Weighted Standard Deviation BandsLinearly weighted standard deviations over linearly weighted mean.
The rationale of the study can be deduced from my latest publications where I go deeper into explaining the benefits of linear weighting, but in short, I can remind that by using linear weighting we are able to increase the information gain by communicating the sequential nature of time series to the calculations via linear weighting.
Note, that multiplier parameters can take both negative and positive values resulting in ability to have, for example, 1st and 6th weighted standard deviations higher than the weighted mean.
Despite the modification of the classic standard deviation formula, I assume that mathematical qualities of standard deviation will hold due to the fact we can alternately weight the window itself, and then apply the classic standard deviation over the weighted window. In both cases, the results will be the same.
Aight that was too formal, but your short strangles should be happy
Here is it, for you
Bands
Anchored TWAP with StDev Bands [MrShadow]TWAP with:
- Anchoring: Custom, Day, Week, Month, Quarter, Year (custom anchoring can be selected by dragging a vertical line through the chart)
- Standard Devation Bands
- Auto-coloring depending on the trend
Volatility ChannelThis script is based on an idea I have had for bands that react better to crypto volatility. It calculates a Donchian Channel, SMMA-Smoothed True Range, Bollinger Bands (standard deviation), and a Keltner Channel (average true range) and averages the components to construct its bands/envelopes. This way, hopefully band touches are a more reliable indicator of a temporary bottom, and so on. Secondary coloring for strength of trend is given as a gradient based on RSI.
BBands ChannelsBased on the Bollinger Bands system. This shows outer channels to the bollinger bands .
BEAM DCA Strategy MonthlyThis strategy is based on BEAM bands for BTC. The space between the original BEAM bands is broken up into 10 bands representing levels of risk for investing fresh capital.
The strategy will buy bitcoin when the price is in the bottom 5 bands, increasing the amount investmented as the price approaches the 1400 D SMA.
The strategy will limit sell bitcoin when the price is in the top 5 bands, increasing the amount sold as the price approaches the upper BEAM band.
Best used on Daily timeframe and on a chart with history of price data, i.e. INDEX:BTCUSD or BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
To use the strategy:
Set start date
Set day of month to invest
Set the maximum amount to be invested on any given month
Toggle buy/sell orders
Observe the backtest
You can see how the strategy backtests via the information boxes in the bottom right.
There is also functionality to adjust the bands for diminishing returns. Note, this should be used with great skepticism, as the adjustments were made by simple function fitting and not rigorous statistical processes.
That about sums it up! As you can see, even with just a small amount of capital invested at regular intervals can lead to huge realised gains using this version of BEAM bands!
Flat Detect By Bollinger BandsThis simple script indicate the potential flat market zones, calculated based on the Bollinger Bands width.
It's showing the Bollinger Bands in red when the market is detected as flat.
You can adjust the Width Threshold with precision on the inputs settings.
Enjoy :)
Projection Oscillator [CC]The Projection Oscillator was created by Mel Widner (Stocks and Commodities Jul 1995) and this is another hidden gem that is of course a great complementary indicator to my previous Projection Bands . I would recommend to use both on the same chart so you get the full array of information. This indicator tells you where the current price falls between the bands and the higher the oscillator is, the closer the price is to the upper band and vice versa. Now since the price never falls outside of the bands, the indicator is limited from 0 to 100. You will notice that with this indicator it gives even earlier signals than the Projection Bands so a very useful indicator indeed. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so strong signals are darker in color and normal signals are lighter in color. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators or scripts you would like to see me publish!
Projection Bandwidth [CC]The Projection Bandwidth was created by Mel Widner (Stocks and Commodities Jul 1995) and this is another of my series of indicators that I consider undiscovered gems. For those of you who are unaware, the Bandwidth indicator measures the distance between the high and low bands and if you remember from my Projection Bands script, the Projection Bands give pretty accurate early signals of trend reversals and followed fairly closely by a large bulge in the bands. The large bulges in the bands essentially act as the confirmation that the trend reversal is happening and so that brings me to this indicator. This indicator gives signals based on if it has reached a peak or a valley. Both extremes mean that the current trend is ending and I have color coded it based on the buy and sell signals from my Projection Bands indicator. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so strong signals are darker in color and normal signals are lighter in color. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other scripts or indicators you would like to see me publish!
WAP Maverick - (Dual EMA Smoothed VWAP) - [mutantdog]Short Version:
This here is my take on the popular VWAP indicator with several novel features including:
Dual EMA smoothing.
