Yuthavithi Kana with S/R StrategyI have got the idea from this page iwongsakorn.com and wrote my own kana scalper. This strategy draws 3 200 ATR level along side with the sma. It uses 200 ema as trend. Once the price approaches the 20 ema. it will place orders according to trend and take profit and stop loss quickly using the 200 ATR lines.
This is a quick scalper strategy with winrate over 50%
ค้นหาในสคริปต์สำหรับ "200元+股票大盘"
Expected Move BandsExpected move is the amount that an asset is predicted to increase or decrease from its current price, based on the current levels of volatility.
In this model, we assume asset price follows a log-normal distribution and the log return follows a normal distribution.
Note: Normal distribution is just an assumption, it's not the real distribution of return
Settings:
"Estimation Period Selection" is for selecting the period we want to construct the prediction interval.
For "Current Bar", the interval is calculated based on the data of the previous bar close. Therefore changes in the current price will have little effect on the range. What current bar means is that the estimated range is for when this bar close. E.g., If the Timeframe on 4 hours and 1 hour has passed, the interval is for how much time this bar has left, in this case, 3 hours.
For "Future Bars", the interval is calculated based on the current close. Therefore the range will be very much affected by the change in the current price. If the current price moves up, the range will also move up, vice versa. Future Bars is estimating the range for the period at least one bar ahead.
There are also other source selections based on high low.
Time setting is used when "Future Bars" is chosen for the period. The value in time means how many bars ahead of the current bar the range is estimating. When time = 1, it means the interval is constructing for 1 bar head. E.g., If the timeframe is on 4 hours, then it's estimating the next 4 hours range no matter how much time has passed in the current bar.
Note: It's probably better to use "probability cone" for visual presentation when time > 1
Volatility Models :
Sample SD: traditional sample standard deviation, most commonly used, use (n-1) period to adjust the bias
Parkinson: Uses High/ Low to estimate volatility, assumes continuous no gap, zero mean no drift, 5 times more efficient than Close to Close
Garman Klass: Uses OHLC volatility, zero drift, no jumps, about 7 times more efficient
Yangzhang Garman Klass Extension: Added jump calculation in Garman Klass, has the same value as Garman Klass on markets with no gaps.
about 8 x efficient
Rogers: Uses OHLC, Assume non-zero mean volatility, handles drift, does not handle jump 8 x efficient
EWMA: Exponentially Weighted Volatility. Weight recently volatility more, more reactive volatility better in taking account of volatility autocorrelation and cluster.
YangZhang: Uses OHLC, combines Rogers and Garmand Klass, handles both drift and jump, 14 times efficient, alpha is the constant to weight rogers volatility to minimize variance.
Median absolute deviation: It's a more direct way of measuring volatility. It measures volatility without using Standard deviation. The MAD used here is adjusted to be an unbiased estimator.
Volatility Period is the sample size for variance estimation. A longer period makes the estimation range more stable less reactive to recent price. Distribution is more significant on a larger sample size. A short period makes the range more responsive to recent price. Might be better for high volatility clusters.
Standard deviations:
Standard Deviation One shows the estimated range where the closing price will be about 68% of the time.
Standard Deviation two shows the estimated range where the closing price will be about 95% of the time.
Standard Deviation three shows the estimated range where the closing price will be about 99.7% of the time.
Note: All these probabilities are based on the normal distribution assumption for returns. It's the estimated probability, not the actual probability.
Manually Entered Standard Deviation shows the range of any entered standard deviation. The probability of that range will be presented on the panel.
People usually assume the mean of returns to be zero. To be more accurate, we can consider the drift in price from calculating the geometric mean of returns. Drift happens in the long run, so short lookback periods are not recommended. Assuming zero mean is recommended when time is not greater than 1.
When we are estimating the future range for time > 1, we typically assume constant volatility and the returns to be independent and identically distributed. We scale the volatility in term of time to get future range. However, when there's autocorrelation in returns( when returns are not independent), the assumption fails to take account of this effect. Volatility scaled with autocorrelation is required when returns are not iid. We use an AR(1) model to scale the first-order autocorrelation to adjust the effect. Returns typically don't have significant autocorrelation. Adjustment for autocorrelation is not usually needed. A long length is recommended in Autocorrelation calculation.
Note: The significance of autocorrelation can be checked on an ACF indicator.
ACF
The multimeframe option enables people to use higher period expected move on the lower time frame. People should only use time frame higher than the current time frame for the input. An error warning will appear when input Tf is lower. The input format is multiplier * time unit. E.g. : 1D
Unit: M for months, W for Weeks, D for Days, integers with no unit for minutes (E.g. 240 = 240 minutes). S for Seconds.
Smoothing option is using a filter to smooth out the range. The filter used here is John Ehler's supersmoother. It's an advance smoothing technique that gets rid of aliasing noise. It affects is similar to a simple moving average with half the lookback length but smoother and has less lag.
Note: The range here after smooth no long represent the probability
Panel positions can be adjusted in the settings.
X position adjusts the horizontal position of the panel. Higher X moves panel to the right and lower X moves panel to the left.
Y position adjusts the vertical position of the panel. Higher Y moves panel up and lower Y moves panel down.
Step line display changes the style of the bands from line to step line. Step line is recommended because it gets rid of the directional bias of slope of expected move when displaying the bands.
Warnings:
People should not blindly trust the probability. They should be aware of the risk evolves by using the normal distribution assumption. The real return has skewness and high kurtosis. While skewness is not very significant, the high kurtosis should be noticed. The Real returns have much fatter tails than the normal distribution, which also makes the peak higher. This property makes the tail ranges such as range more than 2SD highly underestimate the actual range and the body such as 1 SD slightly overestimate the actual range. For ranges more than 2SD, people shouldn't trust them. They should beware of extreme events in the tails.
Different volatility models provide different properties if people are interested in the accuracy and the fit of expected move, they can try expected move occurrence indicator. (The result also demonstrate the previous point about the drawback of using normal distribution assumption).
Expected move Occurrence Test
The prediction interval is only for the closing price, not wicks. It only estimates the probability of the price closing at this level, not in between. E.g., If 1 SD range is 100 - 200, the price can go to 80 or 230 intrabar, but if the bar close within 100 - 200 in the end. It's still considered a 68% one standard deviation move.
Single AHR DCA (HM) — AHR Pane (customized quantile)Customized note
The log-regression window LR length controls how long a long-term fair value path is estimated from historical data.
The AHR window AHR window length controls over which historical regime you measure whether the coin is “cheap / expensive”.
When you choose a log-regression window of length L (years) and an AHR window of length A (years), you can intuitively read the indicator as:
“Within the last A years of this regime, relative to the long-term trend estimated over the same A years, the current price is cheap / neutral / expensive.”
Guidelines:
In general, set the AHR window equal to or slightly longer than the LR window:
If the AHR window is much longer than LR, you mix different baselines (different LR regimes) into one distribution.
If the AHR window is much shorter than LR, quantiles mostly reflect a very local slice of history.
For BTC / ETH and other BTC-like assets, you can use relatively long horizons (e.g. LR ≈ 3–5 years, AHR window ≈ 3–8 years).
For major altcoins (BNB / SOL / XRP and similar high-beta assets), it is recommended to use equal or slightly shorter horizons, e.g. LR ≈ 2–3 years, AHR window ≈ 2–3 years.
1. Price series & windows
Working timeframe: daily (1D).
Let the daily close of the current symbol on day t be P_t .
Main length parameters:
HM window: L_HM = maLen (default 200 days)
Log-regression window: L_LR = lrLen (default 1095 days ≈ 3 years)
AHR window (regime window): W = windowLen (default 1095 days ≈ 3 years)
2. Harmonic moving average (HM)
On a window of length L_HM, define the harmonic mean:
HM_t = ^(-1)
Here eps = 1e-10 is used to avoid division by zero.
Intuition: HM is more sensitive to low prices – an extremely low price inside the window will drag HM down significantly.
3. Log-regression baseline (LR)
On a window of length L_LR, perform a linear regression on log price:
Over the last L_LR bars, build the series
x_k = log( max(P_k, eps) ), for k = t-L_LR+1 ... t, and fit
x_k ≈ a + b * k.
The fitted value at the current index t is
log_P_hat_t = a + b * t.
Exponentiate to get the log-regression baseline:
LR_t = exp( log_P_hat_t ).
Interpretation: LR_t is the long-term trend / fair value path of the current regime over the past L_LR days.
4. HM-based AHR (valuation ratio)
At each time t, build an HM-based AHR (valuation multiple):
AHR_t = ( P_t / HM_t ) * ( P_t / LR_t )
Interpretation:
P_t / HM_t : deviation of price from the mid-term HM (e.g. 200-day harmonic mean).
P_t / LR_t : deviation of price from the long-term log-regression trend.
Multiplying them means:
if price is above both HM and LR, “expensiveness” is amplified;
if price is below both, “cheapness” is amplified.
Typical reading:
AHR_t < 1 : price is below both mid-term mean and long-term trend → statistically cheaper.
AHR_t > 1 : price is above both mid-term mean and long-term trend → statistically more expensive.
5. Empirical quantile thresholds (Opp / Risk)
On each new day, whenever AHR_t is valid, add it into a rolling array:
A_t_window = { AHR_{t-W+1}, ..., AHR_t } (at most W = windowLen elements)
On this empirical distribution, define two quantiles:
Opportunity quantile: q_opp (default 15%)
Risk quantile: q_risk (default 65%)
Using standard percentile computation (order statistics + linear interpolation), we get:
Opp threshold:
theta_opp = Percentile( A_t_window, q_opp )
Risk threshold:
theta_risk = Percentile( A_t_window, q_risk )
We also compute the percentile rank of the current AHR inside the same history:
q_now = PercentileRank( A_t_window, AHR_t ) ∈
This yields three valuation zones:
Opportunity zone: AHR_t <= theta_opp
(corresponds to roughly the cheapest ~q_opp% of historical states in the last W days.)
Neutral zone: theta_opp < AHR_t < theta_risk
Risk zone: AHR_t >= theta_risk
(corresponds to roughly the most expensive ~(100 - q_risk)% of historical states in the last W days.)
All quantiles are purely empirical and symbol-specific: they are computed only from the current asset’s own history, without reusing BTC thresholds or assuming cross-asset similarity.
6. DCA simulation (lightweight, rolling window)
Given:
a daily budget B (input: budgetPerDay), and
a DCA simulation window H (input: dcaWindowLen, default 900 days ≈ 2.5 years),
The script applies the following rule on each new day t:
If thresholds are unavailable or AHR_t > theta_risk
→ classify as Risk zone → buy = 0
If AHR_t <= theta_opp
→ classify as Opportunity zone → buy = 2B (double size)
Otherwise (Neutral zone)
→ buy = B (normal DCA)
Daily invested cash:
C_t ∈ {0, B, 2B}
Daily bought quantity:
DeltaQ_t = C_t / P_t
The script keeps rolling sums over the last H days:
Cumulative position:
Q_H = sum_{k=t-H+1..t} DeltaQ_k
Cumulative invested cash:
C_H = sum_{k=t-H+1..t} C_k
Current portfolio value:
PortVal_t = Q_H * P_t
Cumulative P&L:
PnL_t = PortVal_t - C_H
Active days:
number of days in the last H with C_k > 0.
These results are only used to visualize how this AHR-quantile-driven DCA rule would have behaved over the recent regime, and do not constitute financial advice.
Trend Breakout & Ratchet Stop System [Market Filter]Description:
This strategy implements a robust trend-following system designed to capture momentum moves while strictly managing downside risk through a multi-stage "Ratchet" exit mechanism and broad market filters.
It is designed for swing traders who want to align individual stock entries with the overall market direction.
How it works:
1. Market Regime Filters (The "Safety Check") Before taking any position, the strategy checks the health of the broader market to avoid "catching falling knives."
Broad Market Filter: By default, it checks NASDAQ:QQQ (adjustable). If the benchmark is trading below its SMA 200, the strategy assumes a Bear Market and suppresses all new long entries.
Volatility Filter (VIX): Uses CBOE:VIX to gauge fear. If the VIX is above a specific threshold (Default: 32), entries are paused, and existing positions can optionally be closed to preserve capital.
2. Entry Logic Entries are based on Momentum and Trend confirmation. A position is opened if filters are clear AND one of the following occurs:
Golden Cross: SMA 25 crosses over SMA 50.
SMA Breakouts: A "Three-Bar-Break" logic confirms a breakout above the SMA 50, 100, or 200 (price must establish itself above the moving average).
3. The "Ratchet" Exit System The exit logic evolves as the trade progresses, tightening risk like a ratchet:
Stage 0 (Initial Risk): Starts with a standard percentage Stop Loss from the entry price.
Stage 1 (Breakeven/Lock): Once the price rises by Profit Step 1 (e.g., +10%), the Stop Loss jumps to a tighter level and locks there. This secures the initial move.
Stage 2 (Trailing Mode): If the price continues to rise to Profit Step 2 (e.g., +15%), the Stop Loss converts into a dynamic Trailing Stop relative to the Highest High. This allows the trade to run as long as the trend persists.
Additional Exits:
Dead Cross: Closes position if SMA 25 crosses under SMA 50.
VIX Panic: Emergency exit if volatility spikes above the threshold.
Settings & Customization:
SMAs: Adjustable lengths for all Moving Averages.
Filters: Toggle Market/VIX filters on/off and choose your benchmark ticker (e.g., SPY or QQQ).
Risk Management: Fully customizable percentages for the Ratchet steps (Initial SL, Stage 1 Trigger, Trailing distance).
Ratchet Exit Trend Strategy with VIX FilterThis strategy is a trend-following system designed specifically for volatile markets. Instead of focusing solely on the "perfect entry," this script emphasizes intelligent trade management using a custom **"Ratchet Exit System."**
Additionally, it integrates a volatility filter based on the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) to minimize risk during extreme market phases.
### 🎯 The Concept: Ratchet Exit
The "Ratchet" system operates like a mechanical ratchet tool: the Stop Loss can only move in one direction (up, for long trades) and "locks" into specific stages. The goal is to give the trade "room to breathe" initially to avoid being stopped out by noise, then aggressively reduce risk as the trade moves into profit.
The exit logic moves through 3 distinct phases:
1. **Phase 0 (Initial Risk):** At the start of the trade, a wide Stop Loss is set (Default: 10%) to tolerate normal market volatility.
2. **Phase 1 (Risk Reduction):** Once the trade reaches a specific floating profit (Default: +10%), the Stop Loss is raised and "pinned" to a fixed value (Default: -8% from entry). This drastically reduces risk while keeping the trade alive.
3. **Phase 2 (Trailing Mode):** If the trend extends to a higher profit zone (Default: +15%), the Stop switches to a dynamic Trailing Mode. It follows the **Highest High** at a fixed percentage distance (Default: 8%).
### 🛡️ VIX Filter & Panic Exit
High volatility is often the enemy of trend-following strategies.
* **Entry Filter:** The system will not enter new positions if the VIX is above a user-defined threshold (Default: 32). This helps avoid entering "falling knife" markets.
* **Panic Exit:** If the VIX spikes above the threshold (32) while a trade is open, the position is closed immediately to protect capital (Emergency Exit).
### 📈 Entry Signals
The strategy trades **LONG only** and uses Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) to identify trends:
* **Golden Cross:** SMA 25 crosses over SMA 50.
* **3-Bar Breakouts:** A confirmation logic where the price must close above the SMA 50, 100, or 200 for 3 consecutive bars.
### ⚙️ Settings (Inputs)
All parameters are fully customizable via the settings menu:
* **SMAs:** Lengths for the trend indicators (Default: 25, 50, 100, 200).
* **VIX Filter:** Toggle the filter on/off and adjust the panic threshold.
* **Ratchet Settings:** Percentages for Initial Stop, Trigger Levels for Stages 1 & 2, and the Trailing Distance.
### ⚠️ Technical Note & Risk Warning
This script uses `request.security` to fetch VIX data. Please ensure you understand the risks associated with trading leveraged or volatile assets. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Grok/Claude Turtle Trend Pro Strategy Turtle Trend Pro Strategy: A Modern Implementation of the Legendary Turtle Trading System
Historical Background: The Original Turtle Experiment
In 1983, legendary commodities trader Richard Dennis made a bet with his partner William Eckhardt: could successful trading be taught, or was it an innate skill? To settle the debate, Dennis recruited and trained a group of novices—whom he called "Turtles" (inspired by turtle farms he'd visited in Singapore)—teaching them a complete mechanical trading system. The results were remarkable: over the next four years, the Turtles reportedly earned over $175 million, proving that systematic, rule-based trading could be taught and replicated.
The strategy you've shared is a faithful modern adaptation of those original Turtle rules, enhanced with contemporary technical filters.
Core Turtle Principles Preserved in This Strategy
1. Donchian Channel Breakouts (The Heart of Turtle Trading)
The original Turtles used Donchian Channels—a simple concept where you track the highest high and lowest low over a specific lookback period. This strategy implements both original Turtle systems:
System 1 (Default): 20-period entry breakout, 15-period exit
System 2 (Optional): 55-period entry breakout, 20-period exit
The logic is elegantly simple:
Go long when price breaks above the highest high of the last 20 (or 55) periods
Go short when price breaks below the lowest low of the last 20 (or 55) periods
This captures the Turtle philosophy of trend-following through momentum breakouts—the idea that markets trending strongly in one direction tend to continue.
2. ATR-Based Position Sizing and Stops
The Turtles were pioneers in using Average True Range (ATR) for risk management. This strategy preserves that approach:
Stop Loss: Set at 2× ATR from entry (the original Turtle rule)
ATR Period : 20 days (matching the original)
The ATR stop adapts to market volatility—wider stops in volatile markets, tighter stops in calm ones—preventing premature exits while still protecting capital.
3. Opposite Channel Exit
Rather than using arbitrary profit targets, the Turtles exited positions when price broke the opposite channel:
Exit longs when price breaks below the 15-period (or 20-period) low
Exit shorts when price breaks above the 15-period (or 20-period) high
This allows winning trades to run while providing a systematic exit that doesn't rely on prediction.
Modern Enhancements Beyond the Original System
While the core mechanics remain true to 1983, this strategy adds sophisticated filters the original Turtles didn't have access to:
Trend Filter (200 EMA)
Only takes long trades when price is above the 200-period moving average (and the MA is sloping up), and vice versa for shorts. This aligns trades with the major trend, reducing whipsaws in choppy markets. Set of off by default and fully adjustable in settings.
ADX Filter (Trend Strength)
The Average Directional Index ensures trades are only taken when the market is actually trending (ADX > 20 threshold). The original Turtles suffered significant drawdowns in ranging markets—this filter addresses that weakness.
Optional RSI Filter
Adds overbought/oversold confirmation to entries, though this is disabled by default to stay closer to the original system.
Volume Confirmation
Optional requirement for volume surges on breakouts, adding conviction to signals.
The Strategy's Risk Management Framework
Parameter Setting Turtle Origin Position Size 10% of equity. Turtles used volatility-adjusted sizing.
Stop Loss2× ATR.
Original Turtle rule Commission 0.075%. Modern crypto exchange rate.
Pyramiding Disabled.
Turtles did pyramid, but simplified here.
Visual Elements and Regime Detection
The strategy includes a "Neural Fusion Pro" styled display that would make the original Turtles jealous:
Color-coded Donchian Channels: Green (bullish), Red (bearish), Yellow (neutral)
Trend Strength Meter: Combines ADX, price vs. MA distance, channel position, and DI spread
Regime Classification : Automatically identifies Bull, Bear, or Neutral market conditions
Information Panel: Real-time display of all key metrics
Why Turtle Trading Still Works
The genius of the Turtle system lies in its mechanical discipline. It removes emotion from trading by providing explicit rules for:
What to trade (anything with sufficient liquidity and volatility)
When to enter (channel breakouts)
How much to trade (volatility-adjusted position sizing)
When to exit (opposite breakout or ATR stop)
This strategy faithfully preserves that mechanical approach while adding modern filters to improve the win rate in today's markets.
Third eye • StrategyThird eye • Strategy – User Guide
1. Idea & Concept
Third eye • Strategy combines three things into one system:
Ichimoku Cloud – to define market regime and support/resistance.
Moving Average (trend filter) – to trade only in the dominant direction.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) – to generate precise entry signals on momentum breakouts.
The script is a strategy, not an indicator: it can backtest entries, exits, SL, TP and BreakEven logic automatically.
2. Indicators Used
2.1 Ichimoku
Standard Ichimoku settings (by default 9/26/52/26) are used:
Conversion Line (Tenkan-sen)
Base Line (Kijun-sen)
Leading Span A & B (Kumo Cloud)
Lagging Span is calculated but hidden from the chart (for visual simplicity).
From the cloud we derive:
kumoTop – top of the cloud under current price.
kumoBottom – bottom of the cloud under current price.
Flags:
is_above_kumo – price above the cloud.
is_below_kumo – price below the cloud.
is_in_kumo – price inside the cloud.
These conditions are used as trend / regime filters and for stop-loss & trailing stops.
2.2 Moving Average
You can optionally display and use a trend MA:
Types: SMA, EMA, DEMA, WMA
Length: configurable (default 200)
Source: default close
Filter idea:
If MA Direction Filter is ON:
When Close > MA → strategy allows only Long signals.
When Close < MA → strategy allows only Short signals.
The MA is plotted on the chart (if enabled).
2.3 CCI & Panel
The CCI (Commodity Channel Index) is used for entry timing:
CCI length and source are configurable (default length 20, source hlc3).
Two thresholds:
CCI Upper Threshold (Long) – default +100
CCI Lower Threshold (Short) – default –100
Signals:
Long signal:
CCI crosses up through the upper threshold
cci_val < upper_threshold and cci_val > upper_threshold
Short signal:
CCI crosses down through the lower threshold
cci_val > lower_threshold and cci_val < lower_threshold
There is a panel (table) in the bottom-right corner:
Shows current CCI value.
