Risk & Position DashboardRisk & Position Dashboard
Overview
The Risk & Position Dashboard is a comprehensive trading tool designed to help traders calculate optimal position sizes, manage risk, and visualize potential profit/loss scenarios before entering trades. This indicator provides real-time calculations for position sizing based on account size, risk percentage, and stop-loss levels, while displaying multiple take-profit targets with customizable risk-reward ratios.
Key Features
Position Sizing & Risk Management:
Automatic position size calculation based on account size and risk percentage
Support for leveraged trading with maximum leverage limits
Fractional shares support for brokers that allow partial share trading
Real-time fee calculation including entry, stop-loss, and take-profit fees
Break-even price calculation including trading fees
Multi-Target Profit Management:
Support for up to 3 take-profit levels with individual portion allocations
Customizable risk-reward ratios for each take-profit target
Visual profit/loss zones displayed as colored boxes on the chart
Individual profit calculations for each take-profit level
Visual Dashboard:
Clean, customizable table display showing all key metrics
Configurable label positioning and styling options
Real-time tracking of whether stop-loss or take-profit levels have been reached
Color-coded visual zones for easy identification of risk and reward areas
Advanced Configuration:
Comprehensive input validation and error handling
Support for different chart timeframes and symbols
Customizable colors, fonts, and display options
Hide/show individual data fields for personalized dashboard views
How to Use
Set Account Parameters: Configure your account size, maximum risk percentage per trade, and trading fees in the "Account Settings" section.
Define Trade Setup: Use the "Entry" time picker to select your entry point on the chart, then input your entry price and stop-loss level.
Configure Take Profits: Set your desired risk-reward ratios and portion allocations for each take-profit level. The script supports 1-3 take-profit targets.
Analyze Results: The dashboard will automatically calculate and display position size, number of shares, potential profits/losses, fees, and break-even levels.
Visual Confirmation: Colored boxes on the chart show profit zones (green) and loss zones (red), with lines extending to current price levels.
Reset Entry and SL:
You can easily reset the entry and stop-loss by clicking the "Reset points..." button from the script's "More" menu.
This is useful if you want to quickly clear your current trade setup and start fresh without manually adjusting the points on the chart.
Calculations
The script performs sophisticated calculations including:
Position size based on risk amount and price difference between entry and stop-loss
Leverage requirements and position amount calculations
Fee-adjusted risk-reward ratios for realistic profit expectations
Break-even price including all trading costs
Individual profit calculations for partial position closures
Detailed Take-Profit Calculation Formula:
The take-profit prices are calculated using the following mathematical formula:
// Core variables:
// risk_amount = account_size * (risk_percentage / 100)
// total_risk_per_share = |entry_price - sl_price| + (entry_price * fee%) + (sl_price * fee%)
// shares = risk_amount / total_risk_per_share
// direction_factor = 1 for long positions, -1 for short positions
// Take-profit calculation:
net_win = total_risk_per_share * shares * RR_ratio
tp_price = (net_win + (direction_factor * entry_price * shares) + (entry_price * fee% * shares)) / (direction_factor * shares - fee% * shares)
Step-by-step example for a long position (based on screenshot):
Account Size: 2,000 USDT, Risk: 2% = 40 USDT
Entry: 102,062.9 USDT, Stop Loss: 102,178.4 USDT, Fee: 0.06%
Risk per share: |102,062.9 - 102,178.4| + (102,062.9 × 0.0006) + (102,178.4 × 0.0006) = 115.5 + 61.24 + 61.31 = 238.05 USDT
Shares: 40 ÷ 238.05 = 0.168 shares (rounded to 0.17 in display)
Position Size: 0.17 × 102,062.9 = 17,350.69 USDT
Position Amount (with 9x leverage): 17,350.69 ÷ 9 = 1,927.85 USDT
For 2:1 RR: Net win = 238.05 × 0.17 × 2 = 80.94 USDT
TP1 price = (80.94 + (1 × 102,062.9 × 0.17) + (102,062.9 × 0.0006 × 0.17)) ÷ (1 × 0.17 - 0.0006 × 0.17) = 101,464.7 USDT
For 3:1 RR: TP2 price = 101,226.7 USDT (following same formula with RR=3)
This ensures that after accounting for all fees, the actual risk-reward ratio matches the specified target ratio.
Risk Management Features
Maximum Trade Amount: Optional setting to limit position size regardless of account size
Leverage Limits: Built-in maximum leverage protection
Fee Integration: All calculations include realistic trading fees for accurate expectations
Validation: Automatic checking that take-profit portions sum to 100%
Historical Tracking: Visual indication when stop-loss or take-profit levels are reached (within last 5000 bars)
Understanding Max Trade Amount - Multiple Simultaneous Trades:
The "Max Trade Amount" feature is designed for traders who want to open multiple positions simultaneously while maintaining proper risk management. Here's how it works:
Key Concept:
- Risk percentage (2%) always applies to your full Account Size
- Max Trade Amount limits the capital allocated per individual trade
- This allows multiple trades with full risk on each trade
Example from Screenshot:
Account Size: 2,000 USDT
Max Trade Amount: 500 USDT
Risk per Trade: 2% × 2,000 = 40 USDT per trade
Stop Loss Distance: 0.11% from entry
Result: Position Size = 17,350.69 USDT with 35x leverage
Total Risk (including fees): 40.46 USDT
Multiple Trades Strategy:
With this setup, you can open:
Trade 1: 40 USDT risk, 495.73 USDT position amount (35x leverage)
Trade 2: 40 USDT risk, 495.73 USDT position amount (35x leverage)
Trade 3: 40 USDT risk, 495.73 USDT position amount (35x leverage)
Trade 4: 40 USDT risk, 495.73 USDT position amount (35x leverage)
Total Portfolio Exposure:
- 4 simultaneous trades = 4 × 495.73 = 1,982.92 USDT position amount
- Total risk exposure = 4 × 40 = 160 USDT (8% of account)
การจัดการพอร์ตการลงทุน
Position calculator (without Forex)That's an excellent idea. Here is a complete description of the simplified Pine Script v6 position size calculator, written in English.