Arithmetic and Harmonic Mean plots.
Custom Anchor feat. Intraday Session Sizes.
2 Pairs of Bands.
Side Input for Connection to other Indicator.
This can be used 'out of the box' as a replacement VWAP, benefitting from smoother transitions and easy-to-use custom alerts.
By design however, this is intended to be a highly customisable alternative with many adjustable parameters and a pseudo-modular input system to connect with another indicator. Well suited for the tweakers around here and those who like to get a little more creative.
I made this primarily for crypto although it should work for other markets. Default settings are best suited to 15m timeframe - the anchor of 1 week is ideal for crypto which often follows a cyclical nature from Monday through Sunday. In 15m, the default ema length of 21 means that the wap comes to match a standard vwap towards the end of Monday. If using higher chart timeframes, i recommend decreasing the ema length to closely match this principle (suggested: for 1h chart, try length = 8; for 4h chart, length = 2 or 3 should suffice).
Note: the use of harmonic mean calculations will cause problems on any data source incorporating both positive and negative values, it may also return unusable results on extremely low-value charts (eg: low-sat coins in /btc pairs).
Long version:
The development of this project was one driven more by experimentation than a specific end-goal, however i have tried to fine-tune everything into a coherent usable end-product. With that in mind then, this walkthrough will follow something of a development chronology as i dissect the various functions.
DUAL-EMA SMOOTHING
At its core this is based upon / adapted from the standard vwap indicator provided by TradingView although I have modified and changed most of it. The first mod is the dual ema smoothing. Rather than simply applying an ema to the output of the standard vwap function, instead i have incorporated the ema in a manner analogous to the way smas are used within a standard vwma. Sticking for now with the arithmetic mean, the basic vwap calculation is simply sum(source * volume) / sum(volume) across the anchored period. In this case i have simply applied an ema to each of the numerator and denominator values resulting in ema(sum(source * volume)) / ema(sum(volume)) with the ema length independent of the anchor. This results in smoother (albeit slower) transitions than the aforementioned post-vwap method. Furthermore in the case when anchor period is equal to current timeframe, the result is a basic volume-weighted ema.
The example below shows a standard vwap (1week anchor) in blue, a 21-ema applied to the vwap in purple and a dual-21-ema smoothed wap in gold. Notably both ema types come to effectively resemble the standard vwap after around 24 hours into the new anchor session but how they behave in the meantime is very different. The dual-ema transitions quite gradually while the post-vwap ema immediately sets about trying to catch up. Incidentally. a similar and slower variation of the dual-ema can be achieved with dual-rma although i have not included it in this indicator, attempted analogues using sma or wma were far less useful however.
STANDARD DEVIATION AND BANDS
With this updated calculation, a corresponding update to the standard deviation is also required. The vwap has its own anchored volume-weighted st.dev but this cannot be used in combination with the ema smoothing so instead it has been recalculated appropriately. There are two pairs of bands with separate multipliers (stepped to 0.1x) and in both cases high and low bands can be activated or deactivated individually. An example usage for this would be to create different upper and lower bands for profit and stoploss targets. Alerts can be set easily for different crossing conditions, more on this later.
Alongside the bands, i have also added the option to shift ('Deviate') the entire indicator up or down according to a multiple of the corrected st.dev value. This has many potential uses, for example if we want to bias our analysis in one direction it may be useful to move the wap in the opposite. Or if the asset is trading within a narrow range and we are waiting on a breakout, we could shift to the desired level and set alerts accordingly. The 'Deviate' parameter applies to the entire indicator including the bands which will remain centred on the main WAP.
CUSTOM (W)ANCHOR
Ever thought about using a vwap with anchor periods smaller than a day? Here you can do just that. I've removed the Earnings/Dividends/Splits options from the basic vwap and added an 'Intraday' option instead. When selected, a custom anchor length can be created as a multiple of minutes (default steps of 60 mins but can input any value from 0 - 1440). While this may not seem at first like a useful feature for anyone except hi-speed scalpers, this actually offers more interesting potential than it appears.
When set to 0 minutes the current timeframe is always used, turning this into the basic volume-weighted ema mentioned earlier. When using other low time frames the anchor can act as a pre-ema filter creating a stepped effect akin to an adaptive MA. Used in combination with the bands, the result is a kind of volume-weighted adaptive exponential bollinger band; if such a thing does not already exist then this is where you create it. Alternatively, by combining two instances you may find potential interesting crosses between an intraday wap and a standard timeframe wap. Below is an example set to intraday with 480 mins, 2x st.dev bands and ema length 21. Included for comparison in purple is a standard 21 ema.