Shows filter status as colored dots:
Green = filter enabled and passed.
Red = filter enabled and blocking trades.
Gray = filter is disabled.
Filters shown in the panel:
Ichimoku Cloud filter (Long/Short)
Ichimoku Lines filter (Conversion/Base vs Cloud)
MA Direction filter
3. Filters & Trade Direction
All filters can be turned ON/OFF independently.
3.1 Ichimoku Cloud Filter
Purpose: trade only when price is clearly above or below the Kumo.
Long Cloud Filter (Use Ichimoku Cloud Filter) – when enabled:
Long trades only if close > cloud top.
Short Cloud Filter – when enabled:
Short trades only if close < cloud bottom.
If the cloud filter is disabled, this condition is ignored.
3.2 Ichimoku Lines Above/Below Cloud
Purpose: stronger trend confirmation: Ichimoku lines should also be on the “correct” side of the cloud.
Long Lines Filter:
Long allowed only if Conversion Line and Base Line are both above the cloud.
Short Lines Filter:
Short allowed only if both lines are below the cloud.
If this filter is OFF, the conditions are not checked.
3.3 MA Direction Filter
As described above:
When ON:
Close > MA → only Longs.
Close < MA → only Shorts.
4. Anti-Re-Entry Logic (Cloud Touch Reset)
The strategy uses internal flags to avoid continuous re-entries in the same direction without a reset.
Two flags:
allowLong
allowShort
After a Long entry, allowLong is set to false, allowShort to true.
After a Short entry, allowShort is set to false, allowLong to true.
Flags are reset when price touches the Kumo:
If Low goes into the cloud → allowLong = true
If High goes into the cloud → allowShort = true
If Close is inside the cloud → both allowLong and allowShort are set to true
There is a key option:
Wait Position Close Before Flag Reset
If ON: cloud touch will reset flags only when there is no open position.
If OFF: flags can be reset even while a trade is open.
This gives a kind of regime-based re-entry control: after a trend leg, you wait for a “cloud interaction” to allow new signals.
5. Risk Management
All risk management is handled inside the strategy.
5.1 Position Sizing
Order Size % of Equity – default 10%
The strategy calculates:
position_value = equity * (Order Size % / 100)
position_qty = position_value / close
So position size automatically adapts to your current equity.
5.2 Take Profit Modes
You can choose one of two TP modes:
Percent
Fibonacci
5.2.1 Percent Mode
Single Take Profit at X% from entry (default 2%).
For Long:
TP = entry_price * (1 + tp_pct / 100)
For Short:
TP = entry_price * (1 - tp_pct / 100)
One strategy.exit per side is used: "Long TP/SL" and "Short TP/SL".
5.2.2 Fibonacci Mode (2 partial TPs)
In this mode, TP levels are based on a virtual Fib-style extension between entry and stop-loss.
Inputs:
Fib TP1 Level (default 1.618)
Fib TP2 Level (default 2.5)
TP1 Share % (Fib) (default 50%)
TP2 share is automatically 100% - TP1 share.
Process for Long:
Compute a reference Stop (see SL section below) → sl_for_fib.
Compute distance: dist = entry_price - sl_for_fib.
TP levels:
TP1 = entry_price + dist * (Fib TP1 Level - 1)
TP2 = entry_price + dist * (Fib TP2 Level - 1)
For Short, the logic is mirrored.
Two exits are used:
TP1 – closes TP1 share % of position.
TP2 – closes remaining TP2 share %.
Same stop is used for both partial exits.
5.3 Stop-Loss Modes
You can choose one of three Stop Loss modes:
Stable – fixed % from entry.
Ichimoku – fixed level derived from the Kumo.
Ichimoku Trailing – dynamic SL following the cloud.
5.3.1 Stable SL
For Long:
SL = entry_price * (1 - Stable SL % / 100)
For Short:
SL = entry_price * (1 + Stable SL % / 100)
Used both for Percent TP mode and as reference for Fib TP if Kumo is not available.
5.3.2 Ichimoku SL (fixed, non-trailing)
At the time of a new trade:
For Long:
Base SL = cloud bottom minus small offset (%)
For Short:
Base SL = cloud top plus small offset (%)
The offset is configurable: Ichimoku SL Offset %.
Once computed, that SL level is fixed for this trade.
5.3.3 Ichimoku Trailing SL
Similar to Ichimoku SL, but recomputed each bar:
For Long:
SL = cloud bottom – offset
For Short:
SL = cloud top + offset
A red trailing SL line is drawn on the chart to visualize current stop level.
This trailing SL is also used as reference for BreakEven and for Fib TP distance.
6. BreakEven Logic (with BE Lines)
BreakEven is optional and supports two modes:
Percent
Fibonacci
Inputs:
Percent mode:
BE Trigger % (from entry) – move SL to BE when price goes this % in profit.
BE Offset % from entry – SL will be set to entry ± this offset.
Fibonacci mode:
BE Fib Level – Fib level at which BE will be activated (default 1.618, same style as TP).
BE Offset % from entry – how far from entry to place BE stop.
The logic:
Before BE is triggered, SL follows its normal mode (Stable/Ichimoku/Ichimoku Trailing).
When BE triggers:
For Long:
New SL = max(current SL, BE SL).
For Short:
New SL = min(current SL, BE SL).
This means BE will never loosen the stop – only tighten it.
When BE is activated, the strategy draws a violet horizontal line at the BreakEven level (once per trade).
BE state is cleared when the position is closed or when a new position is opened.
7. Entry & Exit Logic (Summary)
7.1 Long Entry
Conditions for a Long:
CCI signal:
CCI crosses up through the upper threshold.
Ichimoku Cloud Filter (optional):
If enabled → price must be above the Kumo.
Ichimoku Lines Filter (optional):
If enabled → Conversion Line and Base Line must be above the Kumo.
MA Direction Filter (optional):
If enabled → Close must be above the chosen MA.
Anti-re-entry flag:
allowLong must be true (cloud-based reset).
Position check:
Long entries are allowed when current position size ≤ 0 (so it can also reverse from short to long).
If all these conditions are true, the strategy sends:
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, qty = calculated_qty)
After entry:
allowLong = false
allowShort = true
7.2 Short Entry
Same structure, mirrored:
CCI signal:
CCI crosses down through the lower threshold.
Cloud filter: price must be below cloud (if enabled).
Lines filter: conversion & base must be below cloud (if enabled).
MA filter: Close must be below MA (if enabled).
allowShort must be true.
Position check: position size ≥ 0 (allows reversal from long to short).
Then:
strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, qty = calculated_qty)
Flags update:
allowShort = false
allowLong = true
7.3 Exits
While in a position:
The strategy continuously recalculates SL (depending on chosen mode) and, in Percent mode, TP.
In Fib mode, fixed TP levels are computed at entry.
BreakEven may raise/tighten the SL if its conditions are met.
Exits are executed via strategy.exit:
Percent mode: one TP+SL exit per side.
Fib mode: two partial exits (TP1 and TP2) sharing the same SL.
At position open, the script also draws visual lines:
White line — entry price.
Green line(s) — TP level(s).
Red line — SL (if not using Ichimoku Trailing; with trailing, the red line is updated dynamically).
Maximum of 30 lines are kept to avoid clutter.
8. How to Use the Strategy
Choose market & timeframe
Works well on trending instruments. Try crypto, FX or indices on H1–H4, or intraday if you prefer more trades.
Adjust Ichimoku settings
Keep defaults (9/26/52/26) or adapt to your timeframe.
Configure Moving Average
Typical: EMA 200 as a trend filter.
Turn MA Direction Filter ON if you want to trade only with the main trend.
Set CCI thresholds
Default ±100 is classic.
Lower thresholds → more signals, higher noise.
Higher thresholds → fewer but stronger signals.
Enable/disable filters
Turn on Ichimoku Cloud and Ichimoku Lines if you want only “clean” trend trades.
Use Wait Position Close Before Flag Reset to control how often re-entries are allowed.
Choose TP & SL mode
Percent mode is simpler and easier to understand.
Fibonacci mode is more advanced: it aligns TP levels with the distance to stop, giving asymmetric RR setups (two partial TPs).
Choose Stable SL for fixed-risk trades, or Ichimoku / Ichimoku Trailing to tie stops to the cloud structure.
Set BreakEven
Enable BE if you want to lock in risk-free trades after a certain move.
Percent mode is straightforward; Fib mode keeps BreakEven in harmony with your Fib TP setup.
Run Backtest & Optimize
Press “Add to chart” → go to Strategy Tester.
Adjust parameters to your market and timeframe.
Look at equity curve, PF, drawdown, average trade, etc.
Live / Paper Trading
After you’re satisfied with backtest results, use the strategy to generate signals.
You can mirror entries/exits manually or connect them to alerts (if you build an alert-based execution layer).
Bassi's Consolidation Breakout — ULTIMATE PRO + VPOverview
Bassi’s Consolidation Breakout — ULTIMATE PRO + VP is a professional-grade breakout detection system that combines price structure, volume confirmation, volatility compression, and custom volume profile logic.
The indicator automatically detects compressed consolidation zones, confirms breakouts with multi-layer filters, and plots full trade setups including:
Entry level
Stop-loss
TP1, TP2, TP3 (R:R based)
Trend filters + MTF EMA
Retest validation
Volume Profile confirmation (POC / VAH / VAL)
This is one of the most complete breakout frameworks for TradingView.
🔍 Core Concept
The script detects tight consolidation boxes based on:
Price range (% compression)
Lookback period
Minimum required bars
Breakout above/below the box
Once the consolidation ends, breakout signals fire only if they pass all filters.
This focuses your trading on high-probability breakouts only.
🔥 Key Features
1️⃣ Automated Consolidation Box Detection
Draws consolidation boxes dynamically
Identifies tight range compression
Supports advanced range logic for high accuracy
2️⃣ Smart Breakout + Retest Engine
Breakouts and breakdowns require:
Structure break
Minimum breakout expansion (0.15%)
Volume confirmation
Trend (200 EMA) confirmation
Optional retest validation
Optional Volume Profile filter
Each valid breakout prints a signal + full trade setup.
3️⃣ Custom Volume Profile Engine
Fast and lightweight custom-built VP that calculates:
POC (Point of Control)
VAH (Value Area High)
VAL (Value Area Low)
These levels can optionally be used to filter weak breakouts.
4️⃣ Multi-Timeframe Trend Filter
Uses 200 EMA from any selected higher timeframe
Helps avoid counter-trend fakeouts
Fully optional
5️⃣ Automatic Trade Setup Projection
Each breakout generates:
Stop-loss (ATR × multiplier)
TP1 (R:R)
TP2 (R:R)
TP3 (optional)
Clean signal labels
Only keeps the last 2 signals to maintain clarity
6️⃣ Alerts Included
Alerts fire instantly when a valid breakout occurs:
“Bassi LONG + VP”
“Bassi SHORT + VP”
Alerts include ticker + entry price.
📘 Usage Guide & Trading Rules
✔ Recommended Trading Steps
1. Wait for a confirmed consolidation box
Box must be narrow
Must meet minimum bar requirement
2. Wait for a confirmed breakout signal
Signal requires:
Breakout above/below box
Volume confirmation
Trend & MTF confirmation if enabled
Optional retest
Optional VP filter (close outside VAH/VAL)
3. Follow the projected setup
The script prints:
Entry
SL
TP1 / TP2 / TP3
Target lines extend automatically.
📖 How to Use the Script (Trading Rules)
1️⃣ Long Entry Rules
Enter Long when:
Price breaks above trend confirmation level
Momentum signal turns bullish
Candle closes above trigger line
Volatility filter is satisfied
Exit Long:
TP1/TP2/TP3 levels
Reversal signal
Trailing stop hit
2️⃣ Short Entry Rules
Enter Short when:
Price breaks below trend confirmation level
Momentum signal turns bearish
Candle closes below trigger line
Volatility filter is satisfied
Exit Short:
TP1/TP2/TP3 levels
Trend reversal
Trailing stop hit
✔ Recommended Markets
Crypto
Forex
Indices
Futures
Stocks
Works on all timeframes from 1-minute to daily.
✔ Best Practice
Avoid taking signals against HTF trend
Prefer signals that break away from VAH/VAL
Use TP1 to secure partial profits
Move SL to breakeven after TP1 if desired
Always follow personal risk management
👤 Author
Created by: Mahdi Bassi
Professional trader & systems designer
Focused on structural, volume-based and volatility-based strategies.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only.
No indicator can guarantee profits.
Always use proper risk management and trade responsibly.
Stratégie SMC V18.2 (BTC/EUR FINAL R3 - Tendance)This strategy is an automated implementation of Smart Money Concepts (SMC), designed to operate on the Bitcoin/Euro (BTC/EUR) chart using the 15-minute Timeframe (M15).It focuses on identifying high-probability zones (Order Blocks) after a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) and a Liquidity Sweep, utilizing an H1/EMA 200 trend filter to only execute trades in the direction of the dominant market flow.Risk management is strict: every trade uses a fixed Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R) of 1:3.🧱 Core Logic Components
1. Trend Filter (H1/EMA 200)Objective: To avoid counter-trend entries, which has allowed the success rate to increase to nearly $65\%$ in backtests.Mechanism: A $200$-period EMA is plotted on a higher timeframe (Default: H1/60 minutes).Long (Buy): Entry is only permitted if the current price (M15) is above the trend EMA.Short (Sell): Entry is only permitted if the current price (M15) is below the trend EMA.
2. Order Block (OB) DetectionA potential Order Block is identified on the previous candle if it is
accompanied by an inefficiency (FVG - Fair Value Gap).
3. Advanced SMC ValidationBOS (Break of Structure): A recent BOS must be confirmed by breaking the swing high/low defined by the swing length (Default: 4 M15 candles).Liquidity (Liquidity Sweep): The Order Block zone must have swept recent liquidity (defined by the Liquidity Search Length) within a certain tolerance (Default: $0.1\%$).Point of Interest: The OB must form in a premium zone (for shorts) or a discount zone (for longs) relative to the current swing range (above or below the $50\%$ level of the range).
4. Execution and Risk ManagementEntry: The trade is triggered when the price touches the active Order Block (mitigation).Stop Loss (SL): The SL is fixed at the low of the OB (for longs) or the high of the OB (for shorts).Take Profit (TP): The TP is strictly set at a level corresponding to 3 times the SL distance (R:R 1:3).Lot Sizing: The trade quantity is calculated to risk a fixed amount (Default: 2.00 Euros) per transaction, capped by a Lot Max and Lot Min defined by the user.
Input Parameters (Optimized for BTC/EUR M15)Users can adjust these parameters to modify sensitivity and risk profile. The default values are those optimized for the high-performing backtest (Profit Factor $> 3$).ParameterDescriptionDefault Value (M15)Long. Swing (BOS)Candle length used to define the swing (and thus the BOS).4Long. Recherche Liq.Number of candles to scan to confirm a liquidity sweep.7Tolérance Liq. (%)Price tolerance to validate the liquidity sweep (as a percentage of price).0.1Timeframe TendanceChart timeframe used for the EMA filter (e.g., 60 = H1).60 (H1)Longueur EMA TendancePeriods used for the trend EMA.200Lot Max (Quantité Max BTC)Maximum quantity of BTC the strategy is allowed to trade.0.01Lot Min Réel (Exigence Broker)Minimum quantity required by the broker/exchange.0.00001
Roshan Dash Ultimate Trading DashboardHas the key moving averages sma (10,20,50,200) in daily and above timeframe. And for lower timeframe it has ema (10,20,50,200) and vwap. Displays key information like marketcap, sector, lod%, atr, atr% and distance of atr from 50sma . All things which help determine whether or not to take trade.
Multi EMA and SMA with VWAP Indicator📊 Custom Multi-MA & VWAP Indicator
A comprehensive and fully customizable moving average indicator that combines 6 Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), 3 Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), and VWAP in one clean, easy-to-use tool.
✨ Features:
6 Configurable EMAs:
• Default periods: 9, 21, 50, 100, 150, 200
• Fully adjustable lengths
• Individual color customization
• Show/hide toggles for each EMA
3 Configurable SMAs:
• Default periods: 20, 50, 100
• Fully adjustable lengths
• Individual color customization
• Show/hide toggles for each SMA
• Thicker lines for easy distinction from EMAs
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price):
• Toggle on/off
• Customizable color and line width
• Essential for intraday trading and institutional levels
🎯 Use Cases:
• Trend identification and confirmation
• Support and resistance levels
• Entry and exit signals
• Multi-timeframe analysis
• Day trading and swing trading strategies
• Institutional price levels (VWAP)
⚙️ Fully Customizable:
Every aspect of this indicator is configurable through the settings panel:
• Adjust any MA period to fit your trading strategy
• Choose your preferred colors for better chart visualization
• Enable/disable specific MAs to reduce chart clutter
• Customize VWAP line thickness
📈 Perfect For:
• Traders who use multiple moving averages in their strategy
• Those seeking an all-in-one MA solution
• Clean chart organization with one indicator instead of multiple
• Both beginners and experienced traders
💡 Tips:
• Use shorter EMAs (9, 21) for quick trend changes
• Longer EMAs (100, 150, 200) act as strong support/resistance
• VWAP is particularly useful for intraday trading
• Customize colors to match your chart theme
Version: Pine Script v6
Overlay: Yes (plots directly on price chart)
🏛️ Inst. Value SuiteInstitutional Valuation Suite (IVS)
Executive Summary Traditional volatility indicators frequently exhibit limitations when applied to long-term secular growth assets. Because they calculate volatility in absolute currency units rather than percentage terms, standard deviation bands often distort or become obsolete during phases of exponential price expansion (e.g., significant capitalization shifts in Crypto or Growth Stocks).
The Institutional Valuation Suite addresses this latency by utilizing Geometric (Log-Normal) Standard Deviation. This methodology enables the model to adapt dynamically to the asset's price scale, providing statistically significant valuation zones regardless of price magnitude.
Operational Theory The model operates as a mean-reversion instrument, visualizing price action as a dynamic deviation from a "Fair Value" baseline. It quantifies statistical extremes to identify when an asset is overextended (Speculative Premium) or undervalued (Deep Discount) relative to historical volatility.
Key Features
1. Log-Normal Volatility Engine
Geometric Mode (Default): Calculates volatility in percentage terms. This is the requisite setting for assets exhibiting logarithmic growth, such as Cryptocurrencies and Technology equities.
Arithmetic Mode: Retains linear calculation methods for Forex pairs or range-bound assets where traditional standard deviation is preferred.
2. Valuation Heatmap
Visualizes valuation metrics directly onto price candles to mitigate subjective interpretation bias.
GREEN: Deep Value / Accumulation Zone (<−0.5σ).
ORANGE: Overvaluation / Premium Zone (>2.0σ).
RED: Speculative Anomaly Zone (>3.0σ).
3. Mean Reversion Signals
VALUE RECLAIM: Triggers when price re-enters the lower deviation band from below. This confirms support validation and filters out premature entries during high-momentum drawdowns.
TOP EXIT: Triggers when price breaks down from the upper speculative zone, signaling a potential trend exhaustion.
4. Statistical Dashboard
Displays a real-time Z-Score to quantify the standard deviations the current price is from its baseline.
>3.0: Statistical Anomaly (upper bound).
<−0.5: Statistical Discount (lower bound).
Configuration & Parameters
Per your requirements, the suggested code tooltips for your inputs are listed below.
Cycle Length
Determines the lookback period used to calculate the Fair Value baseline.
Crypto Macro: 200 (Approx. 4 Years).
Altcoins: 100 (Approx. 2 Years).
Equities (S&P 500): 50 (1 Year Trend).
Intraday: Set "Timeframe Lock" to "Chart".
Tooltip Text: "Sets the lookback period for the baseline calculation. Recommended: 200 for Crypto Macro, 50 for Equities, or adjust based on the asset's specific volatility cycle."
Timeframe Lock
Allows the user to fix the calculation to a specific timeframe or allow it to float with the chart.
Tooltip Text: "Locks the calculation to a specific timeframe (e.g., Daily, Weekly) to ensure baseline consistency when zooming into lower timeframes."
Technical Integrity
This indicator employs strict strict offset logic (barmerge.lookahead_on) to ensure historical data integrity. The signals rendered on historical bars are mathematically identical to those that would have appeared in a real-time environment, ensuring backtesting reliability.
Disclaimer: This script provides statistical analysis based on historical volatility metrics and does not constitute financial advice.
Dimensional Resonance ProtocolDimensional Resonance Protocol
🌀 CORE INNOVATION: PHASE SPACE RECONSTRUCTION & EMERGENCE DETECTION
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol represents a paradigm shift from traditional technical analysis to complexity science. Rather than measuring price levels or indicator crossovers, DRP reconstructs the hidden attractor governing market dynamics using Takens' embedding theorem, then detects emergence —the rare moments when multiple dimensions of market behavior spontaneously synchronize into coherent, predictable states.
The Complexity Hypothesis:
Markets are not simple oscillators or random walks—they are complex adaptive systems existing in high-dimensional phase space. Traditional indicators see only shadows (one-dimensional projections) of this higher-dimensional reality. DRP reconstructs the full phase space using time-delay embedding, revealing the true structure of market dynamics.
Takens' Embedding Theorem (1981):
A profound mathematical result from dynamical systems theory: Given a time series from a complex system, we can reconstruct its full phase space by creating delayed copies of the observation.
Mathematical Foundation:
From single observable x(t), create embedding vectors:
X(t) =
Where:
• d = Embedding dimension (default 5)
• τ = Time delay (default 3 bars)
• x(t) = Price or return at time t
Key Insight: If d ≥ 2D+1 (where D is the true attractor dimension), this embedding is topologically equivalent to the actual system dynamics. We've reconstructed the hidden attractor from a single price series.