📐 Pine Script V6 Position Size Calculator: Full Description
This Pine Script v6 indicator is a simplified, universal position size calculator designed for traders to quickly determine the exact quantity of an asset (shares, crypto units, etc.) they should trade to maintain a specific risk tolerance. It focuses solely on the most common and accessible calculation method: determining the number of units/contracts.
1. 🎯 Purpose
The primary goal of the script is to answer the question: "Given my total account capital and a defined stop-loss price, how many units of this asset can I buy/sell while only risking a specified percentage of my capital?"
It uses the classic position sizing formula:
Position Size (Units)=Risk Per UnitAccount Risk Amount
2. ⚙️ Indicator Settings (Inputs)
The script provides the user with five key adjustable parameters, all located in the indicator's settings panel:
Parameter Type Default Value Description
Capital total ($) float 10000.0 Your total trading account balance. This is the basis for calculating the risk amount.
Risque par trade (%) float 1.0 The maximum percentage of your capital you are willing to lose on this specific trade.
Prix d'Entree float 150.0 The target entry price for the trade. Since the "use current price" option was removed, this manual price is always used.
Prix Stop Loss float 145.0 The protective stop-loss price where you will exit the trade.
Simulated Fear & Greed (CNN-calibrated v2)🧭 Fear & Greed Index — TradingView Version (Simulated CNN Model)
🔍 Purpose
The Fear & Greed Index is a sentiment indicator that quantifies market emotion on a scale from 0 to 100, where:
0 represents Extreme Fear (capitulation, oversold conditions), and
100 represents Extreme Greed (euphoria, overbought conditions).
It helps traders assess whether the market is driven by fear (risk aversion) or greed (risk appetite) — giving a high-level view of potential turning points in market sentiment.
⚙️ How It Works in TradingView
Because TradingView cannot directly access CNN’s or alternative external sentiment feeds, this indicator simulates the Fear & Greed Index by analyzing in-chart technical data that reflect investor psychology.
It uses a multi-factor model, converting price and volume signals into a composite sentiment score.
🧩 Components Used (Simulated Metrics)
Category Metric Emotional Interpretation
Volatility ATR (Average True Range) High ATR = Fear, Low ATR = Greed
Momentum RSI + MACD Histogram Rising momentum = Greed, Falling = Fear
Volume Activity Volume Z-Score High positive deviation = Greed, Low = Fear
Trend Context SMA Regime Bias (50/200) Downtrend adds Fear penalty, Uptrend supports Greed
These elements are normalized into a 0–100 scale using percentile ranks (like statistical scoring) and then combined using user-adjustable weights.
⚖️ CNN-Style Calibration
The script follows CNN’s five sentiment bands for clarity:
Range Zone Colour Description
0–25 Extreme Fear 🔴 Red Panic, forced selling, capitulation risk
25–45 Fear 🟠 Orange Uncertainty, hesitation, early accumulation phase
45–55 Neutral ⚪ Gray Balanced sentiment, indecision
55–75 Greed 🟢 Light Green Optimism, trend continuation
75–100 Extreme Greed 💚 Bright Green Euphoria, risk of reversal
This structure aligns visually with CNN’s public gauge, making it easy to interpret.
Dual Harmonic-based AHR DCA (Default :BTC-ETH)A panel indicator designed for dual-asset BTC/ETH DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) decisions.
It is inspired by the Chinese community indicator "AHR999" proposed by “Jiushen”.
How to use:
Lower HM-based AHR → cheaper (potential buy zone).
Higher HM-based AHR → more expensive (potential risk zone).
Higher than Risk Threshold → consider to sell, but not suitable for DCA.
When both AHR lines are below the Risk threshold → buy the cheaper one (or split if similar).
If one AHR is above Risk → buy the other asset.
If both are above Risk → simulation shows “STOP (both risk)”.
Not limited to BTC/ETH — you can freely change symbols in the input panel
to build any dual-asset DCA pair you want (e.g., BTC/BNB, ETH/SOL, etc.).
What you’ll see:
Two lines: AHR BTC (HM) and AHR ETH (HM)
Two dashed lines: OppThreshold (green) and RiskThreshold (red)
Colored fill showing which asset is cheaper (BTC or ETH)
Buy markers:
- B = Buy BTC
- E = Buy ETH
- D = Dual (split budget)
Top-right table: prices, AHRs, thresholds, qOpp/qRisk%, simulation, P&L
Labels showing last-bar AHR values
Core idea:
Use an AHR based on Harmonic Moving Average (HM) — a ratio that measures how “cheap or expensive” price is relative to both its short-term mean and long-term trend.
The original AHR999 used SMA and was designed for BTC only.