I'm sure there are many potential uses to be found here, so be creative and please share anything you come up with in the comments.
ARITHMETIC AND HARMONIC MEAN CALCULATIONS
The standard vwap uses the arithmetic mean in its calculation. Indeed, most mean calculations tend to be arithmetic: sma being the most widely used example. When volume weighting is involved though this can lead to a slight bias in favour of upward moves over downward. While the effect of this is minor, over longer anchor periods it can become increasingly significant. The harmonic mean, on the other hand, has the opposite effect which results in a value that is always lower than the arithmetic mean. By viewing both arithmetic and harmonic waps together, the extent to which they diverge from each other can be used as a visual reference of how much price has changed during the anchored period.
Furthermore, the harmonic mean may actually be the more appropriate one to use during downtrends or bearish periods, in principle at least. Consider that a short trade is functionally the same as a long trade on the inverse of the pair (eg: selling BTC/USD is the same as buying USD/BTC). With the harmonic mean being an inverse of the arithmetic then, it makes sense to use it instead. To illustrate this below is a snapshot of LUNA/USDT on the left with its inverse 1/(LUNA/USDT) = USDT/LUNA on the right. On both charts is a wap with identical settings, note the resistance on the left and its corresponding support on the right. It should be easy from this to see that the lower harmonic wap on the left corresponds to the upper arithmetic wap on the right. Thus, it would appear that the harmonic mean should be used in a downtrend. In principle, at least...
In reality though, it is not quite so black and white. Rarely are these values exact in their predictions and the sort of range one should allow for inaccuracies will likely be greater than the difference between these two means. Furthermore, the ema smoothing has already introduced some lag and thus additional inaccuracies. Nevertheless, the symmetry warrants its inclusion.
SIDE INPUT & ALERTS
Finally we move on to the pseudo-modular component here. While TradingView allows some interoperability between indicators, it is limited to just one connection. Any attempt to use multiple source inputs will remove this functionality completely. The workaround here is to instead use custom 'string' input menus for additional sources, preserving this function in the sole 'source' input. In this case, since the wap itself is dependant only price and volume, i have repurposed the full 'source' into the second 'side' input. This allows for a separate indicator to interact with this one that can be used for triggering alerts. You could even use another instance of this one (there is a hidden wap:mid plot intended for this use which is the midpoint between both means). Note that deleting a connected indicator may result in the deletion of those connected to it.
Preset alertconditions are available for crossings of the side input above and below the main wap, alongside several customisable alerts with corresponding visual markers based upon selectable conditions. Alerts for band crossings apply only to those that are active and only crossings of the type specified within the 'crosses' subsection of the indicator settings. The included options make it easy to create buy alerts specific to certain bands with sell alerts specific to other bands. The chart below shows two instances with differing anchor periods, both are connected with buy and sell alerts enabled for visible bands.
Okay... So that just about covers it here, i think. As mentioned earlier this is the product of various experiments while i have been learning my way around PineScript. Some of those experiments have been branched off from this in order to not over-clutter it with functions. The pseudo-modular design and the 'side' input are the result of an attempt to create a connective framework across various projects. Even on its own though, this should offer plenty of tweaking potential for anyone who likes to venture away from the usual standards, all the while still retaining its core purpose as a traders tool.
Thanks for checking this out. I look forward to any feedback below.
Projection Bands [CC]The Projection Bands were created by Mel Widner (Stocks and Commodities Jul 1995) and this indicator and the other two that rely on this one (I will publish them later) are very underappreciated in my humble opinion. The biggest strength of this indicator is the fact that it is a leading indicator for dramatic price movements. As you can see in my example chart it consistently gives great exit points before a downturn. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so strong signals are darker in color and normal signals are lighter in color. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators or scripts you would like to see me publish!
Linear Channel - Scalp Strategy 15MSimple way how to use Linear Regression for trading.
What we use:
• Linear Regression
• HMA as a trend filter
Logic:
Firstly we make simple linear regression moving. It is the white line which appears on the chart.
Then we make second line (named: band2) on the chart by multiplying linreg and value difference.
The third step is to ad HMA as a trend filter.
The trade open when price is below band2, but still upper than Hullma. The trade close when price again upper than linreg.
34 EMA Bands [v2]Updating an older concept here with some more oversold/overbought zones.
Pretty self explanatory, red zone indicate overbought zones and green zone is a oversold. Often, price likes to bounce off of the lower bounds of these zones, but it can sometimes extend all the way through the zone onto the upper boundary.