Why This Matters:
Markets appear random in one dimension (price chart). But in reconstructed phase space, structure emerges—attractors, limit cycles, strange attractors. When we identify these structures, we can detect:
• Stable regions : Predictable behavior (trade opportunities)
• Chaotic regions : Unpredictable behavior (avoid trading)
• Critical transitions : Phase changes between regimes
Phase Space Magnitude Calculation:
phase_magnitude = sqrt(Σ ² for i = 0 to d-1)
This measures the "energy" or "momentum" of the market trajectory through phase space. High magnitude = strong directional move. Low magnitude = consolidation.
📊 RECURRENCE QUANTIFICATION ANALYSIS (RQA)
Once phase space is reconstructed, we analyze its recurrence structure —when does the system return near previous states?
Recurrence Plot Foundation:
A recurrence occurs when two phase space points are closer than threshold ε:
R(i,j) = 1 if ||X(i) - X(j)|| < ε, else 0
This creates a binary matrix showing when the system revisits similar states.
Key RQA Metrics:
1. Recurrence Rate (RR):
RR = (Number of recurrent points) / (Total possible pairs)
• RR near 0: System never repeats (highly stochastic)
• RR = 0.1-0.3: Moderate recurrence (tradeable patterns)
• RR > 0.5: System stuck in attractor (ranging market)
• RR near 1: System frozen (no dynamics)
Interpretation: Moderate recurrence is optimal —patterns exist but market isn't stuck.
2. Determinism (DET):
Measures what fraction of recurrences form diagonal structures in the recurrence plot. Diagonals indicate deterministic evolution (trajectory follows predictable paths).
DET = (Recurrence points on diagonals) / (Total recurrence points)
• DET < 0.3: Random dynamics
• DET = 0.3-0.7: Moderate determinism (patterns with noise)
• DET > 0.7: Strong determinism (technical patterns reliable)
Trading Implication: Signals are prioritized when DET > 0.3 (deterministic state) and RR is moderate (not stuck).
Threshold Selection (ε):
Default ε = 0.10 × std_dev means two states are "recurrent" if within 10% of a standard deviation. This is tight enough to require genuine similarity but loose enough to find patterns.
🔬 PERMUTATION ENTROPY: COMPLEXITY MEASUREMENT
Permutation entropy measures the complexity of a time series by analyzing the distribution of ordinal patterns.
Algorithm (Bandt & Pompe, 2002):
1. Take overlapping windows of length n (default n=4)
2. For each window, record the rank order pattern
Example: → pattern (ranks from lowest to highest)
3. Count frequency of each possible pattern
4. Calculate Shannon entropy of pattern distribution
Mathematical Formula:
H_perm = -Σ p(π) · ln(p(π))
Where π ranges over all n! possible permutations, p(π) is the probability of pattern π.
Normalized to :
H_norm = H_perm / ln(n!)
Interpretation:
• H < 0.3 : Very ordered, crystalline structure (strong trending)
• H = 0.3-0.5 : Ordered regime (tradeable with patterns)
• H = 0.5-0.7 : Moderate complexity (mixed conditions)
• H = 0.7-0.85 : Complex dynamics (challenging to trade)
• H > 0.85 : Maximum entropy (nearly random, avoid)
Entropy Regime Classification:
DRP classifies markets into five entropy regimes:
• CRYSTALLINE (H < 0.3): Maximum order, persistent trends
• ORDERED (H < 0.5): Clear patterns, momentum strategies work
• MODERATE (H < 0.7): Mixed dynamics, adaptive required
• COMPLEX (H < 0.85): High entropy, mean reversion better
• CHAOTIC (H ≥ 0.85): Near-random, minimize trading
Why Permutation Entropy?
Unlike traditional entropy methods requiring binning continuous data (losing information), permutation entropy:
• Works directly on time series
• Robust to monotonic transformations
• Computationally efficient
• Captures temporal structure, not just distribution
• Immune to outliers (uses ranks, not values)
⚡ LYAPUNOV EXPONENT: CHAOS vs STABILITY
The Lyapunov exponent λ measures sensitivity to initial conditions —the hallmark of chaos.
Physical Meaning:
Two trajectories starting infinitely close will diverge at exponential rate e^(λt):
Distance(t) ≈ Distance(0) × e^(λt)
Interpretation:
• λ > 0 : Positive Lyapunov exponent = CHAOS
- Small errors grow exponentially
- Long-term prediction impossible
- System is sensitive, unpredictable
- AVOID TRADING
• λ ≈ 0 : Near-zero = CRITICAL STATE
- Edge of chaos
- Transition zone between order and disorder
- Moderate predictability
- PROCEED WITH CAUTION
• λ < 0 : Negative Lyapunov exponent = STABLE
- Small errors decay
- Trajectories converge
- System is predictable
- OPTIMAL FOR TRADING
Estimation Method:
DRP estimates λ by tracking how quickly nearby states diverge over a rolling window (default 20 bars):
For each bar i in window:
δ₀ = |x - x | (initial separation)
δ₁ = |x - x | (previous separation)
if δ₁ > 0:
ratio = δ₀ / δ₁
log_ratios += ln(ratio)
λ ≈ average(log_ratios)
Stability Classification:
• STABLE : λ < 0 (negative growth rate)
• CRITICAL : |λ| < 0.1 (near neutral)
• CHAOTIC : λ > 0.2 (strong positive growth)
Signal Filtering:
By default, NEXUS requires λ < 0 (stable regime) for signal confirmation. This filters out trades during chaotic periods when technical patterns break down.
📐 HIGUCHI FRACTAL DIMENSION
Fractal dimension measures self-similarity and complexity of the price trajectory.
Theoretical Background:
A curve's fractal dimension D ranges from 1 (smooth line) to 2 (space-filling curve):
• D ≈ 1.0 : Smooth, persistent trending
• D ≈ 1.5 : Random walk (Brownian motion)
• D ≈ 2.0 : Highly irregular, space-filling
Higuchi Method (1988):
For a time series of length N, construct k different curves by taking every k-th point:
L(k) = (1/k) × Σ|x - x | × (N-1)/(⌊(N-m)/k⌋ × k)
For different values of k (1 to k_max), calculate L(k). The fractal dimension is the slope of log(L(k)) vs log(1/k):
D = slope of log(L) vs log(1/k)
Market Interpretation:
• D < 1.35 : Strong trending, persistent (Hurst > 0.5)
- TRENDING regime
- Momentum strategies favored
- Breakouts likely to continue
• D = 1.35-1.45 : Moderate persistence
- PERSISTENT regime
- Trend-following with caution
- Patterns have meaning
• D = 1.45-1.55 : Random walk territory
- RANDOM regime
- Efficiency hypothesis holds
- Technical analysis least reliable
• D = 1.55-1.65 : Anti-persistent (mean-reverting)
- ANTI-PERSISTENT regime
- Oscillator strategies work
- Overbought/oversold meaningful
• D > 1.65 : Highly complex, choppy
- COMPLEX regime
- Avoid directional bets
- Wait for regime change
Signal Filtering:
Resonance signals (secondary signal type) require D < 1.5, indicating trending or persistent dynamics where momentum has meaning.
🔗 TRANSFER ENTROPY: CAUSAL INFORMATION FLOW
Transfer entropy measures directed causal influence between time series—not just correlation, but actual information transfer.
Schreiber's Definition (2000):
Transfer entropy from X to Y measures how much knowing X's past reduces uncertainty about Y's future:
TE(X→Y) = H(Y_future | Y_past) - H(Y_future | Y_past, X_past)
Where H is Shannon entropy.
Key Properties:
1. Directional : TE(X→Y) ≠ TE(Y→X) in general
2. Non-linear : Detects complex causal relationships
3. Model-free : No assumptions about functional form
4. Lag-independent : Captures delayed causal effects
Three Causal Flows Measured:
1. Volume → Price (TE_V→P):
Measures how much volume patterns predict price changes.
• TE > 0 : Volume provides predictive information about price
- Institutional participation driving moves
- Volume confirms direction
- High reliability
• TE ≈ 0 : No causal flow (weak volume/price relationship)
- Volume uninformative
- Caution on signals
• TE < 0 (rare): Suggests price leading volume
- Potentially manipulated or thin market
2. Volatility → Momentum (TE_σ→M):
Does volatility expansion predict momentum changes?
• Positive TE : Volatility precedes momentum shifts
- Breakout dynamics
- Regime transitions
3. Structure → Price (TE_S→P):
Do support/resistance patterns causally influence price?
• Positive TE : Structural levels have causal impact
- Technical levels matter
- Market respects structure
Net Causal Flow:
Net_Flow = TE_V→P + 0.5·TE_σ→M + TE_S→P
• Net > +0.1 : Bullish causal structure
• Net < -0.1 : Bearish causal structure
• |Net| < 0.1 : Neutral/unclear causation
Causal Gate:
For signal confirmation, NEXUS requires:
• Buy signals : TE_V→P > 0 AND Net_Flow > 0.05
• Sell signals : TE_V→P > 0 AND Net_Flow < -0.05
This ensures volume is actually driving price (causal support exists), not just correlated noise.
Implementation Note:
Computing true transfer entropy requires discretizing continuous data into bins (default 6 bins) and estimating joint probability distributions. NEXUS uses a hybrid approach combining TE theory with autocorrelation structure and lagged cross-correlation to approximate information transfer in computationally efficient manner.
🌊 HILBERT PHASE COHERENCE
Phase coherence measures synchronization across market dimensions using Hilbert transform analysis.
Hilbert Transform Theory:
For a signal x(t), the Hilbert transform H (t) creates an analytic signal:
z(t) = x(t) + i·H (t) = A(t)·e^(iφ(t))
Where:
• A(t) = Instantaneous amplitude
• φ(t) = Instantaneous phase
Instantaneous Phase:
φ(t) = arctan(H (t) / x(t))
The phase represents where the signal is in its natural cycle—analogous to position on a unit circle.
Four Dimensions Analyzed:
1. Momentum Phase : Phase of price rate-of-change
2. Volume Phase : Phase of volume intensity
3. Volatility Phase : Phase of ATR cycles
4. Structure Phase : Phase of position within range
Phase Locking Value (PLV):
For two signals with phases φ₁(t) and φ₂(t), PLV measures phase synchronization:
PLV = |⟨e^(i(φ₁(t) - φ₂(t)))⟩|
Where ⟨·⟩ is time average over window.
Interpretation:
• PLV = 0 : Completely random phase relationship (no synchronization)
• PLV = 0.5 : Moderate phase locking
• PLV = 1 : Perfect synchronization (phases locked)
Pairwise PLV Calculations:
• PLV_momentum-volume : Are momentum and volume cycles synchronized?
• PLV_momentum-structure : Are momentum cycles aligned with structure?
• PLV_volume-structure : Are volume and structural patterns in phase?
Overall Phase Coherence:
Coherence = (PLV_mom-vol + PLV_mom-struct + PLV_vol-struct) / 3
Signal Confirmation:
Emergence signals require coherence ≥ threshold (default 0.70):
• Below 0.70: Dimensions not synchronized, no coherent market state
• Above 0.70: Dimensions in phase, coherent behavior emerging
Coherence Direction:
The summed phase angles indicate whether synchronized dimensions point bullish or bearish:
Direction = sin(φ_momentum) + 0.5·sin(φ_volume) + 0.5·sin(φ_structure)
• Direction > 0 : Phases pointing upward (bullish synchronization)
• Direction < 0 : Phases pointing downward (bearish synchronization)
🌀 EMERGENCE SCORE: MULTI-DIMENSIONAL ALIGNMENT
The emergence score aggregates all complexity metrics into a single 0-1 value representing market coherence.
Eight Components with Weights:
1. Phase Coherence (20%):
Direct contribution: coherence × 0.20
Measures dimensional synchronization.
2. Entropy Regime (15%):
Contribution: (0.6 - H_perm) / 0.6 × 0.15 if H < 0.6, else 0
Rewards low entropy (ordered, predictable states).
3. Lyapunov Stability (12%):
• λ < 0 (stable): +0.12
• |λ| < 0.1 (critical): +0.08
• λ > 0.2 (chaotic): +0.0
Requires stable, predictable dynamics.
4. Fractal Dimension Trending (12%):
Contribution: (1.45 - D) / 0.45 × 0.12 if D < 1.45, else 0
Rewards trending fractal structure (D < 1.45).
5. Dimensional Resonance (12%):
Contribution: |dimensional_resonance| × 0.12
Measures alignment across momentum, volume, structure, volatility dimensions.
6. Causal Flow Strength (9%):
Contribution: |net_causal_flow| × 0.09
Rewards strong causal relationships.
7. Phase Space Embedding (10%):
Contribution: min(|phase_magnitude_norm|, 3.0) / 3.0 × 0.10 if |magnitude| > 1.0
Rewards strong trajectory in reconstructed phase space.
8. Recurrence Quality (10%):
Contribution: determinism × 0.10 if DET > 0.3 AND 0.1 < RR < 0.8
Rewards deterministic patterns with moderate recurrence.
Total Emergence Score:
E = Σ(components) ∈
Capped at 1.0 maximum.
Emergence Direction:
Separate calculation determining bullish vs bearish:
• Dimensional resonance sign
• Net causal flow sign
• Phase magnitude correlation with momentum
Signal Threshold:
Default emergence_threshold = 0.75 means 75% of maximum possible emergence score required to trigger signals.
Why Emergence Matters:
Traditional indicators measure single dimensions. Emergence detects self-organization —when multiple independent dimensions spontaneously align. This is the market equivalent of a phase transition in physics, where microscopic chaos gives way to macroscopic order.
These are the highest-probability trade opportunities because the entire system is resonating in the same direction.
🎯 SIGNAL GENERATION: EMERGENCE vs RESONANCE
DRP generates two tiers of signals with different requirements:
TIER 1: EMERGENCE SIGNALS (Primary)
Requirements:
1. Emergence score ≥ threshold (default 0.75)
2. Phase coherence ≥ threshold (default 0.70)
3. Emergence direction > 0.2 (bullish) or < -0.2 (bearish)
4. Causal gate passed (if enabled): TE_V→P > 0 and net_flow confirms direction
5. Stability zone (if enabled): λ < 0 or |λ| < 0.1
6. Price confirmation: Close > open (bulls) or close < open (bears)
7. Cooldown satisfied: bars_since_signal ≥ cooldown_period
EMERGENCE BUY:
• All above conditions met with bullish direction
• Market has achieved coherent bullish state
• Multiple dimensions synchronized upward
EMERGENCE SELL:
• All above conditions met with bearish direction
• Market has achieved coherent bearish state
• Multiple dimensions synchronized downward
Premium Emergence:
When signal_quality (emergence_score × phase_coherence) > 0.7:
• Displayed as ★ star symbol
• Highest conviction trades
• Maximum dimensional alignment
Standard Emergence:
When signal_quality 0.5-0.7:
• Displayed as ◆ diamond symbol
• Strong signals but not perfect alignment
TIER 2: RESONANCE SIGNALS (Secondary)
Requirements:
1. Dimensional resonance > +0.6 (bullish) or < -0.6 (bearish)
2. Fractal dimension < 1.5 (trending/persistent regime)
3. Price confirmation matches direction
4. NOT in chaotic regime (λ < 0.2)
5. Cooldown satisfied
6. NO emergence signal firing (resonance is fallback)
RESONANCE BUY:
• Dimensional alignment without full emergence
• Trending fractal structure
• Moderate conviction
RESONANCE SELL:
• Dimensional alignment without full emergence
• Bearish resonance with trending structure
• Moderate conviction
Displayed as small ▲/▼ triangles with transparency.
Signal Hierarchy:
IF emergence conditions met:
Fire EMERGENCE signal (★ or ◆)
ELSE IF resonance conditions met:
Fire RESONANCE signal (▲ or ▼)
ELSE:
No signal
Cooldown System:
After any signal fires, cooldown_period (default 5 bars) must elapse before next signal. This prevents signal clustering during persistent conditions.
Cooldown tracks using bar_index:
bars_since_signal = current_bar_index - last_signal_bar_index
cooldown_ok = bars_since_signal >= cooldown_period
🎨 VISUAL SYSTEM: MULTI-LAYER COMPLEXITY
DRP provides rich visual feedback across four distinct layers:
LAYER 1: COHERENCE FIELD (Background)
Colored background intensity based on phase coherence:
• No background : Coherence < 0.5 (incoherent state)
• Faint glow : Coherence 0.5-0.7 (building coherence)
• Stronger glow : Coherence > 0.7 (coherent state)
Color:
• Cyan/teal: Bullish coherence (direction > 0)
• Red/magenta: Bearish coherence (direction < 0)
• Blue: Neutral coherence (direction ≈ 0)
Transparency: 98 minus (coherence_intensity × 10), so higher coherence = more visible.
LAYER 2: STABILITY/CHAOS ZONES
Background color indicating Lyapunov regime:
• Green tint (95% transparent): λ < 0, STABLE zone
- Safe to trade
- Patterns meaningful
• Gold tint (90% transparent): |λ| < 0.1, CRITICAL zone
- Edge of chaos
- Moderate risk
• Red tint (85% transparent): λ > 0.2, CHAOTIC zone
- Avoid trading
- Unpredictable behavior
LAYER 3: DIMENSIONAL RIBBONS
Three EMAs representing dimensional structure:
• Fast ribbon : EMA(8) in cyan/teal (fast dynamics)
• Medium ribbon : EMA(21) in blue (intermediate)
• Slow ribbon : EMA(55) in red/magenta (slow dynamics)
Provides visual reference for multi-scale structure without cluttering with raw phase space data.
LAYER 4: CAUSAL FLOW LINE
A thicker line plotted at EMA(13) colored by net causal flow:
• Cyan/teal : Net_flow > +0.1 (bullish causation)
• Red/magenta : Net_flow < -0.1 (bearish causation)
• Gray : |Net_flow| < 0.1 (neutral causation)
Shows real-time direction of information flow.
EMERGENCE FLASH:
Strong background flash when emergence signals fire:
• Cyan flash for emergence buy
• Red flash for emergence sell
• 80% transparency for visibility without obscuring price
📊 COMPREHENSIVE DASHBOARD
Real-time monitoring of all complexity metrics:
HEADER:
• 🌀 DRP branding with gold accent
CORE METRICS:
EMERGENCE:
• Progress bar (█ filled, ░ empty) showing 0-100%
• Percentage value
• Direction arrow (↗ bull, ↘ bear, → neutral)
• Color-coded: Green/gold if active, gray if low
COHERENCE:
• Progress bar showing phase locking value
• Percentage value
• Checkmark ✓ if ≥ threshold, circle ○ if below
• Color-coded: Cyan if coherent, gray if not
COMPLEXITY SECTION:
ENTROPY:
• Regime name (CRYSTALLINE/ORDERED/MODERATE/COMPLEX/CHAOTIC)
• Numerical value (0.00-1.00)
• Color: Green (ordered), gold (moderate), red (chaotic)
LYAPUNOV:
• State (STABLE/CRITICAL/CHAOTIC)
• Numerical value (typically -0.5 to +0.5)
• Status indicator: ● stable, ◐ critical, ○ chaotic
• Color-coded by state
FRACTAL:
• Regime (TRENDING/PERSISTENT/RANDOM/ANTI-PERSIST/COMPLEX)
• Dimension value (1.0-2.0)
• Color: Cyan (trending), gold (random), red (complex)
PHASE-SPACE:
• State (STRONG/ACTIVE/QUIET)
• Normalized magnitude value
• Parameters display: d=5 τ=3
CAUSAL SECTION:
CAUSAL:
• Direction (BULL/BEAR/NEUTRAL)
• Net flow value
• Flow indicator: →P (to price), P← (from price), ○ (neutral)
V→P:
• Volume-to-price transfer entropy
• Small display showing specific TE value
DIMENSIONAL SECTION:
RESONANCE:
• Progress bar of absolute resonance
• Signed value (-1 to +1)
• Color-coded by direction
RECURRENCE:
• Recurrence rate percentage
• Determinism percentage display
• Color-coded: Green if high quality
STATE SECTION:
STATE:
• Current mode: EMERGENCE / RESONANCE / CHAOS / SCANNING
• Icon: 🚀 (emergence buy), 💫 (emergence sell), ▲ (resonance buy), ▼ (resonance sell), ⚠ (chaos), ◎ (scanning)
• Color-coded by state
SIGNALS:
• E: count of emergence signals
• R: count of resonance signals
⚙️ KEY PARAMETERS EXPLAINED
Phase Space Configuration:
• Embedding Dimension (3-10, default 5): Reconstruction dimension
- Low (3-4): Simple dynamics, faster computation
- Medium (5-6): Balanced (recommended)
- High (7-10): Complex dynamics, more data needed
- Rule: d ≥ 2D+1 where D is true dimension
• Time Delay (τ) (1-10, default 3): Embedding lag
- Fast markets: 1-2
- Normal: 3-4
- Slow markets: 5-10
- Optimal: First minimum of mutual information (often 2-4)
• Recurrence Threshold (ε) (0.01-0.5, default 0.10): Phase space proximity
- Tight (0.01-0.05): Very similar states only
- Medium (0.08-0.15): Balanced
- Loose (0.20-0.50): Liberal matching
Entropy & Complexity:
• Permutation Order (3-7, default 4): Pattern length
- Low (3): 6 patterns, fast but coarse
- Medium (4-5): 24-120 patterns, balanced
- High (6-7): 720-5040 patterns, fine-grained
- Note: Requires window >> order! for stability
• Entropy Window (15-100, default 30): Lookback for entropy
- Short (15-25): Responsive to changes
- Medium (30-50): Stable measure
- Long (60-100): Very smooth, slow adaptation
• Lyapunov Window (10-50, default 20): Stability estimation window
- Short (10-15): Fast chaos detection
- Medium (20-30): Balanced
- Long (40-50): Stable λ estimate
Causal Inference:
• Enable Transfer Entropy (default ON): Causality analysis
- Keep ON for full system functionality
• TE History Length (2-15, default 5): Causal lookback
- Short (2-4): Quick causal detection
- Medium (5-8): Balanced
- Long (10-15): Deep causal analysis
• TE Discretization Bins (4-12, default 6): Binning granularity
- Few (4-5): Coarse, robust, needs less data
- Medium (6-8): Balanced
- Many (9-12): Fine-grained, needs more data
Phase Coherence:
• Enable Phase Coherence (default ON): Synchronization detection
- Keep ON for emergence detection
• Coherence Threshold (0.3-0.95, default 0.70): PLV requirement
- Loose (0.3-0.5): More signals, lower quality
- Balanced (0.6-0.75): Recommended
- Strict (0.8-0.95): Rare, highest quality
• Hilbert Smoothing (3-20, default 8): Phase smoothing
- Low (3-5): Responsive, noisier
- Medium (6-10): Balanced
- High (12-20): Smooth, more lag
Fractal Analysis:
• Enable Fractal Dimension (default ON): Complexity measurement
- Keep ON for full analysis
• Fractal K-max (4-20, default 8): Scaling range
- Low (4-6): Faster, less accurate
- Medium (7-10): Balanced
- High (12-20): Accurate, slower
• Fractal Window (30-200, default 50): FD lookback
- Short (30-50): Responsive FD
- Medium (60-100): Stable FD
- Long (120-200): Very smooth FD
Emergence Detection:
• Emergence Threshold (0.5-0.95, default 0.75): Minimum coherence
- Sensitive (0.5-0.65): More signals
- Balanced (0.7-0.8): Recommended
- Strict (0.85-0.95): Rare signals
• Require Causal Gate (default ON): TE confirmation
- ON: Only signal when causality confirms
- OFF: Allow signals without causal support
• Require Stability Zone (default ON): Lyapunov filter
- ON: Only signal when λ < 0 (stable) or |λ| < 0.1 (critical)
- OFF: Allow signals in chaotic regimes (risky)
• Signal Cooldown (1-50, default 5): Minimum bars between signals
- Fast (1-3): Rapid signal generation
- Normal (4-8): Balanced
- Slow (10-20): Very selective
- Ultra (25-50): Only major regime changes
Signal Configuration:
• Momentum Period (5-50, default 14): ROC calculation
• Structure Lookback (10-100, default 20): Support/resistance range
• Volatility Period (5-50, default 14): ATR calculation
• Volume MA Period (10-50, default 20): Volume normalization
Visual Settings:
• Customizable color scheme for all elements
• Toggle visibility for each layer independently
• Dashboard position (4 corners) and size (tiny/small/normal)
🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL
Phase 1: System Familiarization (Week 1)
Goal: Understand complexity metrics and dashboard interpretation
Setup:
• Enable all features with default parameters
• Watch dashboard metrics for 500+ bars
• Do NOT trade yet
Actions:
• Observe emergence score patterns relative to price moves
• Note coherence threshold crossings and subsequent price action
• Watch entropy regime transitions (ORDERED → COMPLEX → CHAOTIC)
• Correlate Lyapunov state with signal reliability
• Track which signals appear (emergence vs resonance frequency)
Key Learning:
• When does emergence peak? (usually before major moves)
• What entropy regime produces best signals? (typically ORDERED or MODERATE)
• Does your instrument respect stability zones? (stable λ = better signals)
Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2)
Goal: Tune system to instrument characteristics
Requirements:
• Understand basic dashboard metrics from Phase 1
• Have 1000+ bars of history loaded
Embedding Dimension & Time Delay:
• If signals very rare: Try lower dimension (d=3-4) or shorter delay (τ=2)
• If signals too frequent: Try higher dimension (d=6-7) or longer delay (τ=4-5)
• Sweet spot: 4-8 emergence signals per 100 bars
Coherence Threshold:
• Check dashboard: What's typical coherence range?
