worthless.
Theory: As OpEx (Expiration) approaches, Market Makers maximize profits by pinning the price to this level.
Strategy: Use this as a mean-reversion target. If price is far away, look for a snap-back to the red line.
🟣 Gamma Exposure Profiles (The Purple Lines) These neon histograms show you the estimated "Gamma Walls."
Long Gamma: Dealers trade against the trend (stabilizing price).
Short Gamma: Dealers trade with the trend (accelerating volatility).
Visual: The larger the purple bar, the harder it will be for price to break through that level.
📦 Algorithmic "Pin Risk" Zones The dashed red box highlights the "Kill Zone." When price enters this area near expiration, volatility often dies as dealers pin the asset to kill retail premiums.
Warning: Do not expect breakouts while inside the Pin Zone.
📊 Institutional HUD A clean, non-intrusive dashboard provides real-time Greeks and risk analysis:
Pin Risk: High/Medium/Low probability of a pinned close.
Exp Mode: Detects if the market is in "Short Gamma" (Squeeze territory) or "Long Gamma" (Chop territory).
HOW IT WORKS (The Math): Since live options data is not available via Pine Script, this engine uses a proprietary Synthetic OI Distribution Model. It inputs Volume, Volatility (IV), and Time-to-Expiry into a modified Black-Scholes equation to probability-map where the heavy open interest likely sits.
SETTINGS & CUSTOMIZATION:
Responsiveness: Tuned for the "Goldilocks Zone" (Spread: 12, Decay: 22) to catch local liquidity walls without over-fitting.
Visuals: Designed for Dark Mode. High-contrast Neon aesthetics for maximum readability.
BTC - Liquisync: Macro Pulse & Desync EngineLiquisync: Macro Pulse & Desync Engine | RM
Strategic Context: The Macro Fuel Tank
Why compare Global Liquidity to Bitcoin? Because Bitcoin acts as a "Global M2 Sponge." As central banks expand their balance sheets, this "Fuel" filters into the system, taking roughly 56 to 70 days to reach Bitcoin's price. Liquisync measures this lead-lag relationship to determine if the "Engine" (Price) is properly supported by the "Fuel" (M2).
How the Model Differs: Liquisync vs. Standard Macro Composites
Many existing macro scripts focus on a Linear Sum of indicators—adding up M2, Spread, and Copper/Gold into a single Z-score. While useful for general sentiment, these "Composite" models often suffer from Directional Blindness. They tell you if the environment is "Risk-On," but they cannot tell you if the Price is currently lying about the Liquidity.
The Liquisync Edge:
• Conflict Detection: Unlike composites that simply turn red or green, Liquisync identifies Desync.
• Velocity Normalization: Instead of Z-scoring absolute values, we measure the Acceleration (Slope) of the move, allowing us to see "Decay" before the trend actually flips.
How the Model Works
1. Pulse Velocity Mapping (The Dual-Slope Architecture)
The engine utilizes a Dual-Slope Architecture to measure the "Dynamic Force" behind the market. By calculating the Linear Regression Slope for both Global Liquidity and BTC Price, we are measuring Acceleration.
• Liquidity Slope (The Fuel): Measures the speed at which central banks are expanding or contracting the money supply.
• Price Slope (The Engine): Measures the speed at which the market is repricing Bitcoin in response to that money (or due to other factors).
The Mathematical Bridge: We don't just plot these lines independently; we normalize them. Because Global M2 is measured in Trillions and BTC in Thousands of Dollars, we transform both into a unified Relative Pulse Score (-100 to +100).
Liquisync: The 4 Macro Scenarios (Directional Matrix) By measuring the interconnectivity of these two pulses, the engine identifies four distinct market regimes:
Scenario A: Institutional Expansion (Harmony) Liquidity Slope (+ rising) | Price Slope (+ rising) Harmony. The trend is "True." The price increase is fully supported by global money. (Scenario Jan 2023)
Scenario B: The Bear Trap (Desync / "Open Mouth") Liquidity Slope (+ rising) | Price Slope (- falling) The Core Edge. Liquidity is filling up, but price is dropping due to short-term panic. Because the fuel is there, the price must eventually snap upward to catch up with the liquidity reality. (Scenario Jun 2020)
Scenario C: The Bull Trap (Desync / "Open Mouth") Liquidity Slope (- falling) | Price Slope (+ rising) The Danger Zone. Price is climbing on "Empty Fuel." Retail FOMO is driving the market while liquidity is being pulled. Highly unstable. (Scenario Jul 2022)
Scenario D: Macro Contraction (Harmony) Liquidity Slope (- falling) | Price Slope (- falling) The Drain. Global liquidity is shrinking and price is following. A fundamental bear market. (Scenario Nov/Dec 2021)
2. Directional Desync (The Conflict Filter)
Liquisync is a Conflict Filter. It ignores "Synchronous" phases where both lines move together and focuses 100% of its visual energy on the Desync scenarios (Bear Trap or Bull Trap). When the lines travel in opposite directions, the indicator generates Cyan Columns. The height of these columns tells you the intensity of the conflict. When the pulses move in Harmony (Scenario A & D), the desync value remains at zero. This creates a 'Visual Silence' on the chart, signaling that the current price trend is structurally healthy and macro-supported.
