Thirdeyechart Index – 7 MajorsThe 7 Majors Masterclass is a professional TradingView indicator designed for traders who want a fast, clear, and comprehensive view of the market direction of the 7 major forex pairs. This version monitors EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, USDCAD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD simultaneously, allowing traders to see global forex trends at a glance.
The indicator calculates percentage changes for each pair across Weekly (W), Daily (D), 4-Hour (H4), and 1-Hour (H1) timeframes. Positive changes are highlighted in blue, negative changes in red, giving an immediate visual cue of market direction. A Total Average Trend Strength is calculated across all timeframes, helping traders quickly identify strong, weak, or neutral trends for each currency pair.
Math Logic Behind the Indicator
Percent change per timeframe:
pct_tf = ((close_tf - open_tf) / open_tf) * 100
Collect all timeframe values for each pair:
values =
Total Average Trend Strength:
Total_Avg = sum(values) / 4
Trend interpretation (default thresholds):
≥ +0.50 → Strong Uptrend
+0.15 to +0.49 → Weak Uptrend
−0.14 to +0.14 → Neutral
−0.49 to −0.15 → Weak Downtrend
≤ −0.50 → Strong Downtrend
The table layout is boxed and clean, making it easy to compare multiple pairs simultaneously. Traders can use it for intraday, swing, or long-term analysis, quickly assessing which pairs are strong or weak and planning trades accordingly.
This indicator is informational and educational only. It does not provide buy or sell signals. Users must perform their own analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trades.
Disclaimer / Copyright:
© 2025 Thirdeyechart. All rights reserved. Redistribution, copying, or commercial use without permission is prohibited. The author is not responsible for any trading losses or financial decisions made using this indicator.
ค้นหาในสคริปต์สำหรับ "摩根科技股票+2025年4月股价"
BybitMinOrderSizeBybit Order Quantity Compliance Library
This library provides all utility functions required for TradingView strategies
that execute orders on Bybit via webhooks.
Problem:
Bybit enforces two strict rules on every order submitted:
Minimum Order Size – each symbol has its own minimum quantity.
Quantity Precision – each symbol requires rounding to the correct number of decimals.
TradingView does not expose this metadata, so strategies can easily submit
quantities that Bybit rejects as invalid.
Solution (This Library):
This library embeds full Bybit contract metadata, including:
A complete mapping of Bybit symbols → minimum order size
A complete mapping of Bybit symbols → allowed precision (decimal places)
A helper to normalize tickers (removing `.P` suffix for Bybit perpetuals)
It also exposes utility functions to automatically make your quantities valid:
`normalizeTicker()` — removes `.P` for consistent lookup
`getMinOrderSize()` — returns the correct minimum order size
`getPrecisionForTicker()` — returns required quantity precision
`floorQty()` — floors quantities to valid minimum increments
`roundQty()` — rounds quantities to valid decimal precision
Use Cases:
Ensuring webhook strategies never send too-small orders
Rounding limit/market orders correctly before execution
Making Pine strategies execution-accurate for Bybit
Avoiding "order rejected: qty too small / invalid precision" errors
This library is recommended for:
Live trading via TradingView → Bybit webhooks
Backtesting strategies that simulate real Bybit constraints
Source: www.bybit.com
Updated: 2025-11-25 — Bybit contract metadata
normalizeTicker(symbol)
Normalizes Bybit perpetual tickers by removing the ".P" suffix.
precisionFromMinOrder(minOrder)
Derives precision (decimal places) from minimum order size.
getMinOrderSize(symbol)
Retrieves the minimum order size for the current or given symbol.
getPrecisionForTicker(symbol)
Retrieves the required quantity precision (decimal places) for a given Bybit symbol.
floorQty(qty, symbol)
Rounds a quantity down to the nearest valid minimum order size for a given symbol.
roundQty(qty, symbol)
Rounds a quantity to the valid precision for the specified symbol.
Thirdeyechart Gold – 8 XAUThe XAU – 8 Gold Version is the newest and most advanced edition in the Masterclass series, designed specifically for gold traders who need fast, accurate, and multi-angle analysis of XAU behavior across global markets. This version monitors 8 different gold-related symbols simultaneously, presenting all data inside a clean, solid boxed layout. It gives traders a clear view of global XAU direction without switching charts.
This version includes percentage change calculations for Weekly (W), Daily (D), 4-Hour (H4), and 1-Hour (H1) timeframes for all eight gold-related pairs you insert. Positive values appear in blue, negative in red. The upgraded layout is optimized to remain clean, compact, and readable even with eight gold symbols displayed.
Fast Trend Detection With Math Logic
The core of the Final Version is the Total Average Trend Strength Calculation, allowing traders to instantly identify whether gold is in a strong uptrend, weak uptrend, neutral zone, weak downtrend, or strong downtrend—based entirely on mathematical logic.
Math Logic Used:
Percent change per timeframe:
pct_tf = ((close_tf - open_tf) / open_tf) * 100
All timeframe values are collected:
values =
Total Average Strength:
Total_Avg = sum(values) / 4
Final Strength Interpretation (default thresholds):
≥ +0.50 → Strong Uptrend
+0.15 to +0.49 → Weak Uptrend
−0.14 to +0.14 → Neutral
−0.49 to −0.15 → Weak Downtrend
≤ −0.50 → Strong Downtrend
This system ensures fast, unbiased direction detection across all 8 gold symbols at once.
The 8-Gold layout allows traders to see global pressure on XAU from multiple markets such as USD, JPY, EUR, GBP, AUD, CHF, CAD, and NZD — making this version extremely powerful for global gold trend reading.
Disclaimer
© 2025 Thirdeyechart. All rights reserved. This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Not a buy/sell signal. Redistribution or commercial use without permission is strictly prohibited. The author is not responsible for any trading loss.
Thirdeyechart Gold – Masterclass FinalThe XAU Masterclass — Final Fix is the definitive TradingView indicator for serious gold traders. Built for speed and clarity, this edition combines a solid boxed layout with an advanced math logic core to detect trend strength quickly across multiple timeframes. Designed specifically for XAU and XAU-related pairs, the indicator shows percentage change on Weekly (W), Daily (D), 4H (H4), and 1H (H1), and distills those readings into a single Total Average Strength value for instant decision context.
Visuals are clean and compact — every symbol row sits inside a solid box so chart clutter is minimised and strength/direction read at a glance. Positive movements are highlighted in blue, negative in red. The Total Average is presented alongside the timeframe values and an interpreted label: “Strong Uptrend”, “Weak Uptrend”, “Neutral”, “Weak Downtrend”, “Strong Downtrend” — driven by configurable thresholds so you can tune sensitivity to your trading style.
Math logic (how it’s calculated):
Per timeframe percent change:
pct_tf = ((close_tf - open_tf) / open_tf) * 100
(calculated for W, D, H4, H1)
Normalize timeframes by simply using their signed percent changes (no external data):
values =
Total Average Strength (arithmetic mean):
Total_Avg = sum(values) / 4
Strength interpretation (default thresholds — adjustable):
Total_Avg >= +0.50 -> Strong Uptrend
+0.15 <= Total_Avg < +0.50 -> Weak Uptrend
-0.15 < Total_Avg < +0.15 -> Neutral
-0.50 < Total_Avg <= -0.15 -> Weak Downtrend
Total_Avg <= -0.50 -> Strong Downtrend
This approach keeps the computation transparent and fast while giving a consolidated market-strength readout. Traders can change thresholds or weighting if preferred; the default provides a reliable, conservative filter for most setups.