This indicator extends it with cross-exchange percentile mapping, allowing the empirical “opportunity/risk” zones of the AHR999 (on Bitstamp) to adapt automatically to the current market pair.
The indicator derives two adaptive thresholds:
OppThreshold – opportunity zone
RiskThreshold – risk zone
These thresholds are compared with the current HM-based AHR of BTC and ETH to decide which asset is cheaper, and whether it is good to DCA or not, or considering to sell(When it in risk area).
This version uses
Display base: Binance (default: perpetual) with HM-based AHR
Percentile base: Bitstamp spot SMA-AHR (complete, stable history)
Rolling window: 2920 daily bars (~8 years) for percentile tracking
Concept summary
AHR measures the ratio of price to its long-term regression and short-term mean.
HM replaces SMA to better reflect equal-fiat-cost DCA behavior.
Cross-exchange percentile mapping (Bitstamp → Binance) keeps thresholds consistent with the original AHR999 interpretation.
Recommended settings (1D):
DCA length (harmonic): 200
Log-regression lookback: 1825 (≈5 years)
Rolling window: 2920 (≈8 years)
Reference thresholds: 0.45 / 1.20 (AHR999 empirical priors)
Tie split tolerance (ΔAHR): 0.05
Daily budget: 15 USDT (simulation)
All display options can be toggled: table, markers, labels, etc.
Notes:
When the rolling window is filled (2920 bars by default), thresholds are first calculated and then visually backfilled as left-extended lines.
The “buy markers” and “decision table” are light simulations without fees or funding costs — for rhythm and relative analysis, not backtesting.
Earnings CountdownAdd to a chart to show a text box with how long to next earnings.
Being updated to add functionality from original open source Pine script
Position Size CalculatorPosition Size Calculator (PSC) helps size trades by dollar risk.
Set your Risk Amount ($).
Choose risk unit: ADR (avg high–low) or ATR (Wilder’s, gap-aware).
Shares = round(Risk $ / risk_unit).
Capital = Shares × current close.
Small table shows Risk $, Shares, Capital, and a mapped sector ETF (e.g., XLK, XLE).
Use ATR for gap-aware sizing; ADR for a simpler range. Adjust period to fit your stop style (shorter = more responsive). PSC is display-only (no orders), works on any symbol/timeframe, and updates on the latest bar.
Trailing 12M % Gain/Lossthis script shows profit or loss for training 12 months, works only on daily time frame
Buy&Hold Profitcalculator in EuroTitle: Buy & Hold Strategy in Euro
Description:
This Pine Script implements a simple yet flexible Buy & Hold strategy denominated in Euros, suitable for a wide range of assets including cryptocurrencies, forex pairs, and stocks.
Key Features:
Custom Investment Amount: Define your invested capital in Euros.
Flexible Start & End Dates: Specify exact entry and exit dates for the strategy.
Automatic Currency Conversion: Supports assets priced in USD or USDT, converting the invested capital to chart currency using the EUR/USD exchange rate.
Single Entry and Exit: Executes a one-time Buy & Hold position based on the defined timeframe.
Profit and Performance Tracking: Calculates total profit/loss in Euros and percentage returns.
Smart Exit Label: Displays a dynamic label at the exit showing final position value, net profit/loss, and return percentage. The label automatically adjusts its position above or below the price bar for optimal visibility.
Visual Enhancements:
Position value and profit/loss plotted on the chart.
Background color highlights the active investment period.
Buy and Sell markers clearly indicate entry and exit points.
This strategy is ideal for traders and investors looking to simulate long-term positions and evaluate performance in Euro terms, even when trading USD-denominated assets.
Usage Notes:
Best used on daily charts for medium- to long-term analysis.
Adjust start and end dates, as well as invested capital, to simulate different scenarios.
Works with any asset, but currency conversion is optimized for USD or USDT-pegged instruments.
Integrated Volatility Intelligence System (IVIS) AutoKVolMind™ AutoK — Integrated Volatility Intelligence System (IVIS)
IVIS AutoK
Author: © lfu
Public Description (for publication)
VolMind™ AutoK represents an institutional-grade open-source framework for adaptive volatility intelligence and probabilistic trade management.
This system fuses Kalman-inspired KAMA smoothing, CVD dynamics, Auto K-Means clustering, entropy-based regime analysis, and a Kolmogorov–Smirnov market normality test into a single modular platform.
Key Capabilities:
Adaptive ATR Stop Bands dynamically scale with volatility, entropy, and cluster variance.
Auto KMeans Intelligence automatically selects the optimal cluster count for price structure recognition (3–10 clusters).
Entropy Module quantifies structural uncertainty and information decay within price movement.
KS-Test Integration identifies non-normal distributions, signaling regime divergence and volatility inflection.
CVD Dynamics reveal real-time directional bias via cumulative volume delta.
MSI Composite Signal fuses multi-source indicators (ATR, CVD, entropy, clusters) to model market stress and adaptive risk.
Designed for forward-looking quant traders, IVIS serves as a volatility intelligence backbone for portfolio automation, volatility forecasting, and adaptive stop-loss scaling.
Fully open-source for research and applied strategy development. Not a financial advice. DYOR.
Trade Journal ProTrade Journal Pro
A powerful, visual trading journal that enforces discipline with real-time feedback, reflective prompts, and strict risk limits — all in one clean overlay box.
Jesus is King — trade with wisdom, not emotion.