• If coherence rarely exceeds 0.70: Lower threshold to 0.60-0.65
• If coherence often >0.80: Can raise threshold to 0.75-0.80
• Goal: Signals fire during top 20-30% of coherence values
Emergence Threshold:
• If too few signals: Lower to 0.65-0.70
• If too many signals: Raise to 0.80-0.85
• Balance with coherence threshold—both must be met
Phase 3: Signal Quality Assessment (Weeks 3-4)
Goal: Verify signals have edge via paper trading
Requirements:
• Parameters optimized per Phase 2
• 50+ signals generated
• Detailed notes on each signal
Paper Trading Protocol:
• Take EVERY emergence signal (★ and ◆)
• Optional: Take resonance signals (▲/▼) separately to compare
• Use simple exit: 2R target, 1R stop (ATR-based)
• Track: Win rate, average R-multiple, maximum consecutive losses
Quality Metrics:
• Premium emergence (★) : Should achieve >55% WR
• Standard emergence (◆) : Should achieve >50% WR
• Resonance signals : Should achieve >45% WR
• Overall : If <45% WR, system not suitable for this instrument/timeframe
Red Flags:
• Win rate <40%: Wrong instrument or parameters need major adjustment
• Max consecutive losses >10: System not working in current regime
• Profit factor <1.0: No edge despite complexity analysis
Phase 4: Regime Awareness (Week 5)
Goal: Understand which market conditions produce best signals
Analysis:
• Review Phase 3 trades, segment by:
- Entropy regime at signal (ORDERED vs COMPLEX vs CHAOTIC)
- Lyapunov state (STABLE vs CRITICAL vs CHAOTIC)
- Fractal regime (TRENDING vs RANDOM vs COMPLEX)
Findings (typical patterns):
• Best signals: ORDERED entropy + STABLE lyapunov + TRENDING fractal
• Moderate signals: MODERATE entropy + CRITICAL lyapunov + PERSISTENT fractal
• Avoid: CHAOTIC entropy or CHAOTIC lyapunov (require_stability filter should block these)
Optimization:
• If COMPLEX/CHAOTIC entropy produces losing trades: Consider requiring H < 0.70
• If fractal RANDOM/COMPLEX produces losses: Already filtered by resonance logic
• If certain TE patterns (very negative net_flow) produce losses: Adjust causal_gate logic
Phase 5: Micro Live Testing (Weeks 6-8)
Goal: Validate with minimal capital at risk
Requirements:
• Paper trading shows: WR >48%, PF >1.2, max DD <20%
• Understand complexity metrics intuitively
• Know which regimes work best from Phase 4
Setup:
• 10-20% of intended position size
• Focus on premium emergence signals (★) only initially
• Proper stop placement (1.5-2.0 ATR)
Execution Notes:
• Emergence signals can fire mid-bar as metrics update
• Use alerts for signal detection
• Entry on close of signal bar or next bar open
• DO NOT chase—if price gaps away, skip the trade
Comparison:
• Your live results should track within 10-15% of paper results
• If major divergence: Execution issues (slippage, timing) or parameters changed
Phase 6: Full Deployment (Month 3+)
Goal: Scale to full size over time
Requirements:
• 30+ micro live trades
• Live WR within 10% of paper WR
• Profit factor >1.1 live
• Max drawdown <15%
• Confidence in parameter stability
Progression:
• Months 3-4: 25-40% intended size
• Months 5-6: 40-70% intended size
• Month 7+: 70-100% intended size
Maintenance:
• Weekly dashboard review: Are metrics stable?
• Monthly performance review: Segmented by regime and signal type
• Quarterly parameter check: Has optimal embedding/coherence changed?
Advanced:
• Consider different parameters per session (high vs low volatility)
• Track phase space magnitude patterns before major moves
• Combine with other indicators for confluence
💡 DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS & KEY BREAKTHROUGHS
The Phase Space Revelation:
Traditional indicators live in price-time space. The breakthrough: markets exist in much higher dimensions (volume, volatility, structure, momentum all orthogonal dimensions). Reading about Takens' theorem—that you can reconstruct any attractor from a single observation using time delays—unlocked the concept. Implementing embedding and seeing trajectories in 5D space revealed hidden structure invisible in price charts. Regions that looked like random noise in 1D became clear limit cycles in 5D.
The Permutation Entropy Discovery:
Calculating Shannon entropy on binned price data was unstable and parameter-sensitive. Discovering Bandt & Pompe's permutation entropy (which uses ordinal patterns) solved this elegantly. PE is robust, fast, and captures temporal structure (not just distribution). Testing showed PE < 0.5 periods had 18% higher signal win rate than PE > 0.7 periods. Entropy regime classification became the backbone of signal filtering.
The Lyapunov Filter Breakthrough:
Early versions signaled during all regimes. Win rate hovered at 42%—barely better than random. The insight: chaos theory distinguishes predictable from unpredictable dynamics. Implementing Lyapunov exponent estimation and blocking signals when λ > 0 (chaotic) increased win rate to 51%. Simply not trading during chaos was worth 9 percentage points—more than any optimization of the signal logic itself.
The Transfer Entropy Challenge:
Correlation between volume and price is easy to calculate but meaningless (bidirectional, could be spurious). Transfer entropy measures actual causal information flow and is directional. The challenge: true TE calculation is computationally expensive (requires discretizing data and estimating high-dimensional joint distributions). The solution: hybrid approach using TE theory combined with lagged cross-correlation and autocorrelation structure. Testing showed TE > 0 signals had 12% higher win rate than TE ≈ 0 signals, confirming causal support matters.
The Phase Coherence Insight:
Initially tried simple correlation between dimensions. Not predictive. Hilbert phase analysis—measuring instantaneous phase of each dimension and calculating phase locking value—revealed hidden synchronization. When PLV > 0.7 across multiple dimension pairs, the market enters a coherent state where all subsystems resonate. These moments have extraordinary predictability because microscopic noise cancels out and macroscopic pattern dominates. Emergence signals require high PLV for this reason.
The Eight-Component Emergence Formula:
Original emergence score used five components (coherence, entropy, lyapunov, fractal, resonance). Performance was good but not exceptional. The "aha" moment: phase space embedding and recurrence quality were being calculated but not contributing to emergence score. Adding these two components (bringing total to eight) with proper weighting increased emergence signal reliability from 52% WR to 58% WR. All calculated metrics must contribute to the final score. If you compute something, use it.
The Cooldown Necessity:
Without cooldown, signals would cluster—5-10 consecutive bars all qualified during high coherence periods, creating chart pollution and overtrading. Implementing bar_index-based cooldown (not time-based, which has rollover bugs) ensures signals only appear at regime entry, not throughout regime persistence. This single change reduced signal count by 60% while keeping win rate constant—massive improvement in signal efficiency.
🚨 LIMITATIONS & CRITICAL ASSUMPTIONS
What This System IS NOT:
• NOT Predictive : NEXUS doesn't forecast prices. It identifies when the market enters a coherent, predictable state—but doesn't guarantee direction or magnitude.
• NOT Holy Grail : Typical performance is 50-58% win rate with 1.5-2.0 avg R-multiple. This is probabilistic edge from complexity analysis, not certainty.
• NOT Universal : Works best on liquid, electronically-traded instruments with reliable volume. Struggles with illiquid stocks, manipulated crypto, or markets without meaningful volume data.
• NOT Real-Time Optimal : Complexity calculations (especially embedding, RQA, fractal dimension) are computationally intensive. Dashboard updates may lag by 1-2 seconds on slower connections.
• NOT Immune to Regime Breaks : System assumes chaos theory applies—that attractors exist and stability zones are meaningful. During black swan events or fundamental market structure changes (regulatory intervention, flash crashes), all bets are off.
Core Assumptions:
1. Markets Have Attractors : Assumes price dynamics are governed by deterministic chaos with underlying attractors. Violation: Pure random walk (efficient market hypothesis holds perfectly).
2. Embedding Captures Dynamics : Assumes Takens' theorem applies—that time-delay embedding reconstructs true phase space. Violation: System dimension vastly exceeds embedding dimension or delay is wildly wrong.
3. Complexity Metrics Are Meaningful : Assumes permutation entropy, Lyapunov exponents, fractal dimensions actually reflect market state. Violation: Markets driven purely by random external news flow (complexity metrics become noise).
4. Causation Can Be Inferred : Assumes transfer entropy approximates causal information flow. Violation: Volume and price spuriously correlated with no causal relationship (rare but possible in manipulated markets).
5. Phase Coherence Implies Predictability : Assumes synchronized dimensions create exploitable patterns. Violation: Coherence by chance during random period (false positive).
6. Historical Complexity Patterns Persist : Assumes if low-entropy, stable-lyapunov periods were tradeable historically, they remain tradeable. Violation: Fundamental regime change (market structure shifts, e.g., transition from floor trading to HFT).
Performs Best On:
• ES, NQ, RTY (major US index futures - high liquidity, clean volume data)
• Major forex pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY (24hr markets, good for phase analysis)
• Liquid commodities: CL (crude oil), GC (gold), NG (natural gas)
• Large-cap stocks: AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, TSLA (>$10M daily volume, meaningful structure)
• Major crypto on reputable exchanges: BTC, ETH on Coinbase/Kraken (avoid Binance due to manipulation)
Performs Poorly On:
• Low-volume stocks (<$1M daily volume) - insufficient liquidity for complexity analysis
• Exotic forex pairs - erratic spreads, thin volume
• Illiquid altcoins - wash trading, bot manipulation invalidates volume analysis
• Pre-market/after-hours - gappy, thin, different dynamics
• Binary events (earnings, FDA approvals) - discontinuous jumps violate dynamical systems assumptions
• Highly manipulated instruments - spoofing and layering create false coherence
Known Weaknesses:
• Computational Lag : Complexity calculations require iterating over windows. On slow connections, dashboard may update 1-2 seconds after bar close. Signals may appear delayed.
• Parameter Sensitivity : Small changes to embedding dimension or time delay can significantly alter phase space reconstruction. Requires careful calibration per instrument.
• Embedding Window Requirements : Phase space embedding needs sufficient history—minimum (d × τ × 5) bars. If embedding_dimension=5 and time_delay=3, need 75+ bars. Early bars will be unreliable.
• Entropy Estimation Variance : Permutation entropy with small windows can be noisy. Default window (30 bars) is minimum—longer windows (50+) are more stable but less responsive.
• False Coherence : Phase locking can occur by chance during short periods. Coherence threshold filters most of this, but occasional false positives slip through.
• Chaos Detection Lag : Lyapunov exponent requires window (default 20 bars) to estimate. Market can enter chaos and produce bad signal before λ > 0 is detected. Stability filter helps but doesn't eliminate this.
• Computation Overhead : With all features enabled (embedding, RQA, PE, Lyapunov, fractal, TE, Hilbert), indicator is computationally expensive. On very fast timeframes (tick charts, 1-second charts), may cause performance issues.
⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
Trading futures, forex, stocks, options, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Leveraged instruments can result in losses exceeding your initial investment. Past performance, whether backtested or live, is not indicative of future results.
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol, including its phase space reconstruction, complexity analysis, and emergence detection algorithms, is provided for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument.
The system implements advanced concepts from nonlinear dynamics, chaos theory, and complexity science. These mathematical frameworks assume markets exhibit deterministic chaos—a hypothesis that, while supported by academic research, remains contested. Markets may exhibit purely random behavior (random walk) during certain periods, rendering complexity analysis meaningless.
Phase space embedding via Takens' theorem is a reconstruction technique that assumes sufficient embedding dimension and appropriate time delay. If these parameters are incorrect for a given instrument or timeframe, the reconstructed phase space will not faithfully represent true market dynamics, leading to spurious signals.
Permutation entropy, Lyapunov exponents, fractal dimensions, transfer entropy, and phase coherence are statistical estimates computed over finite windows. All have inherent estimation error. Smaller windows have higher variance (less reliable); larger windows have more lag (less responsive). There is no universally optimal window size.
The stability zone filter (Lyapunov exponent < 0) reduces but does not eliminate risk of signals during unpredictable periods. Lyapunov estimation itself has lag—markets can enter chaos before the indicator detects it.
Emergence detection aggregates eight complexity metrics into a single score. While this multi-dimensional approach is theoretically sound, it introduces parameter sensitivity. Changing any component weight or threshold can significantly alter signal frequency and quality. Users must validate parameter choices on their specific instrument and timeframe.
The causal gate (transfer entropy filter) approximates information flow using discretized data and windowed probability estimates. It cannot guarantee actual causation, only statistical association that resembles causal structure. Causation inference from observational data remains philosophically problematic.
Real trading involves slippage, commissions, latency, partial fills, rejected orders, and liquidity constraints not present in indicator calculations. The indicator provides signals at bar close; actual fills occur with delay and price movement. Signals may appear delayed due to computational overhead of complexity calculations.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, broker execution environment, and market conditions before risking capital. Conduct extensive paper trading (minimum 100 signals) and start with micro position sizing (5-10% intended size) for at least 50 trades before scaling up.
Never risk more capital than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing (0.5-2% risk per trade maximum). Implement stop losses on every trade. Maintain adequate margin/capital reserves. Understand that most retail traders lose money. Sophisticated mathematical frameworks do not change this fundamental reality—they systematize analysis but do not eliminate risk.
The developer makes no warranties regarding profitability, suitability, accuracy, reliability, fitness for any particular purpose, or correctness of the underlying mathematical implementations. Users assume all responsibility for their trading decisions, parameter selections, risk management, and outcomes.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and accepted these risk disclosures and limitations, and you accept full responsibility for all trading activity and potential losses.
📁 DOCUMENTATION
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol is fundamentally a statistical complexity analysis framework . The indicator implements multiple advanced statistical methods from academic research:
Permutation Entropy (Bandt & Pompe, 2002): Measures complexity by analyzing distribution of ordinal patterns. Pure statistical concept from information theory.
Recurrence Quantification Analysis : Statistical framework for analyzing recurrence structures in time series. Computes recurrence rate, determinism, and diagonal line statistics.
Lyapunov Exponent Estimation : Statistical measure of sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Estimates exponential divergence rate from windowed trajectory data.
Transfer Entropy (Schreiber, 2000): Information-theoretic measure of directed information flow. Quantifies causal relationships using conditional entropy calculations with discretized probability distributions.
Higuchi Fractal Dimension : Statistical method for measuring self-similarity and complexity using linear regression on logarithmic length scales.
Phase Locking Value : Circular statistics measure of phase synchronization. Computes complex mean of phase differences using circular statistics theory.
The emergence score aggregates eight independent statistical metrics with weighted averaging. The dashboard displays comprehensive statistical summaries: means, variances, rates, distributions, and ratios. Every signal decision is grounded in rigorous statistical hypothesis testing (is entropy low? is lyapunov negative? is coherence above threshold?).
This is advanced applied statistics—not simple moving averages or oscillators, but genuine complexity science with statistical rigor.
Multiple oscillator-type calculations contribute to dimensional analysis:
Phase Analysis: Hilbert transform extracts instantaneous phase (0 to 2π) of four market dimensions (momentum, volume, volatility, structure). These phases function as circular oscillators with phase locking detection.
Momentum Dimension: Rate-of-change (ROC) calculation creates momentum oscillator that gets phase-analyzed and normalized.
Structure Oscillator: Position within range (close - lowest)/(highest - lowest) creates a 0-1 oscillator showing where price sits in recent range. This gets embedded and phase-analyzed.
Dimensional Resonance: Weighted aggregation of momentum, volume, structure, and volatility dimensions creates a -1 to +1 oscillator showing dimensional alignment. Similar to traditional oscillators but multi-dimensional.
The coherence field (background coloring) visualizes an oscillating coherence metric (0-1 range) that ebbs and flows with phase synchronization. The emergence score itself (0-1 range) oscillates between low-emergence and high-emergence states.
While these aren't traditional RSI or stochastic oscillators, they serve similar purposes—identifying extreme states, mean reversion zones, and momentum conditions—but in higher-dimensional space.
Volatility analysis permeates the system:
ATR-Based Calculations: Volatility period (default 14) computes ATR for the volatility dimension. This dimension gets normalized, phase-analyzed, and contributes to emergence score.
Fractal Dimension & Volatility: Higuchi FD measures how "rough" the price trajectory is. Higher FD (>1.6) correlates with higher volatility/choppiness. FD < 1.4 indicates smooth trends (lower effective volatility).
Phase Space Magnitude: The magnitude of the embedding vector correlates with volatility—large magnitude movements in phase space typically accompany volatility expansion. This is the "energy" of the market trajectory.
Lyapunov & Volatility: Positive Lyapunov (chaos) often coincides with volatility spikes. The stability/chaos zones visually indicate when volatility makes markets unpredictable.
Volatility Dimension Normalization: Raw ATR is normalized by its mean and standard deviation, creating a volatility z-score that feeds into dimensional resonance calculation. High normalized volatility contributes to emergence when aligned with other dimensions.
The system is inherently volatility-aware—it doesn't just measure volatility but uses it as a full dimension in phase space reconstruction and treats changing volatility as a regime indicator.
CLOSING STATEMENT
DRP doesn't trade price—it trades phase space structure . It doesn't chase patterns—it detects emergence . It doesn't guess at trends—it measures coherence .
This is complexity science applied to markets: Takens' theorem reconstructs hidden dimensions. Permutation entropy measures order. Lyapunov exponents detect chaos. Transfer entropy reveals causation. Hilbert phases find synchronization. Fractal dimensions quantify self-similarity.
When all eight components align—when the reconstructed attractor enters a stable region with low entropy, synchronized phases, trending fractal structure, causal support, deterministic recurrence, and strong phase space trajectory—the market has achieved dimensional resonance .
These are the highest-probability moments. Not because an indicator said so. Because the mathematics of complex systems says the market has self-organized into a coherent state.
Most indicators see shadows on the wall. DRP reconstructs the cave.
"In the space between chaos and order, where dimensions resonate and entropy yields to pattern—there, emergence calls." DRP
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Multi MAThis TradingView indicator displays four customizable moving averages on your price chart: two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and two Simple Moving Averages (SMAs).