Usage note: This tool is informational and made for analysis — it does not issue buy/sell signals. Always combine with your own strategy and risk management.
Disclaimer / Copyright:
© 2025 Thirdeyechart. All rights reserved. Redistribution, copying, or commercial use without permission is prohibited. The author is not responsible for any trading losses or financial decisions made using this indicator.
Inyerneck Sniper Engine v4.2 — FINAL WORKING 2025Aggressive momentum sniper for pennies. Fires on volume + EMA snaps. Use small size. Alerts ready.
Thirdeyechart Gold – MasterclassThe XAU Masterclass Trend Table is the ultimate TradingView indicator for gold traders who demand precision, speed, and clarity. This special edition builds on all previous versions by enabling fast detection of strong and weak trends across multiple timeframes, making it a true masterclass tool for serious traders.
This indicator tracks gold across Daily (D), 1-Hour (H1), 4-Hour (H4), and Weekly (W) timeframes, providing a comprehensive view of both short-term and long-term market movements. The Total Average Calculation consolidates data from all timeframes, allowing traders to instantly see the overall trend strength of XAU. Positive movements are highlighted in blue, negative movements in red, while the Total Average gives a quick read of market momentum.
Version Masterclass features a solid, boxed layout, keeping all information organized and visually clear on the chart. Traders can monitor XAU/USD, XAU/JPY, XAU/EUR, and other XAU-related pairs efficiently, making it easier to plan entries, exits, and position sizing. The design is optimized for speed, allowing users to detect trend shifts faster than ever before.
This indicator is coded personally using advanced custom formulas for maximum precision and performance. It is ideal for intraday, swing, and long-term gold traders who want a professional-grade tool to analyze XAU movements globally.
This script is purely informational and educational. It does not provide buy or sell signals and does not guarantee profits. Users must perform their own analysis and apply proper risk management before making trading decisions.
Disclaimer / Copyright:
© 2025 Thirdeyechart. All rights reserved. Redistribution, copying, or commercial use of this code without permission is strictly prohibited. The author is not responsible for any trading losses or financial decisions made based on this script.
Inyerneck Sniper Engine v4.2 — FINAL WORKING 2025yer momUltra-aggressive momentum sniper built for pennies & BTC.
Fires on every volume explosion + EMA snap. No mercy, no filters.
50+ trades per month. Use small size or die trying.
Private alpha —
Inyerneck Sniper Engine v4.2 — FINAL WORKING 2025Ultra-aggressive momentum sniper built for pennies & BTC.
Fires on every volume explosion + EMA snap. No mercy, no filters.
50+ trades per month. Use small size or die trying.
Private alpha — invite-only. do not change settings without first recording default settings, the default settings are great... usable on any time frame.. aaaaannd... yer mom!
Thirdeyechart Global Gold – Last VersionThe XAU Solid Trend Table – Last Version is the ultimate TradingView indicator for gold traders who want a clean, professional, and comprehensive view of market direction. This version builds on previous releases by combining percentage changes, multiple timeframes, and a Total Average Calculation into a solid, boxed table that clearly displays strong and weak trends in XAU and its related pairs.
Users can monitor gold across Daily (D), 1-Hour (H1), 4-Hour (H4), and Weekly (W) timeframes. Positive movements are highlighted in blue, negative movements in red, and the Total Average calculation summarizes the overall trend strength, making it easy to spot whether XAU is in a strong uptrend, downtrend, or consolidating.
The table’s solid, boxed layout ensures all information is organized and visually clear, reducing clutter on the chart. This design helps traders quickly interpret market direction, plan trades, and compare multiple pairs like XAU/USD, XAU/JPY, and USD/JPY without confusion.
Coded personally using custom formulas, this indicator emphasizes precision, functionality, and readability. It’s ideal for intraday traders, swing traders, and long-term gold analysts who want a single tool to assess gold’s global movement efficiently.
This script is purely informational and educational. It does not provide buy or sell signals and does not guarantee profits. Traders must perform their own analysis and apply proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
Disclaimer / Copyright:
© 2025 Thirdeyechart. All rights reserved. Redistribution, copying, or commercial use of this code without permission is strictly prohibited. The author is not responsible for any trading losses or financial decisions made based on this script.
Thirdeyechart Global Gold – Version 3 (Safe)The XAU Global Trend Table – Version 3 is the latest enhanced TradingView indicator, designed exclusively for monitoring gold (XAU) and its related pairs. This version introduces a Total Average Calculation, allowing traders to quickly detect strong or weak trends across multiple timeframes. With this addition, Version 3 not only shows percentage changes but also provides a consolidated view of gold’s overall market strength.
Users can track gold across Daily (D), 1-Hour (H1), 4-Hour (H4), and Weekly (W) timeframes. Positive percentage changes are highlighted in blue, negative changes in red, while the Total Average helps identify whether the trend is gaining strength or losing momentum. This makes it easier to assess market direction and potential entry or exit zones without manually comparing multiple charts.
The indicator is coded personally, using custom formulas to calculate percentage changes and the Total Average, giving a unique, precise view of XAU movements. It works for XAU/USD, XAU/JPY, and USD/JPY, capturing gold’s global behavior and its correlation with major currencies. The table is positioned at the top-right corner and dynamically adjusts to the number of symbols entered.
Version 3 is specifically tailored for gold traders who want a quick, clear understanding of market strength and trend direction. It’s ideal for swing trading, intraday analysis, or long-term planning, providing an all-in-one visual tool to stay informed on gold’s global movement.
This script is purely informational and educational. It does not provide buy or sell signals, nor does it guarantee profits. Users should perform their own analysis and apply proper risk management before making trading decisions.
Disclaimer / Copyright:
© 2025 Thirdeyechart. All rights reserved. Redistribution, copying, or commercial use of this code without permission is strictly prohibited. The author is not responsible for any trading losses or financial decisions made based on this script.
Thirdeyechart Version 2 Global GoldThe XAU Global Direction Table – Version 2 is an enhanced TradingView indicator specifically designed for tracking gold (XAU) and related currency pairs. This version adds a Weekly (W) timeframe alongside Daily (D), 1-Hour (H1), and 4-Hour (H4) timeframes, providing a more complete overview of gold’s short-term, medium-term, and long-term market direction.
This indicator is coded personally, with custom formulas to calculate the percentage change of each symbol across all selected timeframes. Positive movements are highlighted in blue, and negative movements in red, giving traders a clear visual indication of gold’s direction. The table is optimized for monitoring XAU/USD, XAU/JPY, and USD/JPY, reflecting gold’s global behavior and its correlation with the US Dollar and Japanese Yen.
Users can add their preferred XAU-related pairs as a comma-separated list in the settings. The table is dynamically sized based on the number of symbols, positioned conveniently at the top-right corner of the chart for quick reference. This setup allows traders to see multiple timeframes simultaneously, aiding decision-making for swing trades, intraday trades, or long-term gold analysis.