3. Liquisync Extreme (The Snap-Back Star ✦)
This triggers when the "Open Mouth" (the Liquidity Pulse (Golden Line) and the Price Pulse (White Area) pull in diametrically opposite directions) desync reaches 85% of its 1-year historical record. This is a generational signal identifying the absolute limits of market irrationality relative to the macro reality (Price up, M2 down or vice versa).
How to Read the Chart
• Golden Pulse: The Liquidity Slope
• White Area: The Price Slope
• Harmony (No Columns): Price and Liquidity are in sync. Trend-following is safe.
• Open Mouth (Cyan Columns): These are not momentum bars; they are Conflict Bars . They only appear when the Price and Liquidity are traveling in opposite directions. The taller the column, the more "stretched" the macro rubber band has become.
• Magenta Stars: The desync is at a statistical limit. Expect a violent Macro Snap-Back toward the Golden Liquidity line.
The 60-Day Lead-Lag Principle: Why the Delay?
The Liquisync engine utilizes a specific forward-lag (defaulted to 60–80 days or 9 weeks, to be parametrized by the user) based on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism. Research into global liquidity cycles shows that central bank injections (M2 expansion) do not impact high-beta risk assets instantaneously. Capital follows a "Waterfall Effect": it moves first into primary dealer banks, then into credit markets and equities, and finally—once the "liquidity tide" has sufficiently risen—into the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Statistical correlation studies confirm that the peak relationship between Global M2 and Bitcoin historically occurs with a 56 to 63-day delay. By shifting the liquidity data forward, we align the "Macro Cause" with its "Market Effect," revealing a clearer predictive map that standard, unlagged indicators miss.
Settings & Calibration: Tuning the Liquisync Engine
The Liquisync engine is a precision instrument that requires specific calibration to align the "Macro Fuel" with the "Price Engine."
Slope Lookback defines the sensitivity of our acceleration measurement; a setting of 6 (Weekly) or 30 (Daily) ensures we capture structural shifts while filtering out intraday noise
Liquidity Lag is perhaps the most critical setting, as it shifts the M2 data forward to account for the standard 60–80 day (or 9-week) transmission delay—the time it takes for central bank liquidity to actually hit the crypto order books.
Extreme Window establishes our statistical benchmark; by default, this is set to 52 (representing one full year on the Weekly timeframe), allowing the engine to identify "Magenta Star" signals by comparing the current directional desync against the highest records of the last 365 days.
Recommended Calibration :
• Daily (1D): Set Lag to 60–80 and Lookback to 30 .
• Weekly (1W): Set Lag to 9 (9 weeks) and Lookback to 6 . The 1W chart is the preferred filter for macro cycles.
Detailed Script Calculations
The script aggregates liquidity from the FED, RRP, TGA, PBoC, ECB, and BoJ using request.security. We calculate the ta.linreg slope of this aggregate, normalize it via EMA-smoothed RSI mapping (-100 to +100), and apply a ta.change filter to identify directional opposition. The "Extreme" signal is derived from a rolling ta.highest window of the desync intensity.
The Liquisync engine calculates the Linear Regression Slope (m) over a user-defined window:
m =
Where:
• Δy = The distance between the current linear regression end-point and the previous bar.
• Δx = The defined bar-count (Lookback).
Risk Disclaimer & Credits
The Liquisync is a thematic macro tool. Global liquidity data is subject to reporting delays (Note: Because central bank M2 data is typically reported with a lag, the Golden Pulse represents the most recently available macro data, not a real-time high-frequency feed.). This is not financial advice; it is a statistical model for institutional education. Rob Maths is not liable for losses incurred via use of this model.