FEATURES
• AUTO-CALCULATED DAILY TRADES
→ `Trades Today = Wins + Losses + Breakevens` (no manual input needed)
• 4 ENFORCED RISK LIMITS
1. Max Trades Per Day
2. Max Risk Rule Violations
3. Max Consecutive Losses (tilt protection)
4. Max Total Losses Allowed (lifetime/session cap)
• SMART VISUAL FEEDBACK
• GREEN BOX = You hit a limit exactly → “WELL DONE!”
• RED BOX = Breached any limit → “STOP & REFLECT” + ALERT
• Dark = Normal (under all limits)
• REFLECTIVE PROMPTS (Customizable)
1. Why this setup?
2. What was my emotional state?
3. Did I follow my plan?
• LIVE ADVICE ENGINE
→ Win: “Great execution! Log what worked.”
→ Loss: “Loss = tuition. What did you learn?”
→ Breakeven: “Review entry/exit precision.”
• DAILY REMINDER
→ Always visible: “Trade the plan, not the emotion.”
• FULLY CUSTOMIZABLE
• Font size (Tiny → Huge)
• Box position (bars to the right)
• Toggle: Metrics / Prompts / Advice
• Custom colors, messages, limits
• ALERTS
• Breach any limit → Immediate alert
• Hit limit exactly → Discipline win notification
HOW TO USE
1. After each closed trade:
→ Update Wins, Losses, or Breakevens
→ Update Consecutive Losses (reset to 0 on win/BE)
→ Increment Risk Violations if you broke a rule
2. Answer the 3 prompts in your journal
3. Let the box guide your behavior:
• GREEN = Celebrate discipline
• RED = STOP TRADING. Reflect. Reset.
Perfect for day traders, swing traders, or anyone building a professional edge through journaling and risk control.
No strategy entries. No repainting. Pure accountability.
“The market is a mirror. This journal is the polish.”
Developed with integrity. Built to protect your capital — and your peace.
Stablecoin Liquidity Delta (Aggregate Market Cap Flow)Hi All,
This indicator visualizes the bar-to-bar change in the aggregate market capitalization of major stablecoins, including USDT, USDC, DAI, and others. It serves as a proxy for monitoring on-chain liquidity and measuring capital inflows or outflows across the crypto market.
Stablecoins are the primary liquidity layer of the crypto economy. Their combined market capitalization acts as a mirror of the available fiat-denominated liquidity in digital markets:
🟩 An increase in the total stablecoin market capitalization indicates new issuance (capital entering the market).
🟥 A decrease reflects redemption or burning (liquidity exiting the system).
Tracking these flows helps anticipate macro-level liquidity trends that often lead overall market direction, providing context for broader price movements.
All values are derived from TradingView’s public CRYPTOCAP tickers, which represent the market capitalization of each stablecoin. While minor deviations can occur due to small price fluctuations around the $1 peg, these figures serve as a proxy for circulating supply and net issuance across the stablecoin ecosystem.
Prev 1-Min Volume • 5% Max Shares (TTP-ready)💡 Overview
This tool was built to help Trade The Pool (TTP) traders comply with the new “5% per minute volume” rule — without needing to calculate anything manually.
It automatically tracks the previous 1-minute volume, calculates 5% of it, and compares that to your planned order size.
If your planned size is within the limit, it shows green ✅.
If you’re above, it flashes red 🚫.
And when liquidity spikes allow for more size, you’ll see a green glow and 🔔 alert — so you can size up confidently without breaking the rule.
⚙️ Features
✅ Auto-calculates 5% volume cap from the previous 1-min candle
✅ Displays previous volume, max allowed shares, and your planned size
✅ TTP “different volume” scaling option (e.g. 0.69 for 45M vs 65M real volume)
✅ Per-bar slice suggestion for 10s scalpers
✅ Corner selector (top-left, top-right, bottom-left, bottom-right)
✅ Visual glow and 🔔 alert when liquidity window opens
✅ Compact and real-time responsive on 10s charts
Pullback Levels from ATH# ATH Pullback Levels
**Assess correction depth with precision – 5%, 10%, 15%, 20% below All-Time High**
---
### Overview
This indicator draws **horizontal support lines** at **5%, 10%, 15%, and 20%** below the **All-Time High (ATH)** of any asset. Perfect for **swing traders**, **long-term investors**, and **bull market participants** who want to:
- Measure **pullback depth** in real-time
- Identify **potential support zones**
- Set **alerts** when price enters key retracement levels
---
### Features
| Feature | Description |
|--------|-------------|
| **Dynamic ATH Tracking** | Automatically updates with every new high |
| **4 Pullback Levels** | 5%, 10%, 15%, 20% below ATH |
| **Live Pullback % Label** | Shows current % drop from ATH (top-right) |
| **Customizable Lines** | Toggle visibility, change colors & styles |
| **Built-in Alerts** | Trigger on entry into each zone |
| **No Errors** | Works on 50k+ bar charts (BTC, SPX, etc.) |
| **Time-Based Lines** | Uses `xloc.bar_time` – no 500-bar future limit |
---
### How to Use
1. Apply to any chart (stocks, crypto, forex, indices)
2. Watch the **info box** for current pullback %
3. Use lines as **potential buy zones** during corrections
4. Set **alerts** to be notified when price enters a level
> Example: If ATH = $100 →
> - 5% = $95
> - 10% = $90
> - 15% = $85
> - 20% = $80
---
### Inputs
- **Show 5% / 10% / 15% / 20% Level** → Toggle on/off
- **Line Colors** → Fully customizable
- **Line Style** → Solid, Dashed, or Dotted
---
### Alerts
Create alerts directly from the indicator:
- `"Entered 5% Pullback"`
- `"Entered 10% Pullback"`
- etc.