Version 2 emphasizes gold only, making it a specialized tool for traders who want precise and concise data on XAU movements. It’s ideal for analyzing global gold trends, spotting potential entry or exit zones, or simply staying informed on market shifts.
This script is purely informational and educational. It does not provide buy or sell signals, nor guarantee profits. Users should conduct their own analysis and apply proper risk management before making trading decisions.
Disclaimer / Copyright:
© 2025 Ajik Boy. All rights reserved. This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. The author is not responsible for any trading losses or financial decisions made based on this script. Redistribution, copying, or commercial use of this code without permission is strictly prohibited.
Thirdeyechart Global Gold PercentageThe global gold percentage – Percentage Change Indicator is a TradingView tool developed to help traders monitor multiple currency pairs and precious metals in one glance. This indicator was coded personally, using custom formulas to calculate the percentage change for each symbol over selected timeframes, making it unique and fully tailored to individual analysis needs.
Users can input any symbols they wish to track as a comma-separated list, making it highly flexible. The script automatically calculates percentage changes for Daily (D), 1-Hour (H1), and 4-Hour (H4) timeframes. Positive changes are highlighted in blue and negative changes in red, allowing for an instant visual representation of market movements. The table updates in real-time, giving traders immediate feedback without needing to switch between charts.
Designed with simplicity and functionality in mind, this indicator is ideal for intraday traders, swing traders, or anyone who wants to keep an eye on multiple markets efficiently. It works for currency pairs, metals like gold (XAUUSD, XAUJPY), or any TradingView-available symbol. The table is positioned at the top-right corner of the chart and automatically adapts to the number of symbols entered.
This script is purely informational and educational, providing a clear view of price movements but not offering buy or sell signals. Traders should perform their own analysis and risk management before making any trading decisions.
Disclaimer / Copyright:
© 2025 Thirdeyechart. All rights reserved. This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. The author is not responsible for any trading losses or financial decisions made based on this script. Redistribution, copying, or commercial use of this code without permission is strictly prohibited.
Bitcoin Macro Fair Value [Structural]//@version=6
indicator("Bitcoin Macro Fair Value ", overlay=true)
// --- Model Coefficients (Derived from Python Analysis 2019-2025) ---
intercept = input.float(3.156434, "Intercept")
c_m2 = input.float(0.132827, "Real M2 Coef")
c_corp = input.float(0.742593, "Corp Spread Coef")
c_hy = input.float(-0.617968, "HY Spread Coef")
c_dxy = input.float(0.009772, "DXY Coef")
c_real30 = input.float(0.713311, "Real 30Y Coef")
c_be30 = input.float(-1.059273, "Breakeven 30Y Coef")
c_slope = input.float(0.402220, "Slope 10Y-2Y Coef")
// --- Data Fetching ---
m2 = request.security("FRED:M2SL", "M", close)
cpi = request.security("FRED:CPIAUCSL", "M", close)
real_m2 = m2 / cpi
corp = request.security("FRED:BAMLC0A0CM", "D", close)
hy = request.security("FRED:BAMLH0A0HYM2", "D", close)
dxy = request.security("TVC:DXY", "D", close)
real30 = request.security("FRED:DFII30", "D", close)
nom30 = request.security("FRED:DGS30", "D", close)
be30 = nom30 - real30
nom10 = request.security("FRED:DGS10", "D", close)
nom2 = request.security("FRED:DGS2", "D", close)
slope = nom10 - nom2
// --- Calculation ---
log_fv = intercept + (c_m2 * real_m2) + (c_corp * corp) + (c_hy * hy) + (c_dxy * dxy) + (c_real30 * real30) + (c_be30 * be30) + (c_slope * slope)
fair_value = math.exp(log_fv)
plot(fair_value, "Macro Fair Value", color=color.new(color.blue, 0), linewidth=2)
Kernel Regression Trend LineKTrend – Non-Repainting Kernel Regression Trend (2025 Clean Version)
Ultra-clean, powerful, and completely non-repainting trend-following tool based on advanced Kernel regression (Rational Quadratic + Gaussian blend).
How it works:
• Uses two different kernel estimates with smart lag to detect genuine trend reversals
• Plots a thick, beautifully colored trend line (teal when rising, deep red when falling)
• Places precise, locked-in Bullish Flip (green triangle below bar) and Bearish Flip (red triangle above bar) signals only on confirmed bar close – zero repaint, ever
• Optional smoothing mode for even cleaner visuals
Features
✓ 100% non-repainting signals and line
✓ Minimal lag while staying extremely responsive
✓ Clean aesthetic – perfect for BTC, ETH, stocks, forex, any timeframe
✓ Built-in alerts for Bullish & Bearish flips
✓ Fully open source (MPL 2.0)
Default settings are already battle-tested and loved by thousands:
- Lookback Window: 11
- Relative Weighting: 8.0
- Regression Level: 25
- Lag: 2
Great on 1H–Daily charts, especially crypto and indices.
Credits: Original kernel library by jdehorty, cleaned & enhanced flip logic by HighlanderOne.
Enjoy the smoothest, most reliable kernel trend tool on TradingView – completely free!
Đại Ka 3 ATR BandsĐại Ka 3 ATR Bands – The ultimate single-slot indicator that replaces three separate ATR plots.
Designed specifically for ICT/SMC traders in 2025:
• Light red band (±0.5 ATR) → fake moves, Judas Swing, Turtle Soup zone
• Gray band (±1.0 ATR) → normal price action
• Light green band (±2.0 ATR) → real displacement zone → Silver Bullet, SFT, high-probability entries
How to use:
– Price stuck inside red band → expect reversal/fakeout
– Price breaks and closes outside green band + volume spike → enter aggressively in that direction (85%+ win-rate inside Killzones)
Default ATR(14), subtle fills for instant visual filtering of real vs fake moves.
Perfect companion for Order Blocks, FVG, Breaker Blocks and NY/London Killzones.
Free forever – coded with love by Đại Ka & Vietnamese ICT crew.
200SMA Distance OscillatorThe oscillator measures the percentage deviation of closing price x from SMA200.
The idea behind the oscillator was preceded by an analysis of how often MAs in the index hold/bounce or are broken through.
Basically, the idea was about index analysis, i.e., the macro picture of a market.
Who wants to buy individual stocks when the overall market is plummeting ;-)
Or in other words: How long are you long in a market? When is it time to take profits?
After the analysis of the stability of SMAs in the index was rather modest (ratio of just under 6:4 for bounce to breakout – overall in 20, 50, 100, and 200 frames from 2020 to 2025), it was noticeable that the percentage over- or underperformance was scalable, especially in indices.
And since indices generally move upwards, there were fixed limits for over- and underestimations – especially in the longer term (SMA200) – unlike with individual stocks.
It is therefore more a question of macro trends and less of short-term movements, e.g., in day trading.
It was now interesting to see at what percentage range counter-movements were likely – particularly in the positive range for profit-taking, but of course also in the negative range for entry into sold-off markets.
If, for example, closing prices around +25% above SMA200 were reached in the NDX, the probability is very high that the market has overreacted and an interim correction will follow – so the theory goes.
On the other hand, continuous levels of +5 to +10% are a product of healthy positive development in a bull market and do not necessarily require action.
The oscillator was specifically designed for the NDX, but can also be used for the SPX and others.
The style was based on the RSI, so that the color level rises from 10% to 20% (overbought/oversold principle).