Tags:
indicator, bitcoin, btc, macro, liquidity, desync, liquisync, institutional, m2, robmaths, Rob Maths
Account GuardianAccount Guardian: Dynamic Risk/Reward Overlay
Introduction
Account Guardian is an open-source indicator for TradingView designed to help traders evaluate trade setups before entering positions. It automatically calculates Risk-to-Reward ratios based on market structure, displays visual Stop Loss and Take Profit zones, and provides real-time position sizing recommendations.
The indicator addresses a fundamental question every trader should ask before entering a trade: "Does this setup make mathematical sense?" Account Guardian answers this question visually and numerically, helping traders avoid impulsive entries with poor risk profiles.
Core Functionality
Account Guardian performs four primary functions:
Detects swing highs and swing lows to identify logical stop loss placement levels
Calculates Risk-to-Reward ratios for both long and short setups in real-time
Displays visual SL/TP zones on the chart for immediate trade planning
Computes position sizing based on your account size and risk tolerance
The goal is to provide traders with instant feedback on whether a potential trade meets their minimum risk/reward criteria before committing capital.
How It Works
Swing Detection
The indicator uses pivot point detection to identify recent swing highs and swing lows on the chart. These swing points serve as logical areas for stop loss placement:
For Long Trades: The most recent swing low becomes the stop loss level. Price breaking below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis.
For Short Trades: The most recent swing high becomes the stop loss level. Price breaking above this level would invalidate the bearish thesis.
The swing detection lookback period is configurable, allowing you to adjust sensitivity based on your trading timeframe and style.
It automatically adjusts the tp and sl when it is applied to your chart so it is always moving up and down!
Risk/Reward Calculation
Once swing levels are identified, the indicator calculates:
Entry Price: Current close price (where you would enter)
Stop Loss: Recent swing low (for longs) or swing high (for shorts)
Risk: Distance from entry to stop loss
Take Profit: Entry plus (Risk × Target Multiplier)
R:R Ratio: Reward divided by Risk
The R:R ratio is then evaluated against your configured thresholds to determine if the setup is valid, marginal, or poor.
Visual Elements
SL/TP Zones
When enabled, the indicator draws colored boxes on the chart showing:
Red Zone: Stop Loss area - the region between your entry and stop loss
Green/Gold/Red Zone: Take Profit area - colored based on R:R quality
The color coding provides instant visual feedback:
Green: R:R meets or exceeds your "Good R:R" threshold (default 3:1)
Gold: R:R meets minimum threshold but below "Good" (between 2:1 and 3:1)
Red: R:R below minimum threshold - setup should be avoided
Swing Point Markers
Small circles mark detected swing points on the chart:
Green circles: Swing lows (potential support / long SL levels)
Red circles: Swing highs (potential resistance / short SL levels)
Dashboard Panel
The dashboard in the top-right corner displays comprehensive trade planning information:
R:R Row: Current Risk-to-Reward ratio for long and short setups
Status Row: VALID, OK, BAD, or N/A based on R:R thresholds
Stop Loss Row: Exact price level for stop loss placement
Take Profit Row: Exact price level for take profit placement
Pos Size Row: Recommended position size based on your risk parameters
Risk $ Row: Dollar amount at risk per trade
Position Sizing Logic
The indicator calculates position size using the formula:
Position Size = Risk Amount / Risk per Unit
Where:
Risk Amount = Account Size × (Risk Percentage / 100)
Risk per Unit = Entry Price - Stop Loss Price
For example, with a $10,000 account risking 1% per trade ($100), if your entry is at 100 and stop loss at 98 (risk of 2 per unit), your position size would be 50 units.
Input Parameters
Swing Detection:
Swing Lookback: Number of bars to look back for pivot detection (default: 10). Higher values find more significant swing points but may be slower to update.
Target Multiplier: Multiplier applied to risk to calculate take profit distance (default: 2). A value of 2 means TP is 2× the distance of SL from entry.
Risk/Reward Thresholds:
Minimum R:R: Minimum acceptable Risk-to-Reward ratio (default: 2.0). Setups below this show as "BAD" in red.
Good R:R: Threshold for excellent setups (default: 3.0). Setups at or above this show as "VALID" in green.
Account Settings:
Account Size ($): Your trading account size in dollars (default: 10,000). Used for position sizing calculations.