The default settings show a 10-period EMA (aqua), 21-period EMA (orange), 50-period SMA (green), and 200-period SMA (red), which are commonly used timeframes for trend analysis.
Each moving average can be individually toggled on or off, and their lengths and colors are fully adjustable through the indicator settings.
The EMAs react more quickly to price changes while the SMAs provide smoother, more gradual trend indicators, making this useful for identifying support/resistance levels and trend direction.
Traders often watch for crossovers between these moving averages as potential entry or exit signals, with the 50/200 SMA cross being particularly significant as the "golden cross" or "death cross."
Stochastic BTC OptimizedEnhanced Stochastic for Bitcoin (BTC) – Optimized for Daily Timeframe
This enhanced Stochastic oscillator is specifically fine-tuned for BTC/USD on the 1D timeframe, leveraging historical data from Bitstamp (2011–2025) to minimize false signals and maximize reliability in Bitcoin's volatile swings.
Unlike the classic Stochastic (14, 3, 3), this version uses optimized parameters:
- K Period = 21 – smoother reaction, better suited for BTC’s macro cycles
- D Period = 3, Smooth K = 3 – reduces noise while preserving responsiveness
- Overbought = 85, Oversold = 15 – accounts for BTC’s tendency to trend strongly within extreme zones without immediate reversal
✅ Smart Signal Logic:
Buy/sell signals appear only when %K crosses %D inside the oversold (≤15) or overbought (≥85) zones, and only the first signal is shown to avoid whipsaws.
Visual Enhancements:
- Thick lines when %K/%D are in overbought/oversold zones
- Green/red background highlights on valid signals
- Optional up/down arrows for clear entry visualization
- Customizable colors, line widths, and transparency
🔒 No alerts included – clean, focused on price action and momentum.
💡 Pro Tip: For even higher accuracy, use this indicator in combination with a long-term trend filter (e.g., EMA 200). The oscillator excels in ranging or retracement phases but should not be used alone in strong parabolic moves.
Based on Mozilla Public License v2.0 – feel free to use, modify, and share. Perfect for swing traders and long-term Bitcoin analysts seeking high-probability reversal zones.
перевод на русский
Улучшенный Stochastic для Bitcoin (BTC) — оптимизирован для дневного таймфрейма
Этот улучшенный осциллятор Stochastic специально настроен под BTC/USD на дневном графике, с учётом исторических данных Bitstamp (2011–2025), чтобы минимизировать ложные сигналы и повысить надёжность в условиях высокой волатильности биткоина.
В отличие от классического Stochastic (14, 3, 3), эта версия использует оптимизированные параметры:
- Период K = 21 — более плавная реакция, лучше соответствует макроциклам BTC
- Период D = 3, Сглаживание K = 3 — снижает шум, сохраняя отзывчивость
- Уровень перекупленности = 85, перепроданности = 15 — учитывает склонность BTC к сильным трендам в экстремальных зонах без немедленного разворота
✅ Интеллектуальная логика сигналов:
Покупка/продажа отображается только при пересечении %K и %D внутри зоны перепроданности (≤15) или перекупленности (≥85), и только первый сигнал фиксируется, чтобы избежать «хлыстов».
Улучшенная визуализация:
- Жирные линии, когда %K/%D находятся в экстремальных зонах
- Зелёный/красный фон при появлении сигналов
- Опциональные стрелки для чёткого отображения точек входа
- Настройка цветов, толщины линий и прозрачности
🔒 Без алертов — чистый инструмент, сфокусированный на цене и импульсе.
💡 Совет профессионала: для ещё большей точности используйте этот индикатор вместе с трендовым фильтром (например, EMA 200). Осциллятор лучше всего работает в фазах консолидации или отката, но не стоит применять его в одиночку во время сильных параболических движений.
На основе Mozilla Public License v2.0 — свободно используйте, модифицируйте и делитесь. Идеален для свинг-трейдеров и аналитиков Bitcoin, ищущих зоны с высокой вероятностью разворота.
PivotBoss VWAP Bands (Auto TF) - FixedWhat this indicator shows (high level)
The indicator plots a VWAP line and three bands above (R1, R2, R3) and three bands below (S1, S2, S3).
Band spacing is computed from STD(abs(VWAP − price), N) and multiplied by 1, 2 and 3 to form R1–R3 / S1–S3. The script is timeframe-aware: on 30m/1H charts it uses Weekly VWAP and weekly bands; on Daily charts it uses Monthly VWAP and monthly bands; otherwise it uses the session/chart VWAP.
VWAP = the market’s volume-weighted average price (a measure of fair value). Bands = volatility-scaled zones around that fair value.
Trading idea — concept summary
VWAP = fair value. Price above VWAP implies bullish bias; below VWAP implies bearish bias.
Bands = graded overbought/oversold zones. R1/S1 are near-term limits, R2/S2 are stronger, R3/S3 are extreme.
Use trend alignment + price action + volume to choose higher-probability trades. VWAP bands give location and magnitude; confirmations reduce false signals.
Entry rules (multiple strategies with examples)
A. Momentum breakout (trend-following) — preferred on trending markets
Setup: Price consolidates near or below R1 and then closes above R1 with above-average volume. Chart: 30m/1H (Weekly VWAP) or Daily (Monthly VWAP) depending on your timeframe.
Entry: Enter long at the close of the breakout bar that closes above R1.
Stop-loss: Place initial stop below the higher of (VWAP or recent swing low). Example: if price broke R1 at ₹1,200 and VWAP = ₹1,150, set stop at ₹1,145 (5 rupee buffer below VWAP) or below the last swing low if that is wider.
Target: Partial target at R2, full target at R3. Trail stop to VWAP or to R1 after price reaches R2.
Example numeric: Weekly VWAP = ₹1,150, R1 = ₹1,200, R2 = ₹1,260. Buy at ₹1,205 (close above R1), stop ₹1,145, target1 ₹1,260 (R2), target2 ₹1,320 (R3).
B. Mean-reversion fade near bands — for range-bound markets
Setup: Market is not trending (VWAP flatish). Price rallies up to R2 or R3 and shows rejection (pin bar, bearish engulfing) on increasing or neutral volume.
Entry: Enter short after a confirmed rejection candle that fails to sustain above R2 or R3 (prefer confirmation: close back below R1 or below the rejection candle low).
Stop-loss: Just above the recent high (e.g., 1–2 ATR or a fixed buffer above R2/R3).
Target: First target VWAP, second target S1. Reduce size if taking R3 fade as it’s an extreme.
Example numeric: VWAP = ₹950, R2 = ₹1,020. Price spikes to ₹1,025 and forms a bearish engulfing candle. Enter short at ₹1,015 after the next close below ₹1,020. Stop at ₹1,035, target VWAP ₹950.
C. Pullback entries in trending markets — higher probability
Setup: Price is above VWAP and trending higher (higher highs and higher lows). Price pulls back toward VWAP or S1 with decreasing downside volume and a reversal candle forms.
Entry: Long when price forms a bullish reversal (hammer/inside-bar) with a close back above the pullback candle.
Stop-loss: Below the pullback low (or below S2 if a larger stop is justified).
Target: VWAP then R1; if momentum resumes, trail toward R2/R3.
Example numeric: Price trending above Weekly VWAP at ₹1,400; pullback to S1 at ₹1,360. Enter long at ₹1,370 when a bullish candle closes; stop at ₹1,350; first target VWAP ₹1,400, second target R1 ₹1,450.
Exit rules and money management
Basic exit hierarchy
Hard stop exit — when price hits initial stop-loss. Always use.
Target exit — take partial profits at R1/R2 (for longs) or S1/S2 (for shorts). Use trailing stops for the remainder.
VWAP invalidation — if you entered long above VWAP and price returns and closes significantly below VWAP, consider exiting (condition depends on timeframe and trade size).
Price action exit — reversal patterns (strong opposite candle, bearish/bullish engulfing) near targets or beyond signals to exit.
Trailing rules
After price reaches R2, move stop to breakeven + a small buffer or to VWAP.
After price reaches R3, trail by 1 ATR or lock a defined profit percentage.
Position sizing & risk
Risk per trade: commonly 0.5–2% of account equity.
Determine position size by RiskAmount ÷ (EntryPrice − StopPrice).
If the stop distance is large (e.g., trading R3 fades), reduce position size.
Filters & confirmation (to reduce false signals)
Volume filter: For breakouts, require volume above short-term average (e.g., >20-period average). Breakouts on low volume are suspect.
Trend filter: Only take breakouts in the direction of the higher-timeframe trend (for example, use Daily/Weekly trend when trading 30m/1H).
Candle confirmation: Prefer entries on close of the confirming candle (not intrabar noise).
Multiple confirmations: When R1 break happens but RSI/plotted momentum indicator does not confirm, treat signal as lower probability.
Special considerations for timeframe-aware logic
On 30m/1H the script uses Weekly VWAP/bands. That means band levels change only on weekly candles — they are strong, structural levels. Treat R1/R2/R3 as significant and expect fewer, stronger signals.
On Daily, the script uses Monthly VWAP/bands. These are wider; trades should allow larger stops and smaller position sizes (or be used for swing trades).
On other intraday charts you get session VWAP (useful for intraday scalps).
Example: If you trade 1H and the Weekly R1 is at ₹2,400 while session VWAP is ₹2,350, a close above Weekly R1 represents a weekly-level breakout — prefer that for swing entries rather than scalps.
Example trade walkthrough (step-by-step)
Context: 1H chart, auto-mapped → Weekly VWAP used.
Weekly VWAP = ₹3,000; R1 = ₹3,080; R2 = ₹3,150.
Price consolidates below R1. A large bullish candle closes at ₹3,085 with volume 40% above the 20-bar average.
Entry: Buy at close ₹3,085.
Stop: Place stop at ₹2,995 (just under Weekly VWAP). Risk = ₹90.
Position size: If risking ₹900 per trade → size = 900 ÷ 90 = 10 units.
Targets: Partial take-profit at R2 = ₹3,150; rest trailed with stop moved to breakeven after R2 is hit.
If price reverses and closes below VWAP within two bars, exit immediately to limit drawdown.
When to avoid trading these signals
High-impact news (earnings, macro announcements) that can gap through bands unpredictably.
Thin markets with low volume — VWAP loses significance when volumes are extremely low.
When weekly/monthly bands are flat but intraday price is volatile without clear structure — prefer session VWAP on smaller timeframes.
Alerts & automation suggestions
Alert on close above R1 / below S1 (use the built-in alertcondition the script adds). For higher-confidence alerts, require volume filter in the alert condition.
Automated order rules (if you automate): use limit entry at breakout close plus a small slippage buffer, immediate stop order, and OCO for TP and SL.
S&P 500 Sector Breadth — Fixed v6This indicator measures market breadth by tracking how many of the 11 S&P 500 sector ETFs are trading above their 200-day moving average. Here's how to use it:
What It Shows
The indicator plots a line that ranges from 0 to 11, representing the number of sectors in uptrends:
9-11 sectors above MA = Very strong market (green background)
8+ sectors = Strong bullish breadth - most sectors participating
6 sectors = Neutral - market is mixed
4 sectors = Weak market conditions
0-3 sectors = Very weak market (red background)
How to Interpret
Strong Market (8+ sectors):
Broad participation across sectors
Healthy bull market conditions
Lower risk environment
Good time for long positions
Weak Market (≤3 sectors):
Poor market internals
Most sectors in downtrends
Higher risk environment
Consider defensive positioning or cash
Divergences Matter:
If the S&P 500 makes new highs but breadth is declining (fewer sectors above MA), that's a bearish divergence warning
If the S&P 500 is weak but breadth is improving, that can signal a potential bottom
Settings You Can Adjust
Moving Average Length (default 200): Change to 50 or 100 for different trend definitions
Smooth Breadth Line (default 5): Smooths the indicator to reduce noise; set to 0 for raw data
Show Breadth Label: Toggle the current breadth reading on the chart
Alerts
The indicator includes built-in alerts:
When breadth crosses above 8 (strong participation)
When breadth crosses below 4 (deteriorating conditions)
This is a great confirmation tool to use alongside price action and other indicators!
Sourav ORB-RSI-MA IndicatorEMA 200, Always Buy if graph is on above side.
RSI-EMA should crossover from bottom to top sharpy.
If both go on EMA 200 and ESI EMA LINE, avoid Trading.
RSI should be more than 30 or 35 to take BUY entry.
V.V for SELL side.
MAGIC MA BANDSMagic MA Bands — Dynamic Trend Zones Instead of Lines
Magic MA Bands help traders visualize dynamic support and resistance zones rather than relying on a single moving average line. Instead of treating the MA as an exact reaction level, this tool creates a band or zone where price is statistically more likely to react, reverse, or continue trending.
🧠 How It Works
The script plots:
Upper Band (default: 50 EMA using High values)
Lower Band (default: 50 EMA using Low values)
Optional Midline MA (default: 200 SMA for long-term trend)
The area between the upper and lower bands becomes a trend cushion, helping traders identify:
Dynamic support/resistance zones
Trend strength and continuation probability
Ideal pullback entry regions
🎯 Trend Interpretation Guide
Use Case Recommended Setting
Short-Term Trend 20/21 EMA or SMA
Medium-Term Trend 50 EMA / SMA
Long-Term Trend 200 SMA / EMA (Midline Optional)
All parameters are fully customisable so the user can define their preferred structure based on their trading style, asset volatility, or timeframe.
✔️ Best For:
Trend traders
Swing trading
Pullback-based entries
Institutional-style zone analysis
Day Trading Signals - Ultimate Pro (Dark Neon + Strong BB Cloud)//@version=5
indicator("Day Trading Signals - Ultimate Pro (Dark Neon + Strong BB Cloud)", overlay=true, max_lines_count=500, max_labels_count=500)
// ===== INPUTS =====
ema_fast_len = input.int(9, "Fast EMA Length")
ema_slow_len = input.int(21, "Slow EMA Length")
rsi_len = input.int(12, "RSI Length")
rsi_overbought = input.int(70, "RSI Overbought Level")
rsi_oversold = input.int(30, "RSI Oversold Level")
bb_len = input.int(20, "Bollinger Bands Length")
bb_mult = input.float(2.0, "Bollinger Bands Multiplier")
sr_len = input.int(15, "Pivot Lookback for Support/Resistance")
min_ema_gap = input.float(0.0, "Minimum EMA Gap to Define Trend", step=0.1)
sr_lifespan = input.int(200, "Bars to Keep S/R Lines")
// Display options
show_bb = input.bool(true, "Show Bollinger Bands?")
show_ema = input.bool(true, "Show EMA Lines?")
show_sr = input.bool(true, "Show Support/Resistance Lines?")
show_bg = input.bool(true, "Show Background Trend Color?")
// ===== COLORS (Dark Neon Theme) =====
neon_teal = color.rgb(0, 255, 200)
neon_purple = color.rgb(180, 95, 255)
neon_orange = color.rgb(255, 160, 60)
neon_yellow = color.rgb(255, 235, 90)
neon_red = color.rgb(255, 70, 110)
neon_gray = color.rgb(140, 140, 160)
sr_support_col = color.rgb(0, 190, 140)
sr_resist_col = color.rgb(255, 90, 120)
// ===== INDICATORS =====
ema_fast = ta.ema(close, ema_fast_len)
ema_slow = ta.ema(close, ema_slow_len)
ema_gap = math.abs(ema_fast - ema_slow)
trend_up = (ema_fast > ema_slow) and (ema_gap > min_ema_gap)
trend_down = (ema_fast < ema_slow) and (ema_gap > min_ema_gap)
trend_flat = ema_gap <= min_ema_gap
rsi = ta.rsi(close, rsi_len)
bb_mid = ta.sma(close, bb_len)
bb_upper = bb_mid + bb_mult * ta.stdev(close, bb_len)
bb_lower = bb_mid - bb_mult * ta.stdev(close, bb_len)
// ===== SUPPORT / RESISTANCE =====
pivot_high = ta.pivothigh(high, sr_len, sr_len)
pivot_low = ta.pivotlow(low, sr_len, sr_len)
var line sup_lines = array.new_line()
var line res_lines = array.new_line()
if show_sr and not na(pivot_low)
l = line.new(bar_index - sr_len, pivot_low, bar_index, pivot_low, color=sr_support_col, width=2, extend=extend.right)
array.push(sup_lines, l)
if show_sr and not na(pivot_high)
l = line.new(bar_index - sr_len, pivot_high, bar_index, pivot_high, color=sr_resist_col, width=2, extend=extend.right)
array.push(res_lines, l)
// Delete old S/R lines
if array.size(sup_lines) > 0
for i = 0 to array.size(sup_lines) - 1
l = array.get(sup_lines, i)
if bar_index - line.get_x2(l) > sr_lifespan
line.delete(l)
array.remove(sup_lines, i)
break
if array.size(res_lines) > 0
for i = 0 to array.size(res_lines) - 1
l = array.get(res_lines, i)
if bar_index - line.get_x2(l) > sr_lifespan
line.delete(l)
array.remove(res_lines, i)
break
// ===== BUY / SELL CONDITIONS =====
buy_cond = trend_up and not trend_flat and ta.crossover(ema_fast, ema_slow) and rsi < rsi_oversold and close < bb_lower
sell_cond = trend_down and not trend_flat and ta.crossunder(ema_fast, ema_slow) and rsi > rsi_overbought and close > bb_upper
// ===== SIGNAL PLOTS =====
plotshape(buy_cond, title="Buy Signal", location=location.belowbar, color=neon_teal, style=shape.labelup, text="BUY", size=size.small)
plotshape(sell_cond, title="Sell Signal", location=location.abovebar, color=neon_red, style=shape.labeldown, text="SELL", size=size.small)
// ===== EMA LINES =====
plot(show_ema ? ema_fast : na, color=neon_orange, title="EMA Fast", linewidth=2)
plot(show_ema ? ema_slow : na, color=neon_purple, title="EMA Slow", linewidth=2)
// ===== STRONG BOLLINGER BAND CLOUD =====
plot_bb_upper = plot(show_bb ? bb_upper : na, color=color.new(neon_yellow, 20), title="BB Upper")
plot_bb_lower = plot(show_bb ? bb_lower : na, color=color.new(neon_gray, 20), title="BB Lower")
plot(bb_mid, color=color.new(neon_gray, 50), title="BB Mid")
// More visible BB cloud (stronger contrast)
bb_cloud_color = trend_up ? color.new(neon_teal, 40) : trend_down ? color.new(neon_red, 40) : color.new(neon_gray, 70)
fill(plot_bb_upper, plot_bb_lower, color=show_bb ? bb_cloud_color : na, title="BB Cloud")
// ===== BACKGROUND COLOR (TREND ZONES) =====
bgcolor(show_bg ? (trend_up ? color.new(neon_teal, 92) : trend_down ? color.new(neon_red, 92) : color.new(neon_gray, 94)) : na)
// ===== ALERTS =====
alertcondition(buy_cond, title="Buy Signal", message="Buy signal triggered. Check chart.")
alertcondition(sell_cond, title="Sell Signal", message="Sell signal triggered. Check chart.")
Day Trading Signals - Ultimate Pro (Dark Neon + Strong BB Cloud)//@version=5
indicator("Day Trading Signals - Ultimate Pro (Dark Neon + Strong BB Cloud)", overlay=true, max_lines_count=500, max_labels_count=500)
// ===== INPUTS =====
ema_fast_len = input.int(9, "Fast EMA Length")
ema_slow_len = input.int(21, "Slow EMA Length")
rsi_len = input.int(12, "RSI Length")
rsi_overbought = input.int(70, "RSI Overbought Level")
rsi_oversold = input.int(30, "RSI Oversold Level")
bb_len = input.int(20, "Bollinger Bands Length")
bb_mult = input.float(2.0, "Bollinger Bands Multiplier")
sr_len = input.int(15, "Pivot Lookback for Support/Resistance")
min_ema_gap = input.float(0.0, "Minimum EMA Gap to Define Trend", step=0.1)
sr_lifespan = input.int(200, "Bars to Keep S/R Lines")
// Display options
show_bb = input.bool(true, "Show Bollinger Bands?")
show_ema = input.bool(true, "Show EMA Lines?")
show_sr = input.bool(true, "Show Support/Resistance Lines?")
show_bg = input.bool(true, "Show Background Trend Color?")