---
### Best For
- Bull market corrections
- Long-term position sizing
- Risk management in uptrends
- Swing entries on dips
---
### Notes
- Works on **all timeframes**
- **Log scale compatible** (lines adjust correctly)
- No repainting – ATH only updates on confirmed highs
---
**Built with Pine Script v6 – Clean, fast, reliable.**
*Happy trading!*
Rolling Correlation vs Another Symbol (SPY Default)This indicator visualizes the rolling correlation between the current chart symbol and another selected asset, helping traders understand how closely the two move together over time.
It calculates the Pearson correlation coefficient over a user-defined period (default 22 bars) and plots it as a color-coded line:
• Green line → positive correlation (move in the same direction)
• Red line → negative correlation (move in opposite directions)
• A gray dashed line marks the zero level (no correlation).
The background highlights periods of strong relationship:
• Light green when correlation > +0.7 (strong positive)
• Light red when correlation < –0.7 (strong negative)
Use this tool to quickly spot diversification opportunities, confirm hedges, or understand how assets interact during different market regimes.
Forex Dynamic Lot Size CalculatorForex Dynamic Lot Size Calculator for Forex. Works on USD Base and USD Quote pairs. Provides real-time data based on stop-loss location. Allows you to know in real-time how the number of lots you need to purchase to match your risk %.
Number of Lots is calculated based on total risk. Total risk is calculated based on Stop-Loss + Commission + Spread Fees + Slippage measured in pips. Also includes data such as break-even pips, net take profit, margin required, buying power used, and a few others. All are real-time and anchored to the current price.
The intention of creating this indicator is to help with risk management. You know exactly how many lots you need to get this very moment to have your total risk at lets say $250, which includes commission fees, spread fees, and slippage.
To put it simply, if I was to enter the trade right now and willing to risk exactly $250, how many lots will I need to get right this second?
---
- To use adjust Account Settings along with other variables.
- Stop Loss Mode can be Manual or Dynamic. If you select Dynamic, then you will have to adjust Stop Loss Level to where you can see the reference line on the screen. It is at 1.1 by default. Just enter current price and the line will appear. Adjust it by dragging it to where you want your stop loss to be.
- Take Profit Mode can also be Manual or Dynamic. I just keep my TP at Manual and use Quick Access to set Quick RR levels.
- Adjust Spreads and Slippage to your liking. I tried to have TV calculate current spread, but it seem like it doesn't have access to real-life data for me like MT5 does. I just use average instead. Both are optional, depending on your broker and type of account you use.
- Pip Value for the current pair, Return on Margin, and Break-even line can be turned on and off, based on your needs. I just get the Break-even value in pips from the pannel and use that as reference where I need to relocate my stop loss to break-ever (commission + spreds + slippage).
- Panel is fully customizable based on your liking. Important fields are highlighted along with reference lines.
AlfaBitcoin Dashboard – Estrategia Combinada (Juan + Gael)Integrate the TradingView (TV) indicators with the sessions from October 16 and 21 (Gael Sánchez Smith and Juan Rodríguez). We can build an alert system or dashboard that combines what was discussed in both sessions with your custom indicators on TradingView.
Quantum Portfolio vs S&P 500 (Base: May 2, 2021)This script compares the performance of a custom Quantum Portfolio — a weighted basket of quantum computing, semiconductor, and cybersecurity stocks — against the S&P 500 Index, with both series rebased to 100 on May 2 2021.
It provides a clear, normalized view of cumulative returns, allowing you to visualize portfolio outperformance or underperformance relative to the broader market benchmark.
Quantum Portfolio vs NASDAQ (Base: May 2, 2021)This custom Pine Script indicator tracks and compares the cumulative performance of a multi-asset “Quantum Portfolio” against the NASDAQ 100 benchmark, rebased to a common starting point on May 2, 2021.
Both series are normalized to a base value of 100 on that date, allowing direct visual comparison of percentage growth or decline over time.
Thematic Portfolio: Quantum Computing & Core TechThis indicator tracks the aggregated performance of a curated thematic portfolio representing the Quantum Computing & Core Technology sector.
It combines leading equities and ETFs with predefined weights to reflect a diversified exposure across quantum hardware, AI infrastructure, and semiconductor backbones.
Composition:
Stocks: Rigetti (RGTI), IonQ (IONQ), D-Wave (QBTS), Palantir (PLTR), Intel (INTC), Arqit (ARQQ)
ETFs: BUG, QTUM, SOXX, IHAK
Methodology:
Each component’s normalized performance is weighted according to its strategic importance within the theme (R&D intensity, infrastructure leverage, and hardware dependence). The indicator dynamically aggregates the weighted series to visualize the cumulative return of the quantum computing ecosystem versus traditional benchmarks.