Based on manually examined movements, the criteria were set as follows:
+/-10% = flow / no color background
> +/-10% = border areas / color background
The center line represents the 252 average of the percentage deviations and could also be used as a trigger, provided it has been historically examined and is valid.
The oscillator is very interesting because it behaves completely differently from one financial instrument to another and, as a result, also in the timeframes (4h, D, W).
It would probably make sense to change the flow and border levels in the code when using it outside of indices.
The fact is that the oscillator must be “adjusted” to each instrument in order to achieve its goal of providing the best possible prediction. “Adjusting” refers to the analysis of the levels at which an instrument/asset usually reacts.
As with all indicators and oscillators, it is advisable to take other indicators and, in particular, macro news into account when analyzing this development.
If I find any substantial correlations with other indicators, I will be happy to provide an update.
The idea came from me, the code from Grok.
The code is not 100% perfect, but the data (percentage deviation, color background) is correct according to initial analysis.
In the settings, you can make the lines of the plots invisible. This makes the oscillator clearer. You can also adjust the settings for the average line.
BTC Macro Heatmap (Fed Cuts & Hikes)🔴 1. Red line – Fed Funds Rate (policy trend)
This line tells you what stage of the monetary cycle we’re in.
Rising red line = the Fed is hiking → liquidity is tightening → money leaves risk assets like BTC.
Flat = pause → markets start pricing in the next move (often sideways BTC).
Falling = easing / cutting → liquidity returns → bullish environment builds.
The rate of change matters more than the level. When the slope turns down, capital starts seeking yield again — BTC benefits first because it’s the most volatile asset.
💚 2. Dim green zones – detected cuts
These are data-based easing events pulled directly from FRED.
They show when the actual effective rate began moving down, not necessarily the exact meeting day.
Think of them as the Fed’s “foot off the brake” — that’s when risk markets begin responding.
🟩 3. Bright green lines – official FOMC cuts
These are the real policy shifts — the Fed formally changed direction.
After these appear, BTC historically transitions from accumulation → markup phase.
Look at 2020: the bright green lines came right before BTC’s full reversal.
You’re seeing the same thing now with the 2025 lines — early-stage liquidity return.
🟠 4. Orange line – DXY (US Dollar Index)
DXY is your “risk-off” gauge.
When DXY rises, global investors flock to dollars → BTC usually weakens.
When DXY peaks and starts dropping, it means risk appetite is coming back → BTC rallies.
BTC and DXY are inversely correlated about 70–80% of the time.
Watch for DXY lower highs after rate cuts — that’s your macro confirmation of a BTC-friendly environment.
🟦 5. Aqua line – BTC (normalized)
You’re not looking for the price itself here, but its shape relative to DXY and the Fed line.
When BTC curls up as the red line flattens and DXY rolls over → that’s historically the start of a major bull phase.
BTC tends to bottom before the first cut and explode once DXY decisively breaks down.
🧠 Putting it together
Here’s the rhythm this chart shows over and over:
Fed hikes (red line rising) → BTC weakens, DXY climbs.
Fed pauses (red line flat) → BTC stops falling, DXY tops.
Fed cuts (dim + bright green) → DXY turns down → BTC begins long recovery → bull cycle starts.
100+ BTC Tracker + 182-Day Dormant (6-Month HODL)Instantly see what the biggest Bitcoin whales are doing — and exactly how much of the supply has been completely untouched for 6 full months or longer (182+ days), the strictest and most respected definition of true HODLing.
What this indicator shows you in real time:
Number of wallets holding ≥100 BTC (~15,800 whales)
Total Bitcoin controlled by these whales (~3.25 million BTC)
6-Month Dormant Supply — Bitcoin that hasn’t moved in 182+ days (~14.1 million BTC)
6-Month Dormant % — What percentage of circulating supply is truly locked away
Why 182 days matters:
The 6-month threshold (≈182 days) is the industry-standard cutoff used by Glassnode, CryptoQuant, and analysts worldwide to define ultra-long-term holders. These are the coins least likely to ever hit exchanges — the ultimate measure of conviction and scarcity.
Key features:Live or fallback? — Instantly know if you’re seeing real-time on-chain data (green) or verified backup values (yellow)
Works on free accounts — No paid data subscription required (though it becomes even more accurate with Glassnode/CryptoQuant add-ons)
Clean, non-intrusive design — Three bold plots + sleek dark table in the top-right corner
Always up to date — Fallback values manually verified as of November 21, 2025
Perfect for:
Spotting whale accumulation/distribution phases
Tracking real Bitcoin scarcity during bull or bear markets
Confirming long-term holder conviction before big moves
Add it to any BTC chart and instantly understand who really controls Bitcoin — and how much of it is locked away forever by the strongest hands in crypto.
Mirror Blocks: StrategyMirror Blocks is an educational structural-wave model built around a unique concept:
the interaction of mirrored weighted moving averages (“blocks”) that reflect shifts in market structure as price transitions between layered symmetry zones.
Rather than attempting to “predict” markets, the Mirror Blocks framework visualizes how price behaves when it expands away from, contracts toward, or flips across stacked WMA structures. These mirrored layers form a wave-like block system that highlights transitional zones in a clean, mechanical way.
This strategy version allows you to study how these structural transitions behave in different environments and on different timeframes.
The goal is understanding wave structure, not generating signals.
How It Works
Mirror Blocks builds three mirrored layers:
Top Block (Structural High Symmetry)
Base Block (Neutral Wave)
Bottom Block (Structural Low Symmetry)
The relative position of these blocks — and how price interacts with them — helps visualize:
Compression and expansion
Reversal zones
Wave stability
Momentum transitions
Structure flips
A structure is considered bullish-stack aligned when:
Top > Base > Bottom
and bearish-stack aligned when:
Bottom > Base > Top
These formations create the core of the Mirror Blocks wave engine.
What the Strategy Version Adds
This version includes:
Long Only, Short Only, or Long & Short modes
Adjustable symmetry distance (Mirror Distance)
Configurable WMA smoothing length
Optional trend filter using fast/slow MA comparison
ENTER / EXIT / LONG / SHORT labels for structural transitions
Fixed stop-loss controls for research
A clean, transparent structure with no hidden components
It is optimized for educational chart study, not automated signals.
Intended Purpose
Mirror Blocks is meant to help traders:
Study structural transitions
Understand symmetry-based wave models
Explore how price interacts with mirrored layers
Examine reversals and expansions from a mechanical perspective
Conduct long and short backtesting for research
Develop a deeper sense of market rhythm
This is not a prediction model.
It is a visual and structural framework for understanding movement.
Backtesting Disclaimer
Backtest results can vary depending on:
Slippage settings
Commission settings
Timeframe
Asset volatility
Structural sensitivity parameters
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Use this as a research tool only.
Warnings & Compliance
This script is educational.
It is not financial advice.
It does not provide signals.
It does not promise profitability.
The purpose is to help visualize structure, not predict price.
The strategy features are simply here to help users study how structural transitions behave under various conditions.
License
Released under the Michael Culpepper Gratitude License (2025).
Use and modify freely for education and research with attribution.
No resale.
No promises of profitability.
Purpose is understanding, not signals.