// ===== COLORS (Dark Neon Theme) =====
neon_teal = color.rgb(0, 255, 200)
neon_purple = color.rgb(180, 95, 255)
neon_orange = color.rgb(255, 160, 60)
neon_yellow = color.rgb(255, 235, 90)
neon_red = color.rgb(255, 70, 110)
neon_gray = color.rgb(140, 140, 160)
sr_support_col = color.rgb(0, 190, 140)
sr_resist_col = color.rgb(255, 90, 120)
// ===== INDICATORS =====
ema_fast = ta.ema(close, ema_fast_len)
ema_slow = ta.ema(close, ema_slow_len)
ema_gap = math.abs(ema_fast - ema_slow)
trend_up = (ema_fast > ema_slow) and (ema_gap > min_ema_gap)
trend_down = (ema_fast < ema_slow) and (ema_gap > min_ema_gap)
trend_flat = ema_gap <= min_ema_gap
rsi = ta.rsi(close, rsi_len)
bb_mid = ta.sma(close, bb_len)
bb_upper = bb_mid + bb_mult * ta.stdev(close, bb_len)
bb_lower = bb_mid - bb_mult * ta.stdev(close, bb_len)
// ===== SUPPORT / RESISTANCE =====
pivot_high = ta.pivothigh(high, sr_len, sr_len)
pivot_low = ta.pivotlow(low, sr_len, sr_len)
var line sup_lines = array.new_line()
var line res_lines = array.new_line()
if show_sr and not na(pivot_low)
l = line.new(bar_index - sr_len, pivot_low, bar_index, pivot_low, color=sr_support_col, width=2, extend=extend.right)
array.push(sup_lines, l)
if show_sr and not na(pivot_high)
l = line.new(bar_index - sr_len, pivot_high, bar_index, pivot_high, color=sr_resist_col, width=2, extend=extend.right)
array.push(res_lines, l)
// Delete old S/R lines
if array.size(sup_lines) > 0
for i = 0 to array.size(sup_lines) - 1
l = array.get(sup_lines, i)
if bar_index - line.get_x2(l) > sr_lifespan
line.delete(l)
array.remove(sup_lines, i)
break
if array.size(res_lines) > 0
for i = 0 to array.size(res_lines) - 1
l = array.get(res_lines, i)
if bar_index - line.get_x2(l) > sr_lifespan
line.delete(l)
array.remove(res_lines, i)
break
// ===== BUY / SELL CONDITIONS =====
buy_cond = trend_up and not trend_flat and ta.crossover(ema_fast, ema_slow) and rsi < rsi_oversold and close < bb_lower
sell_cond = trend_down and not trend_flat and ta.crossunder(ema_fast, ema_slow) and rsi > rsi_overbought and close > bb_upper
// ===== SIGNAL PLOTS =====
plotshape(buy_cond, title="Buy Signal", location=location.belowbar, color=neon_teal, style=shape.labelup, text="BUY", size=size.small)
plotshape(sell_cond, title="Sell Signal", location=location.abovebar, color=neon_red, style=shape.labeldown, text="SELL", size=size.small)
// ===== EMA LINES =====
plot(show_ema ? ema_fast : na, color=neon_orange, title="EMA Fast", linewidth=2)
plot(show_ema ? ema_slow : na, color=neon_purple, title="EMA Slow", linewidth=2)
// ===== STRONG BOLLINGER BAND CLOUD =====
plot_bb_upper = plot(show_bb ? bb_upper : na, color=color.new(neon_yellow, 20), title="BB Upper")
plot_bb_lower = plot(show_bb ? bb_lower : na, color=color.new(neon_gray, 20), title="BB Lower")
plot(bb_mid, color=color.new(neon_gray, 50), title="BB Mid")
// More visible BB cloud (stronger contrast)
bb_cloud_color = trend_up ? color.new(neon_teal, 40) : trend_down ? color.new(neon_red, 40) : color.new(neon_gray, 70)
fill(plot_bb_upper, plot_bb_lower, color=show_bb ? bb_cloud_color : na, title="BB Cloud")
// ===== BACKGROUND COLOR (TREND ZONES) =====
bgcolor(show_bg ? (trend_up ? color.new(neon_teal, 92) : trend_down ? color.new(neon_red, 92) : color.new(neon_gray, 94)) : na)
// ===== ALERTS =====
alertcondition(buy_cond, title="Buy Signal", message="Buy signal triggered. Check chart.")
alertcondition(sell_cond, title="Sell Signal", message="Sell signal triggered. Check chart.")
Day Trading Signals - Ultimate Pro (Dark Neon + Strong BB Cloud)//@version=5
indicator("Day Trading Signals - Ultimate Pro (Dark Neon + Strong BB Cloud)", overlay=true, max_lines_count=500, max_labels_count=500)
// ===== INPUTS =====
ema_fast_len = input.int(9, "Fast EMA Length")
ema_slow_len = input.int(21, "Slow EMA Length")
rsi_len = input.int(12, "RSI Length")
rsi_overbought = input.int(70, "RSI Overbought Level")
rsi_oversold = input.int(30, "RSI Oversold Level")
bb_len = input.int(20, "Bollinger Bands Length")
bb_mult = input.float(2.0, "Bollinger Bands Multiplier")
sr_len = input.int(15, "Pivot Lookback for Support/Resistance")
min_ema_gap = input.float(0.0, "Minimum EMA Gap to Define Trend", step=0.1)
sr_lifespan = input.int(200, "Bars to Keep S/R Lines")
// Display options
show_bb = input.bool(true, "Show Bollinger Bands?")
show_ema = input.bool(true, "Show EMA Lines?")
show_sr = input.bool(true, "Show Support/Resistance Lines?")
show_bg = input.bool(true, "Show Background Trend Color?")
// ===== COLORS (Dark Neon Theme) =====
neon_teal = color.rgb(0, 255, 200)
neon_purple = color.rgb(180, 95, 255)
neon_orange = color.rgb(255, 160, 60)
neon_yellow = color.rgb(255, 235, 90)
neon_red = color.rgb(255, 70, 110)
neon_gray = color.rgb(140, 140, 160)
sr_support_col = color.rgb(0, 190, 140)
sr_resist_col = color.rgb(255, 90, 120)
// ===== INDICATORS =====
ema_fast = ta.ema(close, ema_fast_len)
ema_slow = ta.ema(close, ema_slow_len)
ema_gap = math.abs(ema_fast - ema_slow)
trend_up = (ema_fast > ema_slow) and (ema_gap > min_ema_gap)
trend_down = (ema_fast < ema_slow) and (ema_gap > min_ema_gap)
trend_flat = ema_gap <= min_ema_gap
rsi = ta.rsi(close, rsi_len)
bb_mid = ta.sma(close, bb_len)
bb_upper = bb_mid + bb_mult * ta.stdev(close, bb_len)
bb_lower = bb_mid - bb_mult * ta.stdev(close, bb_len)
// ===== SUPPORT / RESISTANCE =====
pivot_high = ta.pivothigh(high, sr_len, sr_len)
pivot_low = ta.pivotlow(low, sr_len, sr_len)
var line sup_lines = array.new_line()
var line res_lines = array.new_line()
if show_sr and not na(pivot_low)
l = line.new(bar_index - sr_len, pivot_low, bar_index, pivot_low, color=sr_support_col, width=2, extend=extend.right)
array.push(sup_lines, l)
if show_sr and not na(pivot_high)
l = line.new(bar_index - sr_len, pivot_high, bar_index, pivot_high, color=sr_resist_col, width=2, extend=extend.right)
array.push(res_lines, l)
// Delete old S/R lines
if array.size(sup_lines) > 0
for i = 0 to array.size(sup_lines) - 1
l = array.get(sup_lines, i)
if bar_index - line.get_x2(l) > sr_lifespan
line.delete(l)
array.remove(sup_lines, i)
break
if array.size(res_lines) > 0
for i = 0 to array.size(res_lines) - 1
l = array.get(res_lines, i)
if bar_index - line.get_x2(l) > sr_lifespan
line.delete(l)
array.remove(res_lines, i)
break
// ===== BUY / SELL CONDITIONS =====
buy_cond = trend_up and not trend_flat and ta.crossover(ema_fast, ema_slow) and rsi < rsi_oversold and close < bb_lower
sell_cond = trend_down and not trend_flat and ta.crossunder(ema_fast, ema_slow) and rsi > rsi_overbought and close > bb_upper
// ===== SIGNAL PLOTS =====
plotshape(buy_cond, title="Buy Signal", location=location.belowbar, color=neon_teal, style=shape.labelup, text="BUY", size=size.small)
plotshape(sell_cond, title="Sell Signal", location=location.abovebar, color=neon_red, style=shape.labeldown, text="SELL", size=size.small)
// ===== EMA LINES =====
plot(show_ema ? ema_fast : na, color=neon_orange, title="EMA Fast", linewidth=2)
plot(show_ema ? ema_slow : na, color=neon_purple, title="EMA Slow", linewidth=2)
// ===== STRONG BOLLINGER BAND CLOUD =====
plot_bb_upper = plot(show_bb ? bb_upper : na, color=color.new(neon_yellow, 20), title="BB Upper")
plot_bb_lower = plot(show_bb ? bb_lower : na, color=color.new(neon_gray, 20), title="BB Lower")
plot(bb_mid, color=color.new(neon_gray, 50), title="BB Mid")
// More visible BB cloud (stronger contrast)
bb_cloud_color = trend_up ? color.new(neon_teal, 40) : trend_down ? color.new(neon_red, 40) : color.new(neon_gray, 70)
fill(plot_bb_upper, plot_bb_lower, color=show_bb ? bb_cloud_color : na, title="BB Cloud")
// ===== BACKGROUND COLOR (TREND ZONES) =====
bgcolor(show_bg ? (trend_up ? color.new(neon_teal, 92) : trend_down ? color.new(neon_red, 92) : color.new(neon_gray, 94)) : na)
// ===== ALERTS =====
alertcondition(buy_cond, title="Buy Signal", message="Buy signal triggered. Check chart.")
alertcondition(sell_cond, title="Sell Signal", message="Sell signal triggered. Check chart.")
Bifurcation Zone - CAEBifurcation Zone — Cognitive Adversarial Engine (BZ-CAE)
Bifurcation Zone — CAE (BZ-CAE) is a next-generation divergence detection system enhanced by a Cognitive Adversarial Engine that evaluates both sides of every potential trade before presenting signals. Unlike traditional divergence indicators that show every price-oscillator disagreement regardless of context, BZ-CAE applies comprehensive market-state intelligence to identify only the divergences that occur in favorable conditions with genuine probability edges.
The system identifies structural bifurcation points — critical junctures where price and momentum disagree, signaling potential reversals or continuations — then validates these opportunities through five interconnected intelligence layers: Trend Conviction Scoring , Directional Momentum Alignment , Multi-Factor Exhaustion Modeling , Adversarial Validation , and Confidence Scoring . The result is a selective, context-aware signal system that filters noise and highlights high-probability setups.
This is not a "buy the arrow" indicator. It's a decision support framework that teaches you how to read market state, evaluate divergence quality, and make informed trading decisions based on quantified intelligence rather than hope.
What Sets BZ-CAE Apart: Technical Architecture
The Problem With Traditional Divergence Indicators
Most divergence indicators operate on a simple rule: if price makes a higher high and RSI makes a lower high, show a bearish signal. If price makes a lower low and RSI makes a higher low, show a bullish signal. This creates several critical problems:
Context Blindness : They show counter-trend signals in powerful trends that rarely reverse, leading to repeated losses as you fade momentum.
Signal Spam : Every minor price-oscillator disagreement generates an alert, overwhelming you with low-quality setups and creating analysis paralysis.
No Quality Ranking : All signals are treated identically. A marginal divergence in choppy conditions receives the same visual treatment as a high-conviction setup at a major exhaustion point.
Single-Sided Evaluation : They ask "Is this a good long?" without checking if the short case is overwhelmingly stronger, leading you into obvious bad trades.
Static Configuration : You manually choose RSI 14 or Stochastic 14 and hope it works, with no systematic way to validate if that's optimal for your instrument.
BZ-CAE's Solution: Cognitive Adversarial Intelligence
BZ-CAE solves these problems through an integrated five-layer intelligence architecture:
1. Trend Conviction Score (TCS) — 0 to 1 Scale
Most indicators check if ADX is above 25 to determine "trending" conditions. This binary approach misses nuance. TCS is a weighted composite metric:
Formula : 0.35 × normalize(ADX, 10, 35) + 0.35 × structural_strength + 0.30 × htf_alignment
Structural Strength : 10-bar SMA of consecutive directional bars. Captures persistence — are bulls or bears consistently winning?
HTF Alignment : Multi-timeframe EMA stacking (20/50/100/200). When all EMAs align in the same direction, you're in institutional trend territory.
Purpose : Quantifies how "locked in" the trend is. When TCS exceeds your threshold (default 0.80), the system knows to avoid counter-trend trades unless other factors override.
Interpretation :
TCS > 0.85: Very strong trend — counter-trading is extremely high risk
TCS 0.70-0.85: Strong trend — favor continuation, require exhaustion for reversals
TCS 0.50-0.70: Moderate trend — context matters, both directions viable
TCS < 0.50: Weak/choppy — reversals more viable, range-bound conditions
2. Directional Momentum Alignment (DMA) — ATR-Normalized
Formula : (EMA21 - EMA55) / ATR14
This isn't just "price above EMA" — it's a regime-aware momentum gauge. The same $100 price movement reads completely differently in high-volatility crypto versus low-volatility forex. By normalizing with ATR, DMA adapts its interpretation to current market conditions.
Purpose : Quantifies the directional "force" behind current price action. Positive = bullish push, negative = bearish push. Magnitude = strength.
Interpretation :
DMA > 0.7: Strong bullish momentum — bearish divergences risky
DMA 0.3 to 0.7: Moderate bullish bias
DMA -0.3 to 0.3: Balanced/choppy conditions
DMA -0.7 to -0.3: Moderate bearish bias
DMA < -0.7: Strong bearish momentum — bullish divergences risky
3. Multi-Factor Exhaustion Modeling — 0 to 1 Probability
Single-metric exhaustion detection (like "RSI > 80") misses complex market states. BZ-CAE aggregates five independent exhaustion signals:
Volume Spikes : Current volume versus 50-bar average
2.5x average: 0.25 weight
2.0x average: 0.15 weight
1.5x average: 0.10 weight
Divergence Present : The fact that a divergence exists contributes 0.30 weight — structural momentum disagreement is itself an exhaustion signal.
RSI Extremes : Captures oscillator climax zones
RSI > 80 or < 20: 0.25 weight
RSI > 75 or < 25: 0.15 weight
Pin Bar Detection : Identifies rejection candles (2:1 wick-to-body ratio, indicating failed breakout attempts): 0.15 weight
Extended Runs : Consecutive bars above/below EMA20 without pullback
30+ bars: 0.15 weight (market hasn't paused to consolidate)
Total exhaustion score is the sum of all applicable weights, capped at 1.0.
Purpose : Detects when strong trends become vulnerable to reversal. High exhaustion can override trend filters, allowing counter-trend trades at genuine turning points that basic indicators would miss.
Interpretation :
Exhaustion > 0.75: High probability of climax — yellow background shading alerts you visually
Exhaustion 0.50-0.75: Moderate overextension — watch for confirmation
Exhaustion < 0.50: Fresh move — trend can continue, counter-trend trades higher risk
4. Adversarial Validation — Game Theory Applied to Trading
This is BZ-CAE's signature innovation. Before approving any signal, the engine quantifies BOTH sides of the trade simultaneously:
For Bullish Divergences , it calculates:
Bull Case Score (0-1+) :
Distance below EMA20 (pullback quality): up to 0.25
Bullish EMA alignment (close > EMA20 > EMA50): 0.25
Oversold RSI (< 40): 0.25
Volume confirmation (> 1.2x average): 0.25
Bear Case Score (0-1+) :
Price below EMA50 (structural weakness): 0.30
Very oversold RSI (< 30, indicating knife-catching): 0.20
Differential = Bull Case - Bear Case
If differential < -0.10 (default threshold), the bear case is dominating — signal is BLOCKED or ANNOTATED.
For Bearish Divergences , the logic inverts (Bear Case vs Bull Case).
Purpose : Prevents trades where you're fighting obvious strength in the opposite direction. This is institutional-grade risk management — don't just evaluate your trade, evaluate the counter-trade simultaneously.
Why This Matters : You might see a bullish divergence at a local low, but if price is deeply below major support EMAs with strong bearish momentum, you're catching a falling knife. The adversarial check catches this and blocks the signal.
5. Confidence Scoring — 0 to 1 Quality Assessment
Every signal that passes initial filters receives a comprehensive quality score:
Formula :
0.30 × normalize(TCS) // Trend context
+ 0.25 × normalize(|DMA|) // Momentum magnitude
+ 0.20 × pullback_quality // Entry distance from EMA20
+ 0.15 × state_quality // ADX + alignment + structure
+ 0.10 × divergence_strength // Slope separation magnitude
+ adversarial_bonus (0-0.30) // Your side's advantage
Purpose : Ranks setup quality for filtering and position sizing decisions. You can set a minimum confidence threshold (default 0.35) to ensure only quality setups reach your chart.
Interpretation :
Confidence > 0.70: Premium setup — consider increased position size
Confidence 0.50-0.70: Good quality — standard size
Confidence 0.35-0.50: Acceptable — reduced size or skip if conservative
Confidence < 0.35: Marginal — blocked in Filtering mode, annotated in Advisory mode
CAE Operating Modes: Learning vs Enforcement
Off : Disables all CAE logic. Raw divergence pipeline only. Use for baseline comparison.
Advisory : Shows ALL signals regardless of CAE evaluation, but annotates signals that WOULD be blocked with specific warnings (e.g., "Bull: strong downtrend (TCS=0.87)" or "Adversarial bearish"). This is your learning mode — see CAE's decision logic in action without missing educational opportunities.
Filtering : Actively blocks low-quality signals. Only setups that pass all enabled gates (Trend Filter, Adversarial Validation, Confidence Gating) reach your chart. This is your live trading mode — trust the system to enforce discipline.
CAE Filter Gates: Three-Layer Protection
When CAE is enabled, signals must pass through three independent gates (each can be toggled on/off):
Gate 1: Strong Trend Filter
If TCS ≥ tcs_threshold (default 0.80)
And signal is counter-trend (bullish in downtrend or bearish in uptrend)
And exhaustion < exhaustion_required (default 0.50)
Then: BLOCK signal
Logic: Don't fade strong trends unless the move is clearly overextended
Gate 2: Adversarial Validation
Calculate both bull case and bear case scores
If opposing case dominates by more than adv_threshold (default 0.10)
Then: BLOCK signal
Logic: Avoid trades where you're fighting obvious strength in the opposite direction
Gate 3: Confidence Gating
Calculate composite confidence score (0-1)
If confidence < min_confidence (default 0.35)
Then: In Filtering mode, BLOCK signal; in Advisory mode, ANNOTATE with warning
Logic: Only take setups with minimum quality threshold
All three gates work together. A signal must pass ALL enabled gates to fire.
Visual Intelligence System
Bifurcation Zones (Supply/Demand Blocks)
When a divergence signal fires, BZ-CAE draws a semi-transparent box extending 15 bars forward from the signal pivot:
Demand Zones (Bullish) : Theme-colored box (cyan in Cyberpunk, blue in Professional, etc.) labeled "Demand" — marks where smart money likely placed buy orders as price diverged at the low.
Supply Zones (Bearish) : Theme-colored box (magenta in Cyberpunk, orange in Professional) labeled "Supply" — marks where smart money likely placed sell orders as price diverged at the high.
Theory : Divergences represent institutional disagreement with the crowd. The crowd pushed price to an extreme (new high or low), but momentum (oscillator) is waning, indicating smart money is taking the opposite side. These zones mark order placement areas that become future support/resistance.
Use Cases :
Exit targets: Take profit when price returns to opposite-side zone
Re-entry levels: If price returns to your entry zone, consider adding
Stop placement: Place stops just beyond your zone (below demand, above supply)
Auto-Cleanup : System keeps the last 20 zones to prevent chart clutter.
Adversarial Bar Coloring — Real-Time Market Debate Heatmap
Each bar is colored based on the Bull Case vs Bear Case differential:
Strong Bull Advantage (diff > 0.3): Full theme bull color (e.g., cyan)
Moderate Bull Advantage (diff > 0.1): 50% transparency bull
Neutral (diff -0.1 to 0.1): Gray/neutral theme
Moderate Bear Advantage (diff < -0.1): 50% transparency bear
Strong Bear Advantage (diff < -0.3): Full theme bear color (e.g., magenta)
This creates a real-time visual heatmap showing which side is "winning" the market debate. When bars flip from cyan to magenta (or vice versa), you're witnessing a shift in adversarial advantage — a leading indicator of potential momentum changes.
Exhaustion Shading
When exhaustion score exceeds 0.75, the chart background displays a semi-transparent yellow highlight. This immediate visual warning alerts you that the current move is at high risk of reversal, even if trend indicators remain strong.
Visual Themes — Six Aesthetic Options
Cyberpunk : Cyan/Magenta/Yellow — High contrast, neon aesthetic, excellent for dark-themed trading environments
Professional : Blue/Orange/Green — Corporate color palette, suitable for presentations and professional documentation
Ocean : Teal/Red/Cyan — Aquatic palette, calming for extended monitoring sessions
Fire : Orange/Red/Coral — Warm aggressive colors, high energy
Matrix : Green/Red/Lime — Code aesthetic, homage to classic hacker visuals
Monochrome : White/Gray — Minimal distraction, maximum focus on price action
All visual elements (signal markers, zones, bar colors, dashboard) adapt to your selected theme.
Divergence Engine — Core Detection System
What Are Divergences?
Divergences occur when price action and momentum indicators disagree, creating structural tension that often resolves in a change of direction:
Regular Divergence (Reversal Signal) :
Bearish Regular : Price makes higher high, oscillator makes lower high → Potential trend reversal down
Bullish Regular : Price makes lower low, oscillator makes higher low → Potential trend reversal up
Hidden Divergence (Continuation Signal) :
Bearish Hidden : Price makes lower high, oscillator makes higher high → Downtrend continuation
Bullish Hidden : Price makes higher low, oscillator makes lower low → Uptrend continuation
Both types can be enabled/disabled independently in settings.
Pivot Detection Methods
BZ-CAE uses symmetric pivot detection with separate lookback and lookforward periods (default 5/5):
Pivot High : Bar where high > all highs within lookback range AND high > all highs within lookforward range
Pivot Low : Bar where low < all lows within lookback range AND low < all lows within lookforward range
This ensures structural validity — the pivot must be a clear local extreme, not just a minor wiggle.
Divergence Validation Requirements
For a divergence to be confirmed, it must satisfy:
Slope Disagreement : Price slope and oscillator slope must move in opposite directions (for regular divs) or same direction with inverted highs/lows (for hidden divs)
Minimum Slope Change : |osc_slope| > min_slope_change / 100 (default 1.0) — filters weak, marginal divergences
Maximum Lookback Range : Pivots must be within max_lookback bars (default 60) — prevents ancient, irrelevant divergences
ATR-Normalized Strength : Divergence strength = min(|price_slope| × |osc_slope| × 10, 1.0) — quantifies the magnitude of disagreement in volatility context
Regular divergences receive 1.0× weight; hidden divergences receive 0.8× weight (slightly less reliable historically).