Intended use:
Compare thematic returns vs. S&P 500 or NASDAQ
Identify macro inflection points in the quantum tech narrative
Backtest thematic exposure strategies or structure twin-win / delta-one certificates
Note: This script is for analytical and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
5-Year Returns Chart BTCvsSPXvsGOLDvsNVDACompare between thes 4 assets:
BTC
NVDA
SPX
GOLD
With an initial 1000$ investment in the last 5 years each return
J.P. Morgan Efficiente 5 IndexJ.P. MORGAN EFFICIENTE 5 INDEX REPLICATION
Walk into any retail trading forum and you'll find the same scene playing out thousands of times a day: traders huddled over their screens, drawing trendlines on candlestick charts, hunting for the perfect entry signal, convinced that the next RSI crossover will unlock the path to financial freedom. Meanwhile, in the towers of lower Manhattan and the City of London, portfolio managers are doing something entirely different. They're not drawing lines. They're not hunting patterns. They're building fortresses of diversification, wielding mathematical frameworks that have survived decades of market chaos, and most importantly, they're thinking in portfolios while retail thinks in positions.
This divide is not just philosophical. It's structural, mathematical, and ultimately, profitable. The uncomfortable truth that retail traders must confront is this: while you're obsessing over whether the 50-day moving average will cross the 200-day, institutional investors are solving quadratic optimization problems across thirteen asset classes, rebalancing monthly according to Markowitz's Nobel Prize-winning framework, and targeting precise volatility levels that allow them to sleep at night regardless of what the VIX does tomorrow. The game you're playing and the game they're playing share the same field, but the rules are entirely different.
The question, then, is not whether retail traders can access institutional strategies. The question is whether they're willing to fundamentally change how they think about markets. Are you ready to stop painting lines and start building portfolios?
THE INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK: HOW THE PROFESSIONALS ACTUALLY THINK
When Harry Markowitz published "Portfolio Selection" in The Journal of Finance in 1952, he fundamentally altered how sophisticated investors approach markets. His insight was deceptively simple: returns alone mean nothing. Risk-adjusted returns mean everything. For this revelation, he would eventually receive the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1990, and his framework would become the foundation upon which trillions of dollars are managed today (Markowitz, 1952).
Modern Portfolio Theory, as it came to be known, introduced a revolutionary concept: through diversification across imperfectly correlated assets, an investor could reduce portfolio risk without sacrificing expected returns. This wasn't about finding the single best asset. It was about constructing the optimal combination of assets. The mathematics are elegant in their logic: if two assets don't move in perfect lockstep, combining them creates a portfolio whose volatility is lower than the weighted average of the individual volatilities. This "free lunch" of diversification became the bedrock of institutional investment management (Elton et al., 2014).
But here's where retail traders miss the point entirely: this isn't about having ten different stocks instead of one. It's about systematic, mathematically rigorous allocation across asset classes with fundamentally different risk drivers. When equity markets crash, high-quality government bonds often rally. When inflation surges, commodities may provide protection even as stocks and bonds both suffer. When emerging markets are in vogue, developed markets may lag. The professional investor doesn't predict which scenario will unfold. Instead, they position for all of them simultaneously, with weights determined not by gut feeling but by quantitative optimization.
This is what J.P. Morgan Asset Management embedded into their Efficiente Index series. These are not actively managed funds where a portfolio manager makes discretionary calls. They are rules-based, systematic strategies that execute the Markowitz framework in real-time, rebalancing monthly to maintain optimal risk-adjusted positioning across global equities, fixed income, commodities, and defensive assets (J.P. Morgan Asset Management, 2016).
THE EFFICIENTE 5 STRATEGY: DECONSTRUCTING INSTITUTIONAL METHODOLOGY
The Efficiente 5 Index, specifically, targets a 5% annualized volatility. Let that sink in for a moment. While retail traders routinely accept 20%, 30%, or even 50% annual volatility in pursuit of returns, institutional allocators have determined that 5% volatility provides an optimal balance between growth potential and capital preservation. This isn't timidity. It's mathematics. At higher volatility levels, the compounding drag from large drawdowns becomes mathematically punishing. A 50% loss requires a 100% gain just to break even. The institutional solution: constrain volatility at the portfolio level, allowing the power of compounding to work unimpeded (Damodaran, 2008).
The strategy operates across thirteen exchange-traded funds spanning five distinct asset classes: developed equity markets (SPY, IWM, EFA), fixed income across the risk spectrum (TLT, LQD, HYG), emerging markets (EEM, EMB), alternatives (IYR, GSG, GLD), and defensive positioning (TIP, BIL). These aren't arbitrary choices. Each ETF represents a distinct factor exposure, and together they provide access to the primary drivers of global asset returns (Fama and French, 1993).
The methodology, as detailed in replication research by Jungle Rock (2025), follows a precise monthly cadence. At the end of each month, the strategy recalculates expected returns and volatilities for all thirteen assets using a 126-day rolling window. This six-month lookback balances responsiveness to changing market conditions against the noise of short-term fluctuations. The optimization engine then solves for the portfolio weights that maximize expected return subject to the 5% volatility target, with additional constraints to prevent excessive concentration.
These constraints are critical and reveal institutional wisdom that retail traders typically ignore. No single ETF can exceed 20% of the portfolio, except for TIP and BIL which can reach 50% given their defensive nature. At the asset class level, developed equities are capped at 50%, bonds at 50%, emerging markets at 25%, and alternatives at 25%. These aren't arbitrary limits. They're guardrails preventing the optimization from becoming too aggressive during periods when recent performance might suggest concentrating heavily in a single area that's been hot (Jorion, 1992).