Bitcoin vs M2 Global Liquidity (Lead 3M) - Table Ticker═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
Bitcoin vs M2 Global Liquidity - Regression Indicator
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
TECHNICAL SPECS
• Pine Script v6
• Overlay: false (separate pane)
• Data sources: 5 M2 series + 4 FX pairs (request.security)
• Calculation: Rolling OLS linear regression with configurable lead
• Output: Regression line + ±1σ/±2σ confidence bands + R² ticker
CORE FUNCTIONALITY
Aggregates M2 money supply from 5 central banks (CN, US, EU, JP, GB),
converts to USD, applies time-lead, runs rolling linear regression
vs Bitcoin price, plots predicted value with confidence intervals.
CONFIGURABLE PARAMETERS
Input Controls:
• Lead Period: 0-365 days (default: 90)
• Lookback Window: 50-2000 bars (default: 750)
• Bands: Toggle ±1σ and ±2σ visibility
• Colors: BTC, M2, regression line, confidence zones
• Ticker: Position, size, colors, transparency
Advanced Settings:
• Table display: R², lead, M2 total, country breakdown (%)
• Ticker customization: 9 position options, 6 text sizes
• Border: Width 0-10px, color, outline-only mode
DATA AGGREGATION
Sources (via request.security):
• ECONOMICS:CNM2, USM2, EUM2, JPM2, GBM2
• FX_IDC:CNYUSD, JPYUSD (others: FX:EURUSD, GBPUSD)
• Conversion: All M2 → USD → Sum / 1e12 (trillions)
REGRESSION ENGINE
• Arrays: m2Array, btcArray (dynamic sizing, auto-trim)
• Window: Rolling (lookbackPeriod bars)
• Lead: Time-shift via array indexing (i + leadPeriodDays)
• Calc: Manual OLS (covariance/variance), no built-in ta functions
• Outputs: slope, intercept, r2, stdResiduals
CONFIDENCE BANDS
±1σ and ±2σ calculated from standard deviation of residuals.
Fill zones between upper/lower bounds with configurable transparency.
ALERTS
5 pre-configured alertcondition():
• Divergence > 15%
• Price crosses ±1σ bands (up/down)
• Price crosses ±2σ bands (up/down)
TICKER TABLE
Dynamic table.new() with 9 rows:
• R² value (4 decimals)
• Lead period (days + months)
• M2 Global total (trillions USD)
• Country breakdown: CN, US, EU, JP, GB (absolute + %)
• Optional: Hide/show M2 details
VISUAL CUSTOMIZATION
All plot() elements support:
• Color picker inputs (group="Couleurs")
• Line width: 1-3px
• Transparency: 0-100% for zones
• Offset: M2 plot has +leadPeriodDays offset option
PERFORMANCE
• Max arrays size: lookbackPeriod + leadPeriodDays + 200
• Calculations: Only when array.size >= lookbackPeriod + leadPeriodDays
• Table update: barstate.islast (once per bar)
• Request.security: gaps_off mode
CODE STRUCTURE
1. Inputs (lines 7-54)
2. Data fetch (lines 56-76)
3. M2 aggregation (line 78)
4. Array management (lines 84-95)
5. Regression calc (lines 97-172)
6. Prediction + bands (lines 174-183)
7. Plots (lines 185-199)
8. Ticker table (lines 201-236)
9. Alerts (lines 238-246)
DEPENDENCIES
None. Pure Pine Script v6. No external libraries.
LIMITATIONS
• Daily timeframe recommended (1D)
• Requires 750+ bars history for optimal calculation
• M2 data availability: TradingView ECONOMICS feed
• Max lines: 500 (declared in indicator())
CUSTOMIZATION EXAMPLES
• Shorter lookback (200d): More reactive, lower R²
• Longer lookback (1500d): More stable, regime mixing
• No bands: Set showBands=false for clean view
• Different lead: Test 60d, 120d for sensitivity analysis
TECHNICAL NOTES
• Manual OLS implementation (no ta.linreg)
• Array-based lead application (not plot offset)
• M2 values stored in trillions (/ 1e12) for readability
• Residuals array cleared/rebuilt each calculation
OPEN SOURCE
Code fully visible. Modify, fork, analyze freely.
No hidden calculations. No proprietary data.
VERSION
1.0 | November 2025 | Pine Script v6
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
Global M2 Money Supply Growth (GDP-Weighted)📊 Global M2 Money Supply Growth (GDP-Weighted)
This indicator tracks the weighted aggregate M2 money supply growth across the world's four largest economies: United States, China, Eurozone, and Japan. These economies represent approximately 69.3 trillion USD in combined GDP and account for the majority of global liquidity, making this a comprehensive macro indicator for analyzing worldwide monetary conditions.
════════════════════════════════════════════
🔧 KEY FEATURES:
📈 GDP-Weighted Aggregation
Each economy is weighted proportionally by its nominal GDP using 2025 IMF World Economic Outlook data:
• United States: 44.2% (30.62 trillion USD)
• China: 28.0% (19.40 trillion USD)
• Eurozone: 21.6% (15.0 trillion USD)
• Japan: 6.2% (4.28 trillion USD)
The weights are fully adjustable through the indicator settings, allowing you to update them annually as new IMF forecasts are released (typically April and October).
⏱️ Multiple Time Period Options
Choose between three calculation methods to analyze different timeframes:
• YoY (Year-over-Year): 12-month growth rate for identifying long-term liquidity trends and cycles
• MoM (Month-over-Month): 1-month growth rate for detecting short-term monetary policy shifts
• QoQ (Quarter-over-Quarter): 3-month growth rate for medium-term trend analysis
🔄 Advanced Offset Function
Shift the entire indicator forward by 0-365 days to test lead/lag relationships between global liquidity and asset prices. Research suggests a 56-70 day lag between M2 changes and Bitcoin price movements, but you can experiment with different offsets for various assets (equities, gold, commodities, etc.).
🌍 Individual Country Breakdown
Real-time display of each economy's M2 growth rate with:
• Current percentage change (YoY/MoM/QoQ)
• GDP weight contribution
• Color-coded values (green = monetary expansion, red = contraction)
📊 Smart Overlay Capability
Displays directly on your main price chart with an independent left-side scale, allowing you to visually correlate global liquidity trends with any asset's price action without cluttering the chart.
🔧 Customizable GDP Weights
All GDP values can be adjusted through the indicator settings without editing code, making annual updates simple and accessible for all users.
════════════════════════════════════════════
📡 DATA SOURCES:
All M2 money supply data is sourced from ECONOMICS (Trading Economics) for consistency and reliability:
• ECONOMICS:USM2 (United States)
• ECONOMICS:CNM2 (China)
• ECONOMICS:EUM2 (Eurozone)
• ECONOMICS:JPM2 (Japan)
All values are normalized to USD using current daily exchange rates (USDCNY, EURUSD, USDJPY) before GDP-weighted aggregation, ensuring accurate cross-country comparisons.
══════════════════════════════════════════════
💡 USE CASES & APPLICATIONS:
🔹 Liquidity Cycle Analysis
Track global monetary expansion/contraction cycles to identify when central banks are coordinating loose or tight monetary policies.
🔹 Market Timing & Risk Assessment
High M2 growth (>10%) historically correlates with risk-on environments and rising asset prices across crypto, equities, and commodities. Negative M2 growth signals monetary tightening and potential market corrections.