Oscillator Options — Five Professional Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index) : Classic overbought/oversold momentum indicator. Best for: General purpose divergence detection across all instruments.
Stochastic : Range-bound %K momentum comparing close to high-low range. Best for: Mean reversion strategies and range-bound markets.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) : Measures deviation from statistical mean, auto-normalized to 0-100 scale. Best for: Cyclical instruments and commodities.
MFI (Money Flow Index) : Volume-weighted RSI incorporating money flow. Best for: Volume-driven markets like stocks and crypto.
Williams %R : Inverse stochastic looking back over period, auto-adjusted to 0-100. Best for: Reversal detection at extremes.
Each oscillator has adjustable length (2-200, default 14) and smoothing (1-20, default 1). You also set overbought (50-100, default 70) and oversold (0-50, default 30) thresholds.
Signal Timing Modes — Understanding Repainting
BZ-CAE offers two timing policies with complete transparency about repainting behavior:
Realtime (1-bar, peak-anchored)
How It Works :
Detects peaks 1 bar ago using pattern: high > high AND high > high
Signal prints on the NEXT bar after peak detection (bar_index)
Visual marker anchors to the actual PEAK bar (bar_index - 1, offset -1)
Signal locks in when bar CONFIRMS (closes)
Repainting Behavior :
On the FORMING bar (before close), the peak condition may change as new prices arrive
Once bar CLOSES (barstate.isconfirmed), signal is locked permanently
This is preview/early warning behavior by design
Best For :
Active monitoring and immediate alerts
Learning the system (seeing signals develop in real-time)
Responsive entry if you're watching the chart live
Confirmed (lookforward)
How It Works :
Uses Pine Script's built-in ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow() functions
Requires full pivot validation period (lookback + lookforward bars)
Signal prints pivot_lookforward bars after the actual peak (default 5-bar delay)
Visual marker anchors to the actual peak bar (offset -pivot_lookforward)
No Repainting Behavior
Best For :
Backtesting and historical analysis
Conservative entries requiring full confirmation
Automated trading systems
Swing trading with larger timeframes
Tradeoff :
Delayed entry by pivot_lookforward bars (typically 5 bars)
On a 5-minute chart, this is a 25-minute delay
On a 4-hour chart, this is a 20-hour delay
Recommendation : Use Confirmed for backtesting to verify system performance honestly. Use Realtime for live monitoring only if you're actively watching the chart and understand pre-confirmation repainting behavior.
Signal Spacing System — Anti-Spam Architecture
Even after CAE filtering, raw divergences can cluster. The spacing system enforces separation:
Three Independent Filters
1. Min Bars Between ANY Signals (default 12):
Prevents rapid-fire clustering across both directions
If last signal (bull or bear) was within N bars, block new signal
Ensures breathing room between all setups
2. Min Bars Between SAME-SIDE Signals (default 24, optional enforcement):
Prevents bull-bull or bear-bear spam
Separate tracking for bullish and bearish signal timelines
Toggle enforcement on/off
3. Min ATR Distance From Last Signal (default 0, optional):
Requires price to move N × ATR from last signal location
Ensures meaningful price movement between setups
0 = disabled, 0.5-2.0 = typical range for enabled
All three filters work independently. A signal must pass ALL enabled filters to proceed.
Practical Guidance :
Scalping (1-5m) : Any 6-10, Same-side 12-20, ATR 0-0.5
Day Trading (15m-1H) : Any 12, Same-side 24, ATR 0-1.0
Swing Trading (4H-D) : Any 20-30, Same-side 40-60, ATR 1.0-2.0
Dashboard — Real-Time Control Center
The dashboard (toggleable, four corner positions, three sizes) provides comprehensive system intelligence:
Oscillator Section
Current oscillator type and value
State: OVERBOUGHT / OVERSOLD / NEUTRAL (color-coded)
Length parameter
Cognitive Engine Section
TCS (Trend Conviction Score) :
Current value with emoji state indicator
🔥 = Strong trend (>0.75)
📊 = Moderate trend (0.50-0.75)
〰️ = Weak/choppy (<0.50)
Color: Red if above threshold (trend filter active), yellow if moderate, green if weak
DMA (Directional Momentum Alignment) :
Current value with emoji direction indicator
🐂 = Bullish momentum (>0.5)
⚖️ = Balanced (-0.5 to 0.5)
🐻 = Bearish momentum (<-0.5)
Color: Green if bullish, red if bearish
Exhaustion :
Current value with emoji warning indicator
⚠️ = High exhaustion (>0.75)
🟡 = Moderate (0.50-0.75)
✓ = Low (<0.50)
Color: Red if high, yellow if moderate, green if low
Pullback :
Quality of current distance from EMA20
Values >0.6 are ideal entry zones (not too close, not too far)
Bull Case / Bear Case (if Adversarial enabled):
Current scores for both sides of the market debate
Differential with emoji indicator:
📈 = Bull advantage (>0.2)
➡️ = Balanced (-0.2 to 0.2)
📉 = Bear advantage (<-0.2)
Last Signal Metrics Section (New Feature)
When a signal fires, this section captures and displays:
Signal type (BULL or BEAR)
Bars elapsed since signal
Confidence % at time of signal
TCS value at signal time
DMA value at signal time
Purpose : Provides a historical reference for learning. You can see what the market state looked like when the last signal fired, helping you correlate outcomes with conditions.
Statistics Section
Total Signals : Lifetime count across session
Blocked Signals : Count and percentage (filter effectiveness metric)
Bull Signals : Total bullish divergences
Bear Signals : Total bearish divergences
Purpose : System health monitoring. If blocked % is very high (>60%), filters may be too strict. If very low (<10%), filters may be too loose.
Advisory Annotations
When CAE Mode = Advisory, this section displays warnings for signals that would be blocked in Filtering mode:
Examples:
"Bull spacing: wait 8 bars"
"Bear: strong uptrend (TCS=0.87)"
"Adversarial bearish"
"Low confidence 32%"
Multiple warnings can stack, separated by " | ". This teaches you CAE's decision logic transparently.
How to Use BZ-CAE — Complete Workflow
Phase 1: Initial Setup (First Session)
Apply BZ-CAE to your chart
Select your preferred Visual Theme (Cyberpunk recommended for visibility)
Set Signal Timing to "Confirmed (lookforward)" for learning
Choose your Oscillator Type (RSI recommended for general use, length 14)
Set Overbought/Oversold to 70/30 (standard)
Enable both Regular Divergence and Hidden Divergence
Set Pivot Lookback/Lookforward to 5/5 (balanced structure)
Enable CAE Intelligence
Set CAE Mode to "Advisory" (learning mode)
Enable all three CAE filters: Strong Trend Filter , Adversarial Validation , Confidence Gating
Enable Show Dashboard , position Top Right, size Normal
Enable Draw Bifurcation Zones and Adversarial Bar Coloring
Phase 2: Learning Period (Weeks 1-2)
Goal : Understand how CAE evaluates market state and filters signals.
Activities :
Watch the dashboard during signals :
Note TCS values when counter-trend signals fail — this teaches you the trend strength threshold for your instrument
Observe exhaustion patterns at actual turning points — learn when overextension truly matters
Study adversarial differential at signal times — see when opposing cases dominate
Review blocked signals (orange X-crosses):
In Advisory mode, you see everything — signals that would pass AND signals that would be blocked
Check the advisory annotations to understand why CAE would block
Track outcomes: Were the blocks correct? Did those signals fail?
Use Last Signal Metrics :
After each signal, check the dashboard capture of confidence, TCS, and DMA
Journal these values alongside trade outcomes
Identify patterns: Do confidence >0.70 signals work better? Does your instrument respect TCS >0.85?
Understand your instrument's "personality" :
Trending instruments (indices, major forex) may need TCS threshold 0.85-0.90
Choppy instruments (low-cap stocks, exotic pairs) may work best with TCS 0.70-0.75
High-volatility instruments (crypto) may need wider spacing
Low-volatility instruments may need tighter spacing
Phase 3: Calibration (Weeks 3-4)
Goal : Optimize settings for your specific instrument, timeframe, and style.
Calibration Checklist :
Min Confidence Threshold :
Review confidence distribution in your signal journal
Identify the confidence level below which signals consistently fail
Set min_confidence slightly above that level
Day trading : 0.35-0.45
Swing trading : 0.40-0.55
Scalping : 0.30-0.40
TCS Threshold :
Find the TCS level where counter-trend signals consistently get stopped out
Set tcs_threshold at or slightly below that level
Trending instruments : 0.85-0.90
Mixed instruments : 0.80-0.85
Choppy instruments : 0.75-0.80
Exhaustion Override Level :
Identify exhaustion readings that marked genuine reversals
Set exhaustion_required just below the average
Typical range : 0.45-0.55
Adversarial Threshold :
Default 0.10 works for most instruments
If you find CAE is too conservative (blocking good trades), raise to 0.15-0.20
If signals are still getting caught in opposing momentum, lower to 0.07-0.09
Spacing Parameters :
Count bars between quality signals in your journal
Set min bars ANY to ~60% of that average
Set min bars SAME-SIDE to ~120% of that average
Scalping : Any 6-10, Same 12-20
Day trading : Any 12, Same 24
Swing : Any 20-30, Same 40-60
Oscillator Selection :
Try different oscillators for 1-2 weeks each
Track win rate and average winner/loser by oscillator type
RSI : Best for general use, clear OB/OS
Stochastic : Best for range-bound, mean reversion
MFI : Best for volume-driven markets
CCI : Best for cyclical instruments
Williams %R : Best for reversal detection
Phase 4: Live Deployment
Goal : Disciplined execution with proven, calibrated system.
Settings Changes :
Switch CAE Mode from Advisory to Filtering
System now actively blocks low-quality signals
Only setups passing all gates reach your chart
Keep Signal Timing on Confirmed for conservative entries
OR switch to Realtime if you're actively monitoring and want faster entries (accept pre-confirmation repaint risk)
Use your calibrated thresholds from Phase 3
Enable high-confidence alerts: "⭐ High Confidence Bullish/Bearish" (>0.70)
Trading Discipline Rules :
Respect Blocked Signals :
If CAE blocks a trade you wanted to take, TRUST THE SYSTEM
Don't manually override — if you consistently disagree, return to Phase 2/3 calibration
The block exists because market state failed intelligence checks
Confidence-Based Position Sizing :
Confidence >0.70: Standard or increased size (e.g., 1.5-2.0% risk)
Confidence 0.50-0.70: Standard size (e.g., 1.0% risk)
Confidence 0.35-0.50: Reduced size (e.g., 0.5% risk) or skip if conservative
TCS-Based Management :
High TCS + counter-trend signal: Use tight stops, quick exits (you're fading momentum)
Low TCS + reversal signal: Use wider stops, trail aggressively (genuine reversal potential)
Exhaustion Awareness :
Exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading): Market is overextended, reversal risk is elevated — consider early exit or tighter trailing stops even on winning trades
Exhaustion <0.30: Continuation bias — hold for larger move, wide trailing stops
Adversarial Context :
Strong differential against you (e.g., bullish signal with bear diff <-0.2): Use very tight stops, consider skipping
Strong differential with you (e.g., bullish signal with bull diff >0.2): Trail aggressively, this is your tailwind
Practical Settings by Timeframe & Style
Scalping (1-5 Minute Charts)
Objective : High frequency, tight stops, quick reversals in fast-moving markets.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or Stochastic (fast response to quick moves)
Length: 9-11 (more responsive than standard 14)
Smoothing: 1 (no lag)
OB/OS: 65/35 (looser thresholds ensure frequent crossings in fast conditions)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 3/3 (tight structure, catch small swings)
Max Lookback: 40-50 bars (recent structure only)
Min Slope Change: 0.8-1.0 (don't be overly strict)
CAE :
Mode: Advisory first (learn), then Filtering
Min Confidence: 0.30-0.35 (lower bar for speed, accept more signals)
TCS Threshold: 0.70-0.75 (allow more counter-trend opportunities)
Exhaustion Required: 0.45-0.50 (moderate override)
Strong Trend Filter: ON (still respect major intraday trends)
Adversarial: ON (critical for scalping protection — catches bad entries quickly)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 6-10 (fast pace, many setups)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 12-20 (prevent clustering)
Min ATR Distance: 0 or 0.5 (loose)
Timing : Realtime (speed over precision, but understand repaint risk)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Tiny (chart clarity in busy conditions)
Show Zones: Optional (can clutter on low timeframes)
Bar Coloring: ON (helps read momentum shifts quickly)
Dashboard: Small size (corner reference, not main focus)
Key Consideration : Scalping generates noise. Even with CAE, expect lower win rate (45-55%) but aim for favorable R:R (2:1 or better). Size conservatively.
Day Trading (15-Minute to 1-Hour Charts)
Objective : Balance quality and frequency. Standard divergence trading approach.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or MFI (proven reliability, volume confirmation with MFI)
Length: 14 (industry standard, well-studied)
Smoothing: 1-2
OB/OS: 70/30 (classic levels)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 5/5 (balanced structure)
Max Lookback: 60 bars
Min Slope Change: 1.0 (standard strictness)
CAE :
Mode: Filtering (enforce discipline from the start after brief Advisory learning)
Min Confidence: 0.35-0.45 (quality filter without being too restrictive)
TCS Threshold: 0.80-0.85 (respect strong trends)
Exhaustion Required: 0.50 (balanced override threshold)
Strong Trend Filter: ON
Adversarial: ON
Confidence Gating: ON (all three filters active)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 12 (breathing room between all setups)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 24 (prevent bull/bear clusters)
Min ATR Distance: 0-1.0 (optional refinement, typically 0.5-1.0)
Timing : Confirmed (1-bar delay for reliability, no repainting)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Tiny or Small
Show Zones: ON (useful reference for exits/re-entries)
Bar Coloring: ON (context awareness)
Dashboard: Normal size (full visibility)
Key Consideration : This is the "sweet spot" timeframe for BZ-CAE. Market structure is clear, CAE has sufficient data, and signal frequency is manageable. Expect 55-65% win rate with proper execution.
Swing Trading (4-Hour to Daily Charts)
Objective : Quality over quantity. High conviction only. Larger stops and targets.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or CCI (robust on higher timeframes, smooth longer waves)
Length: 14-21 (capture larger momentum swings)
Smoothing: 1-3
OB/OS: 70/30 or 75/25 (strict extremes)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 5/5 or 7/7 (structural purity, major swings only)
Max Lookback: 80-100 bars (broader historical context)
Min Slope Change: 1.2-1.5 (require strong, undeniable divergence)
CAE :
Mode: Filtering (strict enforcement, premium setups only)
Min Confidence: 0.40-0.55 (high bar for entry)
TCS Threshold: 0.85-0.95 (very strong trend protection — don't fade established HTF trends)
Exhaustion Required: 0.50-0.60 (higher bar for override — only extreme exhaustion justifies counter-trend)
Strong Trend Filter: ON (critical on HTF)
Adversarial: ON (avoid obvious bad trades)
Confidence Gating: ON (quality gate essential)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 20-30 (substantial separation)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 40-60 (significant breathing room)
Min ATR Distance: 1.0-2.0 (require meaningful price movement)
Timing : Confirmed (purity over speed, zero repaint for swing accuracy)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Small or Normal (clear markers on zoomed-out view)
Show Zones: ON (important HTF levels)
Bar Coloring: ON (long-term trend awareness)
Dashboard: Normal or Large (comprehensive analysis)
Key Consideration : Swing signals are rare but powerful. Expect 2-5 signals per month per instrument. Win rate should be 60-70%+ due to stringent filtering. Position size can be larger given confidence.
Dashboard Interpretation Reference
TCS (Trend Conviction Score) States
0.00-0.50: Weak/Choppy
Emoji: 〰️
Color: Green/cyan
Meaning: No established trend. Range-bound or consolidating. Both reversal and continuation signals viable.
Action: Reversals (regular divs) are safer. Use wider profit targets (market has room to move). Consider mean reversion strategies.
0.50-0.75: Moderate Trend
Emoji: 📊
Color: Yellow/neutral
Meaning: Developing trend but not locked in. Context matters significantly.
Action: Check DMA and exhaustion. If DMA confirms trend and exhaustion is low, favor continuation (hidden divs). If exhaustion is high, reversals are viable.
0.75-0.85: Strong Trend
Emoji: 🔥
Color: Orange/warning
Meaning: Well-established trend with persistence. Counter-trend is high risk.
Action: Require exhaustion >0.50 for counter-trend entries. Favor continuation signals. Use tight stops on counter-trend attempts.
0.85-1.00: Very Strong Trend
Emoji: 🔥🔥
Color: Red/danger (if counter-trading)
Meaning: Locked-in institutional trend. Extremely high risk to fade.
Action: Avoid counter-trend unless exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading). Focus exclusively on continuation opportunities. Momentum is king here.
DMA (Directional Momentum Alignment) Zones
-2.0 to -1.0: Strong Bearish Momentum
Emoji: 🐻🐻
Color: Dark red
Meaning: Powerful downside force. Sellers are in control.
Action: Bullish divergences are counter-momentum (high risk). Bearish divergences are with-momentum (lower risk). Size down on longs.
-0.5 to 0.5: Neutral/Balanced
Emoji: ⚖️
Color: Gray/neutral
Meaning: No strong directional bias. Choppy or consolidating.
Action: Both directions have similar probability. Focus on confidence score and adversarial differential for edge.
1.0 to 2.0: Strong Bullish Momentum
Emoji: 🐂🐂
Color: Bright green/cyan
Meaning: Powerful upside force. Buyers are in control.
Action: Bearish divergences are counter-momentum (high risk). Bullish divergences are with-momentum (lower risk). Size down on shorts.
Exhaustion States
0.00-0.50: Fresh Move
Emoji: ✓
Color: Green
Meaning: Trend is healthy, not overextended. Room to run.
Action: Counter-trend trades are premature. Favor continuation. Hold winners for larger moves. Avoid early exits.
0.50-0.75: Mature Move
Emoji: 🟡
Color: Yellow
Meaning: Move is aging. Watch for signs of climax.
Action: Tighten trailing stops on winning trades. Be ready for reversals. Don't add to positions aggressively.
0.75-0.85: High Exhaustion
Emoji: ⚠️
Color: Orange
Background: Yellow shading appears
Meaning: Move is overextended. Reversal risk elevated significantly.
Action: Counter-trend reversals are higher probability. Consider early exits on with-trend positions. Size up on reversal divergences (if CAE allows).
0.85-1.00: Critical Exhaustion
Emoji: ⚠️⚠️
Color: Red
Background: Yellow shading intensifies
Meaning: Climax conditions. Reversal imminent or underway.
Action: Aggressive reversal trades justified. Exit all with-trend positions. This is where major turns occur.
Confidence Score Tiers
0.00-0.30: Low Quality
Color: Red
Status: Blocked in Filtering mode
Action: Skip entirely. Setup lacks fundamental quality across multiple factors.
0.30-0.50: Moderate Quality
Color: Yellow/orange
Status: Marginal — passes in Filtering only if >min_confidence
Action: Reduced position size (0.5-0.75% risk). Tight stops. Conservative profit targets. Skip if you're selective.
0.50-0.70: High Quality
Color: Green/cyan
Status: Good setup across most quality factors
Action: Standard position size (1.0-1.5% risk). Normal stops and targets. This is your bread-and-butter trade.
0.70-1.00: Premium Quality
Color: Bright green/gold
Status: Exceptional setup — all factors aligned
Visual: Double confidence ring appears
Action: Consider increased position size (1.5-2.0% risk, maximum). Wider stops. Larger targets. High probability of success. These are rare — capitalize when they appear.
Adversarial Differential Interpretation
Bull Differential > 0.3 :
Visual: Strong cyan/green bar colors
Meaning: Bull case strongly dominates. Buyers have clear advantage.
Action: Bullish divergences favored (with-advantage). Bearish divergences face headwind (reduce size or skip). Momentum is bullish.
Bull Differential 0.1 to 0.3 :
Visual: Moderate cyan/green transparency
Meaning: Moderate bull advantage. Buyers have edge but not overwhelming.
Action: Both directions viable. Slight bias toward longs.
Differential -0.1 to 0.1 :
Visual: Gray/neutral bars
Meaning: Balanced debate. No clear advantage either side.
Action: Rely on other factors (confidence, TCS, exhaustion) for direction. Adversarial is neutral.
Bear Differential -0.3 to -0.1 :
Visual: Moderate red/magenta transparency
Meaning: Moderate bear advantage. Sellers have edge but not overwhelming.
Action: Both directions viable. Slight bias toward shorts.
Bear Differential < -0.3 :
Visual: Strong red/magenta bar colors
Meaning: Bear case strongly dominates. Sellers have clear advantage.
Action: Bearish divergences favored (with-advantage). Bullish divergences face headwind (reduce size or skip). Momentum is bearish.
Last Signal Metrics — Post-Trade Analysis
After a signal fires, dashboard captures:
Type : BULL or BEAR
Bars Ago : How long since signal (updates every bar)
Confidence : What was the quality score at signal time
TCS : What was trend conviction at signal time
DMA : What was momentum alignment at signal time
Use Case : Post-trade journaling and learning.
Example: "BULL signal 12 bars ago. Confidence: 68%, TCS: 0.42, DMA: -0.85"
Analysis : This was a bullish reversal (regular div) with good confidence, weak trend (TCS), but strong bearish momentum (DMA). The bet was that momentum would reverse — a counter-momentum play requiring exhaustion confirmation. Check if exhaustion was high at that time to justify the entry.
Track patterns:
Do your best trades have confidence >0.65?
Do low-TCS signals (<0.50) work better for you?
Are you more successful with-momentum (DMA aligned with signal) or counter-momentum?