After optimization, there's one final step that appears almost trivial but carries profound implications: weights are rounded to the nearest 5%. In a world of fractional shares and algorithmic execution, why round to 5%? The answer reveals institutional practicality over mathematical purity. A portfolio weight of 13.7% and 15.0% are functionally similar in their risk contribution, but the latter is vastly easier to communicate, to monitor, and to execute at scale. When you're managing billions, parsimony matters.
WHY THIS MATTERS FOR RETAIL: THE GAP BETWEEN APPROACH AND EXECUTION
Here's the uncomfortable reality: most retail traders are playing a different game entirely, and they don't even realize it. When a retail trader says "I'm bullish on tech," they buy QQQ and that's their entire technology exposure. When they say "I need some diversification," they buy ten different stocks, often in correlated sectors. This isn't diversification in the Markowitzian sense. It's concentration with extra steps.
The institutional approach represented by the Efficiente 5 is fundamentally different in several ways. First, it's systematic. Emotions don't drive the allocation. The mathematics do. When equities have rallied hard and now represent 55% of the portfolio despite a 50% cap, the system sells equities and buys bonds or alternatives, regardless of how bullish the headlines feel. This forced contrarianism is what retail traders know they should do but rarely execute (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979).
Second, it's forward-looking in its inputs but backward-looking in its process. The strategy doesn't try to predict the next crisis or the next boom. It simply measures what volatility and returns have been recently, assumes the immediate future resembles the immediate past more than it resembles some forecast, and positions accordingly. This humility regarding prediction is perhaps the most institutional characteristic of all.
Third, and most critically, it treats the portfolio as a single organism. Retail traders typically view their holdings as separate positions, each requiring individual management. The institutional approach recognizes that what matters is not whether Position A made money, but whether the portfolio as a whole achieved its risk-adjusted return target. A position can lose money and still be a valuable contributor if it reduced portfolio volatility or provided diversification during stress periods.
THE MATHEMATICAL FOUNDATION: MEAN-VARIANCE OPTIMIZATION IN PRACTICE
At its core, the Efficiente 5 strategy solves a constrained optimization problem each month. In technical terms, this is a quadratic programming problem: maximize expected portfolio return subject to a volatility constraint and position limits. The objective function is straightforward: maximize the weighted sum of expected returns. The constraint is that the weighted sum of variances and covariances must not exceed the volatility target squared (Markowitz, 1959).
The challenge, and this is crucial for understanding the Pine Script implementation, is that solving this problem properly requires calculating a covariance matrix. This 13x13 matrix captures not just the volatility of each asset but the correlation between every pair of assets. Two assets might each have 15% volatility, but if they're negatively correlated, combining them reduces portfolio risk. If they're positively correlated, it doesn't. The covariance matrix encodes these relationships.
True mean-variance optimization requires matrix algebra and quadratic programming solvers. Pine Script, by design, lacks these capabilities. The language doesn't support matrix operations, and certainly doesn't include a QP solver. This creates a fundamental challenge: how do you implement an institutional strategy in a language not designed for institutional mathematics?
The solution implemented here uses a pragmatic approximation. Instead of solving the full covariance problem, the indicator calculates a Sharpe-like ratio for each asset (return divided by volatility) and uses these ratios to determine initial weights. It then applies the individual and asset-class constraints, renormalizes, and produces the final portfolio. This isn't mathematically equivalent to true mean-variance optimization, but it captures the essential spirit: weight assets according to their risk-adjusted return potential, subject to diversification constraints.
For retail implementation, this approximation is likely sufficient. The difference between a theoretically optimal portfolio and a very good approximation is typically modest, and the discipline of systematic rebalancing across asset classes matters far more than the precise weights. Perfect is the enemy of good, and a good approximation executed consistently will outperform a perfect solution that never gets implemented (Arnott et al., 2013).
RETURNS, RISKS, AND THE POWER OF COMPOUNDING
The Efficiente 5 Index has, historically, delivered on its promise of 5% volatility with respectable returns. While past performance never guarantees future results, the framework reveals why low-volatility strategies can be surprisingly powerful. Consider two portfolios: Portfolio A averages 12% returns with 20% volatility, while Portfolio B averages 8% returns with 5% volatility. Which performs better over time?
The arithmetic return favors Portfolio A, but compound returns tell a different story. Portfolio A will experience occasional 20-30% drawdowns. Portfolio B rarely draws down more than 10%. Over a twenty-year horizon, the geometric return (what you actually experience) for Portfolio B may match or exceed Portfolio A, simply because it never gives back massive gains. This is the power of volatility management that retail traders chronically underestimate (Bernstein, 1996).
Moreover, low volatility enables behavioral advantages. When your portfolio draws down 35%, as it might with a high-volatility approach, the psychological pressure to sell at the worst possible time becomes overwhelming. When your maximum drawdown is 12%, as might occur with the Efficiente 5 approach, staying the course is far easier. Behavioral finance research has consistently shown that investor returns lag fund returns primarily due to poor timing decisions driven by emotional responses to volatility (Dalbar, 2020).
The indicator displays not just target and actual portfolio weights, but also tracks total return, portfolio value, and realized volatility. This isn't just data. It's feedback. Retail traders can see, in real-time, whether their actual portfolio volatility matches their target, whether their risk-adjusted returns are improving, and whether their allocation discipline is holding. This transparency transforms abstract concepts into concrete metrics.