There are many lines to this indicator, i prefer using it with all the lines off except the outermost ones. However, you can edit it if it suits you better.
Source code is open, so any suggestions to improve its accuracy are welcome :)
34 EMA BandsThis is quite a simple script, just plotting a 34EMA on high's and low's of candles. Appears to work wonders though, so here it is.
There is some //'d code which I haven't finished working on, but it looks to be quite similar to Bollinger Bands, just using different math rather than standard deviations from the mean.
The bands itself is pretty self explanatory, price likes to use it as resistance when under it, it can trade inside it and it can use the upper EMA as support when in a strong upward trend.
Jurik Bands//A follow up for my JMA script. This script is inspired by (and dedicated to) closure of sales (today, Oct 20 '21) of the famous Jurik Research.
...
Jurik Research, the real people who been doing real things by using the real instruments, while many others been reading books "How to become a billionaire in 2 days", watching 5687 hours videos of how to use RSI , and studying+applying machine learning to everything cuz suddenly it became trendy xD
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In my JMA script I've said that JMA takes into account volatility. But how exactly? In fact, it's based on smth called Jurik Bands. Thing is they can be/should be used as an independent instrument. I won't lie, I've developed smth very similar myself for mean-reverting purposes, but we ain't gonna talk about this now (my stuff is much simpler, saying bye-bye to entropy).
...
The code is on purpose in Pine4, because lmao I'm not gonna call my stuff "Indicators", they don't "Indicate" anything. And it's on purpose doesn't follow any "coding conventions" made by geeks to make their stuff look more important. My conventions are simple: less code as possible and as simple as possible so we can actually do business based on these instruments.
...
Live Long And Prosper
Box-Cox Log BandsExperimental:
Uses the Box-Cox Transformer with a deflection on the inversion to create log bands.
to be used in log scaled charts.
Ultimate Moving Average Bands [CC+RedK]The Ultimate Moving Average Bands were created by me and @RedKTrader and this converts our Ultimate Moving Average into volatility bands that use the same adaptive logic to create the bands. I have enabled everything to be fully adjustable so please let me know if you find a more useful setting than what I have here by default. I'm sure everyone is familiar with volatility bands but generally speaking if a price goes above the volatility bands then this is either a sign of an extremely strong uptrend or a potential reversal point and vice versa. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so darker colors are strong signals and lighter colors are normal ones. Buy when the lines turn green and sell when they turn red.
Let me know if there are any other scripts you would like to see me publish!
SOFTENED RSI DİFFRACTİON BANDSThis indicator takes the moving averages of the rsi values, gives signals in the lower and upper breaks, prevents the rsi upper threshold from signaling above a certain rsi value, as the rsi upper threshold value increases, the number of signals increases and the number of risky signals also increases. As the rsi upper threshold value decreases, the signals decrease and become better quality You can determine the most appropriate threshold value according to the commodity type.
bu indikatör rsi değerlerinin hareketli ortalamalarını alır alttan ve üstten kırılımlarında sinyal verir rsi üst eşiği belli bir rsi değerinin üstünde sinyal vermesini engeller rsi üst eşik değeri arttıkça sinyal sayısı artar aynı zamanda riskli sinyal sayısıda artar rsi üst eşik değeri azaldıkça sinyaller azalır ve daha kaliteli hale gelir emtia tipine göre en uygun eşik değerini belirleyebilirsiniz.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & STARC BandsThis is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
A type of technical indicator that is created by plotting two bands around
a short-term simple moving average (SMA) of an underlying asset's price.
The upper band is created by adding a value of the average true range
(ATR) - a popular indicator used by technical traders - to the moving average.
The lower band is created by subtracting a value of the ATR from the SMA.
STARC is an acronym for Stoller Average Range Channels. The indicator is
named after its creator, Manning Stoller.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Moving Average Band Width [CC]The Moving Average Band Width was created by Vitali Apirine (Stocks and Commodities Aug 2021 pg 25) and this is of course an extension based on my previous Moving Average Bands script. For those of you that aren't aware, the Band Width indicator is an indicator that tells you how close the upper and lower bands are to each other which is a great determination of how volatility is increasing or decreasing. This acts as both a trend indicator and a volatility indicator. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so stronger signals are darker in color and normal ones are lighter. A great buy signal is when you are in an uptrend (so the line is green already) and the indicator line is moving up which means strong underlying volatility.
Let me know if there are any other indicators or scripts you would like to see me publish!