Risk Per Trade (%): Percentage of account to risk per trade (default: 1.0%). Professional traders typically risk 0.5-2% per trade.
Display:
Show SL/TP Zones: Toggle visibility of the colored zone boxes on chart (default: enabled)
Show Dashboard: Toggle visibility of the information panel (default: enabled)
Analyze Direction: Choose to analyze Long only, Short only, or Both directions (default: Both)
How to Use This Indicator
Basic Workflow:
Add the indicator to your chart
Configure your account size and risk percentage in the settings
Set your minimum and good R:R thresholds based on your trading rules
Look at the dashboard to see current R:R for potential long and short entries
Only consider trades where the status shows "VALID" or at minimum "OK"
Use the displayed SL and TP levels for your order placement
Use the position size recommendation to determine lot/contract size
Interpreting the Dashboard:
VALID (Green): Excellent setup - R:R meets your "Good" threshold. This is the ideal scenario for taking a trade.
OK (Gold): Acceptable setup - R:R meets minimum but isn't optimal. Consider taking if other confluence factors align.
BAD (Red): Poor setup - R:R below minimum threshold. Avoid this trade or wait for better entry.
N/A (Gray): Cannot calculate - usually means no valid swing point detected yet.
Best Practices:
Use this indicator as a filter, not a signal generator. It tells you IF a trade makes sense, not WHEN to enter.
Combine with your existing entry strategy - use Account Guardian to validate setups from other analysis.
Adjust the swing lookback based on your timeframe. Lower timeframes may need smaller lookback values.
Be honest with your account size input - accurate position sizing requires accurate inputs.
Consider the target multiplier carefully. Higher multipliers mean larger potential reward but lower probability of hitting TP.
Alerts
The indicator includes four alert conditions:
Good Long Setup: Triggers when long R:R reaches or exceeds your "Good R:R" threshold
Good Short Setup: Triggers when short R:R reaches or exceeds your "Good R:R" threshold
Bad Long Setup: Triggers when long R:R falls below your minimum threshold
Bad Short Setup: Triggers when short R:R falls below your minimum threshold
These alerts can help you monitor multiple charts and get notified when favorable setups appear.
Technical Implementation
The indicator is built using Pine Script v6 and includes:
Pivot-based swing detection using ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow()
Dynamic box drawing for visual SL/TP zones
Table-based dashboard for clean information display
Color-coded visual feedback system
Persistent variable tracking for swing levels
Code Structure:
// Swing Detection
float swingHi = ta.pivothigh(high, swingLen, swingLen)
float swingLo = ta.pivotlow(low, swingLen, swingLen)
// R:R Calculation for Long
float longSL = recentSwingLo
float longRisk = entry - longSL
float longTP = entry + (longRisk * targetMult)
float longRR = (longTP - entry) / longRisk
// Position Sizing
float riskAmount = accountSize * (riskPct / 100)
float posSize = riskAmount / longRisk
Limitations
The indicator uses historical swing points which may not always represent optimal SL placement for your specific strategy
Position sizing assumes you can trade fractional units - adjust accordingly for instruments with minimum lot sizes
R:R calculations assume linear price movement and don't account for gaps or slippage
The indicator doesn't predict price direction - it only evaluates the mathematical viability of a setup
Swing detection has inherent lag due to the lookback period required for pivot confirmation
Recommended Settings by Trading Style
Scalping (1-5 minute charts):
Swing Lookback: 5-8
Target Multiplier: 1-2
Minimum R:R: 1.5
Good R:R: 2.0
Day Trading (15-60 minute charts):
Swing Lookback: 8-12
Target Multiplier: 2
Minimum R:R: 2.0
Good R:R: 3.0
Swing Trading (4H-Daily charts):
Swing Lookback: 10-20
Target Multiplier: 2-3
Minimum R:R: 2.5
Good R:R: 4.0
Why Risk/Reward Matters
Many traders focus solely on win rate, but profitability depends on the combination of win rate AND risk/reward ratio. Consider these scenarios:
50% win rate with 1:1 R:R = Breakeven (before costs)
50% win rate with 2:1 R:R = Profitable
40% win rate with 3:1 R:R = Profitable
60% win rate with 1:2 R:R = Losing money
Account Guardian helps ensure you only take trades where the math works in your favor, even if you're wrong more often than you're right.
Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation.
Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. The calculations provided by this indicator are based on historical price data and mathematical formulas that may not accurately predict future price movements.