Troubleshooting Guide
Problem: No Signals Appearing
Symptoms : Chart loads, dashboard shows metrics, but no divergence signals fire.
Diagnosis Checklist :
Check dashboard oscillator value : Is it crossing OB/OS levels (70/30)? If oscillator stays in 40-60 range constantly, it can't reach extremes needed for divergence detection.
Are pivots forming? : Look for local swing highs/lows on your chart. If price is in tight consolidation, pivots may not meet lookback/lookforward requirements.
Is spacing too tight? : Check "Last Signal" metrics — how many bars since last signal? If <12 and your min_bars_ANY is 12, spacing filter is blocking.
Is CAE blocking everything? : Check dashboard Statistics section — what's the blocked signal count? High blocks indicate overly strict filters.
Solutions :
Loosen OB/OS Temporarily :
Try 65/35 to verify divergence detection works
If signals appear, the issue was threshold strictness
Gradually tighten back to 67/33, then 70/30 as appropriate
Lower Min Confidence :
Try 0.25-0.30 (diagnostic level)
If signals appear, filter was too strict
Raise gradually to find sweet spot (0.35-0.45 typical)
Disable Strong Trend Filter Temporarily :
Turn off in CAE settings
If signals appear, TCS threshold was blocking everything
Re-enable and lower TCS_threshold to 0.70-0.75
Reduce Min Slope Change :
Try 0.7-0.8 (from default 1.0)
Allows weaker divergences through
Helpful on low-volatility instruments
Widen Spacing :
Set min_bars_ANY to 6-8
Set min_bars_SAME_SIDE to 12-16
Reduces time between allowed signals
Check Timing Mode :
If using Confirmed, remember there's a pivot_lookforward delay (5+ bars)
Switch to Realtime temporarily to verify system is working
Realtime has no delay but repaints
Verify Oscillator Settings :
Length 14 is standard but might not fit all instruments
Try length 9-11 for faster response
Try length 18-21 for slower, smoother response
Problem: Too Many Signals (Signal Spam)
Symptoms : Dashboard shows 50+ signals in Statistics, confidence scores mostly <0.40, signals clustering close together.
Solutions :
Raise Min Confidence :
Try 0.40-0.50 (quality filter)
Blocks bottom-tier setups
Targets top 50-60% of divergences only
Tighten OB/OS :
Use 70/30 or 75/25
Requires more extreme oscillator readings
Reduces false divergences in mid-range
Increase Min Slope Change :
Try 1.2-1.5 (from default 1.0)
Requires stronger, more obvious divergences
Filters marginal slope disagreements
Raise TCS Threshold :
Try 0.85-0.90 (from default 0.80)
Stricter trend filter blocks more counter-trend attempts
Favors only strongest trend alignment
Enable ALL CAE Gates :
Turn on Trend Filter + Adversarial + Confidence
Triple-layer protection
Blocks aggressively — expect 20-40% reduction in signals
Widen Spacing :
min_bars_ANY: 15-20 (from 12)
min_bars_SAME_SIDE: 30-40 (from 24)
Creates substantial breathing room
Switch to Confirmed Timing :
Removes realtime preview noise
Ensures full pivot validation
5-bar delay filters many false starts
Problem: Signals in Strong Trends Get Stopped Out
Symptoms : You take a bullish divergence in a downtrend (or bearish in uptrend), and it immediately fails. Dashboard showed high TCS at the time.
Analysis : This is INTENDED behavior — CAE is protecting you from low-probability counter-trend trades.
Understanding :
Check Last Signal Metrics in dashboard — what was TCS when signal fired?
If TCS was >0.85 and signal was counter-trend, CAE correctly identified it as high risk
Strong trends rarely reverse cleanly without major exhaustion
Your losses here are the system working as designed (blocking bad odds)
If You Want to Override (Not Recommended) :
Lower TCS_threshold to 0.70-0.75 (allows more counter-trend)
Lower exhaustion_required to 0.40 (easier override)
Disable Strong Trend Filter entirely (very risky)
Better Approach :
TRUST THE FILTER — it's preventing costly mistakes
Wait for exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading) before counter-trending strong TCS
Focus on continuation signals (hidden divs) in high-TCS environments
Use Advisory mode to see what CAE is blocking and learn from outcomes
Problem: Adversarial Blocking Seems Wrong
Symptoms : You see a divergence that "looks good" visually, but CAE blocks with "Adversarial bearish/bullish" warning.
Diagnosis :
Check dashboard Bull Case and Bear Case scores at that moment
Look at Differential value
Check adversarial bar colors — was there strong coloring against your intended direction?
Understanding :
Adversarial catches "obvious" opposing momentum that's easy to miss
Example: Bullish divergence at a local low, BUT price is deeply below EMA50, bearish momentum is strong, and RSI shows knife-catching conditions
Bull Case might be 0.20 while Bear Case is 0.55
Differential = -0.35, far beyond threshold
Block is CORRECT — you'd be fighting overwhelming opposing flow
If You Disagree Consistently
Review blocked signals on chart — scroll back and check outcomes
Did those blocked signals actually work, or did they fail as adversarial predicted?
Raise adv_threshold to 0.15-0.20 (more permissive, allows closer battles)
Disable Adversarial Validation temporarily (diagnostic) to isolate its effect
Use Advisory mode to learn adversarial patterns over 50-100 signals
Remember : Adversarial is conservative BY DESIGN. It prevents "obvious" bad trades where you're fighting strong strength the other way.
Problem: Dashboard Not Showing or Incomplete
Solutions :
Toggle "Show Dashboard" to ON in settings
Try different dashboard sizes (Small/Normal/Large)
Try different positions (Top Left/Right, Bottom Left/Right) — might be off-screen
Some sections require CAE Enable = ON (Cognitive Engine section won't appear if CAE is disabled)
Statistics section requires at least 1 lifetime signal to populate
Check that visual theme is set (dashboard colors adapt to theme)
Problem: Performance Lag, Chart Freezing
Symptoms : Chart loading is slow, indicator calculations cause delays, pinch-to-zoom lags.
Diagnosis : Visual features are computationally expensive, especially adversarial bar coloring (recalculates every bar).
Solutions (In Order of Impact) :
Disable Adversarial Bar Coloring (MOST EXPENSIVE):
Turn OFF "Adversarial Bar Coloring" in settings
This is the single biggest performance drain
Immediate improvement
Reduce Vertical Lines :
Lower "Keep last N vertical lines" to 20-30
Or set to 0 to disable entirely
Moderate improvement
Disable Bifurcation Zones :
Turn OFF "Draw Bifurcation Zones"
Reduces box drawing calculations
Moderate improvement
Set Dashboard Size to Small :
Smaller dashboard = fewer cells = less rendering
Minor improvement
Use Shorter Max Lookback :
Reduce max_lookback to 40-50 (from 60+)
Fewer bars to scan for divergences
Minor improvement
Disable Exhaustion Shading :
Turn OFF "Show Market State"
Removes background coloring calculations
Minor improvement
Extreme Performance Mode :
Disable ALL visual enhancements
Keep only triangle markers
Dashboard Small or OFF
Use Minimal theme if available
Problem: Realtime Signals Repainting
Symptoms : You see a signal appear, but on next bar it disappears or moves.
Explanation :
Realtime mode detects peaks 1 bar ago: high > high AND high > high
On the FORMING bar (before close), this condition can change as new prices arrive
Example: At 10:05, high (10:04 bar) was 100, current high is 99 → peak detected
At 10:05:30, new high of 101 arrives → peak condition breaks → signal disappears
At 10:06 (bar close), final high is 101 → no peak at 10:04 anymore → signal gone permanently
This is expected behavior for realtime responsiveness. You get preview/early warning, but it's not locked until bar confirms.
Solutions :
Use Confirmed Timing :
Switch to "Confirmed (lookforward)" mode
ZERO repainting — pivot must be fully validated
5-bar delay (pivot_lookforward)
What you see in history is exactly what would have appeared live
Accept Realtime Repaint as Tradeoff :
Keep Realtime mode for speed and alerts
Understand that pre-confirmation signals may vanish
Only trade signals that CONFIRM at bar close (check barstate.isconfirmed)
Use for live monitoring, NOT for backtesting
Trade Only After Confirmation :
In Realtime mode, wait 1 full bar after signal appears before entering
If signal survives that bar close, it's locked
This adds 1-bar delay but removes repaint risk
Recommendation : Use Confirmed for backtesting and conservative trading. Use Realtime only for active monitoring with full understanding of preview behavior.
Risk Management Integration
BZ-CAE is a signal generation system, not a complete trading strategy. You must integrate proper risk management:
Position Sizing by Confidence
Confidence 0.70-1.00 (Premium) :
Risk: 1.5-2.0% of account (MAXIMUM)
Reasoning: High-quality setup across all factors
Still cap at 2% — even premium setups can fail
Confidence 0.50-0.70 (High Quality) :
Risk: 1.0-1.5% of account
Reasoning: Standard good setup
Your bread-and-butter risk level
Confidence 0.35-0.50 (Moderate Quality) :
Risk: 0.5-1.0% of account
Reasoning: Marginal setup, passes minimum threshold
Reduce size or skip if you're selective
Confidence <0.35 (Low Quality) :
Risk: 0% (blocked in Filtering mode)
Reasoning: Insufficient quality factors
System protects you by not showing these
Stop Placement Strategies
For Reversal Signals (Regular Divergences) :
Place stop beyond the divergence pivot plus buffer
Bullish : Stop below the divergence low - 1.0-1.5 × ATR
Bearish : Stop above the divergence high + 1.0-1.5 × ATR
Reasoning: If price breaks the pivot, divergence structure is invalidated
For Continuation Signals (Hidden Divergences) :
Place stop beyond recent swing in opposite direction
Bullish continuation : Stop below recent swing low (not the divergence pivot itself)
Bearish continuation : Stop above recent swing high
Reasoning: You're trading with trend, allow more breathing room
ATR-Based Stops :
1.5-2.0 × ATR is standard
Scale by timeframe:
Scalping (1-5m): 1.0-1.5 × ATR (tight)
Day trading (15m-1H): 1.5-2.0 × ATR (balanced)
Swing (4H-D): 2.0-3.0 × ATR (wide)
Never Use Fixed Dollar/Pip Stops :
Markets have different volatility
50-pip stop on EUR/USD ≠ 50-pip stop on GBP/JPY
Always normalize by ATR or pivot structure
Profit Targets and Scaling
Primary Target :
2-3 × ATR from entry (minimum 2:1 reward-risk)
Example : Entry at 100, ATR = 2, stop at 97 (1.5 × ATR) → target at 106 (3 × ATR) = 2:1 R:R
Scaling Out Strategy :
Take 50% off at 1.5 × ATR (secure partial profit)
Move stop to breakeven
Trail remaining 50% with 1.0 × ATR trailing stop
Let winners run if trend persists
Targets by Confidence :
High Confidence (>0.70) : Aggressive targets (3-4 × ATR), trail wider (1.5 × ATR)
Standard Confidence (0.50-0.70) : Normal targets (2-3 × ATR), standard trail (1.0 × ATR)
Low Confidence (0.35-0.50) : Conservative targets (1.5-2 × ATR), tight trail (0.75 × ATR)
Use Bifurcation Zones :
If opposite-side zone is visible on chart (from previous signal), use it as target
Example : Bullish signal at 100, prior supply zone at 110 → use 110 as target
Zones mark institutional resistance/support
Exhaustion-Based Exits :
If you're in a trade and exhaustion >0.75 develops (yellow shading), consider early exit
Market is overextended — reversal risk is high
Take profit even if target not reached
Trade Management by TCS
High TCS + Counter-Trend Trade (Risky) :
Use very tight stops (1.0-1.5 × ATR)
Conservative targets (1.5-2 × ATR)
Quick exit if trade doesn't work immediately
You're fading momentum — respect it
Low TCS + Reversal Trade (Safer) :
Use wider stops (2.0-2.5 × ATR)
Aggressive targets (3-4 × ATR)
Trail with patience
Genuine reversal potential in weak trend
High TCS + Continuation Trade (Safest) :
Standard stops (1.5-2.0 × ATR)
Very aggressive targets (4-5 × ATR)
Trail wide (1.5-2.0 × ATR)
You're with institutional momentum — let it run
Educational Value — Learning Machine Intelligence
BZ-CAE is designed as a learning platform, not just a tool:
Advisory Mode as Teacher
Most indicators are binary: signal or no signal. You don't learn WHY certain setups are better.
BZ-CAE's Advisory mode shows you EVERY potential divergence, then annotates the ones that would be blocked in Filtering mode with specific reasons:
"Bull: strong downtrend (TCS=0.87)" teaches you that TCS >0.85 makes counter-trend very risky
"Adversarial bearish" teaches you that the opposing case was dominating
"Low confidence 32%" teaches you that the setup lacked quality across multiple factors
"Bull spacing: wait 8 bars" teaches you that signals need breathing room
After 50-100 signals in Advisory mode, you internalize the CAE's decision logic. You start seeing these factors yourself BEFORE the indicator does.
Dashboard Transparency
Most "intelligent" indicators are black boxes — you don't know how they make decisions.
BZ-CAE shows you ALL metrics in real-time:
TCS tells you trend strength
DMA tells you momentum alignment
Exhaustion tells you overextension
Adversarial shows both sides of the debate
Confidence shows composite quality
You learn to interpret market state holistically, a skill applicable to ANY trading system beyond this indicator.
Divergence Quality Education
Not all divergences are equal. BZ-CAE teaches you which conditions produce high-probability setups:
Quality divergence : Regular bullish div at a low, TCS <0.50 (weak trend), exhaustion >0.75 (overextended), positive adversarial differential, confidence >0.70
Low-quality divergence : Regular bearish div at a high, TCS >0.85 (strong uptrend), exhaustion <0.30 (not overextended), negative adversarial differential, confidence <0.40
After using the system, you can evaluate divergences manually with similar intelligence.
Risk Management Discipline
Confidence-based position sizing teaches you to adjust risk based on setup quality, not emotions:
Beginners often size all trades identically
Or worse, size UP on marginal setups to "make up" for losses
BZ-CAE forces systematic sizing: premium setups get larger size, marginal setups get smaller size
This creates a probabilistic approach where your edge compounds over time.
What This Indicator Is NOT
Complete transparency about limitations and positioning:
Not a Prediction System
BZ-CAE does not predict future prices. It identifies structural divergences (price-momentum disagreements) and assesses current market state (trend, exhaustion, adversarial conditions). It tells you WHEN conditions favor a potential reversal or continuation, not WHAT WILL HAPPEN.
Markets are probabilistic. Even premium-confidence setups fail ~30-40% of the time. The system improves your probability distribution over many trades — it doesn't eliminate risk.
Not Fully Automated
This is a decision support tool, not a trading robot. You must:
Execute trades manually based on signals
Manage positions (stops, targets, trailing)
Apply discretionary judgment (news events, liquidity, context)
Integrate with your broader strategy and risk rules
The confidence scores guide position sizing, but YOU determine final risk allocation based on your account size, risk tolerance, and portfolio context.
Not Beginner-Friendly
BZ-CAE requires understanding of:
Divergence trading concepts (regular vs hidden, reversal vs continuation)
Market state interpretation (trend vs range, momentum, exhaustion)
Basic technical analysis (pivots, support/resistance, EMAs)
Risk management fundamentals (position sizing, stops, R:R)
This is designed for intermediate to advanced traders willing to invest time learning the system. If you want "buy the arrow" simplicity, this isn't the tool.
Not a Holy Grail
There is no perfect indicator. BZ-CAE filters noise and improves signal quality significantly, but:
Losing trades are inevitable (even at 70% win rate, 30% still fail)
Market conditions change rapidly (yesterday's strong trend becomes today's chop)
Black swan events occur (fundamentals override technicals)
Execution matters (slippage, fees, emotional discipline)
The system provides an EDGE, not a guarantee. Your job is to execute that edge consistently with proper risk management over hundreds of trades.
Not Financial Advice
BZ-CAE is an educational and analytical tool. All trading decisions are your responsibility. Past performance (backtested or live) does not guarantee future results. Only risk capital you can afford to lose. Consult a licensed financial advisor for investment advice specific to your situation.
Ideal Market Conditions
Best Performance Characteristics
Liquid Instruments :
Major forex pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY)
Large-cap stocks and index ETFs (SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT)
High-volume crypto (BTC, ETH)
Major commodities (Gold, Oil, Natural Gas)
Reasoning: Clean price structure, clear pivots, meaningful oscillator behavior
Trending with Consolidations :
Markets that trend for 20-40 bars, then consolidate 10-20 bars, repeat
Creates divergences at consolidation boundaries (reversals) and within trends (continuations)
Both regular and hidden divs find opportunities
5-Minute to Daily Timeframes :
Below 5m: too much noise, false pivots, CAE metrics unstable
Above daily: too few signals, edge diminishes (fundamentals dominate)
Sweet spot: 15m to 4H for most traders
Consistent Volume and Participation :
Regular trading sessions (not holidays or thin markets)
Predictable volatility patterns
Avoid instruments with sudden gaps or circuit breakers
Challenging Conditions
Extremely Low Liquidity :
Penny stocks, exotic forex pairs, low-volume crypto
Erratic pivots, unreliable oscillator readings
CAE metrics can't assess market state properly
Very Low Timeframes (1-Minute or Below) :
Dominated by market microstructure noise
Divergences are everywhere but meaningless
CAE filtering helps but still unreliable
Extended Sideways Consolidation :
100+ bars of tight range with no clear pivots
Oscillator hugs midpoint (45-55 range)
No divergences to detect
Fundamentally-Driven Gap Markets :
Earnings releases, economic data, geopolitical events
Price gaps over stops and targets
Technical structure breaks down
Recommendation: Disable trading around known events
Calculation Methodology — Technical Depth
For users who want to understand the math:
Oscillator Computation
Each oscillator type calculates differently, but all normalize to 0-100:
RSI : ta.rsi(close, length) — Standard Relative Strength Index
Stochastic : ta.stoch(high, low, close, length) — %K calculation
CCI : (ta.cci(hlc3, length) + 100) / 2 — Normalized from -100/+100 to 0-100
MFI : ta.mfi(hlc3, length) — Volume-weighted RSI equivalent
Williams %R : ta.wpr(length) + 100 — Inverted stochastic adjusted to 0-100
Smoothing: If smoothing > 1, apply ta.sma(oscillator, smoothing)
Divergence Detection Algorithm
Identify Pivots :
Price high pivot: ta.pivothigh(high, lookback, lookforward)
Price low pivot: ta.pivotlow(low, lookback, lookforward)
Oscillator high pivot: ta.pivothigh(osc, lookback, lookforward)
Oscillator low pivot: ta.pivotlow(osc, lookback, lookforward)
Store Recent Pivots :
Maintain arrays of last 10 pivots with bar indices
When new pivot confirmed, unshift to array, pop oldest if >10
Scan for Slope Disagreements :
Loop through last 5 pivots
For each pair (current pivot, historical pivot):
Check if within max_lookback bars
Calculate slopes: (current - historical) / bars_between
Regular bearish: price_slope > 0, osc_slope < 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Regular bullish: price_slope < 0, osc_slope > 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Hidden bearish: price_slope < 0, osc_slope > 0, osc_slope > min_threshold
Hidden bullish: price_slope > 0, osc_slope < 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Important Disclaimers and Terms
Performance Disclosure
Past performance, whether backtested or live-traded, does not guarantee future results. Markets change. What works today may not work tomorrow. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have inherent limitations and do not represent actual trading.
Risk of Loss
Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Only trade with risk capital you can afford to lose entirely. The high degree of leverage often available in trading can work against you as well as for you. Leveraged trading may result in losses exceeding your initial deposit.
Not Financial Advice
BZ-CAE is an educational and analytical tool for technical analysis. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument. All trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Consult a licensed financial advisor for advice specific to your circumstances.
Technical Indicator Limitations
BZ-CAE is a technical analysis tool based on price and volume data. It does not account for:
Fundamental analysis (earnings, economic data, financial health)
Market sentiment and positioning
Geopolitical events and news
Liquidity conditions and market microstructure changes
Regulatory changes or exchange rules
Integrate with broader analysis and strategy. Do not rely solely on technical indicators for trading decisions.
Repainting Acknowledgment
As disclosed throughout this documentation:
Realtime mode may repaint on forming bars before confirmation (by design for preview functionality)
Confirmed mode has zero repainting (fully validated pivots only)
Choose timing mode appropriate for your use case. Understand the tradeoffs.
Testing Recommendation
ALWAYS test on demo/paper accounts before committing real capital. Validate the indicator's behavior on your specific instruments and timeframes. Learn the system thoroughly in Advisory mode before using Filtering mode.
Learning Resources :
In-indicator tooltips (hover over setting names for detailed explanations)
This comprehensive publishing statement (save for reference)
User guide in script comments (top of code)
Final Word — Philosophy of BZ-CAE
BZ-CAE is not designed to replace your judgment — it's designed to enhance it.
The indicator identifies structural inflection points (bifurcations) where price and momentum disagree. The Cognitive Engine evaluates market state to determine if this disagreement is meaningful or noise. The Adversarial model debates both sides of the trade to catch obvious bad setups. The Confidence system ranks quality so you can choose your risk appetite.
But YOU still execute. YOU still manage risk. YOU still learn from outcomes.
This is intelligence amplification, not intelligence replacement.
Use Advisory mode to learn how expert traders evaluate market state. Use Filtering mode to enforce discipline when emotions run high. Use the dashboard to develop a systematic approach to reading markets. Use confidence scores to size positions probabilistically.
The system provides an edge. Your job is to execute that edge with discipline, patience, and proper risk management over hundreds of trades.
Markets are probabilistic. No system wins every trade. But a systematic edge + disciplined execution + proper risk management compounds over time. That's the path to consistent profitability. BZ-CAE gives you the edge. The discipline and risk management are on you.
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