VWAP St. Dev BandsThis indicator allows you to add up to 3 volatility bands to VWAP based on its Standard Deviation.
Best use is for intraday but you can choose higher timeframes too.
For day trading a band of 3 standard deviations usually works well as an overbought/oversold region, allowing for mean reversion trading, but you are free to come up with your own strategies.
Enjoy!
True BandsCONCEPT
At the heart of True Bands is a moving average with improved timing and smoothness. Due to its adaptability to the trend by moving average, identifying overbought or oversold phases becomes extremely easy.
FEATURES
The ability to use this indicator on various coins, assets, bonds, etc. is an extremely important advantage, but besides this, this indicator is also universal to the timeframe.
TRADING
True Bands are also extremely easy to use, you just have to track when the price hits the wide bands, which means that the price is overbought or oversold depending on the color of the bands.
If you want access send me a private message so we can discuss it.
Cheers.
One For All - Overextended Price ChannelIntroduction :
Channels are very useful tools to assess overextended price, volatility and upcoming retracement or impulsive moves (such as Bollinger Band squeezes). It is an indispensable addition to any trader using Mean Reversion theory for a scalp-trade or swing-trade.
This script contains :
- 2 channels Keltner-style, usingthe True Range for volatility
- a fully customizable volatility (channel width) and smoothing period (up to the ALMA parameters)
- both channel separately configurable , i.e. having a different volatility setting or smoothing method for each
- a useful selection of smoothing methods) to be used instead of the standard SMA or EMA, such as ALMA or Hull
- an embedded readjustment of the lower bands to avoid the drop on a logarithmic scale (see explanation below)
- a double layered channels with a gradient color to help dollar cost averaging in and out of positions
Why another channel indicator ?
I have found most conventional channels to be either not based on "proper" volatility (e.g. standard deviation of price action for Bollinger Band), or the bottom channel to be ill adapted to the logarithmic scale and plunges to 0 on some high volatility periods, messing with readability on logarithmic auto-scaled chart.
Also, I find the channels to be most useful when superimposed with another one of longer length; especially a pair of channels with a 50 and 200 period moving average respectively. Mean Reversion traders that mostly trade the 50 and 200 SMA/EMA know what I am talking about as having a channel helps to have a better visual for a proper of entry and exit point.
Lastly, wondering why traders mostly use the SMA/EMA for the channel center, historic reason, personal preference, stubborn beliefs...? Well you will find that using other smoothing method such as the ALMA or Hull shows very interesting restults that seem -I dare say- more accurate, this option is provided in this script (some screen shot below speak for themselves).
Disclaimer :
This indicator was originally intended to be used along with the Trend Insight System to improve performance, and the default configuration mostly backtested on BTCUSD.
Please use with caution, proper risk management and along with your favorite oscillator, candlestick reading and signals system.
Some explanation :
Based on Mean Reversion paradigm, everything has a tendency to revert back to the mean :
- when the price enters the upper channel, it is supposed to be (or start getting) overbought as the market is getting overheated, thus prone to correction,
- on the other hand, when the price enters the lower channel, it is supposed to be (or getting) oversold and the market looks favorable for a buy-in.
Depending on the trading style used, a trader will usually either wait until the price leaves the channel towards the mean before taking action (conservative style) or you will set limit orders inside the channel as you expect a reversion to the mean (more agressive/risky style).
With two channels, more complex (and maybe precise) rules can be built to optimize one's trading strategy, especially adjusting the volatility multiplier inputs for each channel. Using different smoothing method for each is interesting to play with (especially Hull for the 50 and maybe VWMA for the 200) but not keenly advised unless you know what you are doing.
An example using the conventional Volume Weighted Keltner-like channel :
A more interesting channel using the most recent ALMA smoothing method :
Another variant using the Hull smoothing method to better see squeezes and overextensions :
This last screenshot shows the reason why it was originally intended to be used along with the Verbatim of the Trend Insigth System :
Important notes :
While this version is fun to use thanks to a very customizable side, you might get into the neverending maze of trying tofind an optimal setting for volatility and smoothing length to adapt to each and every market you are trading. Hence, be wary of overoptimization which is risky at best and counter productive at worst (according to legendary traders such as Mark Douglas).
In the end, sticking with 50/200 length and a single setting on volatility might be wiser. Even if, needless to say, the volatility needs to be adjusted between a nascent and volatile market (such as crypto) compared to standard call markets that are much less volatile.
End notes :
It will always be considered a work in progress to help bring out the best of trading with channels, any comment and suggestion are welcomed.