Position sizing recommendations are estimates based on user inputs and should be verified before placing actual trades. Always consider factors such as leverage, margin requirements, and broker-specific rules when determining actual position sizes.
The Risk-to-Reward ratios displayed are theoretical calculations based on swing point detection. Actual trade outcomes will vary based on market conditions, execution quality, and other factors not captured by this indicator.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Users should thoroughly test any trading approach in a demo environment before risking real capital. The authors and publishers of this indicator are not responsible for any losses or damages arising from its use.
Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Session Opening Bar RangeSession Opening Bar Range (OBR) - Advanced Opening Range Indicator with Statistical Analysis
Overview
The Session First Bar Range (FBR) indicator is a comprehensive tool that captures and projects key levels based on the first bar of a user-defined trading session. Unlike traditional daily opening range indicators, this script allows traders to focus on specific session windows (New York RTH, London, Asia, etc.) and analyze price behavior relative to the initial momentum established in that session's opening bar.
What makes this indicator unique is its combination of three distinct projection methodologies: statistical analysis based on historical range data, Fibonacci extensions, and fixed-point rotation levels commonly used by institutional traders. To our knowledge, this is the only opening range indicator that incorporates statistical standard deviation levels calculated from historical first bar ranges, making it both a technical and probabilistic tool.
Core Concept
The opening range concept is based on the principle that the initial price action of a trading session often sets the tone for the remainder of that session.
Professional traders have long observed that:
The first bar's high and low act as key reference points
Price often respects or breaks these levels with significance
Expansion beyond the opening range tends to occur in measurable increments
This indicator takes these observations and enhances them with:
Historical probability analysis - "Based on the last 60 sessions, price typically extends X standard deviations beyond the opening range"
Proportional projections - Fibonacci-based extensions showing where measured moves typically target
Fixed-point rotations - Institutional rotation levels (e.g., 65 points for NQ, 15 points for ES)
How It Works
Session Detection & First Bar Capture
The indicator uses Pine Script's time() function with timezone support to precisely detect when a trading session begins. When the first bar of the selected timeframe occurs within the session window, the script captures:
High (H): The high of the first bar
Low (L): The low of the first bar
Mid (M): The midpoint (hl2) of the first bar
Critical Detail: These levels are fixed from the first bar only - they do not update as the session progresses. This differs from many "opening range" indicators that use a time period (e.g., first 30 minutes). Here, you select the bar timeframe (default 5-minute), and only that single first bar's range is captured.
Statistical Level Calculation
The indicator maintains a rolling array of the last N session's first bar ranges (default: 60 sessions). For each new session, it calculates:
Average Range: Mean of historical first bar ranges
Standard Deviation: Volatility of those ranges
Projection Levels: High/Low ± (Average Range + Std Dev × Multiplier)
This provides probability-based levels. For example, a +2σ level suggests: "Historically, price extending this far beyond the opening range is a 2-standard-deviation event (approximately 95th percentile)."
Fibonacci Extensions
Using the first bar range as the base unit (100%), the indicator projects Fibonacci levels:
100% extension: One full range above the high / below the low
1.618x extension: (Default) Golden ratio projection
2.618x, 3.618x extensions: Additional Fibonacci levels
Calculation: Range = H - L, then Target = H + (Range × Multiplier) for upside projections.
OR Rotation Levels
These are fixed-point increments from the first bar's high and low. Unlike percentage-based methods, rotations use absolute point values:
NQ traders often use 65-point increments
ES traders often use 15-point increments
Gold/bonds use different values
The indicator draws 5 levels above the high (R+1 through R+5) and 5 below the low (R-1 through R-5), each separated by your specified point increment.
Features:
Session Options
Pre-configured Sessions:
New York RTH (9:30am - 4:00pm)
New York Futures (8:00am - 5:00pm)
London (2:00am - 8:00am)
Asia (7:00pm - 2:00am)
Midnight to 5pm
ZB/Gold/Silver OR (8:20am - 4:00pm)
CL OR (9:00am - 4:00pm)
Custom Session: Define your own start/end times in HHMM format
Timezone Support: All sessions respect the selected timezone (default: America/New_York)
Customizable Timeframe
Select any timeframe for the first bar (1min, 5min, 15min, etc.)