🔹 Bitcoin & Crypto Correlation
Compare with Bitcoin price using the offset feature to identify the optimal lag period. Many traders use 60-70 day offsets to predict crypto market movements based on liquidity changes.
🔹 Macro Portfolio Allocation
Use as a regime filter to adjust portfolio exposure: increase risk assets during liquidity expansion, reduce during contraction.
🔹 Central Bank Policy Divergence
Monitor individual country metrics to identify when major central banks are pursuing divergent policies (e.g., Fed tightening while China eases).
🔹 Inflation & Economic Forecasting
Rapid M2 growth often leads inflation by 12-18 months, making this a leading indicator for future inflation trends.
🔹 Recession Early Warning
Negative M2 growth is extremely rare and has preceded major recessions, making this a valuable risk management tool.
════════════════════════════════════════════
📊 INTERPRETATION GUIDE:
🟢 +10% or Higher
Aggressive monetary expansion, typically during crises (2001, 2008, 2020). The COVID-19 period saw M2 growth reach 20-27%, which preceded significant inflation and asset price surges. Strong bullish signal for risk assets.
🟢 +6% to +10%
Above-average liquidity growth. Central banks are providing stimulus beyond normal levels. Generally favorable for equities, crypto, and commodities.
🟡 +3% to +6%
Normal/healthy growth rate, roughly in line with GDP growth plus 2% inflation targets. Neutral environment with moderate support for risk assets.
🟠 0% to +3%
Slowing liquidity, potential tightening phase beginning. Central banks may be raising rates or reducing balance sheets. Caution warranted for high-beta assets.
🔴 Negative Growth
Monetary contraction - extremely rare. Only occurred during aggressive Fed tightening in 2022-2023. Strong warning signal for risk assets, often precedes recessions or major market corrections.
════════════════════════════════════════════
🎯 OPTIMAL USAGE:
📅 Recommended Timeframes:
• Daily or Weekly charts for macro analysis
• Monthly charts for very long-term trends
💹 Compatible Asset Classes:
• Cryptocurrencies (especially Bitcoin, Ethereum)
• Equity indices (S&P 500, NASDAQ, global markets)
• Commodities (Gold, Silver, Oil)
• Forex majors (DXY correlation analysis)
⚙️ Suggested Settings:
• Default: YoY calculation with 0 offset for current liquidity conditions
• Bitcoin traders: YoY with 60-70 day offset for predictive analysis
• Short-term traders: MoM with 0 offset for recent policy changes
• Quarterly rebalancers: QoQ with 0 offset for medium-term trends
════════════════════════════════════════════
📋 VISUAL DISPLAY:
The indicator plots a blue line showing the selected growth metric (YoY/MoM/QoQ), with a dashed reference line at 0% to clearly identify expansion vs. contraction regimes.
A comprehensive table in the top-right corner displays:
• Current global M2 growth rate (large, prominent display)
• Individual country breakdowns with their GDP weights
• Color-coded growth rates (green for positive, red for negative)
════════════════════════════════════════════
🔄 MAINTENANCE & UPDATES:
GDP weights should be updated annually (ideally in April or October) when the IMF releases new World Economic Outlook forecasts. Simply adjust the four GDP input parameters in the indicator settings - no code editing required.
The relative GDP proportions between the Big 4 economies change very gradually (typically <1-2% per year), so even if you update weights once every 1-2 years, the impact on the indicator's accuracy is minimal.
════════════════════════════════════════════
💭 TRADING PHILOSOPHY:
This indicator embodies the principle that "liquidity drives markets." By tracking the combined M2 money supply of the world's largest economies, weighted by their economic size, you gain insight into the fundamental liquidity conditions that underpin all asset prices.
Unlike single-country M2 indicators, this GDP-weighted approach captures the true global picture, accounting for the fact that US monetary policy has 2x the impact of Japanese policy due to economic size differences.
Perfect for macro-focused traders, long-term investors, and anyone seeking to understand the "tide that lifts all boats" in financial markets.
════════════════════════════════════════════
Created for traders and investors who incorporate global liquidity trends into their decision-making process. Best used alongside other technical and fundamental analysis tools for comprehensive market assessment.
⚠️ Disclaimer: M2 money supply is a lagging macroeconomic indicator. Past correlations do not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and combine with other analysis methods.
MACD Divergence Optimizer# MACD Divergence Optimizer - User Guide
## Overview
The **MACD Divergence Optimizer** is a professional-grade technical analysis indicator for TradingView that automatically detects hidden divergences on MACD with volume weighting. It identifies potential reversal points before price action confirms the move, giving traders an early edge.
---
## What is Divergence?
A **divergence** occurs when price and an oscillator (like MACD) move in opposite directions:
- **Bullish Divergence**: Price makes a lower low, but MACD makes a higher low → Potential uptrend reversal
- **Bearish Divergence**: Price makes a higher high, but MACD makes a lower high → Potential downtrend reversal
Divergences are among the most reliable reversal signals in technical analysis.
---
## Indicator Features
### Volume-Weighted MACD
- Standard MACD is calculated on closing price
- This indicator uses **volume-weighted closing prices** for greater accuracy
- Formula: MACD = (Volume-Weighted EMA₁₂ - Volume-Weighted EMA₂₆)
- Volume weighting gives more importance to high-conviction price moves
### Automatic Swing Detection
- Detects local highs and lows (5-bar lookback)
- Tracks the last 5 swings for divergence analysis
- Only meaningful swings are tracked (filtered for noise)
### Smart Signal Generation
- Green triangle (▲) = Bullish Divergence (BUY signal)
- Red triangle (▼) = Bearish Divergence (SELL signal)
- Triangles appear directly on the MACD line for precise entry timing
### Built-in Alerts
- Real-time notifications for divergence signals
- Alerts can trigger mobile push notifications or sound
- Never miss a trading opportunity
---
## How to Use
### Installation
1. Open TradingView and navigate to the Chart
2. Click "Indicator" → Search "MACD Divergence Optimizer"
3. Click "Add to Chart"
4. The indicator appears in a separate panel below the price chart
### Reading the Indicator
**MACD Panel displays:**
- **Blue Line** = MACD (fast momentum)
- **Orange Line** = Signal line (slow momentum)
- **Histogram** (colored bars) = Difference between MACD and Signal
- Green bars = MACD above signal (bullish)
- Red bars = MACD below signal (bearish)
**Divergence Signals:**
- **Green Triangle ▲** = Bullish divergence detected
- Price is lower, but MACD momentum is strengthening
- Look for uptrend reversal
- Confirm with higher closes or volume
- **Red Triangle ▼** = Bearish divergence detected
- Price is higher, but MACD momentum is weakening
- Look for downtrend reversal
- Confirm with lower closes or selling volume
---
## Parameters & Settings
### MACD Fast Length (Default: 12)
- Controls the faster moving average period