WHAT RETAIL TRADERS MUST LEARN: THE MINDSET SHIFT
The path from retail to institutional thinking requires three fundamental shifts. First, stop thinking in positions and start thinking in portfolios. Your question should never be "Should I buy this stock?" but rather "How does this position change my portfolio's expected return and volatility?" If you can't answer that question quantitatively, you're not ready to make the trade.
Second, embrace systematic rebalancing even when it feels wrong. Perhaps especially when it feels wrong. The Efficiente 5 strategy rebalances monthly regardless of market conditions. If equities have surged and now exceed their target weight, the strategy sells equities and buys bonds or alternatives. Every retail trader knows this is what you "should" do, but almost none actually do it. The institutional edge isn't in having better information. It's in having better discipline (Swensen, 2009).
Third, accept that volatility is not your friend. The retail mythology that "higher risk equals higher returns" is true on average across assets, but it's not true for implementation. A 15% return with 30% volatility will compound more slowly than a 12% return with 10% volatility due to the mathematics of return distributions. Institutions figured this out decades ago. Retail is still learning.
The Efficiente 5 replication indicator provides a bridge. It won't solve the problem of prediction no indicator can. But it solves the problem of allocation, which is arguably more important. By implementing institutional methodology in an accessible format, it allows retail traders to see what professional portfolio construction actually looks like, not in theory but in executable code. The the colorful lines that retail traders love to draw, don't disappear. They simply become less central to the process. The portfolio becomes central instead.
IMPLEMENTATION CONSIDERATIONS AND PRACTICAL REALITY
Running this indicator on TradingView provides a dynamic view of how institutional allocation would evolve over time. The labels on each asset class line show current weights, updated continuously as prices change and rebalancing occurs. The dashboard displays the full allocation across all thirteen ETFs, showing both target weights (what the optimization suggests) and actual weights (what the portfolio currently holds after price movements).
Several key insights emerge from watching this process unfold. First, the strategy is not static. Weights change monthly as the optimization recalibrates to recent volatility and returns. What worked last month may not be optimal this month. Second, the strategy is not market-timing. It doesn't try to predict whether stocks will rise or fall. It simply measures recent behavior and positions accordingly. If volatility has risen, the strategy shifts toward defensive assets. If correlations have changed, the diversification benefits adjust.
Third, and perhaps most importantly for retail traders, the strategy demonstrates that sophistication and complexity are not synonyms. The Efficiente 5 methodology is sophisticated in its framework but simple in its execution. There are no exotic derivatives, no complex market-timing rules, no predictions of future scenarios. Just systematic optimization, monthly rebalancing, and discipline. This simplicity is a feature, not a bug.
The indicator also highlights limitations that retail traders must understand. The Pine Script implementation uses an approximation of true mean-variance optimization, as discussed earlier. Transaction costs are not modeled. Slippage is ignored. Tax implications are not considered. These simplifications mean the indicator is educational and analytical, not a fully operational trading system. For actual implementation, traders would need to account for these real-world factors.
Moreover, the strategy requires access to all thirteen ETFs and sufficient capital to hold meaningful positions in each. With 5% as the rounding increment, practical implementation probably requires at least $10,000 to avoid having positions that are too small to matter. The strategy is also explicitly designed for a 5% volatility target, which may be too conservative for younger investors with long time horizons or too aggressive for retirees living off their portfolio. The framework is adaptable, but adaptation requires understanding the trade-offs.
CAN RETAIL TRULY COMPETE WITH INSTITUTIONS?
The honest answer is nuanced. Retail traders will never have the same resources as institutions. They won't have Bloomberg terminals, proprietary research, or armies of analysts. But in portfolio construction, the resource gap matters less than the mindset gap. The mathematics of Markowitz are available to everyone. ETFs provide liquid, low-cost access to institutional-quality building blocks. Computing power is essentially free. The barriers are not technological or financial. They're conceptual.
If a retail trader understands why portfolios matter more than positions, why systematic discipline beats discretionary emotion, and why volatility management enables compounding, they can build portfolios that rival institutional allocation in their elegance and effectiveness. Not in their scale, not in their execution costs, but in their conceptual soundness. The Efficiente 5 framework proves this is possible.
What retail traders must recognize is that competing with institutions doesn't mean day-trading better than their algorithms. It means portfolio-building better than their average client. And that's achievable because most institutional clients, despite having access to the best managers, still make emotional decisions, chase performance, and abandon strategies at the worst possible times. The retail edge isn't in outsmarting professionals. It's in out-disciplining amateurs who happen to have more money.
The J.P. Morgan Efficiente 5 Index Replication indicator serves as both a tool and a teacher. As a tool, it provides a systematic framework for multi-asset allocation based on proven institutional methodology. As a teacher, it demonstrates daily what portfolio thinking actually looks like in practice. The colorful lines remain on the chart, but they're no longer the focus. The portfolio is the focus. The risk-adjusted return is the focus. The systematic discipline is the focus.
Stop painting lines. Start building portfolios. The institutions have been doing it for seventy years. It's time retail caught up.
REFERENCES
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Dalbar, Inc. (2020). Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior. Boston: Dalbar.
Damodaran, A. (2008). Strategic Risk Taking: A Framework for Risk Management. Upper Saddle River: Pearson Education.
Elton, E. J., Gruber, M. J., Brown, S. J., & Goetzmann, W. N. (2014). Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis (9th ed.). Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
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Jungle Rock. (2025). Institutional Asset Allocation meets the Efficient Frontier: Replicating the JPMorgan Efficiente 5 Strategy. Working Paper.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
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