Default: 5-minute bars
Important: This is the timeframe for the first bar capture, independent of your chart's timeframe
Display Options
Historical Ranges: Show/hide past session ranges (with configurable limit to manage performance)
Line Styles: Choose between Solid, Dashed, or Dotted for range lines and midline
Label Position: Left or Right side of range
Show Prices: Optionally display actual price values on labels
Custom Colors: Fully customizable colors for all components
Statistical Levels
Lookback Period: Number of historical sessions to analyze (default: 60)
Two Multiplier Levels: Default 1σ and 2σ, fully adjustable
Separate styling: Different line styles (dashed vs dotted) for each sigma level
Optional Labels: Show/hide sigma notation labels
Fibonacci Extensions
Four Extension Levels: 100%, 1.618x, 2.618x, 3.618x (all customizable)
Bidirectional: Projections both above and below the opening range
Optional Labels: Toggle percentage/multiplier labels
OR Rotation Levels
Configurable Increment: Set the point value for your instrument
Five Levels Each Direction: R±1 through R±5
Dynamic Labels: Show both rotation number and point value (e.g., "R+1 (65)")
Three Line Styles: Solid, Dashed, or Dotted
How to Use
Setup
Add the indicator to your chart
Select your trading session from the dropdown
Set the timeframe for first bar capture (typically 5-15 minutes)
Configure which projection methods you want to see (Statistical, Fibonacci, and/or Rotations)
For Day Traders
Scenario: Trading NQ during New York RTH
Session: Select "New York RTH (9:30am - 4:00pm)"
Timeframe: 5-minute (captures 9:30-9:35 bar)
Enable: OR Rotations with 65-point increments
Strategy:
Watch for acceptance/rejection at rotation levels
Use R+1/R-1 as initial profit targets
R+2/R-2 as extended targets
Statistical levels show when price is in "outlier" territory
and rotation levels
Performance Notes
The indicator limits objects to stay within TradingView's constraints (500 max)
If you enable all features, reduce "Maximum Historical Ranges" to prevent slowdown
Typical configuration: 10-20 historical ranges with all features enabled works well
Settings Guide
Session Settings
Session: Choose from pre-configured sessions or "Custom"
Custom Session Start/End: HHMM format (e.g., "0930" for 9:30am)
Timezone: Critical for accurate session detection
Opening Bar Format
Timeframe: The bar size for capturing the first bar's range
Show Midline: Toggle the mid-point line
Show Historical Ranges: Display previous sessions (recommended: leave ON)
Maximum Historical Ranges: Limit history to manage performance (1-500)
Range Style / MidLine Style: Solid, Dashed, or Dotted
Position: Label placement (Left or Right)
Show Prices: Include actual price values on labels
Statistical Levels
Lookback Periods: How many historical first bar ranges to analyze (default: 60)
Std Dev Multiplier 1/2: The sigma levels to project (default: 1.0 and 2.0)
All visual settings (colors, line width, label size)
Fibonacci Extensions
Show Fib Extensions: Enable/disable Fibonacci projections
Measured Move Extensions 1-4: The multipliers (default: 1.618, 2.618, 3.618, 4.618)
Visual customization options
OR Rotations
Rotation Increment: The point value for your instrument
NQ: 65 points
ES: 15 points
Adjust for other instruments based on their typical rotation behavior
Show Rotation Labels: Display level numbers and point values
Visual customization options
Use Cases
Gap Trading: When price gaps away from previous day's close, the first bar range shows the initial gap acceptance/rejection zone
Breakout Confirmation: Price breaking and holding above the first bar high with volume suggests trend day potential. Rotation levels provide measured targets.
Reversal Identification: Price reaching +2σ statistical level = rare event, potential exhaustion
Range Bound Days: Price oscillating between first bar high/low suggests range-bound session; trade reversals at extremes
Institutional Level Awareness: OR Rotations at 65 points (NQ) align with levels professional traders watch
Technical Notes
The indicator uses request.security() with lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on to ensure the first bar levels are captured correctly
All drawing objects (lines, labels, fills) are managed in arrays with automatic cleanup to prevent memory issues
The statistical calculations use array.avg() and array.stdev() for accurate probability estimates
Rotation levels use individual line variables (like Fibonacci) rather than loops for reliability
Summary
This indicator is original in its combination of three distinct methodologies for projecting levels from a session's opening range:
Statistical Analysis - No other opening range indicator (to our knowledge) calculates standard deviation projections from historical first bar ranges
Time-Based Session Flexibility - Most OR indicators use only daily or fixed time periods; this allows any custom session window
Multiple Projection Methods - Traders can use statistical, Fibonacci, AND rotation levels together or separately