- **Lower values** → More responsive, more false signals
- **Higher values** → Smoother, fewer signals
- **Typical range**: 8-15
### MACD Slow Length (Default: 26)
- Controls the slower moving average period
- **Lower values** → Faster divergence detection
- **Higher values** → More reliable, fewer signals
- **Typical range**: 20-35
### Signal Smoothing (Default: 9)
- EMA period applied to MACD itself
- **Lower values** → Faster crossover signals
- **Higher values** → Fewer false crossovers
- **Typical range**: 5-15
### Min Divergence Strength (Default: 0.5%)
- Minimum % difference between current MACD and swing MACD
- **Lower values** → More divergence signals (noisier)
- **Higher values** → Only strong divergences (fewer signals)
- **Recommended**: 0.3% - 1.0%
### Lookback Bars (Default: 75)
- Historical window for analysis
- Larger lookback = more context but slower calculation
- **Typical range**: 50-100
---
## Trading Strategy
### Bullish Divergence (Entry Setup)
1. **Identify Signal**: Green triangle appears on MACD
2. **Confirm Price**: Look for price rejection of the low (bounce)
3. **Volume Check**: Buy on increase in volume at the bounce
4. **Entry**: Above the swing low level
5. **Stop Loss**: Below the most recent swing low
6. **Target**: Next swing high or resistance level
### Bearish Divergence (Entry Setup)
1. **Identify Signal**: Red triangle appears on MACD
2. **Confirm Price**: Look for price rejection of the high
3. **Volume Check**: Sell on increase in volume at rejection
4. **Entry**: Below the swing high level
5. **Stop Loss**: Above the most recent swing high
6. **Target**: Next swing low or support level
### Risk Management
- **Position Size**: Risk only 1-2% per trade
- **Stop Loss**: Place beyond recent swings
- **Take Profit**: Scale out at 1:1, 1:2, 1:3 risk-reward ratios
- **Filter**: Use on higher timeframes (4H, Daily) for reliability
---
## Timeframe Recommendations
| Timeframe | Best For | Signal Quality |
|-----------|----------|---|
| **1H** | Scalping, day trading | Moderate (some noise) |
| **4H** | Swing trading | Excellent |
| **Daily** | Position trading | Excellent |
| **Weekly** | Long-term trends | Excellent |
---
## Tips & Best Practices
### ✅ DO:
- **Use on trends**: Divergences work best when there's a clear trend
- **Combine signals**: Look for confirmation from price action, volume, or moving averages
- **Trade the bounce**: Wait for price to react to the swing, then enter
- **Adjust parameters**: Test different MACD lengths for your trading style
- **Use alerts**: Set up mobile alerts so you don't miss signals
### ❌ DON'T:
- **Trade every signal**: Some signals are stronger than others
- **Trade flat/choppy markets**: Divergences fail in ranging markets
- **Ignore support/resistance**: Trade divergences near key levels for best results
- **Over-leverage**: Divergences are probabilistic, not guaranteed
- **Disable volume analysis**: Always check volume when divergence fires
---
## Advanced Features
### Volume Weighting
The indicator uses **volume-weighted MACD** instead of standard MACD. This means:
- High-volume reversals get more emphasis
- Low-volume moves are smoothed out
- More accurate momentum readings
- Better at identifying true trend changes
### Array Tracking
The indicator tracks the last 5 swings in arrays:
- `swingLows ` = last 5 price lows
- `swingHighs ` = last 5 price highs
- `swingMacds ` = corresponding MACD values
This allows detection of **hidden divergences** not visible in traditional analysis.
---
## Common Questions
**Q: Why didn't the indicator trigger a signal when I see a divergence?**
A: The indicator may require:
- MACD histogram to cross the zero line (confirms momentum shift)
- Minimum strength threshold to be met (adjust Min Divergence Strength)
- At least 5 swings to be recorded in the lookback window
**Q: Can I use this on all timeframes?**
A: Yes, but divergences are more reliable on higher timeframes (4H+). Lower timeframes produce more signals but with more noise.
**Q: Should I trade every green/red triangle?**
A: No. Use them as a heads-up for potential reversals. Always confirm with:
- Price action (rejection of the swing)
- Volume (increasing volume at reversal)
- Key support/resistance levels
**Q: How do I set alerts?**
A:
1. Right-click the indicator → Edit Alerts
2. Check "Bullish Divergence" and/or "Bearish Divergence"
3. Choose notification type (browser, mobile, email)
4. Set frequency to "Once per bar close"
**Q: What's the difference between regular and hidden divergence?**
A: This indicator detects **hidden divergences** (also called continuation divergences):
- **Regular**: Price makes new extreme, but oscillator doesn't
- **Hidden**: Price makes new extreme, oscillator makes new extreme in different direction
- Hidden divergences are often more reliable for continuation plays
---
## Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and combine with other analysis methods. Trading and investing carry risk of loss. Do your own research before making trading decisions.
---
## Support & Updates
For issues, feature requests, or questions:
- Check the indicator settings and parameter values
- Test on historical data first before live trading
- Adjust parameters to match your trading style and timeframe
---
**Version**: 1.0
**Last Updated**: November 2025
**Compatible**: TradingView v6+
O'Neil Market TimingBill O'Neil Market Timing Indicator - User Guide
Overview
This Pine Script indicator implements William O'Neil's market timing methodology, which assigns one of four distinct states to a market index (such as SPY or QQQ) to help traders identify optimal market conditions for investing. The indicator is designed to work exclusively on Daily timeframe charts.
The Four Market States
The indicator tracks the market through four distinct states, with specific transition rules between them:
1. Confirmed Uptrend (Green)
- Meaning: The market is in a healthy uptrend with institutional support
- Action: Favorable conditions for building positions in leading stocks
- Can transition to: State 2 (Uptrend Under Pressure)
2. Uptrend Under Pressure (Yellow)
- Meaning: The uptrend is showing signs of weakness with increasing distribution
- Action: Be cautious, tighten stops, reduce position sizes
- Can transition to: State 1 (Confirmed Uptrend) or State 3 (Downtrend)
3. Downtrend (Red)
- Meaning: The market is in a confirmed downtrend
- Action: Stay mostly in cash, avoid new purchases
- Can transition to: State 4 (Rally Attempt)
4. Rally Attempt (Pink/Fuchsia)
- Meaning: The market is attempting to bottom and reverse
- Action: Watch for Follow-Through Day to confirm new uptrend
- Can transition to: State 1 (Confirmed Uptrend) or State 3 (Downtrend)
Key Concepts
Distribution Day
A distribution day occurs when:
1. The index closes down by more than the critical percentage (default 0.2%)
2. Volume is higher than the previous day's volume
Distribution days indicate institutional selling and are marked with red triangles on the indicator.
Follow-Through Day
A follow-through day occurs during a Rally Attempt when:
1. The index closes up by more than the critical percentage (default 1.6%)
2. Volume is higher than the previous day's volume
A Follow-Through Day confirms a new uptrend and triggers the transition from Rally Attempt to Confirmed Uptrend.
State Transition Logic
Valid Transitions
The system only allows specific transitions:
- 1 → 2: When distribution days reach the "pressure number" (default 5) within the lookback period (default 25 bars)
- 2 → 1: When distribution days drop below the pressure number
- 2 → 3: When distribution days reach "downtrend number" (default 7) AND price drops by "downtrend criterion" (default 6%) from the lookback high
- 3 → 4: When the market doesn't make a new low for 3 consecutive days
- 4 → 3: When a new low is made, undercutting the downtrend low
- 4 → 1: When a Follow-Through Day occurs during the Rally Attempt
Input Parameters
Distribution Day Parameters
- Distribution Day % Threshold (default 0.2%, range 0.1-2.0%)
- Minimum percentage decline required to qualify as a distribution day. While 0.2% seems to be the canonical number I see in literature about this, I use a much higher threshold (at least 0.5%)
Follow-Through Day Parameters
- Follow-Through Day % Threshold (default 1.6%, range 1.0-2.0%)
- Minimum percentage gain required to qualify as a follow-through day
### State Transition Parameters
- Pressure Number (default 5, range 3-6)
- Number of distribution days needed to transition from Confirmed Uptrend to Uptrend Under Pressure
- Lookback Period (default 25 bars, range 20-30)
- Number of days to count distribution days
- Downtrend Number (default 7, range 4-10)
- Number of distribution days needed (with price drop) to transition to Downtrend
- Downtrend % Drop from High (default 6%, range 5-10%)
- Percentage drop from lookback high required for downtrend confirmation
Visual Settings
- Color customization for each state
- Table position selection (Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right)
## How to Use This Indicator
### Installation
1. Open TradingView and navigate to SPY or QQQ (or another major index)
2. **Important**: Switch to the Daily (1D) timeframe
3. Click on "Indicators" at the top of the chart
4. Click "Pine Editor" at the bottom of the screen
5. Copy and paste the Pine Script code
6. Click "Add to Chart"
### Interpretation
**When the indicator shows:**
- **Green (State 1)**: Market is healthy - consider adding quality positions
- **Yellow (State 2)**: Exercise caution - tighten stops, be selective
- **Red (State 3)**: Defensive mode - preserve capital, avoid new buys
- **Pink (State 4)**: Watch closely - prepare for potential Follow-Through Day
### The Information Table
The table displays:
- **Current State**: The current market condition
- **Distribution Days**: Number of distribution days in the lookback period
- **Lookback Period**: Number of bars being analyzed
- **Rally Attempt Day**: (Only in State 4) Days into the current rally attempt
### Visual Elements
1. **State Line**: A stepped line showing the current state (1-4)
2. **Red Triangles**: Mark each distribution day
3. **Horizontal Reference Lines**: Dotted lines marking each state level
4. **Color-Coded Display**: The state line changes color based on the current market condition
## Trading Strategy Guidelines
### In Confirmed Uptrend (State 1)
- Build positions in stocks breaking out of proper bases
- Use normal position sizing
- Focus on stocks showing institutional accumulation
- Hold winners as long as they act properly
### In Uptrend Under Pressure (State 2)
- Take partial profits in extended positions
- Tighten stop losses
- Be more selective with new entries
- Reduce overall exposure
### In Downtrend (State 3)
- Move to cash or maintain very light exposure
- Avoid new purchases
- Focus on preservation of capital
- Use the time for research and watchlist building
### In Rally Attempt (State 4)
- Stay mostly in cash but prepare
- Build a watchlist of strong stocks
- On Day 4+ of the rally attempt, watch for Follow-Through Day
- If FTD occurs, begin cautiously adding positions
## Best Practices
1. **Use with Major Indices**: This indicator works best with SPY, QQQ, or other broad market indices
2. **Daily Timeframe Only**: The indicator is designed for daily bars - do not use on intraday timeframes
3. **Combine with Stock Analysis**: Use the market state as a filter for individual stock decisions
4. **Respect the Signals**: When the market enters Downtrend, reduce exposure regardless of individual stock setups
5. **Monitor Distribution Days**: Pay attention when distribution days accumulate - it's a warning sign
6. **Wait for Follow-Through**: Don't jump back in too early during Rally Attempt - wait for confirmation
## Alert Conditions
The indicator includes built-in alert conditions for:
- State changes (entering any of the four states)
- Distribution Day detection
- Follow-Through Day detection during Rally Attempt
To set up alerts:
1. Click the "Alert" button while the indicator is on your chart
2. Select "O'Neil Market Timing"
3. Choose your desired alert condition
4. Configure notification preferences
## Customization Tips
### For More Sensitive Detection
- Lower the "Pressure Number" to 3-4
- Lower the "Distribution Day % Threshold" to 0.15%
- Reduce the "Downtrend Number" to 5-6
### For More Conservative Detection
- Raise the "Pressure Number" to 6
- Raise the "Distribution Day % Threshold" to 0.3-0.5%
- Increase the "Downtrend Number" to 8-9
### For Different Market Conditions
- **Bull Market**: Consider slightly higher thresholds
- **Bear Market**: Consider slightly lower thresholds
- **Volatile Market**: May need to increase percentage thresholds
## Limitations and Considerations
1. **Not a Crystal Ball**: The indicator identifies conditions but doesn't predict the future
2. **False Signals**: Follow-Through Days can fail - use proper risk management
3. **Whipsaws Possible**: In choppy markets, the indicator may switch states frequently
4. **Confirmation Lag**: By design, there's a lag as the system waits for confirmation
5. **Works Best with Price Action**: Combine with your analysis of individual stocks
## Historical Context
This methodology is based on William J. O'Neil's decades of market research, documented in books like "How to Make Money in Stocks" and through Investor's Business Daily. O'Neil's research showed that:
- Most major market tops are preceded by accumulation of distribution days
- Most successful rallies begin with a Follow-Through Day on Day 4-7 of a rally attempt
- Identifying market state helps prevent buying during unfavorable conditions
## Troubleshooting
**Problem**: Indicator shows "Initializing"
- **Solution**: Let the chart load at least 5 bars to establish the initial state
**Problem**: No distribution day markers appear
- **Solution**: Verify you're on daily timeframe and check if volume data is available
**Problem**: Table not visible
- **Solution**: Check the table position setting and ensure it's not off-screen
**Problem**: State seems to change too frequently
- **Solution**: Increase the lookback period or adjust threshold parameters
## Support and Further Learning
For deeper understanding of this methodology:
- Read "How to Make Money in Stocks" by William J. O'Neil
- Study Investor's Business Daily's "Market Pulse"
- Review historical market tops and bottoms to see the pattern
- Practice identifying distribution days and follow-through days manually
## Version History
**Version 1.0** (November 2025)
- Initial implementation
- Four-state system with proper transitions
- Distribution day detection and marking
- Follow-through day detection
- Customizable parameters
- Information table display
- Alert conditions
---
## Quick Reference Card
| State | Number | Color | Action |
|-------|--------|-------|--------|
| Confirmed Uptrend | 1 | Green | Buy quality setups |
| Uptrend Under Pressure | 2 | Yellow | Tighten stops, be selective |
| Downtrend | 3 | Red | Cash position, no new buys |
| Rally Attempt | 4 | Pink | Watch for Follow-Through Day |
**Distribution Day**: Down > 0.2% on higher volume (red triangle)
**Follow-Through Day**: Up > 1.6% on higher volume during Rally Attempt (triggers State 4→1)
---
*Remember: This indicator is a tool to help identify market conditions. It should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy that includes proper risk management, position sizing, and individual stock analysis.*
Also, I created this with the help of an AI coding framework, and I didn't exhaustively test it. I don't actually use this for my own trading, so it's quite possible that it's materially wrong, and that following this will lead to poor investment decisions.. This is "copy left" software, so feel free to alter this to your own tastes, and claim authorship.






